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2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary

← 2016March 19, 20242028 →
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43Republican National Convention delegates
 
CandidateDonald TrumpNikki Haley
(withdrawn)
Home stateFloridaSouth Carolina
Delegate count430
Popular vote492,299110,966
Percentage78.84%17.77%

County results

Trump

  70–80%
  80–90%
  >90%

Elections in Arizona

The2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of theRepublican Party primaries for the2024 presidential election. 43 delegates to the2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.[1] The contest was held alongside primaries inFlorida,Illinois,Kansas, andOhio.

Background

[edit]

In the2016 Republican presidential contest,Donald Trump won theArizona primary with 46.0% of the vote, with his nearest opponent, SenatorTed Cruz, taking 27.6% of the vote. In the2020 primaries, theArizona Republican Party canceled their contest.[2]

Candidates

[edit]

The filing deadline was December 11, 2023.[3] The following candidates filed:[4]

Endorsements

[edit]
Main article:Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)

Former federal executive official

Former U.S. representative

State senators

State representatives

County official

Notable individuals

Nikki Haley (withdrawn)

Notable individuals

Donald Trump

U.S. representatives

State senators

State representatives

Former county official

Notable individuals

Declined to endorse

U.S. representative

Results

[edit]
Arizona Republican primary, March 19, 2024[23]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump492,29978.84%4343
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)110,96617.77%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)10,1311.62%
Chris Christie (withdrawn)5,0780.81%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)2,4790.40%
David Stuckenberg1,3670.22%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)8910.14%
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)7140.11%
John Anthony Castro5050.08%
Total:624,430100.00%4343

Polling

[edit]
States
polled
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Nikki
Haley
Donald
Trump
Other/
Undecided[a]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[24]through February 4, 2024March 5, 202419.9%77.3%2.8%Trump +57.4
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights[25]October 25–31, 2023348 (RV)± 5.25%2%16%8%0%3%9%1%53%7%[c]
32%68%
Emerson College[26]August 2–4, 2023663 (LV)± 3.7%6%11%3%0%3%4%3%58%11%[d]1%
Noble Predictive Insights[27]July 13–17, 2023346 (RV)± 5.3%2%19%4%0%5%9%2%50%7%[e]
38%62%
J.L. Partners[28]Apr 10–12, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%24%3%0%4%2%1%47%8%[f]11%
35%52%13%
Noble Predictive Insights[27]Apr 4–11, 2023371 (RV)± 5.1%21%4%7%0%49%20%[g]
41%59%
Rasmussen Reports[29]Mar 13–14, 202324%52%24%
OH Predictive Insights[30]Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023350 (RV)± 5.2%1%26%5%8%42%11%[h]7%
Blueprint Polling[31]Jan 5–8, 2023303 (V)34%43%23%
Echelon Insights[32]Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022337 (LV)± 4.5%36%53%11%
OH Predictive Insights[33]Nov 1–8, 2021252 (RV)± 6.2%1%16%6%9%48%9%[i]9%
0%29%8%21%25%[j]16%

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^"Someone else not listed" & "None of these candidates" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & Francis Suarez with 0%
  4. ^Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez and Perry Johnson with 0%; "Someone else" with 9%
  5. ^Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Francis Suarez, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, and "Someone Else not Listed" with 0%; "None of these Candidates" with 7%
  6. ^Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  7. ^Liz Cheney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu, and Larry Hogan with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%; "None of these Candidates" with 9%
  8. ^Liz Cheney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  9. ^Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%
  10. ^Ted Cruz with 10%; Donald Trump Jr. with 8%; Mitt Romney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Arizona Republican Presidential Nominating Process".thegreenpapers.com. January 19, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 6, 2023.
  2. ^Stone, Kevin (September 9, 2019)."Arizona GOP won't hold 2020 presidential preference election". KTAR. RetrievedSeptember 11, 2019.
  3. ^"Important dates in the 2024 presidential race".Ballotpedia. RetrievedDecember 12, 2023.
  4. ^"2024 Presidential Preference Election Filed Candidates"(PDF).Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 11, 2023.
  5. ^Isenstadt, Alex (February 21, 2023)."Republican 2024 rivals go shopping for big donors".Politico. RetrievedMarch 3, 2023.
  6. ^Bade, Rachael; Irvine, Bethany (March 6, 2023)."From loner to phenom: DeSantis' old colleagues are surprised at his rise".Politico. RetrievedMarch 6, 2023.
  7. ^abcdefghijklmMcCormick, John."How Nikki Haley Went From Tea-Party Favorite to Governor to Trump 2024 Challenger".WSJ. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2023.
  8. ^Palmer, Ewan (July 20, 2023)."Arizona Republican Jim Lamon Turns on Trump, Bankrolls Campaign to Stop Him".Newsweek. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022.
  9. ^Oshin, Olafimihan (November 9, 2022)."Meghan McCain: Midterm results should be 'final nail' in Trump's political coffin".The Hill. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2024.
  10. ^ab"Meghan McCain Drops F-Bomb, "I Really Need Republicans to Explain"".2paragraphs.com. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2024.
  11. ^Astor, Maggie (November 16, 2022)."Republican reaction to Trump: A few endorsements, and a lot of crickets".The New York Times.The Seattle Times. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023.
  12. ^abBallasy, Nicholas (December 1, 2022)."Trump picks up early 2024 endorsements from GOP lawmakers, other political figures".Just The News. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023.
  13. ^"Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?".FiveThirtyEight. April 24, 2023. Archived fromthe original on April 19, 2023. RetrievedApril 25, 2023.
  14. ^Murdock, Corinne (August 16, 2023)."Arizona Politicians React To Trump's Indictment".AZ Free News. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2023.
  15. ^Pesce, Nicole Lyn (November 15, 2022)."Cheers and jeers from Republicans as Trump announces 2024 presidential bid".MarketWatch. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023.
  16. ^abcPoling, Hannah (July 21, 2023)."Arizona Legislative District 17's Freedom Team Endorses Donald Trump for President".Arizona Sun Times. RetrievedJuly 21, 2023.
  17. ^"Arizona election 2022: Finchem won't acknowledge loss in secretary of state race".azcentral. November 16, 2022. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023.
  18. ^"Smith: 'It's about what they've done to half the country by extension'".Coconino News. August 2, 2023. RetrievedOctober 14, 2023.
  19. ^"I hope Trump runs, he's my hero | Sheriff Joe Arpaio | American Agenda".Headtopics. November 11, 2022. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023.
  20. ^Jones, Dustin (November 15, 2022)."What lawmakers are saying about Trump's run for the presidency".NPR. RetrievedMarch 16, 2023.
  21. ^Baizal-Emil, Eric (October 26, 2023)."Blake Masters announces House bid in Arizona, forgoing another run for Senate".Politico. RetrievedOctober 26, 2023.
  22. ^Mutnick, Ally; Ferris, Sarah (March 2, 2023)."Trump's loosening grip on GOP defines early 2024 campaign".Politico. RetrievedMay 31, 2023.
  23. ^"Arizona Presidential Primary". The AP. April 8, 2024. RetrievedApril 18, 2024.
  24. ^FiveThirtyEight
  25. ^Noble Predictive Insights
  26. ^Emerson College
  27. ^abNoble Predictive Insights
  28. ^J.L. Partners
  29. ^Rasmussen Reports
  30. ^OH Predictive Insights
  31. ^"Blueprint Polling"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on March 14, 2023. RetrievedMarch 3, 2023.
  32. ^Echelon Insights
  33. ^"OH Predictive Insights". Archived from the original on December 20, 2022. RetrievedMarch 3, 2023.
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