 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 27 Florida seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 District results County results
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the 27U.S. representatives from the state ofFlorida, one from each of the state's 27congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including agubernatorial election,other elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate, and variousstate andlocal elections. The party primaries were held on August 28, 2018.[1]
The state congressional delegation changed from a 16–11 Republican majority to a slim 14–13 Republican majority, one short from a Democratic flip. These were seen as the most seats Democrats had attained in Florida since1982. As noted in the vote table below, Florida does not count votes in uncontested races, so the votes in the four uncontested seats held by Democratic members of the House are not counted in the totals or percentages on this page, and each under counts the votes for Democrats in Florida.
| Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Republican | 22 | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 14 |  2 | 51.85% | |
| Democratic | 27 | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 13 |  2 | 48.15% | |
| Independent | 6 | 38,550 | 0.55% | 0 |  | 0.00% | |
| Write-in | 8 | 281 | 0.00% | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Total | 63 | 7,021,476 | 100.00% | 27 | | 100.00% | |
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district:[2]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 216,189 | 67.06% | 106,199 | 32.94% | 0 | 0.00% | 322,388 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 199,335 | 67.44% | 96,233 | 32.56% | 0 | 0.00% | 295,568 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 176,616 | 57.62% | 129,880 | 42.38% | 0 | 0.00% | 306,496 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 4 | 248,420 | 65.16% | 123,351 | 32.35% | 9,478 | 2.49% | 381,249 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 89,799 | 33.22% | 180,527 | 66.78% | 0 | 0.00 | 270,326 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 187,891 | 56.31% | 145,758 | 43.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 333,649 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 134,285 | 42.31% | 183,113 | 57.69% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,398 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 218,112 | 60.50% | 142,415 | 39.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 360,527 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 9 | 124,565 | 41.98% | 172,172 | 58.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,737 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
| District 11 | 239,395 | 65.14% | 128,053 | 34.84% | 58 | 0.02% | 367,506 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 12 | 194,564 | 58.09% | 132,844 | 39.66% | 7,510 | 2.24% | 334,918 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 13 | 134,254 | 42.36% | 182,717 | 57.64% | 0 | 0.00% | 316,971 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 14 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
| District 15 | 151,380 | 53.02% | 134,132 | 46.98% | 20 | 0.01% | 285,532 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 16 | 197,483 | 54.56% | 164,463 | 45.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 361,946 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 17 | 193,326 | 62.26% | 117,194 | 37.74% | 0 | 0.00% | 310,520 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 18 | 185,905 | 54.30% | 156,454 | 45.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 342,359 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 19 | 211,465 | 62.27% | 128,106 | 37.72% | 36 | 0.01% | 339,607 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 20 | 0 | 0.00% | 202,659 | 99.92% | 165 | 0.08% | 202,824 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 21 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
| District 22 | 113,049 | 37.98% | 184,634 | 62.02% | 0 | 0.00% | 297,683 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 23 | 99,446 | 35.98% | 161,611 | 58.48% | 15,309 | 5.54% | 276,366 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
| District 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | Democratic hold |
| District 25 | 128,672 | 60.45% | 84,173 | 39.55% | 0 | 0.00% | 212,845 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
| District 26 | 115,678 | 49.13% | 119,797 | 50.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 235,475 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
| District 27 | 115,588 | 45.76% | 130,743 | 51.76% | 6,255 | 2.48% | 252,586 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
| Total | 3,675,417 | 52.35% | 3,307,228 | 47.10% | 38,831 | 0.55% | 7,021,476 | 100.00% | |
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) Gaetz: 50–60% 70–80% 80–90%Results by county  Gaetz: 50–60% 60–70% 70-80% 80-90% <90% Zimmerman: 50–60% 60–70% 70-80% 80-90% <90%Results by precinct | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 1st district stretches along theEmerald Coast and is located in the westernPanhandle anchored byPensacola, it also includesFort Walton Beach,Navarre, andWright. Incumbent RepublicanMatt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+22.
U.S. executive branch officials
Statewide officials
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 65,203 | 64.8 | |
| Republican | Cris Dosev | 30,433 | 30.2 | |
| Republican | John Mills | 4,992 | 5.0 | |
| Total votes | 100,628 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jennifer M. Zimmerman | 22,422 | 60.5 | |
| Democratic | Phil Ehr | 14,650 | 39.5 | |
| Total votes | 37,072 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 216,189 | 67.1 | |
| Democratic | Jennifer M. Zimmerman | 106,199 | 32.9 | |
| Total votes | 322,388 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
 Dunn: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Rackleff: 50–60%Results by county  Dunn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Rackleff: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%Results by precinct | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 2nd district is located in theBig Bend region and is anchored byPanama City, and includes the suburbs ofTallahassee. Incumbent RepublicanNeal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+18.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brandon Peters | Bob Rackleff | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bold Blue Campaigns (D-Peters)[18] | August 21–23, 2018 | 407 | – | 47% | 36% | 17% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Rackleff | 29,395 | 50.8 | |
| Democratic | Brandon Peters | 28,483 | 49.2 | |
| Total votes | 57,878 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 199,335 | 67.4 | |
| Democratic | Bob Rackleff | 96,233 | 32.6 | |
| Total votes | 295,568 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Yoho: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hinson: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 3rd district is located inNorth Central Florida and includes the cities ofGainesville,Palatka, andOcala. Incumbent RepublicanTed Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected to a third term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+9.
State legislators
Local officials
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ted Yoho (incumbent) | 54,848 | 76.3 | |
| Republican | Judson Sapp | 17,068 | 23.7 | |
| Total votes | 71,916 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Yvonne Hayes Hinson | 31,655 | 59.5 | |
| Democratic | Tom Wells | 17,663 | 33.2 | |
| Democratic | Dushyant Gosai | 3,883 | 7.3 | |
| Total votes | 53,201 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ted Yoho (incumbent) | 176,616 | 57.6 | |
| Democratic | Yvonne Hayes Hinson | 129,880 | 42.4 | |
| Total votes | 306,496 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Rutherford: 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 4th district is located in theFirst Coast region and is made up of theJacksonville metropolitan area includingJacksonville Beach andSt. Augustine. Incumbent RepublicanJohn Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+17.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 248,420 | 65.2 | |
| Democratic | Ges Selmont | 123,351 | 32.4 | |
| Independent | Joceline Berrios | 7,155 | 1.9 | |
| Independent | Jason Bulger | 2,321 | 0.6 | |
| Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 381,249 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Fuller 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida from the state capital,Tallahassee, toJacksonville. Incumbent DemocratAl Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+12.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Alvin Brown | Al Lawson | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida[24] | August 17–19, 2018 | 402 | – | 29% | 48% | 23% |
| St. Pete Polls[25] | August 11–12, 2018 | 445 | ± 4.6% | 27% | 50% | 23% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 53,990 | 60.3 | |
| Democratic | Alvin Brown | 35,584 | 39.7 | |
| Total votes | 89,574 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 180,527 | 66.8 | |
| Republican | Virginia Fuller | 89,799 | 33.2 | |
| Total votes | 270,326 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Waltz: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 6th district is located in theSurf Coast region and includes the cities ofDaytona Beach,Deltona, andPalm Coast. Incumbent RepublicanRon DeSantis, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected to a third term with 59% of the vote in 2016. He did not run for re-election in 2018, rather opting to run forgovernor of Florida.[27] The district had aPVI of R+7.
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
U.S. representatives
Local officials
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Fred Costello | Mike Waltz | John Ward | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[41] | August 10, 2018 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 16% | 40% | 21% | 23% |
| St. Pete Polls[42] | July 18, 2018 | 477 | ± 4.5% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 38% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Waltz | 32,916 | 42.4 | |
| Republican | John Ward | 23,593 | 30.4 | |
| Republican | Fred Costello | 21,074 | 27.2 | |
| Total votes | 77,583 | 100.0 | ||
Florida's 6th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[43]
Labor unions
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Stephen Sevigny | Nancy Soderberg | John Upchurch | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[53] | August 17, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 19% | 50% | 12% | 20% |
| St. Pete Polls[54] | July 18, 2018 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 10% | 30% | 13% | 46% |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Stephen Sevigny | Nancy Soderberg | John Upchurch | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 2, 2018 | The Daytona Beach News-Journal | [55] | P | P | P | |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Soderberg | 32,174 | 55.6 | |
| Democratic | John Upchurch | 13,088 | 22.6 | |
| Democratic | Stephen Sevigny | 12,633 | 21.8 | |
| Total votes | 57,895 | 100.0 | ||
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Local officials
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Waltz (R) | Nancy Soderberg (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GQR Research (D)[61] | October 1–4, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| St. Pete Polls[62] | September 19, 2018 | 730 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| GQR Research (D)[63] | September 4–6, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | – |
A debate was scheduled for September 25, but it was cancelled.[64][65]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Mike Waltz | Nancy Soderberg | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 2, 2018 | WESH | Greg Fox | [66] | P | P |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Waltz | 187,891 | 56.3 | |
| Democratic | Nancy Soderberg | 145,758 | 43.7 | |
| Total votes | 333,649 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Murphy: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 7th district is centered around downtownOrlando and the northern Orlando suburbs such asSanford andWinter Park. Incumbent DemocratStephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of Even.
U.S. executive branch officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Organizations
Individuals
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 49,060 | 86.2 | |
| Democratic | Chardo Richardson | 7,846 | 13.2 | |
| Total votes | 56,906 | 100.0 | ||
U.S. senators
State legislators
Local officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
Local officials
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Vennia Francois | Mike Miller | Scott Sturgill | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[88] | August 20, 2018 | 321 | ± 5.5% | 8% | 42% | 26% | 24% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Miller | 30,629 | 53.9 | |
| Republican | Scott Sturgill | 17,253 | 30.4 | |
| Republican | Vennia Francois | 8,950 | 15.8 | |
| Total votes | 56,832 | 100.0 | ||
U.S. executive branch officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Individuals
U.S. senators
State legislators
Organizations
Local officials
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Stephanie Murphy (D) | Mike Miller (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[92] | August 30, 2018 | 435 | ± 4.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Likely D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 183,113 | 57.7 | |
| Republican | Mike Miller | 134,285 | 42.3 | |
| Total votes | 317,398 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Posey: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 8th district includes theSpace Coast region and the cities ofMelbourne,Palm Bay, andVero Beach. Incumbent RepublicanBill Posey, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 15th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+11.
Labor unions
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 218,112 | 60.5 | |
| Democratic | Sanjay Patel | 142,415 | 39.5 | |
| Total votes | 360,527 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Soto: 60–70% Liebnitzky: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 9th district is located in inlandCentral Florida includingKissimmee,St. Cloud, andWinter Haven. Incumbent DemocratDarren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+5.
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Alan Grayson | Darren Soto | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[96] | August 2–6, 2018 | 512 | ± 5.4% | 38% | 45% | 17% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 36,586 | 66.4 | |
| Democratic | Alan Grayson | 18,528 | 33.6 | |
| Total votes | 55,114 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Darren Soto | Wayne Liebnitzky | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 21, 2018 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Darren Soto (D) | Wayne Liebnitzky (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[98] | October 2–7, 2018 | 535 | ± 6.4% | 48% | 40% | 11% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 172,172 | 58.0 | |
| Republican | Wayne Liebnitzky | 124,565 | 42.0 | |
| Total votes | 296,737 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 10th district is centered aroundOrlando and the surrounding suburbs such asLockhart,Oak Ridge, andZellwood. Incumbent DemocratVal Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+11.
Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | 73,601 | 75.0 | |
| Democratic | Wade Darius | 24,534 | 25.0 | |
| Total votes | 98,135 | 100.0 | ||
No Republicans filed.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Incumbent Val Demings ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Demings was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Webster: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 11th district is located inCentral Florida and includes the southern suburbs ofOcala andSpring Hill, this district also includes the retirement community known asThe Villages. Incumbent RepublicanDaniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 8th district from 2011 to 2013 and the 10th district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+15.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 239,395 | 65.2 | |
| Democratic | Dana Cottrell | 128,053 | 34.8 | |
| Independent | Luis Saldana (write-in) | 58 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 367,506 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Bilirakis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 12th district is located in theTampa Bay Area and includesDade City,New Port Richey, andPalm Harbor. Incumbent RepublicanGus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 2007 to 2013, was re-elected to a sixth term with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+8.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Hunter | 31,761 | 65.3 | |
| Democratic | Stephen Perenich | 9,303 | 19.1 | |
| Democratic | Robert Tager | 7,597 | 15.6 | |
| Total votes | 48,661 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gus Bilirakis (R) | Christopher Hunter (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[99] | July 28, 2018 | 615 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 194,564 | 58.1 | |
| Democratic | Chris Hunter | 132,844 | 39.7 | |
| Independent | Angelika Purkis | 7,510 | 2.2 | |
| Total votes | 334,918 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) Precinct results Crist: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Buck: 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 13th district is located in theTampa Bay Area and includesClearwater,Largo andSaint Petersburg. Incumbent DemocratCharlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+2.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | George Buck | 30,560 | 56.0 | |
| Republican | Brad Sostack | 24,013 | 44.0 | |
| Total votes | 54,573 | 100.0 | ||
Labor unions
Organizations
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Likely D | November 2, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Crist (incumbent) | 182,717 | 57.6 | |
| Republican | George Buck | 134,254 | 42.4 | |
| Total votes | 316,971 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 14th district is centred around the city ofTampa and the immediate surrounding suburbs such asLutz andTemple Terrace. Incumbent DemocratKathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a sixth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+7.
Castor was the only candidate in 2018, and so was unopposed in the Democratic primary and general election.
No Republicans filed.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Incumbent Kathy Castor ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Castor was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Spano: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 15th district is located in inlandCentral Florida and is anchored byLakeland. The district also includes the eastern suburbs of Tampa such asBrandon andRiverview. Incumbent RepublicanDennis Ross, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2011 to 2013, was retiring.[100]
State legislators
Newspapers
U.S. representatives
Sheriffs
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Neil Combee | Sean Harper | Danny Kushmer | Ed Shoemaker | Ross Spano | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[109] | August 24, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | 32% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 30% | – | 20% |
| St. Pete Polls[110] | August 11–12, 2018 | 360 | ± 5.2% | 36% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 30% | – | 22% |
| Strategic Government Consulting[111] | August 7–8, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.3% | 31% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 17% | – | 40% |
| SurveyUSA[112] | July 25–30, 2018 | 524 | ± 6.0% | 20% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 26% | – | 34% |
| St. Pete Polls[113] | July 8, 2018 | 532 | ± 4.2% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 32% | 2%[114] | 37% |
| St. Pete Polls[115] | May 25–27, 2018 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 23% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 29% | 2%[114] | 34% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ross Spano | 26,868 | 44.1 | |
| Republican | Neil Combee | 20,577 | 33.8 | |
| Republican | Sean Harper | 6,013 | 9.9 | |
| Republican | Danny Kushmer | 4,061 | 6.7 | |
| Republican | Ed Shoemaker | 3,377 | 5.5 | |
| Total votes | 60,896 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kristen Carlson | Andrew Learned | Ray Peña | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[112] | July 25–30, 2018 | 535 | ± 6.1% | 31% | 12% | 12% | – | 46% |
| GQR Research (D-Carlson)[116] | June 14–17, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 25% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 45% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kristen Carlson | 24,470 | 53.4 | |
| Democratic | Andrew P. Learned | 14,488 | 31.6 | |
| Democratic | Raymond "Ray" Peña | 6,895 | 15.0 | |
| Total votes | 45,853 | 100.0 | ||
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Sheriffs
Labor unions
Organizations
| Campaign finance reports as of Oct 17, 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Kristen Carlson (D) | $1,306,227 | $1,065,973 | $240,254 |
| Ross Spano (R) | $587,719 | $519,283 | $68,435 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[119] | |||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ross Spano (R) | Kristen Carlson (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls[120] | November 5, 2018 | 1,194 | ± 2.8% | 46% | 44% | – | 9% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[121] | October 16–19, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.7% | 43% | 43% | – | 14% |
| Remington (R)[122] | October 17–18, 2018 | 1,369 | ± 2.64% | 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
| GQR Research (D-Carlson)[123] | October 16–18, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
| SurveyUSA[124] | October 9–14, 2018 | 591 | ± 4.6% | 45% | 45% | 3%[a] | 7% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[125] | October 3–4, 2018 | 418 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
| Bold Blue Campaigns (D)[126] | September 22–27, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| GQR Research (D-Carlson)[127] | September 4–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | – | – |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Tilt R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ross Spano | 151,380 | 53.0 | |
| Democratic | Kristen Carlson | 134,132 | 47.0 | |
| Independent | Dave Johnson (write-in) | 15 | 0.0 | |
| Independent | Jeffrey G. Rabinowitz (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
| Independent | Alek Bynzar (write-in) | 2 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 285,532 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Buchanan: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 16th district is located in theSuncoast region and includesBradenton,Sarasota, and some Tampa suburbs such asFishHawk. Incumbent RepublicanVern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 13th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a sixth term with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+7.
Florida's 16th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[43]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Shapiro | 34,787 | 54.7 | |
| Democratic | Jan Schneider | 28,811 | 45.3 | |
| Total votes | 63,598 | 100.0 | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Vern Buchanan | David Shapiro | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 23, 2018 | WWSB-TV | Alan Cohn | [128] | P | P |
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Vern Buchanan (R) | David Shapiro (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[129] | October 4–7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 42% | 5% |
| University of North Florida[130] | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 499 | – | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| St. Pete Polls[131] | October 1, 2018 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
| ALG Research (D-Shapiro)[132] | August 22–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 44% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[25] | July 28, 2018 | 681 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 35% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[133] | April 16–17, 2018 | 655 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 197,483 | 54.6 | |
| Democratic | David Shapiro | 164,463 | 45.4 | |
| Total votes | 361,946 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Steube: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 17th district comprises most of theFlorida Heartland, including the cities ofSebring andOkeechobee, as well as parts of theSuncoast, such asNorth Port andPort Charlotte. Incumbent RepublicanTom Rooney, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 16th district from 2009 to 2013, retired. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+13.
Rooney announced on February 19, 2018, that he will retire from Congress and not seek re-election in 2018.[134][135]
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Akins | Julio Gonzalez | Greg Steube | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R-CFG)[137] | August 8–9, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 5% | 16% | 39% | 40% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Steube | 48,963 | 62.4 | |
| Republican | Bill Akins | 15,133 | 19.3 | |
| Republican | Julio Gonzalez | 14,402 | 18.3 | |
| Total votes | 78,498 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | April Freeman | 33,376 | 77.0 | |
| Democratic | Bill Pollard | 9,976 | 23.0 | |
| Total votes | 43,352 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
The Democratic nominee April Freeman died on September 24, 2018, six weeks before the election. Allen Ellison was chosen to be the Democratic nominee.[140]
Organizations
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Steube | 193,326 | 62.3 | |
| Democratic | Allen Ellison | 117,194 | 37.7 | |
| Total votes | 310,520 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Mast: 50–60% 60–70% Baer: 50-60% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 18th district is located in theTreasure Coast region and includesStuart,Port St. Lucie, and the northern Palm Beach suburbs such asJupiter andPalm Beach Gardens. Incumbent RepublicanBrian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+5.
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Dave Cummings | Mark Freeman | Brian Mast | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 3, 2018 | WPTV-TV | Michael Williams | YouTube (Part 1)[142] YouTube (Part 2) | P | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 55,427 | 77.7 | |
| Republican | Mark Freeman | 8,081 | 11.3 | |
| Republican | Dave Cummings | 7,871 | 11.0 | |
| Total votes | 71,379 | 100.0 | ||
Florida's 18th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[143]
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Lauren Baer | Pam Keith | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 3, 2018 | WPTV-TV | Michael Williams | YouTube (Part 1)[160] YouTube (Part 2) | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lauren Baer | 34,922 | 60.3 | |
| Democratic | Pam Keith | 23,007 | 39.7 | |
| Total votes | 57,929 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
Federal executive branch officials
Labor unions
Organizations
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Brian Mast | Lauren Baer | |||||
| 1 | October 15, 2018 | WPTV-TV | Michael Williams | [164] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Mast (R) | Lauren Baer (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[165] | October 27–29, 2018 | 475 | – | 53% | 44% | – |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[166] | September 26–30, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[167] | September 17–19, 2018 | 533 | – | 46% | 43% | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Mast (R) | Democratic challenger (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMGE Insights (R)[168] | July 9–12, 2018 | 400 | – | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Lean R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Lean R | November 2, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 185,905 | 54.3 | |
| Democratic | Lauren Baer | 156,454 | 45.7 | |
| Total votes | 342,359 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Rooney: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 19th district is located inSouthwestern Florida and includesBonita Springs,Cape Coral, andNaples. Incumbent RepublicanFrancis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 66% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+13.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Holden | 24,390 | 67.9 | |
| Democratic | Todd James Truax | 11,513 | 32.1 | |
| Total votes | 35,903 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Francis Rooney (R) | David Holden (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D-Holden)[170] | September 10–12, 2018 | 468 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Francis Rooney (incumbent) | 211,465 | 62.3 | |
| Democratic | David Holden | 128,106 | 37.7 | |
| Independent | Pete Pollard (write-in) | 36 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 339,607 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 20th district stretches from inlandSouth Florida with many protected areas of theEverglades andBelle Glade to theMiami metro area and includes parts ofWest Palm Beach &Fort Lauderdale, andMiramar. Incumbent DemocratAlcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 23rd district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a thirteenth term with 80% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+31.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 50,315 | 73.6 | |
| Democratic | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick | 18,031 | 26.4 | |
| Total votes | 68,346 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 202,659 | 99.9 | |
| Independent | Jay Bonner (write-in) | 165 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 202,824 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 21st district is located in theMiami metro area and includes the West Palm Beach suburbs, such asGreenacres andWellington, as well asBoynton Beach andDelray Beach. Incumbent DemocratLois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 22nd district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a third term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+9.
Incumbent Lois Frankel ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Frankel was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Deutch: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 22nd district is located in theMiami metro area and includesBoca Raton andParkland, the site of theStoneman Douglas High School shooting. Also, this district includes significant portions ofFort Lauderdale andPompano Beach. Incumbent DemocratTed Deutch, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 19th district from 2010 to 2013 and the 21st district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+6.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 52,628 | 86.5 | |
| Democratic | Jeff Fandl | 8,207 | 13.5 | |
| Total votes | 60,835 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nicolas Kimaz | 13,939 | 41.0 | |
| Republican | Javier Manjarres | 11,552 | 33.9 | |
| Republican | Eddison Walters | 8,545 | 25.1 | |
| Total votes | 34,036 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 184,634 | 62.0 | |
| Republican | Nicolas Kimaz | 113,049 | 38.0 | |
| Total votes | 297,683 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Schultz: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||
The 23rd district is located in theMiami metro area, includingPlantation,Sunrise, andWeston. Incumbent DemocratDebbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a seventh term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+11.
Newspapers
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joe Kaufman | 11,304 | 44.7 | |
| Republican | Carlos Reyes | 8,508 | 33.7 | |
| Republican | Carla Spalding | 5,453 | 21.6 | |
| Total votes | 25,265 | 100.0 | ||
Tim Canova, who lost in the 2016 primary to Wasserman Schultz by a 57% to 43% margin, ran as an independent in the 2018 general election.[172][173] Don Endriss also ran as an independent candidate.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Labor unions
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 161,611 | 58.5 | |
| Republican | Joe Kaufman | 99,446 | 36.0 | |
| Independent | Tim Canova | 13,697 | 5.0 | |
| Independent | Don Endriss | 1,612 | 0.6 | |
| Total votes | 276,366 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 24th district includes parts ofMiami and its northern suburbs such asNorth Miami Beach andMiami Gardens. DemocratFrederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 17th district from 2011 to 2013, was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+34.
Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 65,894 | 83.7 | |
| Democratic | Ricardo de la Fuente | 12,833 | 16.3 | |
| Total votes | 78,727 | 100.0 | ||
Both candidates were removed from the ballot which was cited for the recount in theFlorida gubernatorial andUnited States Senate elections.[175][176]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Safe D | November 4, 2018 |
Incumbent Frederica Wilson won unopposed in the general election
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | Unopposed | N/a | |
| Total votes | N/a | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
.svg) County results Diaz-Balart: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||
The 25th district includes the western Miami suburbs, such asHialeah andMiami Lakes, and goes across the northern border of the Everglades to eastern Naples suburbs ofGolden Gate andImmokalee. The district also extends upward into theFlorida Heartland includingClewiston andLaBelle. Incumbent RepublicanMario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2011 to 2013 as well as a different version of the 25th from 2003 to 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to an eighth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of R+4.
Florida's 25th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[143]
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mario Díaz-Balart (R) | Mary Barzee-Flores (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[185] | September 17–19, 2018 | 541 | – | 41% | 36% | 22% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[186] | May 21–23, 2018 | 670 | – | 46% | 39% | 15% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Lean R | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Likely R | November 2, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | 128,672 | 60.4 | |
| Democratic | Mary Barzee Flores | 84,173 | 39.6 | |
| Total votes | 212,845 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.svg) Mucarsel-Powell: 50–60% Curbelo: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 26th district is centered on the Miami suburb ofHomestead, includes most of theEverglades National Park, and extends downward into theFlorida Keys, includingKey West andMarathon. Incumbent RepublicanCarlos Curbelo, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+6.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Carlos Curbelo (incumbent) | 29,506 | 84.0 | |
| Republican | Souraya Faas | 5,629 | 16.0 | |
| Total votes | 35,135 | 100.0 | ||
Florida's 26th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[143]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 20,997 | 63.5 | |
| Democratic | Demetries Grimes | 12,095 | 36.5 | |
| Total votes | 33,092 | 100.0 | ||
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Carlos Curbelo | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 21, 2018 | WPLG-TV | [190] | P | P | |
Organizations
Labor unions
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Carlos Curbelo (R) | Debbie Mucarsel- Powell (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[191] | October 19–24, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Mason-Dixon[192] | October 3–9, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| GBA Strategies (D)[193] | September 27 – October 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 50% | – |
| GQR Research (D-Mucarsel-Powell)[194] | September 23–27, 2018 | 511 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 49% | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[195] | September 17–19, 2018 | 511 | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[196] | September 13–17, 2018 | 509 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| GBA Strategies (D)[197] | July 16–22, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 41% | – |
| DCCC (D)[198] | March 17–22, 2018 | 418 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 40% | – |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Carlos Curbelo (R) | Democratic opponent (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[199] | November 8–9, 2017 | 522 | ± 4.3% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
Mucarsel-Powell defeated Curbelo, becoming the firstEcuadorian American and firstSouth American-born immigrant to serve as a member of theU.S. Congress.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 119,797 | 50.9 | |
| Republican | Carlos Curbelo (incumbent) | 115,678 | 49.1 | |
| Total votes | 235,475 | 100.0 | ||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | ||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.svg) Donna Shalala: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
The 27th district is located in theMiami metro area, includingCoral Gables,Kendall,Miami Beach, and portions ofMiami. Incumbent RepublicanIleana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 18th district from 1989 to 2013, retired from office in 2018.[200] She was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had aPVI of D+5.
Newspapers
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bruno Barreiro | Maria Elvira Salazar | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)[214] | August 14–16, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 16% | 40% | 17%[215] | 27% |
| Magellan Strategies (R-Barreiro)[216] | June 11–12, 2018 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 10% | 24% | 0%[217] | 67% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 15,812 | 40.5 | |
| Republican | Bruno Barreiro | 10,026 | 25.7 | |
| Republican | Maria Peiro | 3,120 | 8.0 | |
| Republican | Stephen Marks | 2,733 | 7.0 | |
| Republican | Angie Chirino | 2,677 | 6.9 | |
| Republican | Bettina Rodriguez-Aguilera | 1,684 | 4.3 | |
| Republican | Mike Ohevzion | 1,467 | 3.8 | |
| Republican | Elizabeth Adadi | 775 | 2.0 | |
| Republican | Gina Sosa | 760 | 1.9 | |
| Total votes | 39,054 | 100.0 | ||
Florida's 27th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[143]
Organizations
Individuals
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Matt Haggman | Michael Hepburn | David Richardson | Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez | Donna Shalala | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)[234] | August 10–16, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 10% | 2% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 25% |
| Frederick Polls (D-Richardson)[235] | August 6–7, 2018 | 300 | ± 5.6% | 9% | 4% | 20% | 7% | 32% | 28% |
| RABA Research (D-Haggman)[236] | August 2–5, 2018 | 433 | ± 4.7% | 16% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 26% | 27% |
| Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)[237] | June 2–8, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 5% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 43% | 26% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donna Shalala | 14,153 | 31.9 | |
| Democratic | David Richardson | 12,191 | 27.5 | |
| Democratic | Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez | 7,783 | 17.5 | |
| Democratic | Matt Haggman | 7,510 | 16.9 | |
| Democratic | Michael Hepburn | 2,723 | 6.1 | |
| Total votes | 44,360 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Maria Elvira Salazar (R) | Donna Shalala (D) | Mayra Joli (I) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALG Research (D)[239] | October 25–28, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | – | – |
| NYT Upshot/Siena College[240] | October 15–19, 2018 | 542 | ± 5.0% | 37% | 44% | 4% | 15% |
| ALG Research (D-Shalala)[241] | October 11–14, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 44% | – | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)[242] | October 11–14, 2018 | 400 | – | 50% | 41% | – | – |
| Mason-Dixon[243] | October 1–6, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | 1% | 13% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)[244] | September 10–13, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
| Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)[245] | August 29 – September 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 8% | 4% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[246] | February 12–14, 2018 | 620 | ± 3.9% | 39% | 54% | – | 7% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[11] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Lean D(flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| 538[13] | Likely D(flip) | November 7, 2018 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
| Politico[15] | Tossup | November 2, 2018 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Donna Shalala | 130,743 | 51.8 | |
| Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 115,588 | 45.8 | |
| Independent | Mayra Joli | 6,255 | 2.5 | |
| Total votes | 252,586 | 100.0 | ||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | ||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.png)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
_(cropped).jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)Barzee Flores' decision to run in Florida's 25th Congressional District was made at the urging of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the abortion rights group EMILY's List and Florida Democrats
Official campaign websites
|
