The2018 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofPennsylvania , concurrently withother elections to the United States Senate,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives , and variousstate andlocal elections . This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state thatDonald Trump won in the2016 presidential election . The primary elections were held on May 15.[ 1] Democratic SenatorBob Casey Jr. ran for re-election to a third term.[ 2] Republican nominee,Lou Barletta ,[ 3] Green Party nominee Neal Gale,[ 4] Libertarian Party nominee Dale Kerns.[ 5] Arlen Specter in1992 , and the first Pennsylvania Democrat to be popularly elected to three terms in the Senate.
Jim Christiana
State senators
State representatives
Newspapers
Cynthia E. Ayers (withdrew)
Individuals
Brigadier General Ken Chrosniak, former instructor at the U.S. Army War College[ 28] Henry Cooper, former Director of theStrategic Defense Initiative [ 28] Dr. Brian Hay, business executive and national security expert[ 29] Major General Robert B. Newman Jr., former Adjutant General of Virginia (USAF)[ 28] Dr. Peter Pry, Director of the United States Nuclear Strategy Forum, an advisory board to Congress on policies to counter Weapons of Mass Destruction.[ 28] Bobby Lawrence (withdrew)
Individuals
Jeremy Hanson, host ofUnleashed: The Jeremy Hanson Show [ 30] Results by county: Barletta—>90%
Barletta—80–90%
Barletta—70–80%
Barletta—60–70%
Barletta—50–60%
Christiana—50–60%
Christiana—60–70%
Christiana—70–80%
Republican primary results[ 33] Party Candidate Votes % Republican Lou Barletta 433,312 63.03% Republican Jim Christiana 254,118 36.97% Total votes 687,430 100.00%
Dale Kerns ran unopposed for the Libertarian nomination and received the official nomination from thePennsylvania Libertarian Party at the state convention on March 6, 2018.[ 34]
Neal Gale, clean energy consultant[ 4] Notes ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races Lou Barletta (R)
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Ryan Costello , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 6th congressional district (2015–2019)[ 47] Charlie Dent , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 15th congressional district (2005–2018)[ 47] Brian Fitzpatrick , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 8th congressional district (2017–2019)[ 47] Mike Kelly , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 3rd congressional district (2011–2019)[ 47] Tom Marino , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 10th congressional district (2011–2019)[ 47] Pat Meehan , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 7th congressional district (2011–2018)[ 47] Scott Perry , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 4th congressional district (2013–2019)[ 47] Keith Rothfus , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2013–2019)[ 47] Bill Shuster , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 9th congressional district (2001–2019)[ 47] Lloyd Smucker , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 16th congressional district (2017–2019)[ 47] Glenn Thompson , U.S. Representative fromPennsylvania's 5th congressional district (2009–2019)[ 47] State officials
State senators
State representatives
Steve Bloom , state representative from the199th district (2011–2019)[ 46] Sheryl Delozier , state representative from the88th district (2009–present)[ 46] Doyle Heffley , state representative from the122nd district (2011–present)[ 46] Sue Helm , state representative from the104th district (2007–present)[ 46] Dawn Keefer , state representative from the92nd district (2017–present)[ 46] Fred Keller , state representative from the85th district (2011–2019)[ 46] Jerry Knowles , state representative from the124th district (2009–present)[ 46] Ryan Mackenzie , state representative from the134th district (2012–present)[ 46] John Maher , state representative from the40th district (1997–2019)[ 46] Kurt Masser , state representative from the107th district (2011–present)[ 46] Tom Mehaffie, state representative from the106th district (2017–present)[ 46] Daryl Metcalfe , state representative from the12th district (1999–present)[ 46] Dave Millard , state representative from the109th district (2004–present)[ 46] Kristin Phillips-Hill , state representative from the93rd district (2015–2019)[ 46] Greg Rothman , state representative from the87th district (2015–present)[ 48] Justin Simmons , state representative from the131st district (2011–2021)[ 46] Mike Tobash , state representative from the125th district (2011–2020)[ 46] Tarah Toohil , state representative from the116th district (2011–present)[ 46] Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Bob Casey Jr. (D)
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Local and state officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Dale Kerns (L)
Governors
State and local politicians
Brandon Magoon, Majority Inspector of Elections Erie 6-1[ 86] Republican ) Jennifer Moore, Upper Providence Township Auditor[ 87] Libertarian ) Bruno Novak, Judge of Elections, Hempfield-3[ 86] Libertarian ) Michael Oehling Jr, Buffalo Township Republican Committeeman and Auditor[ 87] Individuals
Bobby Lawrence, former Republican U.S. Senate candidate and small business owner[ 87] Organizations
Poll source Date(s) Sample Margin Bob Lou Other Undecided Change Research [ 88] November 2–4, 2018 1,833 – 51% 44% 3%[ 89] – Research Co. [ 90] November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 56% 39% 1% 4% Muhlenberg College [ 91] October 28 – November 1, 2018 421 ± 5.5% 54% 40% – – Franklin & Marshall College [ 92] October 22–28, 2018 214 LV ± 9.5% 50% 35% – 14% 537 RV ± 6.0% 50% 31% 4%[ 93] 14% Morning Consult [ 94] October 1–2, 2018 1,188 ± 3.0% 47% 32% – 21% Franklin & Marshall College [ 95] September 17–23, 2018 204 LV – 50% 33% – 15% 545 RV ± 6.1% 48% 30% 4%[ 96] 20% Ipsos [ 97] September 12–20, 2018 1,080 ± 3.0% 53% 37% 3% 7% Muhlenberg College [ 98] September 13–19, 2018 404 ± 5.5% 53% 35% 7%[ 99] 6% Rasmussen Reports [ 100] September 12–13, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 52% 38% 2% 8% Franklin & Marshall College [ 101] August 20–26, 2018 222 LV – 47% 34% 1% 19% 511 RV ± 6.1% 48% 29% 3%[ 102] 20% NBC News /Marist [ 103] August 12–16, 2018 713 ± 4.2% 53% 38% 1% 8% Commonwealth Leaders Fund (R) [ 104] August 13–15, 2018 2,012 ± 3.6% 47% 45% 2% 6% SurveyMonkey /Axios [ 105] June 11 – July 2, 2018 990 ± 4.5% 55% 41% – 5% Suffolk University [ 106] June 21–25, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 47% 32% 1% 21% Franklin & Marshall College [ 107] June 4–10, 2018 472 ± 6.5% 44% 27% 1% 28% Muhlenberg College [ 108] April 4–12, 2018 414 ± 5.5% 48% 32% 8% 18% Franklin & Marshall College [ 109] March 19–26, 2018 423 ± 6.8% 43% 25% 2% 30% Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) [ 110] March 15–16, 2018 1,056 ± 3.0% 54% 36% – 10% SurveyMonkey /Axios [ 111] February 12 – March 5, 2018 2,165 ± 3.8% 52% 43% – 5%
Hypothetical polling
with Jim Christiana
Poll source Date(s) Sample Margin Bob Jim Other Undecided Muhlenberg College [ 108] April 4–12, 2018 414 ± 5.5% 48% 29% 3% 20%
with generic Democrat and Republican
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Casey won 11 of 18 congressional districts, including the 1st and 10th districts, which elected Republicans to the House.[ 113]
^ "2018 State Primary Election Dates" .www.ncsl.org .^ Garcia, Eric (May 4, 2017)."Trump Encouraging Barletta to Challenge Casey in Senate" .Roll Call . ^ "2018 Pennsylvania Election Results" .Politico . RetrievedMay 16, 2018 .^a b "Candidates 2018" .Green Party of Pennsylvania . Archived fromthe original on May 23, 2018. RetrievedMay 22, 2018 .^a b c d Rose, Alex (March 7, 2018)."Kerns wins Libertarian nod for U.S. Senate race" .Delaware County Daily Times . RetrievedMay 25, 2018 . ^ "Casey in Good Position For 2018 Reelection Bid - WNPV Radio 98.5FM & 1440AM" . October 16, 2017. Archived fromthe original on November 12, 2017. RetrievedOctober 30, 2017 .^ Pennsylvania Secretary of State."Pennsylvania primary election results, 2018" . RetrievedJune 5, 2019 . ^ "Barletta Announces His Candidacy for Senate" .Roll Call August 29, 2017. RetrievedAugust 29, 2017 .^ Engelkemier, Paul (April 8, 2017)."Christiana Jumps into U.S. Senate Race" . PoliticsPA. RetrievedApril 8, 2017 . ^ Davies, Dave (November 28, 2016)."Pa. businessman exploring a run for governor" .NewsWorks . Archived fromthe original on January 13, 2017. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2017 . ^ Levy, Marc (June 7, 2017)."Ex-Energy Exec Enters Pennsylvania's US Senate Race" .WESA . RetrievedJune 7, 2017 . ^a b c d e f g "Pennsylvania 2018 General Election" .www.thegreenpapers.com . RetrievedMarch 26, 2018 .^ "Cynthia E. Ayers Announces Candidacy for U.S. Senate" .Gant Daily . June 21, 2017. RetrievedJuly 12, 2017 .^ Engelkeimer, Paul (April 24, 2017)."Bartos Jumps into Senate Race" . PoliticsPA. RetrievedApril 24, 2017 . ^ Tamari, Jonathan (February 10, 2017)."Republicans' next Pennsylvania target: Casey" .The Philadelphia Inquirer . RetrievedAugust 27, 2017 . ^ Howley, Patrick (May 23, 2017)."EXCLUSIVE: Trumper Bobby Lawrence Announces Senate Run In Pennsylvania" .Big League Politics . RetrievedAugust 27, 2017 . ^ Engelkemier, Paul (February 27, 2017)."Saccone Launches 2018 US Senate Bid" . PoliticsPA. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2017 . ^ "Second Republican joins race to unseat Bob Casey" .The Philadelphia Inquirer Associated Press . March 1, 2017. RetrievedMarch 2, 2017 .^ O'Boyle, Bill (September 20, 2017)."Shektor drops Senate bid; will run for House seat" .Times Leader . RetrievedSeptember 20, 2017 . ^ Potter, Chris (August 1, 2017)."Rep. Mike Kelly pulls out of crowded Senate race for Casey seat" .Pittsburgh Post-Gazette . RetrievedAugust 1, 2017 . ^ "Meehan won't challenge Casey for Senate in 2018, spokesman says" . Associated Press.^ Engelkemier, Paul (May 12, 2017)."Reed Rules Out Governor and Senate Runs in 2018" .PoliticsPA . RetrievedMay 15, 2017 . ^ "Politics PA" .^ "Rep. Kerry Benninghoff Endorses Jim Christiana for U.S. Senate" (PDF) . Archived fromthe original (PDF) on May 16, 2018. RetrievedMay 15, 2018 .^ "David L. Reed official website" .^ "Jim Christiana's Facebook page" .Facebook ^ "Our View: Christiana is better choice" .The Beaver County Times the original on May 16, 2018. RetrievedMay 15, 2018 .^a b c d "Cynthia E. Ayers Endorsements" . Cynthia E. Ayers. Archived fromthe original on September 2, 2017. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2017 .^ "Cynthia E. Ayers Endorsements" . Cynthia E. Ayers. Archived fromthe original on September 2, 2017. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2017 .^ "Lawrence Endorsements" . Bobby Lawrence. Archived fromthe original on December 24, 2017. RetrievedJuly 15, 2017 .^ Susquehanna Polling & Research (R-Christiana) Archived May 11, 2018, at theWayback Machine ^ Bellwether Research (R-Addis) ^ Pennsylvania Secretary of State."Pennsylvania primary election results, 2018" . RetrievedJune 5, 2019 . ^ Rose, Alex."Kerns wins Libertarian nod for U.S. Senate race" .Daily Times News . RetrievedMarch 7, 2018 . ^ Day, Lauren."29-Year-Old Represents His Pennsylvania Stomping Grounds" .LI News . Leadership Institute. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2021 . ^ "Libertarian Jumps into Senate Race" . RetrievedMarch 17, 2017 .^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018" .The Cook Political Report . RetrievedMarch 13, 2021 .^ "2018 Senate Ratings" .The Rothenberg Political Report . RetrievedMarch 13, 2021 .^ "2018 Senate" .Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball . RetrievedOctober 4, 2018 .^ "Elections 2017-18" .Daily Kos [permanent dead link ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings" .Fox News . RetrievedSeptember 25, 2018 .^ "Key Races: Senate" . RetrievedSeptember 25, 2018 .^ "Battle for the Senate 2018" . RetrievedSeptember 25, 2018 .^ Mike Pence."Great to be in Pennsylvania today supporting my friend @LouForSenate. Lou Barletta will put the interests of the hardworking men & women of PA first and will be an advocate for @RealDonaldTrump's pro-growth economic agenda!" .Twitter . ^ "Rep. Lou Barletta, a Great Republican from Pennsylvania who was one of my very earliest supporters, will make a FANTASTIC Senator. He is strong & smart, loves Pennsylvania & loves our Country! Voted for Tax Cuts, unlike Bob Casey, who listened to Tax Hikers Pelosi and Schumer!" .Twitter . RetrievedFebruary 11, 2018 .^a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab "Barletta Rolls Out Endorsements for Senate Bid" .PoliticsPA . October 19, 2017.^a b c d e f g h i j k Tamari, Jonathan."Inbox: PA's entire Republican House delegation endorses @RepLouBarletta for Senate" .Twitter . ^ "Proud to endorse @loubarletta for US Senate" .Twitter .^ Brennan, Chris (July 2, 2018)."Lou Barletta's newest ally against Bob Casey is Nigel Farage, a.k.a 'Mr. Brexit' .The Philadelphia Inquirer ^ "Log In or Sign Up to View" .www.facebook.com .^a b Eric Trump."Lara and I loved spending the day in Pennsylvania campaigning for @RepLouBarletta for Senate! He is an incredible guy & a great friend - we desperately need him fighting alongside @realDonaldTrump in #WashingtonDC! #VoteForLou #MAGA #PA" .Twitter . ^ "ABC PA ENDORSES BARLETTA FOR U.S. SENATE" .ABC of Pennsylvania . October 24, 2017.^ Lou Barletta."It is an honor to have been endorsed by FOP Fort Pitt Lodge #1 for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania! Grateful for the support of Pittsburgh's finest, I will always have their back. #Lou4Senate" .Twitter . ^a b c "Lou Barletta Endorsed By National Electrical Contractors Association" .Lou Barletta for Senate . August 14, 2018.^ "Small Business Endorses Congressman Lou Barletta for the U.S. Senate" .NFIB . August 14, 2018.^ McCarthy, Reagan."National Right to Life Endorses Lou Barletta for U.S. Senate Over Incumbent 'Pro-life' Dem Bob Casey" .Townhall . ^ Murphy, Jan (February 10, 2018)."Lou Barletta wins state GOP backing in U.S. Senate race" .The Patriot-News ^ Students For Trump.".@SenBobCasey has Pennsylvania values every 6 years when he's up for election. @louforsenate actually holds these values and will bring them to Washington in November!" .Twitter . ^ "For Republican primary voters, Lou Barletta for U.S. Senate" .The Patriot-News ^ "PA-Sen: Joe Biden Helps Bob Casey (D) Get Ready To Defeat Trump's "Political Godfather" .Daily Kos . November 29, 2017.^ Bob Casey Jr.".@BarackObama is counting on you to vote, Pennsylvania. Are you ready?" .Twitter . ^ "PA-Sen: Sen. Cory Booker (D. NJ) Helps Sen. Bob Casey (D) Defeat Trump's Political Godfather" .Daily Kos . May 21, 2018.^ "PA-Sen: Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D. NV) Is Determined To Defeat Trump's "Political Godfather" .Daily Kos . November 13, 2017.^ "MN, PA & MT-Sen: Dick Durbin (D. IL) Helps These Democrats Fight Back Against Trump's Agenda" .Daily Kos . May 31, 2018.^ "PA-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Helps Bob Casey (D) Defeat Trump's Chosen Fringe Candidate" .Daily Kos . February 26, 2018.^ "PA-Sen: Sen. Ed Markey (D. MA) Helps Fellow net Neutrality Champ Bob Casey (D) Get Ready For Victory" .Daily Kos . January 18, 2018.^ "PA-Sen: Sen. Jeff Merkley (D. OR) Helps Bob Casey (D) Keep Up The Resistance Against Trump & GOP" .Daily Kos . November 27, 2017.^ "MI, IN, WI, MN, OH & PA-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) Helps Senate Dems Win Big In The Midwest" .Daily Kos . February 28, 2018.^ "PA-Sen: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D. MA) Helps Bob Casey (D) Defeat Trump's Political Godfather" .Daily Kos . February 11, 2018.^ Dwight Evans."Busy evening full of stops at the 59th, 17th and 12th wards talking about the importance of Philadelphia to the @WolfforPA and @Bob_Casey campaigns. Need to get that vote out on Nov. 6th! #ElectionsMatter #GOTV #PAVotesBlue" .Twitter . ^ Lamb, Conor (May 22, 2018)."PA-17, 01, Sen, 08, Gov, 07, 10, 06 & 05: Rep. Conor Lamb (D) Helps Bring The Blue Wave To PA" .Daily Kos . ^ "PA-Sen: Attorney General Josh Shapiro (D) Helps Bob Casey (D) Fight Back Against Trump & GOP" .Daily Kos . December 20, 2017.^ Wolf, Tom (May 22, 2018)."PA-Gov, 17, 08, 05, 10, 01, 06, Sen & 07: Gov. Tom Wolf (D) Brings The Blue Wave To Pennsylvania" .Daily Kos . ^ "Pennsylvania AFL-CIO Candidate Endorsements" .^ "Pennsylvania - COMPAC Endorsements - UMWA" .UMWA .^ "2018 Council-endorsed Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World" .Council for a Livable World .^ Tiffany Muller (May 3, 2017)."End Citizens United Endorses Bob Casey, Heidi Heitkamp and Sheldon Whitehouse for U.S. Senate" . End Citizens United. ^ Dawe, John (March 30, 2018)."Equality PA endorses Senator Bob Casey, Jr. for Re-Election" .Equality Pennsylvania . Archived fromthe original on April 19, 2018. RetrievedApril 19, 2018 . ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Pennsylvania Environmental Champions Senator Casey & Representative Cartwright" .League of Conservation Voters . October 23, 2017.^ NCPSSM."Candidates We Endorse and Support" . ^ Curtis, Kevin (February 16, 2018)."NRDC Action Fund : Sen. Bob Casey endorsed by the NRDC Action Fund" .www.nrdcactionfund.org . ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements" .^a b "Neal Gale Announces Run for U.S. Senate in PA" .Green Party US . RetrievedMay 24, 2018 .^ "Thank you Gary Johnson for your endorsement!" .Facebook .^ "I endorse" .Facebook .^a b "Facebook" .Facebook .^a b c "Kerns Endorsements" . Dale Kerns. RetrievedJuly 4, 2017 .^ Change Research ^ Neal Gale (G) with 2%, Dale Kerns (L) with 1% ^ Research Co. ^ Muhlenberg College Archived 2018-11-02 at theWayback Machine ^ Franklin & Marshall College ^ Neal Gale (G) with 2%, Dale Kerns (L) with 1%; other with 1% ^ Morning Consult Archived 2018-10-15 at theWayback Machine ^ Franklin & Marshall College ^ Dale Kerns (L) with 2%, Neal Gale (G) with 1%; other with 1% ^ Ipsos ^ Muhlenberg College ^ Neal Gale (G) and Dale Kerns (L) with 2%, neither/other with 3% ^ Rasmussen Reports ^ Franklin & Marshall College ^ Dale Kerns (L) and Neal Gale (G) with 1%; other with 1% ^ NBC News/Marist ^ Commonwealth Leaders Fund (R) ^ SurveyMonkey/Axios ^ Suffolk University Archived 2018-06-27 at theWayback Machine ^ Franklin & Marshall College ^a b Muhlenberg College ^ Franklin & Marshall College ^a b Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) ^ SurveyMonkey/Axios ^ "Pennsylvania Elections - Summary Results" .electionreturns.pa.gov .^ "DRA 2020" .davesredistricting.org . RetrievedAugust 8, 2025 .Official campaign websites
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