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2020 United States presidential election

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For related races, see2020 United States elections.

2020 United States presidential election

← 2016November 3, 2020[a]2024 →

538 members of theElectoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
Opinion polls
Turnout66.6% (Increase 6.5pp)[b]
 
NomineeJoe BidenDonald Trump
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateDelawareFlorida[c]
Running mateKamala HarrisMike Pence
Electoral vote306232
States carried25 +DC +NE-0225 +ME-02
Popular vote81,283,501[1]74,223,975[1]
Percentage51.3%[1]46.8%[1]


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

2020 U.S. presidential election
Attempts to overturn
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Third parties
Related races
← 201620202024 →

Presidential elections were held in theUnited States on November 3, 2020.[a] TheDemocratic ticket of former vice presidentJoe Biden and California junior senatorKamala Harris defeated the incumbentRepublican presidentDonald Trump and vice presidentMike Pence.[9] The election saw the highestvoter turnout by percentagesince 1900. Biden received more than 81 million votes,[10] themost votes ever cast for a presidential candidate in U.S. history.[11]

In a competitive primary that featured the most candidates for any political party in themodern era of American politics, Biden secured theDemocratic presidential nomination. Biden's running mate, Harris, became the first African American, first Asian American, and third female[d] vice presidential nominee on a major party ticket. Trump easily secured re-nomination with only minor opposition in theRepublican primaries.Jo Jorgensen secured theLibertarian presidential nomination withSpike Cohen as her running mate, andHowie Hawkins secured theGreen presidential nomination withAngela Nicole Walker as his running mate.

The central issues of the election included the public health andeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic;civil unrest in reaction to the policemurder of George Floyd, theSupreme Court following thedeath of Ruth Bader Ginsburg andconfirmation of Amy Coney Barrett, and the future of theAffordable Care Act.[12] Due to the ongoing pandemic, a record number of ballots werecast early andby mail.[13] Thirty-eight states had over half of all votes cast using these methods, and only three states had fewer than 25%.[14] As a result of a large number of mail-in ballots, someswing states saw delays in vote counting and reporting; this led to major news outlets delaying their projection of Biden and Harris as thepresident-elect andvice president-elect until the morning of November 7, 2020.[15]

Biden achieved victory in theElectoral College, winning 306 electoral votes, while Trump received 232. Trump was the first president to lose re-election sinceGeorge H. W. Bush in1992. Key to Biden's victory were his wins in the Democratic-leaningRust Belt states ofMichigan,Pennsylvania, andWisconsin, which Trump narrowly carried in 2016 and whose combined 46 electoral votes were enough to swing the election to either candidate.

Trump refused to accept the results; he and his allies made disproven claims of fraud, pressured elections officials, filed several unsuccessful lawsuits,[16][17][18] and directlyattempted to overturn the results at the county, state, and federal level. This culminated in theattack on the United States Capitol, an attemptedself-coup, on January 6, 2021, for whichTrump was impeached a second time. The day after the attack, Trump stated that a "new administration" would be succeeding his, without mentioning president-elect Biden by name, in a video posted onTwitter.[19][20][21]

Background

Further information:United States presidential election § Procedure
Theincumbent in 2020,Donald Trump. His first term expired at noon on January 20, 2021.

TheMaine Legislature passed a bill in August 2019 adoptingranked-choice voting (RCV) both for presidential primaries and for the general election.[22][23] GovernorJanet Mills allowed the bill to become law without her signature, which delayed its taking effect until after the2020 Democratic primary in March and made Maine the first state to use RCV for a presidential general election. TheMaine Republican Party filed signatures for aveto referendum to preclude the use of RCV for the 2020 election, butSecretary of StateMatthew Dunlap found there were insufficient valid signatures to qualify for the ballot. A challenge inMaine Superior Court was successful for the Maine Republican Party, but theMaine Supreme Judicial Court[24][25] stayed the ruling pending appeal on September 8, 2020.[26] Nevertheless, ballots began being printed later that day without the veto referendum and including RCV for the presidential election,[27][28] and the Court ruled in favor of the secretary of state on September 22, allowing RCV to be used.[29] An emergency appeal to theSupreme Court was denied on October 6.[30] The law continues the use of thecongressional district method for the allocation of Maine's electors (Nebraska is the only other state that apportions its electoral votes this way).[31] While multiple rounds of vote counting were not needed due to a single candidate receiving a majority of first-choice votes statewide and in each district, use of RCV complicates interpretation of the nationalpopular vote because voters are more likely to vote for third-party or independent candidates.[32]

On December 14, 2020, pledged electors for each candidate, known collectively as theUnited States Electoral College, gathered in their states' capitols to cast their official votes. Pursuant to the processes laid out by theElectoral Count Act of 1887,certificates of ascertainment listing the names of the electors and separate certificates recording their votes are distributed to various officials across the branches of government.[33][34][35] The newly elected Congress, with the vice president in his role as Senate president presiding, met in ajoint session to formally open the certificates and count the votes, which began on January 6, 2021, was interrupted by theJanuary 6 United States Capitol attack, and finished the following day.[36]

Nominations

Further information:2020 United States presidential primary elections
This article is part of
a series about
Joe Biden










Joe Biden's signature
This article is part of
a series about
Kamala Harris


27th District Attorney of San Francisco

32nd Attorney General of California





Kamala Harris's signature

Democratic Party

Main articles:2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries,2020 Democratic Party vice presidential candidate selection,2020 Democratic National Convention, andJoe Biden 2020 presidential campaign

The Democratic Party chose its nominee in the2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries.Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party on April 8, 2020, after senatorBernie Sanders ofVermont withdrew from the race.[37] On June 5, 2020, Biden secured enough delegates to ensure his nomination at the national convention.[38] Biden pickedKamala Harris as his vice-presidential nominee, and the ticket was formally nominated at the convention on August 18.[39]

Democratic Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
2020 Democratic Party ticket
Joe BidenKamala Harris
for Presidentfor Vice President
47th
Vice President of the United States
(2009–2017)
U.S. Senator
fromCalifornia
(2017–2021)
Campaign

Republican Party

Main articles:2020 Republican Party presidential primaries,2020 Republican National Convention, andDonald Trump 2020 presidential campaign
This article is part of
a series about
Donald Trump


45th and 47th
President of the United States

Tenure

Timeline

Executive actions

Trips

Shutdowns

Speeches

Opinion polls

Legal affairs

Protests

2020 presidential election overturning attempts







Donald Trump's signature
Seal of the President of the United States
This article is part of
a series about
Mike Pence

Vice President of the United States


U.S. Representative
for Indiana's 2nd and 6th districts


Vice presidential campaigns

Incumbent presidentDonald Trump and incumbent vice president Mike Pence were able to easily secure the nomination against former governor ofMassachusettsBill Weld after Trump received enough delegates in the2020 Republican presidential primaries. They were formally nominated at the Republican National Convention on August 24, 2020.[40][41] Trump won 2,549 delegates (out of 2,550), one of the most inpresidential primary history.[42]

Republican Party (United States)
Republican Party (United States)
2020 Republican Party ticket
Donald TrumpMike Pence
for Presidentfor Vice President
45th
President of the United States
(2017–2021)
48th
Vice President of the United States
(2017–2021)
Campaign

Libertarian Party

Main articles:2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries,2020 Libertarian National Convention, andJo Jorgensen 2020 presidential campaign

Jo Jorgensen, who was the running mate of authorHarry Browne in1996, received the Libertarian nomination at the national convention on May 23, 2020.[43] She achieved ballot access in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.[44]

2020 Libertarian Party ticket
Jo JorgensenSpike Cohen
for Presidentfor Vice President
Senior Lecturer atClemson UniversityPodcaster and businessman

Green Party

Main articles:2020 Green Party presidential primaries,2020 Green National Convention, andHowie Hawkins 2020 presidential campaign

Howie Hawkins became the presumptive nominee of the Green Party on June 21, 2020, and was officially nominated by the party on July 11, 2020.[45][46] Hawkins secured ballot access in 29 states and the District of Columbia, representing 381 electoral votes, and write-in access in 16 more states, representing 130 electoral votes.[47][48][e]

2020 Green Party ticket
Howie HawkinsAngela Walker
for Presidentfor Vice President
Co-founder of theGreen PartyATU Local 998 Legislative Director
(2011–2013)

General election campaigns

Ballot access

Presidential
candidate[f]
Vice presidential
candidate[g]
Party orlabel[h]Ballot access(includingwrite-in)
States/DCElectorsVoters[4]
Joe BidenKamala HarrisDemocratic51538100%
Donald TrumpMike PenceRepublican51538100%
Jo JorgensenSpike CohenLibertarian51538100%
Howie HawkinsAngela WalkerGreen30(46)381(511)73.2%(95.8%)
Gloria La RivaSunil FreemanSocialism and Liberation15(33)195(401)37.0%(76.1%)
Rocky De La FuenteDarcy RichardsonReform15(25)183(289)34.7%(54.1%)
Don BlankenshipWilliam MohrConstitution18(30)166(305)31.2%(56.8%)
Brock PierceKarla BallardIndependent16(31)115(285)19.1%(50.1%)
Brian CarrollAmar PatelAmerican Solidarity8(39)66(463)11.4%(87.7%)
Jade SimmonsClaudeliah J. RozeBecoming One Nation2(38)15(372)2.7%(68.9%)

Party conventions

Map of the United States showing Milwaukee, Charlotte, Austin, and Detroit
Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Charlotte
Charlotte
Virtual
Virtual
Virtual
Virtual
  Democratic Party
  Republican Party
  Libertarian Party (virtual)
  Green Party (virtual)

The2020 Democratic National Convention was originally scheduled for July 13–16 inMilwaukee,Wisconsin,[50][51][52] but was delayed to August 17–20 due to the effects of theCOVID-19 pandemic.[53] On June 24, 2020, it was announced that the convention would be held in a mixed online in-person format, with most delegates attending remotely but a few still attending the physical convention site.[54] On August 5, the in-person portion of the convention was scaled down even further; major speeches, including Biden's, were switched to a virtual format.[55]

The2020 Republican National Convention took place from August 24–27 inCharlotte, North Carolina, and various remote locations. Originally, a three-day convention was planned to be held in North Carolina, but due to North Carolina's insistence that the convention follow COVID-19 social distancing rules, the speeches and celebrations were moved toJacksonville, Florida (official convention business was still contractually obligated to be conducted in Charlotte).[56][57] Due to the worsening situation with regards to COVID-19 in Florida, the plans there were cancelled, and the convention was moved back to Charlotte in a scaled-down capacity.[58]

The2020 Libertarian National Convention was originally scheduled to be held inAustin, Texas, overMemorial Day weekend from May 22 to 25,[59][60] but all reservations at theJW Marriott Downtown Austin for the convention were cancelled on April 26 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[61] The Libertarian National Committee eventually decided the party would hold two conventions, one online from May 22–24 to select the presidential and vice-presidential nominees and one at a physical convention inOrlando, Florida, from July 8–12 for other business.[62]

The2020 Green National Convention was originally to be held inDetroit,Michigan, from July 9 to 12.[52] Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the convention was instead held online, without a change in date.[63]

Issues unique to the election

Impeachment

Further information:First impeachment of Donald Trump

The House of Representativesvoted to impeach Trump on two counts on December 18, 2019.[64] The trial in the Senate began on January 21, 2020,[65] and ended on February 5, resulting inacquittal by theUnited States Senate.[66]

This is thesecond time a president has been impeached during his first term while running for a second term.[67][i] Trump continued to hold campaign rallies during the impeachment.[69][70] This is also the first time since the modern presidential primaries were established in 1911 that a president has been subjected to impeachment while the primary season was underway.[71] The impeachment process overlapped with the primary campaigns, forcing senators running for the Democratic nomination to remain in Washington for the trial in the days before and after the Iowa caucuses.[72][73]

Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic

States and territories with at least one local, state, or federal primary election date or method of voting altered as of August 5, 2020.
Further information:COVID-19 pandemic in the United States,Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on politics, andWhite House COVID-19 outbreak

Several events related to the 2020 presidential election were altered or postponed due to the ongoingCOVID-19 pandemic in the United States and its effects, such as stay-at-home orders andsocial distancing guidelines by local governments. On March 10, following primary elections in six states, Democratic candidates Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders cancelled planned campaign night events and further in-person campaigning and campaign rallies.[74][75] On March 12, Trump also stated his intent to postpone further campaign rallies.[76] The 11th Democratic debate was held on March 15 without an audience at theCNN studios inWashington, D.C.[77] Several states also postponed their primaries to a later date, including Georgia,[78] Kentucky,[79] Louisiana,[80] Ohio,[81] and Maryland.[82] As of March 24, 2020, all major-party presidential candidates had halted in-person campaigning and campaign rallies over COVID-19 concerns. Political analysts speculated at the time that the moratorium on traditional campaigning, coupled with the effects of the pandemic on the nation, could have unpredictable effects on the voting populace and possibly, how the election will be conducted.[83][84][85]

Some presidential primary elections were severely disrupted by COVID-19-related issues, including long lines at polling places, greatly increased requests for absentee ballots, and technology issues.[86] Due to a shortage of election workers able or willing to work during the pandemic, the number of polling places was often greatly reduced. Most states expanded or encouraged voting by mail as an alternative, but many voters complained that they never received the absentee ballots they had requested.[87]

The March 2020Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act included money for states to increase mail-in voting. By May, Trump and his campaign strongly opposed mail-in voting, claiming that it would cause widespread voter fraud, a belief that has been discredited by a number of media organizations.[88][89] Government response to the impact of the pandemic from the Trump administration, coupled with the differing positions taken by congressional Democrats and Republicans regardingeconomic stimulus, became a major campaign issue for both parties.[90][91]

On April 6, theSupreme Court and Republicans in the State Legislature of Wisconsin rebuffed Wisconsin governorTony Evers's request to movethe state's spring elections to June. As a result, the elections, which included a presidential primary, went ahead on April 7 as planned.[92] At least seven new cases of COVID-19 were traced to this election. Voting-rights advocates expressed fear of similar chaos on a nationwide scale in November, recommending states move to expand vote-by-mail options.[93]

On June 20, 2020, Trump's campaign heldan in-person rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma, after the Oklahoma Supreme Court ruled that the event could go ahead despite continuing concerns over COVID-19.[94] Attendance at the rally was far lower than expected, being described as a "flop", and it led to a significant worsening of relations between Trump and his campaign manager,Brad Parscale.[95] 7.7 million people watched the event on Fox News, a Saturday audience record for that channel.[96] Three weeks after the rally, the Oklahoma State Department of Health recorded record numbers of cases of COVID-19,[97] and former Republican presidential candidateHerman Cain died of the virus, although it was not confirmed that he caught the disease due to his attendance at the rally.[98]

On October 2, 2020, Trump and First LadyMelania Trump tested positive forSARS-CoV-2 following a positive test from his senior advisor,Hope Hicks, as part of the largerCOVID-19 outbreak among White House personnel. Both the president and first lady immediately entered quarantine, which prevented Trump from further campaigning, notably at campaign rallies.[99][100][101] Later that day, the President was admitted toWalter Reed National Military Medical Center with a low grade fever, where he was reported to have received an experimental antibody treatment.[102][103] Trump's diagnosis came only two days after he had shared the stage with Biden at the first presidential debate and raised the possibility that Biden had caught the virus from Trump; Biden tested negative.[104][105] Trump was discharged from the hospital on October 5.[106]

Trump being diagnosed with COVID-19 was widely seen as having a negative effect on his campaign and shifted the attention of the public back onto COVID-19, an issue which is generally seen as a liability for Trump, due to his response to the COVID-19 pandemic suffering from low approval ratings.[107][108] Being in quarantine also meant Trump was unable to attend rallies, which were a major part of his campaign. As a result of Trump contracting COVID-19, Biden continued campaigning but temporarily ceased running attack ads against him.[109][110] On October 12, one week after his discharge from the hospital, Trump resumed in-person rallies.[106] Trump continued to travel to battleground states and hold mass rallies, sometimes two or three in a day. His rallies were criticized for their lack of social distancing or mask wearing, and some polls suggested that voters saw him less favorably for potentially endangering attendees.[111][112]

Foreign interference

Further information:Russian interference in the 2020 United States elections andForeign electoral intervention

U.S. officials accusedRussia,China, andIran of trying to influence the 2020 United States elections.[113][114] On October 4, 2019, Microsoft announced that "Phosphorus", a group of hackers linked to theIranian government, had attempted to compromise e-mail accounts belonging to journalists, U.S. government officials and the campaign of a U.S. presidential candidate.[115][116] The American Government ownedVoice of America reported in April 2020 that "Internet security researchers say there have already been signs that China-allied hackers have engaged in so-called 'spear-phishing' attacks on American political targets ahead of the 2020 vote." Chinese spokesmanGeng Shuang denied the allegations and said he would "hope the people of the U.S. not drag China into its electoral politics".[117]

On February 13, 2020, American intelligence officials advised members of theHouse Intelligence Committee that Russia was interfering in the 2020 election in an effort to get Trump re-elected.[118][119] The briefing was delivered byShelby Pierson, the intelligence community's top election security official and an aide to actingDirector of National IntelligenceJoseph Maguire. On February 21,The Washington Post reported that, according to unnamed U.S. officials, Russia was interfering in the Democratic primary in an effort to support the nomination of SenatorBernie Sanders. Sanders issued a statement after the news report, saying in part, "I don't care, frankly, who Putin wants to be president. My message to Putin is clear: stay out of American elections, and as president, I will make sure that you do."[120] Sanders acknowledged that his campaign was briefed about Russia's alleged efforts about a month prior.[121] In a February 2020 briefing to the House Intelligence Committee, U.S. intelligence officials warned Congress that Russia was interfering in the 2020 campaign to support Trump's reelection campaign; Trump was angered that Congress had been informed of the threat, and the day after the briefing castigated the acting director of national intelligence,Joseph Maguire, for allowing the briefing to go forward.[122][123] China and some government-linked Chinese individuals have been accused of interfering in the election to support the candidacy of both Biden and Trump,[124] though whether it is actually doing so is disputed among the intelligence community.[123][125]

On October 21, threatening emails were sent to Democrats in at least four states. The emails warned, "You will vote for Trump on Election Day or we will come after you."[126]Director of National IntelligenceJohn Ratcliffe announced that evening that the emails, using a spoofed return address, had been sent by Iran. He added that both Iran and Russia are known to have obtained American voter registration data, possibly from publicly available information, and "This data can be used by foreign actors to attempt to communicate false information to registered voters that they hope will cause confusion, sow chaos and undermine your confidence in American democracy." A spokesman for Iran denied the allegation.[127] In his announcement, Ratcliffe said Iran's intent had been "to intimidate voters, incite social unrest, and damage President Trump", raising questions as to how ordering Democrats to vote for Trump would be damaging to Trump. It was later reported that the reference to Trump had not been in Ratcliffe's prepared remarks as signed off by the other officials on the stage; he had added it on his own.[128] On November 18, 2021, the Justice Department charged two Iranian hackers with attempting to intimidate American voters ahead of the 2020 U.S. election by sending threatening emails and spreading false information.[129]

Throughout the election period, severalColombian lawmakers and the Colombian ambassador to the United States issued statements supporting the Donald Trump campaign, which has been viewed as potentially harmful toColombia–United States relations.[130][131] On October 26, the U.S. Ambassador to Colombia,Philip Goldberg, requested that Colombian politicians abstain from getting involved in the elections.[132]

The Department of Justice is investigating whether the Trump Victory Committee accepted a $100,000 donation fromMalaysian businessman and international fugitiveJho Low, who is accused of being the mastermind behind the multibillion-dollar1Malaysia Development Berhad scandal involving a Malaysian sovereign wealth fund,1MDB.[133][134]

Government officials and American corporate security officers braced for a repeat of2016's election infrastructure hacking andsimilar twenty-first century attacks, and in fact conducted what were characterized as preemptive counter-strikes onbotnet infrastructure which might be used in large-scale coordination of hacking,[135] andsome incidents earlier in the year appeared to foreshadow such possibilities. Nonetheless, after hisdismissal, in a December 2020 interview,Chris Krebs, the Trump administration's director of theCybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), described monitoring Election Day from CISA's joint command center along with representatives from the military'sUnited States Cyber Command, theNational Security Agency (NSA), theFederal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), theUnited States Secret Service (USSS), theElection Assistance Commission (EAC), representatives of vendors ofvoting machine equipment, and representatives ofstate andlocal governments, as well as his agency's analysis preceding and after that day, saying, "It was quiet. There was no indication or evidence that there was any sort of hacking or compromise of election systems on, before, or after November third."[136] Responding to spurious claims of foreign outsourcing ofvote counting as a rationale behind litigation attempting to stop official vote-counting in some areas, Krebs also affirmed that, "All votes in the United States of America are counted in the United States of America."[136]

Acts of foreign interference included Russian state-directed application ofcomputational propaganda approaches, more conventionalstate-sponsored Internet propaganda,smaller-scale disinformation efforts, "information laundering" and "trading up the chain" propaganda tactics employing some government officials,Trump affiliates, and US media outlets.[137]

Trump's potential rejection of election results

Main article:Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election § Uncertainty over Trump accepting an electoral loss in 2020
Further information:Blue shift (politics) andPeaceful transition of power

During the campaign, Trump indicated inTwitter posts, interviews, and speeches that he might refuse to recognize the outcome of the election if he were defeated; Trump falsely suggested that the election would berigged against him.[138][139][140] In July 2020, Trump declined to answer whether he would accept the results, just as he did in the2016 presidential election, telling Fox News anchorChris Wallace that "I have to see. No, I'm not going to just say yes. I'm not going to say no."[141][142][143][144] Trump repeatedly claimed that "the only way" he could lose would be if the election was "rigged" and repeatedly refused to commit to apeaceful transition of power after the election.[145][146] Trump also attackedmail-in voting throughout the campaign, falsely claiming that the practice contains high rates of fraud;[147][148][149] at one point, Trump said, "We'll see what happens ... Get rid of the ballots and you'll have a very peaceful—there won't be a transfer, frankly. There will be a continuation."[150] Trump's statements have been described as a threat "to upend the constitutional order".[151] In September 2020, FBI DirectorChristopher A. Wray, who was appointed by Trump, testified under oath that the FBI has "not seen, historically, any kind of coordinated national voter fraud effort in a major election, whether it's by mail or otherwise".[152]

A number of congressional Republicans insisted they were committed to an orderly and peaceful transition of power, but declined to criticize Trump for his comments.[153] On September 24, the Senate unanimously passed a resolution affirming the Senate's commitment to a peaceful transfer of power.[154] Trump also stated he expected theSupreme Court to decide the election and that he wanted a conservative majority in case of an election dispute, reiterating his commitment to quickly install aninth justice following the death ofRuth Bader Ginsburg.[155]

Election delay suggestion

In April 2020, Biden predicted that Trump would try to delay the election, saying he "is gonna try to kick back the election somehow, come up with some rationale why it can't be held".[156][157] In May,Jared Kushner did not rule out delaying the election, saying "I'm not sure I can commit one way or the other".[158] On July 30, Trump tweeted that "With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history" and proposed that the election should be delayed. Asked whether Trump had the relevant authority,Secretary of StateMike Pompeo said "theUnited States Department of Justice will make that determination."[159] However, only Congress has the power to schedule elections,[160][161] and the Constitution sets the end of the presidential and vice-presidential terms at January 20, a hard deadline which can only be altered by constitutional amendment.[162][163] Congress refused to consider Trump's proposal,[164][165] and the election went ahead as scheduled.

Postal voting

See also:Expansion of postal voting in the 2020 United States elections and2020 United States Postal Service crisis
Chart of July 2020 opinion survey on likelihood of voting by mail in November election, compared to 2016[166]

Postal voting in the United States has become increasingly common, with 25% of voters mailing their ballots in 2016 and 2018. By June 2020, theCOVID-19 pandemic was predicted to cause a large increase in mail voting because of the possible danger of congregating at polling places.[167] An August 2020 state-by-state analysis concluded that 76% of Americans were eligible to vote by mail in 2020, a record number. The analysis predicted that 80 million ballots could be cast by mail in 2020—more than double the number in 2016.[168]

The Postal Service sent a letter to multiple states in July 2020, warning that the service would not be able to meet the state's deadlines for requesting and casting last-minute absentee ballots.[169] In addition to the anticipated high volume of mailed ballots, the prediction was due in part to numerous measures taken byLouis DeJoy, the newly installedUnited States Postmaster General, including banning overtime and extra trips to deliver mail,[170] which caused delays in delivering mail,[171] and dismantling and removing hundreds of high-speed mail sorting machines from postal centers.[172] On August 18, after the House of Representatives had been recalled from its August break to vote on a bill reversing the changes, DeJoy announced that he would roll back all the changes until after the November election. He said he would reinstate overtime hours, roll back service reductions, and halt the removal of mail-sorting machines and collection boxes.[173]

The House of Representatives voted an emergency grant of $25 billion to the post office to facilitate the predicted flood of mail ballots.[174] Although Trump has repeatedly denounced mail voting, he has mailed in ballots due to being in a different state than the one where he votes at the time of the election.[175] In August 2020, Trump conceded that the post office would need additional funds to handle the additional mail-in voting, but said he would block any additional funding for the post office to prevent any increase in balloting by mail.[176]

In the end, an estimated 42 percent of votes were cast by mail across 41 reporting states,[177] approximately 65.6 million ballots out of 154.6 million cast by all methods.[178]

The Trump campaign filed lawsuits seeking to block the use of official ballot dropboxes in Pennsylvania in locations other than an election office, and also sought to "block election officials from counting mail-in ballots if a voter forgets to put their mail-in ballot in a secrecy sleeve within the ballot return-envelope".[179] The Trump campaign and the Republican Party both failed to produce any evidence of vote-by-mail fraud after being ordered by a federal judge to do so.[179]

On Election Day, a judge ordered mail inspectors to search "mail facilities in .... key battleground states" for ballots.[180] The agency refused to comply with the order and nearly 7% of ballots inUSPS facilities on Election Day were not processed in time.[181]

Federal Election Commission issues

TheFederal Election Commission, which was created in 1974 to enforcecampaign finance laws in federal elections, has not functioned since July 2020 due to vacancies in membership. In the absence of a quorum, the commission cannot vote on complaints or give guidance through advisory opinions.[182] As of May 19, 2020, there were 350 outstanding matters on the agency's enforcement docket and 227 items waiting for action.[183] As of September 1, 2020, Trump had not nominated anyone to fill the FEC vacancies.[184]

Supreme Court vacancy

Further information:Amy Coney Barrett Supreme Court nomination andDeath and state funeral of Ruth Bader Ginsburg
President Donald Trump withAmy Coney Barrett and her family, just prior to Barrett being announced as the nominee, September 26, 2020

On September 18, 2020, JusticeRuth Bader Ginsburg died.Senate Majority LeaderMitch McConnell immediately said theprecedent he had set regarding theMerrick Garland nomination was inoperative and that a replacement would be voted on as soon as possible, setting the stage for a confirmation battle and an unexpected intrusion into the campaign.[185] The death of Justice Ginsburg resulted in large increases in momentum for both the Democrats and Republicans.[186][187] The president,[188] vice president,[189] and several Republican members of Congress said a full Supreme Court bench was needed to decide the upcoming election.[190][191]

On September 26, the day after Justice Ginsburg's body lay in state at theCapitol, Trump held a Rose Garden ceremony at the White House to announce and introduce his candidate,Amy Coney Barrett.[192] After four days of confirmation hearings, the Senate Judiciary Committee voted the nomination out of committee on October 22,[193] and on October 26, Barrett was confirmed on aparty-line vote of 52–48, with no Democrats voting for her confirmation.[194] This was the closest Supreme Court confirmation ever to a presidential election, and the first Supreme Court nomination since 1869 with no supporting votes from the minority party.[194] It was also one of the fastest timelines from nomination to confirmations in U.S. history.[195][196]

Pre-election litigation

Main article:Pre-election lawsuits related to the 2020 U.S. presidential election

By September 2020, several hundred legal cases relating to the election had been filed.[197] About 250 of these had to do with the mechanics of voting in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic.[197] The Supreme Court ruled on a number of these cases,[198] primarily issuing emergency stays instead of going through the normal process due to the urgency.[199] In October 2020, there was speculation that the election might be decided through a Supreme Court case, as happened following the2000 election.[200][201]

Debates

Main article:2020 United States presidential debates
Sites of the 2020 general election presidential () and vice presidential () debates

On October 11, 2019, theCommission on Presidential Debates (CPD) announced that three general election debates would be held in the fall of 2020.[202]

The first, moderated byChris Wallace, took place on September 29, and was co-hosted byCase Western Reserve University and theCleveland Clinic inCleveland, Ohio.[203] The debate was originally to be hosted at theUniversity of Notre Dame inNotre Dame, Indiana, but the university decided against holding the debate as a result of theCOVID-19 pandemic.[203][204] Biden was generally held to have won the first debate,[205][206][207] with a significant minority of commentators deeming it a draw.[208][209]

One exchange that was particularly noted was when Trump did not directly denounce thewhite supremacist andneo-fascist groupProud Boys, instead responding that they should "stand back and stand by".[210][211][212] On the next day, Trump told reporters the group should "stand down" while also claiming that he was not aware of what the group was.[213][214] The debate was described as "chaotic and nearly incoherent" because of Trump's repeated interruptions, causing the CPD to consider adjustments to the format of the remaining debates.[215]

The vice presidential debate was held on October 7, 2020, at theUniversity of Utah inSalt Lake City.[216] The debate was widely held to be subdued, with no clear victor.[217][218] One incident that was particularly commented on was when afly landed on vice-president Pence's head, and remained there unbeknownst to him for two minutes.[219][220]

The second debate was initially set to be held at theUniversity of Michigan inAnn Arbor, Michigan, but the university withdrew in June 2020, over concerns regarding theCOVID-19 pandemic.[221] The planned debate was rescheduled for October 15 at theAdrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts inMiami; due to Trump contracting COVID-19, the CPD announced on October 8 that the debate would be held virtually, in which the candidates would appear from separate locations. Trump refused to participate in a virtual debate, and the commission subsequently announced that the debate had been cancelled.[222][223]

The third scheduled debate took place on October 22 atBelmont University inNashville, Tennessee, and was moderated byKristen Welker.[224][225] The changes to the debate rules, which included the candidates' microphones being muted while the other was speaking,[226] resulted in it being generally considered more civil than the first debate.[227] Welker's performance as moderator was praised, with her being regarded as having done a good job preventing the candidates from interrupting each other.[228] Biden was generally held to have won the debate, though it was considered unlikely to alter the race to any considerable degree.[229][230][231]

Debates for the 2020 U.S. presidential election sponsored by the CPD
No.DateTimeHostCityModerator(s)ParticipantsViewership
(millions)
P1September 29, 20209:00 p.m.EDTCase Western Reserve UniversityCleveland, OhioChris WallaceDonald Trump
Joe Biden
73.1[232]
VPOctober 7, 20207:00 p.m.MDTUniversity of UtahSalt Lake City, UtahSusan PageMike Pence
Kamala Harris
57.9[233]
(P2)[j]October 15, 20209:00 p.m. EDTArsht Center (planned)Miami, FloridaSteve Scully (planned)Donald Trump
Joe Biden
N/A
P2October 22, 20208:00 p.m.CDTBelmont UniversityNashville, TennesseeKristen WelkerDonald Trump
Joe Biden
63[235]

TheFree & Equal Elections Foundation held two debates with various third party and independent candidates, one on October 8, 2020, inDenver,Colorado,[236] and another on October 24, 2020, inCheyenne, Wyoming.[237]

Polling

Main articles:Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election andStatewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election

Two-way

The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice PresidentJoe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent PresidentDonald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 percentage points.

Polling aggregates
Active candidates
  Joe Biden (Democratic)
  Donald Trump (Republican)
  Others/Undecided

% Support01020304050609/4/20194/8/20208/17/202010/23/2020Joe BidenDonald TrumpOthers/UndecidedNationwide opinion polling for the 2020 Unit...

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregationDates administeredDates updatedJoe BidenDonald TrumpOther/Undecided[k]Margin
270 to Win[238]Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 202051.1%43.1%5.8%Biden +8.0
RealClear Politics[239]Oct 25 – Nov 2, 202051.2%44.0%4.8%Biden +7.2
FiveThirtyEight[240]until Nov 2, 202051.8%43.4%Biden +8.4
Average51.4%43.5%5.1%Biden +7.9
2020 results51.3%46.8%1.9%Biden +4.5

Four-way

Calculated averages are not comparable to those for the Biden vs. Trump polls. As polling with third parties has been very limited, the polls included in the average are often different.

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jo Jorgensen vs. Howie Hawkins
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden
Donald
Trump
Jo
Jorgensen
Howie
Hawkins
Other/
Undecided[k]
Margin
270 to Win[238]Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 202050.6%43.2%1.2%1.0%4.0%Biden +7.4
RealClear Politics[241]Oct 15 – Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 202050.6%43.2%1.8%0.8%3.6%Biden +7.4
2020 results51.3%46.8%1.1%0.2%0.6%Biden +4.5

Swing states

The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison.

Polls by state or district
 New Hampshire
 Minnesota
 Wisconsin
 Michigan
 Nevada
 Pennsylvania
 Nebraska CD-2
 Maine CD-2
 Arizona
 Florida
 North Carolina
 Georgia
 Ohio
 Texas
 Iowa
 Montana
 Missouri
 Alaska
 South Carolina
 Nebraska
 Kansas
Joe Biden lead over Donald Trump (percentage points)-20-15-10-50510152/25/20205/20/20208/12/202011/3/2020Maine CD-2Nebraska CD-2ArizonaFloridaGeorgiaIowaMichiganMinnesotaNevadaNew HampshireNorth CarolinaOhioPennsylvaniaTexasWisconsinAlaskaMissouriSouth CarolinaKansasMontana2020 United States presidential election pol...
Viewsource data.

Predictions

Main article:2020 United States presidential election predictions
PublisherDatePrediction
2016 resultNov 8, 2016D: 232,R: 306
2020 resultNov 3, 2020D: 306, R: 232
Cook Political ReportOct 28, 2020[242]D:290, R: 125, Tossup: 123
Inside ElectionsOct 28, 2020[243]D:350, R: 125, Tossup: 63
Sabato's Crystal BallNov 2, 2020[244]D:321, R: 217, Tossup: 0
PoliticoNov 2, 2020[245]D:279, R: 163, Tossup: 96
RealClearPoliticsOct 29, 2020[246]D: 216, R: 125, Tossup: 197
CNNNov 2, 2020[247]D:279, R: 163, Tossup: 96
The EconomistNov 3, 2020[248]D:334, R: 164, Tossup: 40
CBS NewsNov 1, 2020[249]D:279, R: 163, Tossup: 96
270toWinNov 3, 2020[250]D:279, R: 163, Tossup: 96
ABC NewsNov 2, 2020[251]D:321, R: 125, Tossup: 92
NPROct 30, 2020[252]D:279, R: 125, Tossup: 134
NBC NewsOct 27, 2020[253]D:279, R: 125, Tossup: 134
Decision Desk HQNov 3, 2020[254]D:308, R: 163, Tossup: 67
FiveThirtyEightNov 2, 2020[255]D:334, R: 169, Tossup: 35[l]

Endorsements

Main articles:List of Donald Trump 2020 presidential campaign endorsements,List of Joe Biden 2020 presidential campaign endorsements,List of Jo Jorgensen 2020 presidential campaign endorsements, andList of Howie Hawkins 2020 presidential campaign endorsements

Total cost estimate

OpenSecrets estimated the total cost of the 2020 election nearly $14 billion, making it the most expensive election in history and twice as expensive as the previous presidential election cycle.[256]

Campaign issues

COVID-19 pandemic

Further information:COVID-19 pandemic in the United States,U.S. federal government response to the COVID-19 pandemic, andCommunication of the Trump administration during the COVID-19 pandemic

TheCOVID-19 pandemic was a major issue of the campaign, with Trump's responses being heavily criticized. The president spread mixed messages on the value of wearing face masks as protection, including criticizing Biden and reporters for wearing them, but has also encouraged their use at times.[257] During the campaign, Trump held many events across the country, including in COVID-19 hotspots, where attendees did not wear masks and were not socially distancing; at the same time, he mocked those who wore face masks.[258][259][260]

Biden advocated for the expansion of federal funding, including funding under theDefense Production Act for testing, personal protective equipment, and research.[261] Trump also invoked the Defense Production Act to control the distribution of masks and ventilators,[262] but his response plan relied significantly on a vaccine being released by the end of 2020.[261] At the second presidential debate, Trump claimed Biden had called him xenophobic for restricting entry from foreign nationals who had visited China, but Biden responded that he had not been referring to this decision.[263]

Economy

Proposed tax plan payment rates by income group as a percentage of income, including mandatory health insurance
Main articles:Economic policy of the first Trump administration andEconomic policies of Joe Biden

Trump claimed credit for the consistent economic expansion of his presidency's first three years, with the stock market at its longest growth period in history and unemployment at a fifty-year low. Additionally, he has touted the 2020 third-quarter rebound, in which GDP grew at an annualized rate of 33.1%, as evidence of the success of his economic policies.[264] Biden responded to Trump's claims by repeating that the strong economy under Trump's presidency was inherited from the Obama administration, and that Trump has aggravated the economic impact of the pandemic, including the need for 42 million Americans to file for unemployment.[265]

TheTax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, which loweredincome taxes for many Americans and lowered thecorporate tax rate from 35% to 21%, were a major component of Trump's economic policy. Biden and the Democrats generally describe these cuts as unfairly benefiting the upper class. Biden plans to raise taxes on corporations and those making over $400,000 per year, while keeping the reduced taxes on lower-income brackets and raisecapital gains taxes to a maximum bracket of 39.6%. In response, Trump said Biden's plans would destroyretirement accounts and thestock market.[266]

Environment

Main articles:Environmental policy of the first Trump administration,Environmental policy of Joe Biden, andClimate change policy of the United States

Trump and Biden's views on environmental policy differ significantly. Trump stated thatclimate change is a hoax, although he also called it a serious subject.[267] Trump condemned theParis Agreement ongreenhouse gas reduction and beganthe withdrawal process. Biden planned to rejoin it and announced a $2 trillion plan to combat climate change. Biden had not fully accepted theGreen New Deal. Biden did not plan to banfracking but rather to outlaw new fracking on federal land. In a debate, Trump claimed Biden wanted to ban it altogether. Trump's other environmental policies included the removal ofmethane emission standards, and an expansion of mining.[268]

Health care

Main article:Health care in the United States

Health care was a divisive issue in both the Democratic primary campaign and the general campaign. While Biden, as well as other candidates, promised protection of theAffordable Care Act, progressives within the Democratic Party advocated to replace the private insurance industry withMedicare for All. Biden's plan involves adding apublic option to the American healthcare system,[269] and the restoration of theindividual mandate to buy health care, which was removed from the Affordable Care Act by the 2017 tax cut bill,[270] as well as restoring funding forPlanned Parenthood. Trump announced plans to repeal the Affordable Care Act, calling it "too expensive", but he did not say what would replace it.[271] At the time of the election, the Trump administration and Republican officials from 18 states had a lawsuit before the Supreme Court, asking the court to repeal the Affordable Care Act.[272]

Racial unrest

Main article:2020–2021 United States racial unrest
George Floyd protests inMinneapolis on May 26

As a result of themurder of George Floyd and other incidents ofpolice brutality against African Americans, combined with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, a series ofprotests and a widerperiod of racial unrest erupted in mid-2020. This was followed by theBlack Lives Matter movement, which protestedpolice brutality againstblack people, and became a central point of the 2020 presidential campaign.[273] Protests were mostly peaceful; fewer than 4% involved property damage or violence (with most of the latter directed at BLM protesters themselves).[274] According to a September 2020 estimate, arson, vandalism, and looting caused about $1–2 billion in insured damage between May 26 and June 8, making this initial phase of theGeorge Floyd protests the civil disorder event with the highest recorded damage in United States history.[275][276]

In response, Trump and the Republicans suggested sending in the military to counter the protests, which was criticized, especially by Democrats, as heavy-handed and potentially illegal.[277] Trump referred to Black Lives Matter protesters confronting diners in a restaurant as "thugs",[278] and called a street painting of the slogan a "symbol of hate".[279] Particularly controversial wasa photo-op Trump took in front of St. John's Church in Washington, D.C., before which military police had forcefully cleared peaceful protestors from the area.[270] Biden condemned Trump for his actions against protestors; he described George Floyd's words "I can't breathe" as a "wake-up call for our nation". He also promised he would create a police oversight commission in his first 100 days as president, and establish a uniform use of force standard, as well as other police reform measures.[280]

Exit poll

2020 presidential election exit poll[281]
Response categoryBidenTrump% of
total vote
Total vote5147100
Trump job approval
Strongly approve49638
Somewhat approve207512
Somewhat disapprove89710
Strongly disapprove97139
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Has good judgment682624
Cares about people like me495021
Can unite the country752419
Is a strong leader287211
More important to presidential vote
Candidate's positions on issues475374
Candidate's personal qualities643123
Vote for president mainly
For your candidate465371
Against his opponent683024
Life for the next generation of Americans will be
Better than today554454
About the same405821
Worse than today524520
View of federal government
Angry742426
Dissatisfied673132
Satisfied297027
Enthusiastic188113
Decided on presidential vote
Before September514673
In September524511
In October48498
In the last week31642
In the last few days49473
Issue regarded as most important
Economy168235
Racial inequality92720
COVID-19 pandemic811617
Crime and safety277111
Health care623711
Condition of the nation's economy
Poor871019
Not so good762231
Good247536
Excellent168413
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago267241
About the same653439
Worse than four years ago772020
Racism in the U.S.
The most important problem871118
An important problem613751
A minor problem188118
Not a problem at all89110
View ofBlack Lives Matter
Favorable782057
Unfavorable148637
Does the country's criminal justice system
Treat Black people unfairly821753
Treat all people fairly148440
U.S. efforts to contain coronavirus are going
Very well138618
Somewhat well217833
Somewhat badly742415
Very badly94432
Has the coronavirus pandemic caused you
Severe financial hardship692916
Moderate financial hardship593939
No financial hardship at all386044
Which is more important to do now
Contain coronavirus791952
Rebuild the economy207842
Is wearing aface mask in public more of a
Public health responsibility643567
Personal choice247330
Importance of recent rise in coronavirus cases to presidential vote
The most important factor613823
An important factor475137
A minor factor138618
Not a factor at all79116
Better candidate to handle the coronavirus pandemic
Biden92653
Trump49543
How confident that votes will be counted accurately
Very confident524747
Somewhat confident564240
Not very confident34618
Not at all confident31664
Voting in your state is
Very easy485069
Somewhat easy603925
Somewhat difficult52464
Very difficultN/AN/A2
In vote for president, Supreme Court appointments were
The most important factor475113
An important factor544547
A minor factor514818
Not a factor at all494919
OnObamacare, should the Supreme Court
Keep it as it is801851
Overturn it217844
Abortion should be
Legal in all cases801825
Legal in most cases683026
Illegal in most cases277225
Illegal in all cases188117
Climate change is a serious problem
Yes692967
No158430

Timeline

Main article:Timeline of the 2020 United States presidential election

Results

Early voting inCleveland, Ohio
See also:Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election

Statistics

More than 158 million votes were cast in the election.[282] More than 100 million of them were cast before Election Day byearly voting ormail ballot, due to the ongoingCOVID-19 pandemic.[283] The election saw the highestvoter turnout as a percentage of eligible voters since1900,[284] with each of the two main tickets receiving more than 74 million votes, surpassingBarack Obama's record of 69.5 million votes from2008.[285] The Biden–Harris ticket received more than 81 million votes, the most votes ever in aU.S. presidential election.[10][11] It was also the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victoriousmajor party nominee did not receive apopular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history, which began in1988 and in2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequence, that from1876 through1900.[286][note 1][287] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived inlandslide counties,[288] a decline from 61 percent in 2016.[289]

Trump became the 11th incumbent in the country's history, and the first since1992, to lose a bid for a second term. Biden's 51.3% of the popular vote was the highest for a challenger to an incumbent president since1932.[290][291][292][m] Biden is the sixth vice president to become president withoutsucceeding to the office on the death or resignation of a previous president.[293] Additionally, Trump's loss marked the third time an elected president lost the popular vote twice, the first beingJohn Quincy Adams in the 1820s andBenjamin Harrison in the 1880s and 1890s.[294] This was the first time since1980, and the first for Republicans since1892 that a party was voted out after a single four-year term. This was the second election in American history in which the incumbent president lost re-election despite winning a greater share of the popular vote than he did in the previous election, after 1828. It is also the third election in which the two candidates that received electoral votes carried the same number of states. This also happened in1880 and1848.

Biden won 25 states, the District of Columbia, and one congressional district in Nebraska, totaling 306 electoral votes. Trump won 25 states and one congressional district in Maine, totaling 232 electoral votes. This result was exactly the reverse of Trump's victory, 306 to 232, in2016 (excludingfaithless electors).[295] Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidential election inGeorgia since1992[296] and inArizona since1996, and the first candidate to win nationally withoutFlorida since 1992 andOhio since1960, casting doubt on Ohio's continued status as abellwether state.[297] Biden also became the first Democrat to win the presidential election withoutIowa since1976.[n] Biden carried five states won by Trump in 2016:Arizona,Georgia,Michigan,Pennsylvania, andWisconsin. Despite his relatively comfortable 74 vote margin in the Electoral College, Biden only won the decisive states of Wisconsin, Georgia and Arizona by a combined 43,000 votes. He also became the first Democrat since2008 to carryNebraska's2nd congressional district, winning one electoral vote from the state.[298] Trump did not win any states won by Clinton in 2016. Biden's three gains in theRust Belt—Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin—were widely characterized as a rebuilding of theblue wall, a term widely used in the press for the states consistently won by Democrats from 1992 to 2012, broken by Trump in 2016 when he narrowly flipped those three Rust Belt states.[299][300][301][302] Nevertheless, amidst Trump's national and electoral defeat, his scoring decisive victories in Ohio, Iowa, and Florida for the second time, after their having backed Obama twice, has led many commentators to conclude they have shifted from perennialswing states to reliablered states.[303][304]

If Biden's three narrowest state victories—Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona, all of which he won by less than a percentage point—had gone to Trump, there would have been a tie of 269 electors for each candidate,[305][306] causing acontingent election to be decided by the House of Representatives, where Trump had the advantage. (Even though Democrats controlled the House, contingent elections are determined by state delegations in which each state receives just one vote, and since a slight majority of states in 2020 contained more Republican than Democratic representatives, Republicans would have had more votes in such an election.) This scenario would have required a popular-vote shift of 0.63% or less in each of these three states, a total of about 43,000 votes, 0.03% of votes cast nationally.[307] This situation paralleled 2016, when a shift of 0.77% or less in each of the three most closely contested states (Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania), or about 77,000 votes, would have resulted in the popular vote winner Hillary Clinton also winning in the Electoral College.

This was the first time since 1948 that Democrats won the popular vote in four elections in a row. Biden was the second former vice president (afterRichard Nixon in1968) to win the presidency, as well as the first vice president sinceGeorge H. W. Bush in 1988 to be elected president.[308]

Almost all counties previously considered reliable indicators of eventual success in presidential elections voted for Trump instead of Biden, meaning that they did not continue their streaks asbellwether counties. This was attributed to increasing political polarization throughout the country and to the urban-rural divide.[309]

While Trump still dominated rural America as a whole, there were rural areas that he lost. Biden won 50.5% of the rural counties that each had mostly non-white voters, particularly in the South and the West.[310] Rural counties in the South won by Biden had greater economic distress than those won by Trump; in the Northeast, the opposite was true.[310] In the West, Biden did especially well in rural counties that had high shares of workers employed in leisure and hospitality.[310] Such counties likewise had large constituencies of immigration from other states.[310] Biden became the oldest president ever elected, surpassing Ronald Reagan's record in 1984, and the oldest non-incumbent ever, surpassing Trump in 2016; however, both records were broken by Trump in 2024. Of the 3,153 counties/districts/independent cities making returns, Trump won the most popular votes in 2,595 (82.30%) while Biden carried 558 (17.70%).

Election calls

Major news organizations project a state for a candidate when there is high mathematical confidence that the outstanding vote would be unlikely to prevent the projected winner from ultimately winning the state. Election projections are made by decision teams of political scientists and data scientists.[15]

People celebrate in the streetsnear the White House after the major networks projected Biden the winner of the election on November 7.
SenatorChuck Schumer addresses a crowd celebrating inTimes Square,New York City, shortly after the election was called for Biden.

In the early hours of November 4, the Associated Press called Florida for Donald Trump at 12:35 a.m. EST, putting him at 164 electoral votes. By 1:06 a.m. EST, they called Texas for Trump, putting him at 202 electoral votes, compared to Joe Biden's 224. Arizona and Maine were called for Biden at 2:51 a.m. and 3:06 a.m. EST, respectively. At 1:24 p.m. EST that afternoon, the Associated Press called Maine's 2nd congressional district for Trump, giving him 203 electoral votes. Then, Biden won Wisconsin and Michigan, at 2:16 p.m. and 3:58 p.m. EST, respectively, bringing him to 264 electoral votes, just 6 short of the presidency. On the morning of November 7 at approximately 11:25 a.m. EST, roughly three and a half days after polls had closed,ABC News,NBC News,CBS News, theAssociated Press,CNN, andFox News all called the election and Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes for Biden, based on projections of votes in Pennsylvania showing him leading outside of the recount threshold (0.5% in that state), placing him at 284 electoral votes.[311][312][313][314][315][316][317] That evening, Biden and Harris gave their victory speeches in Wilmington, Delaware.[318]

OSCE election monitoring

On the invitation of the U.S. State Department, theOrganization for Security and Co-operation in Europe's (OSCE)Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR), which has been monitoring U.S. elections since 2002 (as it does for major elections in all other OSCE member countries), sent 102 observers from 39 countries.[319][320][321] The task force consisted of long-term observers from the ODIHR office (led by former Polish diplomatUrszula Gacek) deployed to 28 states from September on and covering 15 states on election day, and a group of European lawmakers acting as short-term observers (led by German parliamentarianMichael Georg Link), reporting from Maryland, Virginia, California, Nevada, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin, and D.C.[319][321] Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, it was scaled down to a "limited election observation mission" from the originally planned 100 long-term observers and 400 short-term observers.[319]

An interim report published by the OSCE shortly before the election noted that many ODIHR interlocutors "expressed grave concerns about the risk of legitimacy of the elections being questioned due to the incumbent President's repeated allegations of a fraudulent election process, and postal vote in particular."[319][322] On the day after the election, the task force published preliminary findings,[320] with part of the summary stating:

The 3 November general elections were competitive and well managed despite legal uncertainties and logistical challenges. In a highly polarized political environment, harsh campaign rhetoric fuelled tensions. Measures intended to secure the elections during the pandemic triggered protracted litigation driven by partisan interests. The uncertainty caused by late legal challenges and evidence-deficient claims about election fraud created confusion and concern among election officials and voters. Voter registration and identification rules in some states are unduly restrictive for certain groups of citizens. The media, although sharply polarized, provided comprehensive coverage of the campaign and made efforts to provide accurate information on the organization of elections.[323]

Link said that "on the election day itself, we couldn't see any violations" at the polling places visited by the observers.[320] The task force also found "nothing untoward" while observing the handling of mail-in ballots at post offices, with Gacek being quoted as saying: "We feel that allegations of systemic wrongdoing in these elections have no solid ground. The system has held up well."[321] The OSCE's election monitoring branch published a more comprehensive report in early 2021.[321][324]

Electoral results

See also:Third party and independent candidates for the 2020 United States presidential election

Candidates are listed individually below if they received more than 0.1% of the popular vote. Popular vote totals are from theFederal Election Commission report.[1]

Electoral results
Presidential candidatePartyHome statePopular voteElectoral
vote
Running mate
CountPercentageVice-presidential candidateHome stateElectoral vote
Joe BidenDemocraticDelaware81,283,50151.31%306Kamala HarrisCalifornia306
Donald Trump
(incumbent)
RepublicanFlorida74,223,97546.85%232Mike Pence
(incumbent)
Indiana232
Jo JorgensenLibertarianSouth Carolina1,865,5351.18%0Spike CohenSouth Carolina0
Howie HawkinsGreenNew York407,0680.26%0Angela Nicole WalkerSouth Carolina0
Rocky De La FuenteReformCalifornia301,0160.19%0 Darcy RichardsonFlorida0
Other348,5360.22%Other
Total158,429,631100%538538
Needed to win270270
Popular vote[1]
Biden
51.31%
Trump
46.85%
Jorgensen
1.18%
Hawkins
0.26%
De La Fluente
0.18%
Others
0.22%
Electoral vote
Biden/Harris
56.88%
Trump/Pence
43.12%
306232
BidenTrump

Results by state

Legend
States won byBiden/Harris
States won byTrump/Pence
EVElectoral votes
At-large results (for Maine and Nebraska, which both split electoral votes)
Results by state[1][325][326]
State or
district
Biden/Harris
Democratic
Trump/Pence
Republican
Jorgensen/Cohen
Libertarian
Hawkins/Walker
Green
OthersMarginMargin
swing[o]
Total
votes
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%%
Alabama849,62436.57%1,441,17062.03%925,1761.08%[p][p]7,3120.31%−591,546−25.46%2.27%2,323,282
Alaska153,77842.77%189,95152.83%38,8972.47%[q][q]6,9041.92%−36,173−10.06%4.67%359,530
Arizona1,672,14349.36%111,661,68649.06%51,4651.52%1,5570.05%4750.01%10,4570.31%3.81%3,387,326
Arkansas423,93234.78%760,64762.40%613,1331.08%2,9800.24%18,3771.51%−336,715−27.62%−0.70%1,219,069
California11,110,63963.48%556,006,51834.32%187,9101.07%81,0320.46%115,2810.66%5,104,12129.16%−0.95%17,501,380
Colorado1,804,35255.40%91,364,60741.90%52,4601.61%8,9860.28%26,5750.82%439,74513.50%8.59%3,256,980
Connecticut1,080,83159.26%7714,71739.19%20,2301.11%7,5380.41%5410.03%366,11420.07%6.43%1,823,857
Delaware296,26858.74%3200,60339.77%5,0000.99%2,1390.42%3360.07%95,66518.97%7.60%504,346
District of Columbia317,32392.15%318,5865.40%2,0360.59%1,7260.50%4,6851.36%298,73786.75%−0.02%344,356
Florida5,297,04547.86%5,668,73151.22%2970,3240.64%14,7210.13%16,6350.15%−371,686−3.36%−2.16%11,067,456
Georgia2,473,63349.47%162,461,85449.24%62,2291.24%1,0130.02%1,2310.02%11,7790.23%5.37%4,999,960
Hawaii366,13063.73%4196,86434.27%5,5390.96%3,8220.67%2,1140.37%169,26629.46%−2.72%574,469
Idaho287,02133.07%554,11963.84%416,4041.89%4070.05%9,9831.15%−267,098−30.77%1.00%867,934
Illinois3,471,91557.54%202,446,89140.55%66,5441.10%30,4940.51%17,9000.30%1,025,02416.99%−0.08%6,033,744
Indiana1,242,49840.96%1,729,85757.03%1158,9011.94%9890.03%9650.03%−487,359−16.07%3.10%3,033,210
Iowa759,06144.89%897,67253.09%619,6371.16%3,0750.18%11,4260.68%−138,611−8.20%1.21%1,690,871
Kansas570,32341.51%771,40656.14%630,5742.23%6690.05%1,0140.07%−201,083−14.64%5.96%1,373,986
Kentucky772,47436.15%1,326,64662.09%826,2341.23%7160.03%10,6980.50%−554,172−25.94%3.90%2,136,768
Louisiana856,03439.85%1,255,77658.46%821,6451.01%14,6070.68%−399,742−18.61%1.03%2,148,062
Maine435,07253.09%2360,73744.02%14,1521.73%8,2301.00%1,2700.15%74,3359.07%6.11%819,461
ME-1Tooltip Maine's 1st congressional district266,37660.11%1164,04537.02%7,3431.66%4,6541.05%6940.16%102,33123.09%8.28%443,112
ME-2Tooltip Maine's 2nd congressional district168,69644.82%196,69252.26%16,8091.81%3,5760.95%5760.15%−27,996−7.44%2.85%376,349
Maryland1,985,02365.36%10976,41432.15%33,4881.10%15,7990.52%26,3060.87%1,008,60933.21%6.79%3,037,030
Massachusetts2,382,20265.60%111,167,20232.14%47,0131.29%18,6580.51%16,3270.45%1,215,00033.46%6.26%3,631,402
Michigan2,804,04050.62%162,649,85247.84%60,3811.09%13,7180.25%11,3110.20%154,1882.78%3.01%5,539,302
Minnesota1,717,07752.40%101,484,06545.28%34,9761.07%10,0330.31%31,0200.95%233,0127.11%5.59%3,277,171
Mississippi539,39841.06%756,76457.60%68,0260.61%1,4980.11%8,0730.61%−217,366−16.55%1.28%1,313,759
Missouri1,253,01441.41%1,718,73656.80%1041,2051.36%8,2830.27%4,7240.16%−465,722−15.39%3.25%3,025,962
Montana244,78640.55%343,60256.92%315,2522.53%340.01%−98,816−16.37%4.05%603,674
Nebraska374,58339.17%556,84658.22%220,2832.12%[p][p]4,6710.49%−182,263−19.06%5.99%956,383
NE-1Tooltip Nebraska's 1st congressional district132,26141.09%180,29056.01%17,4952.33%[p][p]1,8400.57%−48,029−14.92%5.80%321,886
NE-2Tooltip Nebraska's 2nd congressional district176,46851.95%1154,37745.45%6,9092.03%[p][p]1,9120.56%22,0916.50%8.74%339,666
NE-3Tooltip Nebraska's 3rd congressional district65,85422.34%222,17975.36%15,8791.99%[p][p]9190.31%−156,325−53.02%1.17%294,831
Nevada[r]703,48650.06%6669,89047.67%14,7831.05%17,2171.23%33,5962.39%−0.03%1,405,376
New Hampshire424,93752.71%4365,66045.36%13,2361.64%2170.03%2,1550.27%59,2777.35%6.98%806,205
New Jersey[s]2,608,40057.33%141,883,31341.40%31,6770.70%14,2020.31%11,8650.26%725,08715.93%1.84%4,549,457
New Mexico501,61454.29%5401,89443.50%12,5851.36%4,4260.48%3,4460.37%99,72010.79%2.58%923,965
New York5,244,88660.87%293,251,99737.74%60,3830.70%32,8320.38%26,7630.31%1,992,88923.13%0.64%8,616,861
North Carolina2,684,29248.59%2,758,77549.93%1548,6780.88%12,1950.22%20,8640.38%−74,483−1.35%2.31%5,524,804
North Dakota115,04231.78%235,75165.12%39,3712.59%[p][p]1,8600.51%−120,709−33.34%2.39%362,024
Ohio2,679,16545.24%3,154,83453.27%1867,5691.14%18,8120.32%1,8220.03%−475,669−8.03%0.10%5,922,202
Oklahoma503,89032.29%1,020,28065.37%724,7311.58%11,7980.76%−516,390−33.09%3.99%1,560,699
Oregon1,340,38356.45%7958,44840.37%41,5821.75%11,8310.50%22,0770.93%381,93516.09%5.10%2,374,321
Pennsylvania3,458,22949.85%203,377,67448.69%79,3801.14%1,2820.02%20,4110.29%80,5551.16%1.88%6,936,976
Rhode Island307,48659.39%4199,92238.61%5,0530.98%[p][p]5,2961.02%107,56420.78%5.26%517,757
South Carolina1,091,54143.43%1,385,10355.11%927,9161.11%6,9070.27%1,8620.07%−293,562−11.68%2.59%2,513,329
South Dakota150,47135.61%261,04361.77%311,0952.63%−110,572−26.16%3.63%422,609
Tennessee1,143,71137.45%1,852,47560.66%1129,8770.98%4,5450.15%23,2430.76%−708,764−23.21%2.80%3,053,851
Texas[t]5,259,12646.48%5,890,34752.06%38126,2431.12%33,3960.30%5,9440.05%−631,221−5.58%3.41%11,315,056
Utah560,28237.65%865,14058.13%638,4472.58%5,0530.34%19,3671.30%−304,858−20.48%−2.40%1,488,289
Vermont242,82066.09%3112,70430.67%3,6080.98%1,3100.36%6,9861.90%130,11635.41%9.00%367,428
Virginia2,413,56854.11%131,962,43044.00%64,7611.45%[p][p]19,7650.44%451,13810.11%4.79%4,460,524
Washington2,369,61257.97%121,584,65138.77%80,5001.97%18,2890.45%34,5790.85%784,96119.20%3.49%4,087,631
West Virginia235,98429.69%545,38268.62%510,6871.34%2,5990.33%790.01%−309,398−38.93%3.14%794,731
Wisconsin1,630,86649.45%101,610,18448.82%38,4911.17%1,0890.03%17,4110.53%20,6820.63%1.40%3,298,041
Wyoming73,49126.55%193,55969.94%35,7682.08%[p][p]3,9471.43%−120,068−43.38%2.92%276,765
Total81,283,50151.31%30674,223,97546.85%2321,865,5351.18%407,0680.26%649,5520.41%7,059,5264.46%2.36%158,429,631
Biden/Harris
Democratic
Trump/Pence
Republican
Jorgensen/Cohen
Libertarian
Hawkins/Walker
Green
OthersMarginMargin
swing
Total
votes

Two states, Maine and Nebraska, allow their electoral votes to be split between candidates by congressional districts. The winner of each congressional district gets one electoral vote for the district. The winner of the statewide vote gets two additional electoral votes.[330][331]

States and EV districts that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Close states

States where the margin of victory was under 1% (37 electoral votes; all won by Biden):

  1. Georgia, 0.23% (11,779 votes) – 16 electoral votes
  2. Arizona, 0.30% (10,457 votes) – 11 electoral votes
  3. Wisconsin, 0.63% (20,682 votes) – 10 electoral votes (tipping-point state for Biden victory)[305]

States where the margin of victory was between 1% and 5% (86 electoral votes; 42 won by Biden, 44 by Trump):

  1. Pennsylvania, 1.16% (80,555 votes) – 20 electoral votes (tipping-point state for Trump victory)[306]
  2. North Carolina, 1.34% (74,483 votes) – 15 electoral votes
  3. Nevada, 2.39% (33,596 votes) – 6 electoral votes
  4. Michigan, 2.78% (154,188 votes) – 16 electoral votes
  5. Florida, 3.36% (371,686 votes) – 29 electoral votes

States/districts where the margin of victory was between 5% and 10% (80 electoral votes; 17 won by Biden, 63 by Trump):

  1. Texas, 5.58% (631,221 votes) – 38 electoral votes
  2. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 6.50% (22,091 votes) – 1 electoral vote
  3. Minnesota, 7.12% (233,012 votes) – 10 electoral votes
  4. New Hampshire, 7.35% (59,267 votes) – 4 electoral votes
  5. Maine's 2nd congressional district, 7.44% (27,996 votes) – 1 electoral vote
  6. Ohio, 8.03% (475,669 votes) – 18 electoral votes
  7. Iowa, 8.20% (138,611 votes) – 6 electoral votes
  8. Maine, 9.07% (74,335 votes) – 2 electoral votes

Blue denotes states or congressional districts won by Democrat Joe Biden;red denotes those won by Republican Donald Trump.

County statistics

Counties with highest percentage of Democratic vote:[332]

  1. Kalawao County, Hawaii – 95.8%[333]
  2. Prince George's County, Maryland – 89.26%
  3. Oglala Lakota County, South Dakota – 88.41%

Counties with highest percentage of Republican vote:

  1. Roberts County, Texas – 96.18%
  2. Borden County, Texas – 95.43%
  3. King County, Texas – 94.97%
  4. Garfield County, Montana – 93.97%
  5. Glasscock County, Texas – 93.57%

Maps

  • Results by state, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
    Results by state, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
  • States shaded by margin of victory
    States shaded by margin of victory
  • A discontinuous cartogram of the 2020 United States presidential election, scaled by their Electoral College contribution
    A discontinuouscartogram of the 2020 United States presidential election, scaled by their Electoral College contribution
  • A discretized cartogram of the 2020 United States presidential election using hexagons
    A discretizedcartogram of the 2020 United States presidential election using hexagons
  • Results by county[u]
    Results by county[u]
  • Results by county,[u] shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
    Results by county,[u] shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
  • Results by county flips from 2016 to the 2020 presidential election[u]
    Results by county flips from 2016 to the 2020 presidential election[u]
  • County swing from 2016 to 2020[u]
    County swing from 2016 to 2020[u]
  • Shaded election results by county[u] (red-purple-blue scale)
    Shaded election results by county[u] (red-purple-blue scale)
  • A continuous county-level cartogram of the 2020 United States presidential election[u]
    A continuous county-levelcartogram of the 2020 United States presidential election[u]
  • Results by congressional district
    Results by congressional district
  • Results by state, shaded according to percentage of the vote for Jo Jorgensen
    Results by state, shaded according to percentage of the vote for Jo Jorgensen

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data for 2020 were collected by Edison Research for theNational Election Pool, a consortium ofABC News,CBS News,MSNBC,CNN,Fox News, and theAssociated Press. The voter survey is based onexit polls completed by 15,590 voters in person as well as by phone.[334]

2020 presidential election voter demographics (exit polling)[281]
Demographic subgroupBidenTrump% of
total vote
Total vote5147100
Ideology
Liberals891024
Moderates643438
Conservatives148538
Party
Democrats94637
Republicans69436
Independents544126
Gender
Men455348
Women574252
Marital status
Married455356
Unmarried584044
Gender by marital status
Married men435530
Married women485126
Unmarried men524520
Unmarried women623623
Race/ethnicity
White415867
Black871213
Latino653313
Asian63364
Other55414
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men386135
White women445532
Black men79194
Black women9098
Latino men59365
Latina women69308
Other58388
Religion
Protestant/OtherChristian396043
Catholic524725
Jewish76222
Other religion68298
None653122
White evangelical or born-again Christian
Yes247628
No623672
Age
18–24 years old65319
25–29 years old54437
30–39 years old514616
40–49 years old544416
50–64 years old475230
65 and older475222
Age by race
White 18–29 years old44538
White 30–44 years old415714
White 45–59 years old386119
White 60 and older425726
Black 18–29 years old88103
Black 30–44 years old78194
Black 45–59 years old89103
Black 60 and older9273
Latino 18–29 years old69284
Latino 30–44 years old62354
Latino 45–59 years old68303
Latino 60 and older58402
Others59388
Sexual orientation
LGBT75237
Non-LGBT514893
First time voter
Yes643214
No494986
Education
High school or less465419
Somecollege education514723
Associate degree475016
Bachelor's degree514727
Postgraduate degree623715
Education by race
White college graduates514832
White no college degree326735
Non-white college graduates702710
Non-white no college degree722624
Education by race/gender
White women with college degrees544514
White women without college degrees366317
White men with college degrees485117
White men without college degrees287018
Non-White712633
Income
Under $30,000544615
$30,000–49,999564420
$50,000–99,999564239
$100,000–199,999415720
Over $200,00048487
Union households
Yes564120
No504980
Military service
Veterans445415
Non-veterans534585
Region
East584020
Midwest475123
South465335
West574122
Area type
Urban603829
Suburban504851
Rural425719

TheBrookings Institution released a report entitled "Exit polls show both familiar and new voting blocs sealed Biden's win" on November 12, 2020. In it, authorWilliam H. Frey attributes Obama's 2008 win to young people, people of color, and the college-educated. Frey contends Trump won in 2016 thanks to older White without college degrees.[335] Frey says the same coalitions largely held in 2008 and 2016, although in key battleground states Biden increased his vote among some of the 2016 Trump groups, particularly among White and older Americans.[335] Trump won the white vote in 2016 by 20% but in 2020 by only 16%. The Democratic Party won black voters by 75%, the lowest margin since1980. Democrats won the Latino vote by 32%, which is the smallest margin since 2004, and they won the Asian American vote by 27%, the lowest figure since 2008.[335] Biden reduced the Republican margin of white men without college educations from 48% to 42%, and the Democrats made a slight improvement of 2% among white, college-educated women. People age 18 to 29 registered a rise in Democratic support between 2016 and 2020, with the Democratic margin of victory among that demographic increasing from 19% to 24%.[335] However,Baby boomers andGeneration X still constituted the majority of the voting public. The exit poll estimated that voters 40 years of age or older (born in 1980 or earlier to comprise 68% of the electorate. Voters from age 40 through age 64 (born from 1956 through 1980) alone were estimated to comprise 46% of the electorate.[281]

Post-election analysis using verified voter data found theAssociated Press's Votecast was more accurate than the exit polls.[336][337]

Voting patterns by ethnicity

Hispanic and Latino voters

Biden won 65% of the Latino vote according toEdison Research, and 63% according to the Associated Press.Voto Latino reported that the Latino vote was crucial to the Biden victory inArizona. 40% of Latino voters who voted in 2020 did not vote in 2016, and 73% of those Latino voters voted for Biden (438,000 voters).[338]Florida andTexas, which have large Latino populations, were carried by Trump. In Florida, Trump won a majority ofCuban American voters inMiami-Dade County, Florida.[339] The Latino vote was still crucial to enable Biden to carry states such as Nevada.[340] Latino voters were targeted by a major Spanish-languagedisinformation campaign in the final weeks of the election, with various falsehoods and conspiracy theories being pushed out byWhatsApp andviral social media posts.[341][342][343]

Demographic patterns emerged having to do withcountry of origin and candidate preference. Pre- and post-election surveys showed Biden winning Latinos ofMexican,Puerto Rican,Dominican,[344]Spanish, andNuevomexicano heritage,[345] while Trump carried Latinos of Cuban heritage. Data from Florida showed Biden holding a narrow edge amongSouth Americans.[346]

Black voters

Biden won 87% of the Black vote, while Trump won 12%.[347] Biden's advantage among Black voters was crucial in the large cities ofPennsylvania andMichigan; the increase in the Democratic vote inMilwaukee County of about 28,000 votes was more than the 20,000-vote lead Biden had in the state ofWisconsin. Almost half Biden's gainsin Georgia came from the four largest counties—Fulton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, and Cobb—all in the Atlanta metro area with large Black populations.[348] Trump improved his overall share of the Black vote from 2016 by 4% and doubled the Black vote thatMitt Romney received in 2012.[349][350][347]

Asian American and Pacific Island voters

Polls showed that 68% of Asian American and Pacific Island (AAPI) voters supported Biden/Harris, while 28% supported Trump/Pence.Karthick Ramakrishnan, a political science professor at the University of California Riverside and founder of AAPI Data, said Asian Americans supported Biden over Trump by about a 2:1 margin.Korean Americans,Japanese Americans,Indian Americans, andChinese Americans favored Biden by higher margins overall compared toVietnamese Americans andFilipino Americans.[351] Many voters were turned off by Trump's language some of which was widely considered racist such as ("China virus" and "kung flu") but, according toVox reporter Terry Nguyen, many Vietnamese voters (and especially elderly, South Vietnamese migrants who populated coastal centers in the 1970s) appreciated his strong anti-China stance.[352]

Indian American voters

Data fromFiveThirtyEight indicated 65% of Indian American voters backed Joe Biden, and 28% supported Donald Trump.[351] Some Indian Americans self-identified with Kamala Harris, but others approved of Donald Trump's support of Indian Prime MinisterNarendra Modi.[353] In a speech given to 50,000 Indian-Americans during his2019 visit to the US, Modi praised Trump with remarks that were interpreted as an indirect endorsement of his candidacy.[354] Indian right-wing organizations like theHindu Sena had performed specialhavans andpujas for Trump's electoral victory.[355]

American Indian and Alaska Native voters

Pre-election voter surveys byIndian Country Today found 68% ofAmerican Indian andAlaska Native voters supporting Democratic nominee Joe Biden.[356] In particular, theNavajo Reservation, which spans a large quadrant of eastern Arizona and western New Mexico, delivered up to 97% of their votes per precinct to Biden,[357] while overall support for Biden was between 60 and 90% on the Reservation.[358] Biden also posted large turnout amongHavasupai,Hopi, andTohono O'odham peoples,[359] delivering a large win in New Mexico and flipping Arizona.

In Montana, while the state went for Trump overall, Biden won counties overlapping reservations of theBlackfeet,Fort Belknap,Crow andNorthern Cheyenne.[360] The same pattern held in South Dakota, with most of the counties overlapping the lands of theStanding Rock Sioux,Cheyenne River Sioux,Oglala Sioux,Rosebud Sioux andCrow Creek tribes going for Biden. For example, inOglala Lakota County, which overlaps with thePine Ridge Indian Reservation, Biden won 88% of the vote.[360]

Trump's strongest performance among Native tribes was with theLumbee Tribe of North Carolina, where he won a strong majority inRobeson County and flippedScotland County from Democratic to Republican.[361] Trump had campaigned inLumberton, in Robeson County, and had promised theLumbeesfederal recognition.[361]

Polling accuracy

Although polls generally predicted the Biden victory, the national polls overestimated him by three to four points, and some state polling was even further from the actual result and greater than 2016's error (one or two points).[362] The numbers represented the highest level of error since the1980 presidential election.[363] This polling overestimation also applied in several Senate races, where the Democrats underperformed by about five points relative to the polls,[364] as well as the House elections, where Republicans gained seats instead of losing as polls predicted. Most pollsters underestimated support for Trump in several key battleground states, including Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Texas, and Wisconsin. The discrepancy between poll predictions and the actual result persisted from the 2016 election despite pollsters' attempts to fix problems with polling in 2016, in which they underestimated the Republican vote in several states. The imprecise polls led to changes in campaigning and fundraising decisions for both Democrats and Republicans.[362]

According toThe New York Times, polling misses have been attributed to, among other issues, reduced average response to polling; the relative difficulty to poll certain types of voters; and pandemic-related problems, such as a theory which suggests Democrats were less willing to vote in person on Election Day than Republicans for fear of contracting COVID-19.[362] According toCNN, research presented to theAmerican Association for Public Opinion Research indicated one of the primary problems was an inability by pollsters to include a certain segment of Trump supporters, either due to inaccessibility or lack of participation.[363]New Statesman data journalist Ben Walker pointed to Hispanics as a historically difficult group to poll accurately, leading to pollsters underestimating the level of Trump support within the demographic group.[365] Election analystNate Silver ofFiveThirtyEight argued that the polling error in 2020 was normal by historical standards.[366]

Siena College Research Institute reported that a significant source of polling error was the discounting of partial responses by "mistrustful Trump supporters" who "yelled" at their callers; when someone would "say 'I'm voting for Trump—fuck you,' and then hang up before completing the rest of the survey," it would not be counted as a response. Such "partials" made up "nearly half of Siena's error rate."[367]

Aftermath

See also:Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election

Election night

Voters cast ballots atRoosevelt High School inDes Moines, Iowa

Election night, November 3, ended without a clear winner, as many state results were too close to call and millions of votes remained uncounted, including in the battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada.[368] Results were delayed in these states due to local rules on counting mail-in ballots.[369] Mail-in ballots became particularly prevalent in the 2020 election due to the widespread outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Over roughly 67 million mail-in ballots were submitted, over doubling the previous election's 33.5 million.[370] In a victory declared after midnight, Trump won the swing state of Florida by over three percentage points, an increase from his 1.2 percentage point margin in 2016, having seen significant gains in support among the Latino community inMiami-Dade County.[371]

Shortly after 12:30 a.m. EST, Biden made a short speech in which he urged his supporters to be patient while the votes are counted, and said he believed he was "on track to win this election".[372][373] Shortly before 2:30 a.m. EST, Trump made a speech to a roomful of supporters, falsely asserting that he had won the election and calling for a stop to all vote counting, saying that continued counting was "a fraud on the American people" and "we will be going to the U.S. Supreme Court."[374][375] The Biden campaign denounced these attempts, claiming the Trump campaign was engaging in a "naked effort to take away the democratic rights of American citizens".[376]

Late counting

In Pennsylvania, where the counting of mail-in ballots began on election night, Trump declared victory on November 4 with a lead of 675,000 votes, despite more than a million ballots remaining uncounted. Trump also declared victory in North Carolina and Georgia, despite many ballots being uncounted.[377] At 11:20 p.m. EST on election night, Fox News projected Biden would win Arizona, with the Associated Press making the same call at 2:50 a.m. EST on November 4;[378][379] several other media outlets concluded the state was too close to call.[380][381] By the evening of November 4, the Associated Press reported that Biden had secured 264 electoral votes by winning Michigan and Wisconsin, with Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and Nevada remaining uncalled.[382] Biden had a 1% lead in Nevada[383] and maintained a 2.3% lead in Arizona by November 5,[384] needing only to win Nevada and Arizona or to win Pennsylvania to obtain the necessary 270 electoral votes.[382]

Some Trump supporters expressed concerns of possible fraud after seeing the president leading in some states on Election Night, only to see Biden take the lead in subsequent days. Election experts[385] attributed this to several factors, including a "red mirage" of early results being counted in relatively thinly populated rural areas that favored Trump, which are quicker to count, followed later by results from more heavily populated urban areas that favored Biden, which take longer to count. In some states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, Republican-controlled legislatures prohibited mail-in ballots from being counted before Election Day, and once those ballots were counted they generally favored Biden, at least in part because Trump had for months raised concerns about mail-in ballots, encouraging his supporters instead to vote in person. By contrast, in states such as Florida, which allowed counting of mail-in ballots for weeks prior to Election Day, an earlyblue shift giving the appearance of a Biden lead was later overcome by in-person voting that favored Trump, resulting in the state being called for the president on Election Night.[386][387][388]

On November 5, a federal judge dismissed a lawsuit by the Trump campaign to stop vote-counting in Pennsylvania. The Trump campaign had alleged that its observers were not given access to observe the vote, but its lawyers admitted during the hearing that its observers were already present in the vote-counting room.[389] Also that day, a state judge dismissed another lawsuit by the Trump campaign which alleged that in Georgia, late-arriving ballots were counted. The judge ruled no evidence had been produced that the ballots were late.[390] Meanwhile, a state judge in Michigan dismissed the Trump campaign's lawsuit requesting a pause in vote-counting to allow access to observers, as the judge noted that vote-counting had already finished in Michigan.[391] That judge also noted the official complaint did not state "why", "when, where, or by whom" an election observer was allegedly blocked from observing ballot-counting in Michigan.[392]

On November 6, Biden assumed leads in Pennsylvania and Georgia as the states continued to count ballots, and absentee votes in those states heavily favored Biden.[393] Due to the slim margin between Biden and Trump in the state,Georgia Secretary of StateBrad Raffensperger announced on November 6 that a recount would be held in Georgia. At that point, Georgia had not seen "any widespread irregularities" in this election, according to the voting system manager of the state,Gabriel Sterling.[394]

Also, on November 6, U.S. Supreme Court JusticeSamuel Alito issued an order requiring officials in Pennsylvania to segregate late-arriving ballots, amid a dispute as to whether the state's Supreme Court validly ordered a 3-day extension of the deadline for mail-in ballots to arrive.[395] Several Republican attorneys general filed amicus briefs before the U.S. Supreme Court in subsequent days agreeing with the Pennsylvania Republican Party's view that only the state legislature could change the voting deadline.[396]

By November 7, several prominent Republicans had publicly denounced Trump's claims of electoral fraud, saying they were unsubstantiated, baseless or without evidence, damaging to the election process, undermining democracy and dangerous to political stability while others supported his demand of transparency.[397] According toCNN, people close to Donald Trump, such as his son-in-law and senior adviserJared Kushner and his wifeMelania Trump, urged him to accept his defeat. While Donald Trump privately acknowledged the outcome of the presidential election, he nonetheless encouraged his legal team to continue pursuing legal challenges.[398] Trump expected to win the election in Arizona, but when Fox News declared Biden the victor of the state, Trump became furious and claimed the result was due to fraud.[399]Trump and his allies suffered approximately 50 legal losses in four weeks after starting their litigation.[400] In view of these legal defeats, Trump began to employ "a public pressure campaign on state and local Republican officials to manipulate the electoral system on his behalf".[399][401][402][403]

Election protests

Main article:Demonstrations in support of Donald Trump § 2021
Spontaneous celebration of Trump's loss atFrederick Douglass Circle in New York City on November 7, 2020

Protests against Trump's challenges to the election results occurred in Minneapolis, Portland, New York, and other cities. Police in Minneapolis arrested more than 600 demonstrators for blocking traffic on an interstate highway. In Portland, the National Guard was called out after some protesters smashed windows and threw objects at police.[404] At the same time, groups of Trump supporters gathered outside of election centers in Phoenix, Detroit, and Philadelphia, shouting objections to counts that showed Biden leading or gaining ground.[404] In Arizona, where Biden's lead was shrinking as more results were reported, the pro-Trump protesters mostly demanded that all remaining votes be counted, while in Michigan and Pennsylvania, where Trump's lead shrank and disappeared altogether as more results were reported, they called for the count to be stopped.[405]

False claims of fraud

See also:Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election,Republican reactions to Donald Trump's claims of 2020 election fraud, andBig lie § Donald Trump's false claims of a stolen election
Screenshot of a tweet from Trump's Twitter account where he repeatedly and falsely claimed he had won.[406][407]
To sow election doubt, Trump escalated use of "rigged election" and "election interference" statements in advance of the 2024 election compared to the previous two elections—the statements described as part of a "heads I win; tails you cheated" rhetorical strategy.[408]

Trump and a variety of his surrogates and supporters made a series of observably false claims that the election was fraudulent. Claims that substantial fraud was committed have been repeatedly debunked.[409][410] On November 9 and 10,The New York Times called the offices of top election officials in every state; all 45 of those who responded said there was no evidence of fraud. Some described the election as remarkably successful considering the coronavirus pandemic, the record turnout, and the unprecedented number ofmailed ballots.[411] On November 12, theCybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) issued a statement calling the 2020 election "the most secure in American history" and noting "[t]here is no evidence that any voting system deleted or lost votes, changed votes, or was in any way compromised."[412] Five days later, Trump fired the director of CISA, whom he had appointed in 2018.[413]

As ballots were still being counted two days after Election Day, Trump falsely asserted that there was "tremendous corruption and fraud going on", adding: "If you count the legal votes, I easily win. If you count the illegal votes, they can try to steal the election from us."[414] Trump has repeatedly claimed as suspicious that mail-in ballots showed significantly more support for Biden.[415] Thisblue shift phenomenon is believed to occur because more Democrats than Republicans tend to vote by mail, and mail ballots are counted after Election Day in many states. Leading up to the 2020 election, the effect was predicted to be even greater than usual, as Trump's attacks on mail-in voting may have deterred Republicans from casting mail ballots.[416]

In early January 2021, Trump falsely proclaimed that he had by rights won all 50 states in the presidential election and a 535 to 3 electoral college victory. On January 2, during his phone call toBrad Raffensperger, theGeorgia Secretary of State, Trump said, "As you know, every single state. We won every state; we won every statehouse in the country... But we won every single statehouse."[417] Two days later, on January 4, Trump appeared at a campaign rally inDalton, Georgia, supporting Republican senatorsDavid Perdue andKelly Loeffler. During his speech at the rally, Trump again asserted that he won "every single state", and "We win every state, and they're going to have this guy [Biden] be President?"[418]

Many claims of purported voter fraud were discovered to be false or misleading. In Fulton County, Georgia, the number of votes affected was 342, with no breakdown of which candidates they were for.[419] Aviral video of a Pennsylvania poll worker filling out a ballot was found to be a case of a damaged ballot being replicated to ensure proper counting, while a video claiming to show a man taking ballots illegally to aDetroit counting center was found to show a photographer transporting his equipment.[420][421] Another video of a poll watcher being turned away inPhiladelphia was found to be real, but the poll watcher had subsequently been allowed inside after a misunderstanding had been resolved.[422] A viral tweet claimed 14,000 votes inWayne County, Michigan, were cast by dead people, but the list of names included was found to be incorrect.[423] The Trump campaign and Fox News commentatorTucker Carlson also claimed a man named James Blalock had voted in Georgia despite having died in 2006, but in fact his 94-year-old widow had registered and voted as Mrs. James Blalock.[424] InErie, Pennsylvania, a postal worker who claimed the postmaster had instructed postal workers to backdate ballots mailed after Election Day later admitted he had fabricated the claim. Prior to this recantation, Republican senatorLindsey Graham cited the claim in a letter to the Justice Department calling for an investigation, and aGoFundMe page created for the postal worker "patriot" raised $136,000.[425]

Days after Biden had been declared the winner, White House press secretaryKayleigh McEnany asserted without evidence that the Democratic Party was welcoming fraud and illegal voting.[426] Republican former speaker of the HouseNewt Gingrich stated on Fox News, "I think that it is a corrupt, stolen election."[427] Appearing at apress conference outside a Philadelphia landscaping business as Biden was being declared the winner, Trump's personal attorneyRudy Giuliani asserted without evidence that hundreds of thousands of ballots were questionable.[428] Responding to Giuliani, a spokesperson for Pennsylvania Attorney GeneralJosh Shapiro said: "Many of the claims against the commonwealth have already been dismissed, and repeating these false attacks is reckless. No active lawsuit even alleges, and no evidence presented so far has shown, widespread problems."[411]

One week after the election, RepublicanPhiladelphia city commissionerAl Schmidt said he had not seen any evidence of widespread fraud, stating, "I have seen the most fantastical things onsocial media, making completely ridiculous allegations that have no basis in fact at all and see them spread." He added that his office had examined a list of dead people who purportedly voted in Philadelphia but "not a single one of them voted in Philadelphia after they died." Trump derided Schmidt, tweeting, "He refuses to look at a mountain of corruption & dishonesty. We win!"[429]

Attorneys who brought accusations of voting fraud or irregularities before judges could not produce valid evidence to support the allegations. In one instance, a Trump attorney sought to have ballot counting halted in Detroit on the basis of a Republican poll watcher's claim that an unidentified person had said ballots were being backdated;Michigan Court of Appeals judgeCynthia Stephens dismissed the argument as "inadmissible hearsay within hearsay".[430][431] Some senior attorneys at law firms working for Trump, notablyJones Day, expressed concerns that they were undermining the integrity of American elections by advancing arguments without evidence.[432]

Trump and his lawyers Giuliani andSidney Powell repeatedly made the false claim that theToronto,Ontario-based firmDominion Voting Systems, which had supplied voting machines for 27 states, was a "communist" organization controlled by billionaireGeorge Soros, former Venezuelan presidentHugo Chávez (who died in 2013), or theChinese Communist Party, and that the machines had "stolen" hundreds of thousands of votes from Trump. Defamatory rumors about the company circulated on social media, amplified by more than a dozen tweets or retweets by Trump. Thedisinformation campaign prompted threats and harassment against Dominion employees.[433]

A December 2020 poll showed 77% of Republicans believed widespread fraud occurred during the election, along with 35% of independent voters.[434] Overall, 60% of Americans believed Biden's win was legitimate, 34% did not, and 6% were unsure. Another poll taken in late December showed a similar result, with 62% of Americans polled believing Biden was the legitimate winner of the election, while 37% did not.[435] This split in popular opinion remained largely stable, with a January 10, 2021, poll commissioned by ABC News showing 68% of Americans believed Biden's win was legitimate and 32% did not.[436] These numbers remained largely stagnant, with a June 2021 poll from Monmouth showing 61% believed Biden won fair and square, 32% believed he won due to fraud, and 7% were unsure.[437] More than a year later, public opinion on the matter still remained stagnant, with a poll commissioned by ABC News finding that 65% of Americans believed Biden's win was legitimate, 33% believed it was not legitimate, and 2% were unsure. The same poll also found that 72% of Americans thought the people involved in the attack on the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021, were attacking democracy, while 25% thought they were protecting democracy, and 3% were unsure.[438] A March 2022 poll commissioned by the conservativeRasmussen Reports found that 52% of voters think that it is likely that cheating "affected the outcome of the 2020 presidential election." while 40% of voters believe that it is unlikely. 33% say that cheating was very likely, 19% say it was somewhat likely, 13% say it was somewhat unlikely, and 27% say it was very unlikely.[439]

Motivated by the myth of widespread fraud, Republican state lawmakers initiated apush to make voting laws more restrictive.[440]

On December 13, 2024, just over a month after the2024 United States presidential election, thePublic Religion Research Institute published the results of a survey conducted shortly after that election, between November 8 and December 2. The survey focused primarily on the 2024 election but included questions about the claim that the 2020 election was stolen from Trump: 63 percent of Republicans and 31 percent of voters overall still agreed that the 2020 election had been stolen from Trump.[441]Z

Lawsuits

Main article:Post-election lawsuits related to the 2020 United States presidential election

After the election, theTrump campaign filed lawsuits in multiple states, including Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.[442] Lawyers and other observers noted the suits were unlikely to affect the outcome.Loyola Law School professor Justin Levitt said, "There's literally nothing that I've seen yet with the meaningful potential to affect the final result."[443]Some law firms moved to drop their representation in lawsuits challenging results of the election.[444]

Trump unsuccessfully sought to overturn Biden's win in Georgia through litigation; suits by the Trump campaign and allies were rejected by both theGeorgia Supreme Court[445] and by federal courts.[446][447] Trump also sought to overturn Biden's win by pressuring Kemp to call a special session of theGeorgia General Assembly so state legislators could override the Georgia election results and appoint a pro-Trump slate of electors, an entreaty rebuffed by Kemp.[448]

On December 20, Giuliani filed a petition with the U.S. Supreme Court, asking them to overturn the results of the Pennsylvania election and direct the state legislature to appoint electors. The Supreme Court was regarded as very unlikely to grant this petition, and in any case Biden would still have a majority of Electoral College votes without Pennsylvania.[449] The Court set the deadline for reply briefs from the respondents for January 22, 2021, two days afterPresident Elect Biden's inauguration.[450]

Texas v. Pennsylvania

Main article:Texas v. Pennsylvania

On December 9,Ken Paxton, the Attorney General of Texas, filed a lawsuit in the Supreme Court, asking the court to overturn the results in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Georgia. Attorneys general of seventeen other states also signed onto the lawsuit.[451][452][453] In the House of Representatives, 126 Republicans—more than two-thirds of the Republican caucus—signed anamicus brief in support of the lawsuit.[454] The suit was rejected by the Supreme Court on December 11, due to a lack ofstanding.[455][456]

Trump's refusal to concede

Main article:Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election § Refusal to accept 2020 electoral loss
CNN fact checkerDaniel Dale reported that through June 9, 2021, Trump had issued 132 written statements since leaving office, of which "a third have included lies about the election"—more than any other subject.[457]

Early in the morning on November 4, with vote counts still going on in many states, Trump claimed he had won: "This is an embarrassment to our country. We were getting ready to win this election, frankly we did win this election."[458] For weeks after the networks had called the election for Biden, Trump refused toacknowledge that Biden had won. Unlike everylosing major party presidential candidate before him, Trump refused to formally concede, breaking with the tradition of formal concession started in 1896, whenWilliam Jennings Bryan sent a congratulatory telegram to President-electWilliam McKinley.[459] Biden described Trump's refusal as "an embarrassment".[460]

In the wake of the election, Trump's White House ordered government agencies not to cooperate with the Biden transition team in any way,[461] and theGeneral Services Administration (GSA) refused to formally acknowledge Biden's victory,[462]

Trump finally acknowledged Biden's victory in a tweet on November 15, although he refused to concede and blamed his loss on fraud, stating: "He won because the Election was Rigged." Trump then tweeted: "I concede NOTHING! We have a long way to go."[463][464]

In a June 2021 interview withSean Hannity, Trump stated that "we didn't win" and said that he wished President Biden success in international diplomacy, whichForbes declared as Trump "[coming] as close as he's ever been to conceding his 2020 election loss."[465]

GSA delays certifying Biden as president-elect

Main article:Presidential transition of Joe Biden § Delays in initiating the transition

Although all major media outlets called the election for Biden on November 7, the head of theGeneral Services Administration (GSA), Trump appointeeEmily W. Murphy, refused for over two weeks to certify Biden as the president-elect. Without formal GSA ascertainment of the winner, the official transition process was delayed.[466] On November 23, Murphy acknowledged Biden as the winner and said the Trump administration would begin the transition. Trump said he had instructed his administration to "do what needs to be done" but did not concede, and indicated he would continue his fight to overturn the election results.[467]

Attempts to delay or deny election results

Main article:Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election
Texas v. Pennsylvania motion (left), which called for the Supreme Court to nullify the election, andamicus curiae brief from 17 states (right)

In November, Trump focused his efforts on trying to delay vote certifications at the county and state level.[468] On December 2, Trump posted a 46-minute video to hissocial media in which he repeated his baseless claims that the election was "rigged" and fraudulent, and he called for either state legislatures or courts to overturn the election and allow him to stay in office.[469] He continued to pressure elected Republicans in Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania in an unprecedented attempt to overturn his loss. Some commentators have characterized Trump's actions as an attemptedcoup d'état orself-coup.[470]

On December 15, the day after the electoral college vote, Republican Senate Majority leaderMitch McConnell, who was previously said he would not recognize the election results, publicly accepted Biden's win, saying, "Today, I want to congratulate President-elect Joe Biden."[471]

A December 18 meeting in the White House discussedMichael Flynn's suggestion to overturn the election by invokingmartial law and rerunning the election in several swing states under military supervision.[472][473][474] Army SecretaryRyan D. McCarthy and Army Chief of Staff GeneralJames McConville later issued a joint statement saying: "There is no role for the U.S. military in determining the outcome of an American election."[475] In a December 20 tweet, Trump dismissed accusations that he wanted to declare martial law as "fake news".[476]

In a December 21 news conference, outgoing attorney generalWilliam Barr disavowed several actions reportedly being considered by Trump, including seizing voting machines, appointing a special counsel to investigate voter fraud, and appointing one to investigateHunter Biden.[477]

Plot for state legislatures to choose electors

Main article:Trump fake electors plot § Plot for state legislatures to choose electors

Both before and after the election, Trump and other Republican leaders publicly considered asking certain Republican-controlled state legislatures to selectpresidential electors favoring Trump, even if Biden won the popular vote in those states.[478] In Pennsylvania, a state which Biden won, the president's personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani asked a federal judge to consider allowing the Republican-controlled state legislature to select electors.[479] Legal experts, including New York University law professor Richard Pildes, have raised numerous legal and political objections to this policy, noting that in various battleground states, Democratic Party members holding statewide office would thwart such efforts,[480] and ultimately Congress would probably reject the votes of legislatively appointed electors over those elected by the voters.[481] Law professorLawrence Lessig noted that while the Constitution grants state legislatures the power to determine how electors are selected, including the power to directly appoint them,Article II, Section 1, Clause 4 gives Congress the power to determine when electors must be appointed, which they have designated to beElection Day, meaning that legislatures cannot change how electors are appointed for an election after this date.[482] In modern times, most states have used a popular vote within their state as the determining factor in who gets all the state's electors,[480] and changing election rules after an election could also violate the Constitution'sDue Process Clause.[483]

Pressure on state and local officials

Main article:Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election § Trump's attempt to pressure state officials

As the Trump campaign's lawsuits were repeatedly rejected in court, Trump personally communicated with Republican local and state officials in at least three states, including state legislators, attorneys general, and governors who had supported him during and after the elections. He pressured them to overturn the election results in their states by recounting votes, throwing out certain votes, or getting the state legislature to replace the elected Democratic slate of Electoral College members with a Republican slate of electors chosen by the legislature.[484] In late November, he personally phoned Republican members of two county electoral boards in Michigan, urging them to reverse their vote certifications.[485] He invited members of the Michigan state legislature to the White House, where they declined his suggestion that they choose a new slate of electors.[486] He repeatedly spoke to the Republican governor of Georgia and the secretary of state, demanding that they reverse their state's election results, and retaliating when they did not, strongly criticizing them in speeches and tweets, and demanding that the governor resign.[487]

During the first week of December, Trump twice phoned thespeaker of thePennsylvania state House of Representatives, urging him to appoint a replacement slate of electors; the speaker said he did not have that power but later joined in a letter encouraging the state's representatives in Congress to dispute the results.[484] On January 4The Washington Post reported that in a phone call on January 2, Trump pressured Georgia secretary of stateBrad Raffensperger to overturn the state's result, telling him "I just want to find 11,780 votes" and threatening him with legal action if he did not cooperate.[488][489] On January 4, 2021, Democratic congressional leaders, believing Trump "engaged in solicitation of, or conspiracy to commit, a number of election crimes," requested the FBI to investigate the incident.[490] In addition, while some House Republicans tried to defend Trump's Georgia call, Democrats began drafting acensure resolution.[491] Two months laterThe Washington Post acknowledged that they had misquoted Trump, and added a correction to the article.[492] Also on January 2, 2021, Trump took part in a mass phone call with nearly 300 state legislators from Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, in which he urged them to "decertify" the election results in their states.[493]

Recounts

Main articles:2020 United States presidential election in Arizona § Audits and Recounts by Election Officials,2020 United States presidential election in Georgia § Statewide audit and recount, and2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin § Aftermath

On November 11, Georgia Secretary of StateBrad Raffensperger ordered a statewide hand recount of the vote in addition to the normal audit process. At the time, Biden held a lead of 13,558 votes.[494] The audit was concluded on November 19 and affirmed Biden's lead by 12,284 votes. Therefore, the results of the hand recount netted Trump 1,274 votes. The change in the count was due to a number of human errors, including memory cards that did not upload properly to the state servers, and was not attributable to any fraud in the original tally.[495][496] After certifying the results Republican governorBrian Kemp called for another hand audit, demanding to compare signatures on absentee ballot requests to actual ballots, despite the fact that this request was impossible,[446] as signatures on mail-in ballot applications and envelopes are checked when they are originally received by election offices, and that ballots are thereafter separated from envelopes to ensure the secrecy of the ballot.[497][498] The Trump campaign requested a machine recount, which was estimated to cost taxpayers $200,000 in one Georgia county alone.[499] On December 7, Biden was confirmed as the winner of the recount requested by Trump's campaign.[446]

On November 18, the Trump campaign wired $3 million to pay for partial recounts inMilwaukee County andDane County, Wisconsin, where Milwaukee and Madison, the two largest cities in the state and Democratic strongholds, are located.[500][501] During the recount, Milwaukee County election commissioner Tim Posnanski said several Republican observers were breaking rules by posing as independents.[502] The recount started November 20 and concluded on November 29, increasing Biden's lead by 87 votes.[503]

Electoral College votes

Thepresidential electors met in the state capitol of each state and in the District of Columbia on December 14, 2020, and formalized Biden's victory, casting 306 votes for Biden/Harris and 232 votes for Trump/Pence.[504][505] Unlike the 2016 election, there were nofaithless electors.[506] In sixswing states won by Biden, groups of self-appointed Republican "alternate electors" met on the same day to vote for Trump. These alternate slates were not signed by the governors of the states they claim to represent, did not have the backing of any state legislature, and have no legal status.[505][507]

Even after the casting of the electoral votes and rejection of his lawsuits seeking to overturn the election by at least 86 judges,[505] Trump refused to concede defeat.[504][505][508] In a speech following the Electoral College vote, Biden praised the resiliency of U.S. democratic institutions and the high election turnout (calling it "one of the most amazing demonstrations of civic duty we've ever seen in our country") and called for national unity. Biden also condemned Trump, and those who backed his efforts to subvert the election outcome, for adopting a stance "so extreme that we've never seen it before – a position that refused to respect the will of the people, refused to respect the rule of law and refused to honor our Constitution" and for exposing state election workers and officials to "political pressure, verbal abuse and even threats of physical violence" that was "simply unconscionable".[509][508]

Certification and January 6th

Main articles:2021 United States Electoral College vote count andJanuary 6 United States Capitol attack
Pro-Trump protestersstormed the U.S. Capitol Building on January 6, 2021.
Joint session of Congress certifying the election results alongside Mike Pence; January 7, 2021
January 6 United
States Capitol attack
TimelinePlanning
Background
Participants
Aftermath

The117th United States Congress first convened on January 3, 2021, and was scheduled to count and certify the Electoral College votes on January 6, 2021. There were 222 Democrats and 212 Republicans in the House; there were 51 Republicans, 46 Democrats, and two independents in the Senate. Several Republican members of the House and Senate said they would raise objections to the reported count in several states,[510][511] meeting the requirement that if a member from each body objects, the two houses must meet separately to discuss whether to accept the certified state vote.[512][513] A statement from the vice president's office said Pence welcomes the plan by Republicans to "raise objections and bring forward evidence" challenging the election results.[514]

On December 28, 2020, RepresentativeLouie Gohmert filed a lawsuit in Texas challenging theconstitutionality of theElectoral Count Act of 1887, claiming Vice President Pence has the power and ability to unilaterally decide which slates of electoral votes get counted.[515][516] The case was dismissed on January 1, 2021, for lack of both standing and jurisdiction.[517][518] The plaintiffs filed an appeal, and the appeal was dismissed by a three-judge panel of the appeals court the next day.[519]

As vice president, Pence was due to preside over the January 6, 2021, congressional session to count the electoral votes, which is normally a non-controversial, ceremonial event. In January 2021, Trump began to pressure Pence to take action to overturn the election, demanding both in public and in private that Pence use his position to overturn the election results in swing states and declare Trump and Pence the winners of the election.[520] Pence demurred that the law does not give him that power.[521]

Starting in December, Trump called for his supporters to stage a massive protest in Washington, D.C., on January 6 to argue against certification of the electoral vote, using tweets such as "Big protest in D.C. on January 6th. Be there, will be wild!"[522] D.C. police were concerned, and the National Guard was alerted because several rallies in December had turned violent.[523]

On January 6, 2021, shortly after Trump continued to press false claims of election fraud at arally on theEllipse in Washington, D.C., a crowd of Trump supportersstormed the United States Capitol, interrupting theJoint session of the United States Congress where the Electoral College ballots were being certified and forcing lawmakers to flee the chamber. As part of an organized effort by Republican lawmakers to challenge the results in close states, the House and the Senate were meeting separately to debate the results of Arizona's election and accepting the electoral college ballots submitted. Several other challenges were also planned. Congress reconvened that same night, after the Capitol was cleared of trespassers, and leaders of both parties, including Vice President Mike Pence, House SpeakerNancy Pelosi, and Senate Speaker Mitch McConnell urged the legislators to confirm the electors. The Senate resumed its session at around 8:00 p.m. to finish debating the objection to the Arizona and Pennsylvania electors were also considered. The joint session completed its work shortly before 4:00 a.m. on Thursday, January 7, declaring Biden and Harris the winners.[524][525][526][527][528][529][530]

The rioters entered the House and Senate chambers and vandalized offices. Five people died as a result: one person was shot by police, oneCapitol Police officer died from a stroke after fisticuffs with rioters,[531] one person died of a heart attack, another of a stroke, and the final death is still under investigation. Trump was accused of inciting the violence with his rhetoric,[532] an accusation reinforced with anarticle of impeachment on January 13 for "incitement of insurrection".[533] Several commentators viewed the attack on the Capitol Building as an indicator of political instability that could lead to political violence in future elections, ranging fromdomestic terrorism to a second American Civil War.[534][535][536][537][538][539]

Post-certification

On May 10, 2021, over 120 retired U.S. generals and admirals published an open letter alleging that there had been "election irregularities", suggesting that the election had not been "fair and honest" and did not "accurately reflect the "will of the people", and arguing for tighter restrictions on voting.[540] On May 12, 2021, U.S. RepresentativeLiz Cheney was removed from her party leadership role as Chair of theHouse Republican Conference, partially for continuing to assert that the election had been fair and that the election results were final.[541][542][543]

Well into Biden's presidency, Trump continued to insist that he had actually won the 2020 election.[544] As of August 2021, surveys found that a majority of Republicans believe Trump had won the 2020 election.[545] A widespread rumor predicted that Trump would be somehow reinstated to the presidency in August 2021, although the predicted date of August 13 passed without incident.[546]

Election audits

Main article:2021 Maricopa County presidential ballot audit

On March 31, 2021, the Republican caucus of theArizona State Senate hired several outside firms toexamine the results of the presidential and senatorial elections inMaricopa County, where Biden had won by a large margin.[547] There had been three previous audits and recounts of that county's results.[548] The examination was initially funded by $150,000 from the State Senate operating budget; additional funding was to come from outside sources.[549] In July the lead firm conducting the review released a summary of major donors, indicating $5.7 million was raised from five groups associated with individuals who hadcast doubt on the presidential election.[550] The audit began on April 22, 2021, and was expected to last 60 days.[551] The investigation was still ongoing in August when a judge issued an order for the release of documents.[552] On September 24, a preliminary release of the audit claimed to have found minor discrepancies in the original, state-certified count, which had actually widened Biden's margin by 360 votes.[553]

Viewership

Legend[554]

Cable news network
Broadcast network

Total television viewers
8:00 to 11:00 p.m. EST

NetworkViewers
Fox News13,638,000
CNN9,084,000
MSNBC7,310,000
ABC6,095,000
NBC5,633,000
CBS4,344,000
Fox3,278,000

Total cable TV viewers
6:00 p.m. to 3:00 a.m. EST

NetworkViewers
Fox News10,533,000
CNN6,771,000
MSNBC5,404,000

Television viewers 25 to 54
8:00 to 11:00 p.m. EST

NetworkViewers
Fox News4,901,000
CNN4,444,000
NBC2,510,000
MSNBC2,381,000
ABC2,283,000
CBS1,663,000
Fox1,608,000

Cable TV viewers 25 to 54
6:00 p.m. to 3:00 a.m. EST

NetworkViewers
Fox News3,853,000
CNN3,312,000
MSNBC1,739,000

See also

Notes

  1. ^abAbout 64% of votersvoted early before November 3 in person orby mail, with the earliest state starting on September 4.[7][8]
  2. ^The Federal Election Commission calculated a voter turnout of 62.8% in 2020, as the votes for president divided by the estimated U.S. population at or over age 18.[1] The denominator included U.S. residents ineligible to vote due to not being U.S. citizens or due to a criminal conviction, and excluded U.S. citizens residing in other countries who were eligible to vote. This turnout was an increase of 7.1pp compared to the turnout of 55.7% in the 2016 election, calculated by the same institution with the same basis.[2]

    The U.S. Census Bureau calculated a voter turnout of 66.8% in 2020, as the people reporting having voted divided by the estimated U.S. population at or over age 18 who were U.S. citizens. The denominator excluded U.S. residents ineligible to vote due to not being U.S. citizens, but included those ineligible due to a criminal conviction and excluded U.S. citizens residing in other countries who were eligible to vote. This turnout was an increase of 5.4pp compared to the turnout of 61.4% in the 2016 election, calculated by the same institution with the same basis.[3]

    The U.S. Elections Project calculated a voter turnout of 66.6% in 2020, as the total ballots divided by the estimated population that was eligible to vote.[4] The denominator excluded U.S. residents ineligible to vote due to not being U.S. citizens or due to a criminal conviction, and included U.S. citizens residing in other countries who were eligible to vote. This turnout was an increase of 6.5pp compared to the turnout of 60.1% in the 2016 election, calculated by the same institution with the same basis.[5]
  3. ^Trump's official state of residence wasNew York in the2016 election, but it was changed toFlorida when his permanent residence was switched fromTrump Tower toMar-a-Lago in 2019.[6]
  4. ^The previous two female vice presidential nominees wereGeraldine Ferraro in1984 andSarah Palin in2008.
  5. ^Although claimed in Hawkins's campaign website, he did not obtain write-in access in Montana.[49]
  6. ^Candidates inbold were listed on ballots of states representing most of theelectoral college. Other candidates were listed on ballots of more than one stateand were listed on ballots or werewrite-in candidates in states representing most of the electoral college.
  7. ^In some states, some presidential candidates were listed with a different or no vice presidential candidate.
  8. ^In some states, some candidates were listed with a different or additional party, a label, or asindependent or unaffiliated.
  9. ^Andrew Johnson received votes during the1868 Democratic National Convention, four months after having beenimpeached.[68]
  10. ^Following the cancellation of the planned second debate on October 9, both candidates held separate but simultaneous televisedtown hall events on the intended date of October 15. Trump's was broadcast on NBC, moderated bySavannah Guthrie, while Biden's was on ABC, moderated byGeorge Stephanopoulos.[234]
  11. ^abCalculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. ^Tossup: 50%–59%, Lean: 60%–74%, Likely: 75%–94%, Solid: 95%–100%
  13. ^AlthoughRonald Reagan in1980 andBill Clinton in1992 defeated their incumbent opponents by wider popular-vote margins than Biden's, their shares of the vote were kept lower by substantialthird-party voting.
  14. ^RepublicansGeorge H. W. Bush in1988 andGeorge W. Bush in2000 won the presidency withoutIowa.
  15. ^Percentage point difference in margin from the2016 election
  16. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrThese candidates may have received write-in votes, which were not reported individually and are included inothers.
  17. ^abVotes forJesse Ventura andCynthia McKinney, who were nominated to the ballot by theGreen Party of Alaska instead of the national candidates,[327] are included inothers. Hawkins/Walker may have received write-in votes, which were not reported individually and are also included inothers.
  18. ^Others andtotal votes include votes for the ballot option "none of these candidates", which are counted as valid votes by theNevada Secretary of State.
  19. ^Additional candidates may have received write-in votes, which were not reported and are not included inothers,total votes or percentages.
  20. ^This table reflects the results certified by the state, which recorded some write-in votes differently from those reported by some counties.[328][329]
  21. ^abcdefAlaska and Louisiana do not have counties. Alaska'sboroughs and census areas and Louisiana'sparishes are pictured.
  1. ^In every presidential election from1788–89 through1828, multiple state legislatures selected their presidential electors by discretionary appointment rather than upon the results of a poll, while theSouth Carolina General Assembly did so inevery presidential election through1860 and theColorado General Assembly selected itsstate's electors by discretionary appointment in the1876 election.

References

  1. ^abcdefgh"Federal Elections 2020"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. October 2022.
  2. ^"Federal Elections 2016"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. December 2017.Archived(PDF) from the original on December 2, 2019. RetrievedNovember 25, 2020.
  3. ^Table A-1. Reported Voting and Registration by Race, Hispanic Origin, Sex and Age Groups: November 1964 to 2020Archived August 28, 2022, at theWayback Machine, U.S. Census Bureau.
  4. ^ab"2020 November General Election Turnout Rates".electproject.org.Archived from the original on April 30, 2021. RetrievedNovember 14, 2022.
  5. ^"2016 November General Election Turnout Rates".electproject.org.
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