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2022 Japanese House of Councillors election

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2022 Japanese House of Councillors election

← 201910 July 20222025 →

124 of the 248 seats in theHouse of Councillors
125 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered105,019,203 (Decrease0.86%)
Turnout52.05% (Increase3.25pp; Const. votes)
52.04% (Increase3.25pp; National votes)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Fumio_Kishida_20211005_(cropped).jpg
Kenta_Izumi_2022.jpg
Natsuo_Yamaguchi_20220518.jpg
LeaderFumio KishidaKenta IzumiNatsuo Yamaguchi
PartyLDPCDPKomeito
Last election113 seats32 seats28 seats
Seats after1193927
Seat changeIncrease6Increase7Decrease1
Constituency vote20,603,2988,154,3303,600,490
% and swing38.74% (Decrease1.03pp)15.33% (Decrease0.46pp)6.77% (Decrease1.00pp)
National vote18,256,2456,771,9146,181,432
% and swing34.43% (Decrease0.94pp)12.77% (Decrease3.04pp)11.66% (Decrease1.39pp)

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
Ichiro_Matsui_2022.jpg
Kazuo_Shii_in_SL_Square_in_2017.jpg
Yūichirō Tamaki on May 31, 2024.jpg
LeaderIchiro MatsuiKazuo ShiiYuichiro Tamaki
PartyIshinJCPDPP
Last election16 seats13 seats13 seats
Seats after211111
Seat changeIncrease5Decrease2Decrease2
Constituency vote5,533,6573,636,5342,038,655
% and swing10.41% (Increase3.13pp)6.82% (Decrease0.55pp)3.83% (Decrease3.12pp)
National vote7,845,9953,618,3433,159,657
% and swing14.80% (Increase5.00pp)6.84% (Decrease2.11pp)5.96% (Decrease0.51pp)

 Seventh partyEighth partyNinth party
 
Taro Yamamoto 2022-6-26(1)(cropped).jpg
Takashi_Tachibana_and_Horie_Takafumi_(8)(cropped).jpg
Manabu Matsuda 2024-10-19 (cropped).jpg
LeaderTarō YamamotoTakashi TachibanaManabu Matsuda
PartyReiwaAnti-NHKSanseitō
Last election2 seats1 seatDid not exist
Seats after521
Seat changeIncrease3Increase1New
Constituency vote989,7161,106,5082,018,215
% and swing1.86% (Increase1.43pp)2.08% (Decrease0.94pp)3.80% (New)
National vote2,319,1571,253,8721,768,385
% and swing4.37% (Decrease0.18pp)2.36% (Increase0.39pp)3.33% (New)

Results by constituency

President before election

Akiko Santō
LDP

ElectedPresident

Hidehisa Otsuji
LDP

House of Councillors elections were held inJapan on 10 July 2022 to elect 125 of the 248 members of theupper house of theNational Diet, for a term of six years.[1] The elected candidate with the fewest votes in the Kanagawa prefectural district will serve for three years, as the district combined its regular and byelections.[2]

The elections occurred within the first year of premiership ofFumio Kishida,President of theLiberal Democratic Party and it sawKenta Izumi debut as the Leader of the oppositionConstitutional Democratic Party. The election was overshadowed by theassassination of former Prime MinisterShinzo Abe (served 2006–2007 and 2012–2020) which led the anti-government protests and riots, which took place two days before ballots were cast.[3] Abe was shot while delivering a campaign speech forKei Satō, a member of the House of Councillors running for reelection. The assassin, who had previously served in theJapan Maritime Self-Defence Force, was arrested at the scene and reportedly confessed to targeting Abe due to a grudge he held against theUnification Church. Prime Minister Kishida denounced the assassination as an attack on Japan's democracy and vowed to defend a "free and fair election at all cost".[4] In a post-election survey, 62.5 percent of the voters said their votes were not swayed by the assassination, while 15.1 percent said they were.[5]

The governingLiberal Democratic Party modestly increased its seats in the chamber.[6] Turnout slightly increased compared to the previous election[7] while a new record was set for women elected to the chamber at 28%.[8] Parties supportive of constitutional revision gained a combined total of 93 seats, thus gaining the two-thirds majority needed to trigger the parliamentary procedure which was lost in the2019 election.[9]

The disparity in the value of a vote between prefectural districts in the election ranged up to 3.03 times, leading to nationwide legal challenges.[10]

Background

[edit]

Following the closing of the 208th session of theNational Diet on 15 June 2022, theSecond Kishida Cabinet held an extraordinary session to schedule an upper house election in which it was determined that the election would be formally announced to the public on June 22 with the vote to be held on 10 July 2022.[11]

In May 2018, the government enacted a revision to the Public Offices Election Law that increased the number of seats in the House of Councillors by six, with three new seats being contested in2019 and the other three being contested in 2022. As such, three new seats — one in theSaitama at-large district and two in thenational PR block — were added to the House of Councillors as a result of the election.[12][13]

A seat in theKanagawa at-large district was left vacant following the resignation ofShigefumi Matsuzawa (independent), who was elected to the House of Councillors in the 2019 election. Matsuzawa resigned from his seat in the House of Councillors to run in the2021 Yokohama mayoral election, for which he came in fifth.[14][15][16] Since the seat was not eligible for aby-election, a merger election was held as a part of this election. This was the first time in 30 years - since theSaitama at-large district held one as part of the1992 election - that a merger election was held. As a result, the Kanagawa at-large district elected five members this election instead of four, with the fifth-place winner serving for only three years instead of six.[17] Furthermore, in October 2021,Kenji Nakanishi (Liberal Democratic), who was elected to the House of Councillors from the Kanagawa at-large district in the2016 election, resigned his seat to compete in the2021 Japanese general election for a seat in theHouse of Representatives, leaving his seat in the House of Councillors vacant prior to this election as well.[18]

The "Special Postal Voting" system - put in place by the Corona Postal Voting Act passed in response to the globalCOVID-19 pandemic - was still in effect during this election. This system secured voting opportunities for those who could not vote in-person due to the pandemic. It was the first time the "Special Postal Voting" system was used for a House of Councillors election.[19] In addition, a revision to the Public Offices Election Act was passed in April 2022 that allowed forparty political broadcasts to be made throughFM broadcasting.[20]

On 8 July 2022, former Prime MinisterShinzo Abe (served 2006–2007 and 2012–2020) wasassassinated inNara City while delivering a campaign speech forKei Satō, a member of the House of Councillors running for reelection. The assassination took place just two days before the election.[3] In response, some candidates from the Liberal Democratic Party and other political parties canceled their campaign events on that day.[21][22] Prime Minister Kishida denounced the assassination as an attack on Japan's democracy and vowed to defend a "free and fair election at all cost".[4] In a post-election survey, 62.5 percent of the voters said their votes were not swayed by the assassination, while 15.1 percent said they were.[5]

At 20:00 (8pm)JST on July 10, when the voting ended, various media outlets across Japan - includingNHK and Japan's five major commercial broadcasting networks (Nippon TV,TV Asahi,TBS TV,TV Tokyo, andFuji TV) - all reported the results of theexit poll all at once. It was reported that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and their coalition partnerKomeito won significantly more seats than was needed for a majority, while the opposition parties of theConstitutional Democratic Party,Democratic Party For the People, and theJapanese Communist Party all lost seats. In addition, theJapan Innovation Party (also known as the Innovation Party or the Restoration Party) was also projected to gain seats, and the exit poll projected that several independents would acquire seats as well.[23][24]

TheDemocratic Party For the People had been described as "cozying up" to the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP).[25] The lack of policy agreements and electoral pacts led to more opposition candidates contesting in single-seat prefectural districts.[26][27]

Pre-election Composition

[edit]
393714131214551456
O not upO seats upRORO upIVK upLDP seats upKLDP seats not up

Electoral system

[edit]

75 members were elected bysingle non-transferable vote (SNTV) andfirst-past-the-post (FPTP) voting in 45 multi-member and single-member prefectural electoral districts. Thenationwide district elected 50 members byD'Hondt proportional representation with optionallyopen lists; the previous most open list system was modified in 2018 to give parties the option to prioritize certain candidates over the voters' preferences in the proportional election.[28][29]

Opinion polls

[edit]

Proportional voting intention

[edit]
Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeLDPCDPIshinKMTJCPDPFPREIDIYSDPNHKOthersNone/Und.No ans.Lead
10 Jul 2022Election results52.05%[a]34.412.814.811.76.86.04.43.32.42.41.13.019.6
8 Jul 2022Assassination of Shinzo Abe
22–23 Jun 2022Yomiuri/NNN1,58536810632211123713
18–19 Jun 2022ANN1,04333.18.57.35.44.821.20.60.41.735[b]1.9
17–19 Jun 2022Nikkei/TV Tokyo91243810632211117626
11–13 Jun 2022Kyodo News1,05139.79.79.95.83.71.81.70.80.31.125.514.2
11–12 Jun 2022go2senkyo/JX98336.11612.66.37.92.81.80.70.70.81.8[c]12.320.1
3–5 Jun 2022Yomiuri/NNN1,485457944321117828
27–29 May 2022Nikkei/TV Tokyo9355078432200115835
21–22 May 2022ANN1,03535.16.47.34.13.61.71.40.60.11.738[d]2.9
21–22 May 2022Kyodo News1,04844108.74.73.52.41.90.20.61.522.521.5
13–16 May 2022Jiji Press1,25438.56.16.35.52.61.52136.71.8
14–15 May 2022go2senkyo/JX99534.51714.86.56.82.91.710.51.512.717.5
13–15 May 2022Yomiuri/NNN1,05244810523118826
16–17 Apr 2022go2senkyo/JX99533.315.513.75.67.92.81.81.21.11.915.217.8
16–17 Apr 2022ANN1,01433.99.27.33.34.81.60.90.701.337[e]3.1
16–17 Apr 2022Kyodo News1,06741.98.710.94.63.61.41.60.31.60.724.717.2
8–11 Apr 2022Jiji Press1,22637.478.63.82.42.11.70.20.534.92.5
19–20 Mar 2022ANN1,00835.18.56.73.55.22.40.80.50.10.436.8[f]1.7
19–20 Mar 2022Kyodo News1,05342.19.513.33.83.72.52.20.40.71.120.721.4
15 Mar–25 Apr 2022Asahi1,892431417543211126
12–13 Mar 2022go2senkyo/JX1,00131.219.117.85.462.31.20.80.82.313.212.1
19–20 Feb 2022ANN1,00836.38.38.24.32.71.71.10.80.10.536[g]0.3
19–20 Feb 2022Kyodo News1,05442.79.213.54.223.12.40.70.81.519.922.8
12–13 Feb 2022go2senkyo/JX1,00432.513.919.25.36.52.51.510.93.113.613.3
4–6 Feb 2022Yomiuri/NNN1,0714191443221118623
22–23 Jan 2022ANN1,02533.89.89.33.74.51.71.20.50.20.135.2[h]1.4
22–23 Jan 2022Kyodo News1,05938.315.313.54.53.82.41.50.90.80.818.220.1
15–16 Jan 2022go2senkyo/JX~1,00032.817.716.75.85.921.51.60.71.513.915.1
14–16 Jan 2022Yomiuri/NNN1,057429144331116626
11–12 Dec 2021go2senkyo/JX~1,00025.218.322.95.56.332.40.91.41.612.62.3
13–14 Nov 2021go2senkyo/JX~1,00030.217.318.46.28.62.91.51.11.11.711.111.8
31 Oct 20212021 general election55.97%[a]34.720.014.012.47.34.53.91.81.41.714.7

Seat projections

[edit]
Seat projections from analysts (district seats + proportional representation)
Fieldwork datePolling firmLDPCDPIshinKMTJCPDPFPREIDIYSDPNHKInd./
Oth.
MajorityGov.Opp.
7 JulElection results63
(45+18)
17
(10+7)
12
(4+8)
13
(7+6)
4
(1+3)
5
(2+3)
3
(1+2)
1
(0+1)
1
(0+1)
1
(0+1)
5
(5+0)
[i]76
(52+24)
49
(23+26)
7 JulKaoru Matsuda for Weekly Fuji62
(44+18)
16
(9+7)
13
(5+8)
14
(7+7)
5
(2+3)
4
(2+2)
3
(1+2)
1
(0+1)
07
(5+2)
–1[j]76
(51+25)
49
(24+25)
4-5 JulAsahi Shimbun56–6512–2010–1612–153–82–71–50–10–14–1168–8032–69
1-3 JulYomiuri-NNN55–6513–2411–1910–153–82–52–40–10–14–765–8035–69
23 JunSankei Shimbun70–82
22-23 JunAsahi Shimbun56–6613–229–1512–154–81–71–50–20–24–868–8132–69
21 JunHiroshi Miura for Sports Hōchi62
(43+19)
1476

Results

[edit]

The rulingLiberal Democratic Party modestly increased its seats in the chamber.[6] Turnout slightly increased compared to the previous election[7] while a new record was set for women elected to the chamber at 28%.[8][30]

Parties supportive of constitutional revision (Liberal Democratic Party,Komeito,Japan Innovation Party, andDemocratic Party For the People) won a combined total of 93 seats, and maintained the two-thirds majority needed to trigger the parliamentary procedure.[9] Sanseito and NHK Party, with three seats combined, are also in favour of rewriting the Constitution.[31][32]

The disparity in the value of a vote between prefectural districts in the election ranged up to 3.03 times (with a vote inKanagawa Prefecture having only one-third the impact of a vote inFukui Prefecture), leading to nationwide legal challenges. The Supreme Court had previously concluded after Upper House elections in 2010 and 2013 that a maximum vote-weight disparity of around 5 times was in a "state of unconstitutionality", with the current disparity coming somewhat close to that number. Prefectures have been resistant to combining electoral districts within their boundaries.[10]

PartyNationalConstituencySeats
Votes%SeatsVotes%SeatsWonNot upTotal
after
+/–
Liberal Democratic Party18,256,24534.431820,603,29838.74456356119+6
Japan Innovation Party7,845,99514.8085,533,65710.41412921+5
Constitutional Democratic Party6,771,91412.7778,154,33015.3310172239+7
Komeito6,181,43211.6663,600,4906.777131427–1
Japanese Communist Party3,618,3436.8233,636,5346.8414711–2
Democratic Party For the People3,159,6575.9632,038,6553.8325510New
Reiwa Shinsengumi2,319,1574.372989,7161.861325+3
Sanseitō1,768,3853.3312,018,2153.800101New
Social Democratic Party1,258,5022.371178,9110.340101–1
NHK Party1,253,8722.3611,106,5082.080112+1
Burdock Party [ja]193,7240.370000New
Happiness Realization Party148,0200.280134,7180.2500000
Japan First Party109,0460.21074,0970.140000New
Kunimori Conservative Party77,8610.150111,9560.210000New
Ishin Seito Shimpu65,1070.120204,1020.380000New
First no Kai284,6290.540000New
Children's Party50,6620.100000New
Japan Reform Party46,6410.090000New
Kyowa Party41,0140.080000New
Free Republican Party33,6360.060000New
Metaverse Party19,1000.040000New
Party to Realize Bright Japan with a Female Emperor10,2680.020000New
Smile Japan Party5,4090.010000New
Party to Know the Truth of Renewable Energy3,8680.010000New
Peace Party3,5590.010000New
Tenmei Party3,2830.010000New
Party to take over U.S. military base in Okinawa to Tokyo3,0430.010000New
Wake Up the Japanese Party2,4400.000000New
Nuclear Fusion Party1,9130.000000New
Independents4,285,3608.0655712–5
Total53,027,260100.005053,180,012100.00751251232480
Valid votes53,027,26097.0253,180,01297.29
Invalid/blank votes1,626,2022.981,479,0202.71
Total votes54,653,462100.0054,659,032100.00
Registered voters/turnout105,019,20352.04105,019,20352.05
Source:Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications

By constituency

[edit]
ConstituencyTotal
seats
Seats won
LDPCDPKomeitoIshinDPPJCPReiwaSanseiNHKSDPInd.
Aichi41111
Akita11
Aomori11
Chiba321
Ehime11
Fukui11
Fukuoka3111
Fukushima11
Gifu11
Gunma11
Hiroshima211
Hokkaido321
Hyōgo3111
Ibaraki211
Ishikawa11
Iwate11
Kagawa11
Kagoshima11
Kanagawa52111
Kumamoto11
Kyoto211
Mie11
Miyagi11
Miyazaki11
Nagano11
Nagasaki11
Nara11
Niigata11
Ōita11
Okinawa11
Okayama11
Osaka4112
Saga11
Saitama41111
Shiga11
Shizuoka211
Tochigi11
TokushimaKōchi11
Tokyo621111
TottoriShimane11
Toyama11
Wakayama11
Yamagata11
Yamaguchi11
Yamanashi11
National5018768332111
Total125631713125431115

Notes

[edit]
Wikimedia Commons has media related toJapanese House of Councillors election, 2022.
  1. ^abElection turnout.
  2. ^Undecided/no answer: 31%; Do not vote: 4%
  3. ^Happiness Realization Party: 0.2%;Kunimori Conservative Party: 0.2%;Ishin Seito Shimpu: 0%;First no Kai: 0.2%; Others: 1.2%
  4. ^Undecided/no answer: 35.4%; Do not vote: 2.6%
  5. ^Undecided/no answer: 34.1%; Do not vote: 2.9%
  6. ^Undecided/no answer: 34.5%; Do not vote: 2.3%
  7. ^Undecided/no answer: 34%; Do not vote: 2%
  8. ^Undecided/no answer: 32.3%; Do not vote: 2.9%
  9. ^LDP–KMT coalition: +13
  10. ^LDP–KMT coalition: +13

References

[edit]
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  28. ^NHK kaisetsu blog archive, 19 July 2018:「参院定数6増 比例特定枠導入~選挙制度改革行方は」(時論公論)
  29. ^MIC,electoral system news, 24 October 2018:参議院議員選挙制度の改正について
  30. ^"女性当選者、過去最多35人…参院の女性比率25・8%に".讀賣新聞. 11 July 2022.Archived from the original on 11 July 2022.
  31. ^"参院選当選者 参政比例名簿・候補者 選挙・開票結果".読売新聞オンライン (in Japanese). 2022-06-22.Archived from the original on 22 June 2022. Retrieved2022-07-15.
  32. ^"参院選当選者 N党比例名簿・候補者 選挙・開票結果".読売新聞オンライン (in Japanese). 2022-06-22.Archived from the original on 4 June 2022. Retrieved2022-07-15.
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