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| Turnout | 66.6% | ||||||||||||||||
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 County results Hageman: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Grey Bull: 40–50% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Wyoming | ||||||||||||
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The2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2022, to elect theU.S. representative forWyoming's at-large congressional district. The election coincided withother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate, and variousstate and local elections.
Although incumbent RepublicanLiz Cheney had been reelected with 68.6% of the vote in2020,[1] she faced backlash from her party for her opposition toDonald Trump, vocal support ofTrump's second impeachment, and vote in favor and service on theJanuary 6th Committee. She was defeated by pro-Trump candidateHarriet Hageman in the Republican primary on August 16, 2022,[2] with a landslide 66.3% of the vote going to Hageman. Cheney's margin of defeat marked the second-worst for a House incumbent in the last 60 years, behind that of South Carolina RepublicanBob Inglis ina 2010 primary runoff.[3] Democrats nominated nonprofit founderLynnette Grey Bull, who was also their nominee in 2020.
As expected in thesolidly Republican state of Wyoming, Hageman won in a landslide. However, Grey Bull did manage to flipAlbany County, which she had lost in2020.
Incumbent Liz Cheney was criticized by supporters of former presidentDonald Trump forher vote to impeach him, as well as refusing to object to thecertification of the Electoral College results in the2020 presidential election.[4] Following her impeachment vote, Florida CongressmanMatt Gaetz appeared at a rally at theWyoming State Capitol in support of ousting Cheney, withDonald Trump Jr. also supporting it by phone in January 2021.[5] For the same reason, theWyoming Republican Party later voted to censure her and requested that she resign or be primaried in the next election. Later that year, it also voted 31–29 to no longer recognize Cheney as a member due to her actions to participate in theJanuary 6 Select Committee shortly after being removed as Conference Chair.[6][7]
In February 2021, members of theFreedom Caucus attempted to have Cheney removed from her position asChair of the House Republican Conference in response to her impeachment vote. In asecret ballot, 61 members of the conference voted to remove, while 145 voted not to remove. Cheney retained her position in large part because of the support by these Republicans, includingHouse Minority LeaderKevin McCarthy andHouse Minority WhipSteve Scalise.[8][9] Eventually, however, Cheney's continued criticism of Trump lost her support by more Republicans, including McCarthy and Scalise, and McCarthy was caught on ahot mic saying "I've had it with her" in reference to Cheney. On May 12, 2021, Cheney was removed from her position as conference chair by avoice vote and replaced withElise Stefanik.[9]
On May 21, 2021, challenger Anthony Bouchard admitted that as a teenager he fell in love with and started dating a 14-year-old girl who he subsequently impregnated and then married. Bouchard was 18 at the time. He claimed he went public with the story because he had learned that it was being investigated by others, though the Cheney campaign denied investigating it. He compared his relationship with the unnamed girl to "theRomeo and Juliet story." The two were married but divorced three years later, and she committed suicide at age 20. Bouchard continued to raise their son after her death, though he says the two are nowestranged.[10][11]
Cheney andAdam Kinzinger were censured by theRepublican National Committee at its meeting inSalt Lake City on February 4, 2022, due to "actions in their positions as members of theJanuary 6th Select Committee not befitting Republican members of Congress". The Wyoming delegation to the committee also submitted a "Rule 11" letter formalizing support for challenger Harriet Hageman and allowing the RNC to spend money allocated for Wyoming's party branch on her behalf. At the same time, support of Hageman surged following the censure of Cheney.[12][13] Hageman has referred toDonald Trump as "racist and xenophobic" and also called him "the weakest candidate" during the2016 presidential election; at the same time Hageman endorsed Cheney and called her a "proven, courageous, constitutional conservative."[14][15]
Following Cheney's defeat, she called Hageman to concede the race. However, Hageman alleged that Cheney only left two words: "Hi Harriet". This prompted Cheney to release the full audio recording of the call which showed that she did, in fact, concede the race. The Hageman camp asserted that a technical glitch was at fault.[16]
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Wyoming PBS has had a tradition of hosting one debate for each for the Democratic and Republican primaries for all candidates on the ballot in their respective primaries, as well as one general election debate for all candidates on the ballot. All Republican candidates on the ballot who did not withdraw were included in the sole debate. This debate was not open to the public, but was open to media outlets.[71] Due to Liz Cheney's role as Vice Chair in the hearings for theUnited States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack which were broadcast, different MSNBC hosts would later show debate clips of her defending her work in the committee.[72]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||
| Liz Cheney | Robyn Belinskey | Anthony Bouchard | Harriet Hageman | Denton Knapp | Chuck Gray | Bryan Miller | Darin Smith | |||||
| 1 | June 30, 2022 | Wyoming PBS | Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine Steven Dahl | [73] | P | P | P | P | P | W | W | W |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Anthony Bouchard | Liz Cheney | Harriet Hageman | Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[74] | July 7 – August 6, 2022 | August 12, 2022 | 3.5% | 29.0% | 54.5% | 13.0% | Hageman +25.5 |
Graphical summary
 | This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Anthony Bouchard | Liz Cheney | Chuck Gray | Harriet Hageman | Darin Smith | Other | Undecided | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Wyoming[75] | July 25 – August 6, 2022 | 562 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 2% | 28% | – | 57% | – | 1%[c] | 12% | ||||||||
| WPA Intelligence (R)[76][A] | July 12–14, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5%[d] | 31%[d] | – | 59%[d] | – | – | 5%[d] | ||||||||
| 5%[e] | 36%[e] | – | 54%[e] | – | – | 5%[e] | ||||||||||||
| 5%[f] | 39%[f] | – | 51%[f] | – | – | 5%[f] | ||||||||||||
| Mason-Dixon[77] | July 7–11, 2022 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 5% | 30% | – | 52% | – | 2%[g] | 11% | ||||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[78][B] | June 1–2, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 8% | 28% | – | 56% | – | <1%[h] | 7% | ||||||||
| WPA Intelligence (R)[79][A] | May 24–25, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 12% | 26% | – | 56% | – | – | 6% | ||||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[78][B] | December 14–15, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 13% | 26% | – | 34% | – | 2%[i] | 26% | ||||||||
| September 14, 2021 | Gray suspends his campaign | |||||||||||||||||
| September 9, 2021 | Smith withdraws and endorses Hageman | |||||||||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[80][C] | July 26, 2021 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 17% | 23% | 18% | – | 7% | 5%[j] | 30% | ||||||||
| – | 23% | 25% | – | 14% | – | 39% | ||||||||||||
| – | 24% | 63% | – | – | – | 14% | ||||||||||||
| Remington Research Group (R)[81][D] | July 25–26, 2021 | 766 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 18% | 19% | 14% | – | 24% | – | 25% | ||||||||
| – | 20% | – | – | 70% | – | 10% | ||||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[82][E] | January 25–26, 2021 | – (LV)[k] | – | 28% | 21% | 17% | – | – | – | 34% | ||||||||
| 50% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 27% | ||||||||||||
| – | 23% | 50% | – | – | – | 27% | ||||||||||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Harriet Hageman | 113,079 | 66.3% | |
| Republican | Liz Cheney (incumbent) | 49,339 | 28.9% | |
| Republican | Anthony Bouchard | 4,508 | 2.6% | |
| Republican | Denton Knapp | 2,258 | 1.3% | |
| Republican | Robyn Belinskey | 1,306 | 0.8% | |
| Total votes | 170,490 | 100.0 | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderators | Link | Participants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Lynnette Grey Bull | Meghan Jensen | Steve Helling | |||||
| 1 | August 4, 2022 | Wyoming PBS | Bob Beck Steve Peck Craig Blumenshine | [84] | P | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lynnette Grey Bull | 4,507 | 62.3 | |
| Democratic | Meghan Jensen | 1,833 | 25.3 | |
| Democratic | Steve Helling | 897 | 12.4 | |
| Total votes | 7,237 | 100.0 | ||
In the general election, Hageman faced Democratic nominee and Native American activist Lynnette Grey Bull, who was Cheney's opponent in 2020. However, Hageman was overwhelmingly favored in November.[89] Republicans had a nearly 7-to-1 advantage in registration over Democrats,[90] and Trump carried the state in 2020 with almost 70 percent of the vote, his strongest state-level performance in the nation.
Hageman won the 2022 election. She is the fourth consecutive Republican woman to represent Wyoming in the House.Barbara Cubin won the seat in 1994, followed byCynthia Lummis in 2008, followed byCheney in 2016, and followed by Hageman.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[91] | Solid R | October 25, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[92] | Solid R | October 11, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[93] | Safe R | October 5, 2021 |
| Politico[94] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
| RCP[95] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
| Fox News[96] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
| DDHQ[97] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[98] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Constitution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Harriet Hageman | Lynette Grey Bull | Richard Brubaker | Marissa Selvig | |||||
| 1[99] | Oct. 13, 2022 | Central Wyoming College Wyoming PBS Wyoming Public Media | Craig Blumenshine | [100] | A | P | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Harriet Hageman (R) | Lynnette Grey Bull (D) | Others | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Wyoming[102] | October 22 – November 3, 2022 | 436 (LV) | – | 62% | 23% | 4%[l] | 11% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Harriet Hageman | 132,206 | 68.18% | −0.37 | |
| Democratic | Lynnette Grey Bull | 47,250 | 24.37% | −0.22 | |
| Libertarian | Richard Brubaker | 5,420 | 2.80% | −0.95 | |
| Write-in | 4,521 | 2.33% | +2.14 | ||
| Constitution | Marissa Selvig | 4,505 | 2.32% | −0.60 | |
| Total votes | 193,902 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
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Official campaign websites for candidates
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