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2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
← 2014
November 3, 2020
 
NomineeJim InhofeAbby Broyles
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote979,140509,763
Percentage62.91%32.75%
County results
Congressional district results
Inhofe:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
U.S. senator before election

Jim Inhofe
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jim Inhofe
Republican

Elections in Oklahoma
Government

The2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Oklahoma, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives, and variousstate and local elections. IncumbentRepublican SenatorJim Inhofe won reelection to a fifth full term, defeating Democratic challenger Abby Broyles.[1]

This proved to be the fifth U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma in a row in which the Democratic nominee failed to carry any of Oklahoma's counties, but Broyles came very close to breaking this drought, losingOklahoma County by less than one percentage point. To date, this election has seen the largest age-gap between major party nominees in a U.S. Senate election, as Inhofe was nearly 55 years older than Broyles.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jim Inhofe

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Inhofe
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJim Inhofe (incumbent)277,86874.05
RepublicanJ.J. Stitt57,43315.31
RepublicanJohn Tompkins23,5636.28
RepublicanNeil Mavis16,3634.36
Total votes375,227100.00

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Abby Broyles, attorney and formerKFOR news reporter[9]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Abby Broyles

Organizations

Unions

  • Oklahoma Building Trades[17]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Broyles
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Cassity
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAbby Broyles163,92160.45
DemocraticElysabeth Britt45,20616.67
DemocraticSheila Bilyeu32,35011.93
DemocraticR. O. Joe Cassity, Jr.29,69810.95
Total votes271,175100.00

Other candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Robert Murphy, nominee for U.S. Senate in2016[18]

Independents

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[19]Safe ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections[20]Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[22]Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico[23]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP[24]Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ[25]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538[26]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist[27]Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Additional general election endorsements

[edit]
Abby Broyles (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Organizations

Unions

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
%support01020304050602/17/20207/30/20209/20/2020InhofeBroylesOther/UndecidedOpinion polling for the 2020 United States S...
Viewsource data.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Jim
Inhofe (R)		Abby
Broyles (D)		OtherUndecided
SoonerPoll[38]October 15–20, 20205,466 (LV)± 1.33%56%37%2%[b]4%
Amber Integrated[39]September 17–20, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%46%30%5%[c]19%
SoonerPoll[40]September 2–8, 2020486 (LV)± 4.45%57%33%3%[d]6%
DFM Research (D)[41][A]July 29–30, 2020572 (LV)± 4.1%50%34%5%[e]11%
Amber Integrated[42]March 5–8, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%57%31%–12%
Abby Broyles[43][A]Released February 17, 2020– (V)[f]–56%44%––
Hypothetical polling

with generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Jim
Inhofe (R)		Generic
Democrat (D)		Undecided
Amber Integrated[44]June 3–4, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%54%34%12%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020[45]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJim Inhofe (incumbent)979,14062.91%–5.10
DemocraticAbby Broyles509,76332.75%+4.20
LibertarianRobert Murphy34,4352.21%N/A
IndependentJoan Farr21,6521.39%+0.11
IndependentA. D. Nesbit11,3710.73%N/A
Total votes1,556,361100.0%N/A
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyJim Inhofe
Republican		Abby Broyles
Democratic		Robert Murphy
Libertarian		Joan Farr
Independent		A. D. Nesbit
Independent		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Adair5,13472.581,61522.831381.951241.75630.893,51949.757,074
Alfalfa1,89984.1026211.60462.04381.68130.581,63772.502,258
Atoka4,38081.9379814.93831.55541.01310.583,58267.005,346
Beaver1,88987.291959.01431.99221.02150.691,69478.282,164
Beckham6,41780.951,19615.091782.25891.12470.595,22165.867,927
Blaine2,98776.8775119.33651.67591.52240.622,23657.543,886
Bryan11,92874.993,33520.973582.251851.161010.638,59354.0215,907
Caddo6,76168.722,66527.091861.891511.53750.764,09641.639,838
Canadian41,51967.3117,38628.191,5252.478181.334330.7024,13339.1261,681
Carter14,34473.854,35222.413451.782431.251400.729,99251.4419,424
Cherokee10,24958.036,51936.914362.473021.711560.883,73021.1217,662
Choctaw4,55578.511,07018.44741.28671.15360.623,48560.075,802
Cimarron94890.89646.14141.34111.0560.5888484.751,043
Cleveland64,54053.9849,63241.512,8902.421,6351.378570.7214,90812.47119,554
Coal1,96479.1643017.33331.33301.21240.971,53461.832,481
Comanche21,02659.2512,68735.758522.405961.683270.928,33923.5035,488
Cotton2,11482.5135813.97391.52331.29180.701,75668.542,562
Craig4,27871.221,44624.071442.40941.56450.752,83247.146,007
Creek22,09772.636,95622.866882.264861.601990.6515,14149.7730,426
Custer7,73572.542,45423.012752.581341.26650.615,28149.5310,663
Delaware12,82974.673,70021.542831.652491.451200.709,12953.1317,181
Dewey2,04586.8725310.75291.23200.8570.301,79276.122,354
Ellis1,62186.8718710.02281.50180.96120.641,43476.851,866
Garfield16,30672.965,00622.405192.323321.491850.8311,30050.5622,348
Garvin8,50478.111,99318.311641.511371.26890.826,51159.8010,887
Grady17,70076.814,50319.543971.722831.231600.6913,19757.2723,043
Grant1,83582.8430413.72371.67241.08150.681,53169.122,215
Greer1,53478.3534717.72402.04190.97180.921,18760.631,958
Harmon73078.2418219.51121.2960.6430.3254858.73933
Harper1,29087.041449.72181.21221.4880.541,14677.321,482
Haskell3,89278.2092618.61811.63490.98290.582,96659.594,977
Hughes3,66075.811,00220.75751.55651.35260.542,65855.064,828
Jackson6,40778.241,44717.671942.371001.22410.504,96060.578,189
Jefferson1,94382.3732313.69451.91321.36160.681,62068.682,359
Johnston3,31878.6674917.76681.61571.35260.622,56960.904,218
Kay12,21971.074,15924.193692.152861.661610.948,06046.8817,194
Kingfisher5,33282.6289513.871302.01731.13240.374,43768.756,454
Kiowa2,59275.7773021.34571.67230.67190.561,86254.433,421
Latimer3,17275.1888320.93671.59571.35400.952,28954.254,219
Le Flore14,48477.683,46218.573201.722691.441100.5911,02259.1118,645
Lincoln11,44577.162,76718.653122.102051.381040.708,67858.5114,833
Logan15,04470.005,54225.795162.402471.151410.669,50244.2121,490
Love3,23079.5870117.27561.38441.08280.692,52962.314,059
Major2,99286.4534810.05712.05391.13110.322,64476.403,461
Marshall12,21971.074,15924.193692.152861.661610.948,06046.8817,194
Mayes11,82671.423,97323.993532.132721.641340.817,85347.4316,558
McClain14,60376.093,86120.123972.072131.111190.6210,74255.9719,193
McCurtain9,02179.611,94117.131721.521321.16660.587,08062.4811,332
McIntosh5,73369.162,23526.961431.721141.38650.783,49842.208,290
Murray4,40074.911,25221.311081.84751.28390.663,14853.605,874
Muskogee15,52962.068,38133.505042.013961.582110.847,14828.5625,021
Noble3,60373.021,09822.251232.49711.44390.792,50550.774,934
Nowata3,37477.0381418.58902.05691.58330.752,56058.454,380
Okfuskee2,86571.3499124.68691.72621.54290.721,87446.664,016
Oklahoma142,09248.29139,55947.436,5452.223,7991.292,2520.772,5330.86294,247
Okmulgee9,11463.854,51031.602952.072291.601260.884,60432.2514,274
Osage13,27664.796,33630.924292.093141.531360.666,94033.8720,491
Ottawa7,28364.273,28328.973312.922672.361681.484,00035.3011,332
Pawnee4,93773.061,45921.591662.461331.97620.923,47851.476,757
Payne17,11457.8311,01037.208632.923881.312180.746,10420.6329,593
Pittsburg13,10273.334,03222.573431.922631.471280.729,07050.7617,868
Pontotoc10,41868.294,16827.323512.301911.251280.846,25040.9715,256
Pottawatomie19,25768.497,64627.196042.153631.292470.8811,61141.3028,117
Pushmataha3,83681.4371415.16801.70531.13280.593,12266.274,711
Roger Mills1,52884.0523312.82291.60150.83130.721,29571.231,818
Rogers32,10972.2410,22623.011,1342.556931.562880.6521,88349.2344,450
Seminole5,72668.812,29427.571331.601031.24660.793,43241.248,322
Sequoyah11,37074.463,32721.792811.841941.27970.648,04352.6815,269
Stephens15,21680.183,12216.453401.792081.10910.4812,09463.7318,977
Texas4,36879.3585315.501492.71971.76380.693,51563.855,505
Tillman2,07776.8754120.02311.15331.22200.741,53656.852,702
Tulsa145,36954.59108,86940.886,2502.353,8751.461,9350.7336,50013.71266,298
Wagoner24,86370.508,85125.107762.205301.502460.7016,01245.4035,266
Washington16,41770.025,89825.165892.513931.681480.6310,51944.8723,445
Washita3,88781.4570214.71982.05611.28240.503,18566.744,772
Woods2,85177.6466718.16842.29501.36200.542,18459.483,672
Woodward6,31981.371,10514.231852.381061.36510.665,21467.147,766
Totals979,14062.91509,76332.7534,4352.2121,6521.3911,3710.73469,37730.161,556,361

By congressional district

[edit]

Inhofe won all five congressional districts.[46]

DistrictInfoheBroylesRepresentative
1st58%38%Kevin Hern
2nd72%24%Markwayne Mullin
3rd72%24%Frank Lucas
4th64%32%Tom Cole
5th50%45%Kendra Horn (116th Congress)
Stephanie Bice (117th Congress)

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^abPoll conducted for Abby Broyles.

Voter samples and additional candidates

  1. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Farr (I), Murphy (L) and Nesbitt (I) with 1%
  3. ^Murphy (L) and Nesbit (I) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  4. ^Murphy (L) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  5. ^"Independent candidate" with 5%
  6. ^Not yet released

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Inhofe says he's seeking another term in Senate".KTUL. Associated Press. March 5, 2020.Archived from the original on April 4, 2020. RetrievedMarch 6, 2020.
  2. ^abcdKrehbiel, Randy (June 7, 2020)."U.S. Senate primary draws lively competition despite Inhofe's decades dominating at polls".Tulsa World.Archived from the original on June 16, 2020. RetrievedJune 16, 2020.
  3. ^Krehbiel, Randy (October 27, 2019)."Inspired by Oklahoma's governor, another Stitt is running for U.S. Senate".Tulsa World.Archived from the original on October 31, 2019. RetrievedOctober 31, 2019.
  4. ^Davenport, Coral (March 17, 2018)."Scott Pruitt, Trump's Rule-Cutting E.P.A. Chief, Plots His Political Future".The New York Times.Archived from the original on March 21, 2021. RetrievedAugust 29, 2019.
  5. ^Trump, Donald [@realDonaldTrump] (March 9, 2020)."THANK YOU, Jim, for your incredible support of our #MAGA Agenda! You are a tremendous Senator for the people of the Great State of Oklahoma and you have my Complete and Total Endorsement! https://t.co/yx3e1tmjCM" (Tweet). RetrievedDecember 23, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  6. ^Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 24, 2020)."Thank you Congressman Lucas for your kind words. Proud to represent the citizens of Oklahoma alongside you and excited for the future of our great state. https://t.co/zsGHMjOciQ" (Tweet). RetrievedDecember 23, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  7. ^Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 16, 2020).""Jim is a close friend. Jim Inhofe is Oklahoma's stable rock in turbulent times." @GovStitt https://t.co/xpDoxb5fSv" (Tweet). RetrievedDecember 23, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  8. ^ab"OK Election Results".Oklahoma Secretary of State.Archived from the original on July 1, 2020. RetrievedJune 30, 2020.
  9. ^abcSavage, Tres (November 4, 2019)."Abby Broyles is fifth Dem to file against Jim Inhofe".Non Doc.Archived from the original on December 15, 2019. RetrievedJanuary 5, 2020.
  10. ^abSimmons, Beau (August 16, 2019)."Incoming OSU instructor launches U.S. Senate campaign".Stillwater News Press.Archived from the original on August 26, 2019. RetrievedAugust 25, 2019.
  11. ^Bach, Tawnya (November 1, 2019)."Coffee With The Candidates: Bevon Rogers".KOAM News.Archived from the original on January 1, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 5, 2020.
  12. ^abc"Filing data".www.ok.gov.Archived from the original on June 12, 2020. RetrievedJune 29, 2020.
  13. ^ab"United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020".Ballotpedia.Archived from the original on March 19, 2020. RetrievedMay 15, 2020.
  14. ^"Workman 4 Oklahoma".www.facebook.com.Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. RetrievedApril 10, 2020.
  15. ^"Crap. Scott Pruitt wants to be Oklahoma's next U.S. Senator".The Last Ogle. August 15, 2017.Archived from the original on January 11, 2020. RetrievedAugust 29, 2019.
  16. ^"2020 Federal Endorsements – NOW PAC".nowpac.org.Archived from the original on June 15, 2020. RetrievedJune 18, 2020.
  17. ^Broyles, Abby [@abbybroyles] (March 2, 2020)."I'm excited to announce I've been endorsed by Oklahoma Building Trades! This organization represents thousands of Oklahoma workers that I look forward to supporting in the US Senate. Join our team! https://t.co/gzXLcfAqSB -AB https://t.co/C72wvdmdlN" (Tweet). RetrievedDecember 23, 2020 – viaTwitter.
  18. ^"Murphy for Senate 2020".secure.anedot.com.Archived from the original on April 6, 2020. RetrievedApril 6, 2020.
  19. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020".The Cook Political Report.Archived from the original on May 30, 2021. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  20. ^"2020 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report.Archived from the original on March 13, 2021. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  21. ^"2020 Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball.Archived from the original on March 1, 2021. RetrievedMarch 12, 2021.
  22. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.[permanent dead link]
  23. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.Archived from the original on June 20, 2020. RetrievedDecember 2, 2019.
  24. ^"Battle for the Senate 2020".RCP. October 23, 2020.Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  25. ^"2020 Senate Elections Model".Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020.Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2020.
  26. ^Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020)."Forecasting the race for the Senate".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 20, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2020.
  27. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. November 2, 2020.Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  28. ^"Endorsements | Warren Democrats".elizabethwarren.com.Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. RetrievedSeptember 15, 2020.
  29. ^"Endorsed Candidates".Hertime.Archived from the original on September 27, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2020.
  30. ^Swalwell, Eric [@ericswalwell] (July 1, 2020)."#FactCheck: Sen. Inhofe won't stand up for Oklahoma soldiers Trump may have allowed Russians to target. But @abbybroyles will. Flip the senate with Abby" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  31. ^"Archived copy".Facebook.Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. RetrievedOctober 17, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  32. ^ab"End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Slate of Candidates Committed to Fighting the Status Quo in Washington".End Citizens United. July 30, 2020.Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2020.
  33. ^"Endorsed Candidates – National Women's Political Caucus PAC". Archived fromthe original on October 14, 2021. RetrievedJuly 21, 2020.
  34. ^"2020 Endorsements - Patriotic Millionaires".patrioticmillionaires.org.Archived from the original on September 28, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2020.
  35. ^"Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".Sierra Club. March 19, 2021.Archived from the original on December 8, 2019. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2020.
  36. ^"U.S. Senate - Education Votes".educationvotes.nea.org.Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. RetrievedNovember 3, 2020.
  37. ^"Oklahoma – Official UAW Endorsements".uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2020.
  38. ^SoonerPoll
  39. ^Amber Integrated
  40. ^SoonerPoll
  41. ^DFM Research (D)
  42. ^Amber Integrated
  43. ^Abby Broyles
  44. ^Amber Integrated
  45. ^"November 3, 2020 - Official Results".Oklahoma State Election Board.Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. RetrievedNovember 11, 2020.
  46. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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