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2020 United States Senate election in Idaho

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2020 Idaho Senate election.

2020 United States Senate election in Idaho
← 2014
November 3, 2020
2026 →
 
NomineeJim RischPaulette Jordan
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote538,446285,864
Percentage62.62%33.25%
County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Risch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Jordan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Jim Risch
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Jim Risch
Republican

Elections in Idaho
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The2020 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Idaho, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate and local elections.

IncumbentRepublican senatorJim Risch won reelection to a third term in office, defeating Democratic nomineePaulette Jordan, who, percentage wise, had the worst performance of a Democratic senatorial candidate for this seat since2002. However, Risch also performed nearly three points worse than he did when he was reelected in2014, and he slightly underperformed incumbent presidentDonald Trump's performance in theconcurrent presidential election.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJim Risch (incumbent)200,184100.00%
Total votes200,184100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Paulette Jordan

Individuals

Publications

James Vandermaas

Individuals

Results

[edit]
County results:
  Jordan
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPaulette Jordan72,77885.70%
DemocraticJames Vandermaas12,14514.30%
Total votes84,923100.00%

Other candidates

[edit]

Constitution Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Natalie Fleming, software developer[13]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]Solid ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections[15]Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[17]Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico[18]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP[19]Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ[20]Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538[21]Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist[22]Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
Paulette Jordan (D)

U.S vice presidents

Individuals

Organizations

Publications

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Jim
Risch (R)		Paulette
Jordan (D)		OtherUndecided
[A][B]August 29 – September 1, 2020600 (LV)± 4.0%53%28%8%[b]11%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Idaho, 2020[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJim Risch (incumbent)538,44662.62%−2.71%
DemocraticPaulette Jordan285,86433.25%−1.42%
IndependentNatalie Fleming25,3292.95%N/A
ConstitutionRay Writz10,1881.18%N/A
Total votes859,827100.0%
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
By county
County[32]Jim Risch
Republican		Paulette Jordan
Democratic		Natalie Fleming
Independent		Ray Writz
Constitution		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%
Ada130,44650.56118,71846.016,9402.691,9100.7411,7284.55258,014
Adams1,82871.3862524.40622.42461.801,20346.972,561
Bannock22,04855.9415,47239.261,4333.644601.176,57616.6839,413
Bear Lake2,79184.5535510.75912.76641.942,43673.803,301
Benewah3,58473.551,08122.181032.111052.152,50351.364,873
Bingham14,64473.834,31321.746253.152531.2710,33152.0819,835
Blaine4,22631.768,73965.672882.16540.41-4,513-33.9113,307
Boise3,32369.361,24726.031282.67931.942,07643.334,791
Bonner17,96466.488,07929.906012.223771.399,88536.5827,021
Bonneville36,49068.8113,91326.241,9723.726531.2322,57742.5853,028
Boundary4,80076.701,21219.371312.091151.843,58857.336,258
Butte1,12079.4322215.74392.77292.0689863.691,410
Camas48872.3015623.11172.52142.0733249.19675
Canyon59,06065.9226,60326.692,5502.851,3841.5432,45736.2389,597
Caribou2,60381.4544213.83973.03541.692,16167.623,196
Cassia7,56478.911,50815.733223.361922.006,05663.189,586
Clark25481.674213.50123.8630.9621268.17311
Clearwater3,35776.6688320.161042.38350.802,47456.504,379
Custer1,97873.0460322.27742.73531.961,37550.772,708
Elmore6,79767.172,81427.813173.131911.893,98339.3610,119
Franklin5,67885.855858.842173.281342.035,09377.006,614
Fremont5,39180.391,00114.932053.061091.624,39065.466,706
Gem7,54676.131,95719.742682.701411.425,58956.399,912
Gooding4,44273.561,33522.111863.08761.263,10751.456,039
Idaho7,62980.471,53216.162142.261061.126,09764.319,481
Jefferson11,70283.191,64711.714813.422361.6810,05571.4814,066
Jerome5,45069.981,97825.402493.201111.423,47244.587,788
Kootenai61,28969.6822,94526.092,5382.891,1831.3438,34443.5987,955
Latah9,50146.1410,37350.375322.581870.91-872-4.2320,593
Lemhi3,49774.371,02021.691413.00440.942,47752.684,702
Lewis1,42076.8435719.32382.06331.791,06357.521,848
Lincoln1,37171.0047024.34713.68190.9890146.661,931
Madison13,51779.792,28813.517834.623532.0811,22966.2816,941
Minidoka5,93074.841,58720.033073.88991.254,34354.817,923
Nez Perce13,48764.736,51031.246843.281550.746,97733.4920,836
Oneida2,03984.4725310.48682.82542.241,78673.992,414
Owyhee3,64376.8491019.191062.24821.732,73357.654,741
Payette8,48875.562,30820.553062.721311.176,18055.0211,233
Power2,05367.2087628.67912.98351.151,17738.533,055
Shoshone3,90465.851,74729.461813.05971.642,15736.385,929
Teton2,83744.963,25151.521802.85420.67-414-6.566,310
Twin Falls24,35567.589,77627.121,3183.665911.6414,57940.4536,040
Valley3,86254.892,98442.411552.20350.5087812.487,036
Washington4,05075.691,14721.431041.94500.932,90354.255,351
Totals538,44662.62285,86433.2525,3292.9510,1881.18252,58229.38859,827

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[33]

By congressional district

[edit]

Risch won both congressional districts.[34]

DistrictRischJordanRepresentative
1st66%30%Russ Fulcher
2nd59%37%Mike Simpson

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^[30]
  2. ^Poll conducted for theWomen's Liberation Front.
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^"Another candidate" with 8%

References

[edit]
  1. ^Russell, Betsy (August 12, 2019)."Risch announces re-election bid for 3rd Senate term in 2020".Idaho Press. RetrievedAugust 12, 2019.
  2. ^ab"OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS".State of Idaho - Elections Department. RetrievedAugust 28, 2020.
  3. ^Jennifer Bendery."Idaho Democrat Paulette Jordan Is Running For Senate",HuffPost, February 7, 2020. Retrieved February 7, 2020.
  4. ^"Third Dem announces bid for Risch's Senate seat in 2020".Idaho Press. October 7, 2019.
  5. ^"Harris withdraws from Idaho Senate race".Kootenai Valley Times. February 13, 2020.[permanent dead link]
  6. ^"Travis Oler Discontinues US Senate Campaign and Runs for Idaho State Legislature".Travis Oler for Idaho. RetrievedMarch 14, 2020.[permanent dead link]
  7. ^abcSingiser, Steve."Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?".Daily Kos. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2019.
  8. ^ab"Paulette Jordan on Instagram: "Nancy Harris has a strong voice and the best of intentions for Idaho. I'm very grateful for her support. Thank you, @nancyharrisforsenate…"".Instagram. Archived fromthe original on December 26, 2021.
  9. ^abMiller, Kevin (February 14, 2020)."Aaron Paul endorses Jordan Paulette".Kido Talk Radio. RetrievedApril 25, 2020.
  10. ^"Statesman endorses Democrat primary candidate for U.S. Senate".Idaho Statesman. May 10, 2020.
  11. ^"Log In or Sign Up to View".www.facebook.com. RetrievedApril 6, 2020.
  12. ^"WRITZ, RAY - Candidate overview".FEC.gov.
  13. ^"Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate – Partisan Free Independent Candidate for United States Congress for Idaho".
  14. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  15. ^"2020 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  16. ^"2020 Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMarch 12, 2021.
  17. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  18. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  19. ^"Battle for the Senate 2020".RCP. October 23, 2020.
  20. ^"2020 Senate Elections Model".Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2020.
  21. ^Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020)."Forecasting the race for the Senate".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2020.
  22. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. November 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  23. ^"Biden endorses Idaho's Paulette Jordan for U.S. Senate".KHQ. October 8, 2020.
  24. ^"2020 Endorsements".Center Action Fund.
  25. ^"DSCC Endorses Paulette Jordan in Idaho Senate Race".DSCC. July 23, 2020.
  26. ^"Paulette Jordan for U.S. Senate, Idaho | EMILY's List". Archived fromthe original on September 26, 2020. RetrievedOctober 14, 2020.
  27. ^"U.S. Senate - Education Votes".educationvotes.nea.org.
  28. ^"Endorsed candidates".NWPC. RetrievedJuly 26, 2020.
  29. ^@electpaulette; (October 4, 2020)."I am proud to receive this historic endorsement from Idaho's biggest newspaper! They write that Senator Risch has been disappointing and that it's time for new leadership. I couldn't agree more. Let's win this and make Idaho proud. Link in my bio! #Paulette2020 #idpol" – viaInstagram.
  30. ^[1]
  31. ^"2020 General Election Results – Statewide".Idaho Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 18, 2020.
  32. ^"Idaho Senate Election Results 2020".National Election Pool.NBC News. March 7, 2021. RetrievedJanuary 24, 2022.
  33. ^"Idaho U.S. Senate Election Results".The New York Times. November 3, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedOctober 3, 2021.
  34. ^"Dra 2020".

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites

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