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| Turnout | 73.5%[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Municipality results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and theDistrict of Columbia participated.[2]New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominees, incumbent PresidentDonald Trump andVice PresidentMike Pence, against theDemocratic Party's nominees, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden and his running mate, SenatorKamala Harris. New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]
New Hampshire is by far the mostfiscally conservative state inNew England, and its population has a strong disdain fortaxes, historically giving Republicans an edge in its state office elections. However, like the rest of the region, it is veryliberal on social issues likeabortion andgay rights, and thus the Democratic Party has dominated in its federal elections in recent years. Although the state came extremely close to voting for Trump in 2016, polls throughout the 2020 campaign showed a clear Biden lead, and prior to election day, all 14 news organizations considered New Hampshire a state that Biden was favored to win.
Perexit polls by theAssociated Press, Biden prevailed in the state by garnering the votes of 58% ofwhitewomen, and 69% of unmarried women.[4] Biden carried voters prioritizinghealthcare policy with 73% campaigning on protectingcoverage forpre-existing conditions,[4] a resonant issue in a state plagued by theopioid crisis.
Corresponding Democratic victories in theSenate election and bothHouse elections reaffirmed the Democrats' strength in what used to be a heavily contested battleground. Despite that, on the same ballot, incumbent Republican GovernorChris Sununu won his third term with more than 65% of the vote, and Republicans regained control of both of New Hampshire's state legislative chambers and the state's Executive Council.[5] Biden's best margin was in the socially liberalConnecticut River Valley, which had overwhelmingly favoredBernie Sanders in theDemocratic primary, while Trump's strength came in the ruralGreat North Woods Region. Biden was the first Democrat to ever win the White House withoutCoös County.
TheNew Hampshire primary, traditionally the first, was held on February 11, 2020, roughly a week after theIowa caucuses.[6]
The New Hampshire Republican primary took place on February 11, 2020. Incumbent presidentDonald Trump won the Republican primary with 85.6 percent of the vote, clinching all of the state's 22 pledged delegates to the2020 Republican National Convention.[7]Typically, the top candidates of the other major party receive a large number of write-in votes.
| Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump(incumbent) | 129,734 | 84.42 | 22 |
| Bill Weld | 13,844 | 9.01 | 0 |
| Joe Walsh(withdrawn) | 838 | 0.55 | 0 |
| Mitt Romney(write-in) | 632 | 0.41 | 0 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 148 | 0.10 | 0 |
| Robert Ardini | 77 | 0.05 | 0 |
| Bob Ely | 68 | 0.04 | 0 |
| Zoltan Istvan | 56 | 0.04 | 0 |
| Others / Write-in | 2,339 | 1.52 | 0 |
| Pete Buttigieg(write-inDemocratic) | 1,136 | 0.74 | 0 |
| Amy Klobuchar(write-inDemocratic) | 1,076 | 0.70 | 0 |
| Mike Bloomberg(write-inDemocratic) | 801 | 0.52 | 0 |
| Bernie Sanders(write-inDemocratic) | 753 | 0.49 | 0 |
| Tulsi Gabbard(write-inDemocratic) | 369 | 0.24 | 0 |
| Joe Biden(write-inDemocratic) | 330 | 0.21 | 0 |
| Tom Steyer(write-inDemocratic) | 191 | 0.12 | 0 |
| Andrew Yang(write-inDemocratic) | 162 | 0.11 | 0 |
| Elizabeth Warren(write-inDemocratic) | 157 | 0.10 | 0 |
| Other write-in Democrats | 963 | 0.63 | 0 |
| Total | 153,674 | 100% | 22 |
Bernie Sanders won the Democratic primary with 25.6 percent of the vote, ahead of second-placePete Buttigieg, who received 24.3 percent of the vote. Both Sanders and Buttigieg received nine delegates to the2020 Democratic National Convention.Amy Klobuchar finished in third place with 19.7 percent of the vote and earned six delegates.Elizabeth Warren andJoe Biden finished in fourth and fifth place, respectively, and each received zero delegates.[10]
%2c_2020.svg)
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| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[13][14] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | 76,384 | 25.60 | 9 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 72,454 | 24.28 | 9 |
| Amy Klobuchar | 58,714 | 19.68 | 6 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 27,429 | 9.19 | |
| Joe Biden | 24,944 | 8.36 | |
| Tom Steyer | 10,732 | 3.60 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 9,755 | 3.27 | |
| Andrew Yang | 8,312 | 2.79 | |
| Michael Bloomberg(write-in)[12][15] | 4,675 | 1.57 | |
| Deval Patrick | 1,271 | 0.43 | |
| Michael Bennet | 952 | 0.32 | |
| Cory Booker(withdrawn) | 157 | 0.05 | |
| Joe Sestak(withdrawn) | 152 | 0.05 | |
| Kamala Harris(withdrawn) | 129 | 0.04 | |
| Marianne Williamson(withdrawn) | 99 | 0.03 | |
| Julian Castro(withdrawn) | 83 | 0.03 | |
| John Delaney(withdrawn) | 83 | 0.03 | |
| Steve Bullock(withdrawn) | 64 | 0.02 | |
| Henry Hewes | 43 | 0.01 | |
| Ben Gleib(withdrawn) | 31 | 0.01 | |
| Other candidates / Write-in | [a]665 | 0.22 | |
| Donald Trump(write-inRepublican)[12] | 1,217 | 0.41 | |
| Bill Weld(write-inRepublican)[12] | 17 | 0.01 | |
| Mitt Romney(write-in Republican)[12] | 10 | 0.00 | |
| Other write-in Republicans | 5 | 0.00 | |
| Total | 298,377 | 100% | 24 |
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Mail-in ballots were due by January 11, at the state convention. The primary was tabulated usingBucklin voting. Percentages shown are percentage of ballots cast.[16][17]
| Candidate | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Total | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermin Supreme | 10 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 17.3% |
| Kim Ruff | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 14.7% |
| Jo Jorgensen | 5 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 11.3% |
| None of the Above (NOTA) | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 8.7% |
| Dan "Taxation Is Theft" Behrman | 0 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8.7% |
| Jacob Hornberger(write-in) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6.0% |
| Sam Robb | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5.3% |
| Mark Whitney(write-in) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4.0% |
| Arvin Vohra | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4.0% |
| Ken Armstrong | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.3% |
| Lincoln Chafee(write-in) | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2.7% |
| Justin Amash(write-in) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2.0% |
| Keenan Wallace Dunham | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1.3% |
| Max Abramson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | nil |
| Straw Poll(write-in) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | nil |
| Joe Bishop-Henchman(write-in) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | nil |
| Thomas Knapp(write-in) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | nil |
| Adam Kokesh(write-in) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | nil |
| Nicholas Sarwark(write-in) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | nil |
| Exhausted Ballots/Undervotes | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Total | 44 | 44 | 62 | 150 |
| Candidate | 1st | 2nd | Total | Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Phillips | 15 | 6 | 21 | 63.6% |
| None of the Above | 9 | 6 | 15 | 45.5% |
| Spike Cohen(write-in) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6.1% |
| Larry Sharpe(write-in) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6.1% |
| Ron Paul(write-in) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6.1% |
| Darryl W Perry(write-in) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| Straw Poll(write-in) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| Nicolas Sarwark(write-in) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| Mark Whitney(write-in) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0% |
| Exhausted Ballots/Undervotes | 11 | 20 | 31 | |
| Total | 44 | 33 | 77 |
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Lean D |
| Inside Elections[21] | Likely D |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Likely D |
| Politico[23] | Lean D |
| RCP[24] | Lean D |
| Niskanen[25] | Safe D |
| CNN[26] | Lean D |
| The Economist[27] | Likely D |
| CBS News[28] | Lean D |
| 270towin[29] | Lean D |
| ABC News[30] | Lean D |
| NPR[31] | Likely D |
| NBC News[32] | Lean D |
| 538[33] | Likely D |
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [b] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[34] | October 14–29, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.4% | 42.4% | 4.2% | Biden +11.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[35] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 53.9% | 42.8% | 3.3% | Biden +11.1 |
| Average | 53.7% | 42.6% | 3.8% | Biden +11.1 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[c] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[36] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45%[d] | 54% | - | – | – |
| American Research Group[37] | Oct 26–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 58% | 1% | – | 2% |
| University of New Hampshire[38] | Oct 24–28, 2020 | 864 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 53% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[36] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 1,791 (LV) | – | 44% | 55% | - | – | – |
| Saint Anselm College[39] | Oct 23–26, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 52% | 2% | – | 2% |
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[40] | Oct 16–26, 2020 | 757 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 53% | 2% | 1%[e] | 2% |
| University of New Hampshire[41] | Oct 9–12, 2020 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 55% | 0% | 0%[f] | 2% |
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe[42] | Oct 8–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 51% | 2% | 3%[g] | 5% |
| Saint Anselm College[43] | Oct 1–4, 2020 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 53% | - | 4%[h] | 2% |
| Emerson College[44] | Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45%[i] | 53% | - | 2%[j] | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[36] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 637 (LV) | – | 43% | 55% | - | – | 2% |
| American Research Group[45] | Sep 25–28, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 53% | 1% | – | 2% |
| University of New Hampshire[46] | Sep 24–28, 2020 | 972 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 53% | 1% | 0%[f] | 3% |
| Pulse Opinion Research/Center for American Greatness[47][A] | Sep 23–25, 2020 | 850 (LV) | ± 4% | 42%[i] | 56% | - | 1%[k] | 1% |
| YouGov/UMass Lowell[48] | Sep 17–25, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44%[l] | 52% | 1% | 2%[m] | 1% |
| 44%[n] | 53% | - | 0%[f] | 1% | ||||
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[49] | Sep 8–11, 2020 | 445 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 2%[o] | 7%[p] |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[36] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 444 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
| Saint Anselm College[50] | Aug 15–17, 2020 | 1,042 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | - | 4%[h] | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[36] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 574 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 2% |
| University of New Hampshire[51] | Jul 16–28, 2020 | 1,893 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 40% | 53% | - | 4%[q] | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[36] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 191 (LV) | – | 39% | 61% | - | – | 1% |
| University of New Hampshire[51] | Jun 18–22, 2020 | 936 (LV) | – | 39% | 52% | - | 6%[r] | 3% |
| Saint Anselm College[52] | Jun 13–16, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 3% | 42% | 49% | - | 5% | 3% |
| University of New Hampshire[51] | May 14–18, 2020 | 790 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | - | 5%[s] | 5% |
| Saint Anselm College[53] | Apr 23–27, 2020 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 50% | - | 2% | 7% |
| University of New Hampshire[54] | Feb 19–25, 2020 | 569 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 44% | - | 8%[t] | 2% |
| AtlasIntel[55] | Feb 8–10, 2020 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3% | 46% | 44% | - | 11% | – |
| McLaughlin & Associates/NH Journal[56][2] | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49%[u] | 45% | - | –[v] | –[v] |
| Marist College/NBC News[57] | Jan 20–23, 2020 | 2,223 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 51% | - | 2% | 5% |
| Emerson College[58] | Nov 23–26, 2019 | 637 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | - | – | – |
| 547 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | - | – | 13% | ||
| Saint Anselm College[59] | Nov 13–18, 2019 | 512 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 51% | - | – | 6% |
| Emerson College[60] | Sep 6–9, 2019 | 1,041 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
| Gravis Marketing[61] | Aug 2–6, 2019 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 53% | - | – | 7% |
| Emerson College[62] | Feb 21–22, 2019 | 910 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 55% | - | – | – |
| American Research Group[63] | Mar 21–27, 2018 | 1,365 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 53% | - | – | 8% |
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Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang
Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
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Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz
with Donald Trump, Elizabeth Warren, and Howard Schultz
with John Kasich and Joe Biden
with John Kasich and Elizabeth Warren
with Donald Trump and generic Democrat
with Donald Trump, generic Democrat, and generic third party
with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent
|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 424,937 | 52.71% | +5.88% | |
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 365,660 | 45.36% | −1.10% | |
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 13,236 | 1.64% | −2.49% | |
| Green | Howie Hawkins (write-in) Angela Walker (write-in) | 217 | 0.03% | −0.84% | |
| Independent | Bernie Sanders (write-in) | 192 | 0.02% | −0.58% | |
| Republican | Mitt Romney (write-in) | 170 | 0.02% | −0.05% | |
| Democratic | Tulsi Gabbard (write-in) | 142 | 0.02% | N/A | |
| Independent | Kanye West (write-in) | 82 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Republican | John Kasich (write-in) | 67 | 0.01% | −0.17% | |
| Democratic | Andrew Yang (write-in) | 58 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Republican | Mike Pence (write-in) | 56 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Democratic | Pete Buttigieg (write-in) | 47 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Republican | Chris Sununu (write-in) | 46 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Republican | Bill Weld (write-in) | 23 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Vermin Supreme (write-in) | 22 | 0.00% | −0.01% | |
| Democratic | Amy Klobuchar (write-in) | 19 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Democratic | Andrew Cuomo (write-in) | 14 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Democratic | Jeanne Shaheen (write-in) | 14 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Ron Paul (write-in) | 13 | 0.00% | −0.01% | |
| Republican | Condoleezza Rice (write-in) | 12 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Republican | Mike Huckabee (write-in) | 10 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Democratic | Michelle Obama (write-in) | 10 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 806,205 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Belknap | 16,894 | 43.90% | 20,899 | 54.31% | 686 | 1.79% | -4,005 | -10.41% | 38,479 |
| Carroll | 16,649 | 50.00% | 16,150 | 48.50% | 498 | 1.50% | 499 | 1.50% | 33,297 |
| Cheshire | 25,522 | 57.52% | 17,898 | 40.34% | 950 | 2.14% | 7,624 | 17.18% | 44,370 |
| Coos | 7,640 | 46.18% | 8,617 | 52.09% | 287 | 1.73% | -977 | -5.91% | 16,544 |
| Grafton | 33,180 | 61.29% | 19,905 | 36.77% | 1,047 | 1.94% | 13,275 | 24.52% | 54,132 |
| Hillsborough | 122,344 | 52.81% | 104,625 | 45.16% | 4,690 | 2.03% | 17,719 | 7.65% | 231,659 |
| Merrimack | 48,533 | 53.85% | 39,711 | 44.06% | 1,889 | 2.09% | 8,822 | 9.79% | 90,133 |
| Rockingham | 100,064 | 50.20% | 95,858 | 48.09% | 3,420 | 1.71% | 4,206 | 2.11% | 199,342 |
| Strafford | 41,721 | 56.53% | 30,489 | 41.31% | 1,595 | 2.16% | 11,232 | 15.22% | 73,805 |
| Sullivan | 12,390 | 50.69% | 11,508 | 47.08% | 546 | 2.23% | 882 | 3.61% | 24,444 |
| Totals | 424,937 | 52.71% | 365,660 | 45.36% | 15,608 | 1.93% | 59,277 | 7.35% | 806,205 |
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold Gain from Republican | Republican Hold
|
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Biden won both congressional districts.[73]
| District | Biden | Trump | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 52% | 46% | Chris Pappas |
| 2nd | 54% | 45% | Annie Kuster |
Biden flipped the counties ofCarroll,Hillsborough,Rockingham, andSullivan, of which Hillsborough (which houses the state's largest city ofManchester) and Sullivan had voted forBarack Obama twice before switching to Trump in2016. Carroll and Rockingham last voted Democratic in 2008, although Rockingham last gave a Democrat a majority of the vote in 1964. Biden also significantly expandedHillary Clinton's 2016 lead of 2,736 votes (0.37%) to 59,267 votes (7.35%).
| 2020 presidential election in New Hampshire by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[74][75] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic subgroup | Biden | Trump | % of total vote |
| Total vote | 52.71 | 45.36 | 100 |
| Ideology | |||
| Liberals | 93 | 7 | 24 |
| Moderates | 64 | 33 | 44 |
| Conservatives | 9 | 91 | 32 |
| Party | |||
| Democrats | 94 | 6 | 23 |
| Republicans | 10 | 90 | 31 |
| Independents | 62 | 35 | 46 |
| Gender | |||
| Men | 47 | 52 | 47 |
| Women | 58 | 40 | 53 |
| Race/ethnicity | |||
| White | 52 | 46 | 92 |
| Non-white | 56 | 41 | 8 |
| Age | |||
| 18–24 years old | 50 | 48 | 9 |
| 25–29 years old | 58 | 35 | 8 |
| 30–39 years old | 54 | 42 | 14 |
| 40–49 years old | 50 | 49 | 15 |
| 50–64 years old | 51 | 49 | 31 |
| 65 and older | 56 | 43 | 23 |
| Sexual orientation | |||
| LGBT | – | – | 7 |
| Not LGBT | 50 | 48 | 93 |
| Education | |||
| High school or less | 43 | 53 | 20 |
| Somecollege education | 45 | 54 | 26 |
| Associate degree | 44 | 54 | 13 |
| Bachelor's degree | 63 | 36 | 25 |
| Postgraduate degree | 68 | 30 | 17 |
| Income | |||
| Under $30,000 | 71 | 28 | 12 |
| $30,000–49,999 | 45 | 51 | 18 |
| $50,000–99,999 | 54 | 44 | 30 |
| Over $100,000 | 53 | 46 | 40 |
| Issue regarded as most important | |||
| Racial inequality | 87 | 10 | 14 |
| Coronavirus | 95 | 5 | 21 |
| Economy | 12 | 87 | 33 |
| Crime and safety | 15 | 83 | 10 |
| Health care | 89 | 8 | 13 |
| Region | |||
| Seacoast | 60 | 38 | 17 |
| Manchester/Concord | 57 | 42 | 24 |
| Southwest/Connecticut Valley | 57 | 41 | 20 |
| Southeast | 44 | 54 | 21 |
| North | 47 | 52 | 18 |
| Area type | |||
| Urban | 67 | 31 | 9 |
| Suburban | 50 | 48 | 60 |
| Rural | 54 | 45 | 31 |
| Family's financial situation today | |||
| Better than four years ago | 19 | 80 | 43 |
| Worse than four years ago | 82 | 12 | 19 |
| About the same | 79 | 20 | 38 |
Partisan clients
New Hampshire
State and district results of the2020 United States presidential election | ||
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