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2020 United States Senate election in Nebraska

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 United States Senate election in Nebraska
← 2014November 3, 20202024 (special) →
 
NomineeBen SasseChris Janicek
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote583,507227,191
Percentage62.74%24.43%
 
NomineePreston Love Jr.
(write-in)		Gene Siadek
PartyDemocraticLibertarian
Popular vote58,41155,115
Percentage6.28%5.93%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Sasse:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Janicek:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Ben Sasse
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Ben Sasse
Republican

Elections in Nebraska
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The2020 United States Senate election in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Nebraska, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate and local elections.

IncumbentRepublican SenatorBen Sasse was challenged by Democratic nominee Chris Janicek, who was disavowed by his party after numerous scandals; by write-in candidatePreston Love Jr., who received the support of the state Democratic Party; and by Libertarian nominee Gene Siadek.

Sasse was reelected to a second term in office with 62.7% of the vote and a 38.3% margin. He outperformed PresidentDonald Trump by almost 27,000 votes, or 8.9%, compared to theconcurrent presidential election, the largest overperformance by any Republican Senate candidate in the country that year. In contrast, Janicek was the worst performing Democratic Senate candidate in the country compared toJoe Biden, underperforming him by 13.1%. This was attributed to a sexual misconduct scandal affecting Janicek andsplit-ticket voting inOmaha suburbs.[1][2]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Ben Sasse

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Matt
Innis		Ben
Sasse		Undecided
We Ask America[9]February 19–20, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%17%65%18%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results by county
  Sasse
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Innis
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBen Sasse (inc.)215,20775.21%
RepublicanMatt Innis70,92124.79%
Total votes284,212100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Chris Janicek, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in2018[11]

On June 16, 2020, Janicek lost the support of theNebraska Democratic Party after allegations surfaced of sending sexually explicit text messages about a female campaign staff member and allegedly using racist slurs to insult a guest at a party 20 years prior.[12][13][14] Nonetheless, Janicek refused to drop out of the race and his name remained on the ballot in the general election. In September the state Democratic party supportedPreston Love Jr. via a write-in candidacy.[15][16]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Dennis Frank Maček[17]
  • Larry Marvin,perennial candidate[18]
  • Angie Philips, mental health advocate[19]
  • Alisha Shelton, behavioral health clinical supervisor[20]
  • Andy Stock, former candidate for Lancaster County Treasurer[17][21]
  • Dan Wik, physician[22]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results by county
  Janicek
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Philips
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Shelton
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
Tie
  •   20–30%
Democratic primary results[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Janicek46,24730.69%
DemocraticAngie Philips35,92923.84%
DemocraticAlisha Shelton34,28422.75%
DemocraticAndy Stock17,15611.38%
DemocraticLarry Marvin6,8684.56%
DemocraticDaniel Wik5,7653.83%
DemocraticDennis Macek4,4532.95%
Total votes150,702100.00%

Other candidates

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianGene Siadek2,517100.00%
Total votes2,517100.00%

Democratic write-in

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[29]Safe ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections[30]Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[32]Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico[33]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP[34]Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ[35]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538[36]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist[37]Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Ben
Sasse (R)		Chris
Janicek (D)		Gene
Siadek (L)		Undecided
Cygnal[38]October 19–21, 2020625 (LV)± 3.9%47%18%6%29%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
Cygnal[38]October 19–21, 2020625 (LV)± 3.9%53%38%9%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2020[39]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanBen Sasse (inc.)583,50762.74%−1.60%
DemocraticChris Janicek227,19124.43%−7.06%
DemocraticPreston Love Jr. (write-in)58,4116.28%—
LibertarianGene Siadek55,1155.93%—
Write-in5,7880.62%—
Majority356,31638.31%+5.46%
Total votes930,012100.0%
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
By county
County[39]Ben Sasse

Republican

Chris Janicek

Democratic

Preston Love Jr. (write-in)

Democratic

Gene Siadek
Libertarian		Write-inTotal
votes
%#%#%#%#%#
Adams70.88%9,99518.32%2,5833.89%5486.36%8970.56%7914,102
Antelope82.14%2,82810.28%3540.84%295.34%1841.39%483,443
Arthur84.44%2287.78%210.00%07.78%210.00%0270
Banner84.17%3359.80%390.50%25.28%210.25%1398
Blaine75.00%22211.82%350.68%211.49%341.01%3296
Boone79.51%2,40211.62%3511.79%545.89%1781.19%363,021
Box Butte75.59%3,84016.18%8221.34%686.42%3260.47%245,080
Boyd83.62%8838.43%890.00%07.10%750.85%91,056
Brown85.20%1,3877.68%1250.86%145.71%930.55%91,628
Buffalo72.45%16,72916.68%3,8513.38%7806.95%1,6050.55%12623,091
Burt73.57%2,63918.90%6781.95%705.21%1870.36%133,587
Butler80.16%3,51213.99%6131.05%464.52%1980.27%124,381
Cass70.77%10,49319.38%2,8743.55%5275.98%8860.31%4614,826
Cedar81.34%3,90211.36%5450.96%465.67%2720.67%324,797
Chase85.70%1,6668.90%1730.62%124.06%790.72%141,944
Cherry78.49%2,3659.39%2831.16%359.09%2741.86%563,013
Cheyenne75.54%3,50515.47%7180.45%216.96%3231.57%734,640
Clay77.73%2,66012.62%4321.55%537.10%2430.99%343,422
Colfax73.24%2,65220.63%7471.66%604.31%1560.17%63,621
Cuming82.07%3,56611.71%5091.57%684.56%1980.09%44,345
Custer82.56%4,8249.09%5310.74%436.18%3611.44%845,843
Dakota60.53%3,95134.24%2,2351.33%873.68%2400.21%146,527
Dawes71.75%2,88319.54%7852.17%876.22%2500.32%134,018
Dawson72.31%6,46020.48%1,8301.42%1275.36%4790.43%388,934
Deuel82.71%83710.28%1040.49%56.13%620.40%41,012
Dixon74.05%2,20616.82%5011.58%476.92%2060.64%192,979
Dodge69.07%11,39720.65%3,4083.47%5726.51%1,0740.30%5016,501
Douglas50.71%136,74532.49%87,60810.10%27,2295.94%16,0190.76%2,046269,647
Dundy85.82%8357.91%770.82%84.93%480.51%5973
Fillmore78.46%2,41814.11%4352.21%685.06%1560.16%53,082
Franklin82.67%1,39811.24%1901.24%214.20%710.65%111,691
Frontier84.14%1,1839.17%1290.92%135.19%730.57%81,406
Furnas81.43%2,07910.85%2770.71%186.31%1610.71%182,553
Gage70.44%7,65620.61%2,2402.83%3085.70%6200.41%4510,869
Garden82.06%93811.11%1270.09%16.47%740.26%31,143
Garfield84.52%8688.86%910.78%84.87%500.97%101,027
Gosper82.42%90010.16%1111.56%175.40%590.46%51,092
Grant86.29%3213.76%141.08%46.72%252.15%8372
Greeley79.97%93814.15%1660.85%104.77%560.26%31,173
Hall68.54%16,23121.87%5,1802.76%6536.29%1,4890.54%12923,682
Hamilton77.24%4,11412.73%6782.23%1197.02%3740.77%415,326
Harlan81.37%1,52911.07%2081.22%235.59%1050.75%141,879
Hayes88.91%4575.84%300.39%24.47%230.39%2514
Hitchcock81.65%1,1799.97%1440.69%107.55%1090.14%21,444
Holt77.98%4,16511.29%6031.14%616.98%3732.60%1395,341
Hooker81.73%34911.24%480.94%43.98%172.11%9427
Howard78.86%2,66013.22%4461.54%526.14%2070.24%83,373
Jefferson75.17%2,76418.06%6641.25%465.19%1910.33%123,677
Johnson72.93%1,57619.30%4171.90%415.78%1250.09%22,161
Kearney79.56%2,79011.75%4122.02%716.27%2200.40%143,507
Keith78.92%3,35513.01%5531.62%695.98%2540.47%204,251
Keya Paha84.39%4278.10%410.20%16.72%340.59%3506
Kimball79.85%1,45813.36%2440.49%96.13%1120.16%31,826
Knox75.78%3,37615.89%7080.65%296.46%2881.21%544,455
Lancaster51.74%79,43631.75%48,75610.41%15,9905.47%8,4050.62%954153,541
Lincoln75.39%12,67915.61%2,6261.81%3046.62%1,1130.57%9616,818
Logan85.22%3698.31%360.23%15.08%221.15%5433
Loup84.28%3706.38%284.10%184.78%210.46%2439
Madison75.31%11,55215.64%2,3992.20%3376.15%9430.71%10915,340
McPherson88.14%2604.07%120.68%26.44%190.68%2295
Merrick79.81%3,24212.58%5111.03%426.57%2670.00%04,062
Morrill76.14%1,87013.23%3250.53%139.00%2211.10%272,456
Nance78.57%1,35314.05%2421.63%285.23%900.52%91,722
Nemaha75.11%2,51115.67%5242.54%856.16%2060.51%173,343
Nuckolls82.27%1,85611.30%2551.20%274.74%1070.49%112,256
Otoe73.18%5,96118.43%1,5012.49%2035.59%4550.32%268,146
Pawnee77.46%1,07215.68%2172.02%284.70%650.14%21,384
Perkins85.18%1,2709.26%1380.74%114.63%690.20%31,491
Phelps80.46%3,89610.08%4881.18%576.69%3241.59%774,842
Pierce83.85%3,2619.08%3531.05%415.25%2040.77%303,889
Platte79.26%12,05514.35%2,1831.40%2134.77%7250.22%3415,210
Polk80.97%2,27612.63%3551.39%394.66%1310.36%102,811
Red Willow80.65%4,29010.79%5741.69%906.39%3400.47%255,319
Richardson76.05%3,02317.11%6801.06%424.93%1960.86%343,975
Rock86.94%6995.35%430.00%05.97%481.74%14804
Saline65.91%3,67525.29%1,4101.99%1116.81%3800.00%05,576
Sarpy61.46%57,76325.00%23,5006.88%6,4716.20%5,8260.46%43293,992
Saunders74.06%9,21016.06%1,9973.22%4006.18%7680.49%6112,436
Scotts Bluff71.36%10,82020.06%3,0421.82%2766.29%9530.47%7115,162
Seward75.04%6,71816.35%1,4643.21%2875.08%4550.32%298,953
Sheridan78.87%2,04211.20%2900.50%138.07%2091.35%352,589
Sherman75.60%1,23315.14%2470.98%167.85%1280.43%71,631
Sioux84.92%5977.40%520.71%56.69%470.28%2703
Stanton76.80%2,30412.47%3741.63%498.07%2421.03%313,000
Thayer81.38%2,35612.85%3721.38%404.25%1230.14%42,895
Thomas82.25%32910.00%400.00%05.25%212.50%10400
Thurston53.30%1,21838.73%8852.36%543.24%742.36%542,285
Valley80.47%1,82112.37%2801.33%305.39%1220.44%102,263
Washington72.88%8,80816.39%1,9814.10%4956.30%7610.34%4112,086
Wayne73.62%3,00015.66%6383.26%1336.77%2760.69%284,075
Webster80.43%1,44312.82%2301.78%324.96%890.00%01,794
Wheeler80.79%38710.23%490.63%37.52%360.84%4479
York77.84%5,40614.64%1,0171.83%1275.46%3790.23%166,945

Maps

[edit]
  • Write-ins for Love Jr. by county:   10-11%   6-7%   4–5%   3–4%   2–3%   1–2%   <1%
    Write-ins for Love Jr. by county:
      10-11%
      6-7%
      4–5%
      3–4%
      2–3%
      1–2%
      <1%

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

[edit]
  1. ^Rakich, Nathaniel (December 2, 2020)."There Wasn't That Much Split-Ticket Voting In 2020".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedDecember 2, 2020.
  2. ^Beaumont, Thomas (February 12, 2021)."Nebraska Sen. Sasse bets political future on opposing Trump". Associated Press. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2021.
  3. ^Akin, Stephanie (August 5, 2019)."Ben Sasse, one of the Senate's last remaining Republican Trump critics, to seek reelection".Roll Call. RetrievedAugust 6, 2019.
  4. ^Walton, Don (July 21, 2019)."Don Walton: Hateful politics, the moonshot, another ag blow".Lincoln Journal Star. RetrievedAugust 2, 2019.
  5. ^Walton, Don (August 2, 2019)."Matt Innis will oppose Sasse in 2020 GOP primary".Lincoln Journal Star.
  6. ^Cohen, Zach C. (April 1, 2019)."How Sasse Is Prepping for 2020—in Nebraska".National Journal. RetrievedApril 2, 2019.
  7. ^Isenstadt, Alex (July 9, 2018)."Sasse tempts Trump's wrath by refusing to bow". Politico. RetrievedNovember 14, 2018.
  8. ^"Ben Sasse (NE-SEN)".Club for Growth. RetrievedFebruary 29, 2020.
  9. ^We Ask America
  10. ^abcEvnen, Robert B. (2024).The Nebraska Board of State Canvassers, Official Report, Primary Election, May 12, 2020(PDF).
  11. ^Sherrod, Brian (September 18, 2019)."Chris Janicek runs for U.S. Senate 2020 seat representing Nebraska".NBC Nebraska Scottsbluff. Archived fromthe original on September 20, 2019. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2019.
  12. ^Astor, Maggie (June 16, 2020)."Nebraska Democrat Urged to Quit Senate Race Over Sexual Texts to Aide".The New York Times. RetrievedJune 22, 2020.
  13. ^Astor, Maggie (June 17, 2020)."Nebraska Senate Candidate Used Racist Slur at a Party, Guests Recall".The New York Times. RetrievedJune 22, 2020.
  14. ^Nebraska, Democratic Party (June 16, 2020)."Nebraska Democratic Party demands that Chris Janicek drop out of Senate race after sexual harassment complaint".nebraskademocrats.org. RetrievedJune 22, 2020.
  15. ^Sanderford, Aaron (September 1, 2020)."Chris Janicek won't quit Senate race; Democrats eye write-in candidate".Omaha World-Herald. RetrievedOctober 6, 2020.
  16. ^abSanderford, Aaron (September 10, 2020)."Preston Love Jr. announces write-in candidacy against Sen. Ben Sasse".Omaha World-Herald.Archived from the original on September 18, 2020. RetrievedOctober 6, 2020.
  17. ^abc"Nebraska Secretary of State Statewide Candidate List as of 12/11/2019 8:49:50 AM"(PDF).Nebraska Secretary of State.
  18. ^Walton, Don (August 18, 2019)."Don Walton: Mike Flood, Lady Liberty and Sonny Perdue".JournalStar.com. RetrievedAugust 20, 2019.
  19. ^Morton, Joseph (July 15, 2019)."Will Sen. Ben Sasse seek another term? Signs point to yes".Omaha World-Herald. RetrievedAugust 2, 2019.
  20. ^"Alisha Shelton for Senate | Official Site". RetrievedDecember 2, 2019.
  21. ^Hicks, Nancy (February 15, 2018)."Andrew Stock files for Lancaster County treasurer on Democratic ticket".JournalStar.com. RetrievedFebruary 29, 2020.
  22. ^Star, DON WALTON Lincoln Journal."Don Walton: Mike Flood, Lady Liberty and Sonny Perdue".Hastings Tribune. Archived fromthe original on August 20, 2019. RetrievedAugust 20, 2019.
  23. ^Jordan, Joe (November 13, 2018)."Democrat Names for 2020 Starting to Surface". Sandhills Express. RetrievedNovember 15, 2018.
  24. ^"13 changes to the candidate list".The Green Papers. December 6, 2019. RetrievedMay 15, 2020.
  25. ^Dvorak, Gina (September 10, 2020)."Nebraska Democrats announce Preston Love Jr. as write-in candidate for Senate".6News. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2020.
  26. ^"Brad Ashford to Launch Write-In Bid for US Senate". KETV TV. August 24, 2020. RetrievedOctober 6, 2020.
  27. ^Wasikowski, Jake (August 25, 2020)."Fmr. Rep. Ashford feels he can beat U.S. Senator Sasse as write-in candidate".3 News Now. RetrievedAugust 26, 2020.
  28. ^"Brad Ashford reverses course, says he will not run for U.S. Senate".KETV. August 27, 2020. RetrievedAugust 27, 2020.
  29. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  30. ^"2020 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  31. ^"2020 Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMarch 12, 2021.
  32. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  33. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  34. ^"Battle for the Senate 2020".RCP. October 23, 2020.
  35. ^"2020 Senate Elections Model".Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2020.
  36. ^Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020)."Forecasting the race for the Senate".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2020.
  37. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. November 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  38. ^abCygnal
  39. ^ab"General Election Official Results"(PDF).Nebraska Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 4, 2020.

External links

[edit]

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