| Turnout | 90.09% (of registered voters)[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Utah | ||||||
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Ballot measures
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The2020 United States presidential election in Utah was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.[2]Utah voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, incumbent PresidentDonald Trump, and running mateVice PresidentMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden, and his running mate California SenatorKamala Harris. Utah had six electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]
Prior to the election, all leading news organizations projected Utah as leaning towards Trump, or a safe red state. Throughout the campaign, Trump did not exceed 60% in a single poll conducted. Some polls even showed the president leading by single digits against Biden, likely indicating a closer than normal contest in this traditionally Republican stronghold. In past elections, Utah has often given massive support to Republican candidates, including having awardedGeorge W. Bush andMitt Romney over 70% of the vote in2004 and2012, respectively.
In 2020, Trump won Utah with 58.1% of the vote and a margin of 20.5%, which although an improvement on his 18.1% margin over Hillary Clinton in2016, is still relatively narrow compared to the performance of past Republican nominees. He performed strongly in rural areas, as well as in some larger counties likeUtah (Provo),Davis (Farmington), andWeber (Ogden). Trump improved over his 45.5% plurality win in2016, due in part to the lack of a strong third-party presence, asEvan McMullin had earned 21.5% of the vote in 2016 but did not run in 2020; he endorsed Biden.[4][5] The election was far more of a two-party contest in 2020, with third parties receiving 4.2% of the vote, compared to 27% in 2016. Despite this, theAssociated Press reported a less partisan and more cooperative cultural environment in Utah compared to other states during the election.[6]
With no major third-party challenges, Trump improved his vote share by 13% while Biden improved onHillary Clinton's 2016 results by 10.3 percentage points. Biden's improvement garnered him the highest percentage by a Democratic presidential nominee in Utah sinceLyndon Johnson won with 54.9% of the vote in1964, as Biden overtook the vote shares ofHubert Humphrey in1968,Barack Obama in2008, andJimmy Carter in1976 (the only other Democratic nominees to surpass a third of the state's vote since 1964). Biden's greatest support came fromSalt Lake County, the state's most populous county, where he won 53.7%, the first outright majority for a Democratic nominee in the county since Johnson in 1964. Biden also wonSummit County (Park City), which, along with Salt Lake, was one of two counties in the state Hillary Clinton had carried in 2016 (and the only one where she had won a majority); and he flippedGrand County (Moab), which had voted Democratic in1992 and 2008.[7]
Perexit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Utah came fromMormons. 53% of voters identified as Mormons, and Trump received 72% of their votes.[8] Trump also won the suburban areas, which make up 57% of the state, with 54% of the vote.[8]
Utah was one of the six states (along withArkansas,Nevada,California,Florida, andHawaii) as well as the District of Columbia, in which Trump's share of the vote increased from 2016.
The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Utah politiciansJon Huntsman andMitt Romney both declined to run against Trump.
| Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump (incumbent) | 302,751 | 87.79% | 40 |
| Bill Weld | 23,652 | 6.86% | 0 |
| Joe Walsh(withdrawn) | 7,509 | 2.18% | 0 |
| Matthew John Matern | 5,751 | 1.67% | 0 |
| Robert Ardini | 3,971 | 1.15% | 0 |
| Bob Ely | 1,218 | 0.35% | 0 |
| Total | 344,852 | 100% | 40 |
The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.Elizabeth Warren,Bernie Sanders, and formerVice PresidentJoe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[12][13]
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[15] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | 79,728 | 36.14 | 16[a] |
| Joe Biden | 40,674 | 18.44 | 7[b] |
| Elizabeth Warren | 35,727 | 16.20 | 3[c] |
| Michael Bloomberg | 33,991 | 15.41 | 3[d] |
| Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn)[e] | 18,734 | 8.49 | |
| Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn)[e] | 7,603 | 3.45 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1,704 | 0.77 | |
| Andrew Yang(withdrawn) | 950 | 0.43 | |
| Tom Steyer(withdrawn)[e] | 703 | 0.32 | |
| Marianne Williamson(withdrawn) | 220 | 0.10 | |
| Julian Castro(withdrawn) | 159 | 0.07 | |
| Cory Booker(withdrawn) | 138 | 0.06 | |
| Deval Patrick(withdrawn) | 55 | 0.02 | |
| Other candidates | 196 | 0.09 | |
| Total | 220,582 | 100% | 29 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[17] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| Politico[19] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| RCP[20] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen[21] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| CNN[22] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| The Economist[23] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| CBS News[24] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| 270towin[25] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| ABC News[26] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| NPR[27] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| NBC News[28] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538[29] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [f] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[30] | October 23–31, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.0% | 50.5% | 8.5% | Trump +9.5 |
| FiveThirtyEight[31] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 42.1% | 51.9% | 6.0% | Trump +9.8 |
| Average | 41.6% | 51.2% | 7.2% | Trump +9.6 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,586 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55%[h] | 43% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,783 (LV) | – | 55% | 43% | – | – | – | – |
| Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[33] | Oct 15–24, 2020 | 660 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 44% | – | – | 5%[i] | – |
| RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[34] | Oct 12–17, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 38% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune[35] | Sep 26 – Oct 4, 2020 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 40% | – | – | 10% | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 1,192 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – | 2% |
| RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[36] | Sep 7–12, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 35% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 893 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 2% |
| RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[37] | Jul 27 – Aug 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 31% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 1,037 (LV) | – | 58% | 40% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[32] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 412 (LV) | – | 57% | 41% | – | – | – | 1% |
| Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2[38] | May 9–15, 2020 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 41% | – | – | 9%[j] | 5% |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[39] | Apr 15–21, 2020 | 964 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 32% | – | – | 8% | 9% |
| Y2 Analytics[40] | Mar 21–30, 2020 | 1,266 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 41% | – | – | 7% | 5% |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[41] | Feb 24 – Mar 1, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 33% | – | – | 8%[k] | 8% |
| Scott Rasmussen/Deseret News[42] | Jan 15–22, 2020 | 1,017 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 31% | – | – | 13%[l] | 7% |
| Y2 Analytics[43] | Jul 31 – Aug 6, 2019 | 149 (RV) | – | 36% | 35% | – | – | 14%[m] | 5% |
Former candidates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg
with Donald Trump and Cory Booker
with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar
with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
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Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat
with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent
|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 865,140 | 58.13% | +12.59% | |
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 560,282 | 37.65% | +10.19% | |
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 38,447 | 2.58% | −0.92% | |
| Independent | Kanye West Michelle Tidball | 7,213 | 0.48% | − | |
| Constitution | Don Blankenship William Mohr | 5,551 | 0.37% | −0.34% | |
| Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 5,053 | 0.34% | −0.49% | |
| Independent | Brock Pierce Karla Ballard | 2,623 | 0.18% | − | |
| Independent | Joe McHugh Elizabeth Storm | 2,229 | 0.15% | − | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman | 1,139 | 0.08% | − | |
| Write-in | 612 | 0.04% | -0.38% | ||
| Total votes | 1,488,289 | 100.00% | - | ||
| County[49] | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Kanye West Independent | Don Blankenship Constitution | Howie Hawkins Green | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Beaver | 2,695 | 86.94% | 357 | 11.52% | 23 | 0.74% | 7 | 0.23% | 4 | 0.13% | 6 | 0.19% | 8 | 0.26% | 2,338 | 75.42% | 3,100 |
| Box Elder | 21,548 | 78.87% | 4,473 | 16.37% | 614 | 2.25% | 112 | 0.41% | 134 | 0.49% | 55 | 0.20% | 384 | 1.41% | 17,075 | 62.50% | 27,320 |
| Cache | 38,032 | 65.17% | 16,650 | 28.53% | 1,796 | 3.08% | 230 | 0.39% | 351 | 0.60% | 217 | 0.37% | 1,082 | 1.86% | 21,382 | 36.64% | 58,358 |
| Carbon | 6,693 | 71.05% | 2,392 | 25.39% | 151 | 1.60% | 44 | 0.47% | 22 | 0.23% | 18 | 0.19% | 100 | 1.06% | 4,301 | 45.91% | 9,420 |
| Daggett | 496 | 79.74% | 111 | 17.85% | 7 | 1.13% | 2 | 0.32% | 2 | 0.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 4 | 0.64% | 385 | 61.89% | 622 |
| Davis | 104,135 | 60.04% | 57,411 | 33.10% | 5,004 | 2.89% | 1,012 | 0.58% | 827 | 0.48% | 597 | 0.34% | 4,448 | 2.56% | 46,724 | 26.94% | 173,434 |
| Duchesne | 7,513 | 87.75% | 843 | 9.85% | 107 | 1.25% | 18 | 0.21% | 21 | 0.25% | 9 | 0.11% | 51 | 0.60% | 6,670 | 77.90% | 8,562 |
| Emery | 4,207 | 85.89% | 572 | 11.68% | 47 | 0.96% | 15 | 0.31% | 4 | 0.08% | 8 | 0.16% | 45 | 0.91% | 3,635 | 74.21% | 4,898 |
| Garfield | 2,158 | 78.99% | 514 | 18.81% | 37 | 1.35% | 2 | 0.07% | 3 | 0.11% | 11 | 0.40% | 7 | 0.26% | 1,644 | 60.18% | 2,732 |
| Grand | 2,248 | 43.19% | 2,806 | 53.91% | 62 | 1.19% | 19 | 0.37% | 5 | 0.10% | 23 | 0.44% | 42 | 0.81% | -558 | -10.72% | 5,205 |
| Iron | 18,989 | 75.64% | 4,892 | 19.49% | 666 | 2.65% | 94 | 0.37% | 88 | 0.35% | 78 | 0.31% | 297 | 1.18% | 14,097 | 56.15% | 25,104 |
| Juab | 5,087 | 86.18% | 645 | 10.93% | 91 | 1.54% | 13 | 0.22% | 16 | 0.27% | 5 | 0.08% | 46 | 0.79% | 4,442 | 75.72% | 5,903 |
| Kane | 2,998 | 71.30% | 1,083 | 25.76% | 51 | 1.21% | 15 | 0.36% | 16 | 0.38% | 8 | 0.19% | 34 | 0.81% | 1,915 | 45.54% | 4,205 |
| Millard | 5,404 | 87.30% | 624 | 10.08% | 64 | 1.03% | 16 | 0.26% | 26 | 0.42% | 5 | 0.08% | 51 | 0.83% | 4,780 | 77.22% | 6,190 |
| Morgan | 5,181 | 78.43% | 1,086 | 16.44% | 160 | 2.42% | 35 | 0.53% | 21 | 0.32% | 13 | 0.20% | 110 | 1.67% | 4,095 | 61.99% | 6,606 |
| Piute | 773 | 88.44% | 86 | 9.84% | 7 | 0.80% | 3 | 0.34% | 1 | 0.11% | 0 | 0.00% | 4 | 0.45% | 687 | 78.60% | 874 |
| Rich | 1,157 | 84.51% | 180 | 13.15% | 14 | 1.02% | 4 | 0.29% | 3 | 0.22% | 2 | 0.15% | 9 | 0.66% | 977 | 71.36% | 1,369 |
| Salt Lake | 230,174 | 42.11% | 289,906 | 53.04% | 12,219 | 2.24% | 2,590 | 0.47% | 1,570 | 0.29% | 2,203 | 0.40% | 7,919 | 1.45% | -59,732 | -10.93% | 546,581 |
| San Juan | 3,535 | 51.20% | 3,113 | 45.09% | 99 | 1.43% | 45 | 0.65% | 28 | 0.41% | 17 | 0.25% | 67 | 0.97% | 422 | 6.11% | 6,904 |
| Sanpete | 10,459 | 82.19% | 1,794 | 14.10% | 215 | 1.69% | 39 | 0.31% | 50 | 0.39% | 19 | 0.15% | 149 | 1.18% | 8,665 | 68.09% | 12,725 |
| Sevier | 9,052 | 87.35% | 1,084 | 10.46% | 133 | 1.28% | 28 | 0.27% | 31 | 0.30% | 14 | 0.14% | 21 | 0.20% | 7,968 | 76.89% | 10,363 |
| Summit | 10,252 | 39.00% | 15,244 | 57.99% | 367 | 1.40% | 86 | 0.33% | 25 | 0.10% | 65 | 0.25% | 250 | 0.93% | -4,992 | -18.99% | 26,289 |
| Tooele | 21,014 | 66.67% | 8,943 | 28.37% | 958 | 3.04% | 152 | 0.48% | 181 | 0.57% | 81 | 0.26% | 189 | 0.60% | 12,071 | 38.30% | 31,518 |
| Uintah | 13,261 | 86.28% | 1,663 | 10.82% | 226 | 1.47% | 37 | 0.24% | 56 | 0.36% | 29 | 0.19% | 98 | 0.67% | 11,598 | 75.46% | 15,370 |
| Utah | 192,812 | 66.69% | 76,033 | 26.30% | 10,377 | 3.59% | 1,680 | 0.58% | 1,375 | 0.48% | 853 | 0.30% | 5,971 | 2.07% | 116,779 | 40.39% | 289,101 |
| Wasatch | 10,795 | 60.68% | 6,187 | 34.78% | 352 | 1.98% | 86 | 0.48% | 53 | 0.30% | 45 | 0.25% | 272 | 1.52% | 4,608 | 25.90% | 17,790 |
| Washington | 67,294 | 73.82% | 20,530 | 22.52% | 1,742 | 1.91% | 298 | 0.33% | 220 | 0.24% | 187 | 0.21% | 889 | 0.98% | 46,764 | 51.30% | 91,160 |
| Wayne | 1,229 | 75.40% | 365 | 22.39% | 9 | 0.55% | 7 | 0.43% | 3 | 0.18% | 3 | 0.18% | 14 | 0.85% | 864 | 53.01% | 1,630 |
| Weber | 65,949 | 58.54% | 40,695 | 36.13% | 2,849 | 2.53% | 524 | 0.47% | 415 | 0.37% | 482 | 0.43% | 1,735 | 1.54% | 25,254 | 22.41% | 112,649 |
| Totals | 865,140 | 57.45% | 560,282 | 37.20% | 38,447 | 2.55% | 7,213 | 0.48% | 5,551 | 0.37% | 5,053 | 0.34% | 24,296 | 1.61% | 304,858 | 20.25% | 1,505,982 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Trump won all four congressional districts.[50]
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 64.2% | 31.6% | Rob Bishop |
| Blake Moore | |||
| 2nd | 56.1% | 40.2% | Chris Stewart |
| 3rd | 60.3% | 35.2% | John Curtis |
| 4th | 52.4% | 43.3% | Ben McAdams |
| Burgess Owens |