2024 California's 16th congressional district election County resultsLiccardo: 50–60% 60–70%
The2024 California's 16th congressional district election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect theUnited States representative forCalifornia's 16th congressional district . The election was held concurrently withelections for the other U.S. House districts in California and therest of the country , as well as the2024 U.S. Senate race in California , otherelections to theUnited States Senate , and variousstate andlocal elections . The primary election was held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with theSuper Tuesday presidential primaries.
The 16th district is an urban/suburban district based inSilicon Valley , including portions ofSanta Clara andSan Mateo counties, extending from the southwesternSan Francisco Bay Area through theSanta Cruz Mountains to the Pacific coast. Its largest cities areSan Jose ,Mountain View , andPalo Alto .[ 1] Joe Biden won the district with 75.4% of the vote in the2020 presidential election , making it asafe Democratic district .[ 2]
The incumbent prior to the election was DemocratAnna Eshoo , who was re-elected with 57.8% of the vote in 2022 running against another Democrat.[ 3] She did not seek re-election in 2024.[ 4] A wide field of 11 candidates filed for the race to succeed her, with 9 Democrats and 2 Republicans joining the race. The primary election was very close, with initial returns showing a heated battle for the two spots in the general election. A week after the primary, media outlets reported that formerSan Jose mayor Sam Liccardo had taken first place. However, it was unclear which candidate he would face in the general election, asstate assemblyman Evan Low andSanta Clara County supervisor Joe Simitian repeatedly traded the second-place position during the vote tabulation process.[ 5]
By April 3, Low and Simitian had tied with 30,249 votes each in the final account, and both were expected to advance to the general election under a stipulation by California elections code regarding a second-place tie in primary elections.[ 5] However, a recount was requested by two voters shortly thereafter. The recount request was controversial, with Low's campaign accusing Liccardo of being behind it, an accusation which was vehemently denied by Liccardo's campaign.[ 6] At the conclusion of the recount on May 1, Low ultimately edged out Simitian by a margin of 5 votes, with Low gaining 12 votes and Simitian 7.[ 7] As required by federal law, the source of the recount funds was later revealed to be a pro-Liccardo super PAC funded almost entirely by billionaireMichael Bloomberg .[ 8] [ 9]
On November 6, the Associated Press called the race for Liccardo.[ 10] Low conceded the same day.[ 11]
The primary results marked the second time since California transitioned to anonpartisan blanket primary system in 2012 in which there was a second-place tie in a primary election and a potential three-candidate general election, the first being the2016 election forCalifornia's 62nd State Assembly district .[ a] [ 5]
2024 California's 16th congressional district primary election (post-recount results) Turnout 182,135 votes
Advanced to general [ edit ] Initially advanced to general but eliminated after recount [ edit ] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Joby Bernstein (D) $140,836[ c] $59,832 $81,003 Peter Dixon (D) $2,792,923[ d] $1,894,060 $898,862 Rishi Kumar (D) $289,503[ e] $186,637 $101,756 Sam Liccardo (D) $2,206,228 $988,382 $1,217,845 Evan Low (D) $1,369,551[ f] $1,024,180 $345,371 Julie Lythcott-Haims (D) $595,779 $443,035 $152,744 Ahmed Mostafa (D) $201,773 $127,469 $74,303 Joe Simitian (D) $951,156 $932,783 $588,744 Greg Tanaka (D) $15,080[ g] $13,182 $1,898 Peter Ohtaki (R) $54,169[ h] $32,982 $21,187 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 21]
Peter Dixon (D)
U.S. representatives Organizations Sam Liccardo (D)
U.S. representatives Local officials Organizations Newspapers Julie Lythcott-Haims (D)
U.S. senators U.S. representatives Organizations Evan Low (D)
U.S. senators Statewide officials U.S. representatives Becca Balint ,VT-AL (2023–present)[ 39] Judy Chu ,CA-28 (2009–present)[ 40] Jimmy Gomez ,CA-34 (2017–present)[ 39] Pramila Jayapal ,WA-07 (2017–present)[ 41] Ro Khanna ,CA-17 (2017–present)[ 13] Mark Pocan ,WI-02 (2013–present)[ 41] Jamie Raskin ,MD-08 (2017–present)[ 41] Mark Takano ,CA-39 (2013–present)[ 40] Jill Tokuda ,HI-02 (2023–present)[ 39] Ritchie Torres ,NY-15 (2021–present)[ 42] State legislators County officials Judges Organizations Labor unions Newspapers Peter Ohtaki (R)
Local officials Organizations Joe Simitian (D)
U.S. representatives Organizations Labor unions Newspapers Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ i] Marginof error Rishi Kumar (D) Sam Liccardo (D) Evan Low (D) Julie Lythcott- Haims (D)Peter Ohtaki (R) Karl Ryan (R) Joe Simitian (D) Other Undecided Problosky Research [ 65] [ A] January 21–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5% 7.5% 16% 7.3% 4% 2.5% 6.5% 13.3% 9.4%[ j] 33.8% RMG Research [ 66] [ B] January 3–4, 2024 426 (LV) ± 4.7 6% 13% 11% 5% 2% — 12% 2%[ k] 46% Public Policy Polling (D)[ 67] [ C] November 2023 400 (LV) ? 7% 16% 5% — 6% 9% 12% 11%[ l] 33%
Initial certified results [ edit ] 2024 California's 16th congressional district primary (results certified on April 4, 2024)[ 68] Party Candidate Votes % Democratic Sam Liccardo 38,489 21.1 Democratic Evan Low 30,249 16.6 Democratic Joe Simitian 30,249 16.6 Republican Peter Ohtaki 23,275 12.8 Democratic Peter Dixon 14,673 8.1 Democratic Rishi Kumar 12,377 6.8 Republican Karl Ryan 11,557 6.3 Democratic Julie Lythcott-Haims 11,383 6.2 Democratic Ahmed Mostafa 5,811 3.2 Democratic Greg Tanaka 2,421 1.3 Democratic Joby Bernstein 1,651 0.9 Total votes 182,135 100.0
Recount and involvement of Liccardo super PACs [ edit ] Santa Clara and San Mateo counties certified the primary results on April 4.[ 69] TheLos Angeles Times pointed out that Low and Simitian had no incentive to request a recount, which could potentially lock them out of the general election.[ 5] Both campaigns released statements indicating that they intend to compete in the general election.[ 70] However, local media reported that a poll had been sent to voters testing a three-way race as well as two-way races between Liccardo and each of his opponents, leading to speculation that Liccardo's campaign would ask for a recount.[ 71] On April 9, officials in Santa Clara and San Mateo counties confirmed that two residents of the district had requested a recount: Jonathan Padilla, who was finance director on Liccardo's2014 mayoral campaign and donated $1,000 to his 2024 congressional campaign, and Pacifica resident Dan Stegink.[ 6] Stegink later withdrew his request.[ 72]
Low's campaign alleged that Liccardo was behind the requests, which they called "a page right out of Trump's political playbook using dirty tricks to attack democracy and subvert the will of the voters." Liccardo's campaign denied responsibility, though they maintained the recount was necessary, saying "every vote should be counted."[ 73] Padilla, a "longtime Silicon Valley political insider," did not answer questions from local media about the source of the funds for the costly recount. Eshoo, who endorsed Simitian, called for transparency in the recount process.[ 74] In his recount request, Padilla wrote that he was "not coordinating or communicating with any candidate or candidates' agents" and made "this request on behalf of Evan Low."[ 75] However, Low's campaign reaffirmed that he did not support the recount and called Padilla's statement "disingenuous."[ 76]
Padilla submitted a $12,000 deposit for the recount on April 12. He opted for amachine recount , in which ballots are re-screened by a machine, rather than a much more expensivemanual recount , in which volunteers would count each ballot by hand. Election officials estimated the cost of the machine recount at around $80,000, whereas a manual recount could have cost upwards of $400,000.[ 77] The recount began on April 15.[ 72]
According to reporting byKNTV , the recount is being funded by $12,000 checks from the newly-formed super PAC "Count the Vote" signed by James Sutton, an attorney who had previously represented Liccardo.[ 78] On April 19, Santa Clara County Government Attorneys Association president Max Zarzana filed a complaint with theFederal Election Commission , alleging that the Liccardo campaign concocted a "secret scheme to illegally coordinate with a newly-formed dark money Super PAC to do his CD-16 recount bidding" and noted Liccardo's past connections with those involved in requesting the recount. Zarzana also highlighted Liccardo's history of "backroom deals" including violations of theCalifornia Public Records Act for which he was previously fined $500,000.[ 79]
The results of the recount were finalized on May 1, with Low advancing to the general election and Simitian eliminated by a 5-vote margin, 30,261 to 30,256.[ 7] On May 2, the Liccardo campaign shared internal poll results showing him with a 10-point lead over Low in a two-way race, compared with just a 5-point lead in a three-way race. The poll was completed on April 8, the day before the recount was requested.[ 80]
On May 20, Neighbors for Results, the super PAC supporting Liccardo almost entirely funded by billionaireMichael Bloomberg , disclosed that it paid $102,000 to the group which funded the recount, Count the Vote PAC.[ 8] [ 9] The attorney who represented Padilla in his recount request, Matthew Alvarez, is also listed as the treasurer of both super PACs in question. In 2018,Bloomberg Philanthropies previously selected San Jose, which Liccardo was then mayor of, for funding and resources from the American Cities Climate Challenge, and two years later Liccardo then endorsed and served as a state co-chair on Bloomberg's presidential campaign.[ 81] [ 76] After this information was publicized, a second Bay Area attorney, Brian O'Grady, filed a FEC complaint claiming that the PACs violated federal campaign finance laws in order to hide their connection with Liccardo's campaign.[ 82]
Post-recount results [ edit ] 2024 California's 16th congressional district primary[ 83] [ 84] Party Candidate Votes % ±% Democratic Sam Liccardo 38,492 21.1 −0.005 Democratic Evan Low 30,261 16.6 +0.002 Democratic Joe Simitian 30,256 16.6 −0.001 Republican Peter Ohtaki 23,283 12.8 +0.001 Democratic Peter Dixon 14,677 8.1 −0.000 Democratic Rishi Kumar 12,383 6.8 +0.001 Republican Karl Ryan 11,563 6.3 +0.001 Democratic Julie Lythcott-Haims 11,386 6.2 −0.000 Democratic Ahmed Mostafa 5,814 3.2 +0.001 Democratic Greg Tanaka 2,421 1.3 −0.000 Democratic Joby Bernstein 1,652 0.9 +0.000 Total votes 182,188 100.0
Federal Election Commission complaint against Low campaign [ edit ] In October 2024, good-government group Defend the Vote[ 85] filed an FEC complaint against Low,[ 86] alleging that he had spent nearly $600,000[ 87] from his state campaign account on ads that were distributed across the congressional district. Defend the Vote argued that the move violated federal campaign finance laws,[ 88] as state campaigns can accept higher individual contributions than federal campaigns, and can receive political action committee and corporation donations directly.
In wake of the expenditures, an attorney for Liccardo sent cease and desist letters[ 87] to five TV stations that broadcast the ads. TheMercury News Editorial Board reaffirmed their endorsement of Liccardo,[ 89] criticizing Low for "putting political self-interest ahead of campaign integrity."
Post-primary endorsements [ edit ] Evan Low (D)
Statewide officials Organizations Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ i] Margin of error Sam Liccardo (D) Evan Low (D) Joe Simitian (D) Undecided Lake Research Partners (D)[ 104] [ G] April 5–8, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 26% 21% 20% 24%
County[ 105] Sam Liccardo Democratic Evan Low Democratic Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % San Mateo (part)36,540 62.27% 22,142 37.73% 14,398 24.54% 58,682 Santa Clara (part)143,043 57.26% 106,751 42.74% 36,292 14.53% 249,794 Totals 179,583 58.22% 128,893 41.78% 50,690 16.43% 308,476
^ In the2016 California's 62nd State Assembly district election , incumbent AssemblymemberAutumn Burke faced off against two write-in candidates who tied with 32 primary votes each.[ 5] ^ This district was numbered as the 18th district prior to the2020 redistricting cycle . ^ $3,000 of this total was self-funded by Bernstein ^ $1,400,000 of this total was self-funded by Dixon ^ $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Kumar ^ $13,661 of this total was self-funded by Low ^ $13,182 of this total was self-funded by Tanaka ^ $40,000 of this total was self-funded by Ohtaki ^a b c Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear ^ Peter Dixon (D) with 4.3%; Ahmed Mostafa (D) and Greg Tanaka (D) each with 2.3%; Joby Bernstein with 0.5% ^ Joby Bernstein (D), Peter Dixon (D), Ahmed Mostafa (D), and Greg Tanaka (D) with 0%; "Other" with 2% ^ Sally Lieber (D) with 7%; Josh Becker (D) with 4%; Joby Bernstein (D) with 1% ^ "Won't vote" with 7% Partisan clients
^ Poll commissioned by San Jose Spotlight ^ Poll commissioned by U.S. Term Limits. Evan Low has signed the group's term-limits pledge. ^ Poll commissioned by supporters of Sam Liccardo ^a b Poll sponsored by Neighbors for Results PAC, which supports Sam Liccardo ^ Poll sponsored by Equality California, which supports Low's campaign ^ Poll sponsored by Low's campaign ^a b c Poll sponsored by Liccardo's campaign ^ "Daily Kos Elections congressional district geographic descriptions & largest places (119th Congress)" .Daily Kos . RetrievedMarch 4, 2024 .^ Nir, David (November 14, 2022)."Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020" .Daily Kos . RetrievedApril 4, 2024 . ^ "2022 National House Vote Tracker" .Cook Political Report .Archived from the original on November 24, 2023. 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RetrievedNovember 30, 2023 .Politico does report, however, that Assemblyman Marc Berman won't run for Congress, though we hadn't previously heard his name mentioned. ^a b Hase, Grace (January 10, 2024)."Congresswoman Anna Eshoo endorses Joe Simitian in competitive race to succeed her" .The Mercury News .Archived from the original on January 10, 2024. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2024 . ^ "2024 Election United States House - California 16th" .Federal Election Commission .Archived from the original on November 21, 2023. RetrievedNovember 25, 2023 .^a b c d e f Sheyner, Gennady (December 22, 2023)."Who will succeed Eshoo? Here are the candidates" .Palo Alto Weekly .Archived from the original on January 8, 2024. RetrievedJanuary 8, 2024 . ^ "Candidates" .Serve America PAC .Archived from the original on January 21, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2024 .^ "VoteVets PAC Endorses Peter Dixon for Congress" .VoteVets . February 22, 2024.Archived from the original on February 23, 2024. 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