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2024 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2024 United States House of Representatives elections.

2024 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district

← 2022
November 5, 2024
2026 →
 
CandidateBecca BalintMark CoesterAdam Ortiz
PartyDemocraticRepublicanIndependent
AllianceLibertarian
Popular vote218,398104,45119,286
Percentage62.29%29.79%5.50%

County results
Municipality results
Balint:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Coester:     40–50%     50–60%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Becca Balint
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Becca Balint
Democratic

Elections in Vermont
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The2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Vermont were held on November 5, 2024, to elect theU.S. representative fromVermont's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with theUnited States presidential election,other elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theU.S. Senate, as well as various otherstate and local elections. The primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.

IncumbentDemocratBecca Balint was re-elected with 62.29% of the vote over Republican Mark Coester and Independent Adam Ortiz.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Becca Balint

Organizations

Labor unions

Individuals

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBecca Balint (incumbent)47,638100.0
Total votes47,638100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Mark Coester, truck driver and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in2022[14]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMark Coester19,459100.0
Total votes19,459100.0

Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Jill "Jessy" Diamondstone, massage therapist and nominee for state treasurer in2012[14]

Independents

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Adam Ortiz, window installation contractor and candidate for U.S. House in2022[14]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Solid DJuly 28, 2023
Inside Elections[16]Solid DJuly 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Safe DJune 8, 2023
Elections Daily[18]Safe DJune 8, 2023
CNalysis[19]Solid DNovember 16, 2023

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Becca
Balint (D)
Mark
Coester (R)
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[20]October 29 – November 2, 20241,167 (LV)± 2.9%62%22%1%[b]14%
University of New Hampshire[21]August 15–19, 2024924 (LV)± 3.2%61%24%2%[c]13%

Results

[edit]
Shift by county
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Republican — >15%
  •   Republican — +12.5−15%
  •   Republican — +10−12.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5−10%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +10−12.5%
  •   Democratic — +12.5−15%
  •   Democratic — >15%
2024 Vermont's at-large congressional district election[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticBecca Balint (incumbent)218,39862.29%+1.84
RepublicanMark Coester104,45129.79%+2.94
IndependentAdam Ortiz19,2865.50%+4.34
Green Mountain Peace and JusticeJessy Diamondstone7,5522.15%N/A
Write-in9290.25%–0.09
Total votes350,616100.0%
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyBecca Balint
Democratic
Mark Coester
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
#%#%#%
Addison13,84563.8%6,40629.5%1,4616.8%
Bennington11,49959.4%5,99631.0%1,8699.6%
Caledonia8,29152.5%5,80036.7%1,69810.7%
Chittenden67,69873.5%19,01220.6%5,3895.8%
Essex1,25339.3%1,43945.1%50015.6%
Franklin12,20848.0%10,82542.5%2,4189.5%
Grand Isle2,73657.0%1,71835.8%3457.2%
Lamoille8,78462.3%4,17629.6%1,1348.1%
Orange9,49156.3%5,94135.2%1,4308.5%
Orleans6,32845.3%5,44939.0%2,17715.6%
Rutland15,94849.4%13,66842.3%2,6758.3%
Washington22,78667.5%8,56225.4%2,4097.1%
Windham16,89768.4%5,96324.1%1,8347.5%
Windsor20,63463.4%9,49629.2%2,4287.5%
Totals218,39862.3%104,45129.8%27,7677.5%

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Diamondstone (GMPJP) with 1%
  3. ^ "Other (Another Third Party/Write-In)" and Diamondstone (GMPJP) with 1%; Ortiz (I) with 0%

References

[edit]
  1. ^Mearhoff, Sarah (March 13, 2024)."Becca Balint to seek reelection to the US House".VTDigger. RetrievedMarch 14, 2024.
  2. ^"Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC".Bend the Arc: Jewish Action. RetrievedMarch 1, 2024.
  3. ^ab"Human Rights Campaign Endorses Pro-Equality Openly LGBTQ+ U.S. House Incumbents for Re-Election".Human Rights Campaign. June 22, 2023. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2023.
  4. ^"2024 Endorsements".2024 Endorsements. RetrievedMarch 25, 2024.
  5. ^"Becca Balint".JStreetPAC. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2023.
  6. ^"Jewish Dems Unveil 30 House and Senate Endorsements Across Country".Jewish Democratic Council of America. RetrievedMarch 10, 2024.
  7. ^"Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs".
  8. ^"LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements".League of Conservation Voters. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2023.
  9. ^Keith, Jarod."LGBTQ+ Victory Fund Endorses 26 More Candidates in 2024 Cycle".LGBTQ+ Victory Fund. RetrievedFebruary 22, 2024.
  10. ^"LPAC Announces April 2023 Endorsement Slate".LPAC. April 18, 2023. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2023.
  11. ^"2024 Endorsements".Population Connection Action Fund. Archived fromthe original on August 25, 2023. RetrievedAugust 25, 2023.
  12. ^"Vote Mama PAC | Candidates".Vote Mama PAC. RetrievedMarch 12, 2024.
  13. ^"Our Recommended Candidates".Education Votes. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  14. ^abc"General Election Candidates". Vermont Secretary of State. May 13, 2024.
  15. ^"2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. RetrievedFebruary 2, 2023.
  16. ^"First 2024 House Ratings".Inside Elections. RetrievedMarch 10, 2023.
  17. ^"Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
  18. ^"Election Ratings".Elections Daily. RetrievedMay 5, 2023.
  19. ^"2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  20. ^University of New Hampshire
  21. ^University of New Hampshire
  22. ^"2024 General Election Canvass Report"(PDF).VT SOS. RetrievedDecember 10, 2024.
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