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All 8 Minnesota seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eightU.S. representatives from thestate ofMinnesota, one from each of itscongressional districts. Primary elections were held in six districts on August 11. The elections coincided with the2020 United States presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and otherstate and local elections.
Due to changing political alignments, theRepublican Party flipped the 7th district, which was held by 15-term incumbentDemocratCollin Peterson. This marked the first time since the1944 election that Republicans won every district in Minnesota outside theTwin Cities metropolitan area, after Democrats had done the same justfour years prior. This subsequently erased the slim Democratic majority in the state congressional delegation and gave both political parties a tied 4–4 delegation.[1]
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Democratic-Farmer-Labor | 8 | 1,554,373 | 48.67 | 4 |  1 | 50.00 | |
| Republican | 8 | 1,474,820 | 46.18 | 4 |  1 | 50.00 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | 3 | 80,440 | 2.52 | 0 |  | 0.0 | |
| Grassroots—LC | 4 | 79,674 | 2.49 | 0 | | 0.0 | |
| Write-in | 8 | 4,502 | 0.14 | 0 | | 0.0 | |
| Total | 26 | 3,193,809 | 100.0 | 8 | | 100.0 | |
| Democratic | 48.67% | |||
| Republican | 46.18% | |||
| Legal Marijuana | 2.52% | |||
| Grassroots–LC | 2.49% | |||
| Other | 0.14% | |||
| Democratic | 50.00% | |||
| Republican | 50.00% | |||
Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 167,890 | 45.52% | 179,234 | 48.59% | 21,732 | 5.89% | 368,856 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 204,534 | 48.18% | 194,954 | 45.92% | 25,024 | 5.89% | 424,512 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 3 | 246,666 | 55.60% | 196,625 | 44.32% | 312 | 0.07% | 443,603 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 245,813 | 63.17% | 112,730 | 28.97% | 30,571 | 7.86% | 389,114 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 255,924 | 64.27% | 102,878 | 25.83% | 39,427 | 9.90% | 398,229 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 140,853 | 34.16% | 270,901 | 65.70% | 553 | 0.13% | 412,307 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 144,840 | 39.85% | 194,066 | 53.39% | 24,571 | 6.76% | 363,477 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| District 8 | 147,853 | 37.55% | 223,432 | 56.75% | 22,426 | 5.70% | 393,711 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 1,554,373 | 48.67% | 1,474,820 | 46.18% | 164,616 | 5.15% | 3,193,809 | 100.0% | |
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 County results Precinct resultsHagedorn: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Feehan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district stretches across southern Minnesota from its borders withSouth Dakota toWisconsin, and includes the cities ofRochester,Mankato,Winona,Austin,Owatonna,Albert Lea,New Ulm, andWorthington. The incumbent was RepublicanJim Hagedorn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.1% of the vote in2018.[2]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Jim Hagedorn (R) | Dan Feehan (DFL) | Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[20][A] | September 10–11, 2020 | 885 (V) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 41% | 18%[b] |
| RMG Research[21] | July 31 – August 7, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 38% | 22%[c] |
| Victoria Research & Consulting (D)[22][d][B] | July 19–23, 2020 | 511 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 48% | 6%[e] |
| Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[23][C] | June 9–13, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 2% | 43% | 15% |
| Harper Polling (R)[24][D] | March 10–12, 2020 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 33% | 18% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Tossup | October 21, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Tilt D(flip) | October 29, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Lean D(flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Tossup | October 11, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Lean R | July 21, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Lean R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Lean R | July 26, 2020 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Hagedorn (incumbent) | 179,234 | 48.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Dan Feehan | 167,890 | 45.5 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Bill Rood | 21,448 | 5.8 | |
| Write-in | 284 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 368,856 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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 Precinct results Craig: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Kistner: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is based in the southTwin Cities area. The incumbent was DemocratAngie Craig, who defeated incumbent RepublicanJason Lewis with 52.7% of the vote in2018.[2]
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AfterLegal Marijuana Now Party candidateAdam Charles Weeks died on September 21, 2020,Minnesota Secretary of StateSteve Simon announced that the votes in the November election would not be counted and that a special election would take place on February 9, 2021, due to an obscure state law which said that if a major-party candidate died within 79 days of an election, the election must be postponed.[40][41] Craig challenged the law in court, arguing that Minnesota did not have the authority to delay a federal election; the judge agreed, ordering that the election be held on November 3 as originally planned.[42] Although Republicans appealed the decision, it stood after theUnited States Supreme Court refused to hear the appeal.[43]
A month after Weeks's death, and a week before the November 3 election, a friend of Weeks publicized a voicemail recording in which Weeks says that Republican donors offered him $15,000 to mount a campaign in order to siphon votes away from Craig. Jeff Schuette, Minnesota Republican Party chair for the Second District, denied involvement in the offer to fund Weeks's campaign.[43]
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| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Angie Craig | Tyler Kistner | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 8, 2020 | Dakota County Regional Chamber of Commerce Eagan Television | Maureen Scallon Failor | [47] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Angie Craig (DFL) | Tyler Kistner (R) | Adam Weeks (LMN) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[48][E] | October 12–14, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 35% | 4% | – |
| Harper Polling (R)[49][F] | July 6–8, 2020 | 401 (LV) | – | 45% | 36% | 6% | – |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling (R)[49][F] | July 6–8, 2020 | 401 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | – |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Likely D | October 21, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Likely D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Lean D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Likely D | June 7, 2020 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Angie Craig (incumbent) | 204,534 | 48.2 | |
| Republican | Tyler Kistner | 194,954 | 45.9 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | Adam Weeks † | 24,751 | 5.8 | |
| Write-in | 273 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 424,512 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL)hold | ||||
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 Precinct results Phillips: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Qualls: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district encompasses the western suburbs of the Twin Cities, includingBrooklyn Park,Coon Rapids to the northeast,Bloomington to the south, andEden Prairie,Edina,Maple Grove,Plymouth,Minnetonka, andWayzata to the west. The incumbent was DemocratDean Phillips, who defeated incumbent RepublicanErik Paulsen with 55.6% of the vote in2018.[2]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips (incumbent) | 73,011 | 90.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Cole Young | 7,443 | 9.3 | |
| Total votes | 80,454 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kendall Qualls | 25,405 | 75.9 | |
| Republican | Leslie Davis | 8,060 | 24.1 | |
| Total votes | 33,465 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe D | July 17, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Safe D | October 24, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips (incumbent) | 246,666 | 55.6 | |
| Republican | Kendall Qualls | 196,625 | 44.3 | |
| Write-in | 312 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 443,603 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL)hold | ||||
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 Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rechtzigel: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district encompasses theSaint Paul half of theTwin Cities metro area, includingRamsey County and parts ofWashington County. The incumbent was DemocratBetty McCollum, who was reelected with 66.0% of the vote in2018.[2]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 80,048 | 84.0 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Alberder Gillespie | 6,327 | 6.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Tiffini Flynd Forslund | 4,312 | 4.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | David Sandbeck | 3,425 | 3.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Reid Rossell | 1,154 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 95,266 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gene Rechtzigel | 9,182 | 50.9 | |
| Republican | Sia Lo | 8,866 | 49.1 | |
| Total votes | 18,048 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassroots—LC | Susan Sindt | 618 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 618 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 245,813 | 63.2 | |
| Republican | Gene Rechtzigel | 112,730 | 29.0 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Susan Sindt | 29,537 | 7.6 | |
| Write-in | 1,034 | 0.3 | ||
| Total votes | 389,114 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL)hold | ||||
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 Precinct results Omar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Johnson: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district encompasses easternHennepin County, including all ofMinneapolis and the cities ofSt. Louis Park,Richfield,Crystal,Robbinsdale,Golden Valley,New Hope, andFridley. The incumbent was DemocratIlhan Omar, who was elected with 78.0% of the vote in2018.[2]
Omar defeated Melton-Meaux in the primary by a significant margin, a win which was seen as unsurprising, as the 5th has a reputation as being a strong base ofprogressivism.[58]
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Ilhan Omar | Antone Melton-Meaux | Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research[113][G] | July 7–9, 2020 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 66% | 29% | 5%[h] |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar (incumbent) | 103,535 | 58.2 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Antone Melton-Meaux | 68,524 | 38.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | John Mason | 2,721 | 1.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Daniel Patrick McCarthy | 1,901 | 1.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Les Lester | 1,267 | 0.7 | |
| Total votes | 172,457 | 100.0 | ||
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lacy Johnson | 9,188 | 76.6 | |
| Republican | Danielle Stella | 2,236 | 18.7 | |
| Republican | Dalia al-Aqidi | 568 | 4.7 | |
| Total votes | 11,992 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal Marijuana Now | Michael Moore | 940 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 940 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar (incumbent) | 255,924 | 64.3 | |
| Republican | Lacy Johnson | 102,878 | 25.8 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | Michael Moore | 37,979 | 9.5 | |
| Write-in | 1,448 | 0.4 | ||
| Total votes | 398,229 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL)hold | ||||
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 Precinct results Emmer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Zahradka: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district encompasses the northern suburbs and exurbs ofMinneapolis, including all ofBenton,Sherburne, andWright counties and parts ofAnoka,Carver,Stearns, andWashington counties. The incumbent was RepublicanTom Emmer, who was reelected with 61.1% of the vote in2018.[2]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 30,654 | 87.2 | |
| Republican | Patrick Munro | 4,518 | 12.8 | |
| Total votes | 35,172 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Tawnja Zahradka | 29,445 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 29,445 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 270,901 | 65.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Tawnja Zahradka | 140,853 | 34.2 | |
| Write-in | 553 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 412,307 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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 County results Precinct resultsFischbach: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Peterson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district covers all but the southern end of rural western Minnesota, and includes the cities ofMoorhead,Willmar,Alexandria, andFergus Falls. The incumbent was DemocratCollin Peterson, who was reelected with 52.1% of the vote in2018.[2]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 26,925 | 75.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Alycia Gruenhagen | 5,956 | 16.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Stephen Emery | 2,734 | 7.7 | |
| Total votes | 35,615 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michelle Fischbach | 26,359 | 58.8 | |
| Republican | Dave Hughes | 9,948 | 22.2 | |
| Republican | Noel Collis | 6,747 | 15.1 | |
| Republican | William Louwagie | 989 | 2.2 | |
| Republican | Jayesun Sherman | 757 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 44,800 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassroots—LC | Rae Hart Anderson | 215 | 67.4 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Kevin Shores | 104 | 32.6 | |
| Total votes | 319 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal Marijuana Now | Slater Johnson | 592 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 592 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Collin Peterson (DFL) | Michelle Fischbach (R) | Undecided |
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| Tarrance Group (R)[136][H] | August 2–5, 2020 | 413 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Tossup | July 16, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Tossup | October 16, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Lean R(flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Tossup | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Lean R(flip) | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Lean D | July 26, 2020 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michelle Fischbach | 194,066 | 53.4 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 144,840 | 39.8 | |
| Legal Marijuana Now | Slater Johnson | 17,710 | 4.9 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Rae Hart Anderson | 6,499 | 1.8 | |
| Write-in | 362 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 363,477 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicangain fromDemocratic (DFL) | ||||
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 Precinct results Stauber: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Nystrom: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district is based in theIron Range and home to the city ofDuluth. The incumbent was RepublicanPete Stauber, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in2018.[2]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pete Stauber (incumbent) | 39,060 | 93.7 | |
| Republican | Harry Welty | 2,606 | 6.3 | |
| Total votes | 41,666 | 100.0 | ||
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Quinn Nystrom | 46,050 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 46,050 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassroots—LC | Judith Schwartzbacker | 540 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 540 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Safe R | August 14, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[26] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[28] | Likely R | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[30] | Likely R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[31] | Likely R | June 7, 2020 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Pete Stauber (incumbent) | 223,432 | 56.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Quinn Nystrom | 147,853 | 37.6 | |
| Grassroots—LC | Judith Schwartzbacker | 22,190 | 5.6 | |
| Write-in | 236 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 393,711 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
Partisan clients
'If a major party nominee dies within 79 days of Election Day; a special election was held for that office on the second Tuesday of February (February 9, 2021).'…While the Second Congressional District race will still appear on the ballot, the votes in that race will not be counted.
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