The2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to representKentucky . IncumbentRepublican Rand Paul won re-election to a third term, defeatingDemocratic nomineeCharles Booker with 61.8% of the vote.
Paul was first elected in2010 with 55.7% of the vote, filling the seat of retiringJim Bunning , then re-elected in2016 with 57.3% of the vote. Paul ran for a third term.[ 1] Booker is a former state representative, and was a candidate in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate in2020 . The election was called for Paul shortly after polls closed in the state.[ 2]
This was the biggest landslide victory for a U.S. Senate race in Kentucky sinceMitch McConnell 's win in2002 .
AlthoughRand Paul supported a constitutional amendment limiting senators to two terms, he said, "I'm not in favor of term limits for some and not others. So I'm not in favor of people self-imposing term limits. I'm a co-sponsor of the constitutional amendment, but I will run again in 2022."[ 1] Kentucky held its primary election on May 17.[ 3]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Arnold Blankenship, retiree[ 5] Valerie Frederick[ 5] Paul V. Hamilton, economics professor[ 6] John Schiess, perennial candidate[ 5] Tami Stanfield, former sales executive[ 5] Rand Paul
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Results by county: Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Joshua Blanton Sr., Army veteran[ 14] Ruth Gao, educator and activist[ 15] John Merrill, chemist and Navy veteran[ 5] Charles Booker
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Results by county: 40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
Although Paul had initially pledged to serve only one term,[ 33] he later reversed this stance and ran for re-election.[ 34] In both2010 and2016 , he faced tight races, even as these years were generally unfavorable for the Democratic Party and Kentucky's conservative partisan lean. Paul had gained a reputation as one of the most libertarian senators and often breaks with his party despite still holding conservative views on most issues.[ 35] [ 36]
Following a narrow primary defeat toAmy McGrath in the2020 Kentucky Senate Democratic primaries , State Representative Charles Booker announced his intention to run again, this time against Paul.[ 37] Booker positioned himself as a progressive populist, advocating for abortion rights, Universal Basic Income, Medicare for All, and a Green New Deal.[ 38] He aimed to resonate with traditional Democratic voters in the urban centers of Louisville and Lexington, while also reaching out to ancestral Democrats in Kentucky's Appalachian region.[ 39]
An early February poll showed Paul leading by only a few points against a generic Democrat.[ 40] However, a later poll revealed Paul had a substantial lead over Booker.[ 41] In October, a debate was scheduled to include both Paul and Booker, but Paul did not respond to the invitation, resulting in Booker debating alone.[ 42]
Paul went on to easily win re-election, improving his 2016 performance by approximately 9 percentage points. However, due to lower voter turnout, he underperformed compared toTrump's 2020 performance in the state by 2 points and received a slightly smaller percentage of the vote.
Rand Paul (R)
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Charles Booker (D)
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Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ a] Margin of error Rand Paul (R) Charles Booker (D) Undecided Mason-Dixon [ 67] January 19–22, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 55% 39% 6%
Hypothetical polling
Rand Paul vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[ a] Margin of error Rand Paul (R) Generic Democrat Undecided Mason-Dixon [ 68] February 1–4, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 41% 12%
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Paul won five of six congressional districts.[ 70]
^a b Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear ^a b c Dean, Kelly (February 25, 2021)."Sen. Rand Paul discusses upcoming plans for re-election 2022" .WBKO .Archived from the original on February 27, 2021. RetrievedMarch 6, 2021 . ^ "Rand Paul reelected for third term" .WKYT . November 9, 2022. RetrievedNovember 9, 2022 .^ WLKY Digital Team (May 10, 2022)."Voter guide: Kentucky primary election 2022" . Wlky.com. RetrievedMay 27, 2022 . ^ "Sen. Rand Paul announces he has filed for re-election" .WBKO . January 5, 2022.^a b c d e "Election Candidate Filings" .Kentucky Secretary of State . RetrievedJanuary 7, 2022 .^ "Kentucky Secretary of State - Candidate Filings" .Kentucky Secretary of State - Candidate Filings . RetrievedJanuary 28, 2022 .^a b Kobin, Bill (April 9, 2021)."Donald Trump endorses Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul for 2022 reelection" .The Courier-Journal . RetrievedJuly 1, 2021 . ^a b "I was proud to speak at Senator @RandPaul's campaign kickoff event in Oldham County tonight! Let's Stand with Rand & help send a Republican Senate Majority to D.C. this year" .Twitter . April 30, 2022. RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^a b "Club for Growth PAC Endorsed Candidates" . RetrievedJanuary 28, 2022 .^a b "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Rand Paul in the Kentucky U.S. Senate Race" .www.freedomworksforamerica.org . August 25, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2022 .^a b "Turning Point Action" .Turning Point Action - Endorsements . RetrievedJanuary 28, 2022 .^a b "May 17, 2022 Official 2022 Primary Election Results" (PDF) .Secretary of State of Kentucky . RetrievedSeptember 1, 2022 .^ "It's official: Charles Booker will run for Senate again, this time against Rand Paul" .WLKY . July 1, 2021. RetrievedJuly 1, 2021 .^ Smith, Lawrence (June 30, 2021)."Democrats begin lining up for right to challenge Sen. Rand Paul" .WDRB . RetrievedJuly 31, 2021 . ^ "Ruth Gao announces U.S. Senate run in Kentucky, aims to become 'first millennial woman Senator' " .WLEX-TV . June 30, 2021. RetrievedJuly 1, 2021 .^ "Political Notebook: Could Rocky Adkins be Kentucky's Joe Manchin in 2022 Senate race?" .Lexington Herald-Leader . April 15, 2021. RetrievedApril 21, 2021 .^ "Room for a Moderate Democrat in 2022 U.S. Senate Primary" .Kentucky Fried Politics . July 9, 2021. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2021 .^a b Breon Martin (May 2, 2021)."US Sen. Bernie Sanders holds rally with Charles Booker in Louisville" . WDRB. ^a b Morgan Watkins (July 26, 2021)."Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorses Charles Booker in bid for Rand Paul's Senate seat" .Courier Journal . ^a b "Rep. John Yarmuth backs Charles Booker in his bid to unseat Sen. Rand Paul" .The Courier-Journal . November 11, 2021. RetrievedNovember 11, 2021 .^a b c d "Charles Booker picks up major union endorsement in run for U.S. Senate" . WLKY. July 21, 2021. RetrievedMarch 25, 2022 .^a b Craig, Berry (March 4, 2022)."State AFL-CIO backs Booker, McGarvey" .Forward Kentucky . RetrievedMarch 8, 2022 . ^a b "Our Recommended Candidates" .educationvotes.nea.org .National Education Association .^a b "BNC Endorses Charles Booker!" .Brand New Congress . Archived fromthe original on August 4, 2021. RetrievedAugust 4, 2021 .^a b Simpson, Yvette (July 1, 2021)."Democracy for America : DFA backs Charles Booker for 2022 Senate rematch in Kentucky" .democracyforamerica.com . Democracy for America. ^a b "Endorsed Candidates" .indivisible.org .Indivisible . September 21, 2018. RetrievedMay 20, 2022 .^a b "LCV ACTION FUND ANNOUNCES FIRST ROUND OF NON-INCUMBENT SENATE ENDORSEMENTS" .www.lcv.org . February 2, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 2, 2022 .^a b "Endorsements" .March On . December 6, 2021. Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2022. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2022 .^a b "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates" .www.plannedparenthoodaction.org . RetrievedDecember 22, 2021 .^a b "Sunrise Movement endorses progressive Democrats Summer Lee, Nida Allam and Erica Smith for Congress" . March 24, 2022. Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2022. RetrievedMarch 25, 2022 .^a b "Our Candidates" .Working Families Party .^a b Scott Recker (October 15, 2021)."Civil Rights Attorney Ben Crump Endorses Charles Booker For Senate" .LEO Weekly . ^ Selleck, Stacey (September 28, 2015)."Rand Paul Signs U.S. Term Limits Pledge - U.S. Term Limits" . RetrievedJune 30, 2024 . ^ "Sen. Rand Paul officially files for re-election" .spectrumnews1.com . RetrievedJune 30, 2024 .^ Willis, Derek (August 12, 2015)."Votes Against Party by Rand Paul (R-Ky.)" .ProPublica . RetrievedJune 30, 2024 . ^ "Rand Paul on the Issues" .www.ontheissues.org . RetrievedJune 30, 2024 .^ Sonka, Joe."Charles Booker makes it official, announces run for US Senate seat held by Rand Paul" .The Courier-Journal . RetrievedJune 30, 2024 . ^ "Charles Booker on the Issues" .www.ontheissues.org . RetrievedJune 30, 2024 .^ "Stand up for Kentucky Coal Miners" .Charles Booker For U.S. Senate . RetrievedJune 30, 2024 .^ Watkins, Morgan."Mason-Dixon poll: Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul is in good shape for reelection next year" .The Courier-Journal . RetrievedJune 30, 2024 . ^ "2022 Kentucky Senate - Paul vs. Booker | RealClearPolling" .www.realclearpolling.com . RetrievedJune 30, 2024 .^ "Rand Paul declines to debate Charles Booker on KET" .Louisville Public Media . September 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2024 .^ "2022 Senate Race ratings" .The Cook Political Report . RetrievedJanuary 14, 2021 .^ "Senate ratings" .Inside Elections . RetrievedJanuary 18, 2021 .^ "2022 Senate" .Sabato's Crystal Ball . RetrievedJanuary 28, 2021 .^ "Kentucky Senate Race 2022" .Politico . April 1, 2022.^ "Battle for the Senate 2022" .RCP . January 10, 2022.^ "2022 Election Forecast" .Fox News . May 12, 2022. RetrievedMay 12, 2022 .^ "2022 Election Forecast" .DDHQ . July 20, 2022. RetrievedJuly 20, 2022 .^ "2022 Election Forecast" .FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022. Archived fromthe original on June 30, 2022. RetrievedJune 30, 2022 .^ "The Economist's 2022 Senate Election forecast" .The Economist . September 18, 2022. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2022 .^ Kobin, Bill (July 15, 2022)."Biden Drops Plan to Name Anti-Abortion Lawyer Backed by McConnell as Judge" .The New York Times . RetrievedJuly 16, 2022 .Mr. McConnell said he backed Mr. Paul's re-election bid this year. ^ "Paul and Barr speak at Republican 'Boots and Bluegrass' event" .www.richmondregister.com . October 24, 2022. RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^ "Senator Rand Paul, Ag. Commissioner Ryan Quarles visit Hopkinsville" .whopam.com . October 1, 2022. RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^a b c d e f "DR. RAND PAUL RECEIVES ENDORSEMENT FROM OWENSBORO AREA SHERIFFS, RELEASES AD ON DEFENDING LAW ENFORCEMENT" .randpaul.com . October 11, 2022. RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^a b c d e f g h "Rand Paul's Ratings and Endorsements" .justfacts.votesmart.org . RetrievedOctober 11, 2022 .^ "CCAGW PAC Endorses Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul and Four House Candidates" .finance.yahoo.com . October 13, 2022. RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^ Storm, Nick (September 12, 2022)."Rand Paul Endorsed by KY Fraternal Order of Police" .www.kentuckyfried.com . RetrievedSeptember 13, 2022 . ^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Kentucky" .nrapvf.org . NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.^ "Charles Booker's primary win was historic. But his Senate run against Rand Paul faces a tough road ahead" . May 23, 2022.^a b c d e Storm, Nick (September 1, 2022)."Charles Booker Endorsed by Gov. Beshear & Former KY Governors" .www.kentuckyfried.com . ^ "The Herald-Leader endorses Charles Booker for Senate" .amp.kentucky.com . October 21, 2022. RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^a b c d e f g h i j "Charles Booker's Ratings and Endorsements" .justfacts.votesmart.org . RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^ "LegalizeKY" .^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Charles Booker for U.S. Senate in Kentucky" .NARAL Pro-Choice America . August 23, 2022. RetrievedOctober 28, 2022 .^ "Congressional Endorsements" .Sierra Club Independent Action .^ Mason-Dixon ^ Mason-Dixon ^ "November 8, 2022 - Official 2022 General Election Results" (PDF) . Commonwealth of Kentucky State Board of Elections. Archived fromthe original (PDF) on December 24, 2022. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2023 .^ Kentucky Senate Results by CD .docs.google.com (Report).Official campaign websites
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