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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
← 2016
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)
2020 →
All 3 Nebraska seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election30
Seats won30
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote432,077264,493
Percentage62.03%37.97%
SwingDecrease 8.71%Increase 9.93%
District results
County results

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  >90%

Democratic

  50–60%

The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the threeU.S. representatives from theU.S. state ofNebraska, one from each of the state's threecongressional districts. Primaries were held on May 15, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

The 2018 elections saw all three incumbents elected (all from the Republican Party); thus the GOP retained control of all three House seats.

Overview

[edit]
Popular vote
Republican
 
62.03%
Democratic
 
37.97%
House seats
Republican
 
100%
Democratic
 
0%

District

[edit]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska by district:[1]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1141,71260.36%93,06939.64%00.00%234,781100%Republican hold
District 2126,71551.00%121,77049.00%00.00%248,485100%Republican hold
District 3163,65076.72%49,65423.28%00.00%213,304100%Republican hold
Total432,07762.56%264,49335.19%00.00%696,570100%
Elections in Nebraska
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District 1

[edit]
2018 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeJeff FortenberryJessica McClure
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote141,71293,069
Percentage60.4%39.6%
Results by precinct:
Fortenberry:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
McClure:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

See also:Nebraska's 1st congressional district

The incumbent was RepublicanJeff Fortenberry, who had represented the district since 2005. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

[edit]
  • Dennis Crawford, attorney[2]
  • Jessica McClure, chemist[3]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJessica McClure22,19966.1
DemocraticDennis P. Crawford11,38633.9
Total votes33,585100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Fortenberry (incumbent)51,809100.0
Total votes51,809100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[9]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[11]Safe RNovember 7, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Jeff
Fortenberry (R)		Jessica
McClure (D)		Undecided
Change Research (D)[12]October 24–25, 2018742–55%39%–

Results

[edit]
Nebraska's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Fortenberry (incumbent)141,71260.4
DemocraticJessica McClure93,06939.6
Total votes234,781100.0
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
2018 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeDon BaconKara Eastman
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote126,715121,770
Percentage51.0%49.0%
Bacon:     60–70%
Eastman:     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Don Bacon
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Bacon
Republican

See also:Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

The incumbent was RepublicanDon Bacon, who had represented the district since 2017. He flipped the district and was elected with 49% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kara Eastman

Individuals

  • Anne Boyle, former Nebraska state public service commissioner
  • Ben Gray, Omaha city councilman
  • Crystal Rhoades, Nebraska state public service commissioner
  • Tony Vargas, Nebraska state senator
  • Justin Wayne, Nebraska state senator

Organizations

Parties

  • Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska[14]

Debate

[edit]
2018 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district democratic primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticDemocratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Brad AshfordKara Eastman
1Apr. 24, 2018KMTV-TV
Omaha World-Herald		Craig Nigrelli
Mike'l Severe		[15]PP

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKara Eastman21,35751.64
DemocraticBrad Ashford19,99848.36
Total votes41,355100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDon Bacon (incumbent)33,852100.0
Total votes33,852100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Lean RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[9]Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
538[11]TossupNovember 7, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Don
Bacon (R)		Kara
Eastman (D)		Undecided
DFM Research[16]October 23–25, 2018350± 5.2%52%45%3%
Meeting Street Research (R-Bacon)[17]October 1–2, 2018400± 4.9%49%40%9%
GQR Research (D-Eastman)[18]September 27–30, 2018400± 4.9%49%45%6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College[19]September 23–26, 2018512± 4.5%51%42%7%

Results

[edit]
Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDon Bacon (incumbent)126,71551.0
DemocraticKara Eastman121,77049.0
Total votes248,485100.0
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
2018 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeAdrian SmithPaul Theobald
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote163,65049,654
Percentage76.7%23.3%
Results by precinct
Smith:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Theobald:     50–60%     60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Adrian Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Adrian Smith
Republican

See also:Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

The incumbent was RepublicanAdrian Smith, who had represented the district since 2007. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016.

Democratic primary

[edit]
  • Paul Theobald, educator and author[20]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPaul Theobald16,395100.0
Total votes16,395100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAdrian Smith (incumbent)50,87865.74
RepublicanKirk Penner20,11625.99
RepublicanArron Kowalski4,4615.76
RepublicanLarry Lee Scott Bolinger1,9352.50
Total votes77,390100.00

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[7]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP[9]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[10]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538[11]Safe RNovember 7, 2018

Results

[edit]
Nebraska's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAdrian Smith (incumbent)163,65076.7
DemocraticPaul Theobald49,65423.3
Total votes213,304100.0
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
  1. ^Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedApril 27, 2019.
  2. ^Walton, Don."Fortenberry challengers hope to ride a Democratic wave".JournalStar.com. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  3. ^Georlett, Pierce."Jessica McClure Running for First District in Nebraska". RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  4. ^Almukhtar, Sarah; Bloch, Matthew; Lee, Jasmine C. (May 15, 2018)."Nebraska Primary Election Results".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 16, 2018.
  5. ^"Nebraska Secretary of State Election Results". RetrievedMay 16, 2018.
  6. ^abc"2018 House Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 30, 2018.
  7. ^abc"2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  8. ^abc"2018 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  9. ^abc"Battle for the House 2018". RCP. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  10. ^abc"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings".Daily Kos. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  11. ^abcSilver, Nate (August 16, 2018)."2018 House Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 9, 2018. RetrievedNovember 6, 2018.
  12. ^Change Research (D)
  13. ^Tysver, Robynn."Nonprofit executive Kara Eastman will seek Democratic nomination in 2nd Congressional District".Omaha.com. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  14. ^Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska (March 19, 2020)."Here are our 2020 Primary Endorsements". RetrievedMarch 26, 2020 – via Facebook.
  15. ^YouTube
  16. ^DFM Research
  17. ^Meeting Street Research (R-Bacon)
  18. ^GQR Research (D-Eastman)
  19. ^NYT Upshot/Siena College
  20. ^KONZ, MIKE."Democrat candidate Paul Theobald: Trump setting table for GOP loss in 3rd District".Kearney Hub. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  21. ^Larry Bolinger
  22. ^Star-Herald, JERRY PURVIS."Alliance man runs for Congress, challenging Adrian Smith".starherald.com. RetrievedApril 15, 2018.
  23. ^KHGI."Meet the candidate: Third Congressional District Arron Kowalski".KHGI. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  24. ^PRITCHARD, ERIKA."Congressional candidate Kirk Penner has Main Street mindset".Kearney Hub. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

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