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2020 United States presidential election in Missouri

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Missouri

← 2016
November 3, 2020
2024 →
Turnout69.75%Increase 3.19pp
 
NomineeDonald TrumpJoe Biden
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateFloridaDelaware
Running mateMike PenceKamala Harris
Electoral vote100
Popular vote1,718,7361,253,014
Percentage56.80%41.41%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Biden

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Missouri
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
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2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2000
2004
2008
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2016
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State elections
Gubernatorial elections
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The2020 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.[1]Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, incumbent PresidentDonald Trump ofFlorida, and running mateVice PresidentMike Pence ofIndiana againstDemocratic Party nominee, former Vice PresidentJoe Biden ofDelaware, and his running mate SenatorKamala Harris ofCalifornia. Missouri had 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Trump won Missouri again by a 15.4% margin. This was 3.1% lower than his2016 margin, but still a better performance in the state than that of any other Republican nominee sinceRonald Reagan in1984. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a state Trump would win; during the 21st century Missouri has shifted away from being one of the most notable bellwether states towards becoming a reliably red state. Trump became the first incumbent president sinceGrover Cleveland in1888 to win Missouri and lose re-election and the first-ever Republican incumbent to do so. This is also the first time since1916 (and only the second time ever) that Missouri has voted more Republican than neighboringKansas.

In this election Missouri voted nearly 20% more Republican than the nation as a whole.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
Main article:2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary
Results by county
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Biden—70–80%
2020 Missouri Democratic presidential primary[3]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[4]
Joe Biden400,34760.1044
Bernie Sanders230,37434.5924
Michael Bloomberg(withdrawn)9,8661.48
Elizabeth Warren(withdrawn)8,1561.22
Tulsi Gabbard4,8870.73
Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn)3,3090.50
Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn)2,6820.40
Andrew Yang(withdrawn)9530.14
Cory Booker(withdrawn)6510.10
Tom Steyer(withdrawn)5840.09
Michael Bennet(withdrawn)2060.03
Marianne Williamson(withdrawn)1700.03
John Delaney(withdrawn)1590.02
Julian Castro(withdrawn)1030.02
Henry Hewes940.01
Deval Patrick(withdrawn)520.01
Other candidates1,0250.15
Uncommitted2,4940.37
Total666,112100%68

Republican primary

[edit]
Main article:2020 Missouri Republican presidential primary


2020 Missouri Republican presidential primary[5]
CandidateVotes%Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump(incumbent)301,95396.8%54
Uncommitted4,2161.4%0
Bill Weld2,1710.7%0
Joe Walsh(withdrawn)2,0150.6%0
Bob Ely8440.3%0
Matthew John Matern5940.2%0
Total311,793100%54

Libertarian primary

[edit]
Main article:2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
2020Missouri Libertarian presidential primary

← 2016
March 10, 2020
2024 →
← NC
OH →
 
CandidateJacob HornbergerUncommitted
Home stateVirginiaN/A
Popular vote1,683573
Percentage74.6%25.4%

Election results by county
  Jacob Hornberger
  Uncommitted
  Tie
  No votes
Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 10, 2020[6]
CandidateVotesPercentage
Jacob Hornberger1,68374.6%
Uncommitted57325.4%
Total2,256100%

Green primary

[edit]
Main article:2020 Green Party presidential primaries
2020 Missouri Green presidential primaries[7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
GreenHowie Hawkins2,73376.93%
GreenDario Hunter63926.87%
GreenDavid Rolde21410.99%
Total votes3,586100%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[8]Likely RSeptember 10, 2020
Inside Elections[9]Lean RSeptember 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]Likely RJuly 14, 2020
Politico[11]Safe RSeptember 8, 2020
RCP[12]Lean RAugust 3, 2020
Niskanen[13]Safe RJuly 26, 2020
CNN[14]Safe RAugust 3, 2020
The Economist[15]Likely RSeptember 2, 2020
CBS News[16]Likely RAugust 16, 2020
270towin[17]Likely RAugust 2, 2020
ABC News[18]Lean RJuly 31, 2020
NPR[19]Likely RAugust 3, 2020
NBC News[20]Likely RAugust 6, 2020
538[21]Likely RSeptember 9, 2020

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

%support01020304050604/11/20196/30/20209/30/202011/1/2020TrumpBidenJorgensenHawkinsOther/undecidedOpinion polling for the 2020 United States p...
Viewsource data.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270 to Win[22]October 13 – November 2, 2020November 3, 202043.7%51.3%5.0%Trump +7.6
FiveThirtyEight[23]until November 2, 2020November 3, 202043.6%51.6%4.8%Trump +8.0
Average43.7%51.5%4.9%Trump +7.8

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20202,926 (LV)± 2.5%54%[c]44%--
Swayable[25]Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020487 (LV)± 6.6%55%43%2%0%
Morning Consult[26]Oct 22–31, 20201,109 (LV)± 3%52%43%--
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[27]Oct 28–29, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%50%45%2%1%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Oct 1–28, 20204,759 (LV)53%45%--
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[28]Oct 14–15, 20201,010 (LV)± 3%51%45%1%1%-2%
YouGov/SLU[29]Sep 24 – Oct 7, 2020931 (LV)± 3.9%52%43%--3%2%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Missouri[30][A]Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2020600 (LV)± 4.1%50%48%--
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[31]Sep 30 – Oct 1, 2020980 (LV)± 3%51%46%--3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Sep 1–30, 20202,157 (LV)53%45%--2%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[32]Sep 16–17, 20201,046 (LV)± 3%53%45%--2%
We Ask America[33]Sep 1–3, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%49%44%--5%[d]2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Aug 1–31, 20201,863 (LV)54%44%--2%
Trafalgar Group (R)[34]Aug 26–28, 20201,015 (LV)± 2.99%52%41%3%-1%[e]3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Jul 1–31, 20202,261 (LV)54%44%--2%
YouGov/Saint Louis University[35]Jun 23 – Jul 1, 2020900 (LV)± 3.95%50%43%--4%4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[24]Jun 8–30, 2020868 (LV)51%47%--1%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Governor/Missouri Scout[36][A]Jun 16–22, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%46%48%--
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[37]Jun 10–11, 20201,152 (LV)± 2.9%51%43%--6%
We Ask America[38]May 26–27, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%48%44%--3%[f]5%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[39]Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)53%42%--5%
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[40][B]Jan 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)50%43%--7%
Remington Research Group[41]Sep 18–19, 20191,046 (LV)± 3.0%53%42%--5%
Remington Research Group[42]Apr 10–11, 2019955 (LV)± 3.3%51%43%--6%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[39]Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)51%39%10%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[39]Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)52%37%11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
Remington Research Group[42]Apr 10–11, 2019955 (LV)± 3.3%52%36%12%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Undecided
Remington Research Group[42]Apr 10–11, 2019955 (LV)± 3.3%51%38%11%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[39]Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)52%37%11%
Remington Research Group[41]Sep 18–19, 20191,046 (LV)± 3.0%54%37%9%
Remington Research Group[42]Apr 10–11, 2019955 (LV)± 3.3%51%39%10%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[39]Feb 26–27, 20201,050 (LV)53%35%12%
American Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri[40][B]Jan 20–22, 20201,200 (LV)51%41%8%
Remington Research Group[41]Sep 18–19, 20191,046 (LV)± 3.0%54%40%6%
Zogby Analytics[43]Aug 17–23, 2017604 (LV)± 4.0%40%46%14%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[44]March 6–7, 2019984(LV)± 3.3%53%46%2%

Results

[edit]
2020 United States presidential election in Missouri[45][46]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDonald Trump
Mike Pence
1,718,73656.80+0.02
DemocraticJoe Biden
Kamala Harris
1,253,01441.41+3.27
LibertarianJo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
41,2051.36−2.11
GreenHowie Hawkins
Angela Walker
8,2830.27−0.63
ConstitutionDon Blankenship
William Mohr
3,9190.13−0.34
Write-in8050.03n/a
Total votes3,025,962100.00

By county

[edit]
CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adair6,41362.05%3,71035.89%2132.06%2,70326.14%10,336
Andrew7,25574.23%2,35124.05%1681.72%4,90450.18%9,774
Atchison2,19978.14%56420.04%511.82%1,63558.10%2,814
Audrain7,73272.49%2,70425.35%2302.16%5,02847.14%10,666
Barry12,42579.66%2,94818.90%2251.44%9,47760.76%15,598
Barton5,16885.04%84413.89%651.07%4,32471.15%6,077
Bates6,59778.18%1,67219.82%1692.00%4,92558.36%8,438
Benton8,10977.35%2,18020.79%1951.86%5,92956.56%10,484
Bollinger5,16786.36%75012.54%661.10%4,41773.82%5,983
Boone38,64642.32%50,06454.82%2,6162.86%-11,418-12.50%91,326
Buchanan22,45061.15%13,44536.62%8182.23%9,00524.53%36,713
Butler14,60280.37%3,30118.17%2661.46%11,30162.20%18,169
Caldwell3,72579.32%89719.10%741.58%2,82860.22%4,696
Callaway14,81569.94%5,87027.71%4982.35%8,94542.23%21,183
Camden18,85075.97%5,65222.78%3101.25%13,19853.19%24,812
Cape Girardeau28,90771.51%10,76026.62%7591.87%18,14744.89%40,426
Carroll3,70681.77%78617.34%400.89%2,92064.43%4,532
Carter2,45184.60%41814.43%280.97%2,03370.17%2,897
Cass37,19764.61%19,05233.09%1,3192.30%18,14531.52%57,568
Cedar5,78882.17%1,14516.25%1111.58%4,64365.92%7,044
Chariton3,11176.31%91622.47%503.30%2,19553.84%4,077
Christian34,92074.42%11,13123.72%8741.86%23,78950.70%46,925
Clark2,67278.73%67819.98%441.29%1,99458.75%3,394
Clay64,60551.04%59,40046.93%2,5642.03%5,2054.11%126,569
Clinton7,79971.51%2,89626.55%2111.94%4,90344.96%10,906
Cole26,08665.80%12,69432.02%8652.18%13,39233.78%39,645
Cooper6,27272.15%2,24925.87%1721.98%4,02346.28%8,693
Crawford8,72579.51%2,11319.26%1351.23%6,61260.25%10,973
Dade3,41482.88%65615.93%491.19%2,75866.95%4,119
Dallas6,61981.68%1,38017.03%1051.29%5,23964.65%8,104
Daviess3,10279.31%74619.07%631.62%2,35660.24%3,911
DeKalb3,82878.90%93019.17%941.93%2,89859.73%4,852
Dent5,98783.83%1,05614.79%991.38%4,93169.04%7,142
Douglas5,89884.26%1,01614.51%861.23%4,88269.75%7,000
Dunklin8,13578.08%2,20021.12%840.80%5,93556.96%10,419
Franklin38,05870.76%14,56927.09%1,1562.15%23,48943.67%53,783
Gasconade6,22278.53%1,60120.21%1001.26%4,62158.32%7,923
Gentry2,58179.73%61318.94%431.33%1,96860.79%3,237
Greene83,63058.78%55,06838.71%3,5742.51%28,56220.07%142,272
Grundy3,58580.80%79918.01%531.19%2,78662.79%4,437
Harrison3,19883.59%59715.60%310.81%2,60167.99%3,826
Henry8,02774.29%2,61924.24%1591.47%5,40850.05%10,805
Hickory3,96678.07%1,05620.79%581.14%2,91057.28%5,080
Holt1,97684.34%33814.43%291.23%1,63869.91%2,343
Howard3,55369.78%1,41327.75%1262.47%2,14042.03%5,092
Howell15,18181.29%3,21817.23%2771.48%11,96364.06%18,676
Iron3,59678.31%94520.58%511.11%2,65157.73%4,592
Jackson126,53537.88%199,84259.82%7,6782.30%-73,307-21.94%334,055
Jasper37,72871.81%13,54925.79%1,2622.40%24,17946.02%52,539
Jefferson77,04665.88%37,52332.08%2,3842.04%39,52333.80%116,953
Johnson15,48966.84%6,97430.10%7093.06%8,51536.74%23,172
Knox1,48680.06%34018.32%301.62%1,14661.74%1,856
Laclede13,76281.78%2,78016.52%2861.70%10,98265.26%16,828
Lafayette12,27371.79%4,47226.16%3512.05%7,80145.63%17,096
Lawrence14,42680.43%3,21417.92%2951.65%11,21262.51%17,935
Lewis3,55376.92%98421.30%821.78%2,56955.62%4,619
Lincoln21,84875.17%6,60722.73%6102.10%15,24152.44%29,065
Linn4,36376.20%1,27522.27%881.53%3,08853.93%5,726
Livingston5,26777.94%1,41020.86%811.20%3,85757.08%6,758
Macon6,07677.54%1,66221.21%981.25%4,41456.33%7,836
Madison4,58480.76%1,01917.95%731.29%3,56562.81%5,676
Maries3,89281.58%81417.06%651.36%3,07864.52%4,771
Marion9,91574.13%3,20223.94%2591.93%6,71350.19%13,376
McDonald7,46582.37%1,43915.88%1591.75%6,02666.49%9,063
Mercer1,54186.48%22212.46%191.06%1,31974.02%1,782
Miller10,17682.08%2,03816.44%1831.48%8,13865.64%12,397
Mississippi3,53774.37%1,17824.77%410.86%2,35949.60%4,756
Moniteau5,74480.26%1,30818.28%1051.46%4,43661.98%7,157
Monroe3,47777.56%93620.88%701.56%2,54156.68%4,483
Montgomery4,46577.36%1,20820.93%991.71%3,25756.43%5,772
Morgan7,44278.44%1,92420.28%1211.28%5,51858.16%9,487
New Madrid5,44775.13%1,74824.11%550.76%3,69951.02%7,250
Newton22,12077.74%5,81820.45%5161.81%16,30257.29%28,454
Nodaway6,86569.27%2,85328.79%1921.94%4,01240.48%9,910
Oregon3,84781.18%82317.37%691.45%3,02463.81%4,739
Osage6,42585.14%1,03713.74%841.12%5,38871.40%7,546
Ozark4,06483.55%75215.46%480.99%3,31268.09%4,864
Pemiscot4,12071.84%1,56027.20%550.96%2,56044.64%5,735
Perry7,65780.98%1,66417.60%1351.42%5,99363.38%9,456
Pettis13,85472.55%4,78325.05%4602.40%9,07147.50%19,097
Phelps13,48068.77%5,63728.76%4842.47%7,84340.01%19,601
Pike5,86376.08%1,71722.28%1261.64%4,14653.80%7,706
Platte28,91750.49%27,17947.46%1,1742.05%1,7383.03%57,270
Polk11,85078.49%2,88519.11%3632.40%8,96559.38%15,098
Pulaski10,32971.53%3,74025.90%3722.57%6,58945.63%14,441
Putnam1,98484.03%36115.29%160.68%1,62368.74%2,361
Ralls4,39677.64%1,20521.28%611.08%3,19156.36%5,662
Randolph8,01874.54%2,48523.10%2542.36%5,53351.44%10,757
Ray8,34571.48%3,10926.63%2211.89%5,23644.85%11,675
Reynolds2,73382.87%52916.04%361.09%2,20466.83%3,298
Ripley4,83984.64%83314.57%450.79%4,00670.07%5,717
Saline6,45167.67%2,90430.46%1781.87%3,54737.21%9,533
Schuyler1,60680.18%37318.62%241.20%1,23361.56%2,003
Scotland1,56078.55%38819.54%381.91%1,17259.01%1,986
Scott13,76977.58%3,75321.15%2261.27%10,01656.43%17,748
Shannon3,16581.03%70618.07%350.90%2,45962.96%3,906
Shelby2,70080.60%59217.67%581.73%2,10862.93%3,350
St. Charles128,38957.69%89,53040.23%4,6472.08%38,85917.46%222,566
St. Clair3,93279.05%98819.86%541.09%2,94459.19%4,974
St. Francois20,51173.08%7,04425.10%5101.82%13,46747.98%28,065
St. Louis199,49337.19%328,15161.17%8,8021.64%-128,658-23.98%536,446
St. Louis City21,47415.98%110,08981.93%2,8092.09%-88,615-65.95%134,372
Ste. Genevieve6,63069.80%2,71328.56%1551.64%3,91741.24%9,498
Stoddard11,48485.54%1,81913.55%1230.91%9,66571.99%13,426
Stone14,80079.91%3,50618.93%2141.16%11,29460.98%18,520
Sullivan1,97479.89%47819.34%190.77%1,49660.55%2,471
Taney20,50877.86%5,33920.27%4911.87%15,16957.59%26,338
Texas9,47883.76%1,71615.17%1211.07%7,76268.59%11,315
Vernon7,15577.90%1,90320.72%1271.38%5,25257.18%9,185
Warren13,22271.80%4,76925.90%4252.30%8,45345.90%18,416
Washington8,04780.56%1,80418.06%1381.38%6,24362.50%9,989
Wayne4,98784.84%84514.38%460.78%4,14270.46%5,878
Webster14,88079.24%3,57319.03%3261.73%11,30760.21%18,779
Worth87779.22%21519.42%151.36%66259.80%1,107
Wright7,45385.17%1,16813.35%1301.48%6,28571.82%8,751
Totals1,718,73656.71%1,253,01441.34%58,9981.95%465,72215.37%3,030,748
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won five of eight congressional districts, with the remaining three going to Biden, including one that elected a Republican.[47]

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
1st18.14%80.27%Lacy Clay (116th Congress)
Cori Bush (117th Congress)
2nd49.13%49.20%Ann Wagner
3rd66.81%31.36%Blaine Luetkemeyer
4th66.00%31.93%Vicky Hartzler
5th39.49%58.54%Emanuel Cleaver
6th63.59%34.66%Sam Graves
7th70.02%28.12%Billy Long
8th77.37%21.28%Jason Smith

Analysis

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Abellwether state for the bulk of the 20th century, Missouri has since come to vote reliably Republican in presidential elections. This has been attributed to a shift in Republican policy towardsright-wing populism andsocial conservatism; the platform has found fertile ground in the state, which lies in theBible Belt, with Trump carrying 86% ofWhite,born-again/EvangelicalChristians.[48]

Biden won the same four jurisdictions thatBarack Obama andHillary Clinton did in2012 and2016, respectively:Jackson County, home toKansas City;Boone County, home to thecollege town ofColumbia; andSt. Louis County, home to the suburbs ofSt. Louis, which he also won. Biden also improved Democratic margins inPlatte andClay counties, both suburbs ofKansas City; Platte was carried by Trump by only 3%, and Clay by 4%. In addition, the 61% of the vote that Biden won in St. Louis County was the best performance for a Democrat sinceLyndon B. Johnson's1964 landslide.[citation needed]

Perexit polls by theAssociated Press, Trump's strength in Missouri came from voters who trusted him oneconomic policy: a 57% majority believed Trump was better able tohandleinternational trade. With a hybridindustrial-service-agricultural economy, 63% of Missourian voters favored increasingtaxes on goods imported to the U.S. from other countries, and these voters broke for Trump by 67%. As is the case in manySouthern andborder states, there was a stark racial divide in voting for this election: White Missourians supported Trump by 62%, whileblack Missourians supported Biden by 88%. Trump became the first-ever Republican presidential candidate to win Missouri by double digits twice.[48]

In other elections, incumbent RepublicanMike Parson easily defeatedState AuditorNicole Galloway by 16 points—outperforming Trump—in thegovernor's race, further testifying to the state's trend towards the GOP, and becoming the best performance for a Republican on the gubernatorial level sinceJohn Ashcroft's1988 victory.

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^abcdefghKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^"Someone else" with 5%
  5. ^"Another Party Candidate" with 1%
  6. ^"Someone else" with 3%

Partisan clients

  1. ^abPoll sponsored by Galloway's campaign for governor
  2. ^abUniting Missouri is a PAC supporting GovernorMike Parson (R) in the2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018)."US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?".The Independent.Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  2. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  3. ^"State of Missouri - Presidential Primary Election, March 10, 2020"(PDF).Missouri Secretary of State. RetrievedAugust 12, 2020.
  4. ^"Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker".Associated Press. RetrievedNovember 23, 2022.
  5. ^"2020_Presidential_Preference_Primary_All_Results.pdf"(PDF). April 9, 2020.
  6. ^"Joe Biden, Donald Trump win Missouri Presidential Preferential Primary".KMBC. March 10, 2020. RetrievedMarch 10, 2020.
  7. ^"Candidate List — March 2020 Presidential Preference Primary". RetrievedDecember 18, 2019.
  8. ^"2020 POTUS Race ratings"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  9. ^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  10. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President".crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. RetrievedMay 21, 2019.
  11. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  12. ^"Battle for White House".RCP. April 19, 2019.
  13. ^2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College PredictionsArchived April 23, 2020, at theWayback Machine,Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  14. ^David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020)."Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020".CNN. RetrievedJune 16, 2020.
  15. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. RetrievedJuly 7, 2020.
  16. ^"2020 Election Battleground Tracker".CBS News. July 12, 2020. RetrievedJuly 13, 2020.
  17. ^"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map".270 to Win.
  18. ^"ABC News Race Ratings".CBS News. July 24, 2020. RetrievedJuly 24, 2020.
  19. ^Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020)."2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".NPR.org. RetrievedAugust 3, 2020.
  20. ^"Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten".NBC News. August 6, 2020. RetrievedAugust 6, 2020.
  21. ^"2020 Election Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 12, 2020. RetrievedAugust 14, 2020.
  22. ^270 to Win
  23. ^FiveThirtyEight
  24. ^abcdefSurveyMonkey/Axios
  25. ^SwayableArchived November 27, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  26. ^Morning Consult
  27. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  28. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  29. ^YouGov/SLU
  30. ^Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Missouri
  31. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  32. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  33. ^We Ask America
  34. ^Trafalgar Group (R)
  35. ^"YouGov/Saint Louis University". Archived fromthe original on July 13, 2020. RetrievedJuly 13, 2020.
  36. ^Garin-Hart-Yang/Galloway for Governor/Missouri Scout
  37. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  38. ^We Ask America
  39. ^abcdeRemington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  40. ^abAmerican Viewpoint/Uniting Missouri
  41. ^abcRemington Research Group
  42. ^abcdRemington Research Group
  43. ^Zogby Analytics
  44. ^Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
  45. ^"Official List of Candidates"(PDF).Missouri Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on September 1, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2020.
  46. ^General Election, November 03, 2020, Official Results, Missouri Secretary of State, December 8, 2020.
  47. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 29, 2025.
  48. ^ab"Missouri Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted".The New York Times. November 3, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedNovember 9, 2020.

Further reading

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