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| Turnout | 69.30% [1] 7.38pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.[3]Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, incumbent PresidentDonald Trump, and running mateVice PresidentMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden, and his running mate California SenatorKamala Harris. Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[4]
Prior to the election, all major news organizations once again considered Tennessee a safe or likelyred state; the state has voted Republican in every presidential election since2000, including by double-digit margins since2004.
Trump won Tennessee with 60.66% of the vote, almost tied with his 60.72% vote share in2016. Despite this, Biden got 37.45% of the vote, three points better thanHillary Clinton. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safered state. Tennessee has not supported a Democrat for president since1996.
Perexit polls by theAssociated Press, Trump's strength in Tennessee came from a 69% showing amongSouthernwhites, who made up 84% of the electorate. Similarly, Trump carried whiteborn-again/EvangelicalChristians by 86%–12%. The state of Tennessee is entirely covered in theBible Belt.
The only strength Biden showed was with 88% ofAfrican American voters. Biden won 64.4% of the vote inShelby County, Tennessee,[a] the highest vote share in the county for the Democratic Party since1944. 65% of voters opposed removingConfederatestatues from public places in Tennessee, and these voters backed Trump by 83%–15%.[5]
The Democratic primary was on March 3, 2020.Elizabeth Warren,Bernie Sanders, and formerVice PresidentJoe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[6][7]Former vice presidentJoe Biden easily decided the primary, winning almost 42% of the vote and 36 delegates and benefitting from overwhelming African-American support, as well as rural support among predominantly white working-class voters. SenatorBernie Sanders took 25% of the vote gaining 22 delegates, while former mayorMichael Bloomberg reached the threshold with slightly more than 15% but was not allocated any statewide delegates due to his withdrawal the next day. Otherwise Biden would have had 33 delegates, Sanders 20 delegates and Bloomberg 10 delegates. SenatorElizabeth Warren received a single district delegate.
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[9] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 215,390 | 41.72 | 36[b] |
| Bernie Sanders | 129,168 | 25.02 | 22[c] |
| Michael Bloomberg | 79,789 | 15.46 | 5[d] |
| Elizabeth Warren | 53,732 | 10.41 | 1 |
| Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn)[e] | 17,102 | 3.31 | |
| Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn)[e] | 10,671 | 2.07 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 2,278 | 0.44 | |
| Tom Steyer(withdrawn)[e] | 1,932 | 0.37 | |
| Michael Bennet(withdrawn) | 1,650 | 0.32 | |
| Andrew Yang(withdrawn) | 1,097 | 0.21 | |
| Cory Booker(withdrawn) | 953 | 0.18 | |
| Marianne Williamson(withdrawn) | 498 | 0.10 | |
| John Delaney(withdrawn) | 378 | 0.07 | |
| Julian Castro(withdrawn) | 239 | 0.05 | |
| Deval Patrick(withdrawn) | 182 | 0.04 | |
| Uncommitted | 1,191 | 0.23 | |
| Total | 516,250 | 100% | 64 |
The Republican primary was on March 3, 2020. Incumbent PresidentDonald Trump won the state in a landslide getting 96.5% of the vote and all 58 delegates
Former Tennessee senatorBob Corker was considered a potential primary opponent for Trump.[10]
| Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump(incumbent) | 384,266 | 96.47 | 58 |
| Joe Walsh(withdrawn) | 4,178 | 1.05 | 0 |
| Bill Weld | 3,922 | 0.98 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 5,948 | 1.49 | 0 |
| Total | 398,314 | 100% | 58 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[12] | Safe R | September 10, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[13] | Safe R | September 4, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | July 14, 2020 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | September 8, 2020 |
| RCP[16] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen[17] | Safe R | July 26, 2020 |
| CNN[18] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
| The Economist[19] | Safe R | September 2, 2020 |
| CBS News[20] | Likely R | August 16, 2020 |
| 270towin[21] | Safe R | August 2, 2020 |
| ABC News[22] | Safe R | July 31, 2020 |
| NPR[23] | Likely R | August 3, 2020 |
| NBC News[24] | Safe R | August 6, 2020 |
| 538[25] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [f] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[26] | Jan 28, 2020 – May 22, 2020 | September 15, 2020 | 39.0% | 53.0% | 8.0% | Trump +14.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[27] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 41.4% | 55.1% | 3.5% | Trump +13.7 |
| Average | 40.2% | 54.1% | 5.7% | Trump +13.9 | ||
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 3,342 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 54%[h] | 45% | – | – | – | – |
| Swayable[29] | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 485 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 58% | 41% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 5,099 (LV) | – | 56% | 42% | – | – | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,329 (LV) | – | 58% | 41% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 1,796 (LV) | – | 59% | 40% | – | – | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,481 (LV) | – | 61% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[28] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | – | 61% | 37% | – | – | – | 2% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[30] | May 5–22, 2020 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 5%[i] | 2% |
| East Tennessee State University[31] | Apr 22 – May 1, 2020 | 536 (LV) | – | 53% | 36% | – | – | 6% | 5% |
| Mason-Dixon[32] | Jan 28–30, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | – | – | – | 6% |
Former candidates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
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These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in theElectoral College should their candidates win the state:[33]
| Donald Trump andMike Pence Republican Party | Joe Biden andKamala Harris Democratic Party | Jo Jorgensen andSpike Cohen Libertarian Party | Kanye West and Michelle Tidball Independent | Don Blankenship and William Mohr Constitution Party | Howie Hawkins andAngela Nicole Walker Green Party | Alyson Kennedy and Malcom Jarrett Socialist Workers Party | Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman Party for Socialism and Liberation | Rocky De La Fuente and Darcy Richardson Alliance Party | Brian T. Carroll and Amar Patel American Solidarity Party | Jade Simmons and Claudeliah Roze Independent | Tom Hoefling and Andy Prior Independent | R19 Boddie and Eric Stoneham Independent | Kasey Wells and Rachel Wells Independent |
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 1,852,475 | 60.66% | −0.06% | |
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 1,143,711 | 37.45% | +2.73% | |
| Independent[j] | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 29,877 | 0.98% | −1.83% | |
| Independent | Kanye West Michelle Tidball | 10,279 | 0.34% | N/A | |
| Independent[k] | Don Blankenship William Mohr | 5,365 | 0.18% | +0.12% | |
| Independent[l] | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 4,545 | 0.15% | −0.49% | |
| Independent[m] | Alyson Kennedy Malcolm Jarrett | 2,576 | 0.08% | −0.04% | |
| Independent[n] | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman | 2,301 | 0.08% | N/A | |
| Independent[o] | Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson | 1,860 | 0.06% | −0.10% | |
| American Solidarity | Brian T. Carroll (write-in) Amar Patel (write-in) | 762 | 0.02% | N/A | |
| Independent | Jade Simmons (write-in) Claudeliah Roze (write-in) | 68 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent | Tom Hoefling (write-in) Andy Prior (write-in) | 31 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent | R19 Boddie (write-in) Eric Stoneham (write-in) | 1 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent | Kasey Wells (write-in) Rachel Wells (write-in) | 0 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 3,053,851 | 100.00% | |||
| Republicanhold | |||||
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Anderson | 23,184 | 65.18% | 11,741 | 33.01% | 645 | 1.81% | 11,443 | 32.17% | 35,570 |
| Bedford | 14,354 | 75.20% | 4,453 | 23.33% | 281 | 1.47% | 9,901 | 51.87% | 19,088 |
| Benton | 5,668 | 78.07% | 1,529 | 21.06% | 63 | 0.87% | 4,139 | 57.01% | 7,260 |
| Bledsoe | 4,725 | 82.06% | 971 | 16.86% | 62 | 1.08% | 3,754 | 65.20% | 5,758 |
| Blount | 47,369 | 71.12% | 17,932 | 26.92% | 1,308 | 1.96% | 29,437 | 44.20% | 66,609 |
| Bradley | 35,204 | 76.76% | 9,851 | 21.48% | 810 | 1.76% | 25,353 | 55.28% | 45,865 |
| Campbell | 12,331 | 82.58% | 2,441 | 16.35% | 161 | 1.07% | 9,890 | 66.23% | 14,933 |
| Cannon | 5,190 | 79.15% | 1,261 | 19.23% | 106 | 1.62% | 3,929 | 59.92% | 6,557 |
| Carroll | 9,205 | 77.32% | 2,559 | 21.50% | 141 | 1.18% | 6,646 | 55.82% | 11,905 |
| Carter | 19,584 | 79.96% | 4,529 | 18.49% | 379 | 1.55% | 15,055 | 61.47% | 24,492 |
| Cheatham | 14,438 | 71.26% | 5,514 | 27.22% | 308 | 1.52% | 8,924 | 44.04% | 20,260 |
| Chester | 5,952 | 78.48% | 1,412 | 18.62% | 220 | 2.90% | 4,540 | 59.86% | 7,584 |
| Claiborne | 10,604 | 81.92% | 2,202 | 17.01% | 139 | 1.07% | 8,402 | 64.91% | 12,945 |
| Clay | 2,733 | 77.95% | 735 | 20.96% | 38 | 1.09% | 1,998 | 56.99% | 3,506 |
| Cocke | 12,162 | 81.85% | 2,533 | 17.05% | 164 | 1.10% | 9,629 | 64.80% | 14,859 |
| Coffee | 17,883 | 73.65% | 5,705 | 23.49% | 694 | 2.86% | 12,178 | 50.16% | 24,282 |
| Crockett | 4,673 | 76.43% | 1,382 | 22.60% | 59 | 0.97% | 3,291 | 53.83% | 6,114 |
| Cumberland | 25,168 | 77.97% | 6,728 | 20.84% | 383 | 1.19% | 18,440 | 57.13% | 32,279 |
| Davidson | 100,218 | 32.36% | 199,703 | 64.49% | 9,737 | 3.15% | −99,485 | −32.13% | 309,658 |
| Decatur | 4,229 | 80.69% | 904 | 17.25% | 108 | 2.06% | 3,325 | 63.44% | 5,241 |
| DeKalb | 6,672 | 78.37% | 1,750 | 20.56% | 91 | 1.07% | 4,922 | 57.81% | 8,513 |
| Dickson | 17,643 | 72.54% | 6,106 | 25.10% | 574 | 2.36% | 11,537 | 47.44% | 24,323 |
| Dyer | 11,768 | 78.04% | 3,158 | 20.94% | 153 | 1.02% | 8,610 | 57.10% | 15,079 |
| Fayette | 15,690 | 68.26% | 7,027 | 30.57% | 267 | 1.17% | 8,663 | 37.69% | 22,984 |
| Fentress | 7,441 | 85.24% | 1,214 | 13.91% | 74 | 0.85% | 6,227 | 71.33% | 8,729 |
| Franklin | 13,987 | 73.11% | 4,864 | 25.42% | 281 | 1.47% | 9,123 | 47.69% | 19,132 |
| Gibson | 16,259 | 72.80% | 5,771 | 25.84% | 305 | 1.36% | 10,488 | 46.96% | 22,335 |
| Giles | 9,784 | 74.10% | 3,298 | 24.98% | 121 | 0.92% | 6,486 | 49.12% | 13,203 |
| Grainger | 8,565 | 84.52% | 1,467 | 14.48% | 102 | 1.00% | 7,098 | 70.04% | 10,134 |
| Greene | 22,259 | 79.25% | 5,199 | 18.51% | 629 | 2.24% | 17,060 | 60.74% | 28,087 |
| Grundy | 4,802 | 82.02% | 988 | 16.87% | 65 | 1.11% | 3,814 | 65.15% | 5,855 |
| Hamblen | 18,811 | 76.37% | 5,500 | 22.33% | 320 | 1.30% | 13,311 | 54.04% | 24,631 |
| Hamilton | 92,108 | 53.83% | 75,522 | 44.14% | 3,483 | 2.03% | 16,586 | 9.69% | 171,113 |
| Hancock | 2,372 | 86.44% | 362 | 13.19% | 10 | 0.37% | 2,010 | 73.25% | 2,744 |
| Hardeman | 5,760 | 57.24% | 4,180 | 41.54% | 123 | 1.22% | 1,580 | 15.70% | 10,063 |
| Hardin | 9,559 | 82.85% | 1,775 | 15.38% | 204 | 1.77% | 7,784 | 67.47% | 11,538 |
| Hawkins | 20,405 | 82.20% | 4,083 | 16.45% | 336 | 1.35% | 16,322 | 65.75% | 24,824 |
| Haywood | 3,343 | 44.94% | 4,012 | 53.93% | 84 | 1.13% | −669 | −8.99% | 7,439 |
| Henderson | 9,797 | 81.51% | 2,092 | 17.40% | 131 | 1.09% | 7,705 | 64.11% | 12,020 |
| Henry | 11,239 | 74.69% | 3,548 | 23.58% | 260 | 1.73% | 7,691 | 51.11% | 15,047 |
| Hickman | 7,577 | 77.06% | 2,130 | 21.66% | 125 | 1.28% | 5,447 | 55.40% | 9,832 |
| Houston | 2,718 | 73.74% | 871 | 23.63% | 97 | 2.63% | 1,847 | 50.11% | 3,686 |
| Humphreys | 6,120 | 74.31% | 2,017 | 24.49% | 99 | 1.20% | 4,103 | 49.82% | 8,236 |
| Jackson | 4,118 | 77.36% | 1,135 | 21.32% | 70 | 1.32% | 2,983 | 56.04% | 5,323 |
| Jefferson | 18,651 | 78.98% | 4,654 | 19.71% | 311 | 1.31% | 13,997 | 59.27% | 23,616 |
| Johnson | 6,468 | 82.91% | 1,246 | 15.97% | 87 | 1.12% | 5,222 | 66.94% | 7,801 |
| Knox | 124,540 | 56.47% | 91,422 | 41.45% | 4,594 | 2.08% | 33,118 | 15.02% | 220,556 |
| Lake | 1,492 | 73.35% | 526 | 25.86% | 16 | 0.79% | 966 | 47.49% | 2,034 |
| Lauderdale | 5,674 | 63.29% | 3,193 | 35.62% | 98 | 1.09% | 2,481 | 27.67% | 8,965 |
| Lawrence | 15,334 | 81.92% | 3,195 | 17.07% | 189 | 1.01% | 12,139 | 64.85% | 18,718 |
| Lewis | 4,474 | 79.76% | 1,072 | 19.11% | 63 | 1.13% | 3,402 | 60.65% | 5,609 |
| Lincoln | 12,281 | 78.68% | 2,919 | 18.70% | 408 | 2.62% | 9,362 | 59.98% | 15,608 |
| Loudon | 21,713 | 73.99% | 6,948 | 23.68% | 686 | 2.33% | 14,765 | 50.31% | 29,347 |
| Macon | 8,096 | 85.34% | 1,307 | 13.78% | 84 | 0.88% | 6,789 | 71.56% | 9,487 |
| Madison | 23,943 | 55.75% | 18,390 | 42.82% | 617 | 1.43% | 5,553 | 12.93% | 42,950 |
| Marion | 9,911 | 74.77% | 3,177 | 23.97% | 168 | 1.26% | 6,734 | 50.80% | 13,256 |
| Marshall | 11,043 | 74.22% | 3,605 | 24.23% | 230 | 1.55% | 7,438 | 49.99% | 14,878 |
| Maury | 31,464 | 67.44% | 14,418 | 30.90% | 775 | 1.66% | 17,046 | 36.54% | 46,657 |
| McMinn | 18,198 | 79.66% | 4,361 | 19.09% | 285 | 1.25% | 13,837 | 60.57% | 22,844 |
| McNairy | 9,093 | 80.65% | 1,943 | 17.23% | 239 | 2.12% | 7,150 | 63.42% | 11,275 |
| Meigs | 4,467 | 80.75% | 1,008 | 18.22% | 57 | 1.03% | 3,459 | 62.53% | 5,532 |
| Monroe | 16,783 | 80.70% | 3,764 | 18.10% | 250 | 1.20% | 13,019 | 62.60% | 20,797 |
| Montgomery | 42,187 | 54.96% | 32,472 | 42.30% | 2,099 | 2.74% | 9,715 | 12.66% | 76,758 |
| Moore | 2,888 | 81.60% | 573 | 16.19% | 78 | 2.21% | 2,315 | 65.41% | 3,539 |
| Morgan | 6,930 | 84.22% | 1,167 | 14.18% | 131 | 1.60% | 5,763 | 70.04% | 8,228 |
| Obion | 10,790 | 79.80% | 2,589 | 19.15% | 142 | 1.05% | 8,201 | 60.65% | 13,521 |
| Overton | 7,918 | 78.89% | 2,033 | 20.26% | 86 | 0.85% | 5,885 | 58.63% | 10,037 |
| Perry | 2,775 | 80.95% | 615 | 17.94% | 38 | 1.11% | 2,160 | 63.01% | 3,428 |
| Pickett | 2,381 | 81.24% | 525 | 17.91% | 25 | 0.85% | 1,856 | 63.33% | 2,931 |
| Polk | 6,792 | 81.24% | 1,492 | 17.85% | 76 | 0.91% | 5,300 | 63.39% | 8,360 |
| Putnam | 23,759 | 70.73% | 9,185 | 27.34% | 649 | 1.93% | 14,574 | 43.39% | 33,593 |
| Rhea | 11,050 | 81.03% | 2,369 | 17.37% | 218 | 1.60% | 8,681 | 63.66% | 13,637 |
| Roane | 19,230 | 74.20% | 6,043 | 23.32% | 644 | 2.48% | 13,187 | 50.88% | 25,917 |
| Robertson | 24,536 | 72.77% | 8,692 | 25.78% | 489 | 1.45% | 15,844 | 46.99% | 33,717 |
| Rutherford | 81,480 | 56.63% | 59,341 | 41.24% | 3,057 | 2.13% | 22,139 | 15.39% | 143,878 |
| Scott | 8,004 | 88.42% | 986 | 10.89% | 62 | 0.69% | 7,018 | 77.53% | 9,052 |
| Sequatchie | 5,855 | 80.74% | 1,298 | 17.90% | 99 | 1.36% | 4,557 | 62.84% | 7,252 |
| Sevier | 33,783 | 77.60% | 8,721 | 20.03% | 1,031 | 2.37% | 25,062 | 57.57% | 43,535 |
| Shelby | 129,815 | 33.98% | 246,105 | 64.42% | 6,135 | 1.60% | −116,290 | −30.44% | 382,055 |
| Smith | 7,136 | 78.84% | 1,802 | 19.91% | 113 | 1.25% | 5,334 | 58.93% | 9,051 |
| Stewart | 4,950 | 78.62% | 1,232 | 19.57% | 114 | 1.81% | 3,718 | 59.05% | 6,296 |
| Sullivan | 55,860 | 75.12% | 17,272 | 23.23% | 1,225 | 1.65% | 38,588 | 51.89% | 74,357 |
| Sumner | 63,454 | 68.50% | 27,680 | 29.88% | 1,496 | 1.62% | 35,774 | 38.62% | 92,630 |
| Tipton | 20,070 | 73.49% | 6,837 | 25.04% | 401 | 1.47% | 13,233 | 48.45% | 27,308 |
| Trousdale | 2,936 | 73.44% | 1,012 | 25.31% | 50 | 1.25% | 1,924 | 48.13% | 3,998 |
| Unicoi | 6,599 | 79.44% | 1,615 | 19.44% | 93 | 1.12% | 4,984 | 60.00% | 8,307 |
| Union | 6,803 | 83.75% | 1,249 | 15.38% | 71 | 0.87% | 5,554 | 68.37% | 8,123 |
| Van Buren | 2,342 | 80.18% | 544 | 18.62% | 35 | 1.20% | 1,798 | 61.56% | 2,921 |
| Warren | 11,850 | 74.02% | 3,924 | 24.51% | 235 | 1.47% | 7,926 | 49.51% | 16,009 |
| Washington | 40,444 | 67.18% | 18,638 | 30.96% | 1,121 | 1.86% | 21,806 | 36.22% | 60,203 |
| Wayne | 5,795 | 86.89% | 820 | 12.30% | 54 | 0.81% | 4,975 | 74.59% | 6,669 |
| Weakley | 10,396 | 75.69% | 3,020 | 21.99% | 319 | 2.32% | 7,376 | 53.70% | 13,735 |
| White | 9,606 | 80.76% | 2,143 | 18.02% | 146 | 1.22% | 7,463 | 62.74% | 11,895 |
| Williamson | 86,469 | 62.20% | 50,161 | 36.08% | 2,386 | 1.72% | 36,308 | 26.12% | 139,016 |
| Wilson | 50,296 | 67.67% | 22,254 | 29.94% | 1,780 | 2.39% | 28,042 | 37.73% | 74,330 |
| Totals | 1,852,475 | 60.66% | 1,143,711 | 37.45% | 57,665 | 1.89% | 708,764 | 23.21% | 3,053,851 |
Swing by countyTrump won seven of nine congressional districts.[35]
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 76.18% | 22.12% | Phil Roe |
| Diana Harshbarger | |||
| 2nd | 63.59% | 34.50% | Tim Burchett |
| 3rd | 65.31% | 32.93% | Chuck Fleischmann |
| 4th | 67.54% | 30.65% | Scott DesJarlais |
| 5th | 36.74% | 60.28% | Jim Cooper |
| 6th | 72.69% | 25.60% | John W. Rose |
| 7th | 66.88% | 31.33% | Mark E. Green |
| 8th | 65.51% | 33.09% | David Kustoff |
| 9th | 20.1% | 78.29% | Steve Cohen |
ASouthern state in the heart of theBible Belt, no Democrat has won Tennessee's electoral votes sinceBill Clinton of neighboringArkansas, who shared the ticket withfavorite sonAl Gore, in1996, nor has it been contested at the presidential level since2000, when Gore narrowly lost his home state by less than 4 points. The last Democratic presidential candidate to win at least 40% of the state vote wasBarack Obama in2008, and Republicans have occupied all statewide offices in Tennessee since2011.
Winning the state by 708,764 votes, Tennessee gave Trump his largest margin of victory by the number of votes nationally. This exceeded the 631,221-vote margin by which he won inTexas, marking the first time since1988 (whenFlorida provided the largest margin of victory) where Texas did not provide the Republican presidential nominee with his widest margin of votes for a statewide victory. Additionally, this is the second consecutive election in which a nominee carried over 60% of Tennessee's vote.
Biden won the same counties as Clinton did: urbanShelby andDavidson counties—anchored byMemphis andNashville, respectively—as well as majority-BlackHaywood County. In addition, Trump performed somewhat better than polls anticipated, as they had Trump leading Biden by 55%–41%.[36] Biden also became the first Democrat to win the presidency withoutHardeman County.[37]
Despite this, Biden was able to improve his support in theNashville metropolitan area, gaining 64.5% of the vote inDavidson County, the best Democratic performance in the county sinceFDR won 72.1% of the vote in1944. At the same time, Biden also made gains in theNashville suburban counties ofWilliamson,Rutherford,Wilson,Sumner, andCheatham, performing considerably better than Hillary Clinton in2016. For example, Biden lost Rutherford County, anchored byMurfreesboro, only by 15.4%, much lower thanClinton's 25.9-point loss in 2016. Additionally, he narrowed Trump's margins inHamilton County—anchored byChattanooga, the state's fourth largest city—only losing it by 9.7 points, the best Democratic performance there sinceBill Clinton lost the county by 6.5% in1996, and inKnox County—anchored byKnoxville, the state's third largest city—from a loss of 23.73% in 2016 to 15.02% in 2020. Statewide, Biden won 44.1% of the popular vote, the best Democratic percentage sinceCarter's 48% in1976, consequently losing by 2.8 points. This is the first time a Democrat has even garnered 40% of the vote in Rutherford County since2000, when favorite sonAl Gore lost the county by 9.7 points while at the same time losing both his home state and the election.
Trump won all three ofTennessee's Grand Divisions—West,Middle, andEast Tennessee. Middle and East Tennessee are solidly Republican, while West Tennessee, owing to its high Black population, was formerly loyal to the Democrats. It has become competitive for Republicans in recent elections. In2016, Trump had won it with 48.93% to Clinton's 47.82%. Democrats had previously won West Tennessee in2004,2008, and2012.[38]
| Grand Division | Trump | Biden |
|---|---|---|
| West | 49.43% | 49.06% |
| Middle | 59.20% | 38.67% |
| East | 68.97% | 29.27% |
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