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2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary

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March 17, 2020
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182 delegates (155 pledged, 27 unpledged)
to theDemocratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
CandidateJoe BidenBernie Sanders
Home stateDelawareVermont
Delegate count9560
Popular vote986,661605,701
Percentage58.94%36.18%

Results by county
Biden:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%
Sanders:     40-50%
Elections in Illinois
U.S. Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Secretary of State elections
Comptroller elections
Treasurer elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Judicial elections
County Executive elections
County Executive elections
Pledgednational
convention
delegates
TypeDel.TypeDel.
CD18CD105
CD27CD115
CD36CD125
CD45CD135
CD57CD145
CD66CD153
CD78CD164
CD85CD175
CD98CD184
PLEO20At-large34
Total pledged delegates155

The2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary took place on March 17, 2020, the third primary Tuesday of the month, as one of three states voting on the same day in theDemocratic Party primaries for the2020 presidential election, while the contest inOhio had been postponed for roughly a month. TheIllinois primary was anopen primary, with the state awarding 182delegates to the2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 155 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Immediately after the polls closed at 7:00 pmCentral Time, theAssociated Press declared former vice presidentJoe Biden the winner of the Illinois primary. Biden was victorious in all but one county,Champaign County, winning 59% of the vote and 95 delegates, while senatorBernie Sanders received the rest of 36% and 60 delegates. Together with his victories on the same day inFlorida andArizona, Biden greatly expanded the gap in delegates between him and Sanders.[1] Voter turnout was significantly down from 2016, due to the closure of polling places as a result of theCOVID-19 pandemic.[2][3]

Procedure

[edit]

Illinois was one of three states which held primaries on March 17, 2020, alongside Arizona and Florida,[4] while only one day beforeOhio had been the first state to postpone its primary due to theCOVID-19 pandemic and cancel in-person voting, accepting ballots until April 28 instead.

Voting took place throughout the state from 6:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 155 pledged delegates to the2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between three and eight were allocated to each of thestate's 18 congressional districts and another 20 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 34 at-large delegates.[5] As a March primary on Stage I of the primary timetable Illinois received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[6]

National convention district level delegates were listed on the ballot and chosen during the primary. The national convention delegation meeting was subsequently held on April 27, 2020, to vote on the 34 at-large and 20 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention through a quorum of district delegates. The delegation also included 27 unpledged PLEO delegates: 10 members of theDemocratic National Committee, 15 members of Congress (both senators and 13 representatives), the governorJ. B. Pritzker, and former presidentBarack Obama.[5]

Candidates

[edit]

The following candidates qualified for the ballot in Illinois:[7]

Running

Withdrawn

Polling

[edit]
Polling aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated
Dates
polled
Joe
Biden
Bernie
Sanders
Tulsi
Gabbard
Un-
decided[d]
270toWin[8]Mar 17, 2020Mar 7–16, 202058.6%30.2%2.0%9.2%
RealClear Politics[9]Mar 17, 2020Mar 10–12, 202060.0%30.5%[e]9.5%
FiveThirtyEight[10]Mar 17, 2020until Mar 16, 2020[f]61.5%26.6%1.5%10.4%
Average60.0%29.1%1.8%9.1%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Illinois Democratic primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
OtherUndecided
Swayable[11]Mar 16, 20201,861 (LV)± 3.0%63%28%10%[h]
Emerson College/Nexstar[12]Mar 11–12, 2020567 (LV)± 4.1%57%36%2%[i]6%
Gravis Marketing[13]Mar 10–12, 2020549 (LV)± 4.2%63%25%12%
ROI Rocket[14]Mar 6–12, 2020960 (LV)± 3.1%57%34%[j][j]
Victory Research[15]Mar 7–9, 20201,200 (LV)± 2.83%55%36%1%[k]8%
Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club[16]Mar 8, 2020457(LV)± 4.58%64%32%4%[l][m]
55%26%2%[n]16%
Mar 1–5, 2020Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race
Victory Research[17]Feb 17–19, 20201,200(LV)± 2.83%20.3%14.5%11.4%6.3%25.6%6.6%4.4%[o]10.9%
Southern Illinois University[18]Feb 10–17, 2020475 (LV)± 4.5%14%17%13%8%22%6%2%[p]17%
Dec 3, 2019Harris withdraws from the race
Victory Research[19]Nov 27 – Dec 1, 20191,500 (RV)±2.83%23.2%3.6%15.9%3.2%2.6%15.0%17.4%12.3%[q]6.9%
Victory Research[20]Jul 26–29, 20191,200± 2.83%36.1%9.3%8.6%1.7%15.2%12.8%9.2%[r]7.3%

Results

[edit]
2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary[21]
CandidateVotes%Delegates[22]
Joe Biden986,66158.9495
Bernie Sanders605,70136.1860
Michael Bloomberg(withdrawn)[b]25,5001.52
Elizabeth Warren(withdrawn)[b]24,4131.46
Pete Buttigieg(withdrawn)[c]9,7290.58
Tulsi Gabbard9,6420.58
Andrew Yang(withdrawn)[a]4,0210.24
Cory Booker(withdrawn)2,6840.16
Tom Steyer(withdrawn)[c]1,6840.10
Deval Patrick(withdrawn)[a]1,5670.09
Michael Bennet(withdrawn)[a]1,3460.08
John Delaney(withdrawn)1,1850.07
Total1,674,133100%155

Analysis

[edit]

Joe Biden wonIllinois in theDemocratic primary securing 91 delegates, whileBernie Sanders won the other 60. Biden won the state by a wide margin, with Biden winning many of theblue collar workers who previously voted for Sanders back in2016.[23] However, Sanders was able to maintain his lead with young and extremely liberal voters, which made up most of his base.[24] This contributed to Sanders being able to carryChampaign county, home of theUniversity of Illinois.

The Illinois Democratic primary furthered the gap of delegates between Biden and Sanders. The Illinois primary, along with otherRust-Belt primaries such asMichigan, signaled a weakening Sanders coalition.[23]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcdefCandidate withdrew after the New Hampshire primary when early voting had already begun.
  2. ^abcdCandidate withdrew after Super Tuesday during early voting.
  3. ^abcdCandidate withdrew shortly before Super Tuesday during early voting.
  4. ^Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  5. ^Gabbard not averaged
  6. ^FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  7. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. ^Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 7%
  9. ^Gabbard with 2%
  10. ^abNot yet released
  11. ^Gabbard with 1%
  12. ^Gabbard with 4%
  13. ^Result after "Undecided" is ruled out as an option.
  14. ^Gabbard with 2%
  15. ^Steyer with 3.4%; Gabbard with 1.0%
  16. ^Steyer and Yang with 1%; someone else with 1%
  17. ^Patrick with 2.4%; Booker with 2.3%; Steyer with 1.8%; Castro with 1.6%; Yang with 1.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Williamson with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bullock with 0.5%; Sestak with 0.3%; Delaney with 0.1%
  18. ^O'Rourke with 2.1%; Booker with 1.4%; Gillibrand with 1.0%; Steyer with 0.8%; Inslee with 0.7%; Castro with 0.6%; de Blasio with 0.4%; Bullock, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 0.3%; Gravel with 0.2%; Moulton and Sestak with 0.1%; Delaney and Messam with 0.0%

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Illinois Election Results: Live Presidential Primary 2020".New York Times. March 17, 2020. RetrievedMarch 17, 2020.
  2. ^"The Coronavirus Outbreak Has Made Voting In Illinois Today A Full Mess".BuzzFeed News. March 17, 2020. RetrievedApril 8, 2020.
  3. ^Levine, Sam (March 18, 2020)."Closures and confusion as US voters go to the polls amid coronavirus concerns".The Guardian.ISSN 0261-3077. RetrievedApril 8, 2020.
  4. ^Putnam, Josh."The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. RetrievedJune 23, 2019.
  5. ^ab"Illinois Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 20, 2019. RetrievedJune 23, 2019.
  6. ^"Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. RetrievedMarch 19, 2022.
  7. ^"Election Results – 2020 General Primary".Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived fromthe original on February 22, 2020. RetrievedApril 3, 2022.
  8. ^270toWin
  9. ^RealClear Politics
  10. ^FiveThirtyEight
  11. ^SwayableArchived 2020-03-17 at theWayback Machine
  12. ^Emerson College/Nexstar
  13. ^"Gravis Marketing"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on March 15, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2020.
  14. ^ROI Rocket
  15. ^Victory Research
  16. ^Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club
  17. ^Victory Research
  18. ^Southern Illinois University
  19. ^Victory Research
  20. ^Victory Research
  21. ^Sandvoss, Steven S. (Executive Director) (April 17, 2020).Official Canvass of the 2020 Illinois General Election. Illinois State Board of Elections. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2024.
  22. ^"2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Illinois Democrat".The Green Papers. RetrievedJuly 2, 2020.
  23. ^abMSNBC (March 17, 2020).Kornacki On Illinois: ‘Blue Collar Voters Swinging Dramatically Away From Bernie Sanders’ | MSNBC. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2025 – via YouTube.
  24. ^"Illinois Primary Results 2020 | Live Election Map".www.nbcnews.com. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2025.

External links

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