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2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary

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March 10, 2020
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147 delegates (125 pledged, 22 unpledged)
to theDemocratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
CandidateJoe BidenBernie Sanders
Home stateDelawareVermont
Delegate count7352
Popular vote840,360576,926
Percentage52.93%36.34%

Results by county
Congressional district results

Biden

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%

Elections in Michigan
U.S. President
Presidential Primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Other localities

The2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary took place on March 10, 2020, as one of several states voting the week afterSuper Tuesday in theDemocratic Party primaries for the2020 presidential election. TheMichigan primary was anopen primary,[1] with the state awarding 147delegates towards the2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 125 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Former vice presidentJoe Biden decisively won the primary and every county in the state, getting almost 53% of the vote and 73 delegates. SenatorBernie Sanders received around 36% of the vote and 52 delegates, marking a clear regression in support for him from2016, when he edged outHillary Clinton by 1.42% and won 73 of the state's 83 counties.[2] Biden's victory was powered by support from African Americans, older voters, working class voters, and moderate voters.[3]

Despite losing every county and almost all municipalities, Sanders was still able to win some of the major cities in the state including:Ann Arbor,Dearborn,Grand Rapids,Lansing andKalamazoo.[4]

Procedure

[edit]

Michigan was one of sixstates (along withDemocrats Abroad) which held primaries on March 10, 2020, one week afterSuper Tuesday.[5] Voting took place throughout the state from 7:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. local time. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 125 pledged delegates to the2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between 4 and 9[6] were allocated to each of thestate's 14 congressional districts and another 16 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 27 at-large delegates.[7] The March primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[8]

After district conventions on May 16, 2020, during which district-level delegates were selected, the state central committee meeting subsequently was held on June 13, 2020, to vote on the 27 at-large and 16 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 22 unpledged PLEO delegates: 12 members of theDemocratic National Committee, 9 members of Congress (both senators and 7 representatives), and the governorGretchen Whitmer.[7]

Pledgednational
convention
delegates
TypeDel.TypeDel.
CD15CD86
CD25CD97
CD35CD104
CD44CD117
CD56CD127
CD65CD137
CD75CD149
PLEO27At-large16
Total pledged delegates125

Candidates

[edit]

The following people have been included on the list issued by the Michigan Secretary of State for the presidential primary.[9]

Running

Withdrawn

There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot.[10]

Polling

[edit]
Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate updatedDates polledJoe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Other/
Undecided[e]
270 to Win[11]Mar 10, 2020Mar 4–9, 202057.0%32.3%1.3%9.4%
RealClear Politics[12]Mar 10, 2020Mar 4–9, 202055.7%33.3%1.3%9.7%
FiveThirtyEight[13]Mar 10, 2020until Mar 9, 2020[f]55.3%31.9%1.2%11.6%
Average56.0%32.5%1.3%10.2%
Michigan primary results (March 10, 2020)52.9%36.4%0.6%10.1%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Michigan Democratic primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Beto
O'Rourke
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
OtherUndecided
Swayable[14]Mar 9, 20203,126 (LV)± 3.0%62%28%10%[h]
AtlasIntel[15]Mar 7–9, 2020528 (LV)± 4.0%48%3%40%1%3%[i]5%
Data for Progress[16]Mar 7–9, 2020320 (LV)± 5.5%59%38%2%[j]
Mitchell Research & Communications[17]Mar 8, 2020602 (LV)± 4.0%54%1%1%1%33%3%3%[k]5%
Target Insyght[18]Mar 8, 2020600 (LV)± 4.0%65%2%1%24%3%3%[l]1%
Concord Public Opinion Partners/
The Welcome Party
[19]
Mar 7–8, 2020305 (LV)54%23%1%[m]22%
YouGov/Yahoo News[20]Mar 6–8, 2020–(RV)[n]± 5.8%54%42%
Monmouth University[21]Mar 5–8, 2020411 (LV)± 4.8%51%3%<1%<1%36%1%7%[o]2%
ROI Rocket[22]Mar 4–8, 20201,000 (LV)± 3.1%55%45%
The Progress Campaign (D)[23][1]Mar 3–7, 2020417 (RV)± 4.7%51%44%1%4%[p]
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press[24]Mar 4–6, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%51%27%9%[q]13%[r]
Mar 5, 2020Warren withdraws from the race
Mar 4, 2020Bloomberg withdraws from the race
Mar 2, 2020Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Mar 1, 2020Buttigieg withdraws from the race
GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV[25]Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2020600 (LV)± 4.0%29%11%6%3%23%7%6%[s]16%
Feb 29, 2020South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[26]Feb 11–20, 2020662 (LV)16%13%11%8%25%13%14%[t]
Feb 11, 2020New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland
University
/Ohio Northern University[27]
Jan 8–20, 2020477 (RV)27%9.1%6.3%1.9%21.6%13.6%3.5%5.3%[u]10.6%
Jan 13, 2020Booker withdraws from the race
Dec 3, 2019Harris withdraws from the race
Nov 24, 2019Bloomberg announceshis candidacy
Emerson College[28]Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019454± 4.6%34%3%8%3%0%28%19%2%3%[v]
Nov 1, 2019O'Rourke withdraws from the race
Siena Research/New York Times[29]Oct 13–26, 201920330%0%3%0%1%0%17%21%1%1%[w]23%
Kaiser Family Foundation[30]Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019208 (LV)19%1%7%2%1%1%15%25%1%0%[x]27%
Denno Research[31]Sep 21–24, 201921727%1%4%4%1%1%12%23%1%4%[y]23%[z]
Climate Nexus[32]Jul 14–17, 2019324 (LV)35%2%4%8%1%1%16%14%1%2%[aa]13%[ab]
Zogby Analytics[33]May 23–29, 2019268± 6.0%27%1%9%7%1%4%18%8%2%5%[ac]
Denno Research[34]May 8–10, 201923537%3%5%4%1%1%16%9%0%4%[ad]23%
Apr 25, 2019Biden announceshis candidacy
Apr 14, 2019Buttigieg announceshis candidacy
Mar 14, 2019O'Rourke announceshis candidacy
Emerson College[35]Mar 7–10, 2019317± 5.5%40%3%0%12%5%2%23%11%4%[ae]

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary[36]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[37]
Joe Biden840,36052.9373
Bernie Sanders576,92636.3452
Michael Bloomberg(withdrawn)[b]73,4644.63
Elizabeth Warren(withdrawn)[b]26,1481.65
Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn)[c]22,4621.41
Amy Klobuchar(withdrawn)[c]11,0180.69
Tulsi Gabbard9,4610.60
Andrew Yang(withdrawn)[a]2,3800.15
Tom Steyer(withdrawn)[c]1,7320.11
Michael Bennet(withdrawn)[a]1,5360.10
Cory Booker(withdrawn)8400.05
Joe Sestak(withdrawn)7570.05
Marianne Williamson(withdrawn)7190.05
John Delaney(withdrawn)[d]4640.03
Julian Castro(withdrawn)3060.02
Uncommitted19,1061.20
Total1,587,679100%125

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

Additional candidates

  1. ^abcdCandidate withdrew during absentee voting, following the New Hampshire primary.
  2. ^abcdCandidate withdrew during absentee voting, following Super Tuesday.
  3. ^abcdefCandidate withdrew during absentee voting, before Super Tuesday.
  4. ^abCandidate withdrew in January, shortly after absentee voting had begun.
  5. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  6. ^FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  7. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. ^Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 9%
  9. ^Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  10. ^Gabbard with 2%
  11. ^Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  12. ^Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 1%; "Uncommitted" with 3%
  13. ^Gabbard with 1%
  14. ^Part of a 1,750 registered voter poll of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
  15. ^Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%; "Uncommitted" with 6%
  16. ^Listed as "undecided/would not vote"
  17. ^"Other" with 9%
  18. ^"Declined" with 13%
  19. ^Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Delaney, Steyer, and Williamson with 0%; Castro and Sestak with no voters; "Refused" with 5%
  20. ^"Not sure/other" with 14%
  21. ^Steyer with 1.7%; Delaney with 1.6%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.7%; Patrick with 0.5%
  22. ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; Someone else with 2%
  23. ^ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
  24. ^Castro and Steyer with no voters; someone else with 0%
  25. ^Bennet with 2%; Gabbard, Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
  26. ^Labelled as "Other/unsure"
  27. ^Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
  28. ^Labelled as "Other/unsure"
  29. ^Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%
  30. ^Bennet, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
  31. ^Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Election 2020 — Democratic Delegate Count".Real Clear Politics. March 10, 2020. RetrievedMarch 10, 2020.
  2. ^"Live Primary Election Results: Michigan, Washington and More".New York Times. March 10, 2020. RetrievedMarch 10, 2020.
  3. ^"Live results: 2020 Michigan Democratic presidential primary".Washington Post. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2021.
  4. ^"20 Presidential Election Results - Michigan".
  5. ^Putnam, Josh."The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. RetrievedJune 23, 2019.
  6. ^"2020 Delegate Selection Plan FINAL"(PDF). Michigan Democratic Party. RetrievedMarch 5, 2020.
  7. ^ab"Michigan Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 3, 2019. RetrievedJune 23, 2019.
  8. ^"Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. RetrievedMarch 19, 2022.
  9. ^"SOS—Upcoming Elections".Michigan Secretary of State. January 29, 2021. RetrievedMarch 28, 2022.
  10. ^Barrett, Malachi (November 8, 2019)."Michigan Secretary of State issues 2020 presidential primary candidate list".mlive. RetrievedMarch 29, 2022.
  11. ^270 to Win
  12. ^RealClear Politics
  13. ^FiveThirtyEight
  14. ^SwayableArchived 2020-03-18 at theWayback Machine
  15. ^AtlasIntel
  16. ^Data for Progress
  17. ^Mitchell Research & Communications
  18. ^Target Insyght
  19. ^Concord Public Opinion Partners/
    The Welcome Party
  20. ^YouGov/Yahoo News
  21. ^Monmouth University
  22. ^ROI Rocket
  23. ^The Progress Campaign (D)
  24. ^EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press
  25. ^GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV
  26. ^YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison
  27. ^Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland
    University/Ohio Northern University
  28. ^Emerson College
  29. ^Siena Research/New York Times
  30. ^Kaiser Family Foundation
  31. ^Denno Research
  32. ^Climate Nexus
  33. ^Zogby Analytics
  34. ^Denno ResearchArchived 2019-05-29 at theWayback Machine
  35. ^Emerson CollegeArchived 2019-03-10 at theWayback Machine
  36. ^"2020 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. RetrievedJune 11, 2020.
  37. ^"Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker".Associated Press. RetrievedNovember 23, 2022.

External links

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