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2020 United States Senate election in Maine

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2020 Maine State Senate election.

2020 United States Senate election in Maine

← 2014November 3, 20202026 →
 
NomineeSusan CollinsSara Gideon
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote417,645347,223
Percentage50.98%42.39%

County results
Municipality results
Congressional district results
Collins:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Gideon:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     50%

U.S. senator before election

Susan Collins
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Susan Collins
Republican

Elections in Maine
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The2020 United States Senate election in Maine was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Maine, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives, and variousstate and local elections. This was Maine's first election for its Class 2 seat to use itsranked choice voting system. Because the first round of the general election saw a majority, the instant runoff tabulation of more than 800,000 ballots was not carried out.

Republican SenatorSusan Collins was challenged by Democratic nomineeSara Gideon, the speaker of theMaine House of Representatives, as well as independent candidates Lisa Savage and Max Linn. Collins was considered one of the most vulnerable Republican senators due to her decreased polling numbers and perceived harm to her reputation, but she was re-elected by an unexpectedly large 8.6% margin, with 51% of the vote to Gideon's 42.4%. Despite this, her 51% share of the vote was her worst performance since her first election in 1996 and was a 17-point drop from 2014. Maine was the only state to elect a senator of a different party than the winner ofits presidential contest in the November 3 election, with Collins outperforming PresidentDonald Trump, who lost the state to Democratic nomineeJoe Biden by 9.1%.[1]

Background

[edit]

Republican senatorSusan Collins, widely considered one of the two least conservative Republican U.S. senators (the other beingLisa Murkowski), ran for a fifth term.[2] Collins had won each election to this seat by a greater victory margin than the one before it. Observers did not anticipate this election to continue that trend.[3][4][5][6]

Collins was criticized for her decision to vote to confirmBrett Kavanaugh to theUnited States Supreme Court despite his anti-abortion stances (Collins describes herself as pro-choice) and allegations of sexual misconduct and abuse against him, though she gave a highly publicized speech on the Senate floor explaining her reasoning.[7][8] She also faced criticism for her stance on theimpeachment of President Donald Trump. Collins voted in favor of allowing witness testimony in the Senate trial, and was the first Republican to do so,[9] and she voted to acquit Trump on both charges ofabuse of power and obstruction of Congress.[10][11][12][13] She said she voted to acquit because "impeachment of a president should be reserved for conduct that poses such a serious threat to our governmental institutions as to warrant the extreme step of immediate removal from office."[14] She initially claimed that Trump "learned a pretty big lesson" from the impeachment,[15] but later said that she thought he had not learned from it after all.[16] She has also been criticized for running for third, fourth, and fifth Senate terms despite vowing to serve no more than two terms during her1996 campaign, though she has explained this as a product of having learned the value of seniority in the Senate. The emphasis on seniority became a key theme of her campaign.[17][18] Collins's campaign emphasized her efficiency as a legislator, her efforts to pass thePaycheck Protection Program and other aid for small businesses, and her growing seniority and influence in the Senate, in particular her potential chairwomanship of theAppropriations Committee.

The Democratic nominee,Speaker of the Maine House of RepresentativesSara Gideon, supports criminal justice reforms, expansion of theAffordable Care Act, rejoining theParis Climate Accord, and imposing universal background checks on gun sales to combat gun violence. In 2019, Gideon faced an election ethics complaint for accepting reimbursements for her political donations from her own PAC. Gideon apologized for the violation, reimbursed the federal government a total of $3,250, and closed the PAC.[19] Gideon was also criticized for keeping theMaine House of Representatives adjourned for most of the year (neighboring New Hampshire had reconvened its sizably larger legislature by late spring) and for allegedly turning a blind eye to a legislative colleague accused of molesting underage girls until she was forced to acknowledge the scandal.[20][21]

Lisa Savage, a longtime antiwar activist and schoolteacher fromSolon, initially sought theMaine Green Independent Party nomination, but in late February, she announced her intention to instead qualify for the ballot as an independent due to Maine's restrictive ballot access measures.[22][23] In April, Savage turned in more than 5,500 signatures to theSecretary of State's office and thus qualified for the general election ballot.

Max Linn, a financial planner and conservative activist fromBar Harbor, was a Trump supporter and former candidate of the Republican andReform parties. In July 2020, he qualified for the ballot as an independent. Former Republican state senatorMary Small challenged the signatures on his petition, but the secretary of state found that he had enough and he was placed on the ballot.[24] Later that month, he announced his intention to drop out of the race to support Collins. But days later, he decided not to drop out unless Collins agreed to a list of policies, which she did not.[25]

Party primaries were initially scheduled to take place on June 9, but due to the COVID-19 pandemic andits impact on the state, GovernorJanet Mills rescheduled them for July 14. Mills's executive order also expanded voters' ability to request absentee ballots, which could then be done up to and on election day.[26] The primaries were conducted withranked choice voting. Parties qualified to participate in the 2020 primary election were the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, and theMaine Green Independent Party.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Amy Colter, law office manager (write-in candidate)[28]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins
Derek
Levasseur
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[34]October 11–13, 2019271 (LV)± 6%55%10%34%
Hypothetical polling

with Susan Collins and Paul LePage

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins
Paul
LePage
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[34]October 11–13, 2019271 (LV)± 6%29%63%8%

with Susan Collins and Shawn Moody

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins
Shawn
Moody
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[34]October 11–13, 2019271 (LV)± 6%36%45%18%

with Susan Collins and generic Republican if Collins supported impeaching Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[34]October 11–13, 2019271 (LV)± 6%35%55%10

with Susan Collins and Derek Levasseur if Collins supported impeaching Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins
Derek
Levasseur
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[34]October 11–13, 2019271 (LV)± 6%37%24%39%

with Susan Collins and generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[34]October 11–13, 2019271 (LV)± 6%53%38%9%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[35]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSusan Collins (incumbent)87,37598.79%
RepublicanAmy Colter (write-in)1,0731.21%
Total votes88,448100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

On April 20, 2019, attorney and activist Bre Kidman became the first person to announce their candidacy for the Democratic nomination. If elected, they would have been the first evernon-binary U.S. Senator.[36] On June 13, 2019, former Maine gubernatorial candidate Betsy Sweet declared her candidacy.[37] Eleven days later,Maine House SpeakerSara Gideon announced her candidacy, receiving widespread media coverage.[38][39][40][41] General Jon Treacy had previously announced his candidacy before withdrawing. Former Google executive and political aide Ross LaJeunesse, who would have been the first openly gay man elected to the Senate, announced his candidacy in November 2019. He received the endorsement of the national political group The Victory Fund in January 2020. LaJeunesse eventually withdrew from the race in March 2020, citing the inability to continue his strategy of campaigning in person due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and endorsed Gideon. Two debates were held with all three candidates, while one hosted byWCSH was attended only by Sweet and Kidman.[42][43][44]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Sara
Gideon
Betsy
Sweet
Other /
Undecided
Victory Geek (D)[65]May 13–18, 2020– (LV)[b]67%17%17%[c]
Colby College/SocialSphere[66][1]February 10–13, 2020383 (LV)60%8%33%[d]

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Gideon
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Democratic primary results[67]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSara Gideon116,26471.47%
DemocraticBetsy Sweet37,32722.94%
DemocraticBre Kidman9,0905.59%
Total votes162,681100.0%

Other candidates

[edit]

Green Independent Party

[edit]

Two candidates declared their intentions to run for theMaine Green Independent Party's nomination, but one withdrew and the other left the party to become an independent. Lisa Savage left the party because of Maine's ballot access requirements; Savage needed 2,000 registered party members to sign a nomination petition to appear on the ballot as the Green Party candidate but could only gather them from January 1 until the March 15 deadline. The Green Party had roughly 41,000 members statewide, which was significantly fewer than the Democratic and Republican parties but nonetheless required the same number of signatures. No alternative party candidate for statewide office had been able to meet this requirement sincePat LaMarche did so in 2006 for governor. Instead, Savage sought to appear as an independent candidate, which required 4,000 signatures, but they may be from any registered voter, not just party members, and they could have been gathered until the June deadline.[23]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • David Gibson, solar design specialist (endorsed Savage)[68]
  • Lisa Savage, school teacher[69](switched to independent)[70]

Write-in candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Independent Lisa Savage is a peace activist and retired schoolteacher fromSolon, Maine.

Eight Independents declared their candidacy for Senate in 2020, including one affiliated with theLibertarian Party of Maine, which lost ballot access after the 2018 elections.[75] Two qualified for positions on the November ballot.[72]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Joshua Arnone, accounting clerk affiliated with the Libertarian Party of Maine[28][72]
  • Steven Golieb,Millinocket town councilor[76][72]
  • Leigh Hawes, truck driver[77][72]
  • Danielle VanHelsing, LGBTQ rights activist[51][72]
  • Linda Wooten, vocational educator and conservative activist[28][72]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[78]TossupOctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections[79]Tilt D(flip)October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[80]Lean D(flip)November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[81]TossupOctober 30, 2020
Politico[82]TossupNovember 2, 2020
RCP[83]TossupOctober 23, 2020
DDHQ[84]Lean D(flip)November 3, 2020
538[85]TossupNovember 2, 2020
Economist[86]Lean D(flip)November 2, 2020

Debates

[edit]

The four candidates participated in two in-person debates on September 11 and September 29, both held without an audience.[87] Collins at one point proposed holding 16 debates, one for everycounty in Maine, but such a schedule was not agreed upon.[88]

2020 United States Senate election in Maine debates
 DateModeratorParticipants
Key:
 P Participant.   NI Not invited.  
RepublicanDemocraticIndependentIndependent
United States Senator
Susan Collins
Maine House Speaker
Sara Gideon
Financial planner
Max Linn
Public schoolteacher
Lisa Savage
 
1
 
Friday, September 11, 2020
Pat Callaghan
Rachel Ohm
Michael Shepherd
PPPP
 
2
 
Tuesday, September 29, 2020
Kelly O'Mara
Jason Parent
PPPP
 
3
 
Thursday, October 15, 2020
Jennifer Rooks
Steve Mistler
Mal Leary
PPPP
 
4
 
Thursday, October 22, 2020
Pat Callaghan
PPPP
 
5
 
Wednesday, October 28, 2020
Steve Bottari
PP
NI
NI

Endorsements

[edit]
Susan Collins (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. senators

U.S. governors

Individuals

Organizations

Sara Gideon (D)

U.S. presidents

U.S. vice presidents

U.S. senators

Members of U.S. Congress

State executive officials

State legislators

Individuals

  • Stephen King, author[110]
  • Ross LaJeunesse, former aide to George J. Mitchell, Ted Kennedy, Steve Westly and Arnold Schwarzenegger[111]

Organizations

Unions

Declined to endorse

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.

Aggregate polls

[edit]
Sara Gideon vs. Susan Collins
Source of poll aggregationDates administeredDates updatedSara GideonSusan CollinsOther/undecided[e]Margin
270 to Win[130]October 6 – November 1, 2020November 3, 202046.4%42.6%11.0%Gideon +3.8
Real Clear Politics[131]September 10–23, 2020September 25, 202048.5%42.0%9.5%Gideon +6.5
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins (R)
Sara
Gideon (D)
Lisa
Savage (I)
Other /
Undecided
Change Research[132]October 29 – November 2, 20201,024 (LV)± 3.5%42%[f]46%7%5%[g]
46%[h]54%
Emerson College[133]October 29–31, 2020611 (LV)± 3.9%46%[i]48%5%5%[j]
47%[k]51%5%[l]
SurveyUSA[134]October 23–27, 20201007 (LV)± 3.7%45%[f]46%4%5%[m]
49%[n]51%
Colby College[135][2]October 21–25, 2020879 (LV)± 3.3%43%[f]47%5%5%[o]
44%[p]49%7%[q]
Pan Atlantic Research[136]October 2–6, 2020600 (LV)± 4.5%40%[f]47%5%8%[r]
41%[s]49%1%9%[t]
Critical Insights[137]September 25 – October 4, 2020466 (LV)± 4.4%43%[f]44%3%11%[u]
43%[k]46%1%10%[v]
Data for Progress (D)[138]September 23–28, 2020718 (LV)± 3.7%41%[f]46%3%11%[w]
42%[x]50%8%[y]
Colby College[139][3]September 17–23, 2020847 (LV)± 3.4%41%[f]45%3%11%[z]
43%[s]47%6%[aa]
Moore Information (R)[140][A]September 20–22, 2020600 (LV)42%42%9%[ab]
Suffolk University[141]September 17–20, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%41%[f]46%4%7%[ac]
42%[ad]49%1%8%[ae]
Siena College/NYT Upshot[142]September 11–16, 2020663 (LV)± 5.1%40%[f]44%2%2%[af]
44%[ag]49%0%7%[ah]
Quinnipiac University[143]September 10–14, 20201,183 (LV)± 2.9%42%54%4%[ai]
Citizen Data[144]September 4–7, 2020600 (LV)± 4%41%49%1%9%[aj]
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[145][B]August 30 – September 5, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%43%[f]44%6%8%[ak]
47%[x]48%5%[al]
Public Policy Polling[146]August 13–14, 2020571 (V)± 4.1%44%49%7%[am]
Critical Insights[147][4]July 28 – August 9, 2020453 (LV)± 4.3%38%43%5%15%[an]
499 (RV)35%[f]43%5%18%[ao]
37%[p]44%1%18%[ap]
Quinnipiac University[148]July 30 – August 3, 2020807 (RV)± 3.5%43%47%10%[aq]
RMG Research[149]July 27 – August 2, 2020500 (RV)± 4.5%41%48%11%[ar]
Data for Progress[150]July 24 – August 2, 2020866 (LV)± 3.0%45%48%7%[as]
Colby College/SocialSphere[151]July 18–24, 2020888 (LV)± 3.9%39%44%18%[at]
Public Policy Polling[152]July 22–23, 2020561 (V)± 3.6%42%47%11%[ar]
Public Policy Polling[153]July 2–3, 20201,022 (V)± 3.1%42%46%11%[ar]
Moore Information (R)[154][A]June 20–24, 2020[au]600 (RV)± 4.0%45%37%3%1%[av]
Victory Geek (D)[65]May 13–18, 2020512 (LV)± 4.3%42%51%7%[am]
Tarrance Group (R)[155][C]April 2020[aw]48%47%5%
Public Policy Polling[156]March 2–3, 2020872 (V)± 3.3%43%47%10%[ax]
Colby College/SocialSphere[66]February 10–13, 20201,008 (LV)± 3.1%42%43%14%[ay]
Fabrizio Ward[157][B]July 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%52%35%13%[az]
Gravis Marketing[158]June 24, 2019767 (RV)± 3.5%44%[ba]30%26%[bb]
52%[x]36%12%[bc]
Pan Atlantic Research[159]March 4–13, 2019500 (LV)± 4.4%51%29%20%[bd]
Hypothetical polling

with Betsy Sweet

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Betsy Sweet (D)Susan
Collins (R)
Other /
Undecided
Victory Geek (D)[65]May 13–18, 2020512 (LV)± 4.3%44%43%10%

with Susan Rice

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Rice (D)
Susan
Collins (R)
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[160][5]October 27–29, 2018883 (LV)[be]± 3.5%20%44%35%

with generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Susan Collins (R)Other /
Undecided
Victory Geek (D)[65]May 13–18, 2020512 (LV)± 4.3%49%39%12%[bc]
Colby College/SocialSphere[66][6]Feb 10–13, 20201,008 (LV)± 3.1%34%40%26%
Public Policy Polling[161]October 11–13, 2019939 (V)± 3.2%44%41%15%[bf]
Public Policy Polling[162]October 1–2, 2018[aw]± 3.3%34%42%
Public Policy Polling (D)[163][D]August 28–29, 2017501 (V)21%51%27%[bg]

with generic Democrat if Collins supportsimpeaching Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Susan
Collins (R)
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[161]October 11–13, 2019939 (V)± 3.2%38%32%30%[bh]

with generic Democrat if Collins opposes impeaching Donald Trump

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Susan
Collins (R)
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[161]October 11–13, 2019939 (V)± 3.2%47%40%13%[bi]

with Generic Opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins (R)
Generic
Opponent
Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward[157][B]July 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%38%55%7%[bj]
Pan Atlantic Research[159]March 4–13, 2019500 (LV)± 4.4%25%27%48%[bk]

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
Siena College/NYT Upshot[142]September 11–16, 2020663 (LV)± 5.1%41%53%6%[bl]
Quinnipiac University[143]September 10–14, 20201,183 (LV)± 2.9%40%53%7%[am]
Fabrizio Ward[157][B]July 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%43%42%15%[bm]

Results

[edit]

Like many RepublicanSenate candidates in 2020, Collins did much better on Election Day than pre-election polls predicted; nearly all of them predicted her defeat.[164] Collins defeated Gideon in the general election with 51.0% of the first-place votes, precluding additional rounds of tabulation.[165] Gideon conceded to Collins on November 4.[166]

United States Senate election in Maine, 2020[167]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanSusan Collins (incumbent)417,64550.98%−17.48%
DemocraticSara Gideon347,22342.39%+10.89%
IndependentLisa Savage40,5794.95%N/A
IndependentMax Linn13,5081.65%N/A
Write-in2280.03%-0.01%
Total votes819,183100.0%N/A
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountySusan Collins
Republican
Sara Gideon
Democratic
Lisa Savage
Independent
Max Linn
Independent
Write-inMarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Androscoggin32,97956.1922,18137.792,4384.151,0901.8620.0010,79818.4058,690
Aroostook24,03367.519,75027.391,0723.017432.0930.0114,28340.1235,601
Cumberland74,59238.45105,30854.2911,9076.142,1381.10390.02-30,716-15.83193,984
Franklin9,81756.476,27636.109695.573221.8500.003,54120.3717,384
Hancock17,37149.1915,37943.551,8215.167362.0880.021,9925.6435,315
Kennebec39,48154.9227,66438.493,4074.741,3241.84100.0111,81716.4471,886
Knox11,70545.4412,19047.321,4615.673991.5530.01-485-1.8825,758
Lincoln12,07551.0810,10242.731,1114.703491.4830.011,9738.3523,640
Oxford19,56758.5411,70535.021,5114.526351.9040.017,86223.5233,422
Penobscot51,08859.9628,95833.983,4614.061,6001.881000.1222,13025.9785,207
Piscataquis6,60366.952,65526.923943.992102.1300.003,94840.039,862
Sagadahoc11,55848.0810,78744.871,3545.633371.4030.017713.2124,039
Somerset17,86164.927,35526.731,7706.435251.9130.0110,50638.1827,514
Waldo12,53851.579,76840.181,6046.603941.6290.042,77011.3924,313
Washington11,19664.565,25130.285473.153381.95100.065,94534.2817,342
York64,09249.4657,82644.635,3894.162,2551.74160.016,2664.84129,578
Overseas1,08919.284,06872.023636.431132.00150.27-2,979-52.745,648
Totals417,64550.98347,22342.3940,5794.9513,5081.652280.0370,4228.60819,183

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Collins won one of the two congressional districts in the state, which also elected a Democrat.[168]

DistrictCollinsGideonOthersRepresentative
1st44%49%7%Chellie Pingree
2nd59%35%6%Jared Golden

Analysis

[edit]

Gideon underperformed Biden by 10.6%, the second-worst underperformance by a Democratic Senate candidate in the country.[169] Examples of this discrepancy includeWells, a coastal town in the state'sliberal southwest corner, where Biden won by 14% and Collins by 6%.[170]

During his presidency, Collins's stance on Trump waffled, as he did not share her moderate politics but had a strong base in Maine's sprawling, rural2nd congressional district. Collins voted against theAffordable Care Act repeal, but for the GOP's2017 tax bill and to acquit Trump in hisfirst impeachment. She voted to confirm Trump's nomineesBrett Kavanaugh andNeil Gorsuch to theSupreme Court but against the confirmation ofAmy Coney Barrett just days before the 2020 election, citing disagreement with process.[171]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^abPoll sponsored by theNRSC, which exclusively supports Republican candidates in U.S. Senate elections.
  2. ^abcdPoll sponsored byAARP.
  3. ^Poll sponsored by the 1820 PAC.
  4. ^Poll sponsored by Our Lives on the Line

Voter samples

  1. ^abcdefghijklmnoKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^Likely primary voter subsample of 306 likely general election Democratic voters
  3. ^Undecided with 17%
  4. ^Undecided with 31%; LaJeunesse with 0%; "another candidate" with 2%
  5. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ^abcdefghijkStandard VI response
  7. ^Linn (I) with 2%; "Don't recall", would not vote, and Undecided with 1%; Did not vote with 0%
  8. ^With 3 rounds of Ranked Choice Voting
  9. ^With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  10. ^Linn (I) and "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  11. ^abReassigning the second preferences of Linn, Savage and "Someone else" voters
  12. ^"No second choice" and "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  13. ^Linn (I) with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  14. ^With Ranked Choice Voting
  15. ^Linn (I) with 2%; Undecided with 4%
  16. ^abReassigning the second preferences of Savage voters
  17. ^Linn (I) with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  18. ^Linn (I) with 2%; Undecided with 6%
  19. ^abReassigning the second preferences of Linn and Savage voters
  20. ^Linn (I) with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  21. ^Linn (I), "Someone else" and "Refused" with 1%; would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 7%
  22. ^"No second preference" and "Refused" with 1%; Linn (I) and "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 7%
  23. ^Linn (I) with 1%; Undecided with 10%
  24. ^abcIf only Collins and Gideon were candidates
  25. ^Undecided with 8%
  26. ^Linn (I) with 5%; Undecided with 6%
  27. ^Undecided with 6%
  28. ^Undecided with 9%
  29. ^Linn (I) with 2%; "Other" and "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  30. ^Assigning the second preferences of non-Collins/Gideon voters
  31. ^Linn (I) and "Refused" with 1%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
  32. ^Linn (I) with 2%
  33. ^Topline after Ranked Choice Voting is used
  34. ^Would not vote with 1%; Linn (I) and "someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
  35. ^"Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  36. ^"Other" with 2%; Linn (I) with 0%; Undecided with 7%
  37. ^Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  38. ^Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  39. ^abcUndecided with 7%
  40. ^"Refused" and would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 13%
  41. ^Would not vote with 2%; "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 14%
  42. ^Would not vote with 2%; "Refused" with 1%; Undecided with 15%
  43. ^"Someone else" and would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 6%
  44. ^abcUndecided with 11%
  45. ^"No one" with 7%
  46. ^"Minor party candidates" with 6%; Undecided with 12%
  47. ^Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  48. ^Linn (I) with 1%
  49. ^abNot yet released
  50. ^Undecided with 10%
  51. ^Undecided with 14%
  52. ^Undecided with 12%; "Would not vote/would not vote for US Senate" with 1%
  53. ^First choice on an RCV ballot if the candidates were Collins, Gideon and VanHelsing (I)
  54. ^Undecided with 19%; VanHelsing with 7%
  55. ^abUndecided with 12%
  56. ^"Other" with 12%; Undecided with 8%
  57. ^Using the likely voter screen for the2018 U.S. Senate election in Maine
  58. ^Undecided with 15%
  59. ^Undecided with 27%
  60. ^Undecided with 30%
  61. ^Undecided with 13%
  62. ^"Refused" with 0%; Undecided with 7%
  63. ^"Consider voting for Collins" with 40%; Undecided with 8%
  64. ^"Undecided/Refused" with 6%
  65. ^"Undecided/Don't know/Refused" with 15%

References

[edit]
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  2. ^Parlapiano, Alicia; Benzaquen, Mercy (June 22, 2017)."Where Senators Stand on the Health Care Bill".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedJuly 11, 2020.
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  4. ^Leary, Mal (August 17, 2019)."New Report Calls Maine 2020 Senate Race A 'Toss-Up'".Maine Public.
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  6. ^Carrigan, Don (August 23, 2019)."Political expert says next year's Senate race a 'toss-up'".News Center Maine.
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  65. ^abcdVictory Geek (D)
  66. ^abcColby College/SocialSphere
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  71. ^Bond, Tiffany [@TiffanyBond] (November 14, 2019)."If only you hadn't voted for a tax bill that buries us in an absurd amount of debt and hinders our flexibility to find solutions. You may not have children, but I do, and they deserve a goddam future without crippling debt and a crumbling planet. Hire a mom for Senate" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
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  75. ^@MESecofState (December 17, 2018)."1/2 The Libertarian Party no longer has party status in the State of Maine, as it did not reach the threshold of 10,000 voters in the Nov. 6 General Election, as required in Maine law. If you were enrolled as a Libertarian, you are now "unenrolled" as of Dec. 4" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
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Further reading

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