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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah
← 2016November 6, 20182020 →
All 4 Utah seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election40
Seats won31
Seat changeDecrease 1Increase 1
Popular vote617,307374,009
Percentage58.65%35.54%
SwingDecrease 5.13%Increase 3.56%
District results
County results

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Democratic

  50–60%

Elections in Utah
Ballot measures

The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the fourU.S. representatives from thestate ofUtah, one from each of the state's fourcongressional districts. The elections coincided withother states' elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections. Registered political parties in Utah must have at least one of their candidates for House of Representatives get 2% of the vote in their respective election in order to maintain their ballot access in future elections.[1]

The Democratic Party gained the 4th Congressional district, thus breaking unitary control of all of Utah's Congressional (House and Senate) seats held by the Republicans, changing the House delegation from Utah from 4–0 Republican to 3–1 Republican. As of 2025, this remains the last time that a Democrat has won any congressional election in Utah, and the only time since 2012.

Overview

[edit]
Popular vote
Republican
 
58.65%
Democratic
 
35.54%
Other
 
5.81%
House seats
Republican
 
75.00%
Democratic
 
25.00%

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah by district:[2]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1156,69261.61%63,30824.89%34,33313.50%254,333100%Republican hold
District 2151,48956.10%105,05138.90%13,5045.00%270,044100%Republican hold
District 3174,85667.55%70,68627.31%13,3165.14%258,858100%Republican hold
District 4134,27049.86%134,96450.12%370.01%269,271100%Democratic gain
Total617,30758.65%374,00935.54%61,1905.81%1,052,506100%

District 1

[edit]
2018 Utah's 1st congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeRob BishopLee CastilloEric Eliason
PartyRepublicanDemocraticUnited Utah
Popular vote156,69263,30829,547
Percentage61.6%24.9%11.6%
County results
Bishop:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Castillo:     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Rob Bishop
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rob Bishop
Republican

See also:Utah's 1st congressional district

The 1st District covers northern Utah, including the cities of Ogden and Logan. RepublicanRob Bishop, who had represented the district since 2003, was re-elected to an eighth term with 66% of the vote in 2016.

The 1st District went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election, with 49.7%, withHillary Clinton and Evan McMullin receiving 22.4% and 22.3% respectively.[3] In 2012 the district went forMitt Romney over Barack Obama, 77.4% to 20.4%.[4]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Eliminated at convention
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Lee Castillo, social worker, former board member of the Stonewall Utah Democrats[8]
  • Kurt Weiland, president and CEO of Jefferson Smith training and Consulting since 1996[9]

Debate

[edit]
2018 Utah's 1st congressional district Democratic primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticDemocratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
John CurtisChris Herrod
1May 29, 2018Utah Debate CommissionKerry Bringhurst[10]PP

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticLee Castillo7,27357.21
DemocraticKurt Weiland5,43942.79
Total votes12,712100.0

United Utah Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Eric Eliason, businessman, attorney, and adjunct professor[12]

Green Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[17]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[19]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[20]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[21]Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Debate

[edit]
2028 Utah's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocraticUnited Utah
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Rob BishopLee CastilloEric Eliason
1Oct. 17, 2018Utah Debate CommissionNatalie Gochnour[22]PPP

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rob
Bishop (R)		Lee
Castillo (D)		Eric
Eliason (UU)		Adam
Davis (G)		Undecided
University of Utah[23]October 3–9, 2018143± 8.0%52%20%10%2%16%
Dan Jones & Associates[24]August 22 – September 6, 2018201± 6.9%59%22%8%3%8%
Lighthouse Research[25]August 11–27, 2018600–51%16%7%2%24%

Results

[edit]
Utah's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRob Bishop (incumbent)156,69261.6
DemocraticLee Castillo63,30824.9
United UtahEric Eliason29,54711.6
GreenAdam Davis4,7861.9
Total votes254,333100.0
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
2018 Utah's 2nd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeChris StewartShireen GhorbaniJeffrey Whipple
PartyRepublicanDemocraticLibertarian
Popular vote151,489105,05113,504
Percentage56.1%38.9%5.0%
County results
Stewart:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Ghorbani:     60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Chris Stewart
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Stewart
Republican

See also:Utah's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd District stretches from theSummit County, Utah line and goes west to the Nevada border and down throughSt. George. It includes parts ofDavis,Salt Lake,Sanpete, andJuab Counties. RepublicanChris Stewart, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected to a third term with 62% of the vote in 2016

The 2nd District went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election, with 46%, with Hillary Clinton and Evan McMullin receiving 32% and 16.9% respectively.[3] In 2012 the district went for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama, 68% to 29.2%.[4]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Eliminated at convention
[edit]
  • Mary Burkett, a businesswoman and former vice chair of theWashington County Republican Party, formed an exploratory committee for a potential primary challenge of Stewart.[26]
  • Ken Clark[13]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Eliminated at convention
[edit]
  • Randy Hopkins, retired Utah Department of Workforce Services regional director[13]
Withdrew
[edit]

United Utah Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[17]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[19]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[20]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[21]Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Debate

[edit]
2018 Utah's 2nd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Chris StewartShireen Ghorbani
1Sep. 19, 2018Utah Debate CommissionDoug Wilks[32]PP

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Chris
Stewart (R)		Shireen
Ghorbani (D)		Jeffrey
Whipple (L)		OtherUndecided
University of Utah[33]October 3–17, 2018401± 4.9%52%29%6%–12%
Dan Jones & Associates[34]August 22 – September 6, 2018202± 6.9%45%34%5%–16%
Lighthouse Research[25]August 11–27, 2018600–49%27%5%–19%
University of Utah[35]June 11–18, 2018147± 7.7%48%24%–14%13%

Results

[edit]
Utah's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanChris Stewart (incumbent)151,48956.1
DemocraticShireen Ghorbani105,05138.9
LibertarianJeffrey Whipple13,5045.0
Total votes270,044100.0
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
2018 Utah's 3rd congressional district election
 
NomineeJohn CurtisJames Singer
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote174,85670,686
Percentage67.5%27.3%
County results
Curtis:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Singer:     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

John Curtis
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Curtis
Republican

See also:Utah's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district is located in southern and eastern Utah and includes the cities ofOrem andProvo. RepublicanJohn Curtis, who had represented the district since 2017, was elected to his first term in a2017 special election with 57.6% of the vote.

The 3rd District went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election, with 47.2%, with Evan McMullin and Hillary Clinton receiving 24.5% and 23.3% respectively.[3] In 2012 the district went for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama, 78.3% to 19.5%.[4]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Eliminated at convention
[edit]
  • Damian Kidd, attorney[38]
Declined
[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Curtis		Chris
Herrod		OtherUndecided
University of Utah[41]June 11–18, 2018183± 7.2%57%21%–21%

Debate

[edit]
2018 Utah's 3rd congressional district republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
John CurtisChris Herrod
1May 29, 2018Utah Debate CommissionJennifer Napier-Pearce[42]PP

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[43]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Curtis (incumbent)66,40473.32
RepublicanChris Herrod24,15826.68
Total votes90,562100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • James Singer, college professor
Eliminated at convention
[edit]
  • Kent Moon
Withdrew
[edit]
  • Kathryn Allen, physician[44]
  • Ben Frank[45]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[17]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[19]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[20]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[21]Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Debate

[edit]
2018 Utah's 3rd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
John CurtisJames Singer
1Oct. 26, 2018Utah Debate CommissionDavid Magleby[46]PP

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Curtis (R)		James
Singer (D)		Timothy
Zeidner (UU)		Gregory
Duerden (IA)		Undecided
University of Utah[23]October 3–9, 2018143± 8.0%67%13%4%1%15%
Dan Jones & Associates[24]August 22 – September 6, 2018188± 7.2%65%19%2%4%11%
Lighthouse Research[25]August 11–27, 2018600–52%20%2%4%22%

Results

[edit]
Utah's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Curtis (incumbent)174,85667.5
DemocraticJames Singer70,68627.3
Independent AmericanGregory Duerden6,6862.6
United UtahTimothy Zeidner6,6302.6
Total votes258,858100.0
Republicanhold

District 4

[edit]
2018 Utah's 4th congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeBen McAdamsMia Love
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote134,964134,270
Percentage50.1%49.9%
County results
McAdams:     50–60%
Love:     70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Mia Love
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ben McAdams
Democratic

See also:Utah's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in northern-central Utah and includes parts ofSalt Lake,Utah,Juab, andSanpete Counties. RepublicanMia Love, who had represented the district since 2015, was re-elected to a second term with 54% of the vote in 2016.

Salt Lake County MayorBen McAdams was selected in the Democratic primary.[47]

The 4th District voted for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election, with 39.1%, with Hillary Clinton and Evan McMullin receiving 32.4% and 22.5% respectively.[3] In 2012, the district voted for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama, 67.2% to 30.2%.[4]

McAdams would end up defeating Love by 694 votes.[48]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Eliminated at convention
[edit]
  • Sheldon Kirkham[50]
  • Darlene McDonald, author and activist[51]
  • Morgan Shepherd[52]
  • Tom Taylor, engineer and scientist[53]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[14]TossupNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[15]TossupNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Lean D(flip)November 5, 2018
RCP[17]TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[18]TossupNovember 5, 2018
538[19]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2018

Debate

[edit]
2018 Utah's 1st congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Mia LoveBen McAdams
1Oct. 15, 2018Utah Debate CommissionDoug Wright[54]PP

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mia
Love (R)		Ben
McAdams (D)		OtherUndecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College[55]October 24–26, 2018526± 4.7%45%45%–9%
Dixie Strategies[56]October 25, 2018936± 3.2%43%50%–7%
University of Utah[57]October 3–11, 2018403± 4.9%46%46%–8%
Mellman Group (D-McAdams)[58]October 7–10, 2018400± 4.9%46%47%––
Y2 Analytics (R-Love)[59]September 6–8, 2018405± 4.86%51%42%–7%
Dan Jones & Associates[60]August 22 – September 6, 2018400± 4.9%49%46%–5%
Mellman Group (D-McAdams)[61]August 20–23, 2018400± 4.9%46%44%––
Lighthouse Research[25]August 11–27, 2018600–47%38%–15%
University of Utah[62]June 11–18, 2018379± 5.0%45%39%8%8%
Dan Jones & Associates[63]May 15–June 5, 2018405± 5.0%47%43%–10%
Mellman Group (D-McAdams)[64]February 27 – March 4, 2018400± 4.9%43%40%––
Dan Jones & Associates[65]February 9–21, 2018404± 4.9%49%43%–8%
Dan Jones & Associates[66]January 15–22, 2018400± 4.9%47%42%–11%
Dan Jones & Associates[67]October 9–18, 2017402± 4.89%48%42%–9%

Results

[edit]
Utah's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBen McAdams134,96450.1
RepublicanMia Love (incumbent)134,27049.9
IndependentJonathan Larele Peterson (write-in)370.0
Total votes269,271100.0
Democraticgain fromRepublican

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Resources"(PDF).elections.utah.gov. 2018.
  2. ^Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedApril 27, 2019.
  3. ^abcdSinger, Jeff (December 26, 2016)."Evan McMullin managed to take second place in one of Utah's congressional districts. Congrats?".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedFebruary 9, 2017.
  4. ^abcd"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos Elections. July 9, 2013. RetrievedFebruary 9, 2017.
  5. ^"ROBERT". RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  6. ^"CHADWICK H., III, FAIRBANKS - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  7. ^"PROBASCO, KEVIN CRAIG - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  8. ^"CASTILLO, LEE MR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  9. ^"WEILAND, KUT FREDERICK - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  10. ^YouTube
  11. ^"Utah Election Preliminary Results". State of Utah. Archived fromthe original on December 14, 2022. RetrievedJuly 12, 2018.
  12. ^"ELIASON, ERIC R - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  13. ^abc"2018 Candidate Filings - Lieutenant Governor's Office: Elections".elections.utah.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  14. ^abcd"2018 House Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 30, 2018.
  15. ^abcd"2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  16. ^abcd"2018 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  17. ^abcd"Battle for the House 2018". RCP. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  18. ^abcd"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings".Daily Kos. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  19. ^abcdSilver, Nate (August 16, 2018)."2018 House Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 9, 2018. RetrievedNovember 6, 2018.
  20. ^abc"CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". CNN. Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2018. RetrievedJuly 30, 2023.
  21. ^abc"Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election".Politico. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2018.
  22. ^YouTube
  23. ^abUniversity of Utah
  24. ^abDan Jones & Associates
  25. ^abcdLighthouse Research
  26. ^DeMille, David (May 26, 2017)."Stewart could face challenge from inside GOP".The Spectrum. RetrievedJune 16, 2017.
  27. ^"GHORBANI, SHIREEN SARAH - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  28. ^"Misty K. Snow launches her second campaign, this time challenging Rep. Chris Stewart". RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  29. ^"SNOW, MISTY K - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  30. ^"GARBETT, JAN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  31. ^"WHIPPLE, JEFFREY - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  32. ^YouTube
  33. ^University of Utah
  34. ^Dan Jones & Associates
  35. ^University of Utah
  36. ^Tanner, Courtney (November 8, 2017)."Republican John Curtis, Utah's new congressman-elect, set to be sworn in, cast first vote Monday".Salt Lake Tribune. RetrievedJanuary 31, 2018.
  37. ^Herald, Katie England Daily."Complete list of candidates who filed to run for office in Utah County". Archived fromthe original on March 16, 2018. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  38. ^England, Katie (January 31, 2017)."American Fork resident Damian Kidd announces primary campaign against Rep. Jason Chaffetz".Daily Herald. RetrievedFebruary 9, 2017.
  39. ^abcdDrucker, David M. (April 20, 2017)."Evan McMullin weighs bid for Chaffetz's House seat".Washington Examiner. RetrievedOctober 19, 2019.
  40. ^Fox, Lauren; Walsh, Deirdre."Chaffetz says he's not running for re-election".CNN. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  41. ^University of Utah
  42. ^YouTube
  43. ^"Utah Election Preliminary Results". State of Utah. RetrievedJuly 12, 2018.
  44. ^D'Angelo, Chris (April 20, 2017)."Utah Physician Says She'll Happily Do The Job Jason Chaffetz Won't".Huffington Post. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  45. ^"FRANK, BENJAMIN JOSEPH MR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  46. ^YouTube
  47. ^"Rep. Mia Love, Ben McAdams win Utah 4th Congressional District primaries". RetrievedAugust 7, 2018.
  48. ^https://ballotpedia.org/Utah%27s_4th_Congressional_District_election,_2018
  49. ^"MCADAMS, BEN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  50. ^"KIRKHAM, SHELDON - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  51. ^"MCDONALD, DARLENE - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  52. ^"SHEPHERD, MORGAN - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  53. ^"TAYLOR, TOM - Candidate overview - FEC.gov".FEC.gov. RetrievedAugust 29, 2018.
  54. ^YouTube
  55. ^NYT Upshot/Siena College
  56. ^Dixie Strategies
  57. ^University of Utah
  58. ^Mellman Group (D-McAdams)[permanent dead link]
  59. ^Y2 Analytics (R-Love)
  60. ^Dan Jones & Associates
  61. ^Mellman Group (D-McAdams)
  62. ^University of Utah
  63. ^Dan Jones & Associates
  64. ^Mellman Group (D-McAdams)
  65. ^Dan Jones & Associates
  66. ^Dan Jones & Associates
  67. ^Dan Jones & Associates

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites of first district candidates

Official campaign websites of second district candidates

Official campaign websites of third district candidates

Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates

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