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2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska

← 2016November 3, 20202024 →
Turnout76.33% (of registered voters)[1]Increase
 
NomineeDonald TrumpJoe Biden
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateFloridaDelaware
Running mateMike PenceKamala Harris
Electoral vote41
Popular vote556,846374,583
Percentage58.22%39.17%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Biden

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

No Votes

  


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Nebraska
Presidential elections
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2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
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Republican
2008
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Mayoral elections
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The2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.[2]Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, incumbent PresidentDonald Trump, and running mateVice PresidentMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden, and his running mate California SenatorKamala Harris. Nebraska has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, two from the state at large, and one each from thethree congressional districts.[3]

Located in the conservativeGreat Plains, Nebraska is one of the most reliably Republican states in the country, having backed the Democratic presidential nominee only once since1936, duringLyndon B. Johnson's1964 landslide, and having gone to the Republican nominee by a double-digit margin in every presidential election since. However, Nebraska is one of two states, the other beingMaine, to allocate its electoral votes by congressional district. A candidate receives one electoral vote for each district won while the statewide winner receives an additional two electoral votes. Ever since Nebraska first adopted this system in 1992, in practice the Republican nominee has almost always won all three districts, and hence all the state's electoral votes. The first time it split its electoral votes came in2008 whenBarack Obama carriedNebraska's 2nd congressional district, anchored byOmaha, and thus received one electoral vote from the state despite losing statewide. The 2nd district returned to the Republican column in the following two elections, but in 2020 it was considered a key battleground.

Trump carried Nebraska statewide by 19 points on Election Day, down from 25 points in 2016. Biden was able to flip the 2nd district, carrying it by 6.6 points, the best Democratic performance since Nebraska first adopted its system of allocation by district, and the first time in this period that the district has voted more Democratic than the nation. Nebraska's 6% margin swing between 2016 and 2020 represented the largest leftward shift towards the Democratic Party out of any state won by Trump that the Democrats otherwise failed to flip, even shifting more leftward thanMichigan which was Biden's strongest performance in a state won by Trump in 2016. Trump received the state's other four electoral votes. Before the election, all news organizations declared Nebraska a safered state, while most organizations viewed the 2nd district as either leaning towards Biden or a tossup. This was the first election in which both Nebraska andMaine split their electoral votes.

Primary elections

[edit]

The primary elections were held on May 12, 2020.

Republican primary

[edit]
Main article:2020 Nebraska Republican presidential primary

Donald Trump was declared the winner in the Republican primary,[4] and thus received all of Nebraska's 36 delegates to the2020 Republican National Convention.[5]

2020 Nebraska Republican primary
CandidateVotes%Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump(incumbent)243,72191.436
Bill Weld22,9348.60
Total266,655100%36

Democratic primary

[edit]

Joe Biden was declared the winner in the Democratic primary.[4]

This section is an excerpt from2020 Nebraska Democratic presidential primary § NEresults.[edit]
2020 Nebraska Democratic presidential primary[6]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[7]
Joe Biden126,44476.8329
Bernie Sanders(withdrawn)23,21414.10
Elizabeth Warren(withdrawn)10,4016.32
Tulsi Gabbard(withdrawn)4,5232.75
Total164,582100%29

Libertarian primary

[edit]
Main article:2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
2020Nebraska Libertarian presidential primary

← 2016May 12, 20202024 →
← NY
NM →
 
CandidateJo JorgensenJacob HornbergerAdam Kokesh
Home stateSouth CarolinaVirginiaIndiana
Popular vote508444263
Percentage27.8%24.3%14.4%

 
CandidateLincoln Chafee
(withdrawn)
Max Abramson
(withdrawn)
Dan Behrman
Home stateWyomingNew HampshireNevada
Popular vote254182177
Percentage13.9%10.0%9.7%

Election results by county
  Jo Jorgensen
  Jacob Hornberger
  Adam Kokesh
  Lincoln Chafee
  Max Abramson
  Dan Behrman
  Tie
  No votes

Jo Jorgensen was declared the winner of the Libertarian primary and went on to win the LP nomination.[8]

Nebraska Libertarian presidential primary, May 12, 2020[9]
CandidateVotesPercentage
Jo Jorgensen50827.8%
Jacob Hornberger44424.3%
Adam Kokesh26314.4%
Lincoln Chafee (withdrawn)25413.9%
Max Abramson (withdrawn)18210.0%
Dan Behrman1779.7%
Total1,828100%

General election

[edit]

Final predictions

[edit]
SourceRanking (statewide)Ranking (1st)Ranking (2nd)Ranking (3rd)
The Cook Political Report[10]Solid RSolid RLean D(flip)Solid R
Inside Elections[11]Solid RSolid RTilt D(flip)Solid R
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]Safe RSafe RLean D(flip)Safe R
Politico[13]Solid RSolid RLean D(flip)Solid R
RCP[14]Solid RSolid RTossupSolid R
Niskanen[15]Safe RSafe RTossupSafe R
CNN[16]Solid RSolid RLean D(flip)Solid R
The Economist[17]Safe RNot givenNot givenNot given
CBS News[18]Likely RLikely RLean D(flip)Likely R
270towin[19]Safe RSafe RLean D(flip)Safe R
ABC News[20]Solid RSolid RLean D(flip)Solid R
NPR[21]Likely RLean RLean D(flip)Likely R
NBC News[22]Solid RSolid RLean D(flip)Solid R
538[23]Solid RSolid RLean D(flip)Solid R

Polling

[edit]

Statewide

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight[24]until November 2, 2020November 3, 202042.5%52.1%5.4%Trump +9.7
‹ Thetemplate below (Graph:Chart) is being considered for deletion. Seetemplates for discussion to help reach a consensus. ›
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20201,742 (LV)± 3.5%56%[c]43%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Oct 1–28, 20202,423 (LV)53%46%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Sep 1–30, 2020799 (LV)57%41%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Aug 1–31, 2020560 (LV)53%47%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Jul 1–31, 2020910 (LV)54%44%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[25]Jun 8–30, 2020267 (LV)56%42%2%

in Nebraska's 1st congressional district

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
OtherUndecided
Strategies 360/Kate Bolz[26][A]Jul 16–22, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%48%46%

in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

‹ Thetemplate below (Graph:Chart) is being considered for deletion. Seetemplates for discussion to help reach a consensus. ›
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
OtherUndecided
University of Nevada[27]Oct 30 – Nov 2, 2020191 (LV)± 7%44%50%5%
Change Research[28]Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020920 (LV)± 3.5%47%50%2%0%[d]0%
Emerson College[29]Oct 29–30, 2020806 (LV)± 3.5%48%[e]50%2%[f]
FM3 Research/Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[30][B]Oct 1–4, 2020450 (LV)± 4.6%42%53%5%[g]
Siena College/NYT[31]Sep 25–27, 2020420 (LV)± 5.3%41%48%4%1%[h]6%[i]
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[32][C]Sep 14–16, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%44%50%1%[j]3%[i]
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[32][C]Jul 27–29, 2020400 (LV)45%51%2%[k]3%[i]
GQR/Kara Eastman[33][D]Jun 30 – Jul 5, 2020502 (LV)± 4.37%44%51%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department/Ally Mutnick[34][E]May 7–10, 2020448 (LV)± 4.6%41%52%

Electoral slates

[edit]

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in theElectoral College should their candidate win the state:[35]

Donald Trump and
Mike Pence
Republican Party
Joe Biden and
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Jo Jorgensen and
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Darlene Starman (At-large)
Steve Nelson (At-large)
George Olmer (District 1)
Mark Quandahl (District 2)
Teresa Ibach (District 3)
Roger Wess (At-large)
Peg Lippert (At-large)
Larry Wright (District 1)
Precious McKesson (District 2)
Kathy Moore Jensen (District 3)
Ben Backus (At-large)
Laura Ebke (At-large)
Trevor Reilly (District 1)
Margaret Austgen (District 2)
Patrick Birkel (District 3)

Results

[edit]

As expected, Trump easily carried the state at large. However, because Nebraska (along with Maine) allocates its remaining electoral votes by congressional district, Joe Biden was able to win an electoral vote from Nebraska's second district, which covers the increasingly liberal Omaha metro area. Barack Obama also won the same district in2008 before it went back to the Republican column in2012 and2016.

2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska[36]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDonald Trump
Mike Pence
556,84658.22%−0.53%
DemocraticJoe Biden
Kamala Harris
374,58339.17%+5.47%
LibertarianJo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
20,2832.12%−2.49%
Write-in4,6710.49%−1.41%
Total votes956,383100.00%
Republicanwin

By county

[edit]
Parts of this article (those related to County results) need to beupdated. The reason given is: County results needs to be fixed, totals aren't accurate when summed. (10 Dem vote difference). Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information.(December 2024)
CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams10,08568.83%4,21328.75%3552.42%5,87240.08%14,653
Antelope3,09386.23%45212.60%421.17%2,64173.63%3,587
Arthur26091.23%217.37%41.40%23983.86%285
Banner36288.08%4310.46%61.46%31977.62%411
Blaine28088.33%3511.04%20.63%24577.29%317
Boone2,65382.24%49915.47%742.29%2,15466.77%3,226
Box Butte4,00276.96%1,05120.21%1472.83%2,95156.75%5,200
Boyd1,01087.45%13511.69%100.86%87575.76%1,155
Brown1,47087.29%19111.34%231.37%1,27975.95%1,684
Buffalo16,64070.18%6,35026.78%7213.04%10,29043.40%23,711
Burt2,58069.00%1,06328.43%962.57%1,51740.57%3,739
Butler3,54278.40%87319.32%1032.28%2,66959.08%4,518
Cass10,12166.04%4,73730.91%4683.05%5,38435.13%15,326
Cedar4,17483.23%72514.46%1162.31%3,44968.77%5,015
Chase1,74087.00%22611.30%341.70%1,51475.70%2,000
Cherry2,84487.00%37311.41%521.59%2,47175.59%3,269
Cheyenne3,81379.84%85517.90%1082.26%2,95861.94%4,776
Clay2,84879.78%63217.70%902.52%2,21662.08%3,570
Colfax2,63670.75%1,02527.51%651.74%1,61143.24%3,726
Cuming3,50778.65%87019.51%821.84%2,63759.14%4,459
Custer5,09084.69%78613.08%1342.23%4,30471.61%6,010
Dakota3,92657.59%2,74440.25%1472.16%1,18217.34%6,817
Dawes2,93170.61%1,08226.07%1383.32%1,84944.54%4,151
Dawson6,52470.98%2,49727.17%1701.85%4,02743.81%9,191
Deuel87184.24%14113.64%222.12%73070.60%1,034
Dixon2,33575.47%65121.04%1083.49%1,68454.43%3,094
Dodge10,98464.85%5,54432.73%4102.42%5,44032.12%16,938
Douglas119,15943.09%150,35054.37%7,0312.54%-31,191-11.28%276,540
Dundy88388.04%10510.47%151.49%77877.57%1,003
Fillmore2,35974.94%69322.01%963.05%1,66652.93%3,148
Franklin1,43783.16%27615.97%150.87%1,16167.19%1,728
Frontier1,22984.99%18913.07%281.94%1,04071.92%1,446
Furnas2,16383.13%39915.33%401.54%1,76467.80%2,602
Gage7,44566.96%3,38530.44%2892.60%4,06036.52%11,119
Garden1,01684.67%16113.42%231.91%85571.25%1,200
Garfield93386.71%13312.36%100.93%80074.35%1,076
Gosper89379.66%21519.18%131.16%67860.48%1,121
Grant37593.28%204.98%71.74%35588.30%402
Greeley1,01680.70%22918.19%141.11%78762.51%1,259
Hall16,18966.21%7,68131.42%5802.37%8,50834.79%24,450
Hamilton4,30977.42%1,11820.09%1392.49%3,19157.33%5,566
Harlan1,61583.51%28214.58%371.91%1,33368.93%1,934
Hayes49492.16%346.34%81.50%46085.82%536
Hitchcock1,26485.99%18511.90%312.11%1,08974.09%1,470
Holt4,76985.93%68612.36%951.71%4,08373.57%5,550
Hooker37685.07%5913.35%71.58%31771.72%442
Howard2,78679.35%64818.46%772.19%2,13860.89%3,511
Jefferson2,61670.13%1,01627.24%982.63%1,60042.89%3,730
Johnson1,51867.98%64728.97%683.05%87139.01%2,233
Kearney2,82278.02%70119.38%942.60%2,12158.64%3,617
Keith3,54481.12%76317.46%621.42%2,78163.66%4,369
Keya Paha47689.81%499.25%50.94%42780.56%530
Kimball1,56383.27%26814.28%462.45%1,29568.99%1,877
Knox3,72179.04%90519.22%821.74%2,81659.82%4,708
Lancaster70,09244.58%82,29352.34%4,8303.08%-12,201-7.76%157,215
Lincoln13,07176.16%3,69221.51%4002.33%9,37954.65%17,163
Logan40790.44%388.44%51.12%36982.00%450
Loup37081.50%7516.52%91.98%29564.98%454
Madison11,94075.48%3,47821.99%4012.53%8,46253.49%15,819
McPherson27591.06%175.63%103.31%25885.43%302
Merrick3,41979.85%74317.35%1202.80%2,67662.50%4,282
Morrill2,11382.60%38615.09%592.31%1,72767.51%2,558
Nance1,43778.44%35919.60%361.96%1,07858.84%1,832
Nemaha2,42870.75%92126.84%832.41%1,50743.91%3,432
Nuckolls1,85780.56%40917.74%391.70%1,44862.82%2,305
Otoe5,64967.61%2,49029.80%2162.59%3,15937.81%8,355
Pawnee1,07174.95%32222.53%362.52%74952.42%1,429
Perkins1,32185.50%19912.88%251.62%1,12272.62%1,545
Phelps4,15782.79%75214.98%1122.23%3,40567.81%5,021
Pierce3,46286.29%48011.96%701.75%2,98274.33%4,012
Platte12,18677.51%3,26020.74%2751.75%8,92656.77%15,721
Polk2,29179.36%53018.36%662.28%1,76161.00%2,887
Red Willow4,52582.72%81114.83%1342.45%3,71467.89%5,470
Richardson3,07374.33%99624.09%651.58%2,07750.24%4,134
Rock74488.36%849.98%141.66%66078.38%842
Saline3,63162.82%1,98634.36%1632.82%1,64528.46%5,780
Sarpy51,97954.04%41,20642.84%3,0083.12%10,77311.20%96,193
Saunders9,10871.23%3,33126.05%3472.72%5,77745.18%12,786
Scotts Bluff10,95270.55%4,19627.03%3762.42%6,75643.52%15,524
Seward6,49070.55%2,43826.50%2712.95%4,05244.05%9,199
Sheridan2,29285.39%34012.67%521.94%1,95272.72%2,684
Sherman1,32277.76%34320.18%352.06%97957.58%1,700
Sioux64287.82%729.85%172.33%57077.97%731
Stanton2,56180.92%53216.81%722.27%2,02964.11%3,165
Thayer2,30877.22%62420.88%571.90%1,68456.34%2,989
Thomas37788.29%4510.54%51.17%33277.75%427
Thurston1,18049.60%1,12247.16%773.24%582.44%2,379
Valley1,90181.10%41217.58%311.32%1,48963.52%2,344
Washington8,58368.85%3,55428.51%3302.64%5,02940.34%12,467
Wayne3,05572.43%1,02224.23%1413.34%2,03348.20%4,218
Webster1,51180.54%33517.86%301.60%1,17662.68%1,876
Wheeler43887.08%5911.73%61.19%37975.35%503
York5,33774.53%1,63022.76%1942.71%3,70751.77%7,161
Totals556,84658.22%374,58339.17%24,9542.61%182,26319.05%956,383
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won two of Nebraska's three congressional districts, while Biden won the second, which elected a Republican.[36]

DistrictTrumpBidenOtherRepresentative
#%#%#%
1st180,29056.01%132,26141.09%9,3352.90%Jeff Fortenberry
2nd154,37745.45%176,46851.95%8,8212.60%Don Bacon
3rd222,17975.36%65,85422.34%6,7982.31%Adrian Smith

Analysis

[edit]

Biden won only the two most populous counties in the state:Douglas County, home to Omaha, by 11 points, approximately the same marginLyndon B. Johnson won the county within1964 and the best result for Democrats since that election, andLancaster County, home to the state's second-largest city and state capitalLincoln, where theUniversity of Nebraska is located, by just under 8 points, another 56-year high for Democrats. While he didn't win the state's third largest,Sarpy County, a growing suburban county to the south of Omaha, which in all presidential elections from 1968 to 2016 except 2008 had backed the Republican candidate by at least 21 points, he reduced Trump's winning margin to only 11 points and won 43 percent of the vote there, again a 56-year best for Democrats. Biden also received more than 40 percent of the vote in two counties in the northeastern corner of the state:Thurston County, of which Trump only won by a plurality of 49.6% and is home to a Native American majority, andDakota County, located to the north of the former and is home to a large Hispanic population.[37]

Perexit polls by theAssociated Press, Trump's strength in Nebraska came fromwhites, who constituted 90% of the electorate, and specifically fromProtestants with 70%. Post-election, many rural Nebraskans expressed worries abouttrade and theeconomy under a Biden presidency,[38] with 59% of voters stating they trusted Trump more to handleinternational trade.[39] Joe Biden improved onHillary Clinton's performance in Nebraska, as he did in most other states. Despite his loss, Biden's 374,583 votes are the most received by a Democratic candidate for president statewide in Nebraska, surpassing the previous record set byFranklin D. Roosevelt in the1932 landslide.

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^abcKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^"Don't recall" and Would not vote with 0%
  5. ^With voters tho lean towards a given candidate
  6. ^"Someone else" with 2%
  7. ^"Undecided, will vote for another candidate or refused to answer" with 5%
  8. ^would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%
  9. ^abcIncludes "Refused"
  10. ^"Other candidate" with 1%
  11. ^"Other candidate" with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. ^Poll sponsored by Bolz's campaign
  2. ^The Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  3. ^abPoll sponsored by the House Majority PAC which exclusively endorses Democratic candidates
  4. ^Poll sponsored by Eastman's campaign
  5. ^Poll sponsored by the DCCC

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Voter Turnout".Nebraska Secretary of State Election Results. November 6, 2020. RetrievedDecember 1, 2020.
  2. ^Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018)."US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?".The Independent.Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  3. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  4. ^ab"Joe Biden picks up more delegates in Nebraska primary win".CBS News. May 12, 2020.
  5. ^"Nebraska Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. RetrievedMay 12, 2020.
  6. ^"Official Report of the Nebraska Board of State Canvassers: Primary Election, May 12, 2020"(PDF). Nebraska Board of State Canvassers. June 8, 2020. RetrievedOctober 14, 2020.
  7. ^"Delegate Tracker".interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. RetrievedMay 13, 2020.
  8. ^Winger, Richard (May 23, 2020)."Jo Jorgensen Wins Libertarian Presidential Nomination on Fourth Vote".Ballot Access Date. RetrievedMay 24, 2020.
  9. ^"Official Report of the Nebraska Board of State Canvassers - Primary Election May 12, 2020"(PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State.
  10. ^"2020 POTUS Race ratings"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  11. ^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  12. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President".crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  13. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. ^"Battle for White House".RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. ^2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College PredictionsArchived April 23, 2020, at theWayback Machine,Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  16. ^David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020)."Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020".CNN. RetrievedJune 16, 2020.
  17. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. RetrievedJuly 7, 2020.
  18. ^"2020 Election Battleground Tracker".CBS News. July 12, 2020. RetrievedJuly 13, 2020.
  19. ^"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map".270 to Win.
  20. ^"ABC News Race Ratings".CBS News. July 24, 2020. RetrievedJuly 24, 2020.
  21. ^"2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".NPR.org. RetrievedAugust 3, 2020.
  22. ^"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten".NBC News. August 6, 2020. RetrievedAugust 6, 2020.
  23. ^"2020 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 12, 2020. RetrievedAugust 14, 2020.
  24. ^FiveThirtyEight
  25. ^abcdefSurveyMonkey/Axios
  26. ^Strategies 360/Kate Bolz
  27. ^University of Nevada
  28. ^Change Research
  29. ^Emerson College
  30. ^FM3 Research/Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC
  31. ^Siena College/NYT
  32. ^abGlobal Strategy Group/House Majority PAC
  33. ^GQR/Kara Eastman
  34. ^DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department/Ally Mutnick
  35. ^"Certificate of Ascertainment"(PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 6, 2020.
  36. ^ab"Official Report of the Nebraska Board of State Canvassers"(PDF).Nebraska Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2020.
  37. ^Leip, Dave."2020 Presidential General Election Results - Nebraska".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  38. ^Searcey, Dionne (November 8, 2020)."A Nation Votes for Joe Biden, and a Red State Shrugs".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedNovember 9, 2020.
  39. ^"Nebraska Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted".The New York Times. November 3, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedNovember 9, 2020.

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