The2024 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the state ofNew York .Democratic incumbentKirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a third full term, defeatingRepublican businessman Mike Sapraicone. Primary elections took place on June 25, 2024.[ 1]
Gillibrand's victory was significantly closer than her previous two, and followedChuck Schumer 's narrower victory in2022 . This was the state's second consecutive Senate election in which the Republican garnered over 40% of the vote.
Gillibrand received around 90,000 more votes thanKamala Harris , while Sapraicone received around 330,000 fewer votes thanDonald Trump .
Khaled Salem, nonprofit executive[ 3] Kirsten Gillibrand
Individuals Labor unions Organizations Political parties Hypothetical polling
Kirsten Gillibrand vs. Andrew Cuomo
Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Kirsten Gillibrand (D) $13,181,513 $13,105,874 $10,391,040 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 30]
Mike Sapraicone, businessman and retiredNYPD detective[ 31] Mike Sapraicone
Executive branch officials Governors U.S. representatives Party chapters Cara Castronuova(disqualified)
U.S. representatives Local officials Individuals Party chapters Josh Eisen(disqualified)
Statewide officials Organizations Campaign finance reports as of June 5, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Mike Sapraicone (R) $738,958 $494,680 $244,277 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 30]
Diane Sare, political organizer and perennial candidate[ 37] Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
Individuals Labor unions Organizations Political parties Mike Sapraicone (R)
Executive branch officials Governors U.S. representatives Party chapters Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Kirsten Gillibrand (D) $15,120,750 $23,896,091 $1,540,060 Michael Sapraicone (R) $1,110,275[ b] $771,871 $338,403 Diane Sare (I) $457,732[ c] $455,244 $8,933 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 30]
Aggregate polls
Source of poll Dates Dates Kirsten Mike Undecided[ d] Margin 538 [ 48] through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 57.2% 33.9% 8.9% Gillibrand +23.2% RealClearPolitics [ 49] September 23 – October 27, 2024 October 29, 2024 55.0% 34.3% 10.7% Gillibrand +20.7% 270ToWin [ 50] September 30 - November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 55.8% 32.8% 11.4% Gillibrand +23.0% TheHill /DDHQ [ 51] through November 3, 2024 November 4, 2024 58.9% 34.8% 6.3% Gillibrand +24.1% Average 56.7% 34.0% 9.3% Gillibrand +22.7%
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ a] Margin Kirsten Mike Other Undecided Research Co. [ 52] November 2–3, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 61% 33% 2%[ e] 4% ActiVote [ 53] October 4–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40% – – Cygnal (R)[ 54] October 26–27, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 58% 39% 1%[ f] 2% Siena College [ 55] October 13–17, 2024 872 (LV) ± 4.1% 57% 31% 2%[ g] 9% YouGov [ 56] [ B] October 7–17, 2024 1,089 (RV) ± 3.41% 57% 32% – 11% Emerson College [ 57] [ C] September 23–25, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 33% 1%[ h] 15% ActiVote [ 58] August 24 – September 25, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 60% 40% – – Siena College [ 59] September 11–16, 2024 1,003 (LV) ± 4.3% 54% 31% 3%[ i] 13% ActiVote [ 60] July 8 – August 5, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 63% 37% – – Siena College [ 61] July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 33% 1%[ j] 10%
Hypothetical polling
Kirsten Gillibrand vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ a] Marginof error Kirsten Generic Undecided Siena College [ 62] June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 805 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 42% 16% Siena College [ 63] May 13–15, 2024 1,191 (RV) ± 3.9% 39% 41% 20% Siena College [ 64] April 15–17, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.1% 42% 39% 19% Siena College [ 65] February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 39% 37% 23% Siena College [ 65] January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 38% 19% Siena College [ 66] November 12–15, 2023 893 (RV) ± 4.6% 40% 35% 25% Siena College [ 67] October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 39% 38% 23% Siena College [ 68] September 10–13, 2023 804 (RV) ± 4.3% 41% 37% 22% Siena College [ 69] August 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 40% 41% 19% Siena College [ 70] June 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 40% 20% Siena College [ 71] May 7–11, 2023 810 (RV) ± 4.1% 43% 38% 19% Siena College [ 72] March 19–22, 2023 802 (RV) ± 4.6% 43% 38% 19%
2024 United States Senate election in New York[ 73] Party Candidate Votes % ±% Democratic Kirsten Gillibrand 4,318,903 54.01% −8.01% Working Families Kirsten Gillibrand 392,395 4.91% +2.27% Total Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent)4,711,298 58.91% –8.09% Republican Mike Sapraicone 2,917,044 36.48% +7.90% Conservative Mike Sapraicone 329,070 4.12% +0.05% Total Mike Sapraicone 3,246,114 40.59% +7.59% LaRouche Diane Sare 39,413 0.49% N/A Total votes 7,996,825 100.00% N/A Democratic hold
Shift by county Trend by county Republican — >15%
Republican — +12.5−15%
Republican — +10−12.5%
Republican — +7.5−10%
Republican — +5−7.5%
Republican — +2.5−5%
Republican — +0−2.5%
Democratic — +0−2.5%
Democratic — +2.5−5%
Democratic — +5−7.5%
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +10−12.5%
Democratic — +12.5−15%
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Gillibrand won 20 of 26 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[ 74] [ 75] [ 76]
^a b c Key: ^ $550,050 of this total was self-funded by Sapraicone ^ $6,000 of this total was self-funded by Sare ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2% ^ Sare (I) with 1% ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2% ^ Sare (I) with 1% ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1% ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1% Partisan clients
^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates" .www.ncsl.org . RetrievedMay 13, 2023 .^ Balk, Tim (January 13, 2023)."N.Y. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand announces 2024 reelection campaign" .New York Daily News . RetrievedFebruary 22, 2023 . ^a b c d Roy, Yancey (May 1, 2024)."NYS elections board disqualifies primary challengers for Gillibrand, Sapraicone" .Newsday . RetrievedMay 10, 2024 . ^a b c Otterbein, Holly; Gibson, Brittany (April 30, 2023)."AOC is 'not planning' to run for Senate in 2024" .Politico . RetrievedApril 30, 2023 .Former New York Rep. Mondaire Jones, a progressive, has decided he won't run for Gillibrand's seat...Reps. Jamaal Bowman (D-N.Y.) and Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.) also told POLITICO they are not interested in the race. ^ Bocanegra, Michelle (January 25, 2024)."NY Rep. Jamaal Bowman launches re-election campaign in Yonkers, facing primary challenge" .Gothamist . RetrievedJanuary 25, 2024 . ^ Niemietz, Brian (February 10, 2022)."Al Franken is tempted to return to the U.S. Senate" .New York Daily News . RetrievedJanuary 4, 2023 . ^ Bazail-Eimil, Eric (July 5, 2023)."Former Rep. Mondaire Jones launches comeback bid for House seat in New York" .POLITICO . RetrievedJuly 5, 2023 . ^ Fandos, Nicholas (January 20, 2023)."Gillibrand, Looking Left, Launches Campaign For a Third Term" .The New York Times Asked by text on Wednesday if he was considering a primary, [Ritchie] Torres said, 'The answer to your question is no.' ^a b c d Reisman, Nick (April 6, 2023)."Gillibrand picks up early union nod in re-election bid" .Spectrum News 1. RetrievedApril 6, 2023 . ^a b "District Council 37 Political Action and Legislation" .District Council 37 . RetrievedMay 26, 2024 .^a b "New York State AFL-CIO Announces Endorsement of Sen. Gillibrand and Endorsements in Congressional, State Senate, and Assembly Races with Primary Elections | New York State AFL-CIO" .nysaflcio.org . May 14, 2024. RetrievedMay 16, 2024 .^a b "2024 Primary Election Endorsements" .New York State Nurses Association . RetrievedFebruary 23, 2024 .^a b "Support Pro-Israel Candidates" .AIPAC . RetrievedApril 6, 2023 .^a b Fernandez, Madison (May 20, 2024)."Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races" .Politico . RetrievedMay 20, 2024 . ^a b Wang, Danni (April 26, 2023)."EMILYs List Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the United States Senate" .EMILYs List . RetrievedApril 26, 2023 . ^a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Gillibrand for Reelection" .End Citizens United . August 10, 2023. RetrievedAugust 13, 2023 .^a b "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC" .feministmajoritypac.org . RetrievedFebruary 9, 2024 .^a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection to the US Senate" .Giffords . August 7, 2023. RetrievedAugust 14, 2023 .^a b "2024 Endorsements" .2024 Endorsements . RetrievedMarch 25, 2024 .^a b "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel" .Jewish Democratic Council of America . RetrievedMay 10, 2024 .^a b "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs" .jacpac.org . Archived fromthe original on September 1, 2023. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2023 .^a b "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements" .League of Conservation Voters . RetrievedJuly 27, 2023 .^a b Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023)."NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents" .NRDC Action Fund . RetrievedSeptember 20, 2023 . ^a b "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024" .www.plannedparenthoodaction.org . RetrievedJuly 31, 2023 .^a b "2024 Endorsements" .Population Connection Action Fund . RetrievedAugust 25, 2023 .^a b "Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC" .Stonewall Democratic Club of NYC . May 2, 2024. RetrievedMay 6, 2024 .^a b "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates" .Vote Mama PAC . RetrievedMarch 12, 2024 .^a b Committee, New York State Democratic."New York State Democratic Committee Officially Nominates U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Reelection | New York State Democratic Party" .www.nydems.org . RetrievedMarch 12, 2024 . ^ American Pulse & Research Polling (R) ^a b c d "2024 Election United States Senate - New York" .fec.gov .Federal Election Commission . RetrievedJuly 22, 2024 .^ Campanile, Carl (February 18, 2024)."Retired NYC detective Mike Sapraicone winning GOP support in bid to take on Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand" .New York Post . RetrievedFebruary 19, 2024 . ^a b "Trump backs NY Senate hopeful Mike Sapraicone" . March 3, 2024. RetrievedMarch 4, 2024 .^a b c d e f g h "Endorsements" . RetrievedNovember 28, 2024 .^a b c d e f g h i j k l Coltin, Jeff (February 20, 2024)."Gillibrand vs. Who?" .Politico . RetrievedFebruary 20, 2024 . ^ "Former NY Gov. Pataki backs GOP hopeful Eisen in Senate race against Gillibrand" . February 7, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 11, 2024 .^ Kiprilov, Nicole (January 22, 2024)."Endorsement: Josh Eisen for United States Senate in New York" .New York Young Republican Club . RetrievedJanuary 24, 2024 . ^ Danielle Wallace, Houston Keene (August 31, 2023)."NYC voters explain why they're voting for RFK Jr. over Biden: 'Going to unify the nation' .Fox News . RetrievedMarch 1, 2024 . ^ "2024 TLO Endorsements: So Far, There's Only One! | The LaRouche Organization" .www.laroucheorganization.com . November 8, 2023. RetrievedMarch 1, 2024 .^ "2024 Senate Race ratings" .Cook Political Report . RetrievedJanuary 25, 2023 .^ "Senate Ratings" .Inside Elections . January 6, 2023. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2023 .^ "2024 Senate" .Sabato's Crystal Ball . January 24, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2023 .^ "2024 Senate prediction map" .elections2024.thehill.com/ .The Hill . June 8, 2024. RetrievedJune 8, 2024 .^ "Election Ratings" .Elections Daily . August 1, 2023. RetrievedAugust 2, 2023 .^ " .CNalysis . RetrievedNovember 21, 2023 .^ "Battle for the Senate 2024" .RealClearPolitics . RetrievedAugust 5, 2024 .^ "2024 Senate Forecast" .Split Ticket . May 25, 2023. RetrievedOctober 23, 2024 .^ "2024 Election Forecast" .FiveThirtyEight . June 11, 2024. Archived fromthe original on October 26, 2024. RetrievedOctober 23, 2024 .^ 538 ^ RealClearPolitics ^ 270ToWin ^ TheHill/DDHQ ^ Research Co. ^ ActiVote ^ Cygnal (R) ^ Siena College ^ YouGov ^ Emerson College ^ ActiVote ^ Siena College ^ ActiVote ^ Siena College ^ Siena College ^ Siena College ^ Siena College ^a b Siena College ^ Siena College ^ Siena College ^ Siena College ^ Siena College ^ Siena College ^ Siena College ^ Siena College ^ "Certified November 5, 2024 General Election Results, approved 12.09.2024" .Ny.gov . RetrievedDecember 9, 2024 .^ https://x.com/DrewSav/status/1968785326253445303 ^ https://x.com/DrewSav/status/1968765821653499970 ^ "Live Maps by Competitive Advantage Research" .Official campaign websites
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Shift by county
Trend by county.jpg)
