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2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
← 2016November 6, 20182020 →
All 2 Hawaii seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
Turnout50.5%
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election20
Seats won20
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote287,92187,348
Percentage75.31%22.85%
SwingDecrease1.29%Increase2.11%
District results
County results
Democratic
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Elections in Hawaii

The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the twoU.S. representatives from theU.S. state ofHawaii, one from each of the state's twocongressional districts. Primaries were held on August 11, 2018. The elections and primaries coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.

With the 2018 election results, the Democratic Party easily retained both House seats and retained unitary control over the entirety of Hawaii's Congressional (both House and Senate) delegation.

Overview

[edit]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii by district:[1]

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1134,65073.04%42,49823.05%7,2003.91%184,348100.0%Democratic hold
District 2153,27177.34%44,85022.63%530.03%198,174100.0%Democratic hold
Total287,92175.27%87,34822.83%7,2531.90%382,522100.0%

District 1

[edit]
2018 Hawaii's 1st congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeEd CaseCampbell Cavasso
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote134,65042,498
Percentage73.1%23.1%
Precinct results
Case:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Colleen Hanabusa
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ed Case
Democratic

See also:Hawaii's 1st congressional district

The incumbent was DemocratColleen Hanabusa, who had represented the district since 2017 and from 2011 to 2015. Hanabusa was elected with 68% of the vote in 2016. She retired to seek the2018 Democratic nomination for governor of Hawaii.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Doug Chin
Trade unions
Organizations
Beth Fukumoto
Trade unions
Kaniela Ing
U.S. representatives
State representatives
Individuals
Trade unions
Organizations
Ernie Martin
Trade unions
Donna Mercado Kim
Local and statewide politicians
Individuals
Trade unions

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ed
Case		Doug
Chin		Beth
Fukumoto		Kaniela
Ing		Ernie
Martin		Donna Mercado
Kim		Undecided
Merriman River Group[21]July 19–21, 2018403± 4.9%34%19%5%6%3%15%18%
Mason-Dixon[22]July 6–11, 2018244± 6.4%36%27%1%6%2%14%14%
Merriman River Group[23]May 3–5, 2018321± 5.5%–19%11%8%4%26%32%

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEd Case47,49140.0
DemocraticDoug Chin30,29025.5
DemocraticDonna Mercado Kim21,56318.2
DemocraticKaniela Saito Ing7,5396.4
DemocraticBeth Keiko Fukumoto7,4766.3
DemocraticErnie Yorihiko Martin3,8273.2
DemocraticSam Puletasi5190.4
Total votes118,705100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCampbell Cavasso10,56481.9
RepublicanRaymond Vinole2,34218.1
Total votes12,906100.0

Green primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Green primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
GreenZachary B. Burd173100.0
Total votes173100.0

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianMichelle Rose Tippens150100.0
Total votes150100.0

Nonpartisan primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Nonpartisan primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
NonpartisanCalvin C. Griffin26658.7
NonpartisanJohn E. Cipolla18741.3
Total votes453100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[24]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[25]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP[27]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[28]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538[29]Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN[30]Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico[31]Safe DNovember 2, 2018

Results

[edit]
Hawaii's 1st congressional district, 2018[32]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEd Case134,65073.1
RepublicanCampbell Cavasso42,49823.1
LibertarianMichelle Tippens3,4981.9
GreenZach Burd2,2141.2
NonpartisanCalvin Griffin1,3510.7
Total votes184,211100.0
Democratichold

District 2

[edit]
2018 Hawaii's 2nd congressional district election
← 2016
2020 →
 
NomineeTulsi GabbardBrian Evans
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote153,27144,850
Percentage77.4%22.6%
Precinct results
Gabbard:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Evans:     50–60%     60–70%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Tulsi Gabbard
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Tulsi Gabbard
Democratic

The incumbent was DemocratTulsi Gabbard, who had represented the district since 2013. She was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 2016.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Sherry
Campagna		Tulsi
Gabbard		Undecided
Merriman River Group[21]July 19–21, 2018468± 4.5%16%69%15%

Primary results

[edit]
2018 Hawaii's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county
Map legend
  •   Gabbard—80–90%
  •   Gabbard—70–80%
  •   No data
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTulsi Gabbard (incumbent)94,66583.5
DemocraticSherry Alu Campagna13,94712.4
DemocraticAnthony Tony Austin4,6924.1
Total votes113,304100.0

Republican primary

[edit]
  • Brian Evans, singer, Democratic candidate for senator in2004 and2014[36]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrian Evans12,337100.0
Total votes12,337100.00

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[24]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[25]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP[27]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[28]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538[29]Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN[30]Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico[31]Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Results

[edit]
2018 Hawaii's 2nd congressional district results by county
Map legend
  •   Gabbard—80–90%
  •   Gabbard—70–80%
  •   No data
Hawaii's 2nd congressional district, 2018[32]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTulsi Gabbard (incumbent)153,27177.4
RepublicanBrian Evans44,85022.6
Total votes198,121100.0
Democratichold

References

[edit]
  1. ^Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedApril 27, 2019.
  2. ^"Ed Case Prepares To Enter Hawaii Race For Congress".Honolulu Civil Beat. June 4, 2018. RetrievedJune 5, 2018.
  3. ^Jones, Caleb (December 18, 2017)."Hawaii attorney general announces run for US Congress".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on December 22, 2017. RetrievedDecember 18, 2017.
  4. ^Dayton, Kevin (March 29, 2018)."Fukumoto joins race for Congress".Honolulu Star-Advertiser. RetrievedMarch 29, 2018.
  5. ^Garcia, Eric (November 7, 2017)."State Rep. Kaniela Ing Runs for Hanabusa's Seat".Roll Call. RetrievedNovember 8, 2017.
  6. ^"Veteran state senator announces bid for Hanabusa's congressional seat".Honolulu Star-Advertiser. November 8, 2017. RetrievedNovember 8, 2017.
  7. ^Dayton, Kevin (December 3, 2017)."City Councilman joins race for Congress".Honolulu Star-Advertiser. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2018.
  8. ^"AFGE Endorses Hawaii's Doug Chin for Congress".prnewswire.com. July 10, 2018.
  9. ^Dayton, Kevin (August 8, 2018)."Hawaii teachers union endorses Chin for Congress".Honolulu Star-Advertiser.
  10. ^"IFPTE Endorses Doug Chin for Congress".IFTPE.org. March 3, 2018. Archived fromthe original on August 15, 2018. RetrievedAugust 15, 2018.
  11. ^"FOUR REFORMERS REJECTING CORPORATE PAC MONEY EARN END CITIZENS UNITED ENDORSEMENT".EndCitizensUnited.org. July 24, 2018.
  12. ^Cocke, Sophie (June 7, 2018)."Ige, Tokuda and Fukumoto secure major union endorsements".Honolulu Star-Advertiser.
  13. ^Jayapal, Pramila [@PramilaJayapal] (July 31, 2018)."I'm so proud to endorse @KanielaIng in Hawaii's 1st Congressional District! Kaniela has been an incredible leader in his state legislature and he is running a people-powered campaign fighting for what working families need. VOTE for him and learn more: https://kanielaing.com" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  14. ^abcdefghijklmnop"Endorsements – Vote Kaniela Ing for Congress".KanielaIng.com. Archived fromthe original on August 12, 2018. RetrievedAugust 12, 2018.
  15. ^El-Sayed, Abdul [@AbdulElSayed] (August 11, 2018)."From Hawaii to Michigan to NYC, Americans deserve: ✅ Medicare for All ✅ $15 and a union ✅ affordable housing ✅ clean water ✅ excellent PUBLIC schools That's why I'm pulling for @KanielaIng today" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  16. ^Ocasio-Cortez, Alexandria [@Ocasio2018] (June 27, 2018)."America: Please send @KanielaIng to Congress with me! He is incredibly inspiring – another working class American who knocked on 15,000 doors to win his state assembly seat. Now he's running for Congress. Imagine what we could accomplish if we both went in together. 💪🏽🗳" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  17. ^Emerson, Anthony [@AnthonyEmerso14] (April 27, 2018)."@DemSocialists has endorsed @RepKanielaIng for #HI01 and @GayleforCA for Calif. Lt. Gov, in addition to a host of local candidates. #hawaiipolitics #DSA2018" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  18. ^@WorkingFamilies (August 11, 2018)."Clap if you're voting for @KanielaIng in the next three hours! #FightForAloha #Ing2018" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  19. ^"SHOPO endorses Ernie Martin for 1st Congressional District".HawaiiNewsNow. May 29, 2018.
  20. ^abcdefgh"View Endorsements – Donna Mercado Kim for Congress". Archived fromthe original on August 12, 2018. RetrievedAugust 12, 2018.
  21. ^abMerriman River Group
  22. ^Mason-Dixon
  23. ^Merriman River Group
  24. ^ab"2018 House Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 30, 2018.
  25. ^ab"2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  26. ^ab"2018 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  27. ^ab"Battle for the House 2018". RCP. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  28. ^ab"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings".Daily Kos. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  29. ^abSilver, Nate (August 16, 2018)."2018 House Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on August 16, 2018. RetrievedNovember 6, 2018.
  30. ^ab"CNN's 2018 Race Ratings".cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2018. RetrievedJuly 30, 2023.
  31. ^ab"Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election".POLITICO. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2018.
  32. ^ab"Statewide Summary"(PDF).Office of Elections. State of Hawaii. RetrievedNovember 20, 2018.
  33. ^"Home". Archived fromthe original on August 2, 2018. RetrievedMay 31, 2018.
  34. ^"Local community leader throws her name in the race for Congress".Hawaii News Now. November 19, 2017. RetrievedDecember 18, 2017.
  35. ^@TulsiGabbard (May 31, 2018)."I thank the people of Hawaii's 2nd..." (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  36. ^Congress, Brian Evans for US."Singer and Author Brian Evans Will Run for U.S. Congress in 2018".www.prnewswire.com. RetrievedNovember 3, 2017.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

State of Hawaii Office of Elections

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