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2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia

← 2012November 8, 20162020 →
Turnout57.45%[1]
 
NomineeDonald TrumpHillary Clinton
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateNew YorkNew York
Running mateMike PenceTim Kaine
Electoral vote50
Popular vote489,371188,794
Percentage68.50%26.43%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Clinton

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Main article:2016 United States presidential election
Treemap of the popular vote by county
Elections in West Virginia
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The2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 general election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.West Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pitting theRepublican nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton and her running mate, VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine.

On May 10, 2016, in thepresidential primaries, West Virginia voters expressed their preferences for theDemocratic,Republican,Green, andLibertarian parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Donald Trump won West Virginia with 68.5% of the vote, his largest share of the vote in any state. Hillary Clinton received just over a quarter of the vote, with 26.4%. Trump's performance in the state made it his strongest state in the 2016 election by total vote share.[2]

West Virginia was also one of two states where Donald Trump won every county, the other beingOklahoma. This was the second consecutive presidential election where every county within the state voted Republican. Trump's 42.1% margin of victory is the largest of any presidential candidate from either party in the state's history, bestingAbraham Lincoln's 36.4% margin of victory in1864. Hillary Clinton's performance was the worst by a major party nominee since1912, when three candidates split the vote and received over 20% of the vote each, and, as of the2024 election, remains the worst performance ever by a Democrat in West Virginia. Clinton won fewer votes in the general election than were cast in her party's primary overall, as well as fewer than she received in the 2008 state primary. Clinton also received the fewest votes for a Democrat in a West Virginia presidential election since1916, exactly 100 years prior.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
County results of the West Virginia Democratic presidential primary, 2016
  Bernie Sanders
Main article:2016 West Virginia Democratic presidential primary

Six candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot[3](alphabetically):

West Virginia Democratic primary, May 10, 2016
CandidatePopular voteDelegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Bernie Sanders124,70051.41%1818
Hillary Clinton86,91435.84%11819
Paul T. Farrell Jr.21,6948.94%
Keith Judd4,4601.84%
Martin O'Malley(withdrawn)3,7961.57%
Rocky De La Fuente9750.40%
Uncommitted000
Total242,539100%29837
Source:[4][5]

Republican primary

[edit]
County results of the West Virginia Republican presidential primary, 2016
  Donald Trump
Main article:2016 West Virginia Republican presidential primary

Eleven candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]

West Virginia Republican primary, May 10, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump157,23877.05%30030
Ted Cruz(withdrawn)18,3018.97%000
John Kasich(withdrawn)13,7216.72%101
Ben Carson(withdrawn)4,4212.17%000
Marco Rubio(withdrawn)2,9081.43%000
Jeb Bush(withdrawn)2,3051.13%000
Rand Paul(withdrawn)1,7980.88%000
Mike Huckabee(withdrawn)1,7800.87%000
Chris Christie(withdrawn)7270.36%000
Carly Fiorina(withdrawn)6590.32%000
David Eames Hall2030.10%000
Uncommitted303
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:204,061100.00%34034
Source:The Green Papers

General election

[edit]
State senate district results:
Trump
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[6]Safe RNovember 6, 2016
CNN[7]Safe RNovember 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[8]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[9]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[10]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[12]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Fox News[13]Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Results

[edit]
Chart of popular vote
  1. Trump (68.5%)
  2. Clinton (26.4%)
  3. Johnson (3.22%)
  4. Write-ins (0.53%)
  5. Stein (1.13%)
2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia[14]
PartyCandidateRunning matePopular voteElectoral voteSwing
Count%Count%
RepublicanDonald Trump ofNew YorkMike Pence ofIndiana489,37168.50%5100.00%Increase6.30%
DemocraticHillary Clinton ofNew YorkTim Kaine ofVirginia188,79426.43%00.00%Decrease9.11%
LibertarianGary Johnson ofNew MexicoBill Weld ofMassachusetts23,0043.22%00.00%Increase2.28%
MountainJill Stein ofMassachusettsAjamu Baraka ofIllinois8,0751.13%00.00%Increase0.47%
ConstitutionDarrell L. Castle ofTennesseeScott N. Bradley ofUtah3,8070.53%00.00%Increase0.51%
Write-inVarious of VariousVarious of Various1,3720.19%00.00%Decrease0.03%
Total714,423100.00%5100.00%

By county

[edit]
CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Barbour4,52774.02%1,22219.98%3676.00%3,30554.04%6,116
Berkeley28,24465.13%12,32128.41%2,7996.46%15,92336.72%43,364
Boone6,50474.09%1,79020.39%4855.52%4,71453.70%8,779
Braxton3,53769.35%1,32125.90%2424.75%2,21643.45%5,100
Brooke6,62568.33%2,56826.49%5035.18%4,05741.84%9,696
Cabell19,85059.09%11,44734.08%2,2946.83%8,40325.01%33,591
Calhoun2,03577.14%45617.29%1475.57%1,57959.85%2,638
Clay2,30076.79%56818.96%1274.25%1,73257.83%2,995
Doddridge2,35882.36%36212.64%1435.00%1,99669.72%2,863
Fayette10,35766.91%4,29027.72%8315.37%6,06739.19%15,478
Gilmer1,89673.52%54521.13%1385.35%1,35152.39%2,579
Grant4,34687.53%51210.31%1072.16%3,83477.22%4,965
Greenbrier9,55667.18%3,76526.47%9036.35%5,79140.71%14,224
Hampshire6,69277.11%1,58018.20%4074.69%5,11258.91%8,679
Hancock8,90969.59%3,26225.48%6314.93%5,64744.11%12,802
Hardy4,27475.33%1,15520.36%2454.31%3,11954.97%5,674
Harrison18,75066.14%7,69427.14%1,9076.72%11,05639.00%28,351
Jackson9,02073.31%2,66321.64%6215.05%6,35751.67%12,304
Jefferson13,20453.88%9,51838.84%1,7867.28%3,68615.04%24,508
Kanawha43,85057.03%28,26336.76%4,7756.21%15,58720.27%76,888
Lewis5,27476.04%1,34719.42%3154.54%3,92756.62%6,936
Lincoln5,30774.36%1,45920.44%3715.20%3,84853.92%7,137
Logan9,89779.56%2,09216.82%4513.62%7,80562.74%12,440
Marion14,66862.77%6,96429.80%1,7357.43%7,70432.97%23,367
Marshall9,66672.39%2,91821.85%7695.76%6,74850.54%13,353
Mason7,65474.54%2,08120.26%5345.20%5,57354.28%10,269
McDowell4,62974.11%1,43823.02%1792.87%3,19151.09%6,246
Mercer17,40475.03%4,70420.28%1,0894.69%12,70054.75%23,197
Mineral9,07077.71%2,05017.56%5514.73%7,02060.15%11,671
Mingo7,91183.17%1,37014.40%2312.43%6,54168.77%9,512
Monongalia18,43250.13%14,69939.97%3,6419.90%3,73310.16%36,772
Monroe4,44375.92%1,11118.98%2985.10%3,33256.94%5,852
Morgan5,73274.09%1,57320.33%4325.58%4,15953.76%7,737
Nicholas7,25175.70%1,84019.21%4885.09%5,41156.49%9,579
Ohio11,13961.16%5,49330.16%1,5828.68%5,64631.00%18,214
Pendleton2,39873.69%72922.40%1273.91%1,66951.29%3,254
Pleasants2,35874.17%62119.53%2006.30%1,73754.64%3,179
Pocahontas2,49667.92%92825.25%2516.83%1,56842.67%3,675
Preston9,53874.73%2,47019.35%7565.92%7,06855.38%12,764
Putnam17,78870.56%5,88423.34%1,5396.10%11,90447.22%25,211
Raleigh22,04873.76%6,44321.55%1,4014.69%15,60552.21%29,892
Randolph7,62969.55%2,73524.93%6055.52%4,89444.62%10,969
Ritchie3,40582.95%49612.08%2044.97%2,90970.87%4,105
Roane3,78171.12%1,22222.99%3135.89%2,55948.13%5,316
Summers3,45570.61%1,19024.32%2485.07%2,26546.29%4,893
Taylor4,73371.79%1,49122.61%3695.60%3,24249.18%6,593
Tucker2,56573.26%75121.45%1855.29%1,81451.81%3,501
Tyler2,99681.15%50713.73%1895.12%2,48967.42%3,692
Upshur7,00575.34%1,76618.99%5275.67%5,23956.35%9,298
Wayne11,15272.67%3,35721.87%8385.46%7,79550.80%15,347
Webster2,30276.45%55618.47%1535.08%1,74657.98%3,011
Wetzel4,51971.59%1,35921.53%4346.88%3,16050.06%6,312
Wirt1,91178.90%38615.94%1255.16%1,52562.96%2,422
Wood25,43470.51%8,40023.29%2,2376.20%17,03447.22%36,071
Wyoming6,54783.08%1,06213.48%2713.44%5,48569.60%7,880
Totals489,37167.85%188,79426.18%43,0965.97%300,57741.67%721,261
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +12.5-15%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won all three congressional districts.[15]

DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
1st68%26%David McKinley
2nd66%29%Alex Mooney
3rd73%23%Evan Jenkins

Polling

[edit]
See also:Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016 § West Virginia

Analysis

[edit]
A map of the most college-educated counties in the United States

As expected,Republican nomineeDonald Trump won West Virginia in a 42-point rout (the largest of any presidential candidate in the state's history) overDemocratic nomineeHillary Clinton,[16] thanks to ardent support fromcoal industryworkers inAppalachia. He thus captured all fiveelectoral votes from West Virginia.

West Virginia is one of the least-educated states in the country, with only one county having at least 40% of its adult residents with a Bachelor's degree (see the map). That county,Monongalia County (home toWest Virginia University), had the smallest swing to Trump out of any county in the state. The rest of the state swung massively to Trump.[17]

Trump had promised to bring backmining jobs in economically depressed areas ofcoal country, whereas his opponent had proposed investing millions into converting the region to a producer ofgreen energy.[18][19] Democrats' championing ofenvironmentalism is viewed as a threat in coal country, and Clinton faced a towering rejection from Mountain State voters. Clinton was also seen as being "haunted" by a comment she made within the state itself, in which, while describing thetransition to sustainable energy, she stated "We're going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business."[20]

West Virginia was once a solidly Democratic state; it voted Democratic in every election from1932 to1996, except for the Republican landslides of1956,1972, and1984. However, in recent years it has drifted to becoming solidly Republican, and has stayed that way since it was won byGeorge W. Bush in2000.Barack Obama, for example, failed to win even a single county in2012. West Virginia is one of the two states where Hillary Clinton did not win any counties, the other beingOklahoma, which last voted for a Democrat in1964.[21]

The change to increasing Republican control had also been reflected at the state level. While West Virginia was one of several states with a Democratic governor (Earl Ray Tomblin) in 2016 where Trump won, Republicans had won both chambers of the state legislature in the2014 elections. In the ensuing years, more statewide executive offices also were won by Republican candidates.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"2016 General Election Turnout".www.sos.wv.gov. Archived fromthe original on July 13, 2017. RetrievedJune 28, 2019.
  2. ^"FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2016--Election Results for the U.S. President, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives"(PDF). RetrievedNovember 18, 2020.
  3. ^ab"West Virginia Presidential Primary Ballots Set | Ballot Access News".
  4. ^The Green Papers
  5. ^West Virginia Secretary of State
  6. ^"Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours".Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  7. ^Chalian, David (November 4, 2016)."Road to 270: CNN's new election map".CNN. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  8. ^"2016 Electoral Scorecard".The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived fromthe original on February 16, 2017. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  9. ^"2016 Electoral Map Prediction".Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  10. ^"Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedAugust 16, 2021.
  11. ^Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016)."2016 President".University of Virginia Center for Politics. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  12. ^"2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  13. ^"Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge".Fox News. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  14. ^Federal Election Commission (December 2017)."Federal Elections 2016"(PDF). p. 44. RetrievedDecember 19, 2024.
  15. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 29, 2025.
  16. ^"West Virginia Election Results 2016".The New York Times. RetrievedNovember 12, 2016.
  17. ^Silver, Nate (November 22, 2016)."Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For Trump".FiveThirtyEight.
  18. ^"Deep in Virginia's craggy coal country, they saw Trump as their only hope".Washington Post. RetrievedNovember 12, 2016.
  19. ^Thomas, Zoe (November 2, 2016)."Coal country West Virginia feels forgotten by politics".BBC News. RetrievedNovember 12, 2016.
  20. ^Strauss, Daniel (May 10, 2016)."Clinton haunted by coal country comment". Politico. RetrievedJune 3, 2017.
  21. ^"West Virginia Election Results 2016 – The New York Times".The New York Times. RetrievedNovember 10, 2016.
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