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2018 Arizona Secretary of State election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 Arizona Secretary of State election

← 2014November 6, 20182022 →
Turnout62.77%Increase[1]
 
NomineeKatie HobbsSteve Gaynor
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,176,3841,156,132
Percentage50.43%49.56%

County results
Precinct results
Hobbs:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Gaynor:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No data

Secretary of State before election

Michele Reagan
Republican

ElectedSecretary of State

Katie Hobbs
Democratic

Elections in Arizona

The2018 Arizona Secretary of State election took place in the U.S. state of Arizona on November 6, 2018, to elect theSecretary of State of Arizona, concurrently with theelection of Arizona'sClass I U.S. Senate seat, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate and local elections.

IncumbentMichele Reagan was first elected in 2014 and ran for re-election. She was defeated in the Republican primary by Steve Gaynor.State senatorKatie Hobbs defeated Gaynor in the general election by a small margin, becoming the first Democratic Secretary of State sinceRichard Mahoney was elected in 1990.

The race was rated "Likely Republican" by Governing.com,[2] but this did not come to fruition as Katie Hobbs pulled off anupset win which, alongside Democrats' victory in theconcurrent Senate election, establishedArizona's role as a key battleground state.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Gaynor—50–60%
  Gaynor—60–70%
  Gaynor—70–80%
Republican primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve Gaynor414,33266.69%
RepublicanMichele Reagan (incumbent)206,98833.31%
Total votes621,320100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Not on the ballot

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKatie Hobbs465,668100.0%
Total votes465,668100.0%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Governing[17]Lean ROctober 11, 2018

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Gaynor (R)
Katie
Hobbs (D)
OtherUndecided
Data Orbital (R)[18]October 1–3, 2018550 (LV)± 4.2%41%31%3%24%
OH Predictive Insights[19]October 1–2, 2018600 (LV)± 4.0%50%36%14%
Gravis Marketing[20]September 5–7, 2018882 (LV)± 3.3%45%40%15%
OH Predictive Insights[21]September 5–6, 2018597 (LV)± 4.0%42%39%19%

Results

[edit]
Arizona Secretary of State election, 2018[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticKatie Hobbs1,176,38450.43%+2.65%
RepublicanSteve Gaynor1,156,13249.56%−2.66%
Write-in1690.01%N/A
Total votes2,332,685100.0%
Democraticgain fromRepublican

By county

[edit]
County[1]Katie Hobbs
Democratic
Steve Gaynor
Republican
OthersMarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Apache17,02968.337,88931.6540.029,14036.6824,922
Cochise18,72141.6626,20458.31170.04-7,483-16.6544,942
Coconino34,12063.2119,85136.7880.0114,26926.4353,979
Gila7,52437.0112,80462.9820.01-5,280-25.9720,330
Graham3,47632.997,06167.0100.00-3,585-34.0210,537
Greenlee1,08443.001,43757.0000.00-353-14.002,531
La Paz1,60832.063,40867.9400.00-1,800-35.885,016
Maricopa713,04550.72692,69049.27850.0120,3551.451,405,735
Mohave18,77526.5651,90073.4350.01-33,125-46.8770,675
Navajo16,93047.0619,04052.9330.01-2,110-5.8735,970
Pima226,03459.24155,50140.75230.0170,53318.49381,535
Pinal49,75642.9066,21157.0970.01-16,455-14.19115,967
Santa Cruz9,49771.813,72928.1900.005,76843.6213,226
Yavapai38,25936.6666,08863.33130.01-27,829-26.67104,347
Yuma20,52647.9122,31952.0920.00-1,793-4.1842,845

References

[edit]
  1. ^abc"2018 General Election"(PDF).results.arizona.vote. November 6, 2018. RetrievedMarch 30, 2021.
  2. ^"Secretary of State Races Are More Competitive and Important Than Ever". June 2018.
  3. ^"Millionaire jumps into race to challenge Michele Reagan for Arizona secretary of state".
  4. ^"Could dark-horse candidate be Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan's biggest threat? - Rose Law Group Reporter". December 25, 2017.
  5. ^"Arizona Election Information".apps.arizona.vote.
  6. ^"Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan to see 2018 primary challenge". Archived fromthe original on March 31, 2017. RetrievedMarch 31, 2017.
  7. ^"Sen. Steve Montenegro jumps into race for Arizona secretary of state".
  8. ^"Crowded race to replace Rep. Trent Franks reshapes state's political landscape".
  9. ^ab"2018 Primary Election - August 28, 2018 - Official Canvass of Results"(PDF).Arizona Secretary of State.
  10. ^"Democratic state Sen. Katie Hobbs will seek to unseat Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan".
  11. ^"Hobbs Announces She'll Run for Arizona Secretary of State | Arizona News | US News". Archived fromthe original on December 13, 2017. RetrievedMarch 11, 2017.
  12. ^"Leslie Pico for AZ Secretary of State 2018 - Take Action".electleslie.com. Archived fromthe original on August 16, 2018. RetrievedApril 26, 2019.
  13. ^"Primary candidates drop off ballot following petition challenges". Glendale Star. Archived fromthe original on July 2, 2018. RetrievedJune 29, 2018.
  14. ^"Mark Robert Gordon for Secretary of State".www.facebook.com.
  15. ^"Arizona native, lawyer Mark Robert Gordon to run for secretary of state". September 29, 2017.
  16. ^"Unity, For The Greater Good". June 19, 2018.
  17. ^Jacobson, Louis (October 11, 2018)."Democrats Maintain the Edge in Secretary of State Races". RetrievedOctober 20, 2025.
  18. ^Data Orbital (R)
  19. ^OH Predictive Insights
  20. ^Gravis Marketing
  21. ^OH Predictive Insights
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