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2021 South Korean by-elections

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The2021 South Korean by-elections were held inSouth Korea on 7 April 2021.[1] TheNational Election Commission announced on 2 March 2021, that the by-elections would be held for 21 public offices or electoral districts, including 2 Metropolitan mayors, 2 Municipal mayors, 8 Metropolitan Council constituencies, and 9 Municipal Council constituencies.[1] Candidate registration ran from 18 to 19 March, and the list of candidates was confirmed on 26 March.[2]

Voters in the by-elections were able to accessearly voting from 06:00–18:00KST on 2 and 3 April.[2] One early voting place was established for each district or county of the region where the re-election was conducted, and voters could vote at any pre-voting place in the district where the re-election was conducted, regardless of their address.[2] But onelection day, voters had to vote at their designated polling place, and the voting time was from 6 a.m. to 8 pm.[2]

The election concluded with the mayors ofSeoul andBusan, which are the largest city and the second-largest city inSouth Korea, respectively, being selected via by-election.[3] The two major political parties, theDemocratic Party and thePeople Power Party, were concentrating on these by-elections, as they believed that the outcome would have a great impact on the2022 presidential election.[3] TheDemocratic Party's candidatePark Young-sun, endorsed byKim Jinai (Open Democratic Party) andCho Jung-hun (Transition Korea), became the unity candidate of the ruling coalition.[4] For the opposition, the People Power Party'sOh Se-hoon became the unity candidate, endorsed byAhn Cheol-soo (People Party) and Keum Tae-seop (Independent).[5]

Reasons for by-elections

[edit]

The reasons and offices (constituencies) for by-elections are as follows:[6]

Metropolitan mayors and governors

[edit]

Municipal mayors

[edit]
  • Ulsan,Mayor of Nam District: Kim Jin-gyu (Democratic), Incumbent was removed from office by judge's ruling.
  • South Gyeongsang,Mayor of Uiryeong county: Lee Seon-du (People Power), Incumbent was removed from office by judge's ruling

Members of Metropolitan Council

[edit]

Members of Municipal Council

[edit]

Issues

[edit]

Amendment of Democratic Party's constitution

[edit]

The Democratic Party's constitution states that it cannot nominate any by-election candidates if the party caused the situation that made the by-election necessary. The Democratic Party held a vote on2 November 2020 to their members on amending the party's constitution and almost 87 percent voted in favor of the change. The main opposition party, People Power Party, criticized the Democratic Party's decision, accusing it of revictimizing the women who were allegedly sexually harassed by the late mayor and former mayor. People Power Party interim leader Kim Jong-in said "President Moon is trying to reverse the so-called 'Moon Jae-in article', which was created while he was the party leader", calling on the president to publicly take a position on the envisioned revision of the party rules.[7]

Resignation of Yoon Suk-yeol

[edit]
43rd Prosecutor General of South Korea
Yoon Suk-yeol

The rulingDemocratic Party have been speeding up the creation of a new investigative agency to weaken the power of the prosecution service.[8] This move was followed by the establishment ofCorruption Investigation Office for High-ranking Officials.[8]Yoon Suk-yeol, who had clashed with the Moon administration and Democratic Party,[9] publicly opposed the idea of separating powers of investigation and prosecution.[10]Minister of JusticePark Beom-kye said he will gather various opinions from members of the prosecution on establishing an agency that would handle serious crimes.[11] On 4 March 2021,Prosecutor GeneralYoon Suk-yeol announced his resignation in front of theSupreme Prosecutors' Office in protest against the government's push to weaken the power of the prosecution service.[12] On the same day, PresidentMoon Jae-in accepted the resignation.[13]

Prime MinisterChung Sye-kyun has expressed regret over the resignation.[14] The main oppositionPeople Power Party's interim leaderKim Chong-in said he would meet with Yoon if he wants to.[15] On the other hand, leader of theDemocratic PartyLee Nak-yon has criticized Yoon, saying his resignation "out of the blue" was absurd for a public official.[15] But,Democratic Party's approval rating plunged to a record low since the 2017 inauguration of theMoon Jae-in government. Gallup Korea said the decrease in theDemocratic Party's approval rating apparently came with its recent conflict with formerProsecutor GeneralYoon Suk-yeol over creating a new investigative agency to take over the prosecution's investigative powers.[16] Public support for Yoon Suk-yeol rose sharply to take the lead over other potential presidential candidates in South Korea.[17] Some political critics analyzed thatYoon Seok-youl became a big variable in the 2021 by-elections.[18]

LH scandal

[edit]

A property speculation scandal involving employees in South Korea's top housing agency, theKorea Land & Housing Corporation (LH), emerged in March 2021, becoming a factor in the by-elections.[19] The scandal involved 20 LH workers allegedly acting on insider information to buy undeveloped farmland near a new town development project in the Seoul region since April 2018, before the announcement of the project. There was public uproar as the scandal emerged amidst an ongoing housing affordability crisis in South Korea. Median apartment prices in Seoul have soared nearly 60% since President Moon came into office in May 2017, despite repeated property price cooling measures implemented by the Moon administration.[20] As a result, President Moon's approval ratings sank to 34%, the lowest approval rating of his term after the scandal emerged along with the administration's clash with the prosecution.[21][22]

Mayor of Seoul

[edit]
2021 Seoul mayoral by-election

← 20187 April 2021 (2021-04-07)2022 →

Seoul Metropolitan Mayor.
Elected by simple majority usingfirst past the post.
Triggered by death of incumbent
 
CandidateOh Se-hoonPark Young-sun
PartyPeople PowerDemocratic
Popular vote2,798,7881,907,336
Percentage57.50%39.18%

Mayor before election

Seo Jung-hyup(acting)
Independent

Elected mayor

Oh Se-hoon
People Power

See also:Mayor of Seoul

Background

[edit]

Death of Park Won-soon

[edit]

The death ofPark Won-soon, the mayor of the largest city inSouth Korea, was hugely impactful on the 2021 by-elections.[23] This was even more shocking to South Koreans because he was a notedwomen's rights activist.[23][24] He fought against authoritarian rule in South Korea and was put in prison in the 1970s as a college student.[24] After becoming a lawyer, he took on many cases related towomen's rights. It was his well-known[citation needed] achievement that he won South Korea's firstsexual harassment case.[25] So, it was seen as a shock that the person who had been fighting for women rights committed suicide after his female employee accused him of sexual harassment.[26]

Increased attention of female candidates

[edit]
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Because of the sexual harassment incidents of incumbent mayors, each political party paid attention to female candidates.[27] In December 2020, the majority of the potential candidates inSeoul are women, showing the rival parties' bid to promote themselves as women-friendly.[28] Three women (Na Kyung-won,Cho Eun-hee andLee Hye-hoon) from the main oppositionPeople Power Party have announced their Seoul mayoral bids. The possible female candidates from theDemocratic side areMinister of SMEs and StartupsPark Young-sun andAnti-Corruption and Civil Rights Commission ChairwomanJeon Hyun-hee.[28] In addition, political parties are considering adding or increasing women's additional points to the primary rules. The Democratic Party maintained the existing 10–25% of the women's additional point, and the People Power Party decided to reflect the women's additional points at 10% in the main primary race and 20% in the preliminary primary race.[29]

Connection between 2011 by-election and 2021 by-election

[edit]

In 2011,South Korea held a by-election to fill vacantSeoul Mayor. MayorOh Se-hoon who was incumbent from 2006 to 2011 staked his mayoralty onSeoul free lunch referendum.Oh Se-hoon opposed to give free meals to all children, insisting that free lunch policy is "populism",[30][31] and promised that he will resign if the outcome of referendum is not in favor of his 'selective' policy. However, the referendum which turnout have to be exceed one third of electorate was invalidated by low turnout. Eventually, Mayor Oh resigned on 26 August 2011, as promised and2011 South Korean by-elections were held inSeoul for his replacement.[32]

Park Won-soon, who becomeMayor of Seoul forOh Se-hoon's replacement, had started as the underdog at the early phase. Then, Independent frontline runnerAhn Cheol-soo who had been a strong supporter of Park Won-soon's famous civic group endorsed him forMayor of Seoul.[33][34] Thanks to the support ofAhn Cheol-soo,Park Won-soon overtakenNa Kyung-won, the frontline runner of the rulingGrand National Party, in a poll.[35]

On 27 September 2011,Na Kyung-won who worked as theGNP's spokeswoman from 2006 to 2008 was nominated as theGNP candidate.[36][37] Meanwhile, the opposition coalition unified the candidate. Independent candidatePark Won-soon, Democratic candidatePark Young-sun and Democratic Labor candidateChoi Gyu-yeop participated in the candidate unification primary, andPark Won-soon won the primary and became the nominee of the opposition coalition.[38] On 26 October 2011,Park Won-soon was elected by 7.19%, winning 53.40% of the votes. On the other hand,Na Kyung-won won 46.21% of the votes and become second place.[39] So, there is a saying that it is similar to the2011 by-election in thatPark Young-sun,Na Kyung-won,Oh Se-hoon, andAhn Chul-soo, who were involved in the 2011 mayoral by-election, are running for the Seoul mayoral by-election in 2021.[40]

Registered candidates

[edit]
#PartyNameDate of birthCareerProperty
(KRW, thousand)
Tax payment
(KRW, thousand)
Criminal recordNote
1Democratic Party of KoreaPark Young-sunJanuary 22, 1960 (age65)Fmr.Minister of SMEs and Startups
Fmr. Member of theNational Assembly (2004–2020)
5,669,1231,115,967None
2People Power PartyOh Se-hoonJanuary 4, 1961 (age64)Fmr.Mayor of Seoul (2006–2011)
Fmr. Member of theNational Assembly (2000–2004)
5,934,143209,692None
4People PartyAhn Cheol-sooJanuary 22, 1962 (age63)Withdrew
6Basic Income PartyShin Ji-hyeOctober 22, 1987 (age38)Standing Leader of theBasic Income Party
Fmr. Teacher of the Poidong Inyeon Study
77,70927,779None
7National Revolutionary PartyHuh Kyung-youngJuly 13, 1947 (age78)Fmr. South Korean Presidential Candidate (1997 & 2007)
Honorary President of theNational Revolutionary Party
7,262,2411,907,142
3 records
  • Traffic Accident Handling Special Act (fined KRW 1,000,000)
  • Traffic Accident Handling Special Act/Road and Traffic Act (fined KRW 2,000,000)
  • Defamation/Public Official Election Act (jailed for 1 year 6 months)
8Mirae PartyOh Tae-yangOctober 26, 1975 (age50)Leader of theMirae Party
Fmr. Secretary-General of the Youth Party
0159
1 record
  • Military Service Act (jailed for 1 year 6 months)
9Minsaeng PartyLee Su-bongJune 23, 1961 (age64)Interim Leader of theMinsaeng Party (ERC)
Fmr. Director of the Policy Institute of theKCTU
318,0002,110
1 record
  • Assembly and Demonstration Act (jailed for 1 year)
10New United Liberal DemocratsBae Yeong-gyuFebruary 25, 1961 (age64)Fmr. Chairman of the Sambu Construction
Legal Consultant of the Samsung Insurance
10,0004,446
5 records
  • Real Estate Registration Special Measure Act (fined KRW 2,000,000)
  • Trademark Act (fined KRW 1,000,000)
  • Perjury (fined KRW 2,000,000)
  • False accusation/Act on the registration of real right holder of real estate (sentenced to 8 years jail, but with 2 years of probation.)
  • Fraud (sentenced to 1 year jail, but with 2 years of probation.)
11Women's PartyKim Jin-ahAugust 1, 1975 (age50)Fmr. Creative Director of the Innocean Worldwide
Writer of "I'm just looking for my pie, I'm not here to save humanity"
245,1007,803None
12Progressive PartySong Myeong-sukJanuary 23, 1987 (age38)Co-Leader of the Progressive Party
Director of the Central Training Institute of the Progressive Party
-7,118301
1 record
  • General traffic obstruction/Assembly and Demonstration Act (fined KRW 1,000,000)
13IndependentChung Dong-huiSeptember 8, 1968 (age57)Writer of "Seoul Mayor, 12 Stars", "3 o'clock Korea" etc.
Fmr. Candidate for South Korean National Assembly in Gangnam I (2020)
2,327,306307,760None
14IndependentLee Do-yeopJune 14, 1984 (age41)Military Interpreter atKorean Augmentation To the United States Army (Sergeant)
Writer of "Jyushinji"
112,9000None
15IndependentShin Ji-yeJune 20, 1990 (age35)Leader of the Korean Women's Political Network
Fmr. Green Party Candidate for Seoul Mayor (2018)
03,473None
Source:National Election CommissionArchived 20 March 2021 at theWayback Machine

Candidate unification

[edit]
Democratic Party Ticket
Park Young-sun
for Mayor
2nd
Minister of SMEs and Startups
(2019–2021)
Supported by
Kim Jinai (Open Democratic)
Cho Jung-hun (Transition Korea)
Campaign
People Power Party Ticket
Oh Se-hoon
for Mayor
8th–9th
Mayor of Seoul
(2006–2011)
Supported by
Ahn Cheol-soo (People)
Keum Tae-seop (Independent)
CampaignArchived 3 April 2021 at theWayback Machine

Because offirst past the post voting, South Korean politicians often try 'candidate unification' by opinion polls not to split the voters of their side.[41] In 2021 Seoul mayoral by-election,People Power Party,People's Party andIndependent candidate Keum Tae-seop agreed to unify their candidacy. According to the procedure they agreed on, in the first phase, the independent Keum Tae-seop and the People's Party unites their candidacy, and the winner of the first stage unify with the People Power Party candidate in the second stage.[42] Meanwhile, the rulingDemocratic Party proposed unification toOpen Democratic Party andTransition Korea. The candidates of each party expressed their stance in favor of the candidate unification.[43]

As opposition coalition had announced their unified candidate on 23 March 2021, Seoul mayoral by-election became a two-way race between the pan-liberal candidatePark Young-sun and the pan-opposition candidateOh Se-hoon.[44]

Ruling coalition

[edit]

Open Democratic Party candidateKim Jinai announced her resignation from theNational Assembly to run forSeoul Mayor on 2 March 2021, and demanded fair unification rule to the Democratic Party and their candidate Park Young-sun.[45] Candidate Kim insisted on debating three times for unification, but theDemocratic Party that worried about running out of time to promote their candidate balked at this idea.[46]

On 8 March 2021,Democratic candidatePark Young-sun won the 1st round of candidate unification primary againstTransition Korea candidateCho Jung-hun. Details of the poll results were not released to the public.[47]

On 17 March 2021, Park Young-sun defeatedOpen Democratic Party candidate Kim Jin-ae in 2nd round of unification primary.[4]

Opposition coalition

[edit]

On 4 February 2021,People PartyAhn Cheol-soo andIndependentKeum Tae-seop began to discuss the details of their unification.[48] Both sides agreed to hold a TV debate on 18 February, but there were some conflict over the details.[49] In the debate,Ahn andKeum clashed over annualLGBTQ Pride parade.Keum Tae-seop askedAhn if he would be willing to participate onPride parade if elected as themayor of Seoul.[50]Ahn Cheol-soo opposed annualPride parade in theGwanghwamun area, saying "If we hold the Queer Festival in the Gwanghwamun area, there will be people voluntarily coming to see the festival there, but there are also others who have to be in the area for other reasons or who visit with their children. Their rights to refuse such things should be respected as well."[51] Keum Tae-seop criticizedAhn's remarks in a radio interview the following day, saying he was disappointed as they lacked consideration for the basic human rights of theLGBTQ community.[50] And the progressiveJustice Party's Sexual Minority Committee criticizedAhn's view and demand an apology forLGBTQ people, stating "It is an open repression and oppression againstLGBTQ people by who do not viewLGBTQ as fellow citizens"[52]

On 1 March 2021, Ahn Cheol-soo won the 1st round of candidate unification primary. Details of the poll results were withheld in accordance with the National Election Commission's guidelines.[53] After that,Oh Se-hoon andAhn Cheol-soo have met and discussed on the unification process. They said both sides agreed on the need to field a unified candidate and that it would be desirable to do so before the candidate registration period expires.[54] On 16 March 2021,Ahn Cheol-soo said that he will seek to merge thePeople Party withPeople Power Party regardless of whether he defeatsOh Se-hoon in a unification primary.[55]Ahn hoped his plan would help ease concerns that he would abandon the PPP after becoming the unified candidate and launch a third party with formerProsecutor GeneralYoon Seok-youl, who is one of the leading potential 2022 presidential candidate.[55] But, on 18 March, the People Power Party and People's Party announced that they failed to make an agreement of procedures and other details before the registration period ends on 19 March.[56]

On 19 March,Ahn Cheol-soo announced that he would accept the PPP's conditions. But, on the same day, Oh Se-hoon pointed out that it has not been clarified as to what degree Ahn is willing to accept, and raised an issue with remarks by the People's Party secretary general, who said the percentage of landline phone survey results will be negotiated and the survey will include questions on who is a better candidate in terms of competitiveness.[57] The PPP had demanded 10 percent of the poll should be conducted through landline telephones and Ahn was known to have demanded the poll should only ask "competitiveness" of the candidates, not "adequacy".[58] Eventually,Oh Se-hoon andAhn Cheol-soo held a separate press conference at the same time on the same day.Oh Se-hoon announced that he will accept the Ahn's demand that all votes in the primary be cast via mobile phones and Ahn also announced that he will accept the PPP's demands on landline telephones.[58] Some view this strange concession as a strategy to woo more voters to their side.[58][59]

On 23 March, both campaigns jointly announcedOh Se-hoon's victory from two mobile surveys of a total 3,200 Seoul residents that evaluated the candidates' adequacy and competitiveness.[5]Ahn Cheol-soo said he accepts the outcome, before vowing to work hard to help the unified opposition bloc win the election.[60]Park Young-sun calledOh Se-hoon an outdated mayor who failed, while referring to herself as a mayor for the future.[61]

Primary and Nomination

[edit]

Democratic Party

[edit]

Democrats are worried about by-elections as two metropolitan mayors of their party dead or resigned due to sexual allegations.[62] The fact of the incident can not be confirmed as the investigation become impossible by death of Mayor Park, but it was said that it would be very disadvantageous to theDemocratic Party.[63] Moreover, sinceSeoul andBusan are the first and secondcities in South Korea by population, one of the biggest concerns of the Democratic Party is that this by-election which will be unfavorable to them may affect the2022 presidential election.[3]

On 1 March 2021, FormerMinister of SMEs and StartupsPark Young-sun won the primary and become theDemocratic Party nominee in 2021 Seoul mayoral by-election, defeating AssemblymanWoo Sang-ho.[64]

2021 Seoul mayoral Democratic primary[65]
PartyCandidateParty membersPollSUM
Votes%%%
DemocraticPark Young-sun50,21163.5472.4869.56
DemocraticWoo Sang-ho28,81436.4628.5230.44
Turnout79,02553.52
Registered electors147,642100

People Power Party

[edit]

On 4 March 2021,People Power Party announced the result and the winner of the primary. FormerSeoul MayorOh Se-hoon was selected as thePeople Power Party's candidate to run 2021 Seoul mayoral by-election.[68]Oh Se-hoon won 41.64 percent of the support and his primary rivalNa Kyung-won won 36.31 percent.[69]

2021 Seoul mayoral People Power Party primary[70]
PartyCandidatePoll (%)
People PowerOh Se-hoon41.64
People PowerNa Kyung-won36.31
People PowerCho Eun-hee16.47
People PowerOh Shin-hwan10.39

Justice Party

[edit]

OnFebruary 3, 2021, Justice Party decided not to field candidates in the April mayoral by-elections after its leader was expelled for a sexual abuse scandal.[77]

People's Party

[edit]

Open Democratic Party

[edit]

Kim Jin-ae was nominated as the candidate ofOpen Democratic Party on 9 February 2021. The Open Democratic Party announced on same day thatKim Jin-ae received 3660 votes (66.3%) out of the total number of votes 5518 in the primary, overtaking former lawmakerChung Bong-ju.Chung Bong-ju won 1858 votes (33.7%).[79]

Other parties

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Major candidates

[edit]
No.Date and timeHostProgrammeBroadcasterPresenter(s)Viewer
rating
CandidatesLink
 P  Participant    A  Absent invitee   O  Out of race (eliminated or withdrawn)   N  Non-inviteePark
Young-sun
Oh
Se-hoon
Lee
Su-bong
129 March 2021; 22:40–24:20KSTMBCMBC 100min DebateMBCChung Jun-hee6.2%[90]PPNYoutube
230 March 2021; 22:00–24:00KSTNational Election Commission2021 Seoul Mayoral by-election
invited candidate debate
KBS1/MBCPark Tae-seo8.7%[90]PPPWebsite
35 April 2021; 14:00–15:30KSTKorean Broadcasting Journalists ClubKorean Broadcasting Journalists Club
invitational Debate
KBS1,MBC,SBS,
YTN,MBN,CBS
Chung Kwan-yong2.1%[91]PPNYoutube

During the first televised debate, both candidate clashed with real estate issues and Moon Jae-in administration's anti-speculative policies amid LH scandal. Park Young-sun raised allegations against Oh Se-hoon that he received 3.65 billionKRW in 2009 in compensation for land in Seoul's Seocho district, after his involvement in the area being designated a residential zone. Oh Se-hoon denied that he was aware of the land under his wife's name or the development plan. Oh Se-hoon then attacked Moon administration's housing policies aimed at curbing soaring housing prices, saying the government policies have only served to exacerbate the problem and start a vicious economic cycle. Park Young-sun acknowledged some failure in the policies and said she will introduce new measures.[92]

During the second debate, Park Young-sun continued interrogating Oh Se-hoon on the suspicion of his land compensation. Park argued that Oh should have known as the mayor at that time. She also pointed out that the residences of then PresidentLee Myung-bak and his brother Lee Sang-deuk, then a ruling party politician, were located nearby and raised suspicions that the decision to develop the area was also aimed at benefiting them. Oh denied again her claim, saying the decision was made by the director-general of Seoul at that time, not him. He said there's no need to be briefed to him, because the housing plan had been discussed since he become Seoul Mayor. Oh then criticized Park over the controversy that she and her husband purchased a residence in Tokyo, to which Park responded by accusing him of raising it to divert attention away from the suspicions directed at him.[93]

The last debate were held on Monday, 5 April 2021, by Korea Broadcasting Journalists Club. Oh Se-hoon criticized that Park Young-sun's housing plans are unrealistic and unachievable. Park Young-sun argued during the debate that he lied about the controversial land development project, which allegedly benefited his wife and her family. Then, Oh said Park's candidacy itself is a lie by the ruling party, which had promised not to produce a candidate for a by-election made necessary due to its elected members' indiscretion while in office.[94]

Minor candidates

[edit]
No.Date and timeHostProgrammeBroadcasterPresenter(s)CandidatesLink
 P  Participant    A  Absent invitee   O  Out of race (eliminated or withdrawn)   N  Non-inviteeShin
Ji-hye
Huh
Kyoung-young
Oh
Tae-yang
Bae
Yeong-hyu
Kim
Jin-ah
Song
Myeong-suk
Chung
Dong-hui
Lee
Do-yeop
Shin
Ji-ye
129 March 2021; 14:30–16:30KSTNational Election Commission2021 Seoul Mayoral by-election
non-invited candidate debate
KBS1/MBCLee Kyu-wonPPPPPPPPPWebsite

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceClientDate(s)
administered
MethodSample
size
Margin
of Error
Park
Young-sun
Oh
Se-hoon
Ahn
Cheol-soo
Huh
Kyung-young
Kim
Jin-ah
Song
Myeong-suk
Shin
Ji-ye
OthersNoneDon't know
or no answer
IPSOS/Korea/HankookKBS/MBC/SBS20–21 March 2021LI(M-VN)1,00695%, ±3.1%p27.3%30.2%24.0%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.2%1.0%17.4%1.8%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee
Poll sourceClientDate(s)
administered
MethodSample
size
Margin
of Error
Park
Young-sun
Woo
Sang-ho
Ahn
Cheol-soo
Oh
Se-hoon
Na
Kyoung-won
Cho
Eun-hee
Keum
Tae-seop
Kim
Jin-ai
OthersNoneDon't know
or no answer
Next ResearchSBS13 March 2021LI(M-VN)1,00895%, ±3.1%p27.4%24.0%26.1%2.4%1.0%17.4%1.8%
Hankook ResearchKBS8–9 March 2021LI(M-VN)80095%, ±3.5%p30.5%22.4%23.1%2.1%1.6%11.1%9.1%
Embrain PublicNews17–8 March 2021LI(M-VN)1,00995%, ±3.1%p33.3%23.4%24.6%2.9%1.5%11.2%3.1%
WinG KoreaAsia Economy6–7 March 2021ARS(M-VN)1,00295%, ±3.1%p30.3%24.7%27.9%4.1%2.3%8.0%2.0%
RealmeterMBC 100min Debate19–20 February 2021ARS
(M-VN 80%, L-RDD 20%)
1,03095%, ±3.1%p31.1%7.3%23.2%9.4%14.2%1.9%1.9%2.5%1.5%5.3%1.6%
RealmeterTBS,YTN7–8 February 2021LI 50%, ARS 50%
(M-RDD 80%, L-RDD 20%)
1,01695%, ±3.1%p26.2%7.7%19.0%9.4%15.1%2.8%1.4%1.3%2.8%11.5%2.7%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee
Virtual polling (two-way)
Poll sourceClientDate(s)
administered
MethodSample
size
Margin
of Error
Woo
Sang-ho
Park
Young-sun
Ahn
Cheol-soo
Oh
Se-hoon
Na
Kyoung-won
OthersNoneDon't know
or no answer
IPSOS/Korea/HankookKBS/MBC/SBS20–21 March 2021LI(M-VN)1,00695%, ±3.1%p30.4%47.0%3.3%16.1%4.1%
29.9%45.9%2.7%17.7%4.0%
IPSOSJoongAng Ilbo19–20 March 2021ARS
(M-VN 15.2% L-RDD 84.8%)
1,00295%, ±3.1%p36.8%50.6%1.5%9.4%1.8%
35.6%52.3%1.2%10.0%0.9%
RealmeterMunhwa Ilbo13–14 March 2021ARS
(M-RDD 80% L-RDD 20%)
1,03095%, ±3.1%p37.4%54.5%3.6%3.0%1.5%
RealmeterMunhwa Ilbo13–14 March 2021ARS
(M-RDD 80% L-RDD 20%)
1,03095%, ±3.1%p37.8%55.3%2.9%2.2%1.8%
PNRMirae Hankook Research
Aju Business Daily
14 March 2021ARS
(M-VN 84% L-RDD 16%)
80695%, ±3.5%p34.1%47.7%8.1%6.6%3.5%
33.0%50.8%8.4%5.4%2.5%
Kanta KoreaThe Chosun Ilbo/TV Chosun13 March 2021ARS(M-VN)80695%, ±3.5%p34.2%46.5%0.6%3.8%14.9%
33.8%45.2%1.9%3.2%15.9%
STISTI12–13 March 2021ARS(M-VN)1,00095%, ±3.1%p33.1%51.8%8.0%4.9%2.4%
32.3%53.7%5.7%5.8%2.4%
Next ResearchSBS13 March 2021LI(M-VN)1,00895%, ±3.1%p35.0%42.3%3.9%17.2%1.5%
33.6%45.4%2.2%17.7%1.1%
PNRMirae Hankook Research/
Money Today
13 March 2021ARS
(M-VN 81% L-RDD 19%)
80295%, ±3.5%p36.1%46.2%9.1%5.7%3.0%
34.8%46.7%9.8%5.2%3.5%
Hankook ResearchKBS8–9 March 2021LI(M-VN)80095%, ±3.5%p39.5%44.3%2.3%9.1%4.9%
37.0%44.9%2.8%10.0%5.4%
Embrain PublicNews17–8 March 2021LI(M-VN)1,00995%, ±3.1%p38.7%46.2%1.5%10.4%3.2%
39.3%43.1%1.9%12.3%3.4%
WinG KoreaAsia Economy6–7 March 2021ARS(M-VN)1,00295%, ±3.1%p38.8%49.2%4.5%5.4%2.0%
39.5%49.3%2.9%6.3%2.0%
IPSOSJoongAng Daily5–6 March 2021LI
(L-RDD 14.9% M-VN 85.1%)
1,00495%, ±3.1%p41.6%45.3%1.5%10.6%1.0%
39.8%47.3%1.2%10.7%0.9%
4 March 2021People Power Party's nomination
1 March 2021Democratic Party's nomination
RnSearchDaehan Economic25–26 February 2021ARS(M-VN)81895%, ±3.4%p34.1%36.7%16.3%10.6%2.0%
35.8%35.2%13.0%12.8%3.2%
35.4%33.4%15.6%13.1%2.4%
Hangil ResearchMBN15–16 February 2021ARS(M-VN)80795%, ±3.4%p39.0%27.2%20.5%11.3%1.9%
39.5%27.0%18.1%13.7%1.7%
39.3%39.4%18.1%13.7%1.7%
IPSOSSBS6–9 February 2021LI
(L-RDD 10% M-VN 90%)
80095%, ±3.5%p43.7%33.7%7.7%14.5%0.5%
45.1%33.0%8.0%13.4%0.5%
40.6%43.5%3.7%11.5%0.6%
35.7%36.3%7.6%20.2%0.3%
35.3%37.7%7.2%19.5%0.2%
33.0%46.9%4.4%15.4%0.4%
KRiMBC8–9 February 2021LI(M-VN)80495%, ±3.5%p46.0%33.7%0.2%18.4%1.6%
45.3%36.1%0.7%16.3%1.6%
41.9%41.4%0.4%14.6%1.8%
33.9%37.9%0.7%26.4%1.1%
31.0%41.8%0.5%25.0%1.6%
29.3%44.7%0.9%23.4%1.8%
RealmeterTBS,YTN7–8 February 2021LI 50%, ARS 50%
(M-RDD 80%, L-RDD 20%)
1,01695%, ±3.1%p39.7%34.0%6.2%16.8%3.3%
38.9%36.3%5.7%15.9%3.2%
40.6%29.7%7.2%18.5%4.0%
29.1%34.4%7.5%26.3%2.7%
28.2%40.4%5.5%23.0%3.0%
30.6%32.7%5.5%23.0%3.0%
Embrain PublicMunhwa Ilbo5–6 February 2021LI(M-VN)80095%, ±3.46%p43.1%36.1%2.5%16.7%1.6%
37.7%46.6%1.5%12.4%1.8%
42.3%39.3%1.6%14.4%2.4%
Hankook ResearchHankook Ilbo4–6 February 2021LI(M-VN)80095%, ±3.5%p41.1%41.3%9.0%2.7%6.0%
40.8%41.8%9.0%1.9%6.6%
39.2%46.0%7.4%2.2%5.1%
33.5%44.9%11.6%3.7%6.2%
32.5%46.0%11.5%3.7%6.3%
31.2%50.4%9.5%3.1%5.8%
Jowon C&ISisa Journal1–2 February 2021ARS(M-VN)1,00095%, ±3.1%p41.7%33.7%9.9%10.0%4.8%
41.0%36.8%7.8%9.5%4.9%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee
Virtual polling (three-way)
Poll sourceClientDate(s)
administered
MethodSample
size
Margin
of Error
Woo
Sang-ho
Park
Young-sun
Ahn
Cheol-soo
Oh
Se-hoon
Na
Kyoung-won
OthersNoneDon't know
or no answer
IPSOSJoongAng Ilbo19–20 March 2021ARS
(M-VN 15.2% L-RDD 84.8%)
1,00295%, ±3.1%p32.9%23.2%32.3%1.0%8.0%2.7%
RealmeterMunhwa Ilbo13–14 March 2021ARS
(M-RDD 80% L-RDD 20%)
1,03095%, ±3.1%p33.3%25.1%35.6%2.3%2.2%1.5%
PNRMirae Hankook Research/
Aju Business Daily
14 March 2021ARS
(M-VN 84% L-RDD 16%)
80695%, ±3.5%p30.7%26.1%34.7%2.7%4.8%1.0%
Kanta KoreaThe Chosun Ilbo/TV Chosun13 March 2021ARS(M-VN)80695%, ±3.5%p28.8%27.2%19.9%2.1%5.0%17.0%
PNRMirae Hankook Research/
Money Today
13 March 2021ARS(M-VN 81% L-RDD 19%)80295%, ±3.5%p33.0%32.5%27.9%3.3%2.1%1.2%
Hankook ResearchKBS8–9 March 2021LI(M-VN)80095%, ±3.5%p35.0%25.4%24.0%2.1%8.0%5.5%
Embrain PublicNews17–8 March 2021LI(M-VN)1,00995%, ±3.1%p35.8%26.0%25.4%1.4%9.3%2.1%
IPSOSJoongAng Daily5–6 March 2021LI
(L-RDD 14.9% M-VN 85.1%)
1,00495%, ±3.1%p35.8%24.2%26.4%1.7%9.3%2.5%
Hangil ResearchMBN15–16 February 2021ARS(M-VN)80495%, ±3.4%p37.8%27.9%20.8%6.8%5.2%1.6%
39.3%31.3%16.1%6.6%5.6%1.0%
KRiMBC8–9 February 2021LI(M-VN)80495%, ±3.5%p39.7%27.1%19.2%0.4%12.4%1.3%
38.7%27.8%19.6%0.1%12.8%1.0%
28.1%30.0%21.9%0.5%18.2%1.3%
28.1%31.2%20.3%0.6%18.6%1.1%
RealmeterTBS,YTN7–8 February 2021LI 50%, ARS 50%
(M-RDD 80%, L-RDD 20%)
1,01695%, ±3.1%p37.5%22.7%25.0%3.6%9.9%1.4%
37.7%26.7%18.7%4.2%11.4%1.3%
Hankook ResearchHankook Ilbo4–6 February 2021LI(M-VN)80095%, ±3.5%p35.7%27.0%22.8%6.8%1.2%6.4%
37.0%29.6%19.0%6.6%1.7%6.1%
26.7%29.6%24.7%8.2%2.9%5.9%
27.7%34.5%21.8%7.2%2.1%6.7%
Jowon C&ISisa Journal1–2 February 2021ARS(M-VN)1,00095%, ±3.1%p38.4%21.6%22.6%4.5%8.3%4.6%
For more information, visit the National Election Survey Deliberation Committee
Polling method

Exit poll

[edit]
KBS/MBC/SBS exit poll[95][96]
Demographic groupParkOh
Total vote37.759.0
Age
18–29 years old34.157.3
30–39 years old38.756.5
40–49 years old49.348.3
50–59 years old42.455.8
60–69 years old29.169.7
70 and older25.274.2
Age by gender
18–29 years old men22.272.5
18–29 years old women44.040.9
30–39 years old men32.663.8
30–39 years old women43.750.6
40–49 years old men51.345.8
40–49 years old women47.850.2
50–59 years old men45.152.4
50–59 years old women40.358.5
60+ years old men28.370.2
60+ years old women26.473.3

Young voters, who have traditionally sided with the Democratic Party, voted for the conservative PPP according to the Seoul exit polls. PPP's Oh Se-hoon won by a margin of 55.3 percent to 34.1 percent among voters in their 20s, and 56.5 percent to 38.7 percent among voters in their 30s. Among male voters in their 20s, Oh received a staggering 72.5 percent support in the exit poll. This swing among young voters to the PPP was attributed to the Moon government's left-leaning real estate policies, such as tightening of borrowing rules and raising various home-related taxes, affecting young people who wish to buy a home of their own. More importantly, the Democratic Party's continued support for feminism and women-prioritized policies had caused severe social divisions between young men and women, which prompted male 20s to vote for the conservative Oh. The PPP's Lee Junseok and Ha Taekyoung's role in promoting social unity amongst males and females while giving voice to the male 20s played a critical role. The Democratic administration was perceived to be of double standards, as seen in the alleged meddling of former Justice MinisterCho Kuk and his wife in their children's school admissions, sexual harassment cases of both former Seoul and Busan mayors affiliated with the ruling party, and the Democrats' decision to field candidates against its internal rule prohibiting competing in by-elections caused by "serious wrongdoing" by its members and seen as a critical factor in the Democrats losing support from young voters.[97]

Park Young-sun's comment that young people had a weak sense and experience of history after the release of weak poll numbers among young voters was said to have backfired on the DP. In contrast, Oh embraced the youth vote by hosting campaign events with young voters making endorsement speeches went viral online, and by promising to deliver speedy measures to increase housing supply in Seoul and also to look after the reinstatement and recovery of the victim of sexual harassment by the previous mayor Park Won-soon.[97]

Results

[edit]
2021 Seoul mayoral by-election[98][99]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
People PowerOh Se-hoon2,798,78857.50+34.16
DemocraticPark Young-sun1,907,33639.18–13.61
National RevolutionaryHuh Kyung-young52,1071.07(new)
Women'sKim Jin-ah33,4210.68(new)
Basic IncomeShin Ji-hye23,6280.48(new)
IndependentShin Ji-ye18,0390.37−1.30
ProgressiveSong Myeong-suk12,2720.25−0.19
MinsaengLee Su-bong11,1960.23(new)
MiraeOh Tae-yang6,4830.13−0.10
IndependentChung Dong-hui1,8740.03(new)
IndependentLee Do-yeop1,6640.03(new)
New Liberal Democratic UnionBae Yeong-gyu6340.01(new)
Informal votes35,188
Turnout3,523,23958.2TBD
Registered electors8,425,869+0.5

Mayor of Busan

[edit]
2021 Busan mayoral by-election

← 20187 April 2021 (2021-04-07)2022 →

Busan Metropolitan Mayor.
Elected by simple majority usingfirst past the post.
Triggered by resignation of incumbent
 
CandidatePark Heong-joonKim Young-choon
PartyPeople PowerDemocratic
Popular vote961,576528,135
Percentage62.67%34.42%

Mayor of Busan before election

Lee Byung-jin(acting)
Independent

Subsequent Mayor of Busan

Park Heong-joon
People Power

Primary

[edit]

Democratic Party

[edit]

On 6 March 2021,Kim Young-choon won Democratic preselection for the Busan mayorship, defeatingByeon Sung-wan and Park In-young.[100]

Candidates
[edit]

People Power Party

[edit]

On 4 March 2021,Park Heong-joon won PPPpreselection for the Busan mayorship, defeating Park Seong-hun andLee Un-ju.[104]

Candidates
[edit]

List of registered candidates

[edit]
#NamePartyDate of birthCareerNotes
1Kim Young-choonDemocratic (1962-02-05)5 February 1962 (age 63)Former Member of theNational Assembly
FormerMinister of Oceans and Fisheries (2017–2019)
Former Secretary-General of the National Assembly (2020)
2Park Heong-joonPPP (1960-01-19)19 January 1960 (age 65)Former Professor atDong-a University (1991–2021)
Former Member of the National Assembly forSuyeong (2004–2008)
FormerSenior Secretary to the President for Political Affairs (2009–2010)
Former Secretary-General of the National Assembly (2014–2016)
6Sohn Sang-wooMirae (1981-12-16)16 December 1981 (age 43)Head of the Mirae Party forBusan
7Bae Joon-hyunMinsaeng (1973-02-08)8 February 1973 (age 52)Head of the Minsaeng Party for Busan
8Jeong Kyu-jaeFDP (1957-01-12)12 January 1957 (age 68)Former Chief Editor ofKorea Economic Daily
Founder and former Chief ofPennmike
9Roh Jung-hyunProgressive (1978-01-28)28 January 1978 (age 47)Former Member of theYeonje District Council (2010–2014)
Head of the Progressive Party for Busan
Source:National Election Commission

Results

[edit]
2021 Busan mayoral by-election[98][109]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
People PowerPark Heong-joon961,57662.67+25.51
DemocraticKim Young-choon528,13534.42−20.81
Freedom and Democracy Party (South Korea)Chung Kyu-jae16,3801.06(new)
ProgressiveRoh Jeong-hyeon13,0540.85(new)
MiraeSon Sang-woo7,9330.51(new)
MinsaengBae Jun-hyeon7,2510.47(new)
Informal votes11,722
Turnout1,546,05152.7−6.1
Registered electors2,936,301−0.1

Municipal Mayor

[edit]

Mayor of Nam District, Ulsan

[edit]
2021 Nam District mayoral by-election
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerSeo Dong-wook69,68963.73
DemocraticKim Seok-gyeom24,22322.15
ProgressiveKim Jin-seok15,43114.11
Turnout110,13640.50
Registered electors271,967

Mayor of Uiryeong County

[edit]
2021 Uiryeong County mayoral by-election
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerOh Tae-wan7,33544.33
DemocraticKim Chung-gyu4,94229.87
IndependentOh Yong2,15813.04
IndependentKim Chang-hwan2,10912.74
Turnout16,99769.51
Registered electors24,452

Member of Metropolitan Council

[edit]

Seoul Metropolitan Council

[edit]
2021 Seoul Metropolitan Council by-election: Gangbuk 1st
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerLee Jong-hwan18,91250.78
DemocraticKim Seung-sik18,32549.21
Turnout38,72352.99
Registered electors73,147

Gyeonggi Metropolitan Council

[edit]
2021 Gyeonggi Metropolitan Council by-election: Guri 1st
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerPaik Hyeon-jong14,15054.86
DemocraticShin Dong-hwa11,64145.13
Turnout26,00228.34
Registered electors91,734

North Chungcheong Metropolitan Council

[edit]
2021 North Chungcheong Metropolitan Council by-election: Boeun
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerWon Gap-hui5,54941.16
IndependentPark Kyeong-suk4,92336.52
DemocraticKim Gi-jun3,00722.30
Turnout13,59146.53
Registered electors29,212

South Jeolla Metropolitan Council

[edit]
2021 South Jeolla Metropolitan Council by-election: Suncheon 1st
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticHan Chun-ok8,05564.79
IndependentJu Yun-sik4,37735.20
Turnout12,59726.31
Registered electors47,888
2021 South Jeolla Metropolitan Council by-election: Goheung 2nd
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPark Seon-jun9,04553.34
IndependentChung Sun-yeol7,91246.65
Turnout17,14155.71
Registered electors30,771

South Gyeongsang Metropolitan Council

[edit]
2021 South Gyeongsang Metropolitan Council by-election: Goseong 1st
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerPaik Su-myeong6,17556.57
DemocraticRyu Jeong-yeol2,60023.82
IndependentLee Woo-yeong2,14019,60
Turnout11,00650.18
Registered electors21,932
2021 South Gyeongsang Metropolitan Council by-election: Uiryeong
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerSon Tae-yeong10,04361.76
DemocraticChung Kwon-yong6,21838.23
Turnout16,99669.51
Registered electors24,452
2021 South Gyeongsang Metropolitan Council by-election: Hamyang
PartyCandidateVotes%
IndependentKim Jae-woong8,25348.61
People PowerPark Hui-gyu6,54838.56
DemocraticChung Jae-gak2,17612.81
Turnout17,15849.13
Registered electors34,922

Member of Municipal Council

[edit]

Seoul

[edit]
2021 Yeongdeungpo Council by-election: F electoral district
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerCha In-yeong12,62659.12
DemocraticYang Songi8,72740.87
Turnout22,08460.69
Registered electors36,390
2021 Songpa Council by-election: D electoral district
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerKim Sun-ae23,31362.96
DemocraticBae Shin-jeong11,11530.01
MiraeChoi ji-seon2,5597.01
Turnout37,83362.13
Registered electors60,895

Ulsan

[edit]
2021 Ulju Council by-election: B electoral district
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerPark Ki-hong14,37661.38
DemocraticKim Ki-rak9,04338.61
Turnout23,66032.62
Registered electors72,521

Gyeonggi

[edit]
2021 Paju Council by-election: A electoral district
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerPark Su-yeon11,03949.04
DemocraticSon Seong-ik9,26841.17
ProgressiveKim Yeong-jung2,2009.77
Turnout22,64920.18
Registered electors112,024

South Chungcheong

[edit]
2021 Yesan Council by-election: D electoral district
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerHong Won-pyo3,02941.41
DemocraticLee Heung-yeop2,34532.06
IndependentShin Hyeon-mo1,42219.44
IndependentLee Kyeong-il3074.19
IndependentIn Hui-yeol2112.88
Turnout7,36846.28
Registered electors15,921

North Jeolla

[edit]
2021 Gimje Council by-election: B electoral district
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKim Seung-il3,10346.73
IndependentKim Seong-bae2,08631.42
IndependentMoon Byeong-seon95714.41
IndependentChoi Hoon4937.42
Turnout6,69332.14
Registered electors20,825

South Jeolla

[edit]
2021 Boseong Council by-election: C electoral district
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCho Yeong-nam2,20945.12
IndependentKim Mi-yeol2,20445.02
IndependentYoon Jeong-jae4829.84
Turnout4,96261.44
Registered electors8,076

South Gyeongsang

[edit]
2021 Uiryeong Council by-election: D electoral district
PartyCandidateVotes%
IndependentYoon Byeong-yeol1,82650.19
People PowerCha Seong-gil1,81249.80
Turnout3,77170.04
Registered electors5,384
2021 Haman Council by-election: C electoral district
PartyCandidateVotes%
People PowerHwang Cheol-yong5,21574.34
DemocraticCho Ho-gi1,80025.65
Turnout7,06841.07
Registered electors17,209

References

[edit]
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  46. ^김, 진아 (3 March 2021)."여권 단일화 '시간싸움'..."토론 3번은 해야" vs "시간 없다"" [Unification 'time fight'... "We need the debate at least three times" vs. "There's no time"].Newsis (in Korean).Archived from the original on 8 March 2021. Retrieved9 March 2021.
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  62. ^"[4월 '미니대선'] 與, 서울·부산시장 후보 내긴 내야 하는데..."Sisa Journal (in Korean). 29 September 2020. Retrieved25 February 2021.
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  80. ^김지현 (27 December 2020).""첫 도시전문가 시장 될것" 김진애, 출마 선언...김의겸 국회 입성?".The Dong-a Ilbo (in Korean). Retrieved17 February 2021.
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  82. ^이, 혜인 (8 December 2020)."기본소득당 신지혜 서울시장 출마···"1인당 50만원 기본소득"" [Shin Ji-hye (Basic Income Party) runs for Mayor of Seoul... "Basic income of 500,000 won per person"].[[:ko:서울경제|]] (in Korean). Retrieved18 February 2021.
  83. ^ab조, 준혁 (31 January 2021)."금태섭·조정훈, 서울시장 출마선언...군소후보들 잰걸음" [Keum Tae-seop and Cho Jung-hun declared running for mayor of Seoul... Small party candidates and independents started to run].Korea Economic Daily (in Korean). Retrieved18 February 2021.
  84. ^ab진, 혜민 (19 February 2021)."[4·7 보궐선거] "우리를 주목하라" 소수정당 서울시장 예비후보자들".여성신문 (in Korean). Retrieved1 March 2021.
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  87. ^"[보도자료] 청년정당 미래당 오태양 서울시장 출마 등, 4월 보궐선거 출마선언 "정권교체선거 안돼"" [[Press Release] Our Future Party, Oh Taeyang runs for Mayor of Seoul, Declaration to run for by-election in April "This election should not be a regime change election"].Our Future (in Korean). Archived fromthe original on 7 March 2021. Retrieved18 February 2021.
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