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| Turnout | 66.9% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2020 United States presidential election in Arkansas took place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.[1]Arkansas voters chose six electors[2] to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote puttingincumbentRepublicanPresidentDonald Trump and hisrunning mate, incumbentVice PresidentMike Pence, againstDemocratic challenger and formerVice PresidentJoe Biden and his running mate,United States SenatorKamala Harris of California. Also on the ballot were the nominees for theLibertarian,Green,Constitution,American Solidarity, Life and Liberty, andSocialism and Liberation parties andIndependent candidates.Write-in candidates are not allowed to participate in presidential elections.[3]
Prior to the election, all 14 news organizations making predictions considered this a state Trump would win, or otherwise a safered state. In2016, Trump won Arkansas by a 26.92% margin,[4] the largest margin for a candidate of either party sinceJimmy Carter's 30.01% margin in1976. In 2020, Trump won 62.40% of the vote to Biden's 34.78%, a 27.62% margin,[5] the seventh consecutive election in which Republicans improved on their margin in Arkansas, the longest in the nation of any state for either party.[6] This made Arkansas one of only six states, along with theDistrict of Columbia, in which Trump improved on his performance in 2016.[a] Despite improving on Hillary Clinton's performance in the Natural State by 1.13% in terms of raw vote percentage, Biden's losing margin makes it the largest loss by a Democrat in Arkansas sinceGeorge McGovern's 38.1-point defeat in1972. The last Democrat even to win over 40% of the vote wasJohn Kerry in2004.[6] AfterBarack Obama, Biden is the second ever Democrat to win the presidency without carrying Arkansas. This was the first time ever that an incumbent Republican carried the state while losing re–election.
Trump won landslide margins across the state, including in many of the state's metropolitan areas and suburbs. Trump once again carriedWoodruff County, formerly a Democratic stronghold, thus marking the first time since its founding that a Democrat was elected president without carrying the county.[7] Biden's strength was mostly isolated toPulaski County, home to the state capital and largest city ofLittle Rock, andJefferson County, home toPine Bluff. He also won six rural, predominantly African-American counties on the eastern border along theMississippi River. All but seven counties in the state swung heavily to the right, the exceptions being Pulaski County and one other county in theLittle Rock metropolitan area;Sebastian County, home toFort Smith; and three counties in the northwest encompassing and surrounding the college town ofFayetteville, where theUniversity of Arkansas is located.[8] Notably, Biden lostWashington County, where Fayetteville is, by only 3.9 percentage points, the closest any Democrat has come to winning it sinceClinton did so in1996. Arkansas voted 32.07% more Republican than the national average in 2020.
The primary elections were held onSuper Tuesday, March 3, 2020.
Incumbent PresidentDonald Trump, formerMassachusetts GovernorBill Weld, and perennial candidateRocky De La Fuente were the declared Republicans candidates.Tom Cotton, the current junior senator from Arkansas, declined to run in 2017.[9][10][11] As incumbent presidents rarely face prominent challenges in primaries, Trump won all 40 delegates and 97.13% of the vote.
The following candidates are on the ballot.[12]
| 2020 Arkansas Republican presidential primary[13] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Delegates | |
| Count | Percentage | ||
 Donald Trump | 238,980 | 97.13% | 40 |
| Bill Weld | 5,216 | 2.12% | 0 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 1,848 | 0.75% | 0 |
| Total | 246,044 | 100% | 40 |
Eighteen candidates were on the Democratic primary ballot, of whom nine had already withdrew, three withdrew during the early voting period, and six were active candidates. Former Vice PresidentJoe Biden won the primary with 40.59% of the vote and 17 delegates; he carried all but one county. SenatorBernie Sanders ofVermont came in second place, with 22.44% of the vote and 9 delegates. FormerNew York CityMayorMichael Bloomberg won 16.72% of the vote and 5 delegates; no other candidates won over 15% of the vote or any delegates.[14] Biden's win was widely predicted in polling and forecasts,[15][16] similar to most other southern states; his best performance was along the eastern border along the Mississippi River and on the southern border, which have high concentrations of African American voters, who Biden consistently performed better among throughout the primary. He also won theLittle Rock,Fort Smith,Jonesboro, andPine Bluff metropolitan areas. Analogous with his performance in the2016 primary, Sanders performed best in the northwest, traditionally the most Republican part of the state, holding Biden to less than 40 percent of the vote in many regions and winningWashington County, home to theUniversity of Arkansas inFayetteville. Biden's strong performance in the state is a vestige of the prominence of moderate, white, Democratic politicians in and from the state throughout the late 20th century and 2000s which has largely faded amid increased political polarization and Republican gains among white, non-college-educated voters.[17] Aided by several other centrist candidates withdrawing from the race just before Super Tuesday[18] and a growing Democratic voter base in the suburbs,[19] Arkansas was a relatively noncompetitive state throughout the primary.
%2c_2020.svg)
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 93,012 | 40.59 | 17 |
| Bernie Sanders | 51,413 | 22.44 | 9 |
| Michael Bloomberg | 38,312 | 16.72 | 5 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 22,971 | 10.03 | |
| Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn)[b] | 7,649 | 3.34 | |
| Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn)[b] | 7,009 | 3.06 | |
| Tom Steyer(withdrawn)[b] | 2,053 | 0.90 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1,593 | 0.70 | |
| Kamala Harris(withdrawn) | 715 | 0.31 | |
| Andrew Yang(withdrawn) | 715 | 0.31 | |
| Michael Bennet(withdrawn) | 574 | 0.25 | |
| Cory Booker(withdrawn) | 572 | 0.25 | |
| Marianne Williamson(withdrawn) | 501 | 0.22 | |
| Steve Bullock(withdrawn) | 485 | 0.21 | |
| John Delaney(withdrawn) | 443 | 0.19 | |
| Joe Sestak(withdrawn) | 408 | 0.18 | |
| Julian Castro(withdrawn) | 304 | 0.13 | |
| Other candidate | 393 | 0.17 | |
| Total | 229,122 | 100% | 31 |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| Politico[24] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| RCP[25] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen[26] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| CNN[27] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| The Economist[28] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| CBS News[29] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| 270towin[30] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| ABC News[31] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| NPR[32] | Likely R | November 3, 2020 |
| NBC News[33] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
| 538[34] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
 | This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension. |
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald J. Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [c] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[35] | October 17–28, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 35.0% | 60.3% | 4.7% | Trump +25.3 |
| FiveThirtyEight[36] | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.2% | 58.9% | 4.9% | Trump +22.8 |
| Average | 35.6% | 59.6% | 4.8% | Trump +24.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[d] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[37] | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,309 (LV) | ± 4% | 61%[e] | 38% | - | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[37] | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,239 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | - | - | – | – |
| University of Arkansas[38] | Oct 9–21, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 65% | 32% | - | - | 3% | – |
| Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics[39] | Oct 11–13, 2020 | 647 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 34% | 2% | 1% | 2%[f] | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[37] | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 771 (LV) | – | 62% | 38% | - | - | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[37] | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 689 (LV) | – | 67% | 32% | - | - | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[37] | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 747 (LV) | – | 66% | 32% | - | - | – | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios[37] | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 354 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | - | - | – | 2% |
| Hendrix College/Talk Business & Politics[40] | Jun 9–10, 2020 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 45% | - | - | 5%[g] | 3% |
According to theFederal Election Commission, in 2019 and 2020,Donald Trump and his interest groups raised $2,732,436.64,[41]Joe Biden and his interest groups raised $2,088,712.78,[42] andJo Jorgensen and her interest groups raised $5,289.19[43] from Arkansas-based contributors.
The candidates on the ballot were listed in the following order:[44]
Political party candidates were eligible via a primary election or party convention and had to have filed anaffidavit of eligibility, political practices pledge, and party certificate with the Arkansas Secretary of State by March 1, 2020, as did independent candidates. Independents also had to file a petition with at least 1,000 signatures of eligible voters from up to 90 days before the petition filing deadline on August 3, 2020.Write-in candidates cannot run in presidential, municipal, or primary elections.[46][47]
Technically the voters ofArkansas cast their ballots for electors, or representatives to theElectoral College, rather than directly for president and vice president. Arkansas is allocated six electors because it has fourcongressional districts and twosenators. All candidates who appear on the ballot must submit a list of six electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the most votes in the state is awarded all six electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as afaithless elector. In the state of Arkansas, there are no laws regarding faithless electors, meaning their vote is counted and not penalized.[48]
The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2020, to cast their votes for president and vice president. All six pledged electors cast their votes for incumbent PresidentDonald Trump and Vice PresidentMike Pence. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead, the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The electoral vote wastabulated and certified by Congress in ajoint session on January 6, 2021, per theElectoral Count Act.
These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[49]
| Donald Trump Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Kamala Harris Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen Libertarian | Kanye West Michelle Tidball Independent | Howie Hawkins Angela Nicole Walker Green | Phil Collins Billy Joe Parker Independent | Brock Pierce Karla Ballard Independent | Don Blankenship William Mohr Constitution | Brian T. Carroll Amar Patel American Solidarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Bethune Sharon Brooks Iverson Jackson J. D. McGehee Rod Soubers Doyle Webb | Connie Castleberry Nicole Clowney Frederick Freeman Megan Godfrey Philip Hood Asad Khan | James Hood Christopher Olson Morgan Reynolds Brian Shank Jake Simpson Joe Swafford | Addison Blakely Audrey Buckner Christopher Blakely Christopher Donegan Trista Nicole Donegan Courtney Johnson | Ryan Giglio Chad Jones Lowel Lybarger Marilyn Rumph Robin Rumph Andrew Waldron | None submitted | Joni Bilhartz Erin Krus Jeremy Plumlee Kelly Shadlow Susan Shadow Christopher Smiley | Jonathan Baker Spencer Graham Mitchell Ingram Margie Mullins Trently Mullins Brian Webb | Angela Clark-Chandler Everett DePangher Ashley Evans Gary Evans Lee Evans Adam Wheeless |
| C. L. Gammon Phil Collins Independent | John Richard Myers Tiara Lusk Life and Liberty | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman Socialism and Liberation | Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson Independent |
|---|---|---|---|
| None submitted | Jacob Faught Brenda Hinesly William Whitfield Hyman Brian Leach Zachary Caleb Mulson Glen Schwarz | Taylor Adams Karl Brown Aaron Gibson Jill Neimeier Destin Reishus Achal Thakore | Gevina Jackson Orlando Jones Phyllis McCullor Elisha Patrick Tiara Peters Therma L. Propps Jr. |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 760,647 | 62.40% | +1.83% | |
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 423,932 | 34.78% | +1.13% | |
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 13,133 | 1.08% | −1.56% | |
| Independent | Kanye West Michelle Tidball | 4,099 | 0.34% | n/a | |
| Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 2,980 | 0.24% | −0.60% | |
| Independent | Phil Collins Billy Joe Parker | 2,812 | 0.23% | n/a | |
| Independent | Brock Pierce Karla Ballard | 2,141 | 0.18% | n/a | |
| Constitution | Don Blankenship William Mohr | 2,108 | 0.17% | −0.24% | |
| American Solidarity | Brian T. Carroll Amar Patel | 1,713 | 0.14% | n/a | |
| Independent | C. L. Gammon Phil Collins[h] | 1,475 | 0.12% | n/a | |
| Life and Liberty | John Richard Myers Tiara Lusk | 1,372 | 0.11% | n/a | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman | 1,336 | 0.11% | n/a | |
| Independent | Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson | 1,321 | 0.11% | n/a | |
| Total votes | 1,219,069 | 100% | +2.83% | ||
| County | Donald J. Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Arkansas | 4,304 | 68.40% | 1,818 | 28.89% | 170 | 2.71% | 2,486 | 39.51% | 6,292 |
| Ashley | 5,548 | 70.00% | 2,125 | 26.81% | 253 | 3.19% | 3,423 | 43.19% | 7,926 |
| Baxter | 15,836 | 75.38% | 4,635 | 22.06% | 536 | 2.56% | 11,201 | 53.32% | 21,007 |
| Benton | 73,965 | 61.68% | 42,249 | 35.23% | 3,698 | 3.09% | 31,716 | 26.45% | 119,912 |
| Boone | 13,652 | 79.77% | 3,064 | 17.90% | 398 | 2.33% | 10,588 | 61.87% | 17,114 |
| Bradley | 2,335 | 63.90% | 1,214 | 33.22% | 105 | 2.88% | 1,121 | 30.68% | 3,654 |
| Calhoun | 1,636 | 74.98% | 479 | 21.95% | 67 | 3.07% | 1,157 | 53.03% | 2,182 |
| Carroll | 7,424 | 62.93% | 4,023 | 34.10% | 350 | 2.97% | 3,401 | 28.83% | 11,797 |
| Chicot | 1,752 | 42.70% | 2,260 | 55.08% | 91 | 2.22% | -508 | -12.38% | 4,103 |
| Clark | 4,616 | 54.99% | 3,438 | 40.95% | 341 | 4.06% | 1,178 | 14.04% | 8,395 |
| Clay | 4,086 | 78.83% | 962 | 18.56% | 135 | 2.61% | 3,124 | 60.27% | 5,183 |
| Cleburne | 10,328 | 81.45% | 1,988 | 15.68% | 364 | 2.87% | 8,340 | 65.77% | 12,680 |
| Cleveland | 2,867 | 79.64% | 651 | 18.08% | 82 | 2.28% | 2,216 | 61.56% | 3,600 |
| Columbia | 5,500 | 63.83% | 2,814 | 32.66% | 302 | 3.51% | 2,686 | 31.17% | 8,616 |
| Conway | 5,694 | 65.56% | 2,615 | 30.11% | 376 | 4.33% | 3,079 | 35.45% | 8,685 |
| Craighead | 25,558 | 66.37% | 11,921 | 30.95% | 1,032 | 2.68% | 13,637 | 35.42% | 38,511 |
| Crawford | 18,607 | 77.24% | 4,959 | 20.58% | 525 | 2.18% | 13,648 | 56.66% | 24,091 |
| Crittenden | 7,333 | 44.80% | 8,514 | 52.02% | 520 | 3.18% | -1,181 | -7.22% | 16,367 |
| Cross | 4,946 | 71.25% | 1,772 | 25.53% | 224 | 3.22% | 3,174 | 45.72% | 6,942 |
| Dallas | 1,573 | 59.38% | 963 | 36.35% | 113 | 4.27% | 610 | 23.03% | 2,649 |
| Desha | 1,921 | 46.13% | 2,016 | 48.41% | 227 | 5.46% | -95 | -2.28% | 4,164 |
| Drew | 4,349 | 62.96% | 2,426 | 35.12% | 133 | 1.92% | 1,923 | 27.84% | 6,908 |
| Faulkner | 34,421 | 63.24% | 18,347 | 33.71% | 1,660 | 3.05% | 16,074 | 29.53% | 54,428 |
| Franklin | 5,677 | 79.63% | 1,300 | 18.24% | 152 | 2.13% | 4,377 | 61.39% | 7,129 |
| Fulton | 3,961 | 77.38% | 1,035 | 20.22% | 123 | 2.40% | 2,926 | 57.16% | 5,119 |
| Garland | 29,069 | 65.77% | 14,045 | 31.78% | 1,085 | 2.45% | 15,024 | 33.99% | 44,199 |
| Grant | 6,794 | 82.85% | 1,268 | 15.46% | 138 | 1.69% | 5,526 | 67.39% | 8,200 |
| Greene | 12,670 | 78.70% | 3,058 | 18.99% | 372 | 2.31% | 9,612 | 59.71% | 16,100 |
| Hempstead | 4,470 | 65.27% | 2,138 | 31.22% | 240 | 3.51% | 2,332 | 34.05% | 6,848 |
| Hot Spring | 9,202 | 73.28% | 3,082 | 24.54% | 273 | 2.18% | 6,120 | 48.74% | 12,557 |
| Howard | 3,367 | 69.65% | 1,340 | 27.72% | 127 | 2.63% | 2,027 | 41.93% | 4,834 |
| Independence | 11,250 | 77.52% | 2,806 | 19.34% | 456 | 3.14% | 8,444 | 58.18% | 14,512 |
| Izard | 4,631 | 79.71% | 1,021 | 17.57% | 158 | 2.72% | 3,610 | 62.14% | 5,810 |
| Jackson | 3,593 | 70.58% | 1,365 | 26.81% | 133 | 2.61% | 2,228 | 43.77% | 5,091 |
| Jefferson | 9,521 | 37.84% | 14,981 | 59.55% | 656 | 2.61% | -5,460 | -21.71% | 25,158 |
| Johnson | 6,938 | 73.05% | 2,283 | 24.04% | 277 | 2.91% | 4,655 | 49.01% | 9,498 |
| Lafayette | 1,757 | 65.58% | 839 | 31.32% | 83 | 3.10% | 918 | 34.26% | 2,679 |
| Lawrence | 4,569 | 78.01% | 1,080 | 18.44% | 208 | 3.55% | 3,489 | 59.57% | 5,857 |
| Lee | 1,286 | 45.15% | 1,423 | 49.96% | 139 | 4.89% | -137 | -4.81% | 2,848 |
| Lincoln | 2,729 | 70.43% | 1,032 | 26.63% | 114 | 2.94% | 1,697 | 43.80% | 3,875 |
| Little River | 3,715 | 71.76% | 1,226 | 23.68% | 236 | 4.56% | 2,489 | 48.08% | 5,177 |
| Logan | 6,441 | 78.31% | 1,544 | 18.77% | 240 | 2.92% | 4,897 | 59.54% | 8,225 |
| Lonoke | 22,884 | 74.63% | 6,686 | 21.81% | 1,092 | 3.56% | 16,198 | 52.82% | 30,662 |
| Madison | 5,658 | 76.97% | 1,563 | 21.26% | 130 | 1.77% | 4,095 | 55.71% | 7,351 |
| Marion | 5,783 | 77.08% | 1,531 | 20.41% | 189 | 2.51% | 4,252 | 56.67% | 7,503 |
| Miller | 11,920 | 72.12% | 4,245 | 25.68% | 364 | 2.20% | 7,675 | 46.44% | 16,529 |
| Mississippi | 7,296 | 59.12% | 4,558 | 36.93% | 488 | 3.95% | 2,738 | 22.19% | 12,342 |
| Monroe | 1,545 | 54.87% | 1,147 | 40.73% | 124 | 4.40% | 398 | 14.14% | 2,816 |
| Montgomery | 3,046 | 78.65% | 731 | 18.87% | 96 | 2.48% | 2,315 | 59.78% | 3,873 |
| Nevada | 2,133 | 63.52% | 1,076 | 32.04% | 149 | 4.44% | 1,057 | 31.48% | 3,358 |
| Newton | 3,192 | 79.84% | 709 | 17.73% | 97 | 2.43% | 2,483 | 62.11% | 3,998 |
| Ouachita | 5,294 | 54.98% | 3,995 | 41.49% | 340 | 3.53% | 1,299 | 13.49% | 9,629 |
| Perry | 3,479 | 75.19% | 1,012 | 21.87% | 136 | 2.94% | 2,467 | 43.32% | 4,627 |
| Phillips | 2,417 | 38.72% | 3,623 | 58.04% | 202 | 3.24% | -1,206 | -19.32% | 6,242 |
| Pike | 3,519 | 82.88% | 644 | 15.17% | 83 | 1.95% | 2,875 | 67.71% | 4,246 |
| Poinsett | 5,918 | 78.69% | 1,424 | 18.93% | 179 | 2.38% | 4,494 | 59.76% | 7,521 |
| Polk | 7,035 | 82.86% | 1,246 | 14.68% | 209 | 2.46% | 5,789 | 68.18% | 8,490 |
| Pope | 18,081 | 74.01% | 5,772 | 23.62% | 579 | 2.37% | 12,309 | 50.39% | 24,432 |
| Prairie | 2,786 | 79.71% | 654 | 18.71% | 55 | 1.58% | 2,132 | 61.00% | 3,495 |
| Pulaski | 63,687 | 37.47% | 101,947 | 59.98% | 4,322 | 2.55% | -38,260 | -22.51% | 169,956 |
| Randolph | 5,355 | 78.61% | 1,215 | 17.84% | 242 | 3.55% | 4,140 | 60.77% | 6,812 |
| St. Francis | 3,242 | 45.61% | 3,604 | 50.70% | 262 | 3.69% | -362 | -5.09% | 7,108 |
| Saline | 39,556 | 69.45% | 16,060 | 28.20% | 1,343 | 2.35% | 23,496 | 41.25% | 56,959 |
| Scott | 2,962 | 83.41% | 483 | 13.60% | 106 | 2.99% | 2,479 | 69.81% | 3,551 |
| Searcy | 3,365 | 83.73% | 588 | 14.63% | 66 | 1.64% | 2,777 | 69.10% | 4,019 |
| Sebastian | 31,198 | 66.18% | 14,487 | 30.73% | 1,455 | 3.09% | 16,711 | 35.45% | 47,140 |
| Sevier | 3,884 | 74.66% | 1,116 | 21.45% | 202 | 3.89% | 2,768 | 53.21% | 5,202 |
| Sharp | 5,938 | 78.48% | 1,398 | 18.48% | 230 | 3.04% | 4,540 | 60.00% | 7,566 |
| Stone | 4,616 | 77.74% | 1,180 | 19.87% | 142 | 2.39% | 3,436 | 57.87% | 5,938 |
| Union | 10,478 | 63.09% | 5,584 | 33.62% | 545 | 3.29% | 4,894 | 29.47% | 16,607 |
| Van Buren | 6,034 | 77.29% | 1,593 | 20.40% | 180 | 2.31% | 4,441 | 56.89% | 7,807 |
| Washington | 47,504 | 50.39% | 43,824 | 46.49% | 2,938 | 3.12% | 3,680 | 3.90% | 94,266 |
| White | 24,182 | 78.30% | 5,978 | 19.36% | 725 | 2.34% | 18,204 | 58.94% | 30,885 |
| Woodruff | 1,543 | 62.32% | 856 | 34.57% | 77 | 3.11% | 687 | 27.75% | 2,476 |
| Yell | 5,226 | 77.53% | 1,284 | 19.05% | 231 | 3.42% | 3,942 | 58.48% | 6,741 |
| Totals | 760,647 | 62.40% | 423,932 | 34.78% | 34,490 | 2.82% | 336,715 | 27.62% | 1,219,069 |
Trump won all four congressional districts.[50]
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 69% | 28% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 53% | 44% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 62% | 35% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 68% | 30% | Bruce Westerman |
Arkansas is a majority-White, heavily-ruralSouthern state with a strong distaste for social liberalism, contained entirely within theBible Belt. As a result, no Democrat has won Arkansas since native son and former governorBill Clinton did so in1996; since then, the Republican margin of victory has increased in every consecutive presidential election. The state thoroughly ceased to be competitive in2008, when DemocratBarack Obama lost Arkansas by nearly 20 points despite decisively winning the national election. This marked a historic shift in the state; Obama became the first Democrat ever elected president without carrying Arkansas. Analysts atThe New York Times speculated that the shift in 2020 occurred becauseHillary Clinton, as the formerFirst Lady of Arkansas, had ahome state advantage in2016.[51]
Continuing on this trend, Trump carried Arkansas again by a margin of 27.62%, a 0.7% increase from 26.92% four years earlier in 2016. Even as most of the nation swung slightly leftward, many counties in Arkansas still swung dramatically rightward. Trump improved his margin in the historically DemocraticDelta county ofWoodruff from 8.9% four years prior to 27.7% in 2020. Biden also became the first Democrat to ever win the White House without carrying this county since its founding in 1862.
Perexit polls by theAssociated Press, Trump's strength in Arkansas came from 86% withWhite,born again/evangelicalChristians. Fifty-two percent of voters opposed changing theArkansas state flag to remove thestar that symbolizes theConfederacy, and these voters backed Trump by 88%–10%.[52]
In other elections, incumbent RepublicanTom Cotton defeated Libertarian Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. in thesenatorial election by 33 points, outperforming Trump. Harrington's performance is the best Libertarian senatorial performance in history in terms of voting percentage.[53] No Democrat filed in the senatorial race.
Arkansas
State and district results of the2020 United States presidential election | ||
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