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2020 West Virginia gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2020 United States gubernatorial elections.

2020 West Virginia gubernatorial election
← 2016
November 3, 2020
2024 →
 
NomineeJim JusticeBen Salango
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote497,944237,024
Percentage63.49%30.22%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Justice:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Salango:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Governor before election

Jim Justice
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Jim Justice
Republican

Elections in West Virginia
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The2020 West Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect thegovernor of West Virginia, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well aselections to theUnited States Senate, elections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate and local elections.

Incumbent GovernorJim Justice announced his 2020 re-election campaign on January 7, 2019.[1] Justice was elected in2016 as aDemocrat, but later switched back to the Republican Party at a campaign rally withDonald Trump.[2] Justice won re-election to a second term, defeating DemocraticKanawha County commissioner Ben Salango. Justice's re-election made him the first Republican to be elected governor of West Virginia sinceCecil Underwood in1996. Additionally, Justice became the first incumbent Republican governor to win re-election sinceArch A. Moore Jr. in1972, as well as the first Republican to carry all counties in West Virginia. However, Justice performed worse than Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, who outperformed Justice by 5.13 percentage points. Additionally, Salango slightly outperformed Biden by 0.53 percentage points. Justice's 33% margin is the largest margin for a Republican in West Virginia history[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Shelby Jean Fitzhugh, retiree[5]
  • Michael Folk, former state delegate[6]
  • Brooke Lunsford, insurance agent[7]
  • Chuck Sheedy, U.S. Army veteran[8]
  • Doug Six, surveyor[7]
  • Woody Thrasher, former West Virginia Secretary of Commerce (2017–2018)[9]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Jim
Justice		Mike
Folk		Woody
Thrasher		Other /
Undecided
Triton Polling & Research/WMOV[12]May 18–26, 2020719 (LV)± 3.7%53%15%14%18%[b]
WPA Intelligence (R)[13][A]December 16–18, 2019502 (LV)± 4.4%38%6%30%26%'
Research America Inc.[14]December 4–9, 2019229 (LV)–56%11%21%12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[15]August 24–25, 2019–[c]–56%–26%18%
Research America Inc.[16]August 14–22, 2019216 (LV)–53%12%19%17%'
WPA Intelligence[17][B]August 13–14, 2019509 (V)–38%11%23%28%
WPA Intelligence[17][C]March 7–10, 2019509 (V)–58%5%5%32%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Justice
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Folk
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJim Justice (incumbent)133,25862.70%
RepublicanWoody Thrasher38,89818.30%
RepublicanMichael Folk26,73512.58%
RepublicanDoug Six4,4292.08%
RepublicanBrooke Lunsford3,8491.81%
RepublicanShelly Jean Fitzhugh2,7991.32%
RepublicanChuck Sheedy2,5521.20%
Total votes212,520100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ben Salango

Federal politicians

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Stephen Smith

Federal politicians

Organizations

Ron Stollings

State legislators

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Ben
Salango		Stephen
Smith		Ron
Stollings		Other /
Undecided
Triton Polling & Research/WMOV[35]May 18–26, 2020231 (LV)± 6.4%30%27%10%33%[d]
Research America/MetroNews[36]December 4–10, 2019220 (LV)± 4.4%18%21%19%46%[e]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Salango
  •   Salango—60–70%
  •   Salango—50–60%
  •   Salango—40–50%
  •   Salango—30–40%
Smith
  •   Smith—30–40%
  •   Smith—40–50%
  •   Smith—50–60%
Stollings
  •   Stollings—50–60%
  •   Stollings—70–80%
Murphy
  •   Murphy—30–40%
  •   Murphy—40–50%
Democratic primary results[37]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBen Salango74,80538.68%
DemocraticStephen Smith65,54433.89%
DemocraticRon Stollings25,78213.33%
DemocraticJody Murphy18,0399.33%
DemocraticDouglas Hughes9,2314.77%
Total votes193,401100.00%

Other candidates

[edit]

Mountain Party

[edit]

TheMountain Party received over 5% of the vote in2016 with former State Senator and DelegateCharlotte Pritt as the party's gubernatorial nominee. The party nominates its candidate for governor by convention per its bylaws.[38]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Daniel Lutz, Eastern Panhandle Conservation District Supervisor representing Jefferson County, and commissioned U.S. Air Force veteran[39]

Endorsements

[edit]
Daniel Lutz

Organizations

  • Eastern Panhandle Green Coalition, environmental organization[40]
  • Jefferson County Vision, sustainability organization[40]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Erika Kolenich, trial attorney[8]

Write-ins

[edit]

The following candidates were certified write-in candidates.[41]

Declared

[edit]
  • Quintin Gerard Caldwell
  • Michael Folk, former State Delegate(sought the nomination of the Republican Party)
  • Kimberly Gross
  • Mitch Roberts
  • Marshall Wilson, State Delegate(Independent)[42]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[43]Safe ROctober 23, 2020
Inside Elections[44]Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[45]Likely RNovember 2, 2020
Politico[46]Likely RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[47]Safe ROctober 28, 2020
RCP[48]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
270towin[49]Likely RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
Ben Salango (D)

Federal politicians

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Jim
Justice (R)		Ben
Salango (D)		Daniel
Lutz (M)		Erika
Kolenich (L)		Undecided
Triton Polling and Research[52]October 19–21, 2020544 (LV)± 4.2%53%35%3%3%5%
Research America Inc.[53]October 1–6, 2020450 (LV)± 4.6%53%34%2%5%6%
Triton Polling & Research[54]September 29–30, 2020[f]525 (RV)± 4.3%48%38%4%4%6%
Strategies Unlimited[55][D]September 26–30, 2020600 (LV)± 4%46%40%5%–8%
Mark Blankenship Enterprises (R)[56][g]September 10–14, 2020504 (LV)± 4.3%54%27%9%[h]10%
Hypothetical polling

Jim Justice vs. Joe Manchin

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Jim
Justice (R)		Joe
Manchin (D)		Other /
Undecided
Research America/MetroNews[57]August 14–22, 2019501 (RV)± 4.4%39%49%12%

Results

[edit]
West Virginia gubernatorial election, 2020[58][59]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJim Justice (incumbent)497,94463.49%+21.19%
DemocraticBen Salango237,02430.22%−18.87%
LibertarianErika Kolenich22,5272.87%+0.72%
Americans Coming TogetherS. Marshall Wilson (write-in)15,1201.93%N/A
MountainDaniel Lutz11,3091.44%−4.45%
Write-in3630.05%N/A
Total votes784,287100.00%
Turnout802,72663.25%
Registered electors1,269,219
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
CountyJim Justice
Republican		Ben Salango
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Barbour4,78373.0%1,41921.7%3505.3%3,65451.3%6,552
Berkeley28,84160.2%15,25331.8%3,0838.0%13,58828.4%47,897
Boone5,76565.2%2,82932.0%2462.8%2,93633.2%8,840
Braxton3,79968.5%1,49226.9%2544.6%2,30741.6%5,545
Brooke6,84065.7%2,96428.5%6055.8%3,87637.2%10,409
Cabell20,75057.3%14,15139.1%1,2843.6%6,59918.2%36,185
Calhoun2,14174.2%63221.9%1133.9%1,50952.3%2,886
Clay2,37073.6%73422.8%1143.5%1,63650.8%3,218
Doddridge2,33078.6%47316.0%1615.4%1,85762.6%2,964
Fayette10,07662.1%5,58734.5%5513.4%4,48927.6%16,214
Gilmer1,77368.7%62324.1%1847.1%1,15044.6%2,580
Grant4,30283.4%60911.8%2464.7%3,69372.2%5,157
Greenbrier10,97370.8%4,05326.2%4693.0%6,92044.6%15,495
Hampshire7,11174.9%1,83519.3%5475.7%5,27665.6%9,493
Hancock8,99566.6%3,86828.6%6484.8%5,12738.0%13,511
Hardy4,36471.3%1,47124.0%2854.6%2,89347.3%6,120
Harrison19,07464.6%8,77829.7%1,6855.7%10,29634.9%29,537
Jackson8,93270.0%3,41826.8%4013.1%5,51443.2%12,751
Jefferson14,01052.2%10,56339.4%2,2458.4%3,44712.8%26,818
Kanawha41,31051.3%37,10146.1%2,0922.6%4,2095.2%80,503
Lewis5,40773.8%1,39319.0%5257.2%4,01454.8%7,325
Lincoln5,26569.5%2,16428.6%1492.0%3,10140.9%7,578
Logan9,43674.0%3,05223.9%2572.1%6,38450.1%12,745
Marion15,25360.2%8,63234.1%1,4555.8%6,62126.1%25,340
Marshall9,32467.6%3,83927.8%6404.7%5,48539.8%13,803
Mason7,51969.6%2,89826.8%3883.6%4,62142.8%10,805
McDowell4,86177.4%1,32121.0%981.6%3,54056.4%6,280
Mercer18,34075.6%5,05220.8%8523.6%13,28854.8%24,244
Mineral9,53575.7%2,41219.2%6425.1%7,12356.5%12,589
Mingo7,45477.0%2,02220.9%2082.1%5,43256.1%9,684
Monongalia19,85448.1%19,46047.1%1,9804.8%3941.0%41,294
Monroe4,76476.6%1,28420.6%1752.8%3,48056.0%6,223
Morgan5,94871.3%1,85022.2%5496.6%4,09849.1%8,347
Nicholas7,51873.6%2,41423.6%2872.8%5,10450.0%10,219
Ohio11,77559.9%6,98435.5%8954.6%4,79124.4%19,654
Pendleton2,66474.4%77421.6%1454.1%1,89052.8%3,583
Pleasants2,59676.5%67019.8%1263.7%1,92656.7%3,392
Pocahontas2,73771.1%96525.1%1493.9%1,77246.0%3,851
Preston10,02371.6%3,24023.1%7455.3%6,78348.5%14,008
Putnam17,25164.0%8,83132.8%8683.2%8,42031.2%26,950
Raleigh22,25969.3%8,96227.9%9122.8%13,29741.4%32,133
Randolph7,91567.5%3,34928.6%4543.9%4,56638.9%11,718
Ritchie3,23479.2%66516.3%1834.5%2,56962.9%4,082
Roane4,00770.8%1,47326.0%1803.2%2,53444.8%5,660
Summers3,77369.5%1,50227.7%1562.9%2,27141.8%5,431
Taylor5,05870.3%1,76924.6%3655.1%3,28945.7%7,192
Tucker2,62870.1%94425.2%1794.8%1,68444.9%3,751
Tyler2,74672.9%74519.8%2757.3%2,00153.1%3,766
Upshur6,95170.0%1,91519.3%1,06410.7%5,03650.7%9,930
Wayne11,07968.5%4,54828.1%5533.4%6,53140.4%16,180
Webster2,55276.4%65919.7%1283.8%1,89356.7%3,339
Wetzel4,55969.6%1,72726.4%2674.0%2,83243.2%6,553
Wirt1,94776.5%48319.0%1144.5%1,46457.5%2,544
Wood26,23269.7%9,93326.4%1,4513.8%16,29943.3%37,616
Wyoming6,94183.4%1,24014.9%1391.6%5,70168.5%8,320
Totals497,04464.8%237,02430.8%33,8364.4%260,92034.0%768,804

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Justice won all three congressional districts.[60]

DistrictJusticeSalangoRepresentative
1st64%30%David McKinley
2nd59%33%Alex Mooney
3rd68%27%Carol Miller

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Undecided with 12%, Doug Six with 2.0%; Shelby Fitzhugh with 1.8%; Brooke Lunsford with 1.2%; Chuck Sheedy with 0.6%
  3. ^Not available
  4. ^Undecided with 29%, Jody Murphy with 2.9%; Douglas Hughes with 1.3%
  5. ^Undecided with 42%, Cecil Silva with 1.8%; Jody Murphy with 1.4%; Edwin Vanover with 0.5%
  6. ^Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  7. ^Poll sponsored by Justice's campaign.
  8. ^Split between Danny Lutz (M) and Erika Kolenich (L)

Partisan clients

  1. ^Poll conducted for Woody Thrasher
  2. ^Poll sponsored by Woody Thrasher's campaign
  3. ^Poll sponsored by Woody Thrasher's campaign
  4. ^Poll sponsored by West Virginia First, which opposed Jim Justice's reelection bid prior to this poll's sampling period.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Brown, Haley (January 7, 2019)."Governor Justice announces 2020 campaign". WVVA. RetrievedJanuary 7, 2019.[permanent dead link]
  2. ^"West Virginia Undergoing Political, Generational Change".New York Times. August 3, 2017. RetrievedAugust 3, 2017.
  3. ^"Our Campaigns - Container Detail Page".
  4. ^Zuckerman, Jake (January 7, 2019)."Gov. Jim Justice announces re-election bid".Charleston Gazette-Mail. RetrievedJanuary 7, 2019.
  5. ^"Campaign Update: Shelby Jean Fitzhugh on West Virginia's needs".West Virginia Press. February 14, 2020.
  6. ^"Former Delegate Mike Folk announces run for W.Va. governor".Associated Press. February 5, 2019. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2019.
  7. ^abThomas, Alex (January 29, 2020)."Governor, US Senate seats up in this year's election".
  8. ^abc"Financial Disclosure - Governor 2020 Election".West Virginia Secretary of State.
  9. ^Young, Charles (April 16, 2019)."Woody Thrasher to run for governor, hopes to unseat Justice in WV's 2020 election". WV News. RetrievedApril 16, 2019.
  10. ^abAdams, Steven Allen (December 3, 2018)."Tis the election season again".The Journal. RetrievedDecember 5, 2018.
  11. ^Kabler, Phil (October 4, 2018)."BRIM adopts statement of support for pending settlements of Mac Warner lawsuits".Charleston Gazette-Mail.
  12. ^Triton Polling & Research/WMOV
  13. ^WPA Intelligence (R)
  14. ^Research America Inc.
  15. ^Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  16. ^Research America Inc.
  17. ^abWPA Intelligence
  18. ^"GOVERNOR - REP".Secretary of State of West Virginia. RetrievedJune 9, 2020.
  19. ^Morris, Jeff (October 4, 2019)."Kanawha Commissioner Ben Salango to run for governor".WCHS.
  20. ^"Douglas Hughes, Democratic candidate for W.Va. governor".WCHS - ABC 8. April 3, 2020. Archived fromthe original on June 16, 2020. RetrievedJune 16, 2020.
  21. ^Mistich, David (November 27, 2018)."West Virginia Community Organizer Jumps in 2020 Gubernatorial Race".WV Public Broadcasting. Archived fromthe original on September 29, 2019. RetrievedAugust 30, 2019.
  22. ^Jenkins, Jeff (September 23, 2019)."Stollings to run for governor".WV MetroNews. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2019.
  23. ^Levine, Marianne (September 3, 2019)."Joe Manchin won't run for governor of West Virginia".Politico. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2019.
  24. ^abWVMetroNews (March 18, 2020)."Manchin endorses Salango in gubernatorial contest".WV MetroNews. RetrievedMay 21, 2020.
  25. ^ab"Endorsements | Ben Salango for Governor".Ben Salango. Archived fromthe original on September 22, 2020. RetrievedJune 9, 2020.
  26. ^ab"2020 Primary Election Cope Endorsements".West Virginia AFL-CIO.[permanent dead link]
  27. ^ab"Ben Salango for Governor | West Virginia".Ben Salango. Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2020. RetrievedOctober 16, 2019.
  28. ^McElhinny, Brad (September 9, 2019)."Elizabeth Warren pitches an early endorsement for Stephen Smith's campaign for governor".WV MetroNews."I'm proud to endorse Stephen's bid for governor, and his team's efforts to run candidates up and down the ballot," Warren stated.
  29. ^"Next Up Endorses Young Progressive Candidates".People for the American Way. Archived fromthe original on February 11, 2020. RetrievedMarch 28, 2020.
  30. ^"Planned Parenthood Votes! South Atlantic Announces Election Endorsements, including Stephen Smith for Governor".Planned Parenthood Action Fund (PlannedParenthoodAction.org).
  31. ^"Join the Bold Progressive Movement!".Progressive Change Campaign Committee (BoldProgressives.org).
  32. ^"2020 Endorsements".Rise Up West Virginia. RetrievedMarch 28, 2020.
  33. ^"Join us Sunday for the next WFP Assembly".Working Families Party. January 24, 2020. Archived fromthe original on March 29, 2020. RetrievedMarch 28, 2020.
  34. ^Pace, Bailey (March 18, 2020)."Democratic gubernatorial candidate, Dr. Stollings, criticizes Manchin for endorsement of opponent during COVID-19 crisis".WVVA. Archived fromthe original on May 18, 2020. RetrievedJune 10, 2020.
  35. ^Triton Polling & Research/WMOV
  36. ^Research America/MetroNews
  37. ^"GOVERNOR - DEM".Secretary of State of West Virginia. RetrievedJune 9, 2020.
  38. ^"Constitution and Bylaws of the West Virginia Mountain Party".Mountain Party. November 11, 2019. RetrievedJune 20, 2020.
  39. ^"Mountain Party Nominates Danny Lutz For Governor".Mountain Party.Mountain Party. June 20, 2020. RetrievedJune 20, 2020.
  40. ^ab"2020 General Election Guide"(PDF). RetrievedOctober 22, 2020.
  41. ^"List Of Candidates For 11/03/2020 -- GENERAL 2020"(PDF). West Virginia Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on October 16, 2020. RetrievedOctober 12, 2020.
  42. ^"Delegate Marshall Wilson running for Governor of West Virginia".WDVM-TV. June 12, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2020.
  43. ^"2020 Governor Race Ratings for October 23, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  44. ^"2020 Gubernatorial Ratings".insideelections.com. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  45. ^"2020 Gubernatorial race ratings".Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  46. ^"We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win".Politico. RetrievedNovember 19, 2019.
  47. ^"2020 Governor Race Ratings".Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. RetrievedJune 5, 2020.
  48. ^"2020 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. RetrievedJune 14, 2020.
  49. ^"2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map".270towin.
  50. ^"Ben Salango hosts Facebook Live with Jennifer Garner to discuss issues in W.Va". WSAZ News. September 17, 2020.
  51. ^"Ben Salango on Twitter: I am honored to have the endorsement of Cecil Roberts and the @MineWorkers".Twitter.
  52. ^Triton Polling and Research
  53. ^Research America Inc.
  54. ^Triton Polling & Research
  55. ^Strategies Unlimited
  56. ^Mark Blankenship Enterprises (R)
  57. ^Research America/MetroNews
  58. ^"November 3, 2020 General Election - Official Results".West Virginia State - Clarity Elections. RetrievedNovember 30, 2020.
  59. ^"2020 General Election Write-in Candidate Results"(PDF).West Virginia Secretary of State. RetrievedApril 6, 2021.
  60. ^"Our Campaigns - WV Governor Race - Nov 03, 2020".www.ourcampaigns.com. RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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