The2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of theRepublican Party primaries for the2024 presidential election . 43 delegates to the2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.[ 1] The contest was held alongside primaries inFlorida ,Illinois ,Kansas , andOhio .
In the2016 Republican presidential contest ,Donald Trump won theArizona primary with 46.0% of the vote, with his nearest opponent, SenatorTed Cruz , taking 27.6% of the vote. In the2020 primaries , theArizona Republican Party canceled their contest.[ 2]
The filing deadline was December 11, 2023.[ 3] The following candidates filed:[ 4]
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
Former federal executive official
Former U.S. representative
State senators
State representatives
County official
Notable individuals
Donald Trump
U.S. representatives
State senators
State representatives
Former county official
Notable individuals
States polled Dates administered Dates updated Nikki Haley Donald Trump Other/ Undecided[ a] Margin FiveThirtyEight [ 24] through February 4, 2024 March 5, 2024 19.9% 77.3% 2.8% Trump +57.4
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Marginof error Chris Christie Ron DeSantis Nikki Haley Asa Hutchinson Mike Pence Vivek Ramaswamy Tim Scott Donald Trump Other Undecided Noble Predictive Insights [ 25] October 25–31, 2023 348 (RV) ± 5.25% 2% 16% 8% 0% 3% 9% 1% 53% 7%[ c] – – 32% – – – – – 68% – – Emerson College [ 26] August 2–4, 2023 663 (LV) ± 3.7% 6% 11% 3% 0% 3% 4% 3% 58% 11%[ d] 1% Noble Predictive Insights [ 27] July 13–17, 2023 346 (RV) ± 5.3% 2% 19% 4% 0% 5% 9% 2% 50% 7%[ e] – – 38% – – – – – 62% – – J.L. Partners [ 28] Apr 10–12, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% – 24% 3% 0% 4% 2% 1% 47% 8%[ f] 11% – 35% – – – – – 52% – 13% Noble Predictive Insights [ 27] Apr 4–11, 2023 371 (RV) ± 5.1% – 21% 4% – 7% – 0% 49% 20%[ g] – – 41% – – – – – 59% – – Rasmussen Reports [ 29] Mar 13–14, 2023 – – – 24% – – – – – 52% – 24% OH Predictive Insights [ 30] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023 350 (RV) ± 5.2% 1% 26% 5% – 8% – – 42% 11%[ h] 7% Blueprint Polling [ 31] Jan 5–8, 2023 303 (V) – – 34% – – – – – 43% – 23% Echelon Insights [ 32] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 337 (LV) ± 4.5% – 36% – – – – – 53% – 11% OH Predictive Insights [ 33] Nov 1–8, 2021 252 (RV) ± 6.2% 1% 16% 6% – 9% – – 48% 9%[ i] 9% 0% 29% 8% – 21% – – – 25%[ j] 16%
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^ Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear ^ "Someone else not listed" & "None of these candidates" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & Francis Suarez with 0% ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez and Perry Johnson with 0%; "Someone else" with 9% ^ Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Francis Suarez, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, and "Someone Else not Listed" with 0%; "None of these Candidates" with 7% ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 2% ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu, and Larry Hogan with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%; "None of these Candidates" with 9% ^ Liz Cheney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0% ^ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1% ^ Ted Cruz with 10%; Donald Trump Jr. with 8%; Mitt Romney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1% ^ "Arizona Republican Presidential Nominating Process" .thegreenpapers.com . January 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 6, 2023 .^ Stone, Kevin (September 9, 2019)."Arizona GOP won't hold 2020 presidential preference election" . KTAR. RetrievedSeptember 11, 2019 . ^ "Important dates in the 2024 presidential race" .Ballotpedia . RetrievedDecember 12, 2023 .^ "2024 Presidential Preference Election Filed Candidates" (PDF) .Arizona Secretary of State . RetrievedDecember 11, 2023 .^ Isenstadt, Alex (February 21, 2023)."Republican 2024 rivals go shopping for big donors" .Politico . RetrievedMarch 3, 2023 . ^ Bade, Rachael; Irvine, Bethany (March 6, 2023)."From loner to phenom: DeSantis' old colleagues are surprised at his rise" .Politico . RetrievedMarch 6, 2023 . ^a b c d e f g h i j k l m McCormick, John."How Nikki Haley Went From Tea-Party Favorite to Governor to Trump 2024 Challenger" .WSJ . RetrievedFebruary 15, 2023 . ^ Palmer, Ewan (July 20, 2023)."Arizona Republican Jim Lamon Turns on Trump, Bankrolls Campaign to Stop Him" .Newsweek . RetrievedJuly 20, 2022 . ^ Oshin, Olafimihan (November 9, 2022)."Meghan McCain: Midterm results should be 'final nail' in Trump's political coffin" .The Hill . RetrievedJanuary 27, 2024 . ^a b "Meghan McCain Drops F-Bomb, "I Really Need Republicans to Explain" " .2paragraphs.com . RetrievedJanuary 27, 2024 .^ Astor, Maggie (November 16, 2022)."Republican reaction to Trump: A few endorsements, and a lot of crickets" .The New York Times .The Seattle Times . RetrievedMarch 16, 2023 . ^a b Ballasy, Nicholas (December 1, 2022)."Trump picks up early 2024 endorsements from GOP lawmakers, other political figures" .Just The News . RetrievedMarch 16, 2023 . ^ "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?" .FiveThirtyEight . April 24, 2023. Archived fromthe original on April 19, 2023. RetrievedApril 25, 2023 .^ Murdock, Corinne (August 16, 2023)."Arizona Politicians React To Trump's Indictment" .AZ Free News . RetrievedSeptember 23, 2023 . ^ Pesce, Nicole Lyn (November 15, 2022)."Cheers and jeers from Republicans as Trump announces 2024 presidential bid" .MarketWatch . RetrievedMarch 16, 2023 . ^a b c Poling, Hannah (July 21, 2023)."Arizona Legislative District 17's Freedom Team Endorses Donald Trump for President" .Arizona Sun Times . RetrievedJuly 21, 2023 . ^ "Arizona election 2022: Finchem won't acknowledge loss in secretary of state race" .azcentral . November 16, 2022. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023 .^ "Smith: 'It's about what they've done to half the country by extension' " .Coconino News . August 2, 2023. RetrievedOctober 14, 2023 .^ "I hope Trump runs, he's my hero | Sheriff Joe Arpaio | American Agenda" .Headtopics . November 11, 2022. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023 .^ Jones, Dustin (November 15, 2022)."What lawmakers are saying about Trump's run for the presidency" .NPR . RetrievedMarch 16, 2023 . ^ Baizal-Emil, Eric (October 26, 2023)."Blake Masters announces House bid in Arizona, forgoing another run for Senate" .Politico . RetrievedOctober 26, 2023 . ^ Mutnick, Ally; Ferris, Sarah (March 2, 2023)."Trump's loosening grip on GOP defines early 2024 campaign" .Politico . RetrievedMay 31, 2023 . ^ "Arizona Presidential Primary" . The AP. April 8, 2024. RetrievedApril 18, 2024 .^ FiveThirtyEight ^ Noble Predictive Insights ^ Emerson College ^a b Noble Predictive Insights ^ J.L. Partners ^ Rasmussen Reports ^ OH Predictive Insights ^ "Blueprint Polling" (PDF) . Archived fromthe original (PDF) on March 14, 2023. RetrievedMarch 3, 2023 .^ Echelon Insights ^ "OH Predictive Insights" . Archived from the original on December 20, 2022. RetrievedMarch 3, 2023 .
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