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| Turnout | 50.23% | ||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsStitt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Hofmeister: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Oklahoma |
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The2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect thegovernor of Oklahoma. IncumbentRepublican governorKevin Stitt was re-elected to a second term, with 55.5% of the vote, defeatingDemocratic nomineeJoy Hofmeister.[1]
Although Stitt won by a comfortable margin, and even expanded his margin from2018, his performance was the worst of any 2022 Republican candidate for statewide office in Oklahoma. Stitt also lost three counties that voted Republican in the 2020 U.S. presidential race: Cleveland, Oklahoma, and Tulsa. Meanwhile, Hofmeister's performance was the second best of any 2022 Democratic statewide candidate in Oklahoma, only behindState Superintendent of Public Instruction nominee Jena Nelson.
Theprimary elections for theRepublican andDemocratic parties' nominations took place on June 28, 2022.[2] The deadline for candidates to file was April 15, 2022.[2]
Ervin Yen, former state senator from the 40th District, was the first to declare their campaign for theRepublican Party of Oklahoma's nomination on November 8, 2020.[3] Yen later publicly announced on October 19, 2021, that he was leaving theRepublican Party of Oklahoma. He criticized the party's opposition to mask and vaccine mandates forCOVID-19, saying, "The Oklahoma GOP has left me."[4]
IncumbentKevin Stitt was reported as joining the race in January 2021 after officially filing forre-election.[5]
Mark Sherwood, anaturopath, was reported as joining the race in September 2021. His platform included a "zero tolerance policy" for vaccine and mask mandates. He stated, "I believe the concept of vaccine and mask mandates needs to end."[6]
Joel Kintsel announced his candidacy on April 7. Moira McCabe was reported to have launched their campaign around the same time.[7]
In early June, Stitt's campaign pulled one of its commercials after Oklahoma County District Attorney,David Prater announced an investigation into whether it violated state law for featuringOklahoma Attorney GeneralJohn O'Connor. While pulling the ad, the campaign maintained they were "confident that it is an acceptable campaign ad focused on the Governor's accomplishments and fulfilled campaign promises."[8]
Incumbent Kevin Stitt won the June 28 Republican primary.
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joel Kintsel | Moira McCabe | Mark Sherwood | Kevin Stitt | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amber Integrated (R)[24] | June 6–9, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 61% | 23% |
| SoonerPoll[25] | April 25 – May 11, 2022 | 306 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 67% | 24% |
| Amber Integrated (R)[26] | March 24–27, 2022 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | 15% | 59% | 26% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin Stitt (incumbent) | 248,525 | 69.06% | |
| Republican | Joel Kintsel | 51,587 | 14.33% | |
| Republican | Mark Sherwood | 47,713 | 13.26% | |
| Republican | Moira McCabe | 12,046 | 3.35% | |
| Total votes | 359,871 | 100.0% | ||
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Former state senator Connie Johnson was the first Democrat to enter the race, officially declaring her candidacy on July 6, 2021. Her platform included expanding access to healthcare, revitalizing Oklahoma's infrastructure, pursuing criminal justice reforms like banning thedeath penalty, support forreproductive rights, and legalizing marijuana (marijuana is currently legal in Oklahoma formedicinal purposes, but is illegal forrecreational use). A politicalprogressive, Johnson was the only Oklahomasuperdelegate who supportedVermont SenatorBernie Sanders in the2016 presidential primary.[28][29]
On October 7, 2021,Oklahoma State Superintendent of Public Instruction Joy Hofmeister announced her plans to switch from theRepublican Party to the Democratic Party and run for governor. Hofmeister had first been elected as a Republican in2014 and2018. This marked the first time since 2011 that a Democrat held a statewide elected position in Oklahoma. Hofmeister had frequently clashed with Republican governorKevin Stitt during theCOVID-19 pandemic. In particular, she opposed the decision by theOklahoma State Department of Education, whose members were appointed by Stitt, to forego imposing amask mandate on schools.[30] Her platform included increasing education funding, investing in infrastructure, expanding mental health services,sentencing reform, and support forabortion rights.[31]
Johnson was openly skeptical of Hofmeister's decision to change parties, calling it a "big hoax." She pointed out that Hofmeister could still switch back to the Republican Party after being elected.[31] However, other Democrats in the state were more receptive, with theOklahoma Democratic Party issuing a statement welcoming Hofmeister to the party.[32] Oklahoma Democratic Party chair Alicia Andrews admitted she was suspicious at first, but after talking with Hofmeister she became convinced that Hofmeister's intentions were good. Hofmeister emphasized that she was not changing her political beliefs, just her party, and is considerably moremoderate in comparison to Johnson.[33] Andrews commented that they were "two very different candidates," and they gave Democratic voters "a real choice. If you don’t have a super progressive bent and maybe Connie scares you because she is so progressive, you have Joy. If Joy is too moderate, you have Connie."[29]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Joy Hofmeister | Connie Johnson | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amber Integrated (R)[39] | October 12–14, 2021 | 243 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 33% | 13% | 55% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joy Hofmeister | 101,913 | 60.73% | |
| Democratic | Connie Johnson | 65,894 | 39.27% | |
| Total votes | 167,807 | 100.0% | ||
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Joy Hofmeister | Kevin Stitt | Natalie Bruno | Ervin Yen | ||||||
| 1 | October 19, 2022 | C-SPAN | Tres Savage and Storme Jones | [1] | P | P | N | N | |
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| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[71] | Likely R | September 29, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[72] | Likely R | October 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[73] | Likely R | October 12, 2022 |
| Politico[74] | Likely R | October 3, 2022 |
| RCP[75] | Tossup | October 17, 2022 |
| Fox News[76] | Lean R | November 1, 2022 |
| 538[77] | Likely R | October 17, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[78] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kevin Stitt (R) | Joy Hofmeister (D) | Other [c] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight[79] | March 27 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 48.2% | 43.4% | 8.4% | Stitt +4.8 |
Graphical summary
 | This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Kevin Stitt (R) | Joy Hofmeister (D) | Natalie Bruno (L) | Ervin Yen (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascend Action (R)[80] | November 5–6, 2022 | 682 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Tomahawk Strategies (R)[81] | November 1–3, 2022 | 729 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 45% | – | – | – |
| Blueprint Polling[82] | October 26 – November 1, 2022 | 557 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 40% | 2% | 4% | 6% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[83][A] | October 28–31, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | – | – | 4% |
| Amber Integrated (R)[84] | October 26–28, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 2% | 4% | 4% |
| Emerson College[85] | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
| 52% | 43% | 2% | 4% | – | ||||
| Ascend Action (R)[86] | October 24–28, 2022 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| SoonerPoll[87] | October 24–28, 2022 | 324 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 48% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| Amber Integrated (R)[88] | October 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 46% | 1% | 3% | 5% |
| Ascend Action (R)[89] | October 10–12, 2022 | 638 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 49% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| SoonerPoll[90] | October 3–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 43% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
| American Viewpoint (R)[91][A] | September 26–28, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 33% | 9%[d] | 8% | |
| Amber Integrated (R)[92] | September 19–21, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| –(L)[B] | September 15–18, 2022 | 2,989 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 40% | 9% | 5% | 7% |
| SoonerPoll[93] | September 2–7, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 43% | 3% | 4% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights[94] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (RV) | ± 6.3% | 55% | 36% | – | – | 10% |
| Change Research (D)[95][C] | July 22–26, 2022 | 2,079 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 34% | 6% | 4% | 14% |
| Amber Integrated (R)[96] | June 6–9, 2022 | 795 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 29% | 2% | 5% | 18% |
| Amber Integrated (R)[97] | March 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 30% | 3% | 4% | 18% |
| Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R)[98][D] | January 10–21, 2022 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 27% | 3% | 5% | 15% |
| Change Research (D)[95][C] | January 6–10, 2022 | 881 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 58% | 32% | – | – | 10% |
| Amber Integrated (R)[99] | December 15–19, 2021 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 32% | – | – | 21% |
| Amber Integrated (R)[39] | October 12–14, 2021 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 33% | – | – | 18% |
| Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates (R)[98][D] | October 2021 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 31% | 6% | 17% | |
Swing by county
Trend by county| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin Stitt (incumbent) | 639,484 | 55.45% | +1.12% | |
| Democratic | Joy Hofmeister | 481,904 | 41.79% | −0.44% | |
| Libertarian | Natalie Bruno | 16,243 | 1.41% | −2.03% | |
| Independent | Ervin Yen | 15,653 | 1.36% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,153,284 | 100.0% | |||
| Turnout | 1,153,284 | 52.23% | |||
| Registered electors | 2,295,906 | ||||
| Republicanhold | |||||
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Stitt won four of five congressional districts, with Hofmeister winning the remaining one, which elected a Republican.[102]
| District | Stitt | Hofmeister | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 52% | 46% | Kevin Hern |
| 2nd | 63% | 34% | Markwayne Mullin (117th Congress) |
| Josh Brecheen (118th Congress) | |||
| 3rd | 61% | 36% | Frank Lucas |
| 4th | 54% | 43% | Tom Cole |
| 5th | 48.65% | 48.69% | Stephanie Bice |
Partisan clients
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{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link){{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)Official campaign websites