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2021 Ohio's 15th congressional district special election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For the other congressional special election held concurrently, see2021 Ohio's 11th congressional district special election.
For broader coverage of this topic, seeOhio's 15th congressional district.

Ohio's 15th congressional district special election
← 2020November 2, 20212022 →
Ohio's 15th congressional district
Turnout32.25%[1]
 
NomineeMike CareyAllison Russo
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote94,50167,588
Percentage58.3%41.7%
Results by county
Results by precinct
Carey:
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  >90%
Russo:
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  >90%
Tie:
  
No votes:
  
U.S. Representative before election

Steve Stivers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Carey
Republican

On May 16, 2021, RepresentativeSteve Stivers resigned from his seat in theUnited States House of Representatives to become president and CEO of the Ohio Chamber of Commerce.[2] Following Stivers' official communication of his intent to resign, Ohio GovernorMike DeWine announced that the special election to fill the remainder of his term would be held on November 2, 2021, with the primary election held on August 3, concurrent with thespecial election in Ohio's 11th congressional district.[3][4] In the general election on November 2, Republican nomineeMike Carey defeated Democratic nomineeAllison Russo by 26,913 votes.

Elections in Ohio
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant Governor elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
State Auditor elections
State Treasurer elections
State Supreme Court elections
State House elections
State Senate elections

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Carey

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Stephanie Kunze

Organizations

Jeff LaRe

U.S. representatives

State representatives

Organizations
  • Left or Right Politics
Bob Peterson

U.S. representatives

State legislators

County commissioners

Ron Hood

U.S. senators

Ruth Edmonds

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error
John Adams
Mike Carey
Eric Clark
Thad Cooperrider
Ruth Edmonds
Ron Hood
Thomas Hwang
Stephanie Kunze
Jeff LaRe
Bob Peterson
Omar Tarazi
Undecided
Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)[20][A]June 23–24, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%<1%20%0%2%<1%7%3%6%9%7%1%44%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Carey
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Peterson
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Carey18,80536.3
RepublicanJeff LaRe6,77613.1
RepublicanRon Hood6,67612.9
RepublicanBob Peterson6,40712.4
RepublicanRuth Edmonds5,0909.8
RepublicanThomas Hwang2,4994.8
RepublicanStephanie Kunze2,3634.6
RepublicanThad Cooperrider1,0762.1
RepublicanOmar Tarazi9071.7
RepublicanJohn Adams1730.3
RepublicanEric M. Clark830.2
Total votes51,855100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Allison Russo

U.S. senators

Local officials

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Results by county
Russo
  •   Russo—70–80%
  •   Russo—80–90%
Democratic primary results[21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAllison Russo13,70484.2
DemocraticGreg Betts2,57615.8
Total votes16,280100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[31]Likely RAugust 4, 2021
Inside Elections[32]Solid ROctober 27, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33]Likely RAugust 4, 2021

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Carey (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Allison Russo (D)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Local officials

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Mike
Carey (R)		Allison
Russo (D)		Undecided
Emerson College[40]October 14–16, 2021445 (LV)± 4.6%50%39%11%
Notes
  1. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Results

[edit]
2021 Ohio's 15th congressional district special election[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanMike Carey94,50158.30%–5.11
DemocraticAllison Russo67,58841.70%+5.13
Total votes162,089100.0%
Turnout[a]165,02632.25%
Registered electors511,773
Republicanhold
By county
County[1]Mike Carey
Republican		Allison Russo
Democratic		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%
Athens(part)3,61137.06,16063.02,54926.09,771
Clinton5,97278.51,63221.54,34057.07,604
Fairfield21,01165.411,11734.69,89430.832,128
Fayette(part)91884.516815.575069.01,086
Franklin(part)29,84245.236,23054.86,3889.666,072
Hocking3,75668.81,70131.22,05537.65,457
Madison6,53572.72,45027.34,08545.48,985
Morgan2,53374.487325.61,66048.83,406
Perry5,48772.52,05427.23,43345.37,541
Pickaway8,32173.82,95626.25,36547.611,277
Ross(part)4,63373.91,63826.12,99547.86,271
Vinton1,88275.660924.41,27351.22,491
Total94,50158.367,58841.726,91316.6162,089

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Including invalid votes or ballots not counted for either candidate

Partisan clients

  1. ^This poll was sponsored by Mike Carey's campaign.

References

[edit]
  1. ^abc"November 2, 2021 Special Congressional General Election Official Canvass".Ohio Secretary of State. RetrievedApril 6, 2022.
  2. ^"Rep. Steve Stivers will resign from Congress to join Ohio Chamber". WCMH-TV. April 19, 2021. RetrievedApril 19, 2021.
  3. ^Clay, Jarrod (April 26, 2021)."Gov. DeWine calls special election for Ohio's 15th Congressional District". WTTE. RetrievedApril 26, 2021.
  4. ^"Governor DeWine calls special election for Ohio's 15th Congressional District".Highland County Press. Archived fromthe original on April 26, 2021. RetrievedApril 26, 2021.
  5. ^abcdefghijk"12 Republicans, two Democrats vie for 15th Congressional District seat to replace Steve Stivers".The Columbus Dispatch. May 17, 2021. RetrievedMay 17, 2021.
  6. ^@CATargetBot (May 5, 2021)."'NEW 2021 FEC F2, Ruth Edmonds (REP), #OH15 (R-Stivers)'" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  7. ^"Faith-Based and Community Initiatives". RetrievedMay 9, 2021.
  8. ^abBischoff, Laura A."Five Republicans in central Ohio already seeking to replace Rep. Steve Stivers in Congress".The Columbus Dispatch. RetrievedApril 29, 2021.
  9. ^"State Senator Bob Peterson announces candidacy for U.S. Congress".Highland County Press. April 20, 2021. Archived fromthe original on April 21, 2021. RetrievedApril 21, 2021.
  10. ^@CATargetBot (May 7, 2021)."'NEW 2021 FEC F2, Omar Tarazi (REP), #OH15 (R-Stivers)'" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  11. ^"Law Office of Attorney Omar Tarazi". RetrievedMay 9, 2021.
  12. ^Brian Stewart [@BrianStewartOH] (June 4, 2021)."I am deeply grateful to the volunteers, friends, donors - and most of all, my family - who helped us get #StewartForCongress off to an amazing start. However, it's become clear that this is not yet my time, and I am suspending my campaign. My full statement is below. #OH15" (Tweet). RetrievedJune 4, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  13. ^abHaley BeMiller (June 8, 2021)."Former President Donald Trump endorses Mike Carey in 15th Congressional District race".The Columbus Dispatch.
  14. ^"Stefanik endorses Trump candidate in Ohio GOP primary race". July 13, 2021.
  15. ^Steinhauser, Paul (June 22, 2021)."Conservative PAC that supports female candidates makes initial 2022 endorsements".Fox News.Archived from the original on June 30, 2021. RetrievedJuly 2, 2021.
  16. ^Barron, Jeff; BeMiller, Haley (June 2, 2021)."Steve Stivers endorses Jeff LaRe as his 15th Congressional District replacement".Lancaster Eagle-Gazette. RetrievedJune 2, 2021.
  17. ^abcdefReutter, Justin (June 9, 2021)."Meet the candidate: Senator Bob Peterson".Chillicothe Gazette. RetrievedJune 12, 2021.
  18. ^Alex Isenstadt (July 14, 2021)."'It will be remembered': Trump allies cross him in special election".Politico.
  19. ^Colvin, Jill; Beaumont, Thomas; Smyth, Julie Carr (August 2, 2021)."Trump's kingmaker status faces test in Ohio special election". Associated Press.
  20. ^Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)
  21. ^ab"JasperReports - /Election Summary - Includes Overlaps"(PDF).Franklin County Board of Elections. RetrievedAugust 27, 2021.
  22. ^abBischoff, Laura A."Rep. Steve Stivers is out; Central Ohio politicos lining up to replace him".The Columbus Dispatch. RetrievedApril 19, 2021.
  23. ^Allison Russo [@Russo4Ohio] (May 11, 2021)."We all want our kids and grandkids to have the opportunities they need to put down roots and raise a family of their own here in Ohio someday. Together, we can build an economy that works for all of us. #Russo4Ohio15" (Tweet). RetrievedMay 11, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  24. ^@JMBorchardt (May 10, 2021)."State Sen. @TinaMaharath (D) will NOT run for #OH15 to replace Steve Stivers, will stay in the Ohio Senate. "There is more work that needs to be done."" (Tweet). RetrievedMay 10, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  25. ^"www.joelnewby.com - D-15 2021 Special Election Statement".joelnewby.com. RetrievedApril 25, 2021.
  26. ^Behrens, Cole (May 3, 2021)."Patterson bows out of consideration for Stivers' U.S. congress seat". RetrievedMay 3, 2021.
  27. ^abcPeters, Ben (July 7, 2021)."Athens Mayor endorses Democrat Allison Russo in Ohio's 15th Congressional District race".Athens News.
  28. ^Reutter, Justin (July 5, 2021)."Democratic challenger hopes to flip 15th Congressional District".Chillicothe Gazette.
  29. ^ab"this OPEN seat in Ohio is the only red-to-blue pickup opportunity of 2021".Archive of Political Emails. May 11, 2021.
  30. ^abcdBehrens, Cole (July 7, 2021)."Athens mayor endorses state Rep. Allison Russo for special election".The Athens Messenger.
  31. ^Dave Wasserman (August 4, 2021)."OH-11 and OH-15 First Thoughts: These Are Biden and Trump's Parties". RetrievedDecember 7, 2021.
  32. ^Rothenberg, Stuart (October 27, 2021)."House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedDecember 9, 2021.
  33. ^Kondik, Kyle (August 5, 2021)."Notes on the State of Politics: August 4, 2021". RetrievedAugust 4, 2021.
  34. ^Mike Pence [@Mike_Pence] (August 4, 2021)."Congratulations to my friend Mike Carey on winning the Republican nomination in OH-15! With a win this November, MikeCareyOH15 will be a champion for Ohio and America on Day One. Congratulations Mike!" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  35. ^"Stefanik endorses Trump candidate in Ohio GOP primary race". Fox News. July 13, 2021.
  36. ^Gomez, Henry (July 5, 2021)."Biden endorses Allison Russo in special congressional election in Ohio".NBC News.
  37. ^Reutter, Justin (November 1, 2021)."Democratic challenger hopes to flip 15th Congressional District".Chillicothe Gazette.
  38. ^"EMILY's List Endorses Allison Russo for Congress".EMILY's List. August 10, 2021. RetrievedOctober 26, 2021.
  39. ^"LCV ACTION FUND ENDORSES SHONTEL BROWN AND ALLISON RUSSO FOR CONGRESS".League of Conservation Voters. September 9, 2021. RetrievedOctober 26, 2021.
  40. ^Emerson College

External links

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