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 County results Congressional district results Precinct resultsFontes: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Finchem: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The2022 Arizona Secretary of State election was held on Tuesday, November 8, to elect the next Secretary of State of Arizona. Incumbent Secretary of State Katie Hobbs declined to run for a second term, to insteadrun for governor.[1] Primary elections were held on August 2, 2022.[2]Democrat and formerMaricopa County recorderAdrian Fontes defeatedRepublican representativeMark Finchem by 4.8%.
Finchem was backed by theAmerica First Secretary of State Coalition,[3][4] a Republican group supporting Secretary of State candidates who championed thefar-right conspiracy theory that falsely claimed thatDonald Trump won the2020 United States presidential election. Due to a combination ofArizona's role as aswing state in theprevious presidential election, Finchem's views, and the role of the Secretary of State in certifying elections, the race took upon an uncharacteristically high national profile.
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Reginald Bolding | Adrian Fontes | |||||
| 1 | Apr. 25, 2022 | KAET | Ted Simons | YouTube | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Reginald Bolding | Adrian Fontes | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D)[9][A] | July 24–26, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 30% | 28% |
| OH Predictive Insights (D)[10][B] | July 2022 | 537 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 29% | 44% | 27% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[9][A] | July 2022 | – (LV) | – | 29% | 35% | 36% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[11][C] | July 8–9, 2022 | 740 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 18% | 32% | 51% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[9][A] | May 2022 | – (LV) | – | 14% | 35% | 51% |
| OH Predictive Insights[12] | September 7–12, 2021 | 283 (RV) | ± 5.8% | 22% | 17% | 61% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adrian Fontes | 302,681 | 52.50% | |
| Democratic | Reginald Bolding | 273,815 | 47.50% | |
| Total votes | 576,496 | 100.0% | ||
U.S. Executive Branch officials
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Shawnna Bolick | Mark Finchem | Beau Lane | Michelle Ugenti-Rita | |||||
| 1 | Jun. 25, 2022 | KAET | Ted Simons | YouTube | P | A | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Shawnna Bolick | Mark Finchem | Beau Lane | Michelle Ugenti-Rita | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | July 27–28, 2022 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 25% |
| OH Predictive Insights[24] | July 27, 2022 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 8% | 32% | 11% | 9% | – | 41% |
| OH Predictive Insights[25] | June 30 – July 2, 2022 | 515 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 3% | 14% | 5% | 6% | – | 72% |
| OH Predictive Insights[26] | April 4–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 9% | – | 74% |
| OH Predictive Insights[12] | September 7–12, 2021 | 311 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 8% | 11% | – | 7% | – | 74% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Mark Finchem | Kelly Townsend | Michelle Ugenti-Rita | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HighGround Public Affairs (R)[27] | May 3–5, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 8%[b] | 75% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mark Finchem | 329,884 | 42.56% | |
| Republican | Beau Lane | 181,058 | 23.36% | |
| Republican | Shawnna Bolick | 149,779 | 19.32% | |
| Republican | Michelle Ugenti-Rita | 114,391 | 14.76% | |
| Total votes | 775,101 | 100.0% | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Adrian Fontes | Mark Finchem | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 22, 2022 | KAET | Ted Simons | YouTube | P | P |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[29] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
U.S. Executive Branch officials
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Graphical summary
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Adrian Fontes (D) | Mark Finchem (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Orbital (R)[37] | November 4–6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 48% | 1%[c] | 4% |
| KAConsulting (R)[38][D] | November 2–3, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | – | 9% |
| HighGround Inc.[39] | November 1–2, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 42% | 2%[d] | 11% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[40] | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,501 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
| OH Predictive Insights[41] | October 24–26, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 42% | – | 11% |
| Siena College/NYT[42] | October 24–26, 2022 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 40% | – | 13% |
| BSP Research/Shaw & Co.[43][E] | October 19–26, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 37% | 5%[e] | 20% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[44][F] | October 14–18, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | 1%[f] | 10% |
| HighGround Inc.[45] | October 12–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 42% | 1%[g] | 15% |
| CNN/SSRS[46] | September 26 – October 2, 2022 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 10%[h] | – |
| 795 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 49% | 6%[i] | 1% | ||
| SurveyUSA (D)[47][G] | September 27–30, 2022 | 563 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 44% | 41% | – | 15% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[48][H] | September 13–20, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | – | 10% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[49] | September 14–17, 2022 | 1080 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 48% | – | 11% |
| OH Predictive Insights[50] | September 6–9, 2022 | 654 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 35% | 40% | – | 25% |
Katie Hobbs vs. Michelle Ugenti-Rita
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Katie Hobbs (D) | Michelle Ugenti-Rita (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights[51] | March 8–12, 2021 | 690 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 36% | 30% | 35% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights[12] | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 37% | 28% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adrian Fontes | 1,320,619 | 52.38% | +1.95% | |
| Republican | Mark Finchem | 1,200,411 | 47.62% | −1.94% | |
| Total votes | 2,521,030 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratichold | |||||
| County | Adrian Fontes Democratic | Mark Finchem Republican | Write-in | Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Apache | 17,476 | 66.57 | 8,776 | 33.43 | 5 | 0.02 | 8,700 | 33.14 | 26,614 |
| Cochise | 19,402 | 41.97 | 26,827 | 58.03 | 48 | 0.10 | -7,425 | -16.06 | 46,666 |
| Coconino | 34,482 | 64.15 | 19,270 | 35.85 | 40 | 0.07 | 14,212 | 28.30 | 54,727 |
| Gila | 8,176 | 36.70 | 14,103 | 63.30 | 13 | 0.06 | -5,927 | -26.6 | 22,450 |
| Graham | 3,246 | 30.27 | 7,478 | 69.73 | 0 | 0.00 | -4,232 | -39.46 | 10,847 |
| Greenlee | 978 | 40.63 | 1,429 | 59.37 | 0 | 0.00 | -451 | -18.74 | 2,446 |
| La Paz | 1,736 | 31.89 | 3,708 | 68.11 | 6 | 0.11 | -1,972 | -36.22 | 5,499 |
| Maricopa | 813,492 | 53.67 | 702,376 | 46.33 | 469 | 0.03 | 111,116 | 7.34 | 1,543,535 |
| Mohave | 20,901 | 26.05 | 59,320 | 73.95 | 16 | 0.02 | -38,419 | -47.90 | 81,510 |
| Navajo | 18,701 | 46.77 | 21,280 | 53.23 | 13 | 0.03 | -2,579 | -6.46 | 40,411 |
| Pima | 244,349 | 61.86 | 150,680 | 38.14 | 121 | 0.03 | 93,669 | 23.72 | 398,553 |
| Pinal | 62,618 | 44.00 | 79,696 | 56.00 | 34 | 0.02 | -17,078 | -12.00 | 143,826 |
| Santa Cruz | 9,181 | 70.14 | 3,909 | 29.86 | 4 | 0.03 | 5,272 | 40.28 | 13,099 |
| Yavapai | 45,876 | 37.59 | 76,162 | 62.41 | 43 | 0.03 | -30,286 | -24.82 | 123,191 |
| Yuma | 20,005 | 44.06 | 25,397 | 55.94 | 8 | 0.02 | -5,392 | -11.88 | 46,111 |
| Totals | 1,320,619 | 52.38 | 1,200,411 | 47.62 | 820 | 0.03 | 17,117 | 0.67 | 2,559,485 |
Fontes won five out of nine congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[53]
| District | Fontes | Finchem | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 54% | 46% | David Schweikert |
| 2nd | 47% | 53% | Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress) |
| Eli Crane (118th Congress) | |||
| 3rd | 78% | 22% | Ruben Gallego |
| 4th | 59% | 41% | Greg Stanton |
| 5th | 45% | 55% | Andy Biggs |
| 6th | 54% | 46% | Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress) |
| Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress) | |||
| 7th | 68% | 32% | Raúl Grijalva |
| 8th | 47% | 53% | Debbie Lesko |
| 9th | 38% | 62% | Paul Gosar |
In December 2022, Mark Finchem filed a lawsuit petitioning for the election to be "nullified and redone"; the lawsuit wasdismissed with prejudice that month by Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Melissa Julian, confirming Adrian Fontes' victory in the election.[54][55][56] While Finchem alleged that voting machines in Arizona were not properly certified, the judge rejected this, because theElection Assistance Commission did not vote to revoke certification, which is the procedure under federal law, so the judge rejected themerits of Finchem's arguments on voting machines certification.[56][57] The judge also rejected the merits of Finchem's arguments on voting software certification.[57] Next, regarding Finchem's issues with tabulating machines and a website listing for an estimated number of votes, the judge concluded that Finchem "does not allege that any of the votes cast were actually illegal" and does not allege that any legal vote was not counted, but only alleged "suspicions that some votes may not have been counted", so the judge rejected this argument as insufficient to overturn an election.[56][58]
Then, the judge rejected Finchem's allegations of "misconduct" by Secretary of State Katie Hobbs as insufficient.[56] Finchem argued that Hobbs should have recused after her gubernatorial opponentKari Lake "perceived a conflict of interest", with the judge responding that this were "not well-pled facts; they are legal conclusions masquerading as alleged facts", and legal conclusions unsupported by Arizona law.[57] Regarding Hobbs' actions in telling Mohave County and Cochise County to certify their election by the November 28 deadline, the judge stated that it was Hobbs' responsibility "to ensure the canvass and certification of a general election is completed within the statutorily prescribed timeframes", and that it was not misconduct for her "to communicate with other governing bodies to ensure" thus.[58] Finally, the judge rejected Finchem's protest over his allegation thatTwitter suspended his account in October 2022 as irrelevant because Twitter is not an "election official".[58]
Finchem appealed the rejection of his election challenge, then abandoned the appeal in July 2023, with his lawyer citing other failed 2022 election challenging lawsuits in Arizona.[59]
Partisan clients
Official campaign websites:
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