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All 8 Wisconsin seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eightU.S. representatives from thestate ofWisconsin, one from each of the state's eightcongressional districts. The elections coincided withother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate, and variousstate andlocal elections. The Wisconsin partisan primary was held on August 14, 2018, with the governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative, odd-numbered Wisconsin State Senate seats, and all Wisconsin Assembly seats on the ballot.[1]
Wisconsin was notable for being the only state in which the party that won the popular vote still held a minority of congressional seats in 2018. TheMilwaukee Journal Sentinel attributed this to the impact of gerrymandering imposed by the Republican-controlledWisconsin Legislature in 2011.[2]
| Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Democratic Party | 8 | 1,367,492 | 53.18% | 3 | 37.50% | ||
| Republican Party | 7 | 1,172,964 | 45.61% | 5 | 62.50% | ||
| Independent | 3 | 21,592 | 0.84% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
| Write-in | 6 | 49 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
| Scattering | 9,558 | 0.37% | 0 | 0.00% | |||
| Total | 24 | 2,571,655 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% | ||
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Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin by district:[3]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 137,508 | 42.27% | 177,492 | 54.56% | 10,317 | 3.17% | 325,317 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 309,116 | 97.42% | 0 | 0.00% | 8,179 | 2.58% | 317,295 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 3 | 187,888 | 59.65% | 126,980 | 40.31% | 121 | 0.04% | 314,989 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 206,487 | 75.61% | 59,091 | 21.64% | 7,509 | 2.75% | 273,087 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 138,385 | 37.99% | 225,619 | 61.93% | 284 | 0.08% | 364,288 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 144,536 | 44.46% | 180,311 | 55.47% | 218 | 0.07% | 325,065 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 124,307 | 38.50% | 194,061 | 60.11% | 4,472 | 1.39% | 322,840 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 8 | 119,265 | 36.28% | 209,410 | 63.69% | 99 | 0.03% | 328,774 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| Total | 1,367,492 | 53.18% | 1,172,964 | 45.61% | 31,199 | 1.21% | 2,571,655 | 100.00% | |
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The 1st congressional district is located in southeasternWisconsin, coveringKenosha County,Racine County and most ofWalworth County, as well as portions ofRock County,Waukesha County andMilwaukee County. Incumbent RepublicanPaul Ryan,Speaker of the House andRepublican nominee forvice president in the2012 who had represented the district since 1999, did not run for re-election. He was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+5.
Ryan could potentially have seen a close race; in hypothetical polling, his main Democratic challenger, Randy Bryce, was behind Ryan by only seven points. Ryan was also facing challenges in the Republican primary fromPaul Nehlen, who also challenged Ryan in 2016, and from Nick Polce. Ryan announced on April 11, 2018, that he is not seeking re-election.[4][5][6] On April 22, Bryan Steil, member of the University of Wisconsin Board of Regents and former personal driver to Ryan, announced his bid for the seat, with news outlets reporting Steil as the Republican Party nominee front-runner.[7][8]
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bryan Steil | 30,883 | 51.6 | |
| Republican | Nick Polce | 8,945 | 14.9 | |
| Republican | Paul Nehlen | 6,635 | 11.1 | |
| Republican | Kevin Adam Steen | 6,262 | 10.5 | |
| Republican | Jeremy Ryan | 6,221 | 10.4 | |
| Republican | Brad Boivin | 924 | 1.5 | |
| Total votes | 59,870 | 100.0 | ||
Two Democrats announced;ironworker Randy Bryce andJanesville school board member Cathy Myers.
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Randy Bryce | Cathy Myers | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington (R-CLF)[48] | July 8–9, 2018 | 1,020 | ± 3.1% | 33% | 34% | 33% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Randy Bryce | 36,397 | 59.6 | |
| Democratic | Cathy Myers | 24,690 | 40.4 | |
| Total votes | 61,087 | 100.0 | ||
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| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bryan Steil (R) | Randy Bryce (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D-Bryce)[60] | October 19–21, 2018 | 551 | – | 44% | 45% | – |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[61] | September 11–13, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.7% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Global Strategy Group (D-Bryce)[62] | September 4–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Global Strategy Group (D-Bryce)[63] | July 11–15, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 41% | — |
with Paul Ryan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Paul Ryan (R) | Randy Bryce (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[64] | November 9–10, 2017 | 549 | ± 4.2% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[68] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[69] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[70] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[71] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[72] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bryan Steil | 177,492 | 54.6 | |
| Democratic | Randy Bryce | 137,508 | 42.2 | |
| Independent | Ken Yorgan | 10,006 | 3.1 | |
| Independent | Joseph Kexel (write-in) | 7 | 0.0 | |
| Write-in | 304 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 325,317 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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The 2nd congressional district coversDane County,Iowa County,Lafayette County,Sauk County andGreen County, as well as portions ofRichland County andRock County. The district includesMadison, the state's capital, its suburbs and some of the surrounding areas. Incumbent DemocratMark Pocan, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+18.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Pocan (incumbent) | 115,246 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 115,246 | 100.0 | ||
No Republicans filed
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[68] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[69] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[70] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[71] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[73] | Solid D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Pocan (incumbent) | 309,116 | 97.4 | |
| Republican | Joey Wayne Reed (write-in) | 29 | 0.0 | |
| Independent | Rick Cruz (write-in) | 8 | 0.0 | |
| Democratic | Bradley Jason Burt (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Write-in | 8,141 | 2.6 | ||
| Total votes | 317,295 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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The 3rd congressional district covers much of theDriftless Area in southwestern and westernWisconsin; The district includes the cities ofLa Crosse andEau Claire. It borders the states ofMinnesota,Iowa, andIllinois. Incumbent DemocratRon Kind, who had represented the district since 1997, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 99% of the vote in 2014. The district had an EVENPVI, indicating an almost equal support of Democrats and Republicans.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ron Kind (incumbent) | 59,643 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 59,643 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve Toft | 35,768 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 35,768 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[68] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[69] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[70] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[71] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[72] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ron Kind (incumbent) | 187,888 | 59.7 | |
| Republican | Steve Toft | 126,980 | 40.3 | |
| Write-in | 121 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 314,989 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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The 4th congressional district encompasses a part ofMilwaukee County and including all of the city ofMilwaukee and its working-class suburbs ofCudahy,St. Francis,South Milwaukee, andWest Milwaukee. Recent redistricting has added the Milwaukee County North Shore communities ofGlendale,Shorewood,Whitefish Bay,Fox Point,Bayside, andBrown Deer to the district. Incumbent DemocratGwen Moore, who had represented the district since 2005, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+25.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gwen Moore (incumbent) | 76,971 | 89.0 | |
| Democratic | Gary George | 9,466 | 11.0 | |
| Total votes | 86,437 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Rogers | 8,912 | 55.6 | |
| Republican | Cindy Werner | 7,121 | 44.4 | |
| Total votes | 16,033 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[68] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[69] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[70] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[71] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[73] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
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| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gwen Moore (incumbent) | 206,487 | 75.6 | |
| Republican | Tim Rogers | 59,091 | 21.7 | |
| Independent | Robert Raymond | 7,170 | 2.6 | |
| Write-in | 339 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 273,087 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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The 5th congressional district covers all ofWashington andJefferson counties, some ofWaukesha andDodge counties, and portions ofMilwaukee andWalworth counties. Incumbent RepublicanJim Sensenbrenner, who had represented the district since 1979, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+13.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Sensenbrenner (incumbent) | 73,397 | 81.2 | |
| Republican | Jennifer Hoppe Vipond | 17,010 | 18.8 | |
| Total votes | 90,407 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Palzewicz | 43,192 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 43,192 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[68] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[69] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[70] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[71] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[73] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Newspapers
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Sensenbrenner (incumbent) | 225,619 | 61.9 | |
| Democratic | Tom Palzewicz | 138,385 | 38.0 | |
| Write-in | 283 | 0.1 | ||
| Democratic | Ramon Garcia (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 364,288 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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The 6th congressional district is located in easternWisconsin, including the outer suburbs ofMilwaukee,Madison, andGreen Bay, it includes all or portions of the following counties:Adams,Columbia,Dodge,Fond du Lac,Green Lake,Jefferson,Manitowoc,Marquette,Ozaukee,Sheboygan,Waushara, andWinnebago. It also includes a small portion of far northernMilwaukee County aroundRiver Hills. Incumbent RepublicanGlenn Grothman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+8.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Glenn Grothman (incumbent) | 60,485 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 60,485 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dan Kohl | 41,862 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 41,862 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Glenn Grothman (R) | Dan Kohl (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns[81] | October 29 – November 3, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 61% | 33% | 6% |
| Change Research (D)[82] | October 27–29, 2018 | 525 | – | 50% | 48% | – |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[68] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[69] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[70] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[71] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[72] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Glenn Grothman (incumbent) | 180,311 | 55.4 | |
| Democratic | Dan Kohl | 144,536 | 44.5 | |
| Write-in | 218 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 325,065 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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The 7th congressional district is located in northern and western Wisconsin, and is the largest congressional district in the state geographically, covering 20 counties (in whole or part), for a total of 18,787 sq mi. The district contains the following counties:Ashland,Barron,Bayfield,Burnett,Chippewa,Clark (partial),Douglas,Iron,Langlade (partial),Lincoln,Marathon,Oneida,Polk,Portage,Price,Rusk,St. Croix,Sawyer,Taylor,Washburn andWood. Incumbent RepublicanSean Duffy, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+8.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sean Duffy (incumbent) | 60,708 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 60,708 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Margaret Ruth Engebretson | 27,179 | 57.3 | |
| Democratic | Brian Ewert | 20,257 | 42.7 | |
| Total votes | 47,436 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[68] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[69] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[70] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[71] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[73] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sean Duffy (incumbent) | 194,061 | 60.1 | |
| Democratic | Margaret Engebretson | 124,307 | 38.5 | |
| Independent | Ken Driessen | 4,416 | 1.4 | |
| Democratic | Bob Look (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
| Write-in | 53 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 322,840 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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The 8th congressional district includesGreen Bay andAppleton. Incumbent RepublicanMike Gallagher, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+7.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Gallagher (incumbent) | 62,524 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 62,524 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Beau Liegeois | 38,450 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 38,450 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[68] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[69] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[70] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[71] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[72] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Gallagher (incumbent) | 209,410 | 63.7 | |
| Democratic | Beau Liegeois | 119,265 | 36.3 | |
| Write-in | 99 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 328,774 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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Official campaign websites of second district candidates
Official campaign websites of third district candidates
Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates
Official campaign websites of fifth district candidates
Official campaign websites of sixth district candidates
Official campaign websites of seventh district candidates
Official campaign websites of eighth district candidates