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2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

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Main article:2016 United States presidential election
2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

← 2012
November 8, 2016
2020 →
Turnout78.76% (of registered voters)Decrease2.49%[1]
 
NomineeHillary ClintonDonald Trump
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateNew YorkNew York
Running mateTim KaineMike Pence
Electoral vote8[a]0
Popular vote1,742,7181,221,747
Percentage52.54%36.83%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Clinton

  30–40%
  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Trump

  30–40%
  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color
Treemap of the popular vote by county
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The2016 United States presidential election in Washington took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election.Washington was won byHillary Clinton, who won the state with 52.54% of the vote overDonald Trump's 36.83%, a margin of 15.71%. All of the state's 12electoral votes were assigned to Clinton, though fourdefected. Trump prevailed in thepresidential election nationally.

In thepresidential primaries, Washington voterschose theRepublican Party's nominee; theDemocratic Partyused the caucus system, and theGreen Party's nominee was chosen in a convention. Although Clinton's 52.5% percent of the vote was a reduction fromBarack Obama's 56.2% in2012,[2] Trump receiving an even greater drop in percentage compared toMitt Romney's 41.3% made Washington one of 11 states (along with the District of Columbia) where Clinton improved upon Obama's margin of victory.[3] This was the first presidential election in which the Republican Party wonGrays Harbor andPacific counties since1928 and1952, respectively.[4]

This election was also the first time that the Republican Party had wonCowlitz County since1980, and the first time they had wonMason County since1984.[5] Additionally, Trump became the first Republican ever to win the White House without carryingIsland County, as well as the first to do so without carryingWhitman County sinceWilliam McKinley in1900.[citation needed] Despite Clinton's victory, four Democratic electorsdefected:[6] Three voted for former U.S. secretary of stateColin Powell, making him the first African-American Republican to receive electoral votes,[7] while Native American activistRobert Satiacum Jr. cast his vote for fellow activistFaith Spotted Eagle, making her the first Native American to receive an electoral vote for president.[8]

Primaries and Caucuses

[edit]
Main article:Political party strength in Washington (state)

Washington has voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since1988. While the state's Senate was majority Republican in 2016, both of Washington's United States Senators are Democrats, as well as a majority of the state's U.S. House delegation. Barack Obama defeatedJohn McCain by 17.18% in2008 andMitt Romney by 14.87% in2012.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic caucus

[edit]
Main article:2016 Washington Democratic presidential caucuses
County results of the Washington Democratic presidential caucus, 2016.
  Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders bested Hillary Clinton in the Democratic presidential caucus on March 26, 2016:

The state also held a non-binding presidential primary on May 24, the same date as the state's Republican primary. Hillary Clinton won the preference vote.

Washington Democratic caucuses, March 26, 2016
CandidateDistrict delegatesEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Bernie Sanders19,15972.72%74074
Hillary Clinton7,14027.10%271037
Others
Uncommitted460.18%077
Total26,345100%10117118
Source:[9]
Washington Democratic primary, May 24, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton420,46152.38%000
Bernie Sanders382,29347.62%000
Others
Uncommitted
Total802,754100%000
Source:Washington Secretary of State - Official Results

Republican primary

[edit]
Main article:2016 Washington Republican presidential primary

Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot on May 24, 2016:

Washington Republican primary, May 24, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump455,02375.46%41041
Ted Cruz(withdrawn)65,17210.81%000
John Kasich(withdrawn)58,9549.78%000
Ben Carson(withdrawn)23,8493.96%000
Uncommitted303
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:602,998100.00%44044
Source:The Green Papers

Green convention

[edit]

This state's Green Party state convention was on May 15. Ballots were emailed to members within a week after the convention.[10]

Washington Green Party Convention, May 15, 2016.
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
Jill Stein-91.75
William Kreml---
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry---
Kent Mesplay---
Darryl Cherney---
Total--5

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[11]Safe DNovember 6, 2016
CNN[12]Safe DNovember 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[13]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[14]Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[15]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[17]Likely DNovember 8, 2016
Fox News[18]Safe DNovember 7, 2016

Polling

[edit]
See also:Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Washington

Democrat Hillary Clinton won every pre-election poll and all but one by double digits. The average of the final three polls showed Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 50.3% to 36%.[19]

State voting history

[edit]

Washington joined the Union in November 1889 and has participated in all elections from 1892 onwards.

Since 1900, Washington voted Democratic 51.72 percent of the time and Republican 44.83 percent of the time. Since 1988, Washington had voted for the Democratic Party in each presidential election, and the same was expected to happen in 2016.[20]

Results

[edit]
2016 United States presidential election in Washington[21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticHillary Clinton
Tim Kaine
1,742,71852.54%−3.62%
RepublicanDonald Trump
Mike Pence
1,221,74736.83%−4.46%
LibertarianGary Johnson
Bill Weld
160,8794.85%+3.50%
GreenJill Stein
Ajamu Baraka
58,4171.76%+1.09%
ConstitutionDarrell Castle
Scott Bradley
17,6230.53%+0.25%
Socialist WorkersAlyson Kennedy
Osborne Hart
4,3070.13%+0.09%
Socialism and LiberationGloria La Riva
Eugene Puryear
3,5230.11%+0.07%
Write-in107,8053.25%N/A
Total votes3,317,019100.00%N/A

By county

[edit]
County[22][21]Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adams1,29927.16%3,08364.47%4008.36%-1,784-37.31%4,782
Asotin3,13431.42%5,74157.56%1,09911.02%-2,607-26.14%9,974
Benton26,36031.53%47,19456.46%10,03812.01%-20,834-24.92%83,592
Chelan13,03237.85%18,11452.61%3,2879.55%-5,082-14.76%34,433
Clallam17,67743.61%18,79446.37%4,06210.02%-1,117-2.76%40,533
Clark92,75744.49%92,44144.34%23,28711.17%3160.15%208,485
Columbia52623.60%1,49767.16%2069.24%-971-43.56%2,229
Cowlitz17,90837.99%24,18551.30%5,04910.71%-6,277-13.32%47,142
Douglas4,91830.93%9,60360.39%1,3808.68%-4,685-29.46%15,901
Ferry1,09829.78%2,20259.72%38710.50%-1,104-29.94%3,687
Franklin8,88636.10%13,20653.65%2,52210.25%-4,320-17.55%24,614
Garfield27922.39%85168.30%1169.31%-572-45.91%1,246
Grant7,81026.69%18,51863.29%2,93010.01%-10,708-36.60%29,258
Grays Harbor12,02041.02%14,06748.01%3,21410.97%-2,047-6.99%29,301
Island20,96047.34%18,46541.71%4,84810.95%2,4955.64%44,273
Jefferson12,65660.62%6,03728.91%2,18610.47%6,61931.70%20,879
King718,32269.85%216,33921.04%93,7899.12%501,98348.81%1,028,450
Kitsap63,15649.05%49,01838.07%16,59612.89%14,13810.98%128,770
Kittitas7,48938.18%10,10051.49%2,02610.33%-2,611-13.31%19,615
Klickitat4,19437.87%5,78952.28%1,0919.85%-1,595-14.40%11,074
Lewis9,65427.43%21,99262.48%3,55310.09%-12,338-35.05%35,199
Lincoln1,24421.23%4,10870.09%5098.68%-2,864-48.87%5,861
Mason11,99341.35%13,67747.16%3,33311.49%-1,684-5.81%29,003
Okanogan6,29835.87%9,61054.74%1,6489.39%-3,312-18.87%17,556
Pacific4,62042.11%5,36048.85%9929.04%-740-6.74%10,972
Pend Oreille1,93427.57%4,37362.33%70910.11%-2,439-34.76%7,016
Pierce172,53847.92%146,82440.78%40,65511.29%25,7147.14%360,017
San Juan7,17264.42%2,68824.14%1,27411.44%4,48440.27%11,134
Skagit26,69045.97%24,73642.60%6,63311.42%1,9543.37%58,059
Skamania2,23238.29%2,92850.23%66911.48%-696-11.94%5,829
Snohomish185,22752.22%128,25536.16%41,25211.63%56,97216.06%354,734
Spokane93,76739.72%113,43548.06%28,84812.22%-19,668-8.33%236,050
Stevens5,76724.65%15,16164.80%2,46710.54%-9,394-40.15%23,395
Thurston68,79851.27%48,62436.23%16,76912.50%20,17415.03%134,191
Wahkiakum83234.25%1,34455.33%25310.42%-512-21.08%2,429
Walla Walla9,69436.96%13,65152.05%2,88310.99%-3,957-15.09%26,228
Whatcom60,34053.24%40,59935.82%12,40010.94%19,74117.42%113,339
Whitman8,14645.19%7,40341.06%2,47913.75%7434.12%18,028
Yakima31,29139.24%41,73552.34%6,7158.42%-10,444-13.10%79,741
Totals1,742,71852.54%1,221,74736.83%352,55410.63%520,97115.71%3,317,019
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[23]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +7.5–10%
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5–7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5–5%
  •   Democratic — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +0–2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5–5%
  •   Republican — +5–7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold
      Gain from Republican

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Clinton won seven of ten congressional districts including one that elected a Republican.[21]

DistrictClintonTrumpRepresentative
1st54%38%Suzan DelBene
2nd57%35%Rick Larsen
3rd43%50%Jaime Herrera Beutler
4th35%58%Dan Newhouse
5th39%52%Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th52%39%Derek Kilmer
7th82%12%Jim McDermott (114th Congress)
Pramila Jayapal (115th Congress)
8th48%45%Dave Reichert
9th70%23%Adam Smith
10th51%40%Denny Heck

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Clinton and Kaine earned 12 pledged electoral votes, but lost four tofaithless electors. Three electors voted forColin Powell for president andElizabeth Warren,Maria Cantwell, andSusan Collins for vice president, whileRobert Satiacum Jr. voted forFaith Spotted Eagle for president andWinona LaDuke for vice president.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Secretary of State: Kim Wyman."November 8, 2016 General Election Results".www.sos.wa.gov. RetrievedJune 9, 2019.
  2. ^"Washington Election Results 2016".The New York Times. August 1, 2017.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedJune 9, 2019.
  3. ^"2016 Presidential General Election Results - Vote Swing - D-R Margin Change from Previous Election".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. RetrievedDecember 1, 2023.
  4. ^Wheel, Robert."The 2016 Streak Breakers".Center for Politics. Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  5. ^Sullivan, Robert David;‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’;America Magazine inThe National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016
  6. ^Houghton, Ashley (July 6, 2020)."Faithless Electors".FairVote. Archived fromthe original on February 9, 2021. RetrievedDecember 1, 2023.
  7. ^Cheney, Kyle (December 19, 2016)."Trump wins Electoral College vote".Politico. RetrievedDecember 1, 2023.
  8. ^Pearce, Matt (December 20, 2016)."How Faith Spotted Eagle became the first Native American to win an electoral vote for president".Los Angeles Times. RetrievedDecember 1, 2023.
  9. ^The Green Papers
  10. ^Green Party of Washington State."Spring Gathering 2016".Facebook.
  11. ^"Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours".Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  12. ^Chalian, David (November 4, 2016)."Road to 270: CNN's new election map".CNN. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  13. ^"2016 Electoral Scorecard".The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived fromthe original on March 1, 2019. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  14. ^"2016 Electoral Map Prediction".Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  15. ^"Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedAugust 16, 2021.
  16. ^Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016)."2016 President".University of Virginia Center for Politics. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  17. ^"2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  18. ^"Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge".Fox News. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  19. ^"RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Washington: Trump vs. Clinton".www.realclearpolitics.com. RetrievedJuly 26, 2021.
  20. ^"Washington Presidential Election 2016 Results LIVE Updates". Archived fromthe original on October 13, 2016. RetrievedOctober 13, 2016.
  21. ^abc"2016 General Data".sos.wa.gov.Archived from the original on March 15, 2025.
  22. ^Wyman, Kim (November 8, 2016)."President/Vice President - County Results".Secretary of State of Washington.Archived from the original on June 28, 2025. RetrievedAugust 9, 2025.
  23. ^Bump, Philip."The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election".Washington Post.ISSN 0190-8286. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2020.

External links

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