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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon

← 2016November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)2020 →

All 5 Oregon seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election41
Seats won41
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote1,061,412702,531
Percentage57.45%38.02%
SwingIncrease 3.74%Decrease 0.21%

District results
County results

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the fiveU.S. representatives from theU.S. state ofOregon; one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The primaries were held on May 15, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

All five incumbents were re-elected, leaving Oregon at a 4–1 split in favor of the Democrats.

Overview

[edit]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon by district:[1]

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1231,19863.65%116,44632.06%15,6054.30%363,249100.0%Democratic hold
District 2145,29839.41%207,59756.30%15,8144.29%368,709100.0%Republican hold
District 3279,01972.60%76,18719.82%29,1207.58%384,326100.0%Democratic hold
District 4208,71055.97%152,41440.87%11,7693.16%372,893100.0%Democratic hold
District 5197,18755.01%149,88741.81%11,3953.18%358,469100.0%Democratic hold
Total1,061,41257.45%702,53138.02%83,7034.53%1,847,646100.0%
Elections in Oregon
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District 1

[edit]
2018 Oregon's 1st congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeSuzanne BonamiciJohn Verbeek
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote231,198116,446
Percentage63.6%32.1%

County results
Bonamici:     40–50%     50–60%     60-70%     80-90%

Precinct results
Bonamici:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Verbeek:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Suzanne Bonamici
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Suzanne Bonamici
Democratic

See also:Oregon's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is located innorthwestern Oregon and stretches fromcoastal cities of theAstoria andSeaside, to theparts of Portland and the surrounding suburbs such asBeaverton,Hillsboro, andNewberg. This district had a PVI of D+9. The incumbent was DemocratSuzanne Bonamici, who had represented the district since 2012. She was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2016. She faced Republican nominee John Verbeek in the November 2018 general election.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSuzanne Bonamici (incumbent)69,77491.7
DemocraticRicky Barajas2,9453.9
DemocraticMichael E. Stansfield2,9363.8
DemocraticWrite-ins4240.6
Total votes76,079100.0

Republican primary

[edit]
  • George Griffith, engineer
  • Preston Miller[4]
  • John Verbeek[5]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Verbeek21,19150.6
RepublicanGeorge Griffith17,04940.7
RepublicanPreston L. Miller3,2287.7
RepublicanWrite-ins4021.0
Total votes41,870100.0

Independent primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent PartySuzanne Bonamici (incumbent) (write-in)40632.8
Independent PartyOther write-ins83267.2
Total votes1,238100

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP[9]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538[11]Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN[12]Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico[13]Safe DNovember 2, 2018

Results

[edit]
Oregon's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticSuzanne Bonamici (incumbent)[14]231,19863.6+4.0
RepublicanJohn Verbeek116,44632.1−4.9
LibertarianDrew A. Layda[15]15,1214.2+1.0
n/aWrite-ins4840.1−0.1
Total votes363,249100.0N/A
Democratichold

District 2

[edit]
2018 Oregon's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeGreg WaldenJamie McLeod-Skinner
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote207,597145,298
Percentage56.3%39.4%

County results
Walden:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Skinner:     40–50%     60–70%

Precinct results
Walden:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Skinner:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Greg Walden
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Walden
Republican

See also:Oregon's 2nd congressional district

Oregon's second district is made up of ruraleastern Oregon and stretches intosouthern Oregon, includingBend,Klamath Falls, andMedford. This was the most Republican district in Oregon, with a PVI of R+11.

The incumbent, RepublicanGreg Walden ofHood River, was re-nominated in the May 2018 primary election. He had represented the district since 1999, and was re-elected with 72% of the vote in 2016. He had faced little serious opposition in recent years, but in 2018 was heavily criticized by constituents for helping to write a bill to repeal and replace theAffordable Care Act.[16]

DemocratJamie McLeod-Skinner ofTerrebonne[17] won her party's nomination in May 2018.[16] She had criticized Walden for skipping public events and declining to take strong stands on behalf of his constituents.[17] Incumbent Walden agreed in July to debate McLeod-Skinner, but as of early September, no debate had been scheduled.[18]

As of November 2018, national handicappers considered the district "safe Republican."[16]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJamie McLeod-Skinner25,35142.8
DemocraticJennifer Neahring14,02023.7
DemocraticJames Crary6,77411.4
DemocraticTim S. White3,4695.9
DemocraticRaz Mason3,1375.3
DemocraticEric Burnette2,7344.6
DemocraticMichael Byrne2,5464.3
DemocraticWrite-ins1,1732.0
Total votes59,204100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGreg Walden (incumbent)71,54377.3
RepublicanPaul J. Romero Jr15,18116.4
RepublicanRandy Pollock5,5146.0
RepublicanWrite-ins2800.3
Total votes92,518100.0

Independent primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent PartyMark R. Roberts3,44166.0
Independent PartyWrite-ins1,77334.0
Total votes5,214100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[9]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[11]Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN[12]Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico[13]Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Greg
Walden (R)
Jamie
McLeod-Skinner (D)
Mark
Roberts (I)
Undecided
Patinkin Research Strategies (D-McLeod-Skinner)[28]October 11–12, 2018400± 5.0%49%40%7%5%

Results

[edit]

This was the closest race ever in Greg Walden's political history, the first time he had received less than 60% of the votes.

Oregon's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanGreg Walden (incumbent)207,59756.3−15.4
DemocraticJamie McLeod-Skinner145,29839.4+11.4
Independent PartyMark Roberts15,5364.2N/A
n/aWrite-ins2780.1−0.2
Total votes368,709100.0N/A
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
2018 Oregon's 3rd congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeEarl BlumenauerThomas HarrisonMarc Koller
PartyDemocraticRepublicanIndependent Party
AlliancePacific Green
Popular vote279,01976,18721,352
Percentage72.6%19.8%5.6%

County results
Precinct results
Blumenaur:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Harrison:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     40–50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Earl Blumenauer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Earl Blumenauer
Democratic

See also:Oregon's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district is centered around the city ofPortland, and includes the surrounding suburbs such asEstacada,Fairview, andGresham. This was the most Democratic-friendly district in the state, with a PVI of D+24. The incumbent was DemocratEarl Blumenauer, who had represented the district since 1996. He was re-elected with 72% of the vote in 2016. He faced Independent Party nominee Marc Koller and Republican write-in nominee Tom Harrison in the November 2018 general election.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEarl Blumenauer (incumbent)91,22690.8
DemocraticBen Lavine6,0086.0
DemocraticCharles Rand Barnett1,5861.6
DemocraticEric Hafner1,3771.4
DemocraticWrite-ins2910.3
Total votes100,488100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThomas Harrison (write-in)1046.6
RepublicanOther write-ins1,47093.4
Total votes1,574100.0

Independent primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent PartyMarc W. Koller93042.0
Independent PartyDavid W. Walker74133.5
Independent PartyWrite-ins54224.5
Total votes2,213100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP[9]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538[11]Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN[12]Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico[13]Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Results

[edit]
Oregon's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEarl Blumenauer (incumbent)279,01972.6
RepublicanTom Harrison76,18719.8
Independent PartyMarc Koller[29]21,3525.6
LibertarianGary Dye5,7671.5
ConstitutionMichael Marsh1,4870.4
n/aWrite-ins5140.1
Total votes384,326100.0
Democratichold

District 4

[edit]
2018 Oregon's 4th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineePeter DeFazioArt Robinson
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote208,710152,414
Percentage56.0%40.9%

County results
DeFazio:     60–70%     70–80%
Robinson:     50–60%

Precinct results
DeFazio:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Robinson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Peter DeFazio
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter DeFazio
Democratic

See also:Oregon's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in theSouth Coast region of Oregon. Cities in this district includeCoos Bay,Eugene, andRoseburg. This was a highly competitive district, with an even PVI. The incumbent was DemocratPeter DeFazio, who had represented the district since 1987. He was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2016. He facedArt Robinson for the fifth time; Robinson had been the Republican nominee in the district in every election since 2010.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPeter A. DeFazio (incumbent)78,57591.4
DemocraticDaniel Arcangel6,6727.8
DemocraticWrite-ins7170.8
Total votes85,964100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanArthur B. Robinson30,38445.5
RepublicanCourt Boice15,77323.6
RepublicanJo Rae Perkins13,89220.8
RepublicanMichael Polen3,9705.9
RepublicanStefan G. Strek2,2443.4
RepublicanWrite-ins5030.8
Total votes66,766100.0

Independent primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent PartyPeter A. DeFazio (incumbent) (write-in)88832.9
Independent PartyOther write-ins1,81167.1
Total votes2,699100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP[9]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538[11]Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN[12]Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico[13]Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Results

[edit]
Oregon's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPeter DeFazio (incumbent)[35]208,71056.0
RepublicanArt Robinson[36]152,41440.9
Pacific GreenMike Beilstein5,9561.6
LibertarianRichard Jacobson5,3701.4
n/aWrite-ins4430.1
Total votes372,893100.0
Democratichold

District 5

[edit]
2018 Oregon's 5th congressional district election

← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeKurt SchraderMark Callahan
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote197,187149,887
Percentage55.0%41.8%

County results
Schrader:     40–50%     50–60%     70-80%

Precinct results
Schrader:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Callahan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Kurt Schrader
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kurt Schrader
Democratic

See also:Oregon's 5th congressional district

The 5th district is centered around the state capital,Salem. The district stretches from theCentral Coast region to the southern Portland suburbs, includingLake Oswego,Wilsonville, andOregon City. The district was highly competitive, with an even PVI. The incumbent was DemocratKurt Schrader, who had represented the district since 2009. He was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2016. He faced Republican nomineeMark Callahan in the November 2018 general election.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKurt Schrader (incumbent)59,19686.1
DemocraticPeter Wright9,00213.1
DemocraticWrite-ins5490.8
Total votes68,747100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMark Callahan33,93361.9
RepublicanJoey Nations11,30020.6
RepublicanRobert L. Reynolds9,12016.6
RepublicanWrite-ins4650.8
Total votes54,818100.0

Independent primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Independent primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent PartyKurt Schrader (incumbent) (write-in)49831.9
Independent PartyOther write-ins1,06568.2
Total votes1,563100

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP[9]Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538[11]Likely DNovember 7, 2018
CNN[12]Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico[13]Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kurt
Schrader (D)
Mark
Callahan (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing[38]October 8, 2018359± 5.2%33%56%11%

Results

[edit]
Oregon's 5th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKurt Schrader (incumbent)[14]197,18755.0
RepublicanMark Callahan149,88741.8
LibertarianDan Souza6,0541.7
Pacific GreenMarvin Sandnes4,8021.3
n/aWrite-ins5390.2
Total votes358,469100.0
Democratichold

References

[edit]
  1. ^Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedApril 27, 2019.
  2. ^"Congressional candidates on display at Astoria forum".The Daily Astorian. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  3. ^Wong, Peter (March 2, 2018)."Rep. Bonamici starts re-election bid".pamplinmedia.com. Beaverton Valley Times. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  4. ^"Congressional candidates on display at Astoria forum".The Daily Astorian. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  5. ^"Support John Verbeek on Crowdpac!".www.crowdpac.com. Archived fromthe original on April 17, 2018. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  6. ^abcde"2018 House Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 30, 2018.
  7. ^abcde"2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  8. ^abcde"2018 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  9. ^abcde"Battle for the House 2018". RCP. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  10. ^abcde"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings".Daily Kos. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  11. ^abcdeSilver, Nate (August 16, 2018)."2018 House Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on August 16, 2018. RetrievedNovember 6, 2018.
  12. ^abcde"CNN's 2018 Race Ratings".cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2018. RetrievedJuly 30, 2023.
  13. ^abcde"Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election".POLITICO. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2018.
  14. ^abCo-nominated by Independent Party
  15. ^Co-nominated by Pacific Green Party
  16. ^abcMapes, Jeff (May 14, 2018)."Jamie McLeod-Skinner Nominated To Take On Republican Rep. Greg Walden Oregon Congressional Seat".Oregon Public Broadcasting. RetrievedAugust 23, 2018.
  17. ^abWright, Phil (March 9, 2018)."Democrat McLeod-Skinner on the road to oust Walden".East Oregonian. RetrievedAugust 23, 2018.
  18. ^Selsky, Andrew."House Seeker Hopes 'Blue Wave' Floods A Conservative Corner Of Oregon". Archived fromthe original on September 5, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 5, 2018.
  19. ^"A union-backed challenge to Oregon's Greg Walden nwLaborPress".nwLaborPress. January 30, 2018. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  20. ^"Hood River stonemason one of seven challenging Walden".East Oregonian. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  21. ^"U.S. House: U.S. Rep. Greg Walden vs. Democrat Jim Crary". RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  22. ^House, Up Close: Road To The White (April 1, 2018)."Up Close, with Peter Sage: Raz Mason: Campaign Update".Up Close, with Peter Sage. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  23. ^"Jamie McLeod-Skinner for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District - American Women's Party : American Women's Party".www.americanwomensparty.org. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  24. ^"Bend Democrat eyeing Greg Walden challenge".Portland Tribune. Pamplin Media Group. December 27, 2017. Archived fromthe original on December 28, 2017. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  25. ^Kolliner, Kimberly."Six District 2 candidates have varying missions, but agree on one thing".KTVL. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  26. ^"Representative candidates speak to the issues".The La Grande Observer. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  27. ^Chaney, Jason (March 16, 2018)."Local man running again for Congress position".Central Oregonian. Pamplin Media Group. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  28. ^Patinkin Research Strategies (D-McLeod-Skinner)
  29. ^Co-nominated by Pacific Green Party.
  30. ^News-Review, CARISA CEGAVSKE Senior Staff Writer The."Devastating forest fires convinced Curry County Commissioner Court Boice to run for Congress".NRToday.com. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  31. ^News-Review, CARISA CEGAVSKE Senior Staff Writer The."Four Republicans to vie for Congressman Peter DeFazio's seat".NRToday.com. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  32. ^"PRIMARY BALLOT SET FOR LEGISLATIVE AND CONGRESSIONAL CANDIDATES - KQEN News Radio".kqennewsradio.com. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  33. ^"Peter DeFazio to face Art Robinson for 4th time for U.S. House seat (election results)".OregonLive.com. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  34. ^"Student Congressional candidate doesn't shy away from controversy - Emerald Media".Emerald Media. March 12, 2018. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  35. ^Co-nominated by Independent Party of Oregon.
  36. ^Co-nominated by Constitution Party.
  37. ^Lehman, Chris."Perennial Oregon Political Candidate Mark Callahan Heads For His Biggest Stage Yet. But How?".Oregon Public Broadcasting. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  38. ^Gravis Marketing

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates

Official campaign websites for fifth district candidates

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