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2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2024 North Dakota Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota

← 2018
November 5, 2024
2030 →
 
NomineeKevin CramerKatrina Christiansen
PartyRepublicanDemocratic–NPL
Popular vote241,569121,602
Percentage66.31%33.38%

County results
Precinct results
Cramer:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Christiansen:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Kevin Cramer
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Kevin Cramer
Republican

Elections in North Dakota
City elections
Mayoral elections
City elections
Mayoral elections

The2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the state ofNorth Dakota.Republican incumbentKevin Cramer was re-elected to a second term in office, defeatingDemocratic–NPL educator Katrina Christiansen in the general election with more than 66% of the vote. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024, with Cramer and Christiansen winning their respective party's nomination unopposed.[1]

This marked the first time since1958 that a Republican incumbent won re-election in this class 1 seat. Cramer more than tripled his margin from 2018 and won 10 counties he lost in 2018.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kevin Cramer

Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kevin Cramer (R)$5,423,493$2,328,177$3,290,838
Source:Federal Election Commission[8]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKevin Cramer (incumbent)82,692100.00%
Total votes82,692100.00%

Democratic-NPL primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Katrina Christiansen
Statewide officials

Organizations

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Katrina Christiansen (D-NPL)$1,154,175$957,217$200,218
Source:Federal Election Commission[8]

Results

[edit]
Democratic–NPL primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic–NPLKatrina Christiansen19,690100.00%
Total votes19,690100.00%

Independents

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[16]Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections[17]Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18]Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[19]Safe RJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily[20]Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis[21]Solid RNovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[22]Solid RAugust 5, 2024
Split Ticket[23]Safe ROctober 23, 2024
538[24]Solid ROctober 23, 2024


Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kevin
Cramer (R)
Katrina
Christiansen (D)
OtherUndecided
WPA Intelligence[25][A]September 28–30, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%51%29%20%
Lake Research Partners (D)[26][B]September 23–26, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%49%40%2%[b]9%
WPA Intelligence (R)[27][C]September 22–24, 2024521 (LV)± 4.4%60%31%9%
Lake Research Partners (D)[28][B]June 28 – August 2, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%51%38%11%
Public Opinion Strategies[29][D]June 15–19, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%65%28%6%
Emerson College[30]October 1–4, 2023419 (RV)± 4.8%45%19%9%28%

Results

[edit]
2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanKevin Cramer (incumbent)241,56966.31%+11.20%
Democratic–NPLKatrina Christiansen121,60233.38%−10.89%
Write-in1,1560.32%-0.31%
Total votes364,327100.00%N/A
Republicanhold
Shift by county
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Republican — >15%
  •   Republican — +12.5−15%
  •   Republican — +10−12.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5−10%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +10−12.5%
  •   Democratic — +12.5−15%
      Democratic—+>15%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

By county

[edit]
CountyKevin Cramer
Republican
Katrina Christiansen
Democratic–NPL
All othersMarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%
Adams93377.9%25921.6%50.4%67456.3%1,197
Barnes3,40364.0%1,90135.7%160.3%1,50228.3%5,320
Benson1,07155.0%87344.8%30.2%19810.2%1,947
Billings52981.4%11718.0%40.6%41263.4%650
Bottineau2,51173.4%89526.2%130.4%1,61647.2%3,419
Bowman1,34983.5%26316.3%30.2%1,08667.2%1,615
Burke86882.6%17516.7%80.8%69365.9%1,051
Burleigh35,75569.1%15,71430.4%2400.5%20,04138.7%51,709
Cass48,63753.9%41,32145.8%1990.2%7,3168.1%90,157
Cavalier1,42171.4%56228.3%60.3%85943.1%1,989
Dickey1,72270.9%70629.1%20.1%1,01641.8%2,430
Divide88773.9%30925.8%40.3%57848.1%1,200
Dunn1,80581.7%39517.9%80.4%1,41063.8%2,208
Eddy83268.4%38031.2%40.3%45237.2%1,216
Emmons1,53480.7%35518.7%120.6%1,17962.0%1,901
Foster1,27975.7%40824.1%30.2%87151.6%1,690
Golden Valley82283.9%15615.9%20.2%66668.0%980
Grand Forks18,50959.7%12,41840.1%710.2%6,09119.6%30,998
Grant1,03579.3%26720.5%30.2%76858.8%1,305
Griggs93672.7%34727.0%40.3%58945.7%1,287
Hettinger1,05782.3%22517.5%20.2%83264.8%1,284
Kidder1,05676.9%31623.0%20.1%74056.9%1,374
LaMoure1,53672.4%58127.4%60.3%95545.0%2,123
Logan83381.3%18518.1%60.6%64863.2%1,024
McHenry2,06875.8%64923.8%100.4%1,41952.0%2,727
McIntosh1,06076.3%32423.3%60.4%73653.0%1,390
McKenzie4,52383.1%90016.5%220.4%3,62365.6%5,445
McLean3,98174.1%1,37025.5%210.4%2,61148.6%5,372
Mercer3,41476.6%1,01022.7%310.7%2,40453.9%4,455
Morton12,26373.1%4,43126.4%750.4%7,83246.7%16,769
Mountrail2,82469.9%1,20829.9%100.2%1,61640.0%4,042
Nelson1,09162.3%65737.5%30.2%43424.8%1,751
Oliver84679.1%21720.3%60.6%62958.8%1,069
Pembina2,26472.9%84027.0%30.1%1,42445.9%3,107
Pierce1,44573.4%51526.2%80.4%93047.2%1,968
Ramsey3,56868.4%1,64031.4%70.1%1,92837.0%5,215
Ransom1,59660.6%1,03339.2%40.2%56321.4%2,633
Renville97080.5%23419.4%10.1%73661.1%1,205
Richland5,32164.8%2,87735.1%100.1%2,44429.7%8,208
Rolette1,48636.9%2,53463.0%40.1%-1,048-25.9%4,024
Sargent1,23560.7%79739.2%10.1%43821.5%2,033
Sheridan58177.6%16221.6%60.8%41956.0%749
Sioux28129.6%66570.1%20.2%-284-40.5%948
Slope33586.1%5213.4%20.5%28372.7%389
Stark12,07481.3%2,71618.3%530.4%9,35863.0%14,843
Steele58557.9%42241.7%40.4%16316.2%1,011
Stutsman6,77168.0%3,17131.8%160.2%3,60036.2%9,958
Towner75768.0%35531.9%20.2%40236.1%1,114
Traill2,61263.5%1,48936.2%130.3%1,12327.3%4,114
Walsh3,12469.5%1,35530.2%140.3%1,76939.3%4,493
Ward20,32872.1%7,77227.5%1130.4%12,55644.6%28,213
Wells1,69075.4%53724.0%130.6%1,15351.4%2,240
Williams12,15682.3%2,54217.2%700.5%9,61465.1%14,768
Totals241,56966.3%121,60233.4%1,1560.3%119,96732.9%364,327

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^"Other" and "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
  2. ^abPoll sponsored by Christiansen's campaign
  3. ^Poll sponsored by Cramer's campaign
  4. ^Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance

References

[edit]
  1. ^"2024 State Primary Election Dates".www.ncsl.org. RetrievedMay 13, 2023.
  2. ^Nelson, TJ; Voorhees, Alison; Monk, Jim (October 8, 2023)."ND Republican Sen. Cramer To Run for Another Term in 2024, Dem. Candidate Also Emerges".KVRR. RetrievedOctober 30, 2023.
  3. ^Porter, Joel (March 12, 2024)."Senator Cramer responds to Donald Trump endorsement".KX Television. RetrievedMarch 18, 2024.
  4. ^"Support Pro-Israel Candidates".AIPAC PAC. RetrievedApril 7, 2023.
  5. ^"Clear Path Action Fund".Clear Path Action Fund. RetrievedFebruary 11, 2024.
  6. ^"IFA Endorses Congressional Candidates Ahead of June Primary Elections | International Franchise Association".www.franchise.org. June 3, 2024. RetrievedJune 3, 2024.
  7. ^"Sen. Kevin Cramer receives NDGOP endorsement". April 6, 2024.
  8. ^ab"2024 Election United States Senate - North Dakota".fec.gov.Federal Election Commission. RetrievedAugust 11, 2023.
  9. ^Fulton, Jacob (October 18, 2023)."Christiansen announces second Democratic bid for US Senate".The Bismarck Tribune. RetrievedOctober 18, 2023.
  10. ^abDeVries, Morgan (March 1, 2024)."Former ag commissioners endorse Christiansen for U.S. Senate".KX Television. RetrievedMarch 1, 2024.
  11. ^"2024 Federal Endorsements".NOW PAC. RetrievedNovember 9, 2023.
  12. ^"Endorsed Candidates".National Women's Political Caucus. RetrievedMarch 18, 2024.
  13. ^"Katrina Christiansen endorsed for Senate by Dem-NPL". April 6, 2024.
  14. ^"2024 Candidates for Common Good".Vote Common Good. RetrievedJanuary 24, 2024.
  15. ^"Statement of candidacy"(PDF).fec.gov. RetrievedApril 14, 2023.
  16. ^"2024 Senate Race ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2023.
  17. ^"Senate Ratings".Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2023.
  18. ^"2024 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2023.
  19. ^"2024 Senate prediction map".elections2024.thehill.com/.The Hill. June 8, 2024. RetrievedJune 8, 2024.
  20. ^"Election Ratings".Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. RetrievedAugust 2, 2023.
  21. ^"'24 Senate Forecast".CNalysis. RetrievedNovember 21, 2023.
  22. ^"Battle for the Senate 2024".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedAugust 5, 2024.
  23. ^"2024 Senate Forecast".Split Ticket. RetrievedOctober 23, 2024.
  24. ^"2024 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on October 26, 2024. RetrievedOctober 23, 2024.
  25. ^WPA Intelligence
  26. ^Lake Research Partners (D)
  27. ^WPA Intelligence (R)
  28. ^Lake Research Partners (D)
  29. ^Public Opinion Strategies
  30. ^Emerson College
  31. ^"Official (without recounts) 2024 General Election Results".Vote.nd.gov. RetrievedNovember 22, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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