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2019 European Parliament election in Croatia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2019 European Parliament election in Croatia

← 201426 May 20192024 →

All 12 Croatian seats in theEuropean Parliament
Turnout29.85% (Increase 4.61pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderKarlo ResslerTonino PiculaRuža Tomašić
PartyHDZSDPHRASTHKSHSP AS–UHD
AllianceEPPS&DECR-ECPM
Last election4 seats2 seats0 seats
Seats won441
Seat changeSteadyIncrease 2Increase 1
Popular vote244,076200,97691,546
Percentage22.73%18.71%8.52%

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
LeaderMislav KolakušićIvan SinčićValter Flego
PartyIndependentHuman ShieldAmsterdam Coalition
AllianceNINIALDE
Last election0 seats2 seats
Seats won111
Seat changeNewIncrease 1Decrease 1
Popular vote84,76560,84755,806
Percentage7.89%5.67%5.20%
SwingNew

  HDZ  SDP  Sovereignists  Amsterdam Coalition  Živi zid  Most  HNS–LD  NLMarijana Petir  SDSS  NS–R  BM 365  Pametno

European Parliament elections were held in Croatia on 26 May 2019, electing members of the nationalCroatia constituency to theEuropean Parliament.[1][2] These were the third such elections in the country since itsaccession to theEuropean Union in 2013.

It was the first election to be held nationally since the2016 parliamentary election, following which the center-rightHDZ had formed a coalition government, first with the center-rightMOST and later - in June 2017, with the centristHNS. TheEuropean Parliament elections were therefore viewed as a major test for the center-leftSDP, which had contested all previous nationwide elections since 2011 as part of acoalition, but chose to stand in this election alone. The elections as such was deemed important to showcase whether the SDP could remain the largest opposition party, having been faced with months of falling opinion poll ratings. Its main contenders for such a position within the political system were theanti-establishment,euroscepticŽivi zid party, and the newly formed center-leftAmsterdam Coalition.[3]

The election resulted in the two largest parties in the country, the ruling centre-rightHDZ, and the opposition centre-leftSDP, winning an equal number of seats - each taking 4.SDP won in all four of the largestCroatian cities:Zagreb,Split,Rijeka andOsijek.[4] The remaining four seats were evenly divided between the right-wing Croatian Sovereignists coalition, the centre-leftAmsterdam Coalition, the anti-establishmentŽivi zid party and the independent list led by juristMislav Kolakušić. The strong performance of right-wing and far-right parties, such as the Croatian Sovereignists coalition andIndependents for Croatia-HSP coalition, is thought to have greatly contributed to the surprisingly poor result of theHDZ, notably by significantly reducing its support among members of theCroatian diaspora, who had registered a record turnout in this election. Another surprise in the elections was the large number of votes received by Zagreb jurist Mislav Kolakušić and his independent list - which was something not predicted by opinion polls, as well as the failures ofMOST to attain a seat and of independent incumbent MEPMarijana Petir to retain her seat (which she had held since 2014).

At the previous election in2014, Croatia was allocated 11 seats and is set to receive one additional seat following thewithdrawal of the United Kingdom from the EU. All seats were up for election and the whole countryforms a single constituency, with the 12 members elected byproportional representation usingopen lists and theD'Hondt method.[5]

Current delegation

[edit]
Croatian parties in the European Parliament in theninth legislature (2019-2024)
Group12National party12
EPP Group4Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ)4
S&D4Social Democratic Party (SDP)4
ALDE1Istrian Democratic Assembly (IDS-DDI)1
ECR1Croatian Conservative Party (HKS)1
NI1Mislav Kolakušić (ind.)1
EFDD1Živi zid (ŽZ)1

Campaign

[edit]

A total of 33 valid candidate slates with 396 candidates were submitted for the upcoming European Parliament election. The lists were published by the State Election Commission on 10 April, when the official election campaign began that will last for 45 days.[6]

Croatian Democratic Union

[edit]

The slate of theCroatian Democratic Union (HDZ), the ruling centre-right party of Croatia and member of theEuropean People's Party (EPP), was led by 30-year-old Karlo Ressler, who was nominated by the youth branch of the party. The slate also includes two current MEPs, three members of theCroatian Parliament, and twocounty prefects. The party platform for the election was called "Croatia for Generations".[7] CroatianPrime Minister and HDZ PresidentAndrej Plenković said that the election is a choice between a political course of Croatia's development and a backward course that would isolate Croatia.[8] The main campaign rally of the HDZ, held in Zagreb, was attended by German ChancellorAngela Merkel andManfred Weber, EPP's candidate forEuropean Commission (EC) President. Both of them urged voters to reject nationalism in the upcoming election.[9]

Social Democratic Party of Croatia

[edit]

The slate of the main opposition party, the centre-leftSocial Democratic Party of Croatia (SDP) of theParty of European Socialists (PES), was led by current MEPTonino Picula. While presenting the party list, Picula said that Croatia had not taken full advantage of its membership in the EU. The SDP was expecting to win three seats in the upcoming election.[10] The campaign event inRijeka, where the SDP is in power, was attended byFrans Timmermans, the candidate of the PES for president of the EC, alongside SDP PresidentDavor Bernardić. Bernardić accused the HDZ for "failing to salvage" the Croatian shipyards in Rijeka andPula, in cooperation with the EC.[11]

Amsterdam Coalition

[edit]

The list of theAmsterdam Coalition, a coalition of seven parties, including theCroatian Peasant Party (HSS), theCivic Liberal Alliance (GLAS), and theIstrian Democratic Assembly (IDS), was headed byIstria County prefectValter Flego of the IDS. GLAS PresidentAnka Mrak Taritaš presented the list as a rejection of a "Europe of barbed wire fences and the Brexit chaos", and said that the coalition advocates an open and free Europe. HSS PresidentKrešo Beljak said that the vote for the coalition is a vote for a European Croatia.[12]

Živi zid

[edit]

The populistŽivi zid party announced a joint platform with Italy'sFive Star Movement,Kukiz'15 from Poland, and Greece's AKKEL. The 1st candidate on the slate of the Živi zid was its secretary-general Tihomir Lukanić.Ivan Vilibor Sinčić, the president of the party, presented the platform as a new generation of politicians that will fight against corruption and organised crime.[13]

Bridge of Independent Lists

[edit]

The slate of theBridge of Independent Lists (Most) was led by its president,Božo Petrov. If elected, Petrov would have given up his seat in the European Parliament to the next candidate with most preferential votes.[14] Prior to the start of the campaign, the Most party attempted tofilibuster a bill that would increase the spending limits for the European election, but the bill was passed by the Croatian Parliament just before the deadline.[15] The party has not joined any of theEuropean political groups and announced the work within the non-affiliatedNon-Inscrits.[16]

Independents for Croatia–Croatian Party of Rights

[edit]

Two right-wing parties, theIndependents for Croatia (NHR) and theCroatian Party of Rights (HSP), formed a coalition and emphasized a Europe of "free, sovereign and independent nations" as the main agenda. Their slate included both parties' presidents,Bruna Esih of the NHR and Karlo Starčević of the HSP.[17]

Croatian Sovereignists

[edit]
Main article:Croatian Sovereignists

TheCroatian Sovereignists coalition was formed by four right-wing parties: theCroatian Conservative Party (HKS), theCroatian Growth (Hrast), theCroatian Party of Rights Dr. Ante Starčević (HSP AS), and the United Croatian Patriots (UHD). Its list was led by current MEPRuža Tomašić of the HKS, who won a mandate in 2013 and in 2014 on the HDZ-ledPatriotic Coalition slate.[18]

Independent Democratic Serb Party

[edit]
SDSS' 2019 European Parliament election jumbo poster inVukovar.

TheIndependent Democratic Serb Party (SDSS), the largest party of theSerbs of Croatia, ran independently for the first time in the European election.[19] Although there were speculations that the SDSS might leave the ruling coalition, its leaderMilorad Pupovac confirmed that the SDSS will remain a part it, following a meeting with Prime Minister Plenković.[20] Campaign was marked by SDSS jumbo posters with inscription "Do you know how it is to be a Serb in Croatia?" in which a word Serb was written inSerbian Cyrillic.[21] Second on the list, just behind party leaderMilorad Pupovac, was Dejan Jović, university professor and former consultant toIvo Josipović.[22] As it was expected by campaign leaders jumbo posters were target of widespread nationalist vandalism and destruction which underlined the issue of ethnic intolerance and discrimination.[22]

Other electoral lists

[edit]

TheCroatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats (HNS–LD), the junior partner in the governing coalition, also ran independently, withMeđimurje County PrefectMatija Posavec leading the list.[23]

Current MEPMarijana Petir, who was elected in 2014 on the HDZ-led coalition slate, ran as an independent candidate, with a campaign focused onagrarian issues.[24]

Opinion polls

[edit]

The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and other parties in the poll since the parliamentary elections 2003.

Polling average
Main parties
  HDZ
  SDP
Other parties
  ŽZ
  A
  MOST
  BM365
  HNS
  NHR-HSP
  START
  HS
  NLMK
  NLMP
  Pametno
Events
  Elections

Vote share

[edit]
DatePolling firmSample
size
TOHDZSDPŽZAMostBM 365HNSNHR
HSP
StartHSNLMKNLMPPametnoOthersLead
25 May 2014Election results25.24%41.429.90.528.211.5
23 Nov 20182x1 komunikacijeArchived 12 September 2020 at theWayback Machine----25.518.57.813.17.8--1.27.6--1.0------7.0
27 Dec 20182x1 komunikacije1046--28.422.812.010.66.6--1.66.6--1.0------5.6
18 Jan 2019IPSOS1000--20.110.610.812.57.55.10.28.99.4--------7.6
1 Feb 20192x1 komunikacijeArchived 12 February 2019 at theWayback Machine----26.422.010.514.06.8--1.48.6--2.2------4.4
27 Feb 2019IPSOS991--29.615.79.47.24.95.0----4.0--------16.013.9
28 Feb 20192x1 komunikacijeArchived 16 April 2019 at theWayback Machine----26.320.09.914.18.7--1.57.5--1.7------6.3
6 Mar 2019Promocija plus1300--27.616.79.68.26.54.02.54.24.02.9------10.9
21 Mar 2019Promocija plus1400--27.016.49.38.46.43.62.34.34.12.8------1.610.6
23 Mar 20192x1 komunikacijeArchived 23 March 2019 at theWayback Machine----26.620.810.514.48.8--2.66.2--1.5------5.8
26 Mar 2019IPSOS983--29.518.99.45.66.14.0----4.1--------16.610.6
7 Apr 2019Promocija plus1300--26.916.58.38.26.0----4.54.04.0------10.4
21 Apr 2019Promocija plus1400--25.115.77.77.66.22.42.44.13.23.94.64.6--2.49.4
27 Apr 2019IPSOS841--26.917.48.77.16.03.1--2.83.92.72.82.7--7.09.5
29 Apr 2019OraclumArchived 5 May 2019 at theWayback Machine1200--36.120.59.76.07.42.21.22.93.42.43.2---2.315.6
30 Apr 20192x1 komunikacijeArchived 30 April 2019 at theWayback Machine----24.021.09.87.96.81.01.05.02.02.73.22.5--1.23.0
8 May 2019Promocija plus1300--26.016.27.97.05.63.3--3.4--3.14.34.4----9.8
20 May 2019Promocija plusArchived 1 July 2020 at theWayback Machine1400--24.516.47.46.96.72.33.13.62.24.44.74.82.04.48.1
23 May 20192x1 komunikacijeArchived 25 May 2019 at theWayback Machine1041--24.021.211.05.97.02.61.75.33.14.84.84.0--2.8
24 May 2019OraclumArchived 24 May 2019 at theWayback Machine----34.621.111.15.77.32.81.22.43.12.23.3--1.213.5
24 May 2019IPSOS985--28.220.17.46.26.13.0--4.63.04.25.1----8.1

Seat projections

[edit]
DatePolling firmSample
size
Abs.HDZSDPŽZAMostBM 365HNSNHR
HSP
StartHSNLMKNLMPOthersLead
23 Nov 20182x1 komunikacijeArchived 12 September 2020 at theWayback Machine----4312100100001
27 Dec 20182x1 komunikacije----4321100100001
18 Jan 2019IPSOS----3222100110001
1 Feb 20192x1 komunikacijeArchived 12 February 2019 at theWayback Machine----4312100100001
27 Feb 2019IPSOS----6311010000003
28 Feb 20192x1 komunikacijeArchived 16 April 2019 at theWayback Machine----4312100100001
6 Mar 2019Promocija plus----5321100000002
21 Mar 2019Promocija plus----5321100000002
23 Mar 20192x1 komunikacije----4312100100001
26 Mar 2019IPSOS----6311100000003
7 Apr 2019Promocija plus----5311100100002
21 Apr 2019Promocija plus----5311100000002
27 Apr 2019IPSOS----5311100000002
29 Apr 2019OraclumArchived 5 May 2019 at theWayback Machine----6311100000003
30 Apr 20192x1 komunikacijeArchived 30 April 2019 at theWayback Machine----4411100100000
8 May 2019Promocija plus----5311100000002
20 May 2019Promocija plusArchived 1 July 2020 at theWayback Machine----5311100000002
23 May 20192X1 komunikacije----4421100000000
24 May 2019IPSOS----5311100000102
24 May 2019OraclumArchived 24 May 2019 at theWayback Machine----6311100000003

Exit polls

[edit]
DatePolling firmHDZSDPNL Mislav KolakušićCroatian SovereignistsŽivi zidAmsterdam Coalition
26 May 2019Ipsos puls531111

Results

[edit]
Parties with most votes by county:
Results by municipality, shaded according to winning party's percentage of the vote.
  HDZ—60–70%
  HDZ—50–60%
  HDZ—40–50%
  HDZ—<40%
  SDP—50–60%
  SDP—40–50%
  SDP—<40%
  AK—60–70%
  AK—50–60%
  AK—40–50%
  AK—<40%
  HNS—40–50%
  HNS—<40%
  SDSS—>80%
  SDSS—70–80%
  SDSS—60–70%
  SDSS—50–60%
  SDSS—40–50%
  SDSS—<40%
  Others

The ruling HDZ won 22.72% of the vote and 4 seats in the European Parliament. The SDP, the main opposition party, also won 4 seats in the parliament, with 18.71% of the popular vote. The SDP will gain the fourth seat after theUnited Kingdom leaves the EU. The Croatian Sovereignists coalition, the independent list of Mislav Kolakušić, the Živi Zid party, and the Amsterdam Coalition won one seat each.[25] The voter turnout was 29.9%, up from 25.2% in the 2014 election.[18]

Prime Minister Plenković admitted that he expected more votes. The elected MEP's of the HDZ list are Karlo Ressler, Dubravka Šuica, Tomislav Sokol and Željana Zovko. SDP President Davor Bernardić was satisfied with the results, which exceeded his expectations. The elected MEP's of the SDP are Biljana Borzan, Tonino Picula, Predrag Fred Matić and Romana Jerković. Jerković will take her seat afterBrexit. Ruža Tomašić of the Croatian Sovereignists won the highest number of preferential votes and retained her seat in the parliament. The biggest surprise of the election was Kolakušić's independent list, which won 7.89% of the vote. Kolakušić announced a presidential campaign the day after the election.[25]

Ivan Vilibor Sinčić, the president of the Živi zid party, won most preferential votes on his party list and a place in the parliament ahead of the slate leader, Tihomir Lukanić. The Amsterdam Coalition's main candidate, Valter Flego, won a seat in the parliament.[25]

PartyVotes%Seats
Croatian Democratic Union244,07622.734
Social Democratic Party200,97618.714
HRASTHKSHSP AS–UHD91,5468.521
Independent Candidate –Mislav Kolakušić84,7657.891
Human Shield60,8475.671
HSSGLASIDSHSUPGSDEMOKRATILABURISTI55,8295.201
Bridge of Independent Lists50,2574.680
Independent Candidate –Marijana Petir47,3584.410
NHRHSP46,9704.370
Independent Democratic Serb Party28,5972.660
Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats27,9582.600
Party of Anti-corruption, Development and Transparency21,7442.020
Bandić Milan 365 – Labour and Solidarity Party21,1751.970
We can!NLORaH19,3131.800
Pametno–UK15,0741.400
People's Party – Reformists9,9710.930
Green List5,9720.560
Croatian Social Liberal Party5,8760.550
Croatian Democratic Party5,6100.520
Authentic Croatian Party of Rights4,3910.410
Let's Unblock Croatia3,9810.370
Party of People's and Civic Action3,6830.340
Croatian Demochristian Party3,6510.340
RFSRP2,6220.240
Movement for a Modern Croatia2,5810.240
Democratic Alliance of Serbs2,0360.190
Croatian Defence People's Party1,5880.150
My Beloved Croatia1,1680.110
Zagorje Party for Zagreb1,1280.110
Free Croatia1,0210.100
Croatian Community Party9440.090
Croatian Party of Order7330.070
Freedom Party of Croatia5130.050
Total1,073,954100.0012
Valid votes1,073,95497.32
Invalid/blank votes29,5972.68
Total votes1,103,551100.00
Registered voters/turnout3,696,90729.85
Source:State Election Committee

Elected lists and candidates

[edit]
Members of the
European Parliament

forCroatia
Observers (2012)
7th term (2013)
8th term (2014)
9th term (2019)
10th term (2024)
Women
See also:List of members of the European Parliament for Croatia, 2019–2024
6: HRAST - HKS - HSP AS - UHD9: HDZ12: HSS - GLAS - IDS - HSU -PGS - D - HL-SR15: NLMK28: SDP33: ŽZ
*Ruža Tomašić
(HKS)
*Karlo Ressler
(HDZ)
*Dubravka Šuica
(HDZ)
*Tomislav Sokol
(HDZ)
*Željana Zovko
(HDZ)
*Valter Flego
(IDS)
*Mislav Kolakušić
(Independent)
*Biljana Borzan
(SDP)
*Tonino Picula
(SDP)
*Predrag Fred Matić
(SDP)
*Romana Jerković
(SDP)
*Ivan Vilibor Sinčić
(ŽZ)

List of elected MEPs

[edit]
MEPPartyNumber of preference votesShare of preference votes on candidate's listTerm length
Ruža TomašićHKS69,98976.45%1 July 2013 – 26 June 2021
Mislav KolakušićInd.68,88381.26%2 July 2019 –
Biljana BorzanSDP64,73632.21%1 July 2013 –
Karlo ResslerHDZ52,85921.65%2 July 2019 –
Tonino PiculaSDP50,92125.33%1 July 2013 –
Dubravka ŠuicaHDZ31,79113.02%1 July 2013 –
Valter FlegoIDS21,22838.03%2 July 2019 –
Ivan Vilibor SinčićŽZ18,31430.09%2 July 2019 –
Predrag MatićSDP13,3716.65%2 July 2019 –
Željana ZovkoHDZ9,8614.04%21 November 2016 –
Tomislav SokolHDZ4,5731.87%2 July 2019 –
Romana JerkovićSDP1,3680.68%2 July 2019 –

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"European Parliament Election in Croatia Called for 26 May".total-croatia-news.com. Retrieved27 March 2019.
  2. ^"Odluka o raspisivanju izbora za članove u Europski parlament iz Republike Hrvatske"(PDF).izbori.hr (in Croatian). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on 27 March 2019. Retrieved27 March 2019.
  3. ^"Europski izbori odredit će lidera oporbe".novilist.hr. Archived fromthe original on 28 March 2019. Retrieved28 March 2019.
  4. ^"U najvećim gradovima ljevica je pomela HDZ na EU izborima".
  5. ^"Zakon o izborima zastupnika Republike Hrvatske u Europski parlament".Croatian Parliament. Archived fromthe original on 6 October 2017. Retrieved26 February 2018.
  6. ^"Campaign begins for European Parliament elections".Croatian Radio Television. 10 April 2019. Archived fromthe original on 14 April 2019. Retrieved14 April 2019.
  7. ^"Young party official leads slate of HDZ candidates for EP elections".N1. 6 April 2019. Archived fromthe original on 14 April 2019. Retrieved14 April 2019.
  8. ^"Plenković Praises HDZ Candidates for European Parliament Elections". Total Croatia News. 14 April 2019.
  9. ^"Merkel and Weber tell HDZ rally nationalism is Europe's enemy".N1. 19 May 2019. Archived fromthe original on 22 May 2019. Retrieved19 May 2019.
  10. ^"EU Is Space of Opportunities for Croatia". Total Croatia News. 8 April 2019.
  11. ^"Timmermans Supports SDP Candidates in European Elections". Total Croatia News. 19 May 2019.
  12. ^"Amsterdam Coalition Submits Candidates List for European Elections". Total Croatia News. 5 April 2019.
  13. ^"Živi Zid Presents Its Slate for European Elections". Total Croatia News. 1 April 2019.
  14. ^"MOST Hopeful of Winning Two Seats in European Parliament". Total Croatia News. 27 March 2019.
  15. ^"Sabor passes campaign financing law".Croatian Radio Television. 23 March 2019. Archived fromthe original on 16 April 2019. Retrieved16 April 2019.
  16. ^"MOST Leader Says Eurobureaucrats Attempting to Create Super-State". Total Croatia News. 5 May 2019.
  17. ^"Right-Wing Parties to Run Together for European Parliament". Total Croatia News. 2 April 2019.
  18. ^ab"EP election: Two major parties in Croatia take four seats each".N1. 26 May 2019. Archived fromthe original on 27 May 2019. Retrieved27 May 2019.
  19. ^"Živi Zid, SDSS Submit Candidates for European Parliament Elections". Total Croatia News. 9 April 2019.
  20. ^"SDSS to stay on with the HDZ-led coalition government".Croatian Radio Television. 25 March 2019. Archived fromthe original on 16 April 2019. Retrieved16 April 2019.
  21. ^Vale, Giovanni (24 June 2019)."Dejan Jović, an alarm call for Croatian society".Trento,Italy:Osservatorio Balcani e Caucaso Transeuropa. Retrieved25 April 2020.
  22. ^abMiladinović, Aleksandar (24 May 2019)."Интервју петком - Дејан Јовић: "Поставили смо огледало пред лице и савест људи"".BBC. Retrieved25 April 2020.
  23. ^"People's Party and Greens submit European election lists; HDSSB won't run".Croatian Radio Television. 7 April 2019. Archived fromthe original on 16 April 2019. Retrieved16 April 2019.
  24. ^"Marijana Petir Launches Campaign for Another Term in European Parliament". Total Croatia News. 25 April 2019.
  25. ^abc"Results in from EU Parliament elections".Croatian Radio Television. 27 May 2019. Archived fromthe original on 2 June 2019. Retrieved2 June 2019.

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