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2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina

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Main article:2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina

← 2016November 3, 20202024 →
Turnout72.1% (Increase4.24pp)
 
NomineeDonald J. TrumpJoe Biden
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateFloridaDelaware
Running mateMike PenceKamala Harris
Electoral vote90
Popular vote1,385,1031,091,541
Percentage55.11%43.43%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Biden

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

Donald J. Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in South Carolina
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives

The2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.[1]South Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican nominee, incumbent PresidentDonald J. Trump, and running mateVice PresidentMichael R. Pence againstDemocratic nominee, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden, and his running mate California SenatorKamala Harris. South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Trump carried South Carolina by a margin of 11.68%, down from his 14.27% margin four years earlier. Prior to this election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or ared state.

South Carolina was the onlyEast Coast state in 2020 to vote Republican by a double-digit margin.[3] This was the first time that both main party candidates won more than one million votes in a statewide election in South Carolina, alongside the concurrent Senate election.

Primary elections

[edit]

Canceled Republican primary

[edit]
Further information:2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

On September 7, 2019, theSouth Carolina Republican Party became one of several state GOP affiliates to cancel their respective primaries and caucuses officially.[4] Donald J. Trump's re-election campaign and Republican officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries whenGeorge H. W. Bush andGeorge W. Bush sought second terms in1992 and2004, respectively, and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries whenBill Clinton andBarack Obama were seeking re-election in1996 and2012, respectively.[5][6]

In response to the cancellation, formerU.S. RepresentativeBob Inglis and another South Carolina Republican voter filed a lawsuit against the South Carolina Republican Party on grounds that it denied their right to vote. On December 11, 2019, a state court judge dismissed the lawsuit, writing in his opinion that the law "does not give plaintiffs a legal right to presidential preference primary".[7] Thus at the South Carolina State Republican Convention in May 2020, the state party formally bound all 50 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.[8]

Democratic primary

[edit]

The South Carolina Democratic primary was held on February 29, 2020.

This section is an excerpt from2020 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary § SCresults.[edit]
county
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
congressional district
Popular vote share by congressional district
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%

Official results show thatJoe Biden won the Democratic primary with 48.65% of the vote, withBernie Sanders coming in second with 19.77%.[9][10][11]

2020 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary[9]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[12]
Joe Biden262,33648.6539
Bernie Sanders106,60519.7715
Tom Steyer61,14011.34
Pete Buttigieg44,2178.20
Elizabeth Warren38,1207.07
Amy Klobuchar16,9003.13
Tulsi Gabbard6,8131.26
Andrew Yang(withdrawn)1,0690.20
Michael Bennet(withdrawn)7650.14
Cory Booker(withdrawn)6580.12
John Delaney(withdrawn)3520.07
Deval Patrick(withdrawn)2880.05
Total539,263100%54

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[13]Likely RSeptember 10, 2020
Inside Elections[14]Likely RSeptember 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]Likely RJuly 14, 2020
Politico[16]Safe RSeptember 8, 2020
RCP[17]Lean RAugust 3, 2020
Niskanen[18]Safe RJuly 26, 2020
CNN[19]Safe RAugust 3, 2020
The Economist[20]Likely RSeptember 2, 2020
CBS News[21]Likely RAugust 16, 2020
270towin[22]Likely RAugust 2, 2020
ABC News[23]Safe RJuly 31, 2020
NPR[24]Likely RAugust 3, 2020
NBC News[25]Likely RAugust 6, 2020
538[26]Likely RSeptember 9, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald J.
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270 to Win[27]October 15, 2020 – November 2, 2020November 3, 202043.3%50.3%6.4%Trump +7.0
FiveThirtyEight[28]until November 2, 2020November 3, 202044.5%51.6%3.9%Trump +7.1
Average43.9%51.0%5.1%Trump +7.1

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
OtherUndecided
Optimus[29]Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2020817 (LV)± 3.9%51%39%2%[c]8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20202,485 (LV)± 3%56%[d]42%
Data For Progress[31]Oct 27 – Nov 1, 20201,121 (LV)± 2.9%53%44%2%0%0%[e]
Swayable[32]Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020426 (LV)± 7.4%50%49%1%0%
Morning Consult[33]Oct 22–31, 2020904 (LV)± 3%51%45%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Oct 1–28, 20204,725 (LV)54%44%
Data for Progress[34]Oct 22–27, 20201,196 (LV)± 2.8%50%44%1%0%4%
Starboard Communications[35]Oct 26, 2020800 (LV)51%44%5%
East Carolina University[36]Oct 24–25, 2020763 (LV)± 4.1%52%44%3%[f]1%
Morning Consult[33]Oct 11–20, 2020926 (LV)± 3.2%51%45%
New York Times/Siena College[37][1]Oct 9–14, 2020605 (LV)± 4.5%49%41%2%1%1%[g]6%[h]
Data for Progress[38]Oct 8–11, 2020801 (LV)± 3.5%52%43%1%1%4%
Morning Consult[33]Oct 2–11, 2020903 (LV)± 3%54%42%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Sep 1–30, 20201,833 (LV)53%45%2%
GBAO Strategies/DSCC[39][A]Sep 24–28, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%49%44%
Data for Progress (D)[40]Sep 23–28, 2020824 (LV)± 3.4%47%[i]43%1%1%8%
50%[j]45%5%
Quinnipiac University[41]Sep 23–27, 20201,123 (LV)± 2.9%48%47%1%[k]4%
YouGov/CBS[42]Sep 22–25, 20201,080 (LV)± 3.8%52%42%2%[l]4%
Morning Consult[43]Sep 11–20, 2020764 (LV)± (3% – 4%)50%[m]44%
Quinnipiac University[44]Sep 10–14, 2020969 (LV)± 3.2%51%45%0%[n]4%
Morning Consult[45]Sep 2–11, 2020~764 (LV)± (3%–4%)51%44%
Morning Consult[45]Aug 23 – Sep 1, 2020~764 (LV)± (3%–4%)52%42%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Aug 1–31, 20201,326 (LV)53%45%2%
Morning Consult[45]Aug 13–22, 2020~764 (LV)± (3%–4%)51%43%
Morning Consult[45]Aug 3–12, 2020~764 (LV)± (3%–4%)50%43%
Quinnipiac University[46]Jul 30 – Aug 3, 2020914 (RV)± 3.2%47%42%4%[o]7%
Morning Consult[47]Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020741 (LV)± 4.0%49%[p]44%3%[q]4%
Morning Consult[45]Jul 23 – Aug 1, 2020~764 (LV)± (3%–4%)48%45%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Jul 1–31, 20201,700 (LV)53%44%2%
Morning Consult[45]Jul 13–22, 2020~764 (LV)± (3%–4%)50%43%
ALG Research/Lindsey Must Go[48][B]Jul 15–20, 2020591 (LV)50%45%1%4%
Gravis Marketing[49][2]Jul 17, 2020604 (LV)± 4.0%50%46%
brilliant corners Research & Strategies/Jaime Harrison[50][C]Jul 13–19, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%50%43%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[30]Jun 8–30, 2020863 (LV)52%47%2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos[51]May 23–26, 2020591 (RV)± 4.5%52%42%5%[r]1%
AtlasIntel[52]Feb 25–28, 20201,100 (RV)± 3.0%48%42%11%
East Carolina University[53]Jan 31 – Feb 2, 20201,756 (RV)± 2.7%52%40%8%
Change Research[54]Jun 11–14, 20192,312 (RV)± 2.0%54%38%3%[s]1%[s]
Emerson College[55]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019755 (RV)± 3.5%52%48%
Former candidates

Donald J. Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
OtherUndecided
AtlasIntel[52]Feb 25–28, 20201,100 (RV)± 3.0%48%42%9%
East Carolina University[53]Jan 31 – Feb 2, 20201,756 (RV)± 2.7%52%40%8%
Change Research[54]Jun 11–14, 20192,312 (RV)± 2.0%54%34%6%[t]
Emerson College[55]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019755 (RV)± 3.5%54%46%

Donald J. Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
AtlasIntel[52]Feb 25–28, 20201,100 (RV)± 3.0%49%41%10%
East Carolina University[53]Jan 31 – Feb 2, 20201,756 (RV)± 2.7%54%36%10%
Emerson College[55]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019755 (RV)± 3.5%54%46%

Donald J. Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
East Carolina University[53]Jan 31 – Feb 2, 20201,756 (RV)± 2.7%53%33%13%

Donald J. Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Undecided
East Carolina University[53]Jan 31 – Feb 2, 20201,756 (RV)± 2.7%52%32%15%
Emerson College[55]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019755 (RV)± 3.5%56%44%

Donald J. Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
AtlasIntel[52]Feb 25–28, 20201,100 (RV)± 3.0%48%37%15%
East Carolina University[53]Jan 31 – Feb 2, 20201,756 (RV)± 2.7%52%34%13%

Donald J. Trump vs. Tom Steyer

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Tom
Steyer (D)
Undecided
East Carolina University[53]Jan 31 – Feb 2, 20201,756 (RV)± 2.7%52%39%9%

Donald J. Trump vs. Andrew Yang

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Andrew
Yang (D)
Undecided
East Carolina University[53]Jan 31 – Feb 2, 20201,756 (RV)± 2.7%52%34%14%

Donald J. Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
OtherUndecided
Change Research[54]Jun 11–14, 20192,312 (RV)± 2.0%54%32%6%[t]
Emerson College[55]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019755 (RV)± 3.5%54%46%

Donald J. Trump vs Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
OtherUndecided
Change Research[54]Jun 11–14, 20192,312 (RV)± 2.0%54%33%6%[t]
Emerson College[55]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019755 (RV)± 3.5%56%44%

Donald J. Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
Emerson College[55]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019755 (RV)± 3.5%56%44%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald J. Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
Emerson College[55]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019755 (RV)± 3.5%51%42%7%

with Donald J. Trump, Elizabeth Warren, and Howard Schultz

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
Emerson College[55]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2019755 (RV)± 3.5%53%41%7%

with Donald J. Trump, generic Democrat, and Howard Schultz

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald J.
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Howard
Schultz (I)
Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[56][D]Mar 11–13, 2019500 (LV)± 4.4%46%34%3%17%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina[57]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDonald J. Trump (incumbent)
Michael R. Pence (incumbent)
1,385,10355.11%+0.17%
DemocraticJoe Biden
Kamala Harris
1,091,54143.43%+2.76%
LibertarianJo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
27,9161.11%−1.23%
GreenHowie Hawkins
Angela Walker
6,9070.27%−0.35%
AllianceRocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson
1,8620.07%N/A
Turnout2,513,32972.1%[58]4.24%
Total votes2,513,329100.00%N/A

By county

[edit]
CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Abbeville8,21566.07%4,10132.98%1170.95%4,11433.09%12,433
Aiken51,58960.56%32,27537.89%1,3211.55%19,31422.67%85,185
Allendale83523.24%2,71875.65%401.11%-1,883-52.41%3,593
Anderson67,56570.31%27,16928.27%1,3591.42%40,39642.04%96,093
Bamberg2,41737.29%4,01061.86%550.85%-1,593-24.57%6,482
Barnwell5,49253.21%4,72045.73%1091.06%7727.48%10,321
Beaufort53,19454.37%43,41944.38%1,2221.25%9,7759.99%97,835
Berkeley57,39754.95%45,22343.29%1,8381.76%12,17411.66%104,458
Calhoun4,30551.92%3,90547.10%810.98%4004.82%8,291
Charleston93,29742.63%121,48555.51%4,0751.86%-28,188-12.88%218,857
Cherokee18,04371.40%6,98327.63%2440.97%11,06043.77%25,270
Chester8,66054.96%6,94144.05%1560.99%1,71910.91%15,757
Chesterfield11,29759.85%7,43139.37%1480.78%3,86620.48%18,876
Clarendon8,36149.97%8,25049.30%1120.73%1110.67%16,733
Colleton10,44054.14%8,60244.61%2411.25%1,8389.53%19,283
Darlington16,83251.92%15,22046.95%3651.13%1,6124.97%32,417
Dillon6,58250.24%6,43649.13%830.63%1461.11%13,101
Dorchester41,91354.24%33,82443.77%1,5411.99%8,08910.47%77,278
Edgefield8,18461.52%4,95337.23%1671.25%3,23124.29%13,304
Fairfield4,62538.11%7,38260.83%1291.06%-2,757-22.72%12,136
Florence32,61550.56%31,15348.29%7421.15%1,4622.27%64,510
Georgetown20,48755.87%15,82243.15%3590.98%4,66512.72%36,668
Greenville150,02158.11%103,03039.91%5,1041.98%46,99118.20%258,155
Greenwood19,43160.71%12,14537.95%4301.34%7,28622.76%32,006
Hampton3,90641.98%5,32357.21%760.81%-1,417-15.23%9,305
Horry118,82166.11%59,18032.92%1,7430.97%59,64133.19%179,744
Jasper7,07849.17%7,18549.92%1310.91%-107-0.75%14,394
Kershaw20,47160.87%12,69937.76%4591.37%7,77223.11%33,629
Lancaster30,31260.78%18,93737.97%6191.25%11,37522.81%49,868
Laurens20,00465.61%10,15933.32%3251.07%9,84532.29%30,488
Lee3,00835.68%5,32963.21%941.11%-2,321-27.53%8,431
Lexington92,81764.20%49,30134.10%2,4501.70%43,51630.10%144,568
Marion5,71138.84%8,87260.34%1210.82%-3,161-21.50%14,704
Marlboro5,04444.07%6,29054.95%1120.98%-1,246-10.88%11,446
McCormick2,95851.92%2,68747.17%520.91%2714.75%5,697
Newberry11,44361.42%6,95837.35%2301.23%4,48524.07%18,631
Oconee29,69873.03%10,41425.61%5561.36%19,28447.42%40,668
Orangeburg13,60333.01%27,29566.24%3070.75%-13,692-33.23%41,205
Pickens42,90774.56%13,64523.71%9941.73%29,26250.85%57,546
Richland58,31330.09%132,57068.40%2,9391.51%-74,257-38.31%193,822
Saluda6,21066.96%2,96331.95%1011.09%3,24735.01%9,274
Spartanburg93,56062.94%52,92635.60%2,1691.46%40,63427.34%148,655
Sumter21,00042.93%27,37955.97%5411.10%-6,379-13.04%48,920
Union8,18361.73%4,93537.23%1391.04%3,24824.50%13,257
Williamsburg5,53234.61%10,28964.37%1641.02%-4,757-29.76%15,985
York82,72757.43%59,00840.96%2,3151.61%23,71916.47%144,050
Totals1,385,10355.11%1,091,54143.43%36,6851.46%293,56211.68%2,513,329
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5–10%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won six of seven congressional districts.[59]

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
1st52%46%Joe Cunningham
Nancy Mace
2nd55%44%Joe Wilson
3rd68%31%Jeff Duncan
4th59%39%William Timmons
5th58%41%Ralph Norman
6th32%67%Jim Clyburn
7th59%40%Tom Rice

Analysis

[edit]

South Carolina—aDeep SouthernBible Belt state that was once part of the DemocraticSolid South—has had a Republican tendency since1964. Since its narrow vote forKennedy in1960, it has voted Democratic only in1976, forJimmy Carter, the former governor of the neighboring state of Georgia. Accordingly, it has long been the most conservative state on theEast Coast of the United States,[60] although it has not been as conservative as its fellow Deep South states of Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana, largely due to populous and fast-growingCharleston andRichland Counties' trending more Democratic in the 21st century. As in the case of other Deep Southern states, South Carolina also has a largeAfrican-American population[61] that helps keep the state somewhat more competitive than much of the Upper South. (The final state in the Deep South,Georgia, has become much more competitive than any of its fellow Deep South states in recent years due to the explosive growth of the Atlanta area.)

Trump performed somewhat better than polls anticipated, as aggregate polls averaged him only 7 points ahead of Biden.[62] He flippedClarendon County for the first time since1972 andDillon County for the first time since1988. Biden became the first Democrat sinceLyndon B. Johnson in 1964 to win the presidency without Clarendon, Calhoun, Colleton, and McCormick counties and the first Democrat sinceHarry S. Truman to win without Dillon and Chester counties.

Perexit polls by theAssociated Press, Trump's strength in the Palmetto State came fromWhite,born-again/EvangelicalChristians, who supported Trump by 87%–90%.South Carolina is entirely in theBible Belt. As is the case in manySouthern states, there was a starkracial divide in voting for this election:White South Carolinians supported Trump by 69%–29%, whileBlackSouth Carolinians supported Biden by 92%–7%.[63]

In other elections, longtime Republican U.S. SenatorLindsey Grahamwon another term in theUnited States Senate by 10.27 percentage points over DemocratJaime Harrison. While Harrison lost by a double-digit margin, he still slightly outperformed Biden.

Edison exit polls

[edit]
2020 presidential election in South Carolina by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[64][65]
Demographic subgroupBidenTrump% of

total vote

Total vote43.4355.11100
Ideology
Liberals92715
Moderates564238
Conservatives148547
Party
Democrats96430
Republicans49541
Independents465029
Gender
Men415745
Women455355
Race/ethnicity
White267366
Black90726
Latino5
Asian0
Other3
Age
18–24 years old53429
25–29 years old30686
30–39 years old504712
40–49 years old534618
50–64 years old386128
65 and older406027
Sexual orientation
LGBT5
Not LGBT405995
Education
High school or less465322
Somecollege education465325
Associate degree366317
Bachelor's degree435523
Postgraduate degree435614
Income
Under $30,000623823
$30,000–49,999425618
$50,000–99,999475131
Over $100,000346430
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality881015
Coronavirus891016
Economy118736
Crime and safety168414
Health care11
Region
Upcountry326625
Piedmont415714
Central524624
Pee Dee/Waccamaw435715
Low Country495021
Area type
Urban554314
Suburban405849
Rural435637
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago158449
Worse than four years ago881217
About the same653132

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^The DSCC endorsed Jaime Harrison's campaign for the 2020 US Senate election in South Carolina before this poll's sampling period
  2. ^This poll's sponsor, Lindsey Must Go, is a PAC opposing Lindsey Graham
  3. ^This poll was sponsored by Harrison's campaign
  4. ^Poll sponsored by Conservatives for Clean Energy

Additional candidates

  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^abcdefghijklmnKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^"Refused" and "Third party candidate" with 1%
  4. ^Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  5. ^"Other candidate/write-in" with 0%
  6. ^"Refused" with 2%; "Some other candidate" with 1%; Did/would not vote with 0%
  7. ^would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  8. ^Includes "Refused"
  9. ^Standard VI response
  10. ^If the only candidates were Biden and Trump
  11. ^"Someone else" with 1%
  12. ^"Someone else/third party" with 2%
  13. ^Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  14. ^"Someone else" with 0%
  15. ^"Someone else" and would not vote with 2%
  16. ^Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size and topline numbers
  17. ^"Someone else" with 3%
  18. ^"Someone else" with 5%
  19. ^abGeneric
  20. ^abcGeneric Libertarian with 4%; generic Green with 2%

References

[edit]
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  2. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  3. ^"Real Time Live Presidential Election Results".
  4. ^Kinnard, Meg (September 7, 2019)."Nevada, SC, Kansas GOP drop presidential nomination votes".AP NEWS.
  5. ^Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019)."GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers".Boston Globe. MSN. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2019.
  6. ^Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019)."GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged".ABC News. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2019.
  7. ^Neidig, Harper (December 11, 2019)."Judge throws out lawsuit against South Carolina GOP for canceling 2020 primary".The Hill.
  8. ^"South Carolina Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2020.
  9. ^ab"2020 Democratic Presidential Preference Primary Election Night Reporting: Official Results".SCVotes.org. March 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 2, 2020.
  10. ^Peoples, Steve; Kinnard, Meg; Barrow, Bill (February 29, 2020)."Biden wins South Carolina, hopes for Super Tuesday momentum". Associated Press.Archived from the original on February 29, 2020. RetrievedFebruary 29, 2020.
  11. ^"South Carolina 2020 Primary: Live Results".The New York Times. February 29, 2020. RetrievedFebruary 29, 2020.
  12. ^"Delegate Tracker".interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. RetrievedNovember 24, 2022.
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  14. ^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
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  17. ^"Battle for White House".RCP. April 19, 2019.
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  19. ^David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020)."Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020".CNN. RetrievedJune 16, 2020.
  20. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. RetrievedJuly 7, 2020.
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  24. ^Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020)."2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".NPR.org. RetrievedAugust 3, 2020.
  25. ^"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten".NBC News. August 6, 2020. RetrievedAugust 6, 2020.
  26. ^"2020 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 12, 2020. RetrievedAugust 14, 2020.
  27. ^"South Carolina 2020 Presidential Election Polls: Biden vs. Trump - 270toWin".270toWin.com.
  28. ^Best, Ryan; Bycoffe, Aaron; King, Ritchie; Mehta, Dhrumil; Wiederkehr, Anna (June 28, 2018)."South Carolina : President: general election Polls".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on July 1, 2019.
  29. ^"0ptimus-SC-VA7-November-2020/south_carolina_poll_toplines_tl_31_october_2020.pdf at main · optimus-forecasting-and-polling/0ptimus-SC-VA7-November-2020"(PDF).GitHub.
  30. ^abcdef"Candidate preference".www.tableau.com.
  31. ^"Data For Progress"(PDF).
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  33. ^abc"2020 U.S. Election Tracker".Morning Consult Pro.
  34. ^"Data for Progress"(PDF).
  35. ^"x.com".
  36. ^"ECU Center for Survey Research - ECU Poll of South Carolina: Graham with a Narrow Lead Over Harrison Among Likely Voters; Trump Ahead of Biden as Election Day Nears".surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com.
  37. ^"New York Times/Siena College"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on October 15, 2020.
  38. ^"Data for Progress"(PDF).
  39. ^"x.com".
  40. ^"Data for Progress (D)"(PDF).
  41. ^"Quinnipiac University"(PDF).
  42. ^Salvanto, Anthony; Pinto, Jennifer De; Backus, Fred; Khanna, Kabir; Cox, Elena (September 27, 2020)."Tight races in Georgia and North Carolina, while Supreme Court is another factor — Battleground Tracker - CBS News".www.cbsnews.com.
  43. ^"Graham Is Weak With GOP Voters. Strategists Think Another Supreme Court Fight Will Help".Morning Consult Pro.
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  54. ^abcd"Change Research"(PDF).
  55. ^abcdefghi"Emerson College". Archived fromthe original on April 27, 2019.
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  63. ^"South Carolina Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted".The New York Times. November 3, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedNovember 17, 2020.
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  65. ^"South Carolina Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted".The New York Times. November 3, 2020. RetrievedDecember 28, 2020.

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