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 County results Armstrong: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Schneider: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in North Dakota | ||||||||
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The2018 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 6, 2018, to elect theU.S. representative forNorth Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with theU.S. Senate election, as well asother statewide, legislative, and local elections.
Though incumbent Republican U.S. RepresentativeKevin Cramer announced on January 11, 2018 that he would run for re-election to a fourth term, he later expressed an intention to run for theUnited States Senate instead.[1][2][3] On February 16, 2018, Cramer announced his Senate campaign.
State SenatorTom Campbell stated that he intended to run for the U.S. Senate if Cramer ran for re-election, and to run for the U.S. House if Cramer did not run for re-election.[4] Campbell declared for the seat following Cramer's run forSenate. However, on April 11, Campbell dropped out of the race to endorse Armstrong.[5]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tiffany Abentroth | Kelly Armstrong | Tom Campbell | Julie Fedorchak | DuWayne Hendrickson | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[11] | February 21–24, 2018 | 385 | ± 5.0% | 1% | 13% | 28% | 9% | 1% | 47% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kelly Armstrong | 37,054 | 56.23 | |
| Republican | Tom Campbell (withdrawn) | 17,692 | 26.85 | |
| Republican | Tiffany Abentroth | 5,877 | 8.92 | |
| Republican | Paul Schaffner | 5,203 | 7.90 | |
| Republican | Write-Ins | 75 | 0.11 | |
| Total votes | 65,901 | 100.00 | ||
TheDemocratic-NPL Party held their state convention on March 16 and 17, during which delegates voted to endorseMac Schneider. Although general election ballot access was actually controlled by a primary election to be held June 12, both other candidates decided to withdraw from the race, rather than challenge Schneider in the primary.[12]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic–NPL | Mac Schneider | 33,545 | 99.78 | |
| Democratic–NPL | Write-Ins | 74 | 0.22 | |
| Total votes | 33,619 | 100.00 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[17] | Solid R | June 1, 2018 |
| The Rothenberg Political Report[18] | Solid R | June 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | June 6, 2018 |
| Host network/sponsors | Date | Link(s) | Participants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Schneider (D) | Kelly Armstrong (R) | ||||
| KFYR-TV | August 16, 2018 | [20] | Invited | Invited | |
| Prairie Public | September 11, 2018 | [21] | Invited | Invited | |
| KFGO | September 19, 2018 | [22] | Invited | Invited | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kelly Armstrong (R) | Mac Schneider (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOX News[23] | October 27–30, 2018 | 789 LV | ± 3.0% | 55% | 33% | 2% | 10% |
| 851 RV | ± 3.0% | 52% | 32% | 3% | 12% | ||
| Strategic Research Associates[24] | October 12–19, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 56% | 35% | – | 9% |
| FOX News[25] | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 704 LV | ± 3.5% | 51% | 34% | 2% | 12% |
| 801 V | ± 3.5% | 49% | 33% | 2% | 14% | ||
| Strategic Research Associates[26] | September 17–27, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 55% | 31% | – | 14% |
| FOX News[27] | September 8–11, 2018 | 701 LV | ± 3.5% | 48% | 34% | 2% | 15% |
| 804 V | ± 3.5% | 47% | 32% | 2% | 17% | ||
| Axis Research (R-Armstrong)[28] | August 26–28, 2018 | 506 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 32% | – | 15% |
| Mason-Dixon[29] | June 13–15, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 35% | – | 19% |
| Axis Research (R-Armstrong)[30] | May 13–14, 2018 | 509 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 26% | – | 26% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kelly Armstrong | 193,568 | 60.20% | −8.93% | |
| Democratic–NPL | Mac Schneider | 114,377 | 35.57% | +11.82% | |
| Independent | Charles Tuttle | 13,066 | 4.06% | N/A | |
| n/a | Write-ins | 521 | 0.16% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 321,532 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republicanhold | |||||
Official campaign websites
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