The2022 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2022, concurrently withelections for all otherClass 3 U.S. senators andelections for theU.S. House of Representatives , to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state ofMissouri . Incumbent senatorRoy Blunt , a Republican, did not seek a third term in office. Republican Missouri Attorney GeneralEric Schmitt won the open seat, defeating Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine.
In March 2021, incumbentRepublican SenatorRoy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection in 2022.[ 1]
Republican candidates for Blunt's Senate seat included former Gov.Eric Greitens ,[ 2] U.S. Rep.Vicky Hartzler ,[ 3] U.S. Rep.Billy Long ,[ 4] and Missouri Attorney GeneralEric Schmitt .[ 5]
Schmitt's candidacy was backed by Missouri mega-donorRex Sinquefield .[ 6] In the speech announcing his candidacy, Schmitt tied himself to Donald Trump and spoke against "the radical left".[ 6] He pledged to vote againstMitch McConnell for the SenateRepublican party leadership position .[ 7]
In February 2022, Hartzler's campaign released a 30-second ad criticizing Lia Thomas, atransgender swimmer on theUniversity of Pennsylvania women's team. In the ad, Hartzler said, "Women's sports are for women, not men pretending to be women", adding that, as Missouri's senator, she would not "look away while woke liberals destroy women's sports."[ 8]
U.S. Sen.Josh Hawley endorsed Hartzler in February 2022.[ 9] On July 8, 2022,Donald Trump refused to endorse Hartzler, saying, "I don't think she has what it takes to take on the Radical Left Democrats."[ 10] [ 9]
Greitens was endorsed by former New York City mayorRudy Giuliani , formerU.S. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke , andFox News personalityKimberly Guilfoyle , the latter joining his campaign as a national chair.[ 11]
Many Republican officials, strategists, and donors maneuvered to stymie Greitens's attempted comeback, believing that the scandal surrounding his resignation as governor, his extramarital affair, and the sexual assault accusation against him would make him a weak general election candidate and lead to the loss of the Senate seat to a Democrat.[ 12] [ 13] Notable Republican opponents of Greitens's candidacy includedKarl Rove ,[ 12] Johnny DeStefano ,[ 13] and SenatorRick Scott , the chairman of theNational Republican Senatorial Committee .[ 14] After Greitens's ex-wife filed an affidavit against him in March 2022 accusing him of physical abuse, SenatorJosh Hawley (who had endorsedVicky Hartzler the previous month[ 15] ) called upon Greitens to drop out.[ 16]
Republican megadonorRichard Uihlein funded a pro-Greitenssuper PAC ("Team PAC"), contributing $2.5 million to it.[ 12] Other Republican megadonors, includingRex Sinquefield andAugust Busch , aligned against Greitens.[ 13] A Republican-funded anti-Greitenssuper PAC ("Show Me Values PAC") was created in June 2022[ 17] and ran $6.2 million in ads through late July 2022.[ 18]
Republican officials, including Rick Scott, waged a campaign to persuade Donald Trump not to endorse Greitens.[ 14] On the eve of the primary election, Trump issued a statement endorsing "ERIC" in the primary, leaving it unclear which "Eric" he was endorsing.[ 14] [ 19]
In the primary election, Schmitt prevailed with 45.7% of the vote; Hartzler received 22.1%, Greitens 18.9%, and Long 5%.[ 20]
U.S. Representative Vicky Hartzler was endorsed by Missouri SenatorJosh Hawley and finished second.Formergovernor Eric Greitens attempted to restart his political career, but finished third. U.S. Representative Billy Long failed to gain traction, and finished a distant fourth.Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Robert Allen[ 23] Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr., retired social worker[ 24] [ 25] Dennis Lee Chilton, 2018Missouri House of Representatives candidate [ 23] C. W. Gardner, doorman and former broadcaster[ 23] [ 25] Eric Greitens , formergovernor of Missouri (2017–2018)[ 26] Vicky Hartzler ,U.S. representative fromMissouri's 4th congressional district (2011–2023)[ 3] Rickey Joiner, barber and business owner[ 24] Patrick A. Lewis, union construction laborer[ 27] Billy Long ,U.S. representative fromMissouri's 7th congressional district (2011–2023)[ 4] Darrell Leon McClanahan III, political activist,KKK member[ 24] [ 28] Mark McCloskey , attorney and2020 Republican National Convention speaker known for his involvement in theSt. Louis gun-toting controversy [ 29] Eric McElroy, comedian andU.S. Navy veteran[ 23] [ 25] Bernie Mowinsk, retiredU.S. Air Force sergeant and perennial candidate[ 23] [ 25] Robert Olson[ 24] Deshon Porter, host ofThe Big D Zone [ 30] Dave Schatz ,president pro tempore of theMissouri Senate (2019–2023), state senator (2015–2023)[ 31] Kevin C. Schepers[ 24] Dave Sims,Monett public works employee and former radio host[ 32] [ 23] Hartford Tunnell, college professor[ 23] [ 25] Curtis D. Vaughn, valet parking attendant and liquor salesman[ 24] Missed filing deadline [ edit ] Jay Ashcroft ,Missouri secretary of state (2017–present)[ 39] Scott Fitzpatrick ,Missouri state treasurer (2019–2023)(ran for state auditor ) [ 40] [ 41] Timothy A. Garrison , formerU.S. attorney for theWestern District of Missouri (2018–2021)[ 42] Mike Kehoe ,lieutenant governor of Missouri (2018–present)[ 43] (ran for governor ) [ 44] Peter Kinder , formerlieutenant governor of Missouri (2005–2017)[ 45] Blaine Luetkemeyer ,U.S. representative fromMissouri's 3rd congressional district (2013–present) andMissouri's 9th congressional district (2009–2013)(ran for re-election ) [ 46] Mike Parson ,governor of Missouri (2018–present)[ 47] Jason Smith ,U.S. representative fromMissouri's 8th congressional district (2013–present)(ran for re-election ) [ 48] [ 49] Kathy Swan, formerstate representative (2012–2021)[ 45] Ann Wagner ,U.S. representative fromMissouri's 2nd congressional district (2013–present)(ran for re-election ) [ 50] [ 51] The day before the primary, former presidentDonald Trump released a statement endorsing "ERIC". There were three candidates with the first name Eric running in the Republican primary: Eric Greitens, Eric McElroy, and Eric Schmitt. Trump's statement did not offer any clarification on whether this was an endorsement for one or multiple candidates, and when reached for comment byNBC News , Trump's office declined to clarify the endorsement.[ 52] [ 53]
Eric Greitens
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Vicky Hartzler
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Eric Schmitt
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Ted Cruz ,U.S. senator fromTexas (2013–present) and candidate for president in2016 [ 70] Mike Lee ,U.S. senator fromUtah (2011–present)[ 71] Robert C. O'Brien ,U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021) andSpecial Envoy for Hostage Affairs (2019–2019)[ 72] Sarah Huckabee Sanders ,White House Press Secretary (2017–2019) andgovernor of Arkansas (2023-present)[ 71] Donald Trump ,45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)(co-endorsement with Greitens) [ 56] Matthew Whitaker , actingU.S. attorney general (2018–2019),U.S. attorney for theSouthern District of Iowa (2004–2009), nominee forIowa state treasurer in 2002, and candidate for U.S. Senate in2014 [ 70] State officials
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Date Host Moderator Link(s) Participants Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn Eric Greitens Vicky Hartzler Billy Long Mark McCloskey Dave Schatz Eric Schmitt May 31, 2022 Greene County Republicans[ 81] Ginger Gooch Darrell MooreA A P P P A
Graphical summary
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Eric Greitens Vicky Hartzler Billy Long Mark McCloskey Dave Schatz Eric Schmitt Other[ a] Margin Real Clear Politics [ 82] July 21 – 24, 2022 July 26, 2022 19.0% 24.5% 7.0% 5.0% 2.5% 33.0% 9.0% Schmitt +8.5
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Eric Greitens Vicky Hartzler Billy Long Mark McCloskey Dave Schatz Eric Schmitt Other Undecided The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 83] July 31 – August 1, 2022 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% 21% 18% 5% 5% 3% 34% – 15% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 84] [ A] July 27–28, 2022 818 (LV) ± 3.4% 18% 22% 6% 5% 5% 34% 2% 8% co/efficient (R)[ 85] [ B] July 27, 2022 891 (LV) ± 3.3% 17% 16% – – – 28% – – SurveyUSA [ 86] July 24–27, 2022 787 (LV) ± 4.2% 20% 13% 8% 4% 3% 28% 4% 21% Emerson College [ 87] July 21–23, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 16% 21% 5% 4% 2% 33% 1%[ c] 17% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 88] [ A] July 23–24, 2022 802 (LV) ± 3.4% 18% 25% 8% 4% 3% 32% – 10% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 89] July 22–24, 2022 1,059 (LV) ± 2.9% 20% 24% 7% 5% 2% 27% – 16% The Tarrance Group (R)[ 90] [ C] July 5–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 16% 24% 6% 4% 4% 28% – 18% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 91] June 28–30, 2022 1,072 (LV) ± 2.9% 24% 24% 6% 3% 4% 23% – 17% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 92] [ A] June 22–23, 2022 911 (LV) ± 3.1% 20% 19% 8% 5% 2% 25% – 21% Emerson College [ 93] June 2–5, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 26% 16% 8% 4% 0% 20% 1%[ d] 27% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 94] May 16–18, 2022 1,065 (LV) ± 2.9% 26% 23% 9% 3% 3% 19% – 17% SurveyUSA [ 95] May 11–15, 2022 642 (LV) ± 5.0% 26% 11% 7% 2% 2% 17% 7%[ e] 28% Remington Research (R)[ 96] [ D] May 11–12, 2022 945 (LV) ± 3.0% 21% 23% – – – 29% 10% 17% co/efficient (R)[ 97] [ E] May 2–4, 2022 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 26% 19% 7% 5% 2% 14% – 27% NMB Research (R)[ 98] [ F] April 6–7, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 23% 20% 7% 3% 2% 25% 20% – OnMessage Inc. (R)[ 99] [ G] April 4–6, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 22% 23% 11% 5% 2% 16% – 21% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 100] March 24–29, 2022 1,079 (LV) ± 3.0% 24% 25% 8% 2% 3% 22% – 16% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 101] [ A] March 22–23, 2022 941 (LV) ± 3.1% 21% 19% 9% 5% 3% 24% – 19% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 102] February 22–24, 2022 1,026 (LV) ± 3.0% 31% 17% 6% 5% 2% 23% 3% 15% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 103] [ A] February 16–17, 2022 917 (LV) ± 3.1% 25% 18% 8% 5% 2% 22% – 20% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 104] [ A] January 26–27, 2022 902 (LV) ± 3.1% 28% 19% 7% 5% 1% 23% – 17% OnMessage Inc. (R)[ 99] [ G] January 2022 – (LV) – 30% 16% 9% 6% 1% 16% – 23% CMA Strategies (R)[ 105] [ H] January 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 27% 12% 6% 4% 1% 15% – 36% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 106] [ A] December 1–2, 2021 744 (LV) ± 3.4% 27% 16% 7% 4% 3% 24% – 19% NMB Research (R)[ 98] [ F] December 2021 – (LV) – 34% – – – – 17% 49% – Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 107] [ A] October 20–21, 2021 806 (LV) ± 3.2% 27% 19% 8% 4% – 25% – 17% Fabrizio Lee (R)[ 108] [ E] October 3–5, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 36% 10% 6% 4% – 17% 1%[ f] 25% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 109] [ A] September 8–9, 2021 847 (LV) ± 3.2% 27% 17% 8% 5% – 28% – 15% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 110] [ A] August 4–5, 2021 911 (LV) ± 3.0% 27% 13% 12% 9% – 24% – 15% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 111] [ A] June 9–10, 2021 1,011 (LV) ± 3.0% 34% 14% – 7% – 25% – 20% Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout [ 112] [ A] March 24–25, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% – 14% – – 30% – 20% 40% – – – – 39% – 21%
Results by county: Republican primary results[ 20] Party Candidate Votes % Republican Eric Schmitt 299,282 45.6 Republican Vicky Hartzler 144,903 22.1 Republican Eric Greitens 124,155 18.9 Republican Billy Long 32,603 5.0 Republican Mark McCloskey 19,540 3.0 Republican Dave Schatz 7,509 1.1 Republican Patrick A. Lewis 6,085 0.9 Republican Curtis D. Vaughn 3,451 0.5 Republican Eric McElroy 2,805 0.4 Republican Robert Allen 2,111 0.3 Republican C. W. Gardner 2,044 0.3 Republican Dave Sims 1,949 0.3 Republican Bernie Mowinski 1,602 0.2 Republican Deshon Porter 1,574 0.2 Republican Darrell Leon McClanahan III 1,139 0.2 Republican Rickey Joiner 1,084 0.2 Republican Robert Olson 1,081 0.2 Republican Dennis Lee Chilton 755 0.1 Republican Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr. 685 0.1 Republican Kevin C. Schepers 681 0.1 Republican Hartford Tunnell 637 0.1 Total votes 655,675 100.0
AELP national security directorLucas Kunce led in fundraising, but finished second.College professor Gena Ross, a previous nominee for U.S. House, finished fifth. As the Democratic primary season progressed, three main contenders emerged:Lucas Kunce , director of national security at theAmerican Economic Liberties Project ; Spencer Toder, a businessman; and Trudy Busch Valentine, heiress of theAnheuser-Busch brewing company.[ 115] Kunce and Toder both campaigned as anti-establishment populists, whereas Valentine campaigned in a staid manner with few public appearances.[ 115]
Trudy Busch Valentine, retired nurse, businesswoman, activist, and daughter of beer magnateAugust Busch Jr. [ 116] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Ron Harris, truck driver,U.S. Air Force veteran, and perennial candidate[ 24] [ 25] Jewel Kelly, real estate agent andU.S. Air Force veteran[ 117] Pat Kelly, environmental engineer and patent attorney[ 24] Lucas Kunce , national security director of theAmerican Economic Liberties Project and retiredU.S. Marine Corps officer[ 118] Lewis Rolen, medical operational assistant[ 23] [ 25] Gena Ross, college professor and nominee forMissouri's 6th congressional district in2020 [ 119] [ 120] Josh Shipp, physical therapy technician and candidate forMissouri's 1st congressional district in2018 [ 23] [ 25] Clay Taylor[ 24] Spencer Toder, entrepreneur[ 117] Carla Coffee Wright, businesswoman, actress, and perennial candidate[ 121] Lucas Kunce
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Rasheen Aldridge Jr. , state representative for Missouri's 78th district (2019–2023)[ 134] Michael Johnson , state representative for Missouri's 23rd district (2021–present)[ 134] Wes Shoemyer , state senator for Missouri's 18th district (2007–2011) and state representative for Missouri's 9th district (2001–2007)[ 135] Local officials
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Trudy Busch Valentine
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Marlon Anderson , state representative for Missouri's 76th district (2021–present)[ 134] Lauren Arthur , state senator for Missouri's 17th district (2018–present) and state representative for Missouri's 18th district (2015–2018)[ 134] Ashley Aune , state representative for Missouri's 14th district (2021–present)[ 134] Donna Baringer , state representative for Missouri's 82nd district (2017–present)[ 134] Doug Beck , state senator for Missouri's 1st district (2021–present) and state representative for Missouri's 92nd district (2017–2021)[ 134] Steve Butz , state representative for Missouri's 81st district (2019–present)[ 134] Keri Ingle , state representative for Missouri's 35th district (2019–present)[ 134] Ian Mackey , state representative for Missouri's 99th district (2023–present) and 87th district (2019–2023)[ 134] Tracy McCreery , state senator for Missouri's 24th district and state representative for Missouri's 88th district (2015–2023) and 83rd district (2012–2013)[ 134] Wes Rogers , state representative for Missouri's 18th district (2019–present)[ 134] Jill Schupp , state senator for Missouri's 24th district (2015–2023) and nominee forMissouri's 2nd congressional district in2020 [ 134] Scott Sifton , state senator for Missouri's 1st district (2013–2021) and state representative for Missouri's 96th district (2011–2013)[ 116] Local officials
Graphical summary
Results by county: <40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
Democratic primary results[ 20] Party Candidate Votes % Democratic Trudy Busch Valentine 158,957 43.2 Democratic Lucas Kunce 141,203 38.3 Democratic Spencer Toder 17,465 4.7 Democratic Carla Coffee Wright 14,438 3.9 Democratic Gena Ross 8,749 2.4 Democratic Jewel Kelly 6,464 1.8 Democratic Lewis Rolen 5,247 1.4 Democratic Pat Kelly 5,002 1.4 Democratic Ronald (Ron) William Harris 4,074 1.1 Democratic Josh Shipp 3,334 0.9 Democratic Clarence (Clay) Taylor 3,322 0.9 Total votes 368,255 100.0
Libertarian primary [ edit ] Libertarian primary results[ 20] Party Candidate Votes % Libertarian Jonathan Dine 2,973 100.0 Total votes 2,973 100.0
Constitution primary [ edit ] Constitution primary results[ 20] Party Candidate Votes % Constitution Paul Venable 792 100.0 Total votes 792 100.0
John Wood, a formerBush administration official and aJanuary 6 Committee investigator, announced that he would run for the seat as an independent on June 29, but he withdrew from the race after formerMissouri Governor Eric Greitens lost the Republican primary to Schmitt.[ 146] [ 147]
Missed ballot deadline [ edit ] Rick Seabaugh, sales manager[ 150] Nicholas Strauss, network engineer[ 30] Post-primary endorsements [ edit ] Eric Schmitt (R)
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Trudy Busch Valentine (D)
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Eric Schmitt (R) Trudy Busch Valentine (D) Undecided[ k] Margin RealClearPolitics [ 179] October 24 – November 1, 2022 November 1, 2022 52.0% 41.3% 6.7% Schmitt +10.7 FiveThirtyEight [ 180] May 15 – November 4, 2022 November 4, 2022 53.1% 41.9% 5.0% Schmitt +11.2 270towin [ 181] October 29 – November 7, 2022 November 7, 2022 52.0% 40.8% 7.2% Schmitt +11.2 Average 52.4% 41.3% 6.3% Schmitt +11.0
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Eric Schmitt (R) Trudy Busch Valentine (D) John Wood (I) Other Undecided Civiqs [ 182] November 4–7, 2022 746 (LV) ± 4.7% 55% 40% – 4%[ l] 2% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 183] October 30 – November 1, 2022 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 53% 42% – 2%[ m] 2% SurveyUSA [ 184] October 27 – November 1, 2022 791 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 41% – 3%[ n] 6% Emerson College [ 185] October 26–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 40% – 5%[ o] – 51% 39% – 4%[ p] 6% Remington Research (R)[ 186] [ A] October 24–25, 2022 1,011 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 42% – 3%[ q] 4% Emerson College [ 187] September 23–27, 2022 1,160 (VLV) ± 2.8% 49% 38% – 3% 10% SurveyUSA [ 188] September 14–18, 2022 670 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 36% – 4% 14% Remington Research (R)[ 189] [ A] August 24–25, 2022 1,011 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 40% – 2%[ r] 7% August 23, 2022 Wood withdraws from the race[ 147] YouGov /SLU [ 190] August 8–16, 2022 900 (LV) ± 3.8% 49% 38% – 5% 8% 44% 31% 10% 3% 13% SurveyUSA [ 86] July 24–27, 2022 1,591 (LV) ± 3.0% 36% 30% 9% 6% 18% SurveyUSA [ 95] May 11–15, 2022 1,412 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 34% – – 19% Remington Research (R)[ 191] [ A] April 27–28, 2022 986 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 32% – – 18%
Hypothetical polling
Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Eric Greitens (R) Lucas Kunce (D) John Wood (I) Other Undecided SurveyUSA [ 86] July 24–27, 2022 1,591 (LV) ± 3.0% 31% 26% 13% 10% 21% SurveyUSA [ 95] May 11–15, 2022 1,412 (LV) ± 3.2% 42% 36% – – 22% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 192] March 9–13, 2022 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 45% – – 9% co/efficient (R)[ 193] [ B] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 34% 26% – – 40% Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[ 194] [ E] October 3–4, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 40% – – 13%
Eric Greitens vs. Trudy Busch Valentine
Vicky Hartzler vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Vicky Hartzler (R) Lucas Kunce (D) John Wood (I) Other Undecided SurveyUSA [ 86] July 24–27, 2022 1,591 (LV) ± 3.0% 34% 25% 12% 9% 20% SurveyUSA [ 95] May 11–15, 2022 1,412 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 31% – – 24% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 192] March 9–13, 2022 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 56% 39% – – 5% co/efficient (R)[ 193] [ B] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 23% 16% – – 61%
Vicky Hartzler vs. Trudy Busch Valentine
Billy Long vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Billy Long (R) Lucas Kunce (D) Undecided co/efficient (R)[ 193] [ B] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 16% 17% 67%
Eric Schmitt vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Eric Schmitt (R) Lucas Kunce (D) John Wood (I) Other Undecided SurveyUSA [ 86] July 24–27, 2022 1,591 (LV) ± 3.0% 37% 27% 10% 6% 20% SurveyUSA [ 95] May 11–15, 2022 1,412 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 34% – – 19% The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 192] March 9–13, 2022 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 55% 40% – – 5% co/efficient (R)[ 193] [ B] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 28% 23% – – 49%
Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce vs. generic independent
Eric Greitens vs. Jay Nixon
Eric Greitens vs. Scott Sifton
Eric Greitens vs. generic Democrat
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Generic Republican Generic Democrat Undecided co/efficient (R)[ 193] [ B] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 35% 13%
Vicky Hartzler vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Vicky Hartzler (R) Scott Sifton (D) Undecided The Trafalgar Group (R)[ 192] March 9–13, 2022 1,075 (LV) ± 3.0% 57% 37% 6% co/efficient (R)[ 193] [ B] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 22% 17% 61%
Billy Long vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Billy Long (R) Scott Sifton (D) Undecided co/efficient (R)[ 193] [ B] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 13% 12% 75%
Eric Schmitt vs. Jay Nixon
Eric Schmitt vs. Scott Sifton
Roy Blunt vs. Jason Kander
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ b] Margin of error Roy Blunt (R) Jason Kander (D) Undecided Data for Progress (D)[ 201] [ M] January 10–12, 2021 571 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 44% 12%
Roy Blunt vs. Scott Sifton
State Senate district resultsState House district resultsSchmitt prevailed over Valentine on Election Day.[ 203]
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Schmitt won six of eight congressional districts.[ 205]
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear ^ Gardner and Tunnell with 1%; Allen, Breyfogle, Joiner, Lewis, McClanahan, Mowinski, Olson, Porter, and Sims with 0% ^ McElroy, Joiner, and Vaughn with 0% ^ Allen, Joiner, Lewis, McClanahan, McElroy, Schepers, and Sims with 1%; Breyfogle, Chilton, Gardner, Mowinski, Olson, Porter, Tunnell, and Vaughn with 0% ^ Deets with 1%; Brinkmann and Porter with 0% ^ Jewel Kelly, Ross, and all other candidates combined with 3% ^ Harris, Jewel Kelly, Pat Kelly, Rolen, Ross, Shipp, and Taylor with 0% ^ Harris, Jewel Kelly, Pat Kelly, Ross, and Taylor with 2%; Rolen and Shipp with 1% ^ Schmitt was invited to the debate, but declined to attend ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^ "Someone else" with 4% ^ Dine (L) with 2% ^ "Another candidate" with 3% ^ Dine (L) with 3%; Venable (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1% ^ Dine (L) with 2%; Venable (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1% ^ Dine with 2% and Venable with 1% ^ Dine and Venable with 1% ^a b Most of the city lies withinJackson County , with portions spilling into Clay, Cass, and Platte counties. Partisan clients
^a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa Non-partisan poll conducted for the local non-partisan tipsheet Missouri Scout ^a b c d e f g h i j Poll conducted for Missouri First Action, which supports Greitens ^ This poll was sponsored by Show Me Values PAC, which opposes Greitens ^ Poll conducted for an undisclosed private client ^a b c d e f Poll conducted for Eric Greitens's campaign ^a b Poll conducted for Protect Missouri Values PAC, which supports Schmitt ^a b Poll conducted for Vicky Hartzler's campaign ^ Poll conducted for the Missouri Chamber Political Institute ^ This poll was conducted for Toder's campaign. ^ This poll was conducted for Kunce's campaign. ^ Poll conducted for the Serve America Movement ^ Poll conducted for Team PAC, which supports Greitens ^ Poll conducted for MoveOn ^ Ballentine, Summer; Salter, Jim (March 8, 2021)."GOP Sen. Roy Blunt of Missouri won't seek reelection in 2022" .Associated Press .Archived from the original on March 8, 2021. RetrievedMarch 9, 2021 . ^ "Grietens Leads Field But Anyone's Game – Emory for CE-4 – Schroer PAC Gets $200K – Hallway on US Senate and more..." Missouri Scout . June 12, 2021. RetrievedJuly 29, 2021 .^a b "GOP Rep. Vicky Hartzler launches Missouri Senate bid" .The Hill . June 10, 2021.^a b Bowman, Bridget (August 3, 2021)."GOP Rep. Billy Long joins Missouri Senate race" .Roll Call .Archived from the original on August 4, 2021. RetrievedAugust 3, 2021 . ^ "Eric Schmitt joins Missouri race for U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Roy Blunt" .Missouri Independent . March 24, 2021. RetrievedMarch 24, 2021 .^a b "GOP Missouri Attorney General Schmitt running for US Senate" .ABC News . RetrievedJuly 18, 2021 .^ Keller, Rudi (July 28, 2022)."After months of wavering, Schmitt comes out against McConnell days before Senate primary" .Missouri Independent . RetrievedAugust 8, 2022 . ^ Adamson, Natalie (February 13, 2022)."Senate ad slams transgender athletes 'pretending to be women' " .Politico . RetrievedFebruary 14, 2022 . ^a b Allison, Natalie (February 16, 2022)."Missouri Senate poll alarms GOP" .POLITICO . RetrievedFebruary 16, 2022 . ^ Trump says he won't endorse Vicky Hartzler, calls Eric Greitens 'smart' and 'tough' ,Yahoo News , Jason Hancock, July 9, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.^ Forgey, Quint (April 19, 2021)."Kimberly Guilfoyle joins Greitens' Senate campaign as national chair" .Politico . RetrievedMarch 22, 2022 . ^a b c Isenstadt, Alex (July 6, 2021)."GOP megadonor bankrolling super PAC for Eric Greitens" .Politico . RetrievedJuly 29, 2021 . ^a b c Alex Isenstadt,Inside the secret, yearlong campaign to torpedo Eric Greitens' attempted comeback ,Politico (august 2, 2022). ^a b c David Weigel,Trump endorses 'ERIC' in Missouri primary, a name shared by rivals ,Washington Post (August 1, 2022). ^ Bacharier, Galen (February 12, 2022)."Josh Hawley endorses Vicky Hartzler for Missouri's open U.S. Senate seat" .Springfield News-Leader . 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RetrievedJune 20, 2021 .^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (November 16, 2021)."Dave Schatz jumps into US Senate race" .The Missouri Times . RetrievedNovember 16, 2021 . ^ Sims, Dave (June 29, 2021)."Dave Sims Announcement" .St. Louis Post-Dispatch . RetrievedMarch 5, 2022 . ^ "Rik Combs announces candidacy for US Senate" .News Tribune . March 12, 2021. RetrievedMarch 5, 2022 .^ Barmeier, Elizabeth (December 14, 2021)."Who is running for U.S. Senate in Missouri" .fox4kc.com .WDAF-TV . RetrievedDecember 23, 2021 . ^ Becket, Stefan (March 8, 2021)."GOP Senator Roy Blunt won't run for reelection in 2022" .CBS News . RetrievedMarch 8, 2021 – viaMSN . ^ "Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt" .AP News . April 20, 2021. RetrievedJune 20, 2021 .^ Lowry, Bryan (May 3, 2021)."He was mayor of a Texas city for 37 days. Now he wants to be Missouri's next senator" .The Kansas City Star . RetrievedJune 20, 2021 . ^ "Qualified Candidates" .Texas Secretary of State . RetrievedDecember 14, 2021 .^ Axelrod, Tal (March 10, 2021)."Ashcroft declines run to replace Blunt in Missouri" .The Hill .Archived from the original on March 10, 2021. RetrievedMarch 22, 2021 . ^ Hancock, Jason (March 8, 2021)."Roy Blunt is out. So who's in? A list of possible Missouri GOP senate candidates • Missouri Independent" .Missouri Independent .Archived from the original on March 10, 2021. RetrievedMarch 8, 2021 . ^ "Missouri Treasurer Scott Fitzpatrick On 2022 Effort To Expand His Office's Investment Options" .St. Louis Public Radio . RetrievedJuly 15, 2021 .^ Huguelet, Austin (March 25, 2021)."Springfield native, former US Attorney Tim Garrison says he won't run for Senate" .The Springfield News-Leader . RetrievedJune 20, 2021 . ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (March 22, 2021)."Kehoe announces 2024 gubernatorial run, forgoing US Senate bid" .The Missouri Times .Archived from the original on March 22, 2021. RetrievedMarch 22, 2021 . ^ "Missouri Lt. Gov. Mike Kehoe won't pursue Senate but will run for governor in 2024" . March 22, 2021.^a b Long, Jeff (March 10, 2021)."After Roy Blunt: Local politicians react to senator's retirement" .The Southeast Missourian . Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2021. RetrievedMarch 23, 2021 . ^ Rogger, John (June 13, 2021)."Representative Luetkemeyer Will Not Run For Open Senate Seat" .KRMS .Archived from the original on June 27, 2021. RetrievedJune 15, 2021 . ^ Erickson, Kurt (March 11, 2021)."Gov. Parson won't seek Blunt's seat in U.S. Senate" .St. Louis Post-Dispatch .Archived from the original on March 18, 2021. RetrievedMarch 22, 2021 . ^ Suntrup, Jack (March 8, 2021)."Sen. Roy Blunt says he won't run next year, potentially clearing way crowded GOP primary" .St. Louis Post-Dispatch .Archived from the original on December 5, 2021. RetrievedMarch 8, 2021 . ^ "House lawmaker to forgo Senate bid in hope of claiming Ways and Means gavel" .WPSD Local 6 . February 9, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 9, 2022 .^ Gerber, Cameron (April 26, 2021)."Wagner on possible US Senate run: 'We're taking a look at it' " .The Missouri Times . RetrievedMay 12, 2021 . ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (August 3, 2021)."Ann Wagner running for re-election to Missouri's 2nd congressional district" .The Missouri Times . RetrievedAugust 3, 2021 . ^ Caputo, Marc (August 1, 2022)."Trump baffles GOP by endorsing 'Eric' in the Missouri Senate primary — a race with three Erics" .NBC News . RetrievedAugust 2, 2022 . ^ Folmar, Chloe (August 1, 2022)."Trump endorsement of 'Eric' in Missouri triggers confusion" .The Hill . RetrievedAugust 2, 2022 . ^a b c d Tyler Olson (March 29, 2021)."Ex-Missouri Gov. 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RetrievedJuly 26, 2022 .^ Turner, Kelton (April 4, 2022)."Former Senator Kit Bond Endorses Vicky Hartzler for Senate" .The Missouri Times . RetrievedApril 4, 2022 . ^ Bacharier, Galen (February 12, 2022)."Josh Hawley endorses Vicky Hartzler for Missouri's open U.S. Senate seat" .Springfield News-Leader . RetrievedFebruary 12, 2022 . ^ Schmidt, Heidi (March 10, 2022)."Hartzler picks up endorsement from Kansas Senator" .Fox 4 Kansas City . RetrievedMarch 10, 2022 . ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (January 20, 2022)."Hartzler endorsed by Eric Metaxas" .The Missouri Times . RetrievedJanuary 22, 2022 . ^ "Hartzler endorsed by PAC supporting Republican women for federal office" .themissouritimes.com . November 30, 2021. RetrievedNovember 30, 2021 .^ Turner, Kelton (April 7, 2022)."Missouri Cattlemen's Association makes wave of primary endorsements" .The Missouri Times . RetrievedApril 8, 2022 . ^ Turner, Kelton (June 28, 2022)."Farm Bureau gets involved in federal and state races" .The Missouri Times . RetrievedJune 29, 2022 . ^ "SBA List's Candidate Fund PAC Endorses Vicky Hartzler for U.S. Senate" .sbaprolife.org . February 22, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 22, 2022 .^a b c "Schmitt endorsed by Cruz for US Senate" .themissouritimes.com . February 16, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2022 .^a b "Missouri GOP Senate showdown: Sarah Sanders endorses Eric Schmitt with week until primary" .foxnews.com . July 24, 2022. RetrievedJuly 26, 2022 .^ "Robert C. O'Brien endorses Eric Schmitt for Senate" .The Missouri Times . April 13, 2022. RetrievedApril 14, 2022 .^ Diaz, Marina (August 2, 2022)."Schmitt touts his lead in some polls ahead of Republican Senate primary" . ABC17News. RetrievedAugust 3, 2022 . ^a b " 'Women for Schmitt' group includes Kay Hoflander, Cindy O'Laughlin" .themissouritimes.com . May 4, 2022. 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(R) ^ The Trafalgar Group (R) ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^ The Trafalgar Group (R) ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^ CMA Strategies (R) ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^ Fabrizio Lee (R) ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^a b Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout ^a b Skipworth, William (July 18, 2022)."Kunce tops polls for Democratic primary for US Senate" .E Missourian . RetrievedJuly 25, 2022 . ^a b c Erickson, Kurt (March 28, 2022)."St. Louis beer heiress joining race for U.S. Senate" .STLtoday.com . RetrievedMarch 28, 2022 . ^a b Suntrup, Jack (May 4, 2021)."St Louis startup owner and real estate broker joins list of Democrats running for US Senate" .St. Louis Post Dispatch .Archived from the original on May 4, 2021. 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RetrievedMarch 29, 2022 .^ Ballentine, Summer (February 8, 2021)."Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt" .Associated Press .Archived from the original on February 8, 2021. RetrievedFebruary 10, 2021 . ^ Hancock, Jason (June 4, 2021)."Missouri Auditor Nicole Galloway announces she won't run for re-election in 2022" .Missouri Independent . RetrievedAugust 9, 2023 . ^a b c d Gomez, Henry J. (May 6, 2021)."Democrats eye a comeback in Missouri, where post-Trump turmoil on display" .NBC News . RetrievedAugust 12, 2023 . ^ Wilson, Reid (May 12, 2021)."Kansas City's Democratic mayor eyes Senate run" .The Hill . RetrievedMay 12, 2021 . ^ Dulle, Brian (January 5, 2022)."Quinton Lucas announces run for re-election as Kansas City mayor in 2023" .FOX 4 . RetrievedJanuary 5, 2022 . ^ Lukitsch, Bill; Stark, Cortlynn (January 5, 2022)."KC Mayor Lucas, considered a potential Senate candidate, plans to run for mayor again" .The Kansas City Star . RetrievedAugust 12, 2023 . ^ Suntrup, Jack (July 29, 2021)."Former Missouri Gov. Jay Nixon says he isn't running for U.S. Senate next year" .STLtoday.com . RetrievedJuly 29, 2021 . ^a b Desrochers, Daniel (August 1, 2022)."Bernie Sanders endorses Lucas Kunce on eve of Missouri Democratic primary for U.S. Senate" .The Kansas City Star . RetrievedAugust 1, 2022 . ^ Suntrup, Jack (July 20, 2022)."Bill Clay Sr. backs Democrat Lucas Kunce for US Senate in Aug. 2 primary" .St. Louis Post-Dispatch . RetrievedJuly 20, 2022 . ^ Ackley, Kate; McIntire, Mary; Akin, Stephanie (July 28, 2022)."At the Races: Pick your 'R' word" .Roll Call . RetrievedJuly 29, 2022 . ^a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Suntrup, Jack (June 2, 2022)."Big-name Missouri Democrats line up behind Trudy Busch Valentine in Senate race" .St. Louis Post-Dispatch . RetrievedJune 12, 2022 . ^a b c "MOScout Daily Update: Parson Vetoes Cody Cash - Ag Bill Veto Today? - New Bruce Ad - Kunce Endorsements and more..." 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RetrievedJuly 27, 2022 .^ Desrochers, Daniel (June 2, 2022)."Cleaver backs Busch Valentine in Democratic primary for U.S. Senate as Greitens leads GOP" .Kansas City Star . ^ "Tishaura Jones endorses Trudy Busch Valentine for US Senate" . July 27, 2022.^ Triton Polling & Research (D) ^ Public Policy Polling (D) ^a b Gans, Jared (June 29, 2022)."Former Jan. 6 committee counsel running for Senate in Missouri as independent" .The Hill . ^a b c Hancock, Jason (August 23, 2022)."Citing Greitens defeat, John Wood abandons independent run for U.S. Senate in Missouri" .Missouri Independent . RetrievedAugust 23, 2022 . ^ "Former mayor of Florissant to run as independent for vacant U.S. Senate seat" .FOX 2 . February 22, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 22, 2022 .^ Schneider, Thomas P. (March 31, 2022)."Opinion: Schatz, Valentine care about Missouri's future" .The Missouri Times . RetrievedMarch 31, 2022 . ^ Reeves, J. C. 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RetrievedMarch 6, 2022 .^ Suntrup, Jack (September 17, 2022)."Three US Senate candidates face questions at forum. Schmitt skips event" .St. Louis Post-Dispatch . RetrievedOctober 8, 2022 . ^a b c "Three Former GOP Missouri Senators Endorse Eric Schmitt" .nationalreview.com . August 19, 2022. RetrievedAugust 20, 2022 .^ "Outgoing Missouri Sen. Roy Blunt endorses Eric Schmitt to replace him" . August 18, 2022.^ "Missouri Primary Election Update" .missourinet.com . RetrievedAugust 2, 2022 .^ Joey Schneider (July 13, 2022)."Hawley on Schmitt: 'I absolutely endorse him' " . Fox2now.com. RetrievedAugust 3, 2022 . ^a b c d "Missouri State-Wide Republican Office-Holders Endorse Schmitt for U.S. Senate" .missouri.gop . August 22, 2022. RetrievedAugust 22, 2022 .^ "Press Release: Eric Schmitt receives Missouri Prosper endorsement" .themissouritimes.com . August 31, 2022. RetrievedNovember 6, 2022 .^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Eric Schmitt in Missouri U.S. Senate Race" . August 3, 2022. RetrievedAugust 11, 2022 .^ "Farm Bureau endorses Schmitt for Senate" . August 30, 2022. RetrievedAugust 31, 2022 .^ "Eric Schmitt picks up endorsement in O'Fallon, Missouri" .www.fox2now.com . September 22, 2022. RetrievedNovember 6, 2022 .^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Missouri" .nrapvf.org . NRA-PVF. Archived fromthe original on November 8, 2022.^a b "Eric Schmitt's Ratings and Endorsements" .justfacts.votesmart.org . RetrievedNovember 6, 2022 .^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Trudy Busch Valentine for U.S. Senate" . September 8, 2022.^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" .nea.org .^ "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates" .National Women's Political Caucus .^ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action" .www.sierraclubindependentaction.org .^ "The Star editorial board's recommendations for Missouri and Kansas midterm elections" .The Kansas City Star . October 31, 2022. RetrievedOctober 31, 2022 .^ "Jack Danforth backing independent campaign for US Senate" .KSDK . 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