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2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district
← 2016
November 6, 2018
2020 →
 
NomineePeter WelchAnya Tynio
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote188,54770,705
Percentage69.20%25.95%
County results
Municipality results
Welch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tynio:     40–50%     50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Peter Welch
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter Welch
Democratic

Elections in Vermont
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The2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 6, 2018, to elect theU.S. representative from thestate ofVermont fromVermont's at-large congressional district. The election coincided withother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections. The primary elections were held on August 14.Peter Welch, a Democrat won reelection to a seventh term, defeating Republican Anya Tynio.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Debates & forums

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Welch—80–90%
  Welch—70–80%
Democratic primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPeter Welch (incumbent)55,93983.94
DemocraticDaniel Freilich7,88111.83
DemocraticBenjamin Mitchell (withdrawn)2,6764.02
DemocraticWrite-ins1420.21
Total votes66,638100.0
N/ASpoiled votes52
N/ABlank votes2,927

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

[edit]

Debates & forums

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Paige—60–70%
  Paige—50–60%
  Paige—40–50%
  Tynio—40–50%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanH. Brooke Paige14,72159.89
RepublicanAnya Tynio8,48534.52
RepublicanPeter Welch (write-in)9233.76
RepublicanWrite-ins (other)4501.83
Total votes24,579100.0
N/ASpoiled votes97
N/ABlank votes11,499

Post-primary

[edit]

H. Brooke Paige, who also won the Republican nominations forU.S. Senate, stateattorney general, statesecretary of state, statetreasurer and stateauditor, withdrew from all but the secretary of state race on August 24 in order to allow the Vermont Republican State Committee to name replacement candidates.[4] Anya Tynio, who came in second place in the primary, was nominated to be the Republican nominee.[5]

Progressive primary

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Candidates

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Write-in

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  • Daniel Freilich, candidate forU.S. Senate in 2010, Navy medical doctor, physician at the VA Medical Center (also running in Democratic primary)

Debates & forums

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Progressive primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
ProgressivePeter Welch (write-in)23762.04
ProgressiveDaniel Freilich (write-in)7319.11
ProgressiveWrite-ins (other)7218.85
Total votes643100.0
N/ASpoiled votes1
N/ABlank votes260

Liberty Union/Socialist nomination

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TheLiberty Union Party serves as the Vermont affiliate of theSocialist Party for federal-level elections.

Candidates

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Declared

[edit]
  • Laura S. Potter[7]

Withdrawn

[edit]

United States Marijuana nomination

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Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

America First nomination

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Candidates

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Declared

[edit]
  • Paul Young[10] (failed to appear on ballot)

General election

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Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[11]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections[12]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP[14]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos[15]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538[16]Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN[17]Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico[18]Safe DNovember 2, 2018

Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Peter
Welch (D)		Anya
Tynio (R)		OtherUndecided
Gravis Marketing[19]October 30 – November 1, 2018885± 3.3%66%28%–6%
Braun Research[20]October 5–14, 2018497± 4.4%55%18%7%[21]20%

Results

[edit]
2018 Vermont's at-large congressional district election[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticPeter Welch (incumbent)188,54769.20%−13.31%
RepublicanAnya Tynio70,70525.95%N/A
MarijuanaCris Ericson9,1103.34%N/A
Liberty UnionLaura Potter3,9241.44%−7.74%
Write-in1650.07%-0.39%
Total votes272,451100.0%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyPeter Welch
Democratic		Anya Tynio
Republican		Various candidates
Other parties
#%#%#%
Addison12,26971.3%4,18624.3%7464.3%
Bennington9,72366.5%3,93926.9%9576.6%
Caledonia7,08060.7%4,05434.7%5375.7%
Chittenden57,23875.8%15,26820.2%2,9974.0%
Essex1,10650.5%95843.8%1245.6%
Franklin11,04760.8%6,25134.4%8734.9%
Grand Isle2,39364.9%1,14131.0%1514.1%
Lamoille8,07971.2%2,77124.4%4904.3%
Orange8,22465.7%3,61428.9%6715.3%
Orleans5,56956.3%3,85038.9%4764.8%
Rutland14,23758.5%8,84136.3%1,2665.2%
Washington19,76772.6%6,18222.7%1,2814.7%
Windham14,20774.8%3,62319.1%1,1736.2%
Windsor17,60870.2%6,02724.0%1,4555.8%
Totals188,54769.2%70,70526.0%13,1994.8%

References

[edit]
  1. ^"During House debate, Mitchell drops out and backs fellow challenger". VTDigger. August 9, 2018. RetrievedAugust 9, 2018.
  2. ^"Vermont Election Night Results". Secretary of State of Vermont. Archived fromthe original on August 11, 2017. RetrievedAugust 15, 2018.
  3. ^"GOP Candidate Anya Tynio running for U.S. House". July 27, 2018.
  4. ^Meyn, Colin (August 24, 2018)."Republicans on the clock after Paige withdraws from five statewide races".VTDigger.
  5. ^Young, Taylor (August 30, 2018)."Vt. GOP picks candidates for 5 open slots".WCAX-TV. Gray Digital Media. RetrievedAugust 30, 2018.
  6. ^"Vermont Election Night Results". Archived fromthe original on August 11, 2017. RetrievedAugust 15, 2018.
  7. ^"Archived copy". Archived fromthe original on August 14, 2018. RetrievedAugust 14, 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  8. ^"The Voter's Self Defense System".
  9. ^"Cris Ericson U.S. Marijuana Party – Vermont". Archived fromthe original on March 9, 2018. RetrievedJanuary 8, 2018.
  10. ^"Interview with The America First Party".
  11. ^"2018 House Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 30, 2018.
  12. ^"2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  13. ^"2018 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  14. ^"Battle for the House 2018". RCP. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  15. ^"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings".Daily Kos. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
  16. ^Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018)."2018 House Forecast".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on August 16, 2018. RetrievedNovember 6, 2018.
  17. ^"CNN's 2018 Race Ratings".cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived fromthe original on October 31, 2018. RetrievedJuly 30, 2023.
  18. ^"Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election".POLITICO. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2018.
  19. ^Gravis Marketing
  20. ^Braun Research
  21. ^Cris Ericson (I) and Laura Potter (LU) with 3%; none/write in/other with 1%
  22. ^Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedApril 27, 2019.

External links

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