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| Turnout | 64.04% [1] 9.58pp | ||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsBlackburn: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Johnson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent thestate of Tennessee. Incumbent one-termRepublican SenatorMarsha Blackburn defeated state representativeGloria Johnson with 63.8% of the vote. Blackburn significantly improved on her performance from2018.
The primaries took place on August 1, 2024, with Blackburn and Johnson winning their respective party nominations. This was the first general election for a Tennessee senate seat in which the two major party candidates were women.[2]
Blackburn performed comparably to Donald Trump in thegeneral election overall but notably outperformed him in some key counties. Specifically, she outperformed him inHamilton,Madison,Shelby, andWashington. She also outperformed Trump inHaywood County—a county he lost and where she had also previously lost—but this time, she managed to flip it.
Although Gloria Johnson campaigned for the Senate seat, she simultaneously sought and won re-election to theState House in the90th district, where she ranunopposed in that race.[3]
At the federal and state levels, Tennessee is considered to be a stronglyred state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the2020 presidential election. In Tennessee,Republicans occupy bothSenate seats, 8 out of 9 U.S.House seats, supermajorities in both statelegislative chambers, and thegovernor's office.
Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race was considered a "Safe" Republican hold.
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marsha Blackburn (R) | $14,501,964 | $6,339,437 | $8,776,627 |
| Source:Federal Election Commission[10] | |||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marsha Blackburn (incumbent) | 367,799 | 89.48% | |
| Republican | Tres Wittum | 43,244 | 10.52% | |
| Write-in | 2 | <0.01% | ||
| Total votes | 411,045 | 100.00% | ||
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | $36,054 | $35,691 | $364 |
| Gloria Johnson (D) | $5,046,183 | $3,009,194 | $2,048,985 |
| Source:Federal Election Commission[10] | |||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Marquita Bradshaw | Gloria Johnson | Civil Miller-Watkins | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[20][A] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 282 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 7% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 52% |
| Targoz Market Research[21][A] | December 14–28, 2023 | 251 (LV) | ± 2.66% | 11% | 41% | 2% | 1% | 45% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gloria Johnson | 143,962 | 70.20% | |
| Democratic | Marquita Bradshaw | 44,657 | 21.78% | |
| Democratic | Lola Brown | 10,027 | 4.89% | |
| Democratic | Civil Miller-Watkins | 6,420 | 3.13% | |
| Total votes | 205,066 | 100.00% | ||
After defeating Former GovernorPhil Bredesen by a surprisingly wide margin in2018, Blackburn sought re-election. She was easily re-nominated as the Republican nominee.[20]
Initially, 2020 Democratic nominee for senate, Marquita Bradshaw was seen as the early favorite but months after her announcement, State Representative Gloria Johnson entered the race. Johnson had gained prominence for her protest on the Tennessee house floor over the 2023 Covenant School Shooting. Of the three representatives involved in the protest, two were expelled from the legislature, while Johnson narrowly avoided expulsion by just one vote. Johnson would go on to easily win the nomination.[12][13]
Throughout the campaign, Blackburn consistently led Johnson in the polls and enjoyed a significant financial edge, with a $9 million fundraising advantage. On October 16, the two candidates were scheduled to debate, but Blackburn declined to attend, leaving Johnson to face an empty chair.[10][23][24]
In the end, Blackburn easily won re-election, improving vastly from her 2018 performance by nearly 19 percentage points. She also narrowly flipped Haywood county, which had voted for Bredesen six years prior. While Johnson did perform well in the traditionally Democratic counties of Shelby and Davidson (Home to the cities of Memphis and Nashville respectively), she lost her home county, Knox County (Home to Knoxville) by a wide margin.[25]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[26] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Solid R | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[29] | Safe R | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[30] | Safe R | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[31] | Safe R | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[32] | Solid R | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[33] | Safe R | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[34] | Solid R | October 23, 2024 |
| Campaign finance reports as of July 12, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Marsha Blackburn (R) | $14,501,964 | $6,339,437 | $8,776,627 |
| Gloria Johnson (D) | $5,069,008 | $3,009,194 | $2,048,985 |
| Source:Federal Election Commission[10] | |||
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Marsha Blackburn (R) | Gloria Johnson (D) | Undecided[b] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 538[36] | through October 28, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | 55.0% | 35.7% | 9.3% | Blackburn +19.3 |
| RCP[37] | October 1, 2023 - May 9, 2024 | September 9, 2024 | 50.5% | 33.0% | 16.5% | Blackburn +17.5 |
| TheHill/DDHQ[38] | through October 28, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | 59.4% | 36.5% | 4.1% | Blackburn +22.9% |
| Average | 55.0% | 35.1% | 9.9% | Blackburn +19.9% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Marsha Blackburn (R) | Gloria Johnson (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[39] | October 7–28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | 39% | – |
| ActiVote[40] | September 14 – October 18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | 39% | – |
| Targoz Market Research[41][A] | September 27 – October 8, 2024 | 1,159 (RV) | ± 2.77% | 52% | 29% | 18%[c] |
| 971 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 54% | 31% | 15%[d] | ||
| ActiVote[42] | July 25 – September 2, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 60% | 40% | – |
| Targoz Market Research[43][A] | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,124 (RV) | ± 2.77% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| 944 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 52% | 32% | 16% | ||
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[44] | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Targoz Market Research[20][A] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 955 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Targoz Market Research[45][A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 49% | 29% | 23% |
Marsha Blackburn vs. Marquita Bradshaw
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Marsha Blackburn (R) | Marquita Bradshaw (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[43][A] | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,124 (RV) | ± 2.77% | 51% | 33% | 17% |
| 942 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 54% | 33% | 14% | ||
| Targoz Market Research[20][A] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 947 (LV) | ± 2.77% | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| Targoz Market Research[45][A] | October 5–16, 2023 | 824 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 48% | 36% | 17% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marsha Blackburn (incumbent) | 1,918,743 | 63.80% | +9.09% | |
| Democratic | Gloria Johnson | 1,027,461 | 34.16% | −9.76% | |
| Independent | Tharon Chandler | 28,444 | 0.95% | N/A | |
| Independent | Pamela Moses | 24,682 | 0.82% | N/A | |
| Independent | Hastina Robinson | 8,278 | 0.28% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 3,007,608 | 100.00% | |||
Blackburn won eight of nine congressional districts.[47]
| District | Blackburn | Johnson | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 78% | 20% | Diana Harshbarger |
| 2nd | 65% | 33% | Tim Burchett |
| 3rd | 67% | 31% | Chuck Fleischmann |
| 4th | 70% | 28% | Scott DesJarlais |
| 5th | 58% | 40% | Andy Ogles |
| 6th | 66% | 32% | John W. Rose |
| 7th | 60% | 38% | Mark E. Green |
| 8th | 71% | 27% | David Kustoff |
| 9th | 29% | 68% | Steve Cohen |
| County[25] | Marsha Blackburn Republican | Gloria Johnson Democratic | Other votes | Total votes | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | # | % | # | % | # | ||
| Anderson | 65.83% | 23,718 | 32.16% | 11,587 | 2.00% | 722 | 36,027 |
| Bedford | 77.11% | 15,098 | 20.77% | 4,067 | 2.12% | 415 | 19,580 |
| Benton | 79.73% | 5,653 | 18.10% | 1,283 | 2.17% | 154 | 7,090 |
| Bledsoe | 83.50% | 5,061 | 14.80% | 897 | 1.70% | 103 | 6,061 |
| Blount | 72.39% | 49,551 | 25.76% | 17,632 | 1.86% | 1,271 | 68,454 |
| Bradley | 78.14% | 37,622 | 19.72% | 9,494 | 2.14% | 1,029 | 48,145 |
| Campbell | 81.48% | 12,250 | 16.60% | 2,495 | 1.92% | 289 | 15,034 |
| Cannon | 80.31% | 5,308 | 17.72% | 1,171 | 1.97% | 130 | 6,609 |
| Carroll | 81.05% | 9,446 | 17.31% | 2,017 | 1.65% | 192 | 11,655 |
| Carter | 81.30% | 19,687 | 16.85% | 4,081 | 1.85% | 448 | 24,216 |
| Cheatham | 70.84% | 14,518 | 27.14% | 5,563 | 2.02% | 414 | 20,495 |
| Chester | 82.86% | 6,169 | 15.25% | 1,135 | 1.89% | 141 | 7,445 |
| Claiborne | 82.49% | 10,885 | 16.05% | 2,118 | 1.46% | 193 | 13,196 |
| Clay | 81.67% | 2,900 | 16.70% | 593 | 1.63% | 58 | 3,551 |
| Cocke | 81.92% | 12,471 | 16.13% | 2,456 | 1.94% | 296 | 15,223 |
| Coffee | 75.42% | 18,463 | 22.17% | 5,428 | 2.41% | 590 | 24,481 |
| Crockett | 78.95% | 4,530 | 19.59% | 1,124 | 1.46% | 84 | 5,738 |
| Cumberland | 78.38% | 26,427 | 20.02% | 6,751 | 1.60% | 540 | 33,718 |
| Davidson | 35.08% | 100,124 | 62.83% | 179,312 | 2.09% | 5,965 | 285,401 |
| Decatur | 82.93% | 4,410 | 15.25% | 811 | 1.82% | 97 | 5,318 |
| DeKalb | 78.99% | 7,137 | 18.89% | 1,707 | 2.11% | 191 | 9,035 |
| Dickson | 73.47% | 18,149 | 24.16% | 5,967 | 2.37% | 585 | 24,701 |
| Dyer | 79.73% | 11,050 | 18.44% | 2,556 | 1.83% | 253 | 13,859 |
| Fayette | 71.92% | 16,600 | 26.48% | 6,111 | 1.60% | 370 | 23,081 |
| Fentress | 85.63% | 8,064 | 12.62% | 1,188 | 1.75% | 165 | 9,417 |
| Franklin | 74.90% | 14,437 | 23.31% | 4,493 | 1.78% | 344 | 19,274 |
| Gibson | 76.98% | 16,078 | 21.00% | 4,386 | 2.02% | 422 | 20,886 |
| Giles | 76.32% | 10,027 | 21.65% | 2,844 | 2.03% | 267 | 13,138 |
| Grainger | 84.57% | 9,226 | 14.09% | 1,537 | 1.34% | 146 | 10,909 |
| Greene | 82.32% | 25,157 | 15.84% | 4,841 | 1.84% | 561 | 30,559 |
| Grundy | 81.79% | 4,931 | 15.92% | 960 | 2.29% | 138 | 6,029 |
| Hamblen | 77.60% | 19,382 | 20.92% | 5,225 | 1.48% | 370 | 24,977 |
| Hamilton | 56.31% | 97,475 | 41.66% | 72,115 | 2.04% | 3,527 | 173,117 |
| Hancock | 85.88% | 2,365 | 12.45% | 343 | 1.67% | 46 | 2,754 |
| Hardeman | 62.83% | 5,731 | 35.13% | 3,204 | 2.04% | 186 | 9,121 |
| Hardin | 84.83% | 9,945 | 13.41% | 1,572 | 1.77% | 207 | 11,724 |
| Hawkins | 83.50% | 21,209 | 14.63% | 3,715 | 1.87% | 475 | 25,399 |
| Haywood | 50.21% | 3,269 | 47.95% | 3,122 | 1.84% | 120 | 6,511 |
| Henderson | 84.12% | 9,994 | 14.34% | 1,704 | 1.53% | 182 | 11,880 |
| Henry | 76.62% | 11,048 | 21.40% | 3,085 | 1.98% | 286 | 14,419 |
| Hickman | 78.99% | 8,055 | 19.09% | 1,947 | 1.91% | 195 | 10,197 |
| Houston | 76.38% | 2,814 | 21.74% | 801 | 1.87% | 69 | 3,684 |
| Humphreys | 75.79% | 6,153 | 22.03% | 1,789 | 2.18% | 177 | 8,119 |
| Jackson | 78.26% | 4,279 | 19.99% | 1,093 | 1.76% | 96 | 5,468 |
| Jefferson | 79.89% | 20,239 | 18.42% | 4,666 | 1.69% | 428 | 25,333 |
| Johnson | 84.93% | 6,666 | 13.82% | 1,085 | 1.25% | 98 | 7,849 |
| Knox | 58.35% | 129,275 | 40.13% | 88,913 | 1.52% | 3,373 | 221,561 |
| Lake | 77.27% | 1,414 | 20.98% | 384 | 1.75% | 32 | 1,830 |
| Lauderdale | 68.78% | 5,434 | 29.25% | 2,311 | 1.97% | 156 | 7,901 |
| Lawrence | 81.86% | 15,484 | 15.51% | 2,933 | 2.63% | 498 | 18,915 |
| Lewis | 80.24% | 4,613 | 17.43% | 1,002 | 2.33% | 134 | 5,749 |
| Lincoln | 81.62% | 12,744 | 16.41% | 2,562 | 1.97% | 307 | 15,613 |
| Loudon | 75.77% | 24,848 | 22.65% | 7,428 | 1.57% | 516 | 32,792 |
| Macon | 84.71% | 8,342 | 13.41% | 1,321 | 1.88% | 185 | 9,848 |
| Madison | 60.20% | 23,578 | 37.81% | 14,807 | 1.99% | 781 | 39,166 |
| Marion | 75.58% | 10,314 | 22.29% | 3,042 | 2.13% | 290 | 13,646 |
| Marshall | 76.40% | 11,916 | 21.74% | 3,391 | 1.85% | 289 | 15,596 |
| Maury | 71.02% | 36,665 | 27.14% | 14,008 | 1.84% | 950 | 51,623 |
| McMinn | 80.09% | 18,934 | 17.79% | 4,205 | 2.13% | 503 | 23,642 |
| McNairy | 83.23% | 9,155 | 15.27% | 1,680 | 1.50% | 165 | 11,000 |
| Meigs | 81.47% | 4,810 | 16.68% | 985 | 1.85% | 109 | 5,904 |
| Monroe | 81.08% | 17,759 | 16.87% | 3,694 | 2.05% | 449 | 21,902 |
| Montgomery | 58.36% | 46,104 | 38.82% | 30,669 | 2.82% | 2,230 | 79,003 |
| Moore | 82.38% | 2,954 | 15.20% | 545 | 2.43% | 87 | 3,586 |
| Morgan | 84.03% | 7,090 | 14.40% | 1,215 | 1.56% | 132 | 8,437 |
| Obion | 82.38% | 10,378 | 16.20% | 2,041 | 1.42% | 179 | 12,598 |
| Overton | 79.41% | 8,413 | 18.60% | 1,970 | 1.99% | 211 | 10,594 |
| Perry | 82.09% | 2,906 | 16.07% | 569 | 1.84% | 65 | 3,540 |
| Pickett | 79.99% | 2,306 | 17.79% | 513 | 2.19% | 63 | 2883 |
| Polk | 81.86% | 7,041 | 16.61% | 1,429 | 1.52% | 131 | 8,601 |
| Putnam | 71.76% | 24,520 | 26.22% | 8,960 | 2.01% | 688 | 34,168 |
| Rhea | 81.77% | 11,553 | 16.17% | 2,284 | 2.07% | 292 | 14,129 |
| Roane | 74.89% | 20,207 | 23.18% | 6,255 | 1.93% | 520 | 26,982 |
| Robertson | 73.32% | 25,146 | 24.27% | 8,322 | 2.41% | 826 | 34,294 |
| Rutherford | 59.28% | 86,026 | 38.32% | 55,605 | 2.40% | 3,482 | 145,113 |
| Scott | 86.64% | 7,924 | 11.61% | 1,062 | 1.75% | 160 | 9,146 |
| Sequatchie | 81.32% | 6,253 | 16.58% | 1,275 | 2.09% | 161 | 7,689 |
| Sevier | 78.81% | 34,101 | 19.41% | 8,399 | 1.78% | 770 | 43,270 |
| Shelby | 37.78% | 120,568 | 59.53% | 189,954 | 2.69% | 8,572 | 319,094 |
| Smith | 80.54% | 7,255 | 17.50% | 1,576 | 1.96% | 177 | 9,008 |
| Stewart | 80.70% | 5,201 | 17.08% | 1,101 | 2.22% | 143 | 6,445 |
| Sullivan | 77.42% | 57,989 | 20.89% | 15,646 | 1.69% | 1,267 | 74,902 |
| Sumner | 69.49% | 66,413 | 28.38% | 27,119 | 2.13% | 2,040 | 95,572 |
| Tipton | 75.47% | 19,625 | 22.46% | 5,839 | 2.07% | 539 | 26,003 |
| Trousdale | 76.78% | 3,079 | 21.00% | 842 | 2.22% | 89 | 4,010 |
| Unicoi | 81.25% | 6,754 | 16.88% | 1,403 | 1.88% | 156 | 8,313 |
| Union | 82.55% | 6,834 | 15.88% | 1,315 | 1.57% | 130 | 8,279 |
| Van Buren | 80.57% | 2,533 | 16.92% | 532 | 2.51% | 79 | 3,144 |
| Warren | 75.25% | 12,287 | 22.34% | 3,648 | 2.41% | 394 | 16,329 |
| Washington | 69.99% | 42,160 | 28.01% | 16,872 | 2.00% | 1,205 | 60,237 |
| Wayne | 86.67% | 5,690 | 11.50% | 755 | 1.83% | 120 | 6,565 |
| Weakley | 79.16% | 10,375 | 19.03% | 2,494 | 1.82% | 238 | 13,107 |
| White | 81.00% | 10,316 | 17.07% | 2,174 | 1.93% | 246 | 12,736 |
| Williamson | 65.77% | 94,791 | 32.46% | 46,785 | 1.77% | 2,558 | 144,134 |
| Wilson | 68.51% | 54,895 | 29.40% | 23,556 | 2.10% | 1,681 | 80,132 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
| Democratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic |
Partisan clients
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