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2024 United Kingdom general election in Northern Ireland

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2024 United Kingdom general election in Northern Ireland
← 20194 July 2024 (2024-07-04)Next →
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Michelle O'Neill, Feb 2024 02 (cropped).jpg
Official portrait of Gavin Robinson MP crop 2.jpg
Colum Eastwood SDLP Conference 2023.jpg
LeaderMichelle O'Neill[a]Gavin RobinsonColum Eastwood
PartySinn FéinDUPSDLP
Leader since23 January 2017[b]29 March 202414 November 2015
Leader's seatMLA forMid UlsterBelfast EastFoyle
Last election22.8%, 7 MPs30.6%, 8 MPs14.9%, 2 MPs
Seats won752
Seat changeSteady 0Decrease 3Steady 0
Popular vote210,891172,05886,861
Percentage27.0%22.1%11.1%
SwingIncrease 4.2%Decrease 8.5%Decrease 3.8%

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
Naomi_Long_MLA.jpg
Doug Beattie.png
Official portrait of Jim Allister MP crop 2.jpg
LeaderNaomi LongDoug BeattieJim Allister
PartyAllianceUUPTUV
Leader since26 October 201617 May 20217 December 2007
Leader's seatMLA forBelfast East[c]MLA forUpper BannNorth Antrim
Last election16.8%, 1 MP11.7%, 0 MPsDid not contest
Seats won111
Seat changeSteady 0Increase 1Increase 1
Popular vote117,19194,77948,685
Percentage15.0%12.2%6.2%
SwingDecrease 1.8%Increase 0.5%Increase 6.2%

Results by constituencies

The2024 general election inNorthern Ireland was held on 4 July 2024, with all 18 Northern Irish seats in theHouse of Commons contested. The general election occurred after the recently completedconstituency boundaries review.

Background

[edit]

Electoral system

[edit]

MPs are elected in 18 single-member constituencies byfirst-past-the-post.

Date of the election

[edit]

On 22 May 2024, Prime MinisterRishi Sunak announced 4 July 2024 as the election date.[1]

Constituency boundaries

[edit]
Map of the 18 constituencies to be used.

In June 2023, it was published that The Boundary Commission for Northern Ireland had made final recommendations for the new boundaries for Northern Ireland's 18 parliamentary constituencies. The report was submitted to the speaker of the UK House of Commons and the UK Government was required to submit a draft of an Order in Council to activate the new boundaries within four months.[2] Changes include:

Ten wards were moved and as approved by MPs, the new boundaries became effective on 1 November 2023.[3] These changes were approved at a meeting of thePrivy Council on 15 November[4] and came into force on 29 November.[5]

Campaign

[edit]

In the run up to the election, there was speculation to the extent at whichunionistelectoral pacts would be active in some constituencies.[6] In July 2023,Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) leaderDoug Beattie clarified that his party intends to stand candidates in 17 constituencies, but there was still speculation about whether theTraditional Unionist Voice (TUV) would field candidates.[7] The TUV leaderJim Allister said that in seats held by non-unionists where the sitting MP could potentially be ousted, it would support an "agreed single unionist candidate".[8]

InNorth Down, there were calls for unionist parties to drop their own candidates and unite behind a single contender to defeat incumbentAlliance MPStephen Farry.[9] Farry was confirmed as Alliance's candidate for North Down on 26 November 2023.[10] On 24 January 2024, the UUP selected formerIraq War veteranTim Collins as their candidate for North Down, with the UUP leader Doug Beattie saying his party "does not do pacts".[11]Independent Unionist MLAAlex Easton announced his candidacy for the seat on 25 April 2024.[12]

In October 2023 theAlliance Party of Northern Ireland revealed that they intended to targetLagan Valley, seat of the then-leader of theDemocratic Unionist Party (DUP)Jeffrey Donaldson. They unveiled their candidate asSorcha Eastwood and required a 7.16% swing to gain the seat from the DUP.[13]

Amongst majoritynationalist constituencies, due to their strong performance in the 2022 Assembly election and the2023 local elections,Sinn Féin look "likely to increase its number of seats at Westminster", with the possibility of gainingSocial Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) leaderColum Eastwood's seat ofFoyle.[14]

The campaign got underway inSouth Belfast and North Down, with both incumbent MPs,Claire Hanna and Stephen Farry seeking re-election. North Down Ulster Unionist candidate Tim Collins said he was "very confident" of unseating Farry.[15]

In January 2024, the Ulster Unionist Party selected their former leader andMinister of HealthRobin Swann as their candidate for South Antrim[16] and announced their deputy leader,Robbie Butler, as the party's candidate forLagan Valley.[17]

On 16 March 2024, theTraditional Unionist Voice formed anelectoral pact withReform UK, in which the two parties would stand mutually agreed candidates within Northern Ireland.[18] On 24 May they announced that they were supporting Alex Easton, the Independent Unionist candidate in North Down, and would not stand a candidate in that constituency.[19]

The leader of theGreen Party Northern Ireland,Sen.Mal O'Hara, toldSlugger O'Toole on 26 April 2024 that they would stand in every constituency and would not pursue any electoral pacts.[20]

On 7 May 2024, the UUP announced that 19 year-old Jay Basra, who is Punjabi-British, would be their candidate forMid Ulster.[21] Following the announcement, Basra was the target ofracial abuse onsocial media. The abuse was condemned by UUP leaderDoug Beattie and formerFirst MinisterArlene Foster, as well as deputy First MinisterEmma Little-Pengelly.[22]

Jeffrey Donaldson, who was the DUP leader until March 2024, appeared in court on 3 July to face additional sex offence charges.[23][24]

Candidates

[edit]

By affiliation

[edit]

2024 United Kingdom general election
(4 July)
Parties
Campaign
Overview by country
Outcome
Related
← 20192024Next →
AffiliationNumber of
candidates[25]
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland18
Social Democratic and Labour Party18
Ulster Unionist Party17
Democratic Unionist Party16
Sinn Féin14
Traditional Unionist Voice14
Green Party Northern Ireland11
Aontú10
Independents9(in 7 constituencies)
Northern Ireland Conservatives5
People Before Profit3
Cross-Community Labour Alternative1
Total136

By constituency

[edit]
ConstituencySinn FéinDUPAllianceUUPSDLPTUVGreenAontúOthersIncumbent
Belfast EastGavin RobinsonNaomi LongRyan WarrenSéamas de FaoiteJohn RossBrian SmythRyan North (Independent)DUPGavin Robinson
Belfast NorthJohn FinucanePhillip BrettNuala McAllisterCarl WhyteDavid ClarkeMal O'HaraFiona Ferguson (PBP)SFJohn Finucane
Belfast South and Mid DownTracy KellyKate NichollMichael HendersonClaire HannaDan BoucherÁine GrooganSDLPClaire Hanna
Belfast WestPaul MaskeyFrank McCoubreyEóin MillarBen SharkeyPaul DohertyAnn McClureAsh JonesGerard HerdmanGerry Carroll (PBP)
Tony Mallon (Independent)
SFPaul Maskey
East AntrimOliver McMullanSammy WilsonDanny DonnellyJohn StewartMargaret Anne McKillopMatthew WarwickMark BaileyDUPSammy Wilson
East LondonderryKathleen McGurkGregory CampbellRichard StewartGlenn MillerCara HunterAllister KyleJen McCahonGemma BrollyClaire Scull (Conservative)DUPGregory Campbell
Fermanagh and South TyronePat CullenEddie RoofeDiana ArmstrongPaul BlakeCarl DuffyGerry Cullen (CCLA)SFMichelle Gildernew
FoyleSandra DuffyGary MiddletonRachael FergusonJanice MontgomeryColum EastwoodJohn BoyleShaun Harkin (PBP)
Anne McCloskey (Independent)
SDLPColum Eastwood
Lagan ValleyJonathan BuckleySorcha EastwoodRobbie ButlerSimon LeeLorna SmythPatricia DenvirIndependent (elected asDUP)Jeffrey Donaldson
Mid UlsterCathal MallaghanKeith BuchananPadraic FarrellJay BasraDenise JohnstonGlenn MooreAlixandra HallidayJohn Kelly (Independent)SFFrancie Molloy
Newry and ArmaghDáire HughesGareth WilsonHelena YoungSam NicholsonPete ByrneKeith RatcliffeLiam ReichenbergSamantha Rayner (Conservative)SFMickey Brady
North AntrimPhilip McGuiganIan Paisley JrSian MulhollandJackson MinfordHelen MaherJim AllisterRáichéal Mhic NiocaillTristan Morrow (Independent)DUPIan Paisley Jr
North DownStephen FarryTim CollinsDéirdre VaughanBarry McKeeAlex Easton (Independent)
Chris Carter (Independent)
APNIStephen Farry
South AntrimDeclan KearneyPaul GirvanJohn BlairRobin SwannRoisin LynchMel LucasLesley VeronicaSiobhan McErleanDUPPaul Girvan
South DownChris HazzardDiane ForsytheAndrew McMurrayMichael O'LoanColin McGrathJim WellsDeclan WalshRosemary McGloneHannah Westropp (Conservative)SFChris Hazzard
StrangfordNoel SandsJim ShannonMichelle GuyRichard SmartWill PollandRon McDowellAlexandra BraidnerGareth Burns (Independent)
Garreth Falls (Independent)
Barry Hetherington (Conservative)
DUPJim Shannon
Upper BannCatherine NelsonCarla LockhartEóin TennysonKate EvansMalachy QuinnDUPCarla Lockhart
West TyroneÓrfhlaith BegleyTom BuchananStephen DonnellyMatthew BellDaniel McCrossanStevan PattersonLeza HoustonStephen Lynch (Conservative)SFÓrfhlaith Begley

Opinion polling

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample
size
DUPSFAllianceSDLPUUPTUVOthersLead
7 Jul 20242024 general election[26]22.1%27.0%15.0%11.1%12.2%6.2%6.4%4.9
24–25 Jun 2024LucidTalk[27]Belfast Telegraph3,85921%23%18%14%13%4%
7%
2
8–10 Jun 2024LucidTalk[28]Belfast Telegraph3,63421%24%17%13%12%5%
8%
3
10–13 May 2024LucidTalk[29]Belfast Telegraph3,31620%26%15%10%13%8%
8%
6
28 Jan11 Feb 2024Social Market Research[30]Irish News–University of Liverpool1,20623.5%31.1%15.2%8.1%11.1%4.8%6.6
26 Oct3 Nov 2023Social Market Research[31]Institute of Irish Studies1,07425%31%15%9%11%5%5%6
14 Jan – 7 Sep 2023Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey[d]ARK1,20019%24%28%9%13%
9%
4
12 Dec 20192019 general election30.6%22.8%16.8%14.9%11.7%N/A3.2%7.8

Projections

[edit]
Final projections of number of seats
SourceDateDUPSFSDLPAPNIUUPTUVInd.Others
Electoral Calculus[33]4 July77211000
Bunker Consulting Group[34]1 July67221000
Ireland Votes[35]25 May57211110

Leadership approval ratings

[edit]
This section needs to beupdated. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information.(June 2024)

Michelle O'Neill

[edit]

The following polls asked about voters' opinions onMichelle O'Neill, theFirst Minister of Northern Ireland since 3 February 2024,Vice President of Sinn Féin since 10 February 2018 andDeputy First Minister of Northern Ireland from 11 January 2020 to 4 February 2022.

Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph2,95043%37%20%+6%
21–24 Apr 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,95741%37%22%+4%
20–23 Jan 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph1,44941%40%19%+1%
4–7 Nov 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,35146%37%17%+9%
12–15 Aug 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,38440%42%18%–2%

Jeffrey Donaldson

[edit]

The following polls asked about voters' opinions onJeffrey Donaldson, the leader of theDemocratic Unionist Party (DUP) from 30 June 2021 to 29 March 2024.

Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph2,95024%66%10%−42%
21–24 Apr 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,95727%65%8%−38%
20–23 Jan 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph1,44925%63%12%−38%
4–7 Nov 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,35129%65%6%−36%
12–15 Aug 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,38427%64%9%−37%

Naomi Long

[edit]

The following polls asked about voters' opinions onNaomi Long, the leader of theAlliance Party since 26 October 2016.

Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph2,95038%39%23%−1%
21–24 Apr 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,95740%38%22%+2%
20–23 Jan 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph1,44937%38%25%−1%
4–7 Nov 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,35145%37%18%+8%
12–15 Aug 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,38446%37%17%+9%

Doug Beattie

[edit]

The following polls asked about voters' opinions onDoug Beattie, theleader of the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) since 27 May 2021.

Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph2,95034%38%28%−4%
21–24 Apr 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,95738%33%29%+5%
20–23 Jan 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph1,44928%42%30%−14%
4–7 Nov 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,35137%32%31%+5%
12–15 Aug 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,38434%34%32%0%

Colum Eastwood

[edit]

The following polls asked about voters' opinions onColum Eastwood, the leader of theSocial Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) since 14 November 2015.

Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph2,95026%43%31%−17%
21–24 Apr 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,95732%40%28%−8%
20–23 Jan 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph1,44933%38%29%−5%
4–7 Nov 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,35131%39%30%−8%
12–15 Aug 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,38434%39%27%–5%

Jim Allister

[edit]

The following polls asked about voters' opinions onJim Allister, the leader ofTraditional Unionist Voice (TUV) since 7 December 2007.

Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample sizeGood/greatBad/awfulDon't knowNet approval
11–14 Aug 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph2,95023%63%14%−40%
21–24 Apr 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,95727%61%12%−34%
20–23 Jan 2023LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph1,44927%57%16%−30%
4–7 Nov 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,35127%59%14%−32%
12–15 Aug 2022LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,38431%54%15%−23%

Leadership performance ratings

[edit]

The following poll asked respondents to rate the performance of political leaders in the last few months, scoring from 0% to 100% for each leader.

NI political leaders

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample sizeGavin Robinson
DUP leader
Michelle O'Neill
Sinn Féin VP
- NI First Minister
Naomi Long
Alliance leader
Colum Eastwood
SDLP leader
Doug Beattie
UUP leader
Jim Allister
TUV leader
Emma Little-Pengelly
(DUP)
NI deputy First Minister
NI Executive
10–13 May 2024LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,31646%53%46%39%44%29%52%39%

UK and Ireland political leaders

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
PollsterClientSample SizeSimon Harris
Taoiseach Ireland
Mary Lou McDonald
Sinn Féin President
Chris Heaton-Harris
NI Secretary of State
Rishi Sunak
UK Prime Minister
10–13 May 2024LucidTalkBelfast Telegraph3,31636%39%20%16%

MPs not seeking re-election

[edit]
MPConsti­tuencyFirst electedPartyDate announced
Francie MolloyMid Ulster2013Sinn Féin13 February 2024[36]
Mickey BradyNewry and Armagh2015Sinn Féin19 February 2024[37]
Jeffrey DonaldsonLagan Valley1997DUP[e]22 May 2024[38]
Michelle GildernewFermanagh and South Tyrone2001Sinn Féin23 May 2024[39]

Results

[edit]

By affiliation

[edit]
Affiliate[40]SeatsAggregate votes
TotalGainsLossesNet +/-Of all (%)TotalOf all (%)Difference
Sinn Féin700Steady38.9210,89127.0Increase4.2
DUP503Decrease327.8172,05822.1Decrease8.5
SDLP200Steady11.186,86111.1Decrease3.8
Alliance111Steady5.6117,19115.0Decrease1.8
UUP110Increase15.694,77912.2Increase0.5
TUV1New5.648,6856.2New
Independent110Increase15.623,602[41]3.1Increase2.8
Green (NI)000Steady0.08,6921.1Increase0.9
People Before Profit000Steady0.08,4381.1Increase0.2
Aontú000Steady0.07,4661.0Decrease0.2
Labour Alternative0Did not stand in 20190.06240.1
NI Conservatives000Steady0.05530.1Decrease0.6
Total18Steady100%779,84057.3Decrease4.5

By constituency

[edit]
This section istranscluded fromResults of the 2024 United Kingdom general election.(edit |history)
Main article:2024 United Kingdom general election in Northern Ireland
Constituency2019
seat
2024 seatVotesTurnout
AffiliateCandidateVotesShareMajoritySFDUPAPNIUUPSDLPTUVInd.OtherTotal

Belfast EastDUPDUPGavin Robinson19,89446.6%2,67619,89417,2181,8186191,9181621,07742,70658.6%
Belfast NorthSFSFJohn Finucane17,67443.7%5,61217,67412,0624,2741,4132,8772,15240,45254.5%
Belfast South and Mid DownSDLPSDLPClaire Hanna21,34549.1%12,5066,8598,8392,65321,3452,2181,57743,35558.0%
Belfast WestSFSFPaul Maskey21,00952.9%15,96121,0094,3041,0774614,3182,0101616,56439,74353.0%
East AntrimDUPDUPSammy Wilson11,46228.9%1,3062,98611,46210,1569,4768924,13556839,67554.1%
East LondonderryDUPDUPGregory Campbell11,50627.9%17911,32711,5063,7343,4125,2604,3631,67541,63955.0%
Fermanagh and South TyroneSFSFPat Cullen24,84448.6%4,57124,8442,42020,2732,3861,15351,07665.6%
FoyleSDLPSDLPColum Eastwood15,64740.8%4,16611,4813,9151,2681,42215,6471,5193,10638,21852.0%
Lagan ValleyDUPAPNISorcha Eastwood18,61837.9%2,95915,65918,61811,1571,0282,18643349,08159.7%
Mid UlsterSFSFCathal Mallaghan24,08553.0%14,92324,0859,1622,0012,2693,7222,9781811,04745,44561.4%
Newry and ArmaghSFSFDáire Hughes22,29948.5%15,49322,2995,9002,6923,1756,8064,09997146,23659.1%
North AntrimDUPTUVJim Allister11,64228.3%4507,71411,1924,4883,9011,66111,64213645141,08455.0%
North DownAPNIInd.Alex Easton20,91348.3%7,30513,6086,75465720,9131,36443,59359.0%
South AntrimDUPUUPRobin Swann16,31138.0%7,5128,0348,7994,57416,3111,5892,69390843,15356.0%
South DownSFSFChris Hazzard19,69843.5%9,28019,6987,3493,1871,41110,4181,8931,28745,24359.0%
StrangfordDUPDUPJim Shannon15,55940.0%5,1312,79315,55910,4283,9411,7833,14341384938,06052.2%
Upper BannDUPDUPCarla Lockhart21,64245.7%7,40614,23621,6426,3223,6621,49647,12558.0%
West TyroneSFSFÓrfhlaith Begley22,71152.0%15,91722,7116,7942,2872,6835,8212,53086942,82659.0%
All constituencies210,891172,058117,19194,77986,86148,68523,48526,051778,71057.1%
27.1%22.1%15.0%12.2%11.1%6.3%3.0%3.3%100.0%
Seats
7511211018
39%28%5.6%5.6%11%5.6%5.6%0.0%100.0%

Seats by affiliate share

[edit]
Seats
Sinn Féin
38.9%
DUP
27.8%
SDLP
11.1%
Alliance
5.6%
UUP
5.6%
TUV
5.6%
Independent unionists
5.6%

Analysis

[edit]
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Sinn Féin became the largest Northern Ireland party in the House of Commons for the first time, following similar success in the2022 Assembly election and2023 local election. Sinn Féin defended their seven seats with an increased majority in each,South Down,Belfast North and especiallyFermanagh and South Tyrone are less marginal than they were in2019. Sinn Féin also came very close to gainingEast Londonderry, Kathleen McGurk was the runner-up just 179 votes behind the DUP. Sinn Féin also narrowed the SDLP's majority inFoyle.

TheDUP won five seats, three less than in2019, this was the lowest number of DUP MPs since2001 and since the DUP became the largest unionist party. The DUP lostLagan Valley to Alliance,South Antrim to the UUP andNorth Antrim to the TUV. The loss of North Antrim by just 450 votes is particularly notable, the DUP had held this seat for its entire existence, and between themIan Paisley andIan Paisley Jr had represented this constituency for 54 years since 1970. The majorities ofSammy Wilson inEast Antrim and especiallyGregory Campbell inEast Londonderry, were significantly reduced, both were narrowly held against challenges from Alliance by 1,306 votes and Sinn Féin by 179 votes respectively. A more positive result for the DUP was the re-election of new leaderGavin Robinson inBelfast East with a slightly increased majority, the DUP also heldStrangford andUpper Bann.

TheSDLP held their two seats. InFoyle SDLP leaderColum Eastwood's majority was reduced from 17,110 to 4,166, mainly due to lower turnout although there was a swing to Sinn Féin.Claire Hanna was also re-elected to the newBelfast South and Mid Down constituency with a slightly reduced majority of 12,506, this is now the fifth safest seat in Northern Ireland after Sinn Féin's four safest seats. Outside of these two constituencies the SDLP vote mainly decreased, withBelfast West a notable exception. The SDLP was the runner-up inSouth Down andNewry and Armagh, both were previously SDLP held seats but are increasingly safe for Sinn Féin.

Alliance remains the third largest party in Northern Ireland in terms of vote share, as it was in the2022 Assembly election and2023 local election. Alliance gainedLagan Valley from the DUP, withSorcha Eastwood becoming the third directly elected Alliance MP. Alliance also lostNorth Down, with independent unionistAlex Easton gaining from Alliance deputy leaderStephen Farry, the party leaderNaomi Long also lost inBelfast East, Long was the previous MP for Belfast East from 2010 to 2015. Alliance came a particularly close second inEast Antrim, and was also runner-up inStrangford and inBelfast South and Mid Down for the first time since 1987. In other constituencies the Alliance vote was generally down slightly from their peak in2019, but higher than any previous elections.

TheUUP gained a seat in the House of Commons for the first time since2015, with the election ofRobin Swann inSouth Antrim, Swann achieved the highest majority in South Antrim since 1997 (7,512). The UUP was runner-up in one other constituency,Fermanagh and South Tyrone, which the party had last won in2015, although Diana Armstrong was the sole unionist candidate the increase in the Sinn Féin vote ensured the seat remained a Sinn Féin hold. As with Alliance, the UUP's second best prospect in this election wasEast Antrim, fewer than 2,000 votes separated the top three candidates.

TheTUV gained a seat in the House of Commons for the first time, withJim Allister gainingNorth Antrim from the DUP by 450 votes. Beyond North Antrim the TUV's strongest constituencies wereEast Londonderry,East AntrimandStrangford. The other MP elected in Northern Ireland was independent unionistAlex Easton inNorth Down who gained the seat from Alliance, Easton left the DUP in 2021 and he is the fourth North Down MP to have been elected either as an independent or with a smaller unionist party after leaving the DUP or UUP.

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^"Party leader in the North" and vice president of Sinn Féin.Mary Lou McDonald is the party president and leader of the opposition in the Dáil of the Republic of Ireland.
  2. ^As "Party leader in the North"
  3. ^She previously representedthe area at Westminster from 2010-2015.
  4. ^The question asked was "If there were a general election tomorrow, which political party do you think you would be most likely to support?".[32]
  5. ^Suspended in March 2024.

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Rishi Sunak announces 4 July general election".BBC News. 22 May 2024. Retrieved25 May 2024.
  2. ^abHughes, Brendan (28 June 2023)."Belfast constituency to be renamed under election boundary changes".Belfast Live. Retrieved5 November 2023.
  3. ^"Boundaries of five Northern Ireland constituencies to change".BBC News. 28 June 2023. Retrieved5 November 2023.
  4. ^"List of Business - 15th November 2023"(PDF). Privy Council Office. 23 November 2023.
  5. ^"The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023",legislation.gov.uk,The National Archives, 15 November 2023, SI 2023/1230
  6. ^Michael Palmer (24 November 2023)."Unionist Pacts: Deal or No Deal?".Slugger O'Toole. Retrieved24 November 2023.
  7. ^David McCann (24 November 2023)."Slugger TV talks with Doug Beatte".Slugger O'Toole. Retrieved24 November 2023.
  8. ^"TUV says unionists must have anti-protocol candidates to vote for in next Westminster election".The Irish News. 12 January 2024. Retrieved24 January 2024.
  9. ^"North Down Orangemen call for rival unionist parties to drop their own candidates and agree on a single contender in a bid to oust Stephen Farry as MP".Newsletter. 6 October 2023. Retrieved11 April 2024.
  10. ^"Alliance select Stephen Farry to stand for re-election in North Down".Northern Ireland Elects. 26 November 2023. Retrieved27 November 2023.
  11. ^"UUP: Iraq veteran Col Tim Collins to run in North Down".BBC News. 24 January 2024. Retrieved24 January 2024.
  12. ^"Easton to Stand".County Down Spectator. 25 April 2024. Retrieved26 April 2024.
  13. ^"Alliance: We can take Jeffrey Donaldson's Lagan Valley seat".Belfast Telegraph. 21 October 2023.ISSN 0307-1235. Retrieved26 May 2024.
  14. ^"Sinn Fein 'on course to hit new general election high': new poll".Belfast Telegraph. 13 November 2023.ISSN 0307-1235. Retrieved24 November 2023.
  15. ^"Iraq War veteran standing for UUP as he sets sights on Stephen Farry's Westminster seat".Belfast Telegraph. 24 January 2024.ISSN 0307-1235. Retrieved24 January 2024.
  16. ^"Robin Swann lined up for South Antrim election bid". 26 January 2024. Retrieved26 January 2024.
  17. ^"NI relations with Westminster have never been worse, claims UUP deputy as he confirms election bid".Belfast Telegraph. 27 January 2024.ISSN 0307-1235. Retrieved27 January 2024.
  18. ^"TUV conference: Jim Allister announces partnership with Reform UK".BBC News. 16 March 2024. Retrieved16 March 2024.
  19. ^"TUV and Reform UK to support Alex Easton in North Down".Belfast Telegraph. 24 May 2024.
  20. ^NVTV, Northern Visions (25 April 2024).Slugger TV - 26th April 2024. Retrieved26 April 2024 – via Vimeo.
  21. ^"Ulster Unionists select Jay Basra as Westminster candidate for Mid Ulster".Northern Ireland Elects. 7 May 2024. Retrieved13 May 2024.
  22. ^"UUP leader Doug Beattie condemns social media 'abuse' aimed at Mid Ulster election candidate".BelfastTelegraph.co.uk. 13 May 2024.ISSN 0307-1235. Retrieved14 May 2024.
  23. ^Pepper, Diarmuid (1 July 2024)."Alliance confident of taking Westminster seat Jeffrey Donaldson has held for almost three decades".TheJournal.ie. Retrieved3 July 2024.
  24. ^McCambridge, Jonathan (2 July 2024)."Former DUP leader Jeffrey Donaldson facing more sex offence charges".Irish Examiner. Retrieved3 July 2024.
  25. ^"Open candidate information for UK elections".Democracy Club Candidates. Democracy Club.
  26. ^"Northern Ireland election results 2024 | Constituency map".BBC News.Archived from the original on 8 July 2024. Retrieved5 July 2024.
  27. ^"LucidTalk pre NI Westminster Election Poll 3 (of 3)". Retrieved16 October 2024.
  28. ^"Archived copy".Archived from the original on 17 June 2024. Retrieved17 June 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  29. ^"Latest poll suggests DUP support down by a third since 2019".Belfast Telegraph. 25 May 2024. Retrieved25 May 2024.
  30. ^Manley, John (11 March 2024)."Sinn Féin on course for record performance in Westminster election".The Irish News.Archived from the original on 13 March 2024. Retrieved14 March 2023.
  31. ^Manley, John (13 November 2023)."Sinn Féin on course to break Westminster record".The Irish News. Archived fromthe original on 13 November 2023. Retrieved13 November 2023.
  32. ^"Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey 2023 Questionnaire CAWI (online)"(PDF).ARK - Access Research Knowledge. p. 58.Archived(PDF) from the original on 8 June 2024. Retrieved16 May 2024.
  33. ^"General Election Prediction".Electoral Calculus.Archived from the original on 7 June 2024. Retrieved4 July 2024.
  34. ^"General Election Forecast".Bunker Consulting Group.Archived from the original on 7 July 2024. Retrieved27 June 2024.
  35. ^"General Election Forecast". Retrieved15 July 2024.
  36. ^"Sinn Féin MP Francie Molloy not seeking re-election".BBC News. 13 February 2024. Retrieved16 February 2024.
  37. ^"Sinn Féin MP Mickey Brady not seeking re-election".BBC News. 19 February 2024. Retrieved20 February 2024.
  38. ^"Donaldson solicitor confirms MP will not contest election".BBC News. 22 May 2024. Retrieved22 May 2024.
  39. ^"Representing the people of Midlands-North-West my sole focus – Gildernew".Sinn Féin. 23 May 2024.
  40. ^"Results of the 2019 General Election in Northern Ireland".bbc.co.uk.Archived from the original on 13 December 2019. Retrieved13 December 2019.
  41. ^Among others, includes 20,913 for Independent UnionistAlex Easton in North Down, and 1,519 for Anne McCloskey in Foyle
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