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2018 Vermont gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2018 United States gubernatorial elections.

2018 Vermont gubernatorial election
← 2016November 6, 20182020 →
Turnout55.6%
 
NomineePhil ScottChristine Hallquist
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote151,261110,335
Percentage55.19%40.25%
County results
Municipality results
Scott:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Hallquist:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Phil Scott
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Phil Scott
Republican

Elections in Vermont
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The2018 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect thegovernor of Vermont, concurrently with theelection of Vermont'sClass I U.S. Senate seat, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate and local elections. IncumbentRepublican governorPhil Scott, who was first elected in 2016, was re-elected to a second term in office.[1] Hallquist's 40.3% was also the worst performance for aDemocratic Party candidate since2008. This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state thatHillary Clinton won in the2016 presidential election.

Despite initial expectations of a potentially close race due to national blue wave, Scott easily won reelection in what became a difficult year for Republicans, winning by 15 percentage points. As of 2025, this election marked the last time a Democratic candidate won a county in a gubernatorial election inVermont.

Background

[edit]

Along withNew Hampshire,Vermont is one of only two states where governors are elected to two-year terms. RepublicanPhil Scott was elected in the2016 election.[1]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Debates and forums

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Scott—70–80%
  Scott—60–70%
  Scott—50–60%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPhil Scott (incumbent)24,04266.67
RepublicanKeith Stern11,61732.22
RepublicanWrite-ins4011.11
Total votes36,060100.0
RepublicanBlank votes700
RepublicanOvervotes20

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
James Ehlers

Organizations

  • AFL-CIO

People

Brenda Siegel

Statewide and local politicians

Businesses

  • Vermont Green Grow Wellness Center

Organizations

  • Emerge Vermont
  • SolutionsToWork

People

  • Mark Hughes, executive director of Justice for All, organizer of Poor Peoples Campaign VT[14]

Debates and forums

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Hallquist—60–70%
  Hallquist—50–60%
  Hallquist—40–50%
  Hallquist—30–40%
  Siegel—40–50%
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChristine Hallquist27,62245.07
DemocraticJames Ehlers12,66820.67
DemocraticBrenda Siegel12,26020.01
DemocraticEthan Sonneborn4,6967.66
DemocraticJohn S. Rodgers (write-in)9501.55
DemocraticWrite-ins (other)3,0745.02
Total votes61,279100.0
DemocraticBlank votes7,997
DemocraticOvervotes68

With this result,Christine Hallquist became the first openly transgender candidate for governor nominated by a major political party in the United States.[16][17]

Progressive primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
Write-in
[edit]
  • Brenda Siegel (also ran in Democratic primary)

Endorsements

[edit]
Brenda Siegel

Statewide and local politicians

  • Mike Mrowicki, state representative
  • Tommy Walz, state representative

Businesses

  • Vermont Green Grow Wellness Center

Organizations

  • Emerge Vermont
  • SolutionsToWork

People

  • Mark Hughes, executive director of Justice for All, organizer of Poor Peoples Campaign VT

Debates and forums

[edit]

Results

[edit]
[18]
Vermont Progressive Party primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
ProgressiveBrenda Siegel (write-in)358.75
ProgressiveWrite-ins (other)36591.2
Total votes400100.0
ProgressiveBlank votes199

Libertarian nomination

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Liberty Union nomination

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Emily Peyton, candidate for governor in2014[20]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
Write-in
[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[27]Safe ROctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post[28]Lean RNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[29]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[30]Safe RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[32]Likely RNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos[33]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Fox News[34][b]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Politico[35]Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Governing[36]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^Began his campaign when he was 13 years old.[9] The election was held a few weeks before he entered his freshman year of high school.[10] His campaign was focused on healthcare for all, the environment, economy, and education.[11] Had he won, he would have been the youngest governor in American history.[11] Vermont (as well as Kansas) does not have a minimum age requirement for governor.
  2. ^The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements

[edit]
Christine Hallquist (D)

US Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials

US senators

US representatives

Statewide and local politicians

  • Martin O'Malley, former governor of Maryland[41]
  • Claire Ayer, state senator[42]
  • Chris Bray, state senator[42]
  • Joey Donovan, state representative[42]
  • Alice Emmons, state representative[42]
  • Helen Head, state representative[42]
  • Matt Hill, state representative[42]
  • Warren Kitzmiller, state representative[42]
  • Gabe Lucke, state representative[42]
  • Curt McCormack, state representative[42]
  • Dick McCormack, state senator[42]
  • Mary Sullivan, state representative[42]

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Phil Scott (R)

Statewide and local politicians

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Phil
Scott (R)		Christine
Hallquist (D)		OtherUndecided
Gravis Marketing[53]October 30 – November 1, 2018885± 3.3%49%39%–12%
Braun Research[54]October 5–14, 2018495± 4.4%42%28%7%[55]22%
Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party)[56]September 23–26, 2018406± 4.9%50%42%––

Results

[edit]
2018 Vermont gubernatorial election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanPhil Scott (incumbent)151,26155.19%+2.28%
DemocraticChristine Hallquist110,33540.25%−3.91%
IndependentTrevor Barlow3,2661.19%N/A
IndependentCharles Laramie2,2870.83%N/A
MarijuanaCris Ericson2,1290.78%N/A
Earth RightsStephen Marx1,8550.68%N/A
Liberty UnionEmily Peyton1,8390.66%−2.17%
Write-in1,1150.41%-0.31%
Total votes274,087100.00%N/A
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyPhil Scott
Republican		Christine Hallquist
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties
#%#%#%
Addison9,51454.87%7,20341.54%6223.59%
Bennington7,35150.05%6,15241.89%1,1838.06%
Caledonia7,42763.2%3,85032.76%4744.04%
Chittenden38,44350.63%35,12146.25%2,3713.12%
Essex1,57370.98%50622.83%1376.19%
Franklin12,59268.8%4,99127.27%7193.93%
Grand Isle2,42965.49%1,13830.68%1413.83%
Lamoille6,57157.34%4,54839.69%3412.97%
Orange7,49259.55%4,46935.52%6214.93%
Orleans6,53865.71%3,01030.25%4024.04%
Rutland15,63063.87%7,03828.76%1,8057.37%
Washington15,18255.38%11,34041.37%8913.25%
Windham7,19337.72%10,70856.16%1,1676.12%
Windsor13,32652.87%10,26140.71%1,6176.42%
Totals151,26155.19%110,33540.26%12,4914.55%

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcHallenbeck, Terri; Heintz, Paul (November 9, 2016)."Republican Phil Scott Elected Governor of Vermont".Seven Days. RetrievedNovember 27, 2016.
  2. ^Bradley, Pat."Vermont Gubernatorial Candidate Keith Stern Discusses His Campaign". Archived fromthe original on April 10, 2018. RetrievedApril 9, 2018.
  3. ^Evans, Brad (February 19, 2018)."Transgender woman to run for governor of Vermont".WPTZ.
  4. ^Trotta, Daniel (August 15, 2018)."In first, transgender woman wins Democratic nomination for Vermont..."reuters.com.
  5. ^Hirschfeld, Peter."Water Quality Advocate James Ehlers To Run For Governor, As Democrat". RetrievedAugust 3, 2017.
  6. ^"YCN Vermont Wrap with Keith Hanson 6/16/18".YCN Now. June 16, 2018. RetrievedJuly 18, 2018.
  7. ^Walters, John (May 8, 2018)."Walters: Anti-Poverty Advocate Launches Bid for Vermont Governor".Seven Days.
  8. ^"Thirteen-year-old runs for Governor of Vermont".Burlington Free Press. August 24, 2017. RetrievedAugust 31, 2017.
  9. ^McCullum, April (August 8, 2018)."Meet the 14-year-old running for Vermont governor".Burlington Free Press. RetrievedAugust 14, 2018.
  10. ^Robinson, Adia (August 14, 2018)."14-year-old is running to be Vermont's next governor".ABC News. RetrievedAugust 14, 2018.
  11. ^abLuz Henning Santiago, Amanda (August 14, 2018)."The website for Vermont's 14-year-old gubernatorial candidate has convinced me he's fit for the job". Mashable. RetrievedAugust 14, 2018.
  12. ^"Letter: Mrowicki supports Siegel".reformer.com.
  13. ^"Brenda Siegel for Vermont".www.facebook.com.
  14. ^"Mark A. Hughes".www.facebook.com.
  15. ^"Vermont Election Night Results".vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us. Archived fromthe original on August 11, 2017. RetrievedAugust 15, 2018.
  16. ^"Transgender candidate makes history with win in Vermont governor primary".ABC News. August 15, 2018.
  17. ^Bidgood, Jess (August 14, 2018)."Christine Hallquist, a Transgender Woman, Wins Vermont Governor's Primary".The New York Times.
  18. ^"Vermont Election Night Results".vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us. Archived fromthe original on August 11, 2017. RetrievedAugust 15, 2018.
  19. ^"2018 Vermont Libertarian Party Convention Summary". May 3, 2018. Archived fromthe original on July 24, 2018. RetrievedJuly 23, 2018.
  20. ^ab"Archived copy". Archived fromthe original on August 14, 2018. RetrievedAugust 13, 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  21. ^"Candidates - Elections - Vermont Secretary of State".www.sec.state.vt.us. Archived fromthe original on June 1, 2016. RetrievedAugust 12, 2018.
  22. ^Kaiser, Jonas (December 23, 2020)."How YouTube helps form homogeneous online communities".Brookings.edu. RetrievedDecember 25, 2022.
  23. ^Daro, Ishmael; Lytvyneko, Jane."Right-Wing YouTubers Think It's Only A Matter Of Time Before They Get Kicked Off The Site".Buzzfeed News. RetrievedDecember 25, 2022.
  24. ^Thompson, Stuart (March 11, 2022)."The far right complains after the search engine DuckDuckGo vows to limit Russian propaganda".The New York Times. RetrievedDecember 25, 2022.
  25. ^"YouTube Star Styxhexenhammer - aka Tarl Warwick - Running for Vermont Governor".thegoldwater.com. Archived fromthe original on August 15, 2018. RetrievedAugust 15, 2018.
  26. ^"Barney joins Vermont governor's race as independent".burlingtonfreepress.com.
  27. ^"2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedApril 10, 2021.
  28. ^"The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings".The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
  29. ^"2018 Governor Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2018. RetrievedOctober 17, 2018.
  30. ^"2018 Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections".insideelections.com. RetrievedNovember 15, 2017.
  31. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor".www.centerforpolitics.org. RetrievedNovember 15, 2017.
  32. ^"2018 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. October 9, 2018.
  33. ^"2018 Governor Race Ratings".Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  34. ^"2018 Midterm Power Ranking".Fox News. October 10, 2021.
  35. ^"Politico Race Ratings".Politico.
  36. ^"2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups".www.governing.com. Archived fromthe original on October 21, 2018. RetrievedJuly 18, 2018.
  37. ^Barack Obama."Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote".Twitter.
  38. ^"VT Insights: Hallquist rakes in endorsements from Obama, Biden, Warren and Sanders".
  39. ^"Biden endorses Hallquist for governor".wcax.com. RetrievedMarch 5, 2023.
  40. ^abcdef"Supporters".
  41. ^Martin O'Malley."Proud to support @christineforvt, a leader in green energy and health care for the state of Vermont".Twitter.
  42. ^abcdefghijk"Christine Hallquist - Posts".Facebook. July 23, 2018. RetrievedJuly 26, 2018.
  43. ^Battipaglia, Helena (September 12, 2018)."'Supernatural' actor supports Democratic gubernatorial candidate".www.mynbc5.com.WPTZ.
  44. ^Ocasio-Cortez, Alexandria [@Ocasio2018] (August 14, 2018)."Incredible and groundbreaking victory. Congratulations @christineforvt & shout out to Vermont voters for continuing VT's legacy of courageous inclusion & advocacy for all people" (Tweet). RetrievedOctober 16, 2018 – viaTwitter.
  45. ^Tinney, Don (August 28, 2018)."Vermont-NEA Recommends Hallquist for Governor".www.vtnea.org. Vermont-NEA Board.
  46. ^Peters, Stephen (August 29, 2018)."HRC Endorses Christine Hallquist for Governor of Vermont | Human Rights Campaign".Human Rights Campaign.
  47. ^Byrne, Robert (May 22, 2018)."Victory Fund Endorses 24 More LGBTQ Candidates for 2018, Spotlights Five New Historic Races".LGBTQ Victory Fund.
  48. ^Sandberg, Stephanie (July 26, 2018)."LPAC Announces 5 New Endorsements for Local Office as Primaries Approach - LPAC".LPAC. Archived fromthe original on September 1, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2018.
  49. ^"Republican Leaders Endorse Governor Phil Scott".Phil Scott for Vermont. August 6, 2018.
  50. ^ab"Governor Jim Douglas and Lt. Governor Brian Dubie Endorse Governor Phil Scott for Reelection".Phil Scott for Vermont. August 3, 2018.
  51. ^"Phil Scott Receives Small-Business Endorsement in the Race for Governor".NFIB. October 9, 2018.
  52. ^Landen, Xander (October 7, 2018)."Planned Parenthood declines to endorse in governor's race".VTDigger.
  53. ^Gravis Marketing
  54. ^Braun Research
  55. ^Trevor Barlow (I), Cris Ericson (I), Charles Laramie (I), and Emily Peyton (LU) with 1%; none/write in/other with 3%
  56. ^Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party)Archived 2018-10-02 at theWayback Machine

External links

[edit]

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