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All 6 Oregon seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Oregon | ||
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The2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the sixU.S. representatives from thestate ofOregon, one from each of the state's sixcongressional districts. Primaries for these seats were held on May 17, 2022. The elections coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.
District boundaries were redrawn[1] to ensure that the districts areapportioned based on data from the2020 United States census, which added a sixth seat to Oregon's delegation.[2] Democrats won the new sixth district, but Republicans gained Oregon's fifth district, leaving the congressional delegation with a four to two party split in favor of the Democrats. This was the first time since1994 that Republicans won more than one House seat in Oregon.
Ahead of the 2022 elections, Oregon redrew its congressional districts as part of the2020 United States redistricting cycle. Oregon gained a sixth congressional district during this cycle.[2] On September 20, 2021, theOregon State Senate passed new congressional maps that were favored by Democrats on a party-line vote, along with state legislative maps.[3] The congressional map contained five Democratic-leaning districts and one Republican-leaning district.Tina Kotek, the Democratic speaker of theOregon House of Representatives, had negotiated a deal with Republicans to give them equal say on redistricting matters, but she abandoned the deal after the Senate passed its maps.[4] House Democrats made changes to the proposed congressional map that made it less favorable towards Democrats, but Republicans still opposed the map. In response, House Republicans skipped a floor session, which denied House Democrats aquorum and blocked them from being able to pass their maps.[5] On September 27, the legislature's deadline to approve new maps, most House Republicans showed up to vote. The House's proposed congressional map passed the House and Senate on party-line votes, and was approved by governorKate Brown the same day.[6]
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 County results Bonamici: 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% Mann: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 1st district was located in northwestern Oregon and included the westernPortland metro area, including thePortland suburbs ofBeaverton andHillsboro, and parts of Portland west of theWillamette River. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, exchangingYamhill County forTillamook County and taking in more of Portland. The incumbent was DemocratSuzanne Bonamici, who was re-elected with 64.6% of the vote in 2020.[7]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) | 80,317 | 88.5 | |
| Democratic | Scott Phillips | 7,832 | 8.6 | |
| Democratic | Christian Robertson | 2,625 | 2.9 | |
| Total votes | 90,774 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Christopher Mann | 19,605 | 68.4 | |
| Republican | Armidia "Army" Murray | 9,047 | 31.6 | |
| Total votes | 28,652 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Solid D | October 14, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | October 5, 2021 |
| Politico[24] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[26] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[27] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[28] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[29] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) | 210,682 | 67.9 | |
| Republican | Christopher Mann | 99,042 | 31.9 | |
| Write-in | 519 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 310,243 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| County[30] | Suzanne Bonamici Democratic | Christopher Mann Republican | Write-in Various | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Clatsop | 11,046 | 56.70% | 8,421 | 43.23% | 13 | 0.07% | 2,625 | 13.48% | 19,480 |
| Columbia | 11,548 | 43.96% | 14,686 | 55.91% | 35 | 0.13% | -3,138 | -11.95% | 26,269 |
| Multnomah (part) | 72,580 | 88.41% | 9,408 | 11.46% | 108 | 0.13% | 63,172 | 76.95% | 82,096 |
| Tillamook | 6,724 | 48.26% | 7,172 | 51.48% | 36 | 0.26% | -448 | -3.22% | 13,932 |
| Washington (part) | 108,784 | 64.57% | 59,355 | 35.23% | 327 | 0.19% | 49,429 | 29.34% | 168,466 |
| Totals | 210,682 | 67.91% | 99,042 | 31.92% | 519 | 0.17% | 111,640 | 35.98% | 310,243 |
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 County results Bentz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No votes: | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 2nd district was the largest of Oregon's districts and covered roughly two-thirds of the state east of theCascades, encompassing thecentral,eastern, andsouthern regions of the state, includingBend andMedford. The district was kept mostly the same during redistricting, but it did lose Bend to the 5th district andHood River County to the 3rd, while taking in all ofJosephine County and about half ofDouglas County. The incumbent was RepublicanCliff Bentz, who was elected with 59.9% of the vote in 2020.[7]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cliff Bentz (incumbent) | 67,051 | 75.3 | |
| Republican | Mark Cavener | 17,372 | 19.5 | |
| Republican | Katherine Gallant | 4,598 | 5.2 | |
| Total votes | 89,021 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joseph Yetter III | 27,814 | 70.4 | |
| Democratic | Adam Prine | 11,669 | 29.6 | |
| Total votes | 39,483 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid R | October 5, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Solid R | October 14, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | October 5, 2021 |
| Politico[24] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cliff Bentz (incumbent) | 208,369 | 67.5 | |
| Democratic | Joseph Yetter III | 99,882 | 32.4 | |
| Write-in | 425 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 308,676 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| County[30] | Cliff Bentz Republican | Joseph Yetter III Democratic | Write-in Various | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Baker | 6,739 | 79.16% | 1,764 | 20.72% | 10 | 0.12% | 4,975 | 58.44% | 8,513 |
| Crook | 10,847 | 79.10% | 2,849 | 20.78% | 17 | 0.12% | 7,998 | 58.32% | 13,713 |
| Deschutes (part) | 9,177 | 66.00% | 4,710 | 33.87% | 18 | 0.13% | 4,467 | 32.13% | 13,905 |
| Douglas (part) | 7,888 | 75.50% | 2,514 | 24.06% | 45 | 0.43% | 5,374 | 51.44% | 10,447 |
| Gilliam | 749 | 78.51% | 202 | 21.17% | 3 | 0.31% | 547 | 57.34% | 954 |
| Grant | 3,333 | 82.56% | 690 | 17.09% | 14 | 0.35% | 2,643 | 65.47% | 4,037 |
| Harney | 3,161 | 83.87% | 593 | 15.73% | 15 | 0.40% | 2,568 | 68.13% | 3,769 |
| Jackson | 57,884 | 56.75% | 44,006 | 43.15% | 101 | 0.10% | 13,878 | 13.61% | 101,991 |
| Jefferson (part) | 6,679 | 69.35% | 2,936 | 30.48% | 16 | 0.17% | 3,743 | 38.86% | 9,631 |
| Josephine | 28,253 | 67.81% | 13,377 | 32.10% | 38 | 0.09% | 14,876 | 35.70% | 41,668 |
| Klamath | 22,287 | 75.60% | 7,155 | 24.27% | 40 | 0.14% | 15,132 | 51.33% | 29,482 |
| Lake | 3,323 | 84.81% | 583 | 14.88% | 12 | 0.31% | 2,740 | 69.93% | 3,918 |
| Malheur | 7,216 | 79.94% | 1,796 | 19.90% | 15 | 0.17% | 5,420 | 60.04% | 9,027 |
| Morrow | 3,086 | 78.40% | 846 | 21.49% | 4 | 0.10% | 2,240 | 56.91% | 3,936 |
| Sherman | 829 | 83.65% | 161 | 16.25% | 1 | 0.10% | 668 | 67.41% | 991 |
| Umatilla | 17,730 | 73.13% | 6,493 | 26.78% | 23 | 0.09% | 11,237 | 46.35% | 24,246 |
| Union | 8,972 | 74.14% | 3,104 | 25.65% | 25 | 0.21% | 5,868 | 48.49% | 12,101 |
| Wallowa | 3,194 | 71.18% | 1,288 | 28.71% | 5 | 0.11% | 1,906 | 42.48% | 4,487 |
| Wasco | 6,390 | 57.76% | 4,655 | 42.08% | 18 | 0.16% | 1,735 | 15.68% | 11,063 |
| Wheeler | 632 | 79.30% | 160 | 20.08% | 5 | 0.63% | 472 | 59.22% | 797 |
| Totals | 208,369 | 67.50% | 99,882 | 32.36% | 425 | 0.14% | 108,487 | 35.15% | 308,676 |
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 County results Blumenaur: 60–70% 70–80% Harbour: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 3rd district encompassed the easternPortland metro area, coveringPortland andGresham. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did take in Hood River County, and lost some of Portland to the 1st district. The incumbent was DemocratEarl Blumenauer, who was re-elected with 73.0% of the vote in 2020.[7]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) | 96,386 | 94.7 | |
| Democratic | Jonathan E. Polhemus | 5,392 | 5.3 | |
| Total votes | 101,778 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joanna Harbour | 18,031 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 18,031 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Solid D | October 14, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | October 5, 2021 |
| Politico[24] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[26] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[27] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[28] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[29] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) | 212,119 | 69.9 | |
| Republican | Joanna Harbour | 79,766 | 26.3 | |
| Progressive | David E Delk | 10,982 | 3.6 | |
| Write-in | 467 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 303,334 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| County[30] | Earl Blumenauer Democratic | Joanna Harbour Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Clackamas (part) | 16,663 | 40.52% | 23,511 | 57.17% | 949 | 2.31% | -6,848 | -16.65% | 41,123 |
| Hood River | 6,620 | 62.46% | 3,608 | 34.04% | 371 | 3.50% | 3,012 | 28.42% | 10,599 |
| Multnomah (part) | 188,836 | 75.05% | 52,647 | 20.92% | 10,129 | 4.03% | 136,189 | 54.13% | 251,612 |
| Totals | 212,119 | 69.93% | 79,766 | 26.30% | 11,449 | 3.77% | 132,353 | 43.63% | 303,334 |
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 County results Hoyle: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Skarlatos: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 4th district included the southernWillamette Valley and theSouth Coast, includingEugene,Corvallis, andRoseburg. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did gain parts of the central coast previously in the 5th district, making the district more Democratic leaning. The incumbent, DemocratPeter DeFazio, who was re-elected with 51.5% of the vote in 2020,[7] decided to retire, rather than seek a 19th consecutive term in Congress.[39]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Doyle Canning | Val Hoyle | Andrew Kalloch | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[67][A] | March 17–18, 2022 | 634 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 8% | 24% | 4% | 10% | 54% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Val Hoyle | 56,153 | 64.0 | |
| Democratic | Doyle Canning | 14,245 | 16.2 | |
| Democratic | Sami Al-Abdrabbuh | 6,080 | 6.9 | |
| Democratic | John Selker | 4,738 | 5.4 | |
| Democratic | Andrew Kalloch | 4,322 | 4.9 | |
| Democratic | G. Tommy Smith | 1,278 | 1.5 | |
| Democratic | Jake Matthews | 607 | 0.7 | |
| Democratic | Steve Laible | 292 | 0.3 | |
| Total votes | 87,715 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Alek Skarlatos | 58,655 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 58,655 | 100.0 | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Pacific Green | Constitution | Democratic | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Michael Beilstein | Jim Howard | Val Hoyle | Levi Leatherberry | Alek Skarlatos | |||||
| 1 | October 6, 2022 | City Club ofSpringfield City Club ofEugene | [72] | P | P | P | N | P | |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Lean D | August 5, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Tilt D | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean D | September 29, 2022 |
| Politico[24] | Lean D | October 3, 2022 |
| RCP[25] | Tossup | October 7, 2022 |
| Fox News[26] | Lean D | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[27] | Tossup | October 16, 2022 |
| 538[28] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[29] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Val Hoyle (D) | Alex Skarlatos (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wick/RRH Elections (R)[73] | October 23–26, 2022 | 529 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Moore Information Group (R)[74][B] | July 25–28, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
| RMG Research[75] | June 4–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Val Hoyle[b] | 171,372 | 50.5 | |
| Republican | Alek Skarlatos | 146,055 | 43.1 | |
| Independent Party | Levi Leatherberry[c] | 9,052 | 2.7 | |
| Constitution | Jim Howard | 6,075 | 1.8 | |
| Pacific Green | Michael Beilstein[d] | 6,033 | 1.8 | |
| Write-in | 490 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 339,077 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| County[30] | Val Hoyle Democratic | Alex Skarlatos Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Benton | 28,067 | 62.51% | 13,818 | 30.78% | 3,014 | 6.71% | 14,249 | 31.74% | 44,899 |
| Coos | 10,761 | 34.69% | 18,184 | 58.61% | 2,079 | 6.70% | -7,423 | -23.93% | 31,024 |
| Curry | 4,566 | 36.52% | 7,232 | 57.84% | 706 | 5.65% | -2,666 | -21.32% | 12,504 |
| Douglas (part) | 11,560 | 27.47% | 27,210 | 64.66% | 3,314 | 7.87% | -15,650 | -37.19% | 42,084 |
| Lane | 102,200 | 56.13% | 68,996 | 37.89% | 10,891 | 5.98% | 33,204 | 18.24% | 182,087 |
| Lincoln | 13,872 | 53.80% | 10,298 | 39.94% | 1,614 | 6.26% | 3,574 | 13.86% | 25,784 |
| Linn (part) | 346 | 49.78% | 317 | 45.61% | 32 | 4.60% | 29 | 4.17% | 695 |
| Totals | 171,372 | 50.54% | 146,055 | 43.07% | 21,650 | 6.38% | 25,317 | 7.47% | 339,077 |
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 County results Chavez-DeRemer: 60–70% McLeod-Skinner: 50–60% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 5th district straddled the central coast, and includedSalem and the southernPortland suburbs. The new 5th district keeps the southern suburbs of Portland and reaches further into the city, but does not include any coastline, instead stretching southwards through the eastern parts ofMarion andLinn counties toBend.
The incumbent, DemocratKurt Schrader, was re-elected with 51.9% of the vote in 2020.[7] He lost renomination toJamie McLeod-Skinner.[76]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | Kurt Schrader | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[85][C] | January 31 – February 4, 2022 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 34% | 37% | 30% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | 47,148 | 54.9 | |
| Democratic | Kurt Schrader (incumbent) | 38,726 | 45.1 | |
| Total votes | 85,874 | 100.0 | ||
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 30,438 | 42.8 | |
| Republican | Jimmy Crumpacker | 20,631 | 29.0 | |
| Republican | John Di Paola | 11,486 | 16.1 | |
| Republican | Laurel L. Roses | 6,321 | 8.9 | |
| Republican | Madison Oatman | 1,863 | 2.6 | |
| Republican | Write-in | 429 | 0.6 | |
| Total votes | 71,168 | 100.0 | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Jamie McLeod-Skinner | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 27, 2022 | KATU | Deb Knapp | KATU | P | P |
| 2 | Oct. 3, 2022 | KTVZ | Lee Anderson | YouTube (Part 1) YouTube (Part 2) YouTube (Part 3) | P | P |
| 3[94] | Oct. 17, 2022 | League of Women Voters ofClackamas County League of Women Voters ofPortland | Linda Mather | YouTube | P | P |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Lean R(flip) | November 1, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Tilt R(flip) | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean R(flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| Politico[24] | Lean R(flip) | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[25] | Lean R(flip) | October 30, 2022 |
| Fox News[26] | Lean R(flip) | November 1, 2022 |
| DDHQ[27] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[28] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
| The Economist[29] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) | Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D)[114][D] | September 1–8, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
| Clout Research (R)[115][E] | August 15–18, 2022 | 410 (V) | ± 4.8% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[116][D] | June 1–2, 2022 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D)[114][D] | September 1–8, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[116][D] | June 1–2, 2022 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 178,813 | 50.9 | |||
| Democratic | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | 171,514 | 48.8 | |||
| Write-in | 906 | 0.3 | ||||
| Total votes | 351,233 | 100.0 | ||||
| Republicangain fromDemocratic | ||||||
| County[30] | Jamie McLeod-Skinner Democratic | Lori Chavez-DeRemer Republican | Write-in Various | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Clackamas (part) | 74,957 | 50.68% | 72,529 | 49.03% | 429 | 0.29% | -2,428 | -1.64% | 147,915 |
| Deschutes (part) | 49,112 | 52.73% | 43,857 | 47.09% | 174 | 0.19% | -5,255 | -5.64% | 93,143 |
| Jefferson (part) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | -3 | -100.00% | 3 |
| Linn (part) | 19,088 | 32.24% | 39,918 | 67.42% | 199 | 0.34% | 20,830 | 35.18% | 59,205 |
| Marion (part) | 7,845 | 31.10% | 17,318 | 68.65% | 62 | 0.25% | 9,473 | 37.55% | 25,225 |
| Multnomah (part) | 20,509 | 79.67% | 5,191 | 20.17% | 42 | 0.16% | -15,318 | -59.51% | 25,742 |
| Totals | 171,514 | 48.83% | 178,813 | 50.91% | 906 | 0.26% | 7,299 | 2.08% | 351,233 |
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2024 → | |||||||||||||||||
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 County results Salinas: 50–60% 60–70% Erickson: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district was created following the2020 census.[2] It consists ofPolk County andYamhill County, in addition to portions ofMarion County (including the state capital,Salem),Clackamas County, andWashington County.
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Teresa Alonso Leon | Carrick Flynn | Kathleen Harder | Cody Reynolds | Andrea Salinas | Loretta Smith | Matt West | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[132][F] | May 2–3, 2022 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | ≤9% | 14% | ≤9% | ≤9% | 18% | ≤9% | ≤9% | ≥23% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Andrea Salinas | 26,101 | 37.0 | |
| Democratic | Carrick Flynn | 13,052 | 18.5 | |
| Democratic | Cody Reynolds | 7,951 | 11.3 | |
| Democratic | Loretta Smith | 7,064 | 10.0 | |
| Democratic | Matt West | 5,658 | 8.0 | |
| Democratic | Kathleen Harder | 5,510 | 7.8 | |
| Democratic | Teresa Alonso Leon | 4,626 | 6.6 | |
| Democratic | Ricky Barajas | 292 | 0.4 | |
| Democratic | Greg Goodwin | 217 | 0.3 | |
| Total votes | 70,471 | 100.0 | ||
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Erickson | 21,675 | 34.9 | |
| Republican | Ron Noble | 10,980 | 17.7 | |
| Republican | Amy Ryan Courser | 10,176 | 16.4 | |
| Republican | Angela Plowhead | 8,271 | 13.3 | |
| Republican | Jim Bunn | 6,340 | 10.2 | |
| Republican | David Russ | 2,398 | 3.9 | |
| Republican | Nate Sandvig | 2,222 | 3.6 | |
| Total votes | 62,062 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Tossup | October 11, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Tossup | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean D(flip) | September 29, 2022 |
| Politico[24] | Tossup | October 18, 2022 |
| RCP[25] | Tossup | October 16, 2022 |
| Fox News[26] | Tossup | October 18, 2022 |
| DDHQ[27] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
| 538[28] | Lean D(flip) | November 4, 2022 |
| The Economist[29] | Lean D(flip) | October 4, 2022 |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Andrea Salinas (D) | Mike Erickson (R) | Undecided [f] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[140] | July 28 – October 5, 2022 | October 10, 2022 | 40.6% | 44.3% | 15.1% | Erickson +3.7 |
Graphical summary
 | This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Andrea Salinas (D) | Mike Erickson (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBAO (D)[141][G] | October 3–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 2%[g] | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[142][H] | September 29–30, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 44% | – | 17% |
| Clout Research (R)[115][E] | August 14–19, 2022 | 409 (V) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 43% | – | 23% |
| GBAO (D)[143][G] | August 10–14, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Cygnal (R)[74][I] | July 26–28, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 47% | – | 13% |
| RMG Research[144] | June 4–9, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Andrea Salinas | 147,156 | 50.0 | ||
| Republican | Mike Erickson | 139,946 | 47.5 | ||
| Constitution | Larry McFarland | 6,762 | 2.3 | ||
| Write-in | 513 | 0.2 | |||
| Total votes | 294,377 | 100.0 | |||
| Democraticwin (new seat) | |||||
| County[30] | Andrea Salinas Democratic | Mike Erickson Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Clackamas (part) | 10,678 | 54.84% | 8,507 | 43.69% | 286 | 1.47% | 2,171 | 11.15% | 19,471 |
| Marion (part) | 48,274 | 46.21% | 53,018 | 50.75% | 3,175 | 3.04% | -4,744 | -4.54% | 104,467 |
| Polk | 17,583 | 43.35% | 21,906 | 54.00% | 1,074 | 2.65% | -4,323 | -10.66% | 40,563 |
| Washington (part) | 50,086 | 61.55% | 29,904 | 36.75% | 1,389 | 1.71% | 20,182 | 24.80% | 81,379 |
| Yamhill | 20,535 | 42.34% | 26,611 | 54.87% | 1,351 | 2.79% | -6,076 | -12.53% | 48,497 |
| Totals | 147,156 | 49.99% | 139,946 | 47.54% | 7,275 | 2.47% | 7,210 | 2.45% | 294,377 |
Partisan clients
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
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