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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
← 2018
November 3, 2020
2022 →
All 2 New Hampshire seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election20
Seats won20
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote413,469353,650
Percentage52.59%44.98%
SwingDecrease 1.94%Increase 1.36%
District results
County results
Municipality results

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Elections in New Hampshire
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The2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the twoU.S. representatives from thestate ofNew Hampshire, one from each of the state's twocongressional districts. The elections coincided with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections.

Overview

[edit]
DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1205,60651.32%185,15946.21%9,8962.47%400,661100.0%Democratic hold
District 2208,28953.91%168,88643.70%9,2662.40%386,441100.0%Democratic hold
Total413,46952.59%353,65044.98%19,1362.43%787,102100.0%
Popular vote
Democratic
 
52.59%
Republican
 
44.98%
Other
 
2.43%
House seats
Democratic
 
100.00%

District 1

[edit]
2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeChris PappasMatt Mowers
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote205,606185,159
Percentage51.3%46.2%
Municipality results
Pappas:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Mowers:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Chris Pappas
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Pappas
Democratic

See also:New Hampshire's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes GreaterManchester, theSeacoast and theLakes Region. The incumbent was DemocratChris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]
Chris Pappas

U.S. presidents

Organizations

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Pappas (incumbent)70,643100.0
Total votes70,643100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Michael Callis[8]
  • Jeff Denaro[8]
  • Matt Mayberry, U.S. Air Force veteran and formerDover city councilor[9]
  • Kevin Rondeau[8]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Matt Mayberry

Federal officials

  • Jeb Bradley, former U.S. representative from this district (2003–2007)[12]

State officials

State legislators

Matt Mowers

Federal officials

State officials

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Matt MayberryMatt MowersOtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[17]August 28 – September 1, 2020323 (LV)–17%48%0%[b]34%
Saint Anselm College[18]August 15–17, 2020261 (RV)± 6.1%12%23%8%[c]57%

Debate

[edit]
2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Matt MayberryMatt Mowers
1Sep. 2, 2020New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR		Adam Sexton[19]PP

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMatt Mowers41,10059.4
RepublicanMatt Mayberry18,47926.7
RepublicanKevin Rondeau4,2036.1
RepublicanJeff Denaro2,7233.9
RepublicanMichael Callis2,7033.9
Total votes69,208100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublicanLibertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Chris PappasMatt MowersZachary Dumont
1October 7, 2020NHPR
New Hampshire PBS		Peter Biello
Laura Knoy		[22]PPN
1October 21, 2020New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR		[23]PPN

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[24]Likely DAugust 14, 2020
Inside Elections[25]Likely DAugust 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Likely DOctober 8, 2020
Politico[27]Lean DJuly 6, 2020
Daily Kos[28]Likely DOctober 26, 2020
RCP[29]Lean DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen[30]Safe DJuly 26, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Graph being ported
This graph is being converted from the old graph extension to the new chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Chris
Pappas (D)		Matt
Mowers (R)		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[31]October 24–28, 2020451 (LV)± 4.6%48%50%2%[d]0%
Saint Anselm College[32]October 23–26, 2020560 (LV)± 4.1%49%44%2%[e]5%
University of New Hampshire[33]October 9–12, 2020477 (LV)± 4.5%53%43%1%[f]3%
Saint Anselm College[34]October 1–4, 2020595 (LV)± 4%49%41%3%[g]7%
University of New Hampshire[35]September 24–28, 2020504 (LV)± 4.4%56%38%2%[h]4%
University of New Hampshire[17]August 28 – September 1, 2020925 (LV)–52%34%2%[i]12%
Hypothetical polling

with Matt Mayberry

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Chris
Pappas (D)		Matt
Mayberry (R)		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[17]August 28 – September 1, 2020926 (LV)–52%34%2%[i]12%

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		OtherUndecided
Saint Anselm College[36]June 13–16, 2020567 (RV)± 4.1%48%42%2%8%
Saint Anselm College[37]April 23–27, 2020442 (RV)± 4.7%49%43%1%6%

Results

[edit]
New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2020[38]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Pappas (incumbent)205,60651.3
RepublicanMatt Mowers185,15946.2
LibertarianZachary Dumont9,7472.4
N/AScatter1490.0
Total votes400,661100.0
Democratichold

District 2

[edit]
2020 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election
← 2018
2022 →
 
NomineeAnnie KusterSteve Negron
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote207,863168,491
Percentage53.9%43.7%
Municipality results
Kuster:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     80–90%     90–100%
Negron:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Annie Kuster
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Annie Kuster
Democratic

See also:New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities ofNashua andConcord. The incumbent was DemocratAnnie Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAnnie Kuster (incumbent)71,35892.8
DemocraticJoseph Mirzoeff5,5007.2
Total votes76,858100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Steve Negron, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2018
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Lynn BlankenbekerSteve NegronOtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[17]August 28 – September 1, 2020367 (LV)–20%50%1%[j]29%
Saint Anselm College[18]August 15–17, 2020216 (RV)± 6.7%15%37%4%[k]44%

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[20]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve Negron30,50348.3
RepublicanLynne Blankenbeker24,46438.7
RepublicanMatthew Bjelobrk4,3816.9
RepublicanEli Clemmer3,8506.1
Total votes63,198100.0

Endorsements

[edit]
Annie Kuster (D)

U.S. presidents

Local officials

Organizations

Steve Negron (R)

U.S. presidents

Organizations

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublicanLibertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Annie KusterSteve NegronAndrew Olding
1October 22, 2020New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR		[50]PPN

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[24]Safe DAugust 5, 2020
Inside Elections[25]Safe DAugust 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Likely DJuly 23, 2020
Politico[27]Likely DJuly 6, 2020
Daily Kos[28]Safe DJuly 21, 2020
RCP[29]Lean DOctober 24, 2020
Niskanen[30]Safe DJuly 26, 2020

Polling

[edit]
%support01020304050602019/1/272020/09/22020/10/29Torres SmallHerrellOther/Undecided2020 United States House of Representatives ...
Viewsource data.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Annie
Kuster (D)		Steve
Negron (R)		Andrew
Olding (L)		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[31]October 24–28, 2020451 (LV)± 4.6%51%41%7%0%[l]1%
Saint Anselm College[32]October 23–26, 2020458 (LV)± 4.6%54%39%3%1%[m]3%
University of New Hampshire[33]October 9–12, 2020410 (LV)± 4.8%49%45%2%0%[b]3%
Saint Anselm College[34]October 1–4, 2020552 (LV)± 4.1%52%38%4%2%[n]5%
University of New Hampshire[35]September 24–28, 2020463 (LV)± 4.5%48%42%5%0%[b]5%
University of New Hampshire[17]August 28 – September 1, 2020917 (LV)–52%40%2%3%[o]4%
Hypothetical polling

with Lynne Blankenbeker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Annie
Kuster (D)		Lynne
Blankenbeker (R)		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire[17]August 28 – September 1, 2020920 (LV)–52%39%5%[p]5%

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		OtherUndecided
Saint Anselm College[36]Jun 13–16, 2020505 (RV)± 4.4%44%44%3%9%
Saint Anselm College[37]Apr 23–27, 2020378 (RV)± 5%47%41%5%7%

Results

[edit]
New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2020[38]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAnnie Kuster (incumbent)208,28953.9
RepublicanSteve Negron168,88643.7
LibertarianAndrew Olding9,1192.4
N/AScatter1470.0
Total votes386,441100.0
Democratichold

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdefghKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^abc"Another candidate" with 0%
  3. ^"Someone else" with 8%
  4. ^Dumont (L) with 2%; "Other" with no voters
  5. ^Dumont (L) and "Someone else" with 1%
  6. ^Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
  7. ^Olding (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  8. ^Dumont (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
  9. ^abDumont (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  10. ^"Another candidate" with 1%
  11. ^"Someone else" with 4%
  12. ^"Other" with no voters
  13. ^"Someone else" with 1%
  14. ^"Someone else" with 2%
  15. ^"Another candidate" with 3%
  16. ^"Another candidate" with 3%; Olding (L) with 2%

References

[edit]
  1. ^abWasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018)."2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on April 3, 2019. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2019.
  2. ^ab"Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements".Medium. September 25, 2020.
  3. ^Sittenfeld, Tiernan (June 5, 2019)."LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers".League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  4. ^Imse, Elliot (November 26, 2019)."Victory Fund Endorses 39 LGBTQ Candidates for 2019 and 2020". RetrievedMarch 25, 2020.
  5. ^ab"Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".Sierra Club.
  6. ^ab"2020 State Primary Democratic State Primary".New Hampshire Department of State. RetrievedSeptember 16, 2020.
  7. ^Sexton, Adam (August 26, 2020)."Republicans Mayberry, Mowers push for chance to unseat Pappas in First Congressional District".WMUR 9. RetrievedAugust 29, 2020.
  8. ^abcMarkos, Mary (August 21, 2020)."2020 Voter's Guide: How to Cast a Ballot in New England During the Pandemic".New England Cable News. RetrievedAugust 29, 2020.
  9. ^DiStaso, John (December 5, 2019)."NH Primary Source: Republican Matt Mayberry says he'll run for 1st District US House seat".WMUR 9. RetrievedDecember 9, 2019.
  10. ^DiStaso, John (April 9, 2020)."NH Primary Source: Fowler ends US House campaign, endorses Mowers".WMUR. WMUR9.
  11. ^DiStaso, John (January 17, 2019)."NH Primary Source: Eddie Edwards is being urged to run again for US House". WMUR. RetrievedFebruary 15, 2019.
  12. ^abcdefghijklmnopqDiStaso, John (January 6, 2020)."Republican Mayberry launches 1st District US House bid, rolls out 26 endorsements".www.wmur.com.WMUR-TV. RetrievedDecember 17, 2021.
  13. ^DiStaso, John (June 1, 2020)."US House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy endorses Matt Mowers in 1st Congressional District race".WMUR.
  14. ^DiStaso, John (June 12, 2020)."Trump gives 'Complete and Total Endorsement' to former appointee Mowers in 1st US House District".WMUR.
  15. ^Staff report (June 11, 2020)."Trump endorses Mowers in Republican primary".UnionLeader.com.
  16. ^"Tea Party Express Endorses Matt Mowers for Congress in New Hampshire".Insider NJ. June 30, 2020.
  17. ^abcdefUniversity of New Hampshire
  18. ^abSaint Anselm College
  19. ^YouTube
  20. ^ab"2020 State Primary Republican State Primary".New Hampshire Department of State. RetrievedSeptember 16, 2020.
  21. ^DiStaso, John (August 27, 2020)."Libertarian Party says it has enough certified petitions for its candidates to appear on Nov. ballot".WMUR 9. RetrievedAugust 29, 2020.
  22. ^YouTube
  23. ^YouTube
  24. ^ab"2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2019.
  25. ^ab"2020 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 3, 2019.
  26. ^ab"2020 Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived fromthe original on August 22, 2019. RetrievedAugust 28, 2019.
  27. ^ab"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  28. ^ab"Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedFebruary 28, 2020.
  29. ^ab"Battle for White House".RCP. April 19, 2019.
  30. ^ab"2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections".Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived fromthe original on June 21, 2020. RetrievedMay 1, 2020.
  31. ^abUniversity of New Hampshire
  32. ^abSaint Anselm College
  33. ^abUniversity of New Hampshire
  34. ^abSaint Anselm College
  35. ^abUniversity of New Hampshire
  36. ^abSaint Anselm College
  37. ^abSaint Anselm College
  38. ^abGardner, William M. (November 19, 2020)."2020 General Election Results".New Hampshire Department of State. RetrievedNovember 22, 2020.
  39. ^"Home - Annie Kuster for Congress".www.kusterforcongress.com.
  40. ^abcRooney, Jack (August 29, 2020)."Four Republicans seek Congressional seat in NH-2".Sentinel Source. RetrievedAugust 29, 2020.
  41. ^Steinhauser, Paul (October 10, 2019)."On the trail: Blankenbeker launches 2020 congressional bid, Gabbard accuses Dems of election rigging". RetrievedOctober 28, 2019.
  42. ^"Clemmer For NH".Clemmer For NH. Archived fromthe original on February 22, 2020. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2020.
  43. ^"Berlin 1-14-20".The Berlin Sun. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2020.[permanent dead link]
  44. ^Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020)."Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements".CNN. RetrievedMay 14, 2020.
  45. ^"JStreetPAC Candidates".JStreetPAC. Archived fromthe original on May 2, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2020.
  46. ^Sittenfeld, Tiernan (August 13, 2020)."LCV Action Fund Endorses Annie Kuster for Re-Election".League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  47. ^"2020 Endorsements".plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Archived fromthe original on November 15, 2019. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2020.
  48. ^Donald Trump [@realDonaldTrump] (October 31, 2020)."Steve Negron (@SteveNegronNH) will be a tireless advocate in Congress for the State of New Hampshire! An Air Force Veteran, he is Strong on the Economy, our Brave Law Enforcement and your Second Amendment. Steve has my Complete and Total Endorsement! #NH02 https://t.co/9Zq8LQXZkn" (Tweet). Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  49. ^"2020 Candidates".Maggie's List. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2020.
  50. ^YouTube

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

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