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2018 United States Senate election in Indiana

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2018 Indiana Senate election.

2018 United States Senate election in Indiana

← 2012November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)2024 →
Turnout50.42%Decrease
 
NomineeMike BraunJoe Donnelly
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,158,0001,023,553
Percentage50.73%44.84%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Braun:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Donnelly:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

Joe Donnelly
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Braun
Republican

Elections in Indiana
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
1996
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
Republican
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections

The2018 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 6, 2018, along withother elections to theUnited States Senate andHouse of Representatives and various state and local elections. IncumbentDemocratic SenatorJoe Donnelly ran for re-election to a second term, however, he lost in the general election toRepublicanMike Braun by a margin of 6%. This was the second consecutive election for this seat in which the incumbent was defeated and/or the seat flipped parties.

This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state won byDonald Trump in the2016 presidential election. In 2017,Politico described the race as "possibly the GOP's best opportunity to seize a Senate seat from Democrats" in the 2018 elections.[1] The primary election was held on May 8, 2018.[2] In October 2018,RealClearPolitics rated the race a toss-up between the Democratic and Republican nominees, with the Libertarian receiving a poll average of 6%.[3]

Instead of running for a second senatorial term in2024, Braun campaigned successfully to becomeGovernor of Indiana.

Background

[edit]

In 2012,Joe Donnelly was elected to the Senate with 50% of the vote to Republican nomineeRichard Mourdock's 44%. In the 2016 presidential election, Republican nomineeDonald Trump wonIndiana with about 56.5% of the vote to Democratic nomineeHillary Clinton's 37.5%.[4][5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]
  • Martin Del Rio, Iraq War veteran[7][8]

Endorsements

[edit]
Joe Donnelly
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJoe Donnelly (incumbent)284,621100.00%
Total votes284,621100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in the primary election

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Braun
U.S. senators
State senators
State representatives
Organizations
Newspapers
Luke Messer
U.S. representatives
State-level officials
Former state party chairs
Local-level officials
Individuals
Todd Rokita
State-level officials
Former state party chairs
Local-level officials
Individuals
Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Luke
Messer
Todd
Rokita
Mike
Braun
OtherUndecided
Strategic National (R)[60]May 5–6, 2018300± 5.7%29%28%44%
Gravis Marketing[61]April 6–11, 2018280± 5.9%13%16%26%45%
GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)[62]January 6–9, 2018500± 4.4%9%24%9%58%
GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)[63]July 16–18, 2017500± 4.4%20%28%51%
14%21%11%55%
OnMedia (R-Messer)[64]July 10–12, 2017400± 4.8%23%23%2%7%[a]45%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Braun
  •   80–90%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
  Rokita
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  Messer
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Braun208,60241.17%
RepublicanTodd Rokita151,96729.99%
RepublicanLuke Messer146,13128.84%
Total votes506,700100.00%

Independent

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • James Johnson Jr.[65]

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Mike Braun, businessman and former state representative (R)
  • Lucy Brenton (L)
  • Joe Donnelly, incumbent (D)
  • James Johnson Jr. (I)

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[66]TossupOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections[67]TossupNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[68]Lean R (flip)November 5, 2018
CNN[69]TossupNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[70]TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[71]TossupNovember 5, 2018
Fox News[72]TossupNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[73]Lean DNovember 5, 2018

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
Joe Donnelly (D)$16,100,528$13,872,981$2,321,981
Mike Braun (R)$16,964,706$15,576,842$1,387,861
Source: Federal Election Commission[74]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mike Braun (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Governors
State senators
State representatives
Cabinet-level officials
Individuals
Organizations
Joe Donnelly (D)
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Declined to endorse
Organizations
  • Indiana Chamber of Commerce[136]
Newspapers

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Donnelly (D)
Mike
Braun (R)
Lucy
Brenton (L)
OtherUndecided
HarrisX[139]November 3–5, 2018600± 4.0%42%43%
HarrisX[140]November 2–4, 2018600± 4.0%43%41%
HarrisX[141]November 1–3, 2018600± 4.0%43%42%
HarrisX[142]October 31 – November 2, 2018600± 4.0%44%42%
HarrisX[143]October 30 – November 1, 2018600± 4.0%43%43%
HarrisX[144]October 29–31, 2018600± 4.0%40%43%
Fox News[145]October 27–30, 2018722 LV± 3.5%45%38%5%2%9%
852 RV± 3.0%42%38%6%2%11%
HarrisX[146]October 24–30, 20181,400± 2.6%42%42%
NBC News/Marist[147]October 24–28, 2018496 LV± 5.5%45%42%7%<1%5%
48%46%2%5%
800 RV± 4.2%43%40%9%<1%7%
47%45%2%7%
Cygnal (R)[148]October 26–27, 2018505± 4.4%46%49%3%2%
YouGov[149]October 23–26, 2018975± 3.7%43%46%3%0%8%
Mason Strategies (R)[150]October 15–20, 2018600± 3.9%43%47%3%7%
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)[151]October 14–17, 201880040%44%7%5%
SurveyUSA[152]October 12–16, 2018816± 4.6%41%40%8%11%
Gravis Marketing[153]October 12–16, 2018377± 5.1%44%40%7%10%
Vox Populi Polling[154]October 13–15, 2018783± 3.5%55%45%
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)[151]October 7–10, 201880040%44%7%7%
American Viewpoint (R-Braun)[151]September 30 – October 3, 201880039%43%7%5%
Fox News[155]September 29 – October 2, 2018695 LV± 3.5%43%41%6%2%9%
806 RV± 3.5%41%40%6%1%10%
Ipsos[156]September 12–20, 20181,181± 3.0%46%43%3%8%
Fox News[157]September 8–11, 2018677 LV± 3.5%43%45%3%1%8%
804 RV± 3.5%42%41%4%1%10%
NBC News/Marist[158]August 26–29, 2018576 LV± 5.0%44%41%8%1%6%
49%43%2%7%
816 RV± 4.2%43%40%8%1%8%
48%42%2%9%
Trafalgar Group (R)[159]July 31 – August 7, 20181,420± 2.6%51%39%11%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[160]June 11 – July 2, 2018952± 5.0%47%49%4%
Gravis Marketing[161]May 10–15, 2018400± 4.9%46%47%7%
Hypothetical polling

with Todd Rokita

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Donnelly (D)
Todd
Rokita (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[61]April 6–11, 2018411± 4.8%50%32%18%

with Luke Messer

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Donnelly (D)
Luke
Messer (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[61]April 6–11, 2018411± 4.8%46%36%18%

with generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Donnelly (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[162]February 12 – March 5, 20181,809± 3.8%45%51%4%

Results

[edit]
State House district results

On November 6, 2018, Braun won the general election.[163] He swept southern Indiana, the exurbs of Indianapolis, and most other rural areas in the state. Donnelly ran well behind his 2012 vote totals, winning only in Indianapolis, the university centers (Bloomington, Terre Haute, West Lafayette, South Bend), and the suburbs of Chicago in Northwest Indiana.[164]

United States Senate election in Indiana, 2018[165]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanMike Braun1,158,00050.73%+6.5%
DemocraticJoe Donnelly (incumbent)1,023,55344.84%−5.2%
LibertarianLucy Brenton100,9424.42%−1.3%
Write-in70<0.00%N/A
Total votes2,282,565100.00%N/A
Republicangain fromDemocratic

By county

[edit]

Source[166]

CountyMike Braun
Republican
Joe Donnelly
Democratic
Lucy Brenton
Libertarian
MarginTotal
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Adams7,51167.39%3,14628.23%4894.39%4,36539.16%11,146
Allen65,92752.36%55,90344.40%4,0803.24%10,0247.96%125,910
Bartholomew15,22257.41%10,07137.98%1,2234.61%5,15119.43%26,516
Benton1,92664.98%84728.58%1916.44%1,07936.40%2,964
Blackford2,30359.39%1,27532.88%3007.74%1,02826.51%3,878
Boone15,54056.43%10,98139.87%1,0193.70%4,55916.55%27,540
Brown4,10357.07%2,76838.50%3184.42%1,33518.57%7,189
Carroll4,51865.35%2,07129.95%3254.70%2,44735.39%6,914
Cass6,61757.79%4,06135.47%7726.74%2,55622.32%11,450
Clark22,76652.60%18,55142.86%1,9674.54%4,2159.74%43,284
Clay6,20766.91%2,60128.04%4695.06%3,60638.87%9,277
Clinton5,96764.81%2,75529.92%4855.27%3,21234.89%9,207
Crawford2,25256.83%1,50437.95%2075.22%74818.87%3,963
Daviess6,55575.01%1,90121.75%2833.24%4,65453.26%8,739
Dearborn13,28772.79%4,48124.55%4872.67%8,80648.24%18,255
Decatur6,24669.35%2,28725.39%4735.25%3,95943.96%9,006
DeKalb9,16765.80%4,20430.18%5614.03%4,96335.62%13,932
Delaware17,44746.27%18,15948.16%2,0995.57%-712-1.89%37,705
Dubois11,20465.42%5,26430.74%6583.84%5,94034.68%17,126
Elkhart31,16457.83%21,06239.09%1,6613.08%10,10218.75%53,887
Fayette4,70463.02%2,29530.75%4656.23%2,40932.27%7,464
Floyd16,58852.12%14,07044.21%1,1673.67%2,5187.91%31,825
Fountain4,06069.18%1,49625.49%3135.33%2,56443.69%5,869
Franklin5,61475.54%1,61921.78%1992.68%3,99553.75%7,432
Fulton4,15459.28%2,53936.23%3154.49%1,61523.05%7,008
Gibson8,04064.26%4,00131.98%4713.76%4,03932.28%12,512
Grant12,39361.76%6,74533.61%9294.63%5,64828.15%20,067
Greene6,94964.50%3,31330.75%5114.74%3,63633.75%10,773
Hamilton72,32552.38%61,33744.42%4,4103.19%10,9887.96%138,072
Hancock19,09763.10%9,77032.28%1,3994.62%9,32730.82%30,266
Harrison9,84763.05%5,13132.86%6394.09%4,71630.20%15,617
Hendricks36,96658.85%23,59937.57%2,2473.58%13,36721.28%62,812
Henry9,56960.98%5,17132.95%9536.07%4,39828.03%15,693
Howard16,73657.18%11,15938.12%1,3764.70%5,57719.05%29,271
Huntington8,87967.22%3,69928.00%6314.78%5,18039.22%13,209
Jackson9,43165.43%4,19829.12%7855.45%5,23336.30%14,414
Jasper6,98766.00%3,27830.97%3213.03%3,70935.04%10,586
Jay3,99063.42%1,93330.73%3685.85%2,05732.70%6,291
Jefferson6,34556.44%4,31338.37%5845.19%2,03218.08%11,242
Jennings5,92164.72%2,68629.36%5425.92%3,23535.36%9,149
Johnson32,54062.70%17,47933.68%1,8833.63%15,06129.02%51,902
Knox7,87662.38%3,97731.50%7726.11%3,89930.88%12,625
Kosciusko18,55870.34%6,80125.78%1,0223.87%11,75744.57%26,381
LaGrange5,18367.49%2,21728.87%2803.65%2,96638.62%7,680
Lake54,56433.62%104,39064.32%3,3402.06%-49,826-30.70%162,294
LaPorte16,00842.98%20,01453.73%1,2253.29%-4,006-10.76%37,247
Lawrence10,27466.30%4,43428.61%7885.09%5,84037.69%15,496
Madison22,84151.83%18,70142.44%2,5265.73%4,1409.39%44,068
Marion98,38532.04%197,88064.43%10,8403.53%-99,495-32.40%307,105
Marshall8,74758.71%5,61937.71%5333.58%3,12820.99%14,899
Martin2,99769.31%1,12726.06%2004.63%1,87043.25%4,324
Miami6,97567.30%2,86227.61%5275.08%4,11339.69%10,364
Monroe15,54029.94%34,19365.87%2,1744.19%-18,653-35.94%51,907
Montgomery8,36266.69%3,51828.06%6595.26%4,84438.63%12,539
Morgan17,53969.72%6,47125.72%1,1484.56%11,06843.99%25,158
Newton2,96665.00%1,40230.73%1954.27%1,56434.28%4,563
Noble8,99365.70%4,13230.18%5644.12%4,86135.51%13,689
Ohio1,58666.22%74731.19%622.59%83935.03%2,395
Orange4,35364.28%2,13531.53%2844.19%2,21832.75%6,772
Owen4,60163.96%2,21030.72%3835.32%2,39133.24%7,194
Parke3,53266.12%1,49928.06%3115.82%2,03338.06%5,342
Perry3,45048.25%3,36447.04%3374.71%861.20%7,151
Pike3,23562.71%1,67932.55%2454.75%1,55630.16%5,159
Porter29,36845.32%33,39051.53%2,0373.14%-4,022-6.21%64,795
Posey6,32459.44%3,88136.48%4354.09%2,44322.96%10,640
Pulaski2,58359.26%1,61737.10%1593.65%96622.16%4,359
Putnam7,81465.67%3,51229.52%5734.82%4,30236.15%11,899
Randolph5,13863.35%2,46730.42%5056.23%2,67132.93%8,110
Ripley6,88072.66%2,35024.82%2392.52%4,53047.84%9,469
Rush3,99165.61%1,69027.78%4026.61%2,30137.83%6,083
St. Joseph36,45639.08%53,75857.63%3,0733.29%-17,302-18.55%93,287
Scott4,24155.34%3,11340.62%3094.03%1,12814.72%7,663
Shelby9,34064.78%4,33330.05%7455.17%5,00734.73%14,418
Spencer5,20258.61%3,21836.26%4555.13%1,98422.35%8,875
Starke4,14954.71%3,11941.13%3164.17%1,03013.58%7,584
Steuben7,83964.39%3,86431.74%4723.88%3,97532.65%12,175
Sullivan4,34058.66%2,66336.00%3955.34%1,67722.67%7,398
Switzerland1,87464.07%93632.00%1153.93%93832.07%2,925
Tippecanoe22,64944.02%26,37651.26%2,4314.72%-3,727-7.24%51,456
Tipton4,06266.30%1,73428.30%3315.40%2,32838.00%6,127
Union1,74969.85%68227.24%732.92%1,06742.61%2,504
Vanderburgh29,37550.20%27,18346.45%1,9623.35%2,1923.75%58,520
Vermillion3,00253.68%2,19839.31%3927.01%80414.38%5,592
Vigo14,81346.79%15,17147.92%1,6745.29%-358-1.13%31,658
Wabash7,65867.78%3,15927.96%4824.27%4,49939.82%11,299
Warren2,20867.34%91427.87%1574.79%1,29439.46%3,279
Warrick14,01057.50%9,59439.37%7623.13%4,41618.12%24,366
Washington6,12765.31%2,80629.91%4484.78%3,32135.40%9,381
Wayne11,24156.88%7,48237.86%1,0395.26%3,75919.02%19,762
Wells7,81971.79%2,69424.73%3793.48%5,12547.05%10,892
White5,10060.05%2,73932.25%6547.70%2,36127.80%8,493
Whitley9,01967.39%3,81828.53%5474.09%5,20138.86%13,384
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Braun won six of nine congressional districts, with Donnelly winning the other three, including one held by a Republican.[167]

DistrictDonnellyBraunElected
representative
1st61%37%Pete Visclosky
2nd45%51%Jackie Walorski
3rd37%60%Jim Banks
4th37%58%Jim Baird
5th48.4%47.9%Susan Brooks
6th34%61%Greg Pence
7th65%32%André Carson
8th38%57%Larry Bucshon
9th41%54%Trey Hollingsworth

Voter demographics

[edit]
Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroupDonnellyBraunNo
Answer
% of
voters
Gender
Men4057349
Women4946551
Age
18–29 years old4845713
30–44 years old4943820
45–64 years old4454339
65 and older4157128
Race
White4056486
Black881118
Latino712263
AsianN/AN/AN/A1
OtherN/AN/AN/A2
Race by gender
White men3562342
White women4451544
Black men821524
Black women95504
Latino menN/AN/AN/A1
Latina womenN/AN/AN/A2
OthersN/AN/AN/A2
Education
High school or less4056423
Somecollege education4054626
Associate degree4155413
Bachelor's degree4651322
Advanced degree6136216
Education and race
White college graduates4948334
White no college degree3362553
Non-white college graduates801924
Non-white no college degree7620410
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees5739417
White women without college degrees3659627
White men with college degrees4157217
White men without college degrees3165426
Non-whites7720314
Income
Under $30,0004944815
$30,000–49,9994649423
$50,000–99,9994455235
$100,000–199,9994452422
Over $200,000N/AN/AN/A5
Party ID
Democrats926229
Republicans890239
Independents4744931
Party by gender
Democratic men926212
Democratic women935218
Republican men891119
Republican women890220
Independent men4252718
Independent women55331213
Ideology
Liberals868620
Moderates5937540
Conservatives1088240
Marital status
Married4354361
Unmarried5146339
Gender by marital status
Married men3860231
Married women4849330
Unmarried men4253519
Unmarried women6139120
First-time midterm election voter
Yes4153615
No4651385
Most important issue facing the country
Health care7026441
Immigration1085527
Economy3166321
Gun policy663138
Area type
Urban6333431
Suburban4453344
Rural3758525
Source:CNN[168]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Curtis Hill* 4%; Mark Hurt†, Terry Henderson†, and Andrew Takami† with 1%. *Hypothetical candidate. †Withdrawn.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Strauss, Daniel (August 14, 2017)."Missouri's $10M man".Politico.Archived from the original on May 9, 2018. RetrievedDecember 23, 2017.
  2. ^"United States Senate election in Indiana, 2018".Ballotpedia. RetrievedDecember 23, 2017.
  3. ^"RealClearPolitics - Election 2018 - Indiana Senate - Braun vs. Donnelly vs. Brenton".realclearpolitics.com.Archived from the original on October 4, 2018. RetrievedOctober 24, 2018.
  4. ^"Indiana Election Results 2016".The New York Times. August 1, 2017.
  5. ^"Secretary of State : Election Division: Election Results".in.gov.
  6. ^Bottorff, Kathy (January 7, 2017)."Hanscom to Manage Sen. Donnelly Reelect".WTCA. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2017.
  7. ^"VOTE MARTIN DEL RIO - committee overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedOctober 25, 2017.
  8. ^"Democrat ends US Senate bid - Political notebook - Journal Gazette".journalgazette.net. January 3, 2018.
  9. ^ab"Vice President Joe Biden to join Sen. Joe Donnelly campaign fundraiser on Feb. 9".
  10. ^ab"Joe Biden headed to Indianapolis in February for Donnelly fundraiser". January 26, 2018.
  11. ^abStaten, Adam (January 26, 2018)."Donnelly fundraiser to bring former Vice President Joe Biden to Indy".
  12. ^abJones sent out an email to supporters soliciting donations to Donnelly.
  13. ^ab"End Citizens United on Twitter".Twitter.
  14. ^ab"US Senator".Indiana Elections Division. Archived fromthe original on October 1, 2018. RetrievedJuly 3, 2018.
  15. ^Grant, Mike (August 2, 2017)."Braun set for U.S. Senate run".Washington Times-Herald. RetrievedAugust 8, 2017.
  16. ^Pathé, Simone (November 6, 2017)."Businessman Makes Indiana Senate Primary Three-Person Race" – via www.rollcall.com.
  17. ^Pathé, Simone (July 26, 2017)."Indiana Rep. Luke Messer Running for Senate". Roll Call. RetrievedJuly 26, 2017.
  18. ^abRailey, Kimberly (January 31, 2017)."In light of @SusanWBrooks passing on #insen".Twitter. RetrievedFebruary 3, 2017.
  19. ^abGroppe, Maureen (January 31, 2017)."Brooks won't challenge Donnelly for U.S. Senate seat".The Indianapolis Star. RetrievedJanuary 31, 2017.
  20. ^"The Latest: Rokita to Formally Announce Indiana Senate Bid".The New York Times. Associated Press. August 8, 2017. RetrievedAugust 8, 2017.
  21. ^Pathe, Simone (March 23, 2017)."Indiana Headed for Another Member-on-Member Senate Primary".Roll Call. RetrievedMarch 24, 2017.
  22. ^"Rep. Brooks endorses Messer for Senate - Political notebook - Journal Gazette".journalgazette.net. September 20, 2017.
  23. ^abHowey, Brian A. (August 10, 2017)."Rokita announces with Delph support"(PDF).Howey Politics. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on August 11, 2017. RetrievedAugust 10, 2017.
  24. ^Colwell, Jack (November 27, 2016)."Here's how big Walorski's win was".South Bend Tribune. RetrievedNovember 28, 2016.
  25. ^Pathé, Simone (November 28, 2016)."Republican Gender Gap Could Grow in the House".Roll Call. RetrievedNovember 28, 2016.
  26. ^Hudson, Melissa."Jackie Walorski files for re-election".ABC 57 News. RetrievedFebruary 7, 2018.
  27. ^Colombo, Hayleigh (April 8, 2017)."Republicans jockey to take on Donnelly in 2018".Indianapolis Business Journal. RetrievedApril 11, 2017.
  28. ^Francisco, Brian (November 13, 2017)."Henderson quits U.S. Senate race".The Journal Gazette. RetrievedNovember 14, 2017.
  29. ^"MIKE BRAUN EARNS KEY ENDORSEMENT".City-County Observer. February 8, 2018.
  30. ^Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul."Horning for Senate".IndyPolitics.org. RetrievedDecember 8, 2017.
  31. ^"5 area state legislators facing primary challengers - Local politics - Journal Gazette".journalgazette.net. Archived fromthe original on February 10, 2018. RetrievedFebruary 10, 2018.
  32. ^Myers, George (February 1, 2017)."Kokomo lawyer Mark Hurt announces US Senate bid".News and Tribune. RetrievedFebruary 3, 2017.
  33. ^Tribune, George Myers Kokomo (February 9, 2018)."Kokomo attorney Hurt, citing FedEx troubles and relocating residents, falls short of required signatures for candidacy".
  34. ^"Mark Hurt on Twitter".
  35. ^"Mark Hurt on Twitter".
  36. ^"Purdue Polytechnic director Andrew".
  37. ^"Andrew Takami on Twitter".Twitter.
  38. ^"Messer Endorsed By Former Senate Candidate Andrew Takami".Luke Messer for Senate. April 9, 2018. Archived fromthe original on April 12, 2018. RetrievedApril 11, 2018.
  39. ^ab"Tom Coburn endorses Mike Braun in Indiana Senate race".The Washington Times.
  40. ^abcdefghijMike Braun."I'm proud to announce that my campaign has been endorsed by State Rep. Chris Judy, State Rep. John Young, State Rep. Bob Morris, State Rep. Ron Bacon, State Rep. Chris May, and State Senator Liz Brown. With momentum gaining across the state I'm proud to be endorsed by some of Indiana's best leaders".Facebook.
  41. ^"NOM Endorses Candidates in Key Senate Midterm Contests".NOM Blog. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2018. RetrievedOctober 29, 2018.
  42. ^ab"Citizens Fund Endorses Mike Braun for Senate in Indiana".Tea Party Patriots. May 1, 2018. Archived fromthe original on May 19, 2018. RetrievedMay 19, 2018.
  43. ^EDITORIAL (April 29, 2018)."Braun choice in GOP's Senate field".The Journal Gazette.
  44. ^Pathé, Simone (September 20, 2017)."Susan Brooks Chooses Sides in Indiana Senate Primary" – via www.rollcall.com.
  45. ^abc"Allen County State Legislators Endorse Luke Messer".Luke Messer for Senate. January 5, 2018. Archived fromthe original on January 8, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 7, 2018.
  46. ^abcdefg"Luke Messer Receives Tidal Wave of Support from Hamilton County Leaders".Luke Messer for Senate. December 7, 2017. Archived fromthe original on January 8, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 7, 2018.
  47. ^Matt McKinney (August 10, 2017)."Indiana State Senate President Pro Tempore David Long endorses Luke Messer for U.S. Senate".theindychannel.com.
  48. ^"Messer Gains Endorsement from Southwest Indiana State Rep".Luke Messer for Senate. March 8, 2018. Archived fromthe original on March 10, 2018. RetrievedMarch 9, 2018.
  49. ^abcdef"Luke Messer Announces Six More Endorsements - Luke Messer".lukemesser.com. Archived fromthe original on February 11, 2018. RetrievedFebruary 11, 2018.
  50. ^Brian Francisco (August 22, 2017)."Donnelly says focus is on helping Hoosiers". The Journal Gazette. Archived fromthe original on August 31, 2017. RetrievedAugust 31, 2017.
  51. ^"Todd Rokita on Twitter".
  52. ^"Todd Rokita on Twitter".
  53. ^"Todd Rokita on Twitter".
  54. ^Todd Rokita."Chairman Jeff Cardwell has been a selfless leader for Hoosier Republicans. I'm honored to have his endorsement".Twitter.
  55. ^"Leaders of Trump's Indiana Campaign Boost Rokita - Todd Rokita". July 28, 2017. Archived fromthe original on April 1, 2018. RetrievedApril 1, 2018.
  56. ^"Todd Rokita on Twitter".
  57. ^"Todd Rokita on Twitter".
  58. ^Ken de la Bastide (November 25, 2017)."Willis endorses Rokita in Senate race".The Herald Bulletin.
  59. ^EDITORIAL (May 7, 2018)."EDITORIAL: We endorse Rokita for Senate GOP nod".The Times of Northwest Indiana.
  60. ^Strategic National (R)
  61. ^abcGravis MarketingArchived November 28, 2020, at theWayback Machine
  62. ^GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)
  63. ^GS Strategy Group (R-Rokita)
  64. ^OnMedia (R-Messer)Archived August 13, 2017, at theWayback Machine
  65. ^"Candidate list"(PDF).in.gov. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on February 11, 2018. RetrievedApril 6, 2018.
  66. ^"2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  67. ^"2018 Senate Ratings".The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  68. ^"2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedOctober 11, 2017.
  69. ^"Key Races: Senate". RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  70. ^"Battle for the Senate 2018". RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  71. ^"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings".Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  72. ^"2018 Senate Power Rankings".Fox News. RetrievedJuly 10, 2018.
  73. ^Silver, Nate (September 11, 2018)."Indiana - 2018 Senate Forecast". Archived fromthe original on October 11, 2018.
  74. ^"Campaign finance data". RetrievedOctober 31, 2018.
  75. ^"Former President George W. Bush in Indiana to campaign for Braun".CBS4Indy. October 15, 2018.
  76. ^"Former President George W. Bush campaigns for Mike Braun in Carmel".FOX59. October 16, 2018.
  77. ^Mike Pence."Congrats to @braun4indiana on his #INSen primary victory tonight! @RealDonaldTrump & I look forward to working with you in support of the #MAGA agenda. Mike Braun will make Hoosiers proud".Twitter.
  78. ^Donald J. Trump."Will be going to Evansville, Indiana, tonight for a big crowd rally with Mike Braun, a very successful businessman who is campaigning to be Indiana's next U.S. Senator. He is strong on Crime & Borders, the 2nd Amendment, and loves our Military & Vets. Will be a big night!".Twitter.
  79. ^"Indiana GOP on Twitter".
  80. ^"Graham to speak at county GOP dinner - Political notebook - Journal Gazette".journalgazette.net. August 26, 2018.
  81. ^"Lindsey Graham to speak at Allen County GOP dinner - News Now Warsaw". October 16, 2018.
  82. ^Bluestein, Greg (August 24, 2018)."David Perdue aims to shore up embattled Senate candidates".Politically Georgia.
  83. ^Todd Young."Congrats to Mike Braun on tonight's victory! Help keep the momentum going by following @braun4indiana for updates from the campaign trail".Twitter.
  84. ^Jim Banks."Congrats to @braun4indiana on your victory this evening. Team Banks looks forward to working with you to give Indiana another reliable conservative voice in the U.S. Senate in November!".Twitter.
  85. ^"Mike Braun on Twitter".
  86. ^"Republicans rally around Mike Braun at state convention".ABC57.Archived from the original on June 14, 2018.
  87. ^Eric Holcomb."Hoosiers need someone who will support the kinds of things that have made Indiana a leading state for job creation, financial strength & stability, & workforce development. I believe that @braun4indiana is the right person to ensure our principles are pushed hard in Washington".Twitter.
  88. ^Kellyanne Conway [@KellyannePolls] (October 30, 2018)."Time for Joe to Go. #INSen" (Tweet). RetrievedNovember 5, 2018 – viaTwitter.
  89. ^abcWANE 15 [@wane15] (November 5, 2018)."President @realDonaldTrump brought Lou Holtz, @IvankaTrump, @PressSec, and @KellyannePolls to Fort Wayne to rally for @braun4indiana" (Tweet). RetrievedNovember 5, 2018 – viaTwitter.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  90. ^"Dan Bongino on Twitter".
  91. ^"Dan Bongino on Twitter".
  92. ^"Mike Braun on Twitter".Twitter.
  93. ^"Mike Braun on Twitter".Twitter.
  94. ^"Mike Braun on Twitter".
  95. ^Lou Holtz (August 16, 2018)."Braun brings best to boost Hoosiers".The Journal Gazette.Archived from the original on August 16, 2018.
  96. ^"Mike Braun on Twitter".Twitter.
  97. ^Ronna McDaniel."It's time to send Democrat Joe Donnelly packing and elect @braun4indiana to the Senate! #INSen".Twitter.
  98. ^[1][dead link]
  99. ^Mike Braun [@braun4indiana] (October 22, 2018)."Join me, @DonaldJTrumpJr , @kimguilfoyle , & @GregPenceIN TODAY rallying Hoosiers to get out the vote and drain the swamp!" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  100. ^Donald Trump Jr. (August 29, 2018)."Donald Trump Jr.: Hoosiers deserve better than Donnelly".Evansville Courier & Press.
  101. ^"FreedomWorks for America Endorses Mike Braun in Indiana Senate Race".FreedomWorks. June 4, 2018.
  102. ^Mike Braun."Manufacturing is the backbone of Indiana's economy, & I'm honored to accept this endorsement from the leading advocate for Hoosier manufacturers: @IMA1901. I look forward to working with IMA to keep Indiana manufacturing thriving & keep D.C. out of their way. #INSen #IBackBraun".Twitter.
  103. ^"Indiana Right to Life PAC Endorses in Federal Races".Indiana Right to Life. April 3, 2018. Archived fromthe original on July 31, 2018. RetrievedJuly 31, 2018.
  104. ^"Small Business Endorses Mike Braun for U.S. Senate".NFIB. September 4, 2018.
  105. ^"NOM Endorses Candidates in Key Senate Midterm Contests".NOM Blog. October 17, 2018. Archived fromthe original on October 29, 2018. RetrievedOctober 31, 2018.
  106. ^"NRA-PVF | NRA Endorses Braun for U.S. Senate in Indiana". NRA-PVF.Archived from the original on May 22, 2020. RetrievedApril 18, 2024.
  107. ^Mike Braun."My dad gave me my first shotgun when I was 10 years old and I still use it to this day. I am honored to accept the @NRA's endorsement and to work with them to fight Democrat attacks on Hoosiers' fundamental right to bear arms and defend their families. #INSen".Twitter.
  108. ^"Republican Jewish Coalition launches first wave of midterm endorsements".NBCNews.com. July 23, 2018.
  109. ^Mike Braun."Building my business, I've jumped over just about every hurdle D.C. can put in your path; in the Senate, I'll use my experience to help Hoosier business thrive. I'm honored to accept @USChamber's endorsement & look forward to working with them to keep our economy roaring. #INSen".Twitter.
  110. ^Joe Donnelly."Secretary Chuck Hagel has always known the importance of looking after our servicemembers & veterans. We worked closely together to pass the Jacob Sexton Military Suicide Prevention Act – my first bill in the Senate. It was an honor to have him here supporting our campaign".Twitter.
  111. ^"All tickets distributed for former President Barack Obama's Indiana rally". October 31, 2018.
  112. ^"Indiana Dems: Obama visiting Gary for Donnelly rally on Sunday".Chicago Tribune. Associated Press. October 31, 2018.
  113. ^Joe Donnelly."Thanks @BennetforCO for joining me on the road today to remind Hoosiers to vote early!".Twitter.
  114. ^Joe Donnelly."Very happy to have my friend @CoryBooker in Indy with me today. Starting the day right at Kountry Kitchen joined by ministers and @Andre4Congress talking about the importance of getting Hoosiers to the polls".Twitter.
  115. ^Joe Donnelly.".@ChrisCoonsforDE and I made 7 different stops across Northwest Indiana yesterday where we met hundreds of Hoosiers who were ready to vote early (or already had!). Make a plan to vote as soon as possible today!".Twitter.
  116. ^Catherine Cortez Masto."Great stopping by a Harrison County field office in Indiana to help ensure Hoosiers send @JoeforIndiana back to the Senate! Joe's fighting to protect our health care & ensure those with pre-existing conditions can access the care they need".Twitter.
  117. ^Tammy Duckworth."Today I am in Indiana supporting my friend @JoeforIndiana who is in a tough reelection fight. Our first stop was Shapiro's Deli where I got the famous Reuben and talked with voters. We then stopped by the campaign headquarters for a canvass kickoff and some phone banking".Twitter.
  118. ^Joe Donnelly."Packed house at the USW rally in Chesterton tonight! Thanks to my friend @DickDurbin for joining us! Our @steelworkers know just how much is on the line this election".Twitter.
  119. ^"Kamala Harris makes fundraising pitch for Joe Donnelly".Associated Press. October 4, 2018.
  120. ^Joe Donnelly."It was wonderful to have my friend @DougJones in Indianapolis with me this morning. Doug is right -- make sure you're registered and make a plan to vote on November 6!".Twitter.
  121. ^Joe Donnelly."Thanks to my friend @amyklobuchar for coming to see all our volunteers in South Bend yesterday! We've got folks all over the state knocking on doors and talking to voters".Twitter.
  122. ^Brian Schatz."Today is a good day to send a few bucks, or more, to Joe Donnelly. He's good people".Twitter.
  123. ^John Gregg."A great read in @JGfortwayne about @JoeforIndiana working hard for all Hoosiers! 'The hired help' Connecting with farmers big part of Donnelly's re-election effort".Twitter.
  124. ^"Thomas McDermott on Twitter".
  125. ^Joe Donnelly."Thanks Derrick Mayes for your support! Hoosiers, please make your plan to vote!".Twitter.
  126. ^"Victor Oladipo on Twitter".
  127. ^"Kevin Rader on Twitter".Twitter.
  128. ^"Amy Schumer on Twitter".
  129. ^Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018)."END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (Tweet). RetrievedOctober 20, 2018 – viaTwitter.
  130. ^"Retiree Group Endorses Sen. Joe Donnelly for U.S. Senate - Retired Americans". Retired Americans. October 9, 2018. Archived fromthe original on October 29, 2018. RetrievedOctober 29, 2018.
  131. ^"Our Candidates - CWA Political".CWA Political. Archived fromthe original on April 3, 2018. RetrievedOctober 9, 2018.
  132. ^"Candidates We Endorse and Support - NCPSSM".ncpssm.org.
  133. ^"NEA Fund - Recommended Candidates".neafund.org. Archived fromthe original on August 1, 2018. RetrievedMay 23, 2018.
  134. ^"Indiana – Official UAW Endorsements".uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  135. ^Joe Donnelly.""America needs more senators like Joe Donnelly. Indiana needs to re-elect him." Thank you, @JGfortwayne!".Twitter.
  136. ^"Indiana chamber won't endorse GOP businessman for Senate".Associated Press. September 1, 2018.
  137. ^"IndyStar Editorial Board: Why Joe Donnelly deserves re-election to U.S. Senate".Indianapolis Star. November 4, 2018. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  138. ^"IndyStar Editorial Board: Why Mike Braun is right choice for U.S. Senate".Indianapolis Star. November 4, 2018. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  139. ^HarrisX
  140. ^HarrisX
  141. ^HarrisX
  142. ^HarrisX
  143. ^HarrisX
  144. ^HarrisX
  145. ^Fox News
  146. ^HarrisXArchived November 6, 2018, at theWayback Machine
  147. ^NBC News/Marist
  148. ^Cygnal (R)
  149. ^YouGov
  150. ^Mason Strategies (R)
  151. ^abcAmerican Viewpoint (R-Braun)
  152. ^SurveyUSA
  153. ^Gravis Marketing
  154. ^Vox Populi Polling
  155. ^Fox News
  156. ^Ipsos
  157. ^Fox News
  158. ^NBC News/Marist
  159. ^Trafalgar Group (R)
  160. ^SurveyMonkey/Axios
  161. ^Gravis Marketing
  162. ^SurveyMonkey/Axios
  163. ^"Indiana Election Results".CNN. November 9, 2018.
  164. ^Lange, Kaitlin."Why Indiana Democrats are flailing and how they might find a road back".Indianapolis Star. RetrievedNovember 13, 2018.
  165. ^"Indiana Election Results".enr.indianavoters.in.gov. RetrievedMarch 14, 2024.
  166. ^"2018 Indiana Senate Election Results".Real Clear Politics. 2018. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2024.
  167. ^"Dra 2020".
  168. ^"Georgia Gubernatorial election exit poll".CNN.Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. RetrievedApril 1, 2019.

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