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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2022 United States House of Representatives elections.
Not to be confused with2022 Montana House of Representatives election.

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
← 2020November 8, 20222024 →
Both Montana seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority partyThird party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Last election100
Seats won200
Seat changeIncrease 1SteadySteady
Popular vote245,081158,74547,195
Percentage52.86%34.24%10.18%
SwingDecrease 3.53%Decrease 9.37%New
Party gains
District results
County results
     Republican hold     Republican gain

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%

Elections in Montana
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect twoU.S. Representatives fromMontana, one from each of itscongressional districts. Prior to this election cycle, Montana had oneat-largedistrict, represented by RepublicanMatt Rosendale. However, during the2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained the2nd district that it lost in 1993.

As a result, Montana became the first state relegated from multi-district to at-large status that reclaimed a second representative in the House of Representatives, in which Rosendale ran for re-election.[1][2]

Overview

[edit]

District

[edit]
DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1120,28549.73%112,27146.42%9,3053.85%241,861100.00%Republican gain
District 2120,89956.57%42,90520.08%49,89223.35%213,696100.00%Republican hold
Total241,18452.94%155,17634.06%59,19712.99%455,557100.00%
Popular vote
Republican
 
52.94%
Democratic
 
34.06%
Independent
 
10.30%
Libertarian
 
2.70%
House seats
Republican
 
100.00%

District 1

[edit]
See also:Montana's 1st congressional district
2022 Montana's 1st congressional district election
2024 →
 
NomineeRyan ZinkeMonica Tranel
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote123,102115,265
Percentage49.7%46.5%
County results
Precinct results
Zinke:     50−60%     60−70%     70−80%     80−90%
Tranel:     40−50%     50−60%     60−70%     70−80%     80−90%     >90%
No votes:     
U.S. Representative before election

None
(New district)

Elected U.S. Representative

Ryan Zinke
Republican

The 1st district is based in mountainousWestern Montana, including the cities ofMissoula,Bozeman andButte.[3] Prior to redistricting in 2021, it was represented along with the rest of the state byat-large district representativeMatt Rosendale. Since Rosendale ran for re-election in the 2nd district, this district was an open seat.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ryan Zinke

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

State officials

Organizations

Declined to endorse

U.S. Representative

Results

[edit]
Primary results by county:
  Zinke
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Olszewski
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[7][16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRyan Zinke35,60141.7
RepublicanAlbert Olszewski33,92739.7
RepublicanMary Todd8,91510.4
RepublicanMatthew Jette4,9735.8
RepublicanMitch Heuer1,9532.3
Total votes85,369100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Monica Tranel

Statewide officials

State legislators

Organizations

Labor unions

Tom Winter

U.S. Representative

Organization

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[7][16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMonica Tranel37,13864.9
DemocraticCora Neumann15,39626.9
DemocraticTom Winter4,7238.2
Total votes57,257100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • John Lamb, farmer and business owner[30]

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2022 Montana's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocraticLibertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Ryan ZinkeMonica TranelJohn Lamb
1Oct. 1, 2022KTVQDonna Kelly[31]PPN

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[32]Lean ROctober 19, 2022
Inside Elections[33]Lean ROctober 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34]Lean ROctober 19, 2022
Politico[35]Likely RApril 5, 2022
RCP[36]Likely RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[37]Lean ROctober 18, 2022
DDHQ[38]Likely RSeptember 29, 2022
538[39]Likely RNovember 8, 2022
The Economist[40]Likely RSeptember 28, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Ryan
Zinke (R)		Monica
Tranel (D)		John
Lamb (L)		Undecided
MSU Billings[41]October 3–14, 2022<343 (V)[b]± 5.9%34%25%17%20%
Victoria Research (D)[42][A]September 14–19, 2022400 (LV)± 3.4%41%40%8%11%
Impact Research (D)[43][B]September 14–19, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%45%43%3%9%

Results

[edit]
2022 Montana's 1st congressional district election[44]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRyan Zinke123,10249.65%
DemocraticMonica Tranel115,26546.49%
LibertarianJohn Lamb9,5933.87%
Total votes247,960100.00%
Republicanwin (new seat)
By county
[edit]
Ryan Zinke
Republican		Monica Tranel
Democratic		John Lamb
Libertarian		MarginTotal
County[44]Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes
Beaverhead3,00466.36%1,33029.38%1934.26%1,67436.98%4,527
Deer Lodge1,51037.96%2,25656.71%2125.33%-746-18.75%3,978
Flathead29,29061.37%16,57134.72%1,8643.91%12,71926.65%47,725
Gallatin22,28842.18%28,74754.40%1,8103.43%-6,459-12.22%52,845
Glacier1,21339.49%1,74856.90%1113.61%-535-17.42%3,072
Granite1,14964.48%53329.91%1005.61%61634.57%1,782
Lake7,38955.48%5,38840.46%5414.06%2,00115.02%13,318
Lincoln6,68771.65%2,20023.57%4464.78%4,48748.08%9,333
Madison3,29065.39%1,48329.48%2585.13%1,80735.92%5,031
Mineral1,45866.76%58026.56%1466.68%87840.20%2,184
Missoula18,84633.33%35,99163.66%1,7033.01%-17,145-30.32%56,540
Pondera (part)46164.57%22731.79%263.64%23432.77%714
Powell1,76268.48%63924.83%1726.68%1,12343.65%2,573
Ravalli15,15864.32%7,52331.92%8863.76%7,63532.40%23,567
Sanders4,54968.67%1,61524.38%4606.94%2,93444.29%6,624
Silver Bow5,04835.68%8,43459.62%6654.70%-3,386-23.93%14,147
Totals123,10249.65%115,26546.49%9,5933.87%7,8373.16%247,960

District 2

[edit]
See also:Montana's 2nd congressional district
2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district election
 
NomineeMatt RosendaleGary BuchananPenny Ronning
PartyRepublicanIndependentDemocratic
Popular vote121,97946,91543,480
Percentage56.6%21.9%20.2%
County results
Rosendale:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Precinct results
Rosendale:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Buchanan:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Ronning:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Matt Rosendale
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Matt Rosendale
Republican

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of theContinental Divide, including the cities ofBillings,Great Falls andHelena.[3] IncumbentMatt Rosendale, a Republican who was elected in theat-large district with 56.4% of the vote in 2020, sought re-election in this district.[45]

This was the first U.S. congressional election where the Democratic nominee finished third since the2018 Maine Senate race.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Kyle Austin, healthcare company owner[47]
  • James Boyette, sales manager[7]
  • Charles Walking Child, activist[48]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Matt Rosendale

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[7][51]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMatt Rosendale (incumbent)73,45375.7
RepublicanKyle Austin11,93012.3
RepublicanCharles Walking Child5,9096.1
RepublicanJames Boyette5,7125.9
Total votes97,004100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Skylar Williams, student[48]
Deceased
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Jack Ballard, outdoor writer and candidate for U.S. Senate in2020[54][55]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Penny Ronning

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[7][16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPenny Ronning21,98358.5
DemocraticMark Sweeney †8,58622.8
DemocraticSkylar Williams7,02918.7
Total votes37,598100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Sam Rankin, lawyer, real estate broker, and perennial candidate[57]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Roger Roots, nominee for U.S. Senate in2014[7]
  • Samuel Thomas[7]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[7][16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianSam Rankin95847.0
LibertarianSamuel Thomas55427.2
LibertarianRoger Roots52625.8
Total votes2,038100.0

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Gary Buchanan, financial advisor and former director of the Montana Department of Commerce[58]
Disqualified
[edit]
  • Curt Zygmond, beer brewing intern[59][60]

Endorsements

[edit]
Gary Buchanan

State officials

State legislators

Local politicians

Labor unions

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocraticLibertarianIndependent
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Matt RosendalePenny RonningSam RankinGary Buchanan
1Oct. 1, 2022KTVQ[64]PPNP

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[32]Solid RNovember 16, 2021
Inside Elections[33]Solid RNovember 19, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[34]Safe RNovember 17, 2021
Politico[35]Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP[36]Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[37]Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[38]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[39]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[40]Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Matt
Rosendale (R)		Penny
Ronning (D)		Gary
Buchanan (I)		Sam
Rankin (L)		Undecided
MSU Billings[41]October 3–14, 2022<343 (V)[b]± 5.9%35%17%21%5%17%

Results

[edit]
2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district election[44]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMatt Rosendale (incumbent)121,97956.56%
IndependentGary Buchanan47,19521.88%
DemocraticPenny Ronning43,48020.16%
LibertarianSam Rankin3,0181.40%
Total votes215,672100.00%
Republicanhold
By county
[edit]
Matt Rosendale
Republican		Penny Ronning
Democratic		Gary Buchanan
Independent		Sam Rankin
Libertarian		MarginTotal
County[44]Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes
Big Horn1,47645.47%1,21437.40%50515.56%511.57%2628.07%3,246
Blaine1,04056.06%58731.64%20811.21%201.08%45324.42%1,855
Broadwater2,41770.47%39911.63%55916.30%551.60%1,85854.17%3,430
Carbon3,29456.47%1,03017.66%1,42024.34%891.53%1,87432.13%5,833
Carter66387.35%374.87%466.06%131.71%61781.29%759
Cascade15,63453.76%6,63822.83%6,39722.00%4101.41%8,99630.94%29,079
Chouteau1,46363.89%39517.25%39017.03%421.83%1,06846.64%2,290
Custer2,95964.88%84818.59%68415.00%701.53%2,11146.28%4,561
Daniels60178.98%8010.51%688.94%121.58%52168.46%761
Dawson2,58372.68%52414.74%42511.96%220.62%2,05957.93%3,554
Fallon1,05384.85%947.57%877.01%70.56%95977.28%1,241
Fergus3,80870.19%61911.41%92717.09%711.31%2,88153.11%5,425
Garfield58689.06%182.74%466.99%81.22%54082.07%658
Golden Valley34878.03%378.30%5311.88%81.79%29566.14%446
Hill2,70352.58%1,46328.46%87116.94%1042.02%1,24024.12%5,141
Jefferson3,75257.91%1,03115.91%1,61524.93%811.25%2,13732.98%6,479
Judith Basin78471.66%12711.61%17015.54%131.19%61456.12%1,094
Lewis and Clark14,23742.72%7,42222.27%11,20133.61%4631.39%3,0369.11%33,323
Liberty66071.97%11712.76%13414.61%60.65%52657.36%917
McCone77083.06%929.92%596.36%60.65%67873.14%927
Meagher62868.78%899.75%17619.28%202.19%45249.51%913
Musselshell1,79379.37%1838.10%25611.33%271.20%1,53768.04%2,259
Park4,23646.98%2,48727.58%2,14623.80%1481.64%1,74919.40%9,017
Petroleum23581.31%134.50%3913.49%20.69%19667.82%289
Phillips1,37678.40%20311.57%1599.06%170.97%1,17366.84%1,755
Pondera (part)1,08167.31%21513.39%28217.56%281.74%79949.75%1,606
Powder River72480.53%626.90%10812.01%50.56%61668.52%899
Prairie46776.68%7211.82%6210.18%81.31%39564.86%609
Richland2,94178.34%53014.12%2346.23%491.31%2,41164.22%3,754
Roosevelt1,39654.15%96937.59%1666.44%471.82%42716.56%2,578
Rosebud1,74764.56%51619.07%41315.26%301.11%1,23145.49%2,706
Sheridan1,09768.09%35321.91%1308.07%311.92%74446.18%1,611
Stillwater3,21470.98%48810.78%76816.96%581.28%2,44654.02%4,528
Sweet Grass1,27668.57%20511.02%36219.45%180.97%91449.11%1,861
Teton1,91765.88%47916.46%48516.67%291.00%1,43249.21%2,910
Toole1,21273.14%19411.71%22213.40%291.75%99059.75%1,657
Treasure30772.75%225.21%9121.56%20.47%21651.18%422
Valley2,21768.85%51215.90%42913.32%621.93%1,70552.95%3,220
Wheatland57668.49%849.99%16819.98%131.55%40848.51%841
Wibaux35781.32%337.52%4510.25%40.91%31271.07%439
Yellowstone32,35153.23%12,99921.39%14,58924.00%8401.38%17,76229.22%60,779
Totals121,97956.56%43,48020.16%47,19521.88%3,0181.40%74,78434.67%215,672

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^abThe poll had 343 total respondents across both congressional districts
  1. ^This poll was sponsored by the Big Sky Voters PAC, which supports Tranel
  2. ^This poll was sponsored by Tranel's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^Lutey, Tom (April 26, 2021)."Montana gains second U.S. House seat".The Billings Gazette.
  2. ^"Rapid population growth gives Montana 2nd US House seat".AP News. April 26, 2021.
  3. ^abWulfhorst, Emma (November 12, 2021)."MT redistricting commission officially approves final map".NBC Montana. RetrievedNovember 13, 2021.
  4. ^Wilson, Reid (April 29, 2021)."Trump Interior secretary Zinke files to run for Congress, again".The Hill. RetrievedApril 29, 2021.
  5. ^Dennison, Mike (June 3, 2021)."Zinke's 2022 campaign for MT congressional seat is official".KTVH-DT. RetrievedJune 12, 2021.
  6. ^"Montana's Congressional District 1: Zinke the person to beat in 2022?". November 28, 2021.
  7. ^abcdefghijk"2022 Candidate Filing List: Non-Legislative". Montana Secretary of State. RetrievedMarch 14, 2022.
  8. ^abcdefgGeorgiou, Maritsa (May 5, 2021)."List of people considering a run for Montana's regained U.S. House seat is long".KECI. RetrievedMay 6, 2021.
  9. ^"Olszewski second Republican in race for MT's new U.S. House seat".KTVH. July 1, 2021. RetrievedJuly 1, 2021.
  10. ^Wilson, Sam (October 22, 2021)."Kalispell pastor running as Republican in Montana's new House district".Helena Independent Record.
  11. ^Warren, Bradley (July 9, 2021)."Former President Trump endorses Ryan Zinke for Montana's new congressional seat".kulr8.com. RetrievedJuly 26, 2021.
  12. ^"Endorsements". February 14, 2022. RetrievedJuly 14, 2022.
  13. ^abDennison, Mike (November 28, 2021)."Montana's Congressional District 1: Zinke the person to beat in 2022?".www.ktvh.com.KTVH-DT. RetrievedNovember 28, 2021.
  14. ^Axelrod, Tal (January 5, 2022)."GOP-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund unveils first midterm endorsements".www.thehill.com.The Hill. RetrievedJanuary 5, 2022.
  15. ^Dennison, Mike (January 14, 2022)."Rep. Rosendale's first year in Congress: Plenty of 'no' votes".KTVH-DT. RetrievedJanuary 15, 2022.
  16. ^abcd"Montana House Primary Election Results".2022 Primary Election. Montana Secretary of State. June 7, 2022. RetrievedJune 8, 2022.
  17. ^"Democrat Monica Tranel running for state's new U.S. House seat".Independent-Record. July 7, 2021. RetrievedJuly 7, 2021.
  18. ^Michels, Holly (July 13, 2021)."Democrat Cora Neumann running for Montana's new U.S. House seat".www.helenair.com. RetrievedAugust 18, 2021.
  19. ^"Democrat Tom Winter running for U.S. House".www.helenair.com. November 3, 2021. RetrievedNovember 3, 2021.
  20. ^"Bishop Leaves Race for Montana's Western U.S. House Seat".www.usnews.com.U.S. News & World Report. RetrievedNovember 18, 2021.
  21. ^"Shane Morigeau announces candidacy for Montana Senate District 48".Char-Koosta News. Shane For Montana. July 14, 2021.
  22. ^Dennison, Mike (July 2, 2021)."2 more candidates enter race for Montana's new seat in Congress".www.missoulacurrent.com. Missoula Current. RetrievedJuly 30, 2021.
  23. ^Kimbeil-Sannit, Arren (July 26, 2021)."Former Gov. Schweitzer endorses Monica Tranel for Congress".missoulacurrent.com. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2021.
  24. ^abWeinberg, Dan;Jopek, Mike (November 18, 2021)."Letters: Former Montana state legislators back Monica Tranel for Congress".The Missoula Current. RetrievedApril 25, 2022.
  25. ^"LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New Endorsements for Congress".www.lcv.org. July 5, 2022.
  26. ^abc"Montana unions endorse independent Buchanan over Democrat Ronning". August 26, 2022.
  27. ^Khanna, Ro [@RoKhanna] (April 6, 2022)."Proud to endorse @WinterForMT who is for creating high wage jobs in Montana in manufacturing, tech, and renewable energy. Montana can provide wind to a lot of the West Coast if we invest in the smart grid. A bold progressive voice with fresh ideas!" (Tweet).Archived from the original on April 6, 2022. RetrievedDecember 14, 2022 – viaTwitter.
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  31. ^YouTube
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  40. ^ab"The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast".The Economist. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2022.
  41. ^abMSU Billings
  42. ^Victoria Research (D)
  43. ^Impact Research (D)
  44. ^abcdJacobsen, Christi (November 8, 2022)."2022 STATEWIDE GENERAL ELECTION CANVASS"(PDF).Secretary of State of Montana.Archived(PDF) from the original on September 25, 2025. RetrievedOctober 15, 2025.
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  47. ^"Austin for Congress".Pharm406.
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  59. ^"Politics1 - Online Guide to Montana Elections, Candidates & Politics".
  60. ^"Rosendale leads U.S. House race in donations with $900k". February 2022.
  61. ^abcdDietrich, Eric (April 8, 2022)."Bipartisan old guard backs Gary Buchanan for Congress".montanafreepress.org.Montana Free Press. RetrievedApril 9, 2022.
  62. ^abMurray, David (September 29, 2022)."Independent Gary Buchanan visits Great Falls on campaign trying to find partisan gaps".Great Falls Tribune. RetrievedNovember 27, 2022.
  63. ^Geise, Susan (October 28, 2022)."Susan Good Geise: Gary Buchanan has the character and intelligence to act in our best interests".Independent Record. RetrievedNovember 27, 2022.
  64. ^YouTube

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Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

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