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2018 San Francisco mayoral special election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 San Francisco mayoral special election

← 2015June 5, 2018 (2018-06-05)2019 →
Turnout52.61 (Increase 7.16pp)
 
CandidateLondon BreedMark Leno
First round92,121
36.70%
61,416
24.47%
Maximum round115,977
50.55%
113,431
49.45%

 
CandidateJane KimAngela Alioto
First round60,738
24.20%
17,552
6.91%
Maximum roundEliminatedEliminated

First choice results by supervisorial district
Breed:     30–40%     40–50%
Leno:     30–40%
Kim:     30–40%

Mayor before election

Mark Farrell

Elected mayor

London Breed

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A special election was held formayor of the City and County of San Francisco on June 5, 2018, to fill the remainder of the term ofEd Lee, who had died in office on December 12, 2017. Upon Lee's death,London Breed,president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors, became acting mayor of San Francisco, but a vote of six supervisors replaced Breed with SupervisorMark Farrell. The mayoral election was held concurrently with the statewide direct primary election. In San Francisco, the election for the eighth district member of the board of supervisors was also on the ballot.

Eight candidates qualified to appear on the ballot, and a ninth qualified as a write-in. The four major candidates were former SupervisorAngela Alioto, former acting mayorLondon Breed, supervisorJane Kim and former state senatorMark Leno.[1] All four main candidates identified asDemocrats, though the position is officially nonpartisan per theConstitution of California.[2][3] The election was won by Breed, with Leno conceding the election on June 13.[4] All local elections in California arenonpartisan.

Background

[edit]

Ed Lee, who was appointedmayor of San Francisco in 2011 followingGavin Newsom's election aslieutenant governor of California, elected to a full term in 2011, and reelected in 2015, died ofcardiac arrest on December 12, 2017.[5]London Breed, the president of theSan Francisco Board of Supervisors, became the city's acting mayor.[6][7]

On January 23, 2018, the board of supervisors selectedMark Farrell to serve as interim mayor until the special election could be held. CitingRon Conway's role as a benefactor to Breed, SupervisorsAaron Peskin andJane Kim, considered theprogressive members of the board, sought to deny Breed the benefits ofincumbency going into the election.[8][9]

As San Francisco elections useranked choice voting, Kim andMark Leno chose to align with each other, each endorsing the other as their preferred second choice.[10]

Candidates

[edit]

The filing deadline was 5 p.m. on January 9, 2018.[11]

Qualified

[edit]

The following eight candidates qualified for the ballot by filing all nomination documents and paying the filing fee.[12] The deadline for a candidate to drop out of the race and remove himself or herself from the ballot was January 30, 2018.[13]

Declined

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Angela Alioto

Organizations

Richie Greenberg

Organizations

Jane Kim

Organizations

Politicians

Mark Leno

Organizations

Politicians

London Breed

Newspapers

Organizations

  • San Francisco Firefighter's Union[44]
  • YIMBY Action[45]

Politicians

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
RCV
Choice
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Angela
Alioto
London
Breed
Richie
Greenberg
Jane
Kim
Mark
Leno
OtherUndecided
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates[49]April 20–23, 2018First600± 3.0%8%28%6%17%21%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[50]March 28 – April 3, 2018First610± 4.0%6%27%17%29%9%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates[51]February 22–28, 2018First462± 4.6%8%29%26%19%
KPIX-TV/Survey USA[52]January 13–14, 2018First717± 4.3%9%19%13%22%
SurveyUSA[53] (withRCV)January 10–14, 2018First462± 4.6%9%19%4%14%22%6%[54]22%
Second385± 5.1%16%19%6%10%25%7%[55]16%
Third306± 5.7%13%12%9%16%15%8%[56]26%
Public Policy Polling[57]December 18–19, 2017First627± 4.0%20%5%26%26%[58]23%[59]

Results

[edit]

First-place votes counted on election night had Breed leading with 35.6 percent, Leno in second with 25.9 percent, and Kim with 22.8 percent. As candidates began to be eliminated, Leno took the lead the next day.[60] He maintained a small lead during the week.[61] On June 9, Breed took the lead over Leno.[62][63] On June 13, with only 8,000 ballots left to count,[64] Leno conceded defeat and congratulated Breed on her victory.[65]

Results summary

[edit]

The following table shows a summary of the instant runoff for the election. The table shows the round in which the candidate was defeated or elected the winner, the votes for the candidate in that round, and what share those votes were of all votes counting for any candidate in that round. There is also a bar graph showing those votes for each candidate and categorized as either first-round votes or votes that were transferred from another candidate.

San Francisco mayoral special election, 2018[66]
CandidateMaximum
round
Maximum
votes
Share in
maximum
round
Maximum votes
First round votesTransfer votes
London Breed9115,97750.55%
Mark Leno9113,43149.45%
Jane Kim866,04327.81%
Angela Alioto721,9818.94%
Ellen Lee Zhou610,6374.28%
Richie Greenberg57,2422.89%
Amy Farah Weiss41,7350.69%
Michelle Bravo39000.36%
Antoine R. Rogers (Write-in)230.00%
Write-ins100.00%
San Francisco mayoral special election, 2018
First Round Ballot Summary
CountShare of
Contest
Ballots
Continuing Votes251,03298.83%
Over Votes6340.25%
Under Votes2,3500.93%
Contest Ballots254,016100.00%
Registered Voters481,991
Contest Turnout52.70%

Vote counts by round

[edit]

The following table shows how votes were counted[66] in a series of rounds of instant runoffs. Each voter could mark which candidates were the voter's first, second, and third choice. Each voter had one vote, but could mark three choices for how that vote can be counted. In each round, the vote is counted for the most preferred candidate who has not yet been eliminated. Then one or more candidates with the fewest votes are eliminated. Votes that counted for an eliminated candidate are transferred to the voter's next most preferred candidate who has not yet been eliminated.

CandidateRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7Round 8Round 9
London Breed92,12192,12192,12492,24392,44293,60596,392102,767115,977
Mark Leno61,41661,41661,41661,53361,88162,86164,12868,707113,431
Jane Kim60,73860,73860,73860,82961,42261,84363,26166,043
Angela Alioto17,55217,55217,55217,73717,92919,62621,981
Ellen Lee Zhou9,5769,5769,5769,6879,82910,637
Richie Greenberg7,0517,0517,0517,1287,242
Amy Farah Weiss1,6751,6751,6751,735
Michelle Bravo900900900
Antoine R. Rogers (Write-in)33
Write-in0
Continuing votes251,032251,032251,032250,892250,745248,572245,762237,517224,009
Exhausted ballots0001362802,4455,23713,45621,510
Over votes634634634638641649667693748
Under votes2,3502,3502,3502,3502,3502,3502,3502,3502,350
Total254,016254,016254,016254,016254,016254,016254,016254,016254,016

Continuing votes are votes that counted for a candidate in that round. Exhausted ballots represent votes that could not be transferred because a less preferred candidate was not marked on the ballot. Voters were allowed to mark only three choices because of voting system limitations. Over votes are votes that could not be counted for a candidate because more than one candidate was marked for a choice that was ready to be counted. Under votes are ballots were left blank or that only marked a choice for a write-in candidate who had not qualified as a write-in candidate.

References

[edit]
  1. ^8 qualify for San Francisco mayor's race in June, Associated Press (January 9, 2018)
  2. ^Fuller, Thomas (May 30, 2018)."San Francisco's Homeless Crisis Tests Mayoral Candidates' Liberal Ideals".New York Times. RetrievedJune 12, 2018.
  3. ^"No Party Preference Information | California Secretary of State".California Secretary of State. RetrievedJune 12, 2018.
  4. ^Fracassa, Dominic (June 13, 2018)."Mark Leno concedes SF mayor's race to London Breed".San Francisco Chronicle. RetrievedJune 13, 2018.
  5. ^Swan, Rachel; Sernoffsky, Evan (December 12, 2017)."San Francisco Mayor Ed Lee dead at 65".San Francisco Chronicle.Archived from the original on December 12, 2017. RetrievedDecember 12, 2017.
  6. ^Bulwa, Demian."San Francisco Mayor Ed Lee dead at 65".SFGate. RetrievedDecember 12, 2017.
  7. ^"Rules dictate how SF's next mayor may be chosen and how long they may serve".San Francisco Chronicle. December 12, 2017. RetrievedDecember 12, 2017.
  8. ^Shafer, Scott (January 23, 2018)."Political Uproar as Mark Farrell Replaces London Breed as S.F. Mayor". KQED.
  9. ^Fagone, Jason (January 28, 2018)."London Breed's sudden, short term as SF's acting mayor".San Francisco Chronicle.
  10. ^Melendez, Lyanne (May 10, 2018)."San Francisco mayoral candidates form alliance in odd turn". abc7news.com. RetrievedJune 13, 2018.
  11. ^abPhil Matier and Andy Ross,Curtain rises on SF's next drama, and the star is London Breed,San Francisco Chronicle (December 17, 2017).
  12. ^abcdefghPotential Candidates List - June 5, 2018 Election, City and County of San Francisco Department of Elections.
  13. ^abJanie Har,San Francisco mayor's race draws big names, crowded field, Associated Press (January 9, 2018).
  14. ^Joe Fitzgerald Rodriguez,Political veteran Angela Alioto pulls papers to run for SF mayor,San Francisco Examiner (December 18, 2017).
  15. ^[1],KTVUFOX2 (April 23, 2018).
  16. ^Julie Littman,[2],Bisnow(May 15, 2018).
  17. ^Dominic Fracassa and Rachel Swan,London Breed says she's in the race for SF mayor,San Francisco Chronicle (January 5, 2018).
  18. ^abcdDominic Fracassa,Supervisors Breed and Kim in race for SF mayor for real now; Herrera out (January 9, 2018).
  19. ^Ida Mojadad,Jane Kim Announces Run for Mayor,SF Weekly (December 20, 2017).
  20. ^abRachel Swan,Mark Leno first major candidate to enter 2018 mayor's race,San Francisco Chronicle (December 15, 2017).
  21. ^abRachel Swan,David Chiu and Carmen Chu both out of race for SF mayor,San Francisco Chronicle.
  22. ^Joshua Sabatini,Assessor-Recorder Carmen Chu decides not to run for SF mayor,San Francisco Examiner (January 8, 2018).
  23. ^Joshua Sabatini,Supervisor Mark Farrell announces he will not run for SF mayor,San Francisco Examiner (December 21, 2017).
  24. ^Rachel Swan,SF City Attorney Dennis Herrera signals intention to run for mayor in June,San Francisco Chronicle (January 3, 2017).
  25. ^Joe Eskenazi,SF police union endorsement of Angela Alioto is crazy, but it also makes sense,Mission Local (April 3, 2018).
  26. ^San Francisco Log Cabin Republicans LGBT,California Elections - SF Log Cabin RepublicansArchived May 5, 2018, at theWayback Machine,SF LCR Website
  27. ^San Francisco Republican Party,Endorsements - SF Republican PartyArchived May 5, 2018, at theWayback Machine,SF GOP Website
  28. ^Small Property Owners of San Francisco,SPOSF Endorsements for Mayor,SPOSF Website
  29. ^ab"Endorsements for June 5, 2018". Harvey Milk LGBTQ Democratic Club.
  30. ^"Our Revolution Endorses Jane Kim for Mayor of San Francisco".Our Revolution.
  31. ^"PORAC - Peace Officers Research Association of California".PORAC.
  32. ^The People for Bernie Sanders [@People4Bernie] (January 10, 2018)."Jane Kim has been on the front lines in struggle with the 99% for the entire time she has been activist and elected official. We love her" (Tweet). RetrievedJanuary 10, 2018 – viaTwitter.
  33. ^Roberts, Chris (February 27, 2018)."YIMBY-er than thou: Picking the San Francisco mayoral candidates on housing".Curbed SF. Vox Media.
  34. ^ab"Our Endorsements: SF's June 5, 2018 Elections - San Francisco Bicycle Coalition".San Francisco Bicycle Coalition.
  35. ^abDominic Fracassa & Rachel Swan,SF mayoral candidate Breed rips rivals Leno, Alioto for being "nasty",San Francisco Chronicle (March 29, 2018).
  36. ^ab"Hear Why SFDSA Endorses #1 Jane Kim for Mayor & Mark Leno #2 - San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association". San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association. May 9, 2018.
  37. ^Rodriguez, Joe Fitzgerald (January 31, 2018)."New campaign committee backing London Breed in mayor's race won't accept Ron Conway money".San Francisco Examiner.
  38. ^abcRedmond, Tim."Campaign trail: Kim gets progressive endorsements, Breed wants Tasers".48hills. San Francisco Progressive Media Center.
  39. ^Joe Fitzgerald Rodriguez,Historic San Francisco LGBT group takes a pass on endorsing gay-marriage trailblazer Gavin Newsom,San Francisco Examiner (March 17, 2018).
  40. ^abcdMatthew S. Bajko,Political Notebook: Leno secures LGBT backing in SF mayor's race,Bay Area Reporter (March 8, 2018).
  41. ^abcdSwan, Rachel (December 14, 2017)."Concerns raised over Breed serving as both SF mayor, supervisor".San Francisco Chronicle. RetrievedJanuary 4, 2018.
  42. ^abDominic Fracassa,In SF mayor's race, Breed gets Wiener's endorsement, but Leno has it too,San Francisco Chronicle (April 2, 2018).
  43. ^Chronicle Editorial Board,Editorial: Chronicle Recommends: London Breed for San Francisco Mayor,San Francisco Chronicle (April 12, 2018).
  44. ^Nuala Sawyer,Breed Wins Firefighter Union's Support For Mayoral Run,SF Weekly (February 19, 2018).
  45. ^"Endorsements - YIMBY Action".yimbyaction.org. RetrievedApril 16, 2018.
  46. ^Laura Waxmann,California Assemblymember David Chiu endorses London Breed for mayor,San Francisco Examiner (March 10, 2018).
  47. ^Joe Fitzgerald Rodriguez,Angela Alioto parts ways with mayoral campaign consultants,San Francisco Examiner (March 8, 2018).
  48. ^Swan, Rachel (February 18, 2018)."London Breed works to rebuild Brown coalition in Chinatown".San Francisco Chronicle. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2022.
  49. ^"SF Mayor Farrell could get to stay in office for a few extra weeks".San Francisco Chronicle. May 6, 2018. RetrievedMay 6, 2018.
  50. ^"Ranked-choice voting could come into play in SF mayor's race".San Francisco Chronicle. April 15, 2018. RetrievedApril 22, 2018.
  51. ^"Jane Kim surging in SF mayor's race while Mark Leno fades, new poll shows".San Francisco Chronicle. March 11, 2018. RetrievedMarch 11, 2018.
  52. ^Matier & Ross,Labor looking for a front-runner in SF mayor's race,San Francisco Chronicle (January 16, 2018).
  53. ^SurveyUSA
  54. ^First: Michelle Bravo, Amy Farah Weiss, and Ellen Lee Zhou with 2%
  55. ^Second: Amy Farah Weiss 4%, Ellen Lee Zhou 2%, Michelle Bravo 1%
  56. ^Third: Amy Farah Weiss 4%, Michelle Bravo 3%, Ellen Lee Zhou 1%
  57. ^Matier, Phil; Ross, Andy (January 2, 2018)."Leno, Breed top the field in first poll of SF mayoral election".San Francisco Chronicle. RetrievedJanuary 4, 2018.
  58. ^First: David Chiu* 11%, Dennis Herrera* 10%, Carmen Chu* 5%. *Hypothetical candidate.
  59. ^Other/Undecided 23%
  60. ^"SF mayor's race: Ranked choice puts Mark Leno in lead over London Breed". San Francisco Chronicle.
  61. ^"SF mayor's race: Mark Leno retains slight lead over London Breed — 144 votes". San Francisco Chronicle.
  62. ^"As Breed regains slim lead, mayoral cliffhanger echoes Oakland's 2010 race". San Francisco Chronicle.
  63. ^"June 5, 2018 Election Results - Detailed Reports". San Francisco Department of Elections.
  64. ^Melendez, Lyanne."Mark Leno concedes after close San Francisco mayor's race". abc7news.com. RetrievedJune 13, 2018.
  65. ^"Sources: Mark Leno To Concede In San Francisco Mayor's Race « CBS San Francisco". Sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com. June 13, 2018. RetrievedJune 13, 2018.
  66. ^ab"June 5, 2018 Election Results - Detailed Reports - Department of Elections".sfelections.sfgov.org.

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